Field Cancerization Is Associated with Tumor Development, T-cell Exhaustion, and Clinical Outcomes in Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

Field cancerization is characterized by areas of normal tissue affected by mutated clones. Bladder field cancerization may explain the development and recurrence of bladder cancer and may be associated with treatment outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the predictive and prognostic roles of field cancerization in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We conducted comprehensive genomic and proteomic analyses for 751 bladder biopsies and 234 urine samples from 136 patients with NMIBC. The samples were collected at multiple time points during the disease course. Field cancerization in normal-appearing bladder biopsies was measured using deep-targeted sequencing and error correction models.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Endpoints included the rates of recurrence and progression. Cox regression and Wilcoxon rank-sum and Fisher's exact tests were used.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

A high level of field cancerization was associated with high tumor mutational burden (p = 0.007), high tumor neoantigen load (p = 0.029), and high tumor-associated CD8 T-cell exhaustion (p = 0.017). In addition, high field cancerization was associated with worse short-term outcomes (p = 0.029). Nonsynonymous mutations in bladder cancer-associated genes such as KDM6A, ARID1A, and TP53 were identified as early disease drivers already found in normal-appearing bladder biopsies. Urinary tumor DNA (utDNA) levels reflected the bladder tumor burden and originated from tumors and field cancerization. High levels of utDNA after BCG were associated with worse clinical outcomes (p = 0.027) and with disease progression (p = 0.003). High field cancerization resulted in high urinary levels of proteins associated with angiogenesis and proliferation. Limitations include variation in the number of biopsies and time points analyzed.

CONCLUSIONS

Field cancerization levels are associated with tumor development, immune responses, and clinical outcomes. utDNA measurements can be used to monitor disease status and treatment response.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Molecular changes in the tissue lining the bladder result in tumor recurrence. Urinary measurements may be used to monitor bladder cancer status and treatment responses.

Abstract 6075: Comprehensive genomic characterization of early-stage bladder cancer from 438 patients by whole genome- and exome sequencing

Background: The genomic landscape of cancer is complex and includes mutations and copy number alterations (CNAs) that affect several cancer related pathways and drive tumor evolution. Non-muscle-invasive bladder cancers (NMIBC) are largely orphan for integrative genomic studies. Large studies are needed to delineate the genomic complexity and heterogeneity of NMIBC.

Methods: A total of 438 patients with NMIBC were analyzed, 296 of which were part of the UROMOL cohort (PMID: 27321955). The median follow-up was 5 years. The progression rate was 13% (n= 56). Whole exome sequencing (WES) was performed on DNA from tumor (~150x) and matched germline samples to call somatic mutations. Additionally, shallow whole genome sequencing (sWGS; ~2x) was performed on DNA from 362 of the tumors to quantify CNAs. RNA-sequencing was available for 414 of the samples, and tumors were classified according to the UROMOL2021 transcriptomic classes. We identified significantly mutated genes by mutsigCV and significantly amplified or deleted regions by GISTIC2.

Results: The median tumor mutation burden (TMB) was 3.7/Mb. TMB was not associated with progression (p=0.28). A total of 61 genes were significantly mutated in the cohort, the most frequent being FGFR3 (61%), KDM6A (44%) and KMT2D (38%). Mutations in EP300 and RHOB were significantly associated with an increased risk of progression after adjusting for grade and stage (p=0.040 and 0.044, respectively). Several mutations showed a strong transcriptomic class dependent occurrence: mutations in RB1, TP53, ERCC2 and ERBB2 were enriched in the aggressive class 2a, FGFR3 and STAG2 in class 1 and class 3, and KMT2C and KMT2D in class 3.

Genome doubling was identified in 15% of the tumors. These tumors were enriched in the aggressive classes 2a and 2b and were associated with increased risk of progression (p=0.0049). In addition, we observed several significantly altered genomic regions, the most significant being deletions in 9p21.3 (CDKN2A & CDKN2B, 64%), 2q37.1 (GIGYF2 & EIF4E2, 28%) and amplification in 11q13.3 (CCND1, 9%). Class 2a tumors were enriched for genomic alterations in most of the significant regions. 9p21.3 was the only region with frequent homozygous losses (22%). High-level gains were prognostic of progression, independently of ploidy, stage and grade, for several regions, including 4p16.3 (FGFR3, p=0.00013), 17q23.2(TBX2, p=0.0004) and 8p11.23(ZNF703, p=0.011). In addition, we observed an enrichment of uniparental disomy in 4p16.3 (FGFR3, 8%).

Conclusion: Here we investigated the landscape of DNA alterations in NMIBC in a large patient cohort of NMIBC samples with paired transcriptomic data and detailed clinical follow-up. We identified several novel genomic alterations; specifically, we showed that 15% of the tumors had genome doublings, and we identified a complex underlying copy number landscape of the region containing FGFR3.

Citation Format: Frederik Prip, Philippe Lamy, Iver Nordentoft, Sia Viborg Lindskrog, Trine Strandgaard, Karin Birkenkamp-Demtröder, Gregers G. Hermann, Astrid C. Petersen, Veronika Bahlinger, Marc-Oliver Grimm, Marcus Horstmann, Karin Mogensen, Roman Nawroth, Ulrika Segersten, Danijel Sikic, Kim E. M van Kessel, Tobias Maurer, Tatjana Simic, Arndt Hartmann, Ellen C. C. Zwarthoff, Per-Uno Malmström, Torben Steiniche, Jørgen Bjerggaard Jensen, Núria Malats, Francisco X. Real, Lars Dyrskjøt. Comprehensive genomic characterization of early-stage bladder cancer from 438 patients by whole genome- and exome sequencing. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 6075.

Abstract 5600: Utility of circulating tumor DNA and transcriptomic profiling in predicting outcome in muscle invasive bladder cancer patients

Background: Standard treatment of localized muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) is neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by radical cystectomy (RC); however, only 40-50% respond to NAC and approx. 50% experience relapse. Evaluation of treatment efficacy and early detection of relapse are therefore major clinical challenges.

Methods: We present a clinical update of a previously described cohort of 68 patients who received NAC prior to RC (NAC cohort; Christensen et al. JCO 2019; median follow-up (FU) of 58 months) together with evaluation of a retrospectively collected cohort of 120 patients who did not receive NAC (no-NAC cohort; median FU of 71 months). Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) was analyzed before NAC (NAC cohort, n=63), prior to RC (NAC cohort, n=67; no-NAC cohort, n=115) and after RC (NAC cohort, n=66; no-NAC cohort, n=37) using Signatera™. RNA-seq was performed on 176 tumors.

Results: Updated clinical FU for the NAC cohort showed that ctDNA-positive patients had significantly worse recurrence-free survival (RFS) compared to ctDNA-negative patients (before NAC: HR=16, 95%CI=3.6-70.5, p=0.0002; during surveillance after RC: HR=27.6, 95%CI=7.9-96.9, p<0.0001). After NAC prior to RC, 84% (52/62) of patients were ctDNA-negative, and of these 81% (42/52) achieved pathological complete response (pCR), while none of the ctDNA-positive patients achieved pCR (PPV 100%; NPV 81%). For the no-NAC cohort, presence of ctDNA was also prognostic at both time points (before RC: HR=2.5, 95%CI=1.4-4.4, p=0.001; single time point after RC: HR=10.1, 95%CI=3.2-31.6, p<0.0001). In both cohorts, transcriptomic pathway analysis showed an enrichment of oncogenic pathways, namely EMT and hypoxia (q<0.0001), in tumors from ctDNA-positive patients (n=62/142). This may reflect a more aggressive cancer phenotype of ctDNA shedding tumors. Among those who were ctDNA-positive after NAC (n=7) we found enrichment of EMT (q<0.0001) and TGF-β signaling (q=0.005), whereas there was enrichment of anti-tumor immune pathways, including IFNα and IFNγ response (q=0.03 and q=0.04), in patients with ctDNA clearance after NAC (n=11). Similarly, we found upregulation of IFNα and IFNγ response pathways (q<0.0001) in ctDNA-negative patients without relapse in the no-NAC cohort (n=34/57). Finally, we classified all tumors according to the MIBC consensus classes and found more Ba/Sq tumors among the ctDNA-positive patients (p<0.0001). We are currently investigating the potential clinical benefit of receiving NAC in ctDNA-positive and -negative patients by comparing the NAC and no-NAC treated patients.

Conclusion: Presence of ctDNA was associated with worse prognosis for both NAC and no-NAC treated patients. Transcriptomic analysis of primary tumors showed that anti-tumor immune responses may be associated with a particularly good outcome whereas EMT may be promoting more aggressive disease.

Citation Format: Sia Viborg Lindskrog, George Laliotis, Karin Birkenkamp-Demtröder, Iver Nordentoft, Philippe Lamy, Elshaddai Z. White, Natalia Pajak, Tine G. Andreasen, Punashi Dutta, Meenakshi Malhotra, Shruti Sharma, Mark Calhoun, Adam ElNaggar, Minetta C. Liu, Mads Agerbæk, Jørgen B. Jensen, Lars Dyrskjøt. Utility of circulating tumor DNA and transcriptomic profiling in predicting outcome in muscle invasive bladder cancer patients. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 5600.

Utility of ctDNA in predicting outcome and pathological complete response in patients with bladder cancer as a guide for selective bladder preservation strategies

563

Background: Muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) accounts for ~25–30% of all bladder cancer diagnoses. With neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by radical cystectomy (RC) as standard-of-care, the 5-year survival rate ranges from 40%–60%. Bladder-sparing protocols (BSP) have emerged as a feasible alternative to RC for MIBC treatment, however better tools are needed. In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in predicting recurrence in patients who achieved pathological complete response (pCR). Methods: We analyzed a previously described cohort of 68 patients (656 plasma samples; Christensen et al., JCO 2019) with MIBC who received NAC prior to cystectomy. Patients had an updated median follow-up of 58.94 months (range: 7.19-81.77) post-cystectomy. ctDNA was analyzed at baseline (before NAC; N=64), and prior to cystectomy (N=65) using a commercially available assay (Signatera, Natera, Inc.). Additionally, exploratory RNA-Seq was performed on tumors from 59 patients (samples with >5M total counts were utilized). Pathway analysis was used to compare ctDNA-positive and ctDNA-negative patients who failed to achieve pCR. Results: Of the 64 patients with ctDNA results available at baseline, 59.4% (38/64) tested ctDNA-negative, and of these 84.2% (32/38) achieved pCR. Furthermore, 40.6% (26/64) tested ctDNA-positive, and only 34.6% (9/26) achieved pCR. Likewise, prior to cystectomy, 83.9% (52/62) of patients were ctDNA-negative, and 80.7% (42/52) achieved pCR, while none of the ctDNA-positive patients achieved pCR (positive predictive value 100%; negative predictive value 80.8%). Based on both ctDNA timepoints, the probability of ctDNA-negative patients to achieve pCR was significantly higher than ctDNA-positive patients ( p<0.0001). Notably, ctDNA-positive patients without pCR demonstrated significantly poorer RFS and OS compared to the ctDNA-negative patients, at both timepoints (Baseline: RFS; HR=8.2, p=0.017, OS; HR=8.4, p=0.015, prior to cystectomy: RFS; HR=5.2, p=0.0078, OS; HR=4.8, p=0.012). Furthermore, ctDNA status at baseline and before cystectomy was a better predictor of RFS compared to pCR (HR=8.5, p<0.0001, HR=14, p<0.0001, respectively). Transcriptomic pathway analysis of patients who did not achieve pCR showed an enrichment of oncogenic pathways, namely EMT and angiogenesis, in tumors from ctDNA positive patients, whereas tumors from ctDNA negative patients showed an enrichment of anti-tumor immune signatures, including IFNα and IFNγ. Conclusions: Absence of ctDNA was significantly associated with pCR both at baseline and prior to cystectomy, identifying patients who may benefit from BSP. Larger cohorts are warranted to test the prognostic value of ctDNA combined with transcriptomic profiling in informing patient selection for avoiding cystectomy.

FGFR3 Mutational Activation Can Induce Luminal-like Papillary Bladder Tumor Formation and Favors a Male Sex Bias

BACKGROUND

Bladder cancer (BCa) is more common in men and presents differences in molecular subtypes based on sex. Fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 (FGFR3) mutations are enriched in the luminal papillary muscle-invasive BCa (MIBC) and non-MIBC subtypes.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether FGFR3 mutations initiate BCa and impact BCa male sex bias.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We developed a transgenic mouse model expressing the most frequent FGFR3 mutation, FGFR3-S249C, in urothelial cells. Bladder tumorigenesis was monitored in transgenic mice, with and without carcinogen exposure. Mouse and human BCa transcriptomic data were compared.

INTERVENTION

Mutant FGFR3 overexpression in mouse urothelium and siRNA knockdown in cell lines, and N-butyl-N(4-hydroxybutyl)-nitrosamine (BBN) exposure.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Impact of transgene dosage on tumor frequency, synergy with BBN treatment, and FGFR3 pathway activation were analyzed. The sex-specific incidence of FGFR3-mutated tumors was evaluated in mice and humans. FGFR3 expression in FGFR3-S249C mouse urothelium and in various human epithelia was measured. Mutant FGFR3 regulation of androgen (AR) and estrogen (ESR1) receptor activity was evaluated, through target gene expression (regulon) and reporter assays.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

FGFR3-S249C expression in mice induced low-grade papillary BCa resembling human luminal counterpart at histological, genomic, and transcriptomic levels, and promoted BBN-induced basal BCa formation. Mutant FGFR3 expression levels impacted tumor incidence in mice, and mutant FGFR3-driven human tumors were restricted to epithelia presenting high normal FGFR3 expression levels. BCa male sex bias, also found in our model, was even higher in human FGFR3-mutated tumors compared with wild-type tumors and was associated with higher AR and lower ESR1 regulon activity. Mutant FGFR3 expression inhibited both ESR1 and AR activity in mouse tumors and human cell lines, demonstrating causation only between FGFR3 activation and low ESR1 activity in tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

Mutant FGFR3 initiates luminal papillary BCa formation and favors BCa male sex bias, potentially through FGFR3-dependent ESR1 downregulation. Patients with premalignant lesions or early-stage BCa could thus potentially benefit from FGFR3 targeting. FGFR3 expression level in epithelia could account for FGFR3-driven carcinoma tissue specificity.

PATIENT SUMMARY

By developing a transgenic mouse model, we showed that gain-of-function mutations of FGFR3 receptor, among the most frequent genetic alterations in bladder cancer (BCa), initiate BCa formation. Our results could support noninvasive detection of FGFR3 mutations and FGFR3 targeting in early-stage bladder lesions.

Elevated T-cell Exhaustion and Urinary Tumor DNA Levels Are Associated with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Failure in Patients with Non–muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

The functional status of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment and tumor characteristics may explain bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) failure in high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).

OBJECTIVE

To characterize molecular correlates of post-BCG high-grade (HG) recurrence using multiomics analysis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients with BCG-treated NMIBC (n = 156) were included in the study. Metachronous tumors were analyzed using RNA sequencing (n = 170) and whole-exome sequencing (n = 195). Urine samples were analyzed for immuno-oncology-related proteins (n = 190) and tumor-derived DNA (tdDNA; n = 187).

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The primary endpoint was post-BCG HG recurrence. Cox regression and Wilcoxon rank-sum, t, and Fisher's exact tests were used for analyses.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

BCG induced activation of the immune system regardless of clinical response; however, immunoinhibitory proteins were observed in the urine of patients with post-BCG HG recurrence (CD70, PD1, CD5). Post-BCG HG recurrence was associated with post-BCG T-cell exhaustion (p = 0.002). Pre-BCG tumors from patients with post-BCG T-cell exhaustion had high expression of genes related to cell division and immune function. A high predicted post-BCG exhaustion score for pre-BCG tumors was associated with worse post-BCG HG recurrence-free survival (HGRFS; p = 0.002). This was validated in independent cohorts. Pre-BCG class 2a and 2b tumors (UROMOL2021 scheme) were associated with worse post-BCG HGRFS (p = 0.015). Post-BCG exhaustion was observed in patients with high pre-BCG neoantigen load (p = 0.017) and MUC4 mutations (p = 0.002). Finally, the absence of post-BCG tdDNA clearance identified patients at high risk of recurrence (p = 0.018). The retrospective design and partial overlap for analyses are study limitations.

CONCLUSIONS

Post-BCG HG recurrence may be caused by T-cell exhaustion. Tumor subtype and pre-BCG tumor characteristics may identify patients at high risk of post-BCG HG recurrence. Urinary measurements have potential for real-time assessment of treatment response.

PATIENT SUMMARY

A dysfunctional immune response to bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy may explain high-grade recurrences of bladder cancer.

Genome-wide Meta-analysis Identifies Novel Genes Associated with Recurrence and Progression in Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

Non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) is characterized by frequent recurrences and a risk of progression in stage and grade. Increased knowledge of underlying biological mechanisms is needed.

OBJECTIVE

To identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with recurrence-free (RFS) and progression-free (PFS) survival in NMIBC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We analyzed outcome data from 3400 newly diagnosed NMIBC patients from the Netherlands, the UK, Canada, and Spain. We generated genome-wide germline SNP data using Illumina OmniExpress and Infinium Global Screening Array in combination with genotype imputation.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Cohort-specific genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for RFS and PFS were performed using a Cox proportional hazard model. Results were combined in a fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis. Candidate genes for the identified SNP associations were prioritized using functional annotation, gene-based analysis, expression quantitative trait locus analysis, and transcription factor binding site databases. Tumor expression levels of prioritized genes were tested for association with RFS and PFS in an independent NMIBC cohort.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

This meta-analysis revealed a genome-wide significant locus for RFS on chromosome 14 (lead SNP rs12885353, hazard ratio [HR] C vs T allele 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33-1.82, p = 4.0 × 10^-8), containing genes G2E3 and SCFD1. Higher expression of SCFD1 was associated with increased RFS (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59-0.84, p_FDR = 0.003). Twelve other loci were suggestively associated with RFS (p < 10^-5), pointing toward 18 additional candidate genes. For PFS, ten loci showed suggestive evidence of association, indicating 36 candidate genes. Expression levels of ten of these genes were statistically significantly associated with PFS, of which four (IFT140, UBE2I, FAHD1, and NME3) showed directional consistency with our meta-analysis results and published literature.

CONCLUSIONS

In this first prognostic GWAS in NMIBC, we identified several novel candidate loci and five genes that showed convincing associations with recurrence or progression.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we searched for inherited DNA changes that affect the outcome of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). We identified several genes that are associated with disease recurrence and progression. The roles and mechanisms of these genes in NMIBC prognosis should be investigated in future studies.

Genome-wide circulating tumor DNA monitoring for bladder cancer treatment management and organ preservation

e16527

Background: Bladder cancer (BC) is the 9th most commonly diagnosed cancer worldwide and each year responsible for 165,000 deaths. Neoadjuvant combination chemotherapy, followed by radical cystectomy, is used for the management of localized muscle-invasive bladder cancer. One of the critical challenges in this therapeutic regimen is monitoring the tumor load to assess therapeutic efficacy – this is typically performed by assessing pathological downstaging in the cystectomy specimen. A high frequency of patients presents with T0N0 at cystectomy (no indication of residual disease), and consequently, it is vital to investigate organ preservation approaches to identify those patients who may qualify for bladder preservation. For precision oncology, we need to develop quantitative and non-invasive diagnostic methodologies to help the oncologist tailor the treatments to individual patients and monitor them for further clinical decision-making. Methods: Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) mutation detection has shown significant promise in its ability to monitor minimal residual disease and disease relapse by detection of cancer mutations in the peripheral blood. However, the combination of low tumor fraction and limited input material obtained from a typical plasma sample restricts the probability of detecting low metastatic burden in cfDNA through current deep targeted sequencing methods. Results: Here we present results from applying whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of cfDNA. We integrate a genome-wide mutation and copy number monitoring approach coupled with advanced signal processing and Artificial Intelligence (AI) for measuring the tumor load from low-input blood samples (̃1mL of plasma) with ultra-sensitive detection. The increased sensitivity allowed clinical detection of tumor fraction down to 8*10-5 and recurrence detection sensitivity achieving > 65% at the first two months post-surgery. The WGS cfDNA approach is being evaluated on a patient cohort of more than 50 bladder cancer patients with longitudinal plasma sampling during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (response measure), pre-cystectomy (complete response measure), and post-surgery (relapse monitoring). Conclusions: The results indicate the clinical potential of genome-wide mutation integration as an ultra-sensitive, non-invasive diagnostic method for bladder cancer clinical management and bladder organ preservation.

An integrated multi-omics analysis identifies prognostic molecular subtypes of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

The molecular landscape in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) is characterized by large biological heterogeneity with variable clinical outcomes. Here, we perform an integrative multi-omics analysis of patients diagnosed with NMIBC (n = 834). Transcriptomic analysis identifies four classes (1, 2a, 2b and 3) reflecting tumor biology and disease aggressiveness. Both transcriptome-based subtyping and the level of chromosomal instability provide independent prognostic value beyond established prognostic clinicopathological parameters. High chromosomal instability, p53-pathway disruption and APOBEC-related mutations are significantly associated with transcriptomic class 2a and poor outcome. RNA-derived immune cell infiltration is associated with chromosomally unstable tumors and enriched in class 2b. Spatial proteomics analysis confirms the higher infiltration of class 2b tumors and demonstrates an association between higher immune cell infiltration and lower recurrence rates. Finally, the independent prognostic value of the transcriptomic classes is documented in 1228 validation samples using a single sample classification tool. The classifier provides a framework for biomarker discovery and for optimizing treatment and surveillance in next-generation clinical trials.

Molecular correlates of cisplatin-based chemotherapy response in muscle invasive bladder cancer by integrated multi-omics analysis

Overtreatment with cisplatin-based chemotherapy is a major issue in the management of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), and currently none of the reported biomarkers for predicting response have been implemented in the clinic. Here we perform a comprehensive multi-omics analysis (genomics, transcriptomics, epigenomics and proteomics) of 300 MIBC patients treated with chemotherapy (neoadjuvant or first-line) to identify molecular changes associated with treatment response. DNA-based associations with response converge on genomic instability driven by a high number of chromosomal alterations, indels, signature 5 mutations and/or BRCA2 mutations. Expression data identifies the basal/squamous gene expression subtype to be associated with poor response. Immune cell infiltration and high PD-1 protein expression are associated with treatment response. Through integration of genomic and transcriptomic data, we demonstrate patient stratification to groups of low and high likelihood of cisplatin-based response. This could pave the way for future patient selection following validation in prospective clinical trials.

There are currently only a few biomarkers to predict the response of muscle invasive bladder cancer to therapy. Here, the authors analyse 300 tumors using exome and RNA sequencing and find that tumors with a high degree of genomic instability and a non-basal/squamous gene expression subtype are most likely to respond to treatment.

Early Detection of Metastatic Relapse and Monitoring of Therapeutic Efficacy by Ultra-Deep Sequencing of Plasma Cell-Free DNA in Patients With Urothelial Bladder Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Novel sensitive methods for early detection of relapse and for monitoring therapeutic efficacy may have a huge impact on risk stratification, treatment, and ultimately outcome for patients with bladder cancer. We addressed the prognostic and predictive impact of ultra-deep sequencing of cell-free DNA in patients before and after cystectomy and during chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We included 68 patients with localized advanced bladder cancer. Patient-specific somatic mutations, identified by whole-exome sequencing, were used to assess circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) by ultra-deep sequencing (median, 105,000×) of plasma DNA. Plasma samples (n = 656) were procured at diagnosis, during chemotherapy, before cystectomy, and during surveillance. Expression profiling was performed for tumor subtype and immune signature analyses.

RESULTS

Presence of ctDNA was highly prognostic at diagnosis before chemotherapy (hazard ratio, 29.1; P = .001). After cystectomy, ctDNA analysis correctly identified all patients with metastatic relapse during disease monitoring (100% sensitivity, 98% specificity). A median lead time over radiographic imaging of 96 days was observed. In addition, for high-risk patients (ctDNA positive before or during treatment), the dynamics of ctDNA during chemotherapy was associated with disease recurrence (P = .023), whereas pathologic downstaging was not. Analysis of tumor-centric biomarkers showed that mutational processes (signature 5) were associated with pathologic downstaging (P = .024); however, no significant correlation for tumor subtypes, DNA damage response mutations, and other biomarkers was observed. Our results suggest that ctDNA analysis is better associated with treatment efficacy compared with other available methods.

CONCLUSION

ctDNA assessment for early risk stratification, therapy monitoring, and early relapse detection in bladder cancer is feasible and provides a basis for clinical studies that evaluate early therapeutic interventions.