Reasons for multiple biologic and targeted synthetic DMARD switching and characteristics of treatment refractory rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Switching biologic and targeted synthetic DMARD (b/tsDMARD) medications occurs commonly in RA patients, however data are limited on the reasons for these changes. The objective of the study was to identify and categorize reasons for b/tsDMARD switching and investigate characteristics associated with treatment refractory RA.

METHODS

In a multi-hospital RA electronic health record (EHR) cohort, we identified RA patients prescribed ≥1 b/tsDMARD between 2001 and 2017. Consistent with the EULAR "difficult to treat" (D2T) RA definition, we further identified patients who discontinued ≥2 b/tsDMARDs with different mechanisms of action. We performed manual chart review to determine reasons for medication discontinuation. We defined "treatment refractory" RA as not achieving low disease activity (<3 tender or swollen joints on <7.5 mg of daily prednisone equivalent) despite treatment with two different b/tsDMARD mechanisms of action. We compared demographic, lifestyle, and clinical factors between treatment refractory RA and b/tsDMARD initiators not meeting D2T criteria.

RESULTS

We identified 6040 RA patients prescribed ≥1 b/tsDMARD including 404 meeting D2T criteria. The most common reasons for medication discontinuation were inadequate response (43.3 %), loss of efficacy (25.8 %), and non-allergic adverse events (13.7 %). Of patients with D2T RA, 15 % had treatment refractory RA. Treatment refractory RA patients were younger at b/tsDMARD initiation (mean 47.2 vs. 55.2 years, p < 0.001), more commonly female (91.8% vs. 76.1 %, p = 0.006), and ever smokers (68.9% vs. 49.9 %, p = 0.005). No RA clinical factors differentiated treatment refractory RA patients from b/tsDMARD initiators.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large EHR-based RA cohort, the most common reasons for b/tsDMARD switching were inadequate response, loss of efficacy, and nonallergic adverse events (e.g. infections, leukopenia, psoriasis). Clinical RA factors were insufficient for differentiating b/tsDMARD responders from nonresponders.

Interplay Between Systemic Inflammation, Myocardial Injury, and Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction in Rheumatoid Arthritis: Results From the LiiRA Study

BACKGROUND

Coronary microvascular dysfunction as measured by myocardial flow reserve (MFR) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The objective of this study was to determine the association between reducing inflammation with MFR and other measures of cardiovascular risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients with RA with active disease about to initiate a tumor necrosis factor inhibitor were enrolled (NCT02714881). All subjects underwent a cardiac perfusion positron emission tomography scan to quantify MFR at baseline before tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation, and after tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation at 24 weeks. MFR <2.5 in the absence of obstructive coronary artery disease was defined as coronary microvascular dysfunction. Blood samples at baseline and 24 weeks were measured for inflammatory markers (eg, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP], interleukin-1b, and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T [hs-cTnT]). The primary outcome was mean MFR before and after tumor necrosis factor inhibitor initiation, with Δhs-cTnT as the secondary outcome. Secondary and exploratory analyses included the correlation between ΔhsCRP and other inflammatory markers with MFR and hs-cTnT. We studied 66 subjects, 82% of which were women, mean RA duration 7.4 years. The median atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk was 2.5%; 47% had coronary microvascular dysfunction and 23% had detectable hs-cTnT. We observed no change in mean MFR before (2.65) and after treatment (2.64, P=0.6) or hs-cTnT. A correlation was observed between a reduction in hsCRP and interleukin-1b with a reduction in hs-cTnT.

CONCLUSIONS

In this RA cohort with low prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, nearly 50% of subjects had coronary microvascular dysfunction at baseline. A reduction in inflammation was not associated with improved MFR. However, a modest reduction in interleukin-1b and no other inflammatory pathways was correlated with a reduction in subclinical myocardial injury.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02714881.

Impact of an Outpatient Fracture Liaison Service on Osteoporosis Evaluation Among Patients With Upper Extremity Fragility Fracture

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of implementation of an outpatient fracture liaison service (FLS) on completion rates of dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and screening labs including 25-OH vitamin D and parathyroid hormone (PTH) in patients with upper extremity (UE) fragility fractures.

METHODS

At our institution, 367 patients were treated in 2014-2015 for UE fragility fractures of the distal radius and proximal humerus before implementation of our outpatient FLS and 395 patients in 2017-2018 after implementation. Retrospective chart review was conducted to identify completed DXA scans within 2 years of fracture treatment and completed 25-OH vitamin D and PTH labs within 1 year of fracture treatment.

RESULTS

There were no statistical differences in the demographics of patients treated for distal radial and proximal humeral fragility fractures during the 2014-2015 and 2017-2018 time periods. Implementation of the FLS resulted in a 9.9% increase (P value = .021) in completed DXA scans within 2 years of fracture treatment. Completed 25-OH vitamin D and PTH labs saw a significant increase of 17.1% and 23.8%, respectively (P values < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of an outpatient FLS can help to improve osteoporosis evaluation with completed DXA scans and 25-OH vitamin D and PTH labs.

High rates of vitamin D insufficiency among patients presenting for total knee arthroplasty

Widely varying prevalence of vitamin D deficiency has been reported in patients presenting for total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The primary aim of this study was to determine vitamin D levels in TKA patients and to compare to patients already routinely evaluated for vitamin D levels, patients with fragility fractures of the distal radius (DRF). There is significant overlap between patients presenting for TKA and with DRF, both in terms of medical comorbidities and overall health status, making these populations suitable comparative cohorts. Wefound that all patients presenting for TKA consultation had vitamin D insufficiency and 33% had vitamin D deficiency, compared to only 37% and 14% in the DRF cohort, a patient population routinely evaluated for vitamin D due to the high risk of deficiency. Furthermore, patients with DRF had higher levels of vitamin D before (38 ± 16 vs. 23 ± 5) and after vitamin D supplementation (39 ± 17 vs. 33 ± 10), suggesting that patients presenting for TKA are at even higher risk of vitamin D insufficiency than patients presenting with DRF. Reassuringly, supplementation successfully corrected 39.0% and 55.8% of patients in the DRF and TKA cohorts, respectively.

Future Fracture Risk in Upper Extremity Fracture and Non-Fracture Patients

BACKGROUND

Upper extremity (UE) fragility fractures are common and strong predictors of subsequent fractures. To investigate the relative importance of an UE fragility fracture in determining future fracture risk, we conducted a cross-sectional study to compare future fracture risk between patients presenting for osteoporosis evaluation after an UE fragility fracture and a similarly aged cohort of patients without an UE fracture.

METHODS

In all, 129 UE fracture patients seen in our bone health clinic (BHC) and 114 non-fracture UE fracture patients seen in an UE clinic completed clinic intake surveys assessing for fracture risk factors. Prefracture fracture risk (PFFR) and fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) scores estimated the future fracture risks at the timepoint before and after the UE fragility fracture event, respectively. The primary study outcome was the 10-year risk of future fracture.

RESULTS

The 10-year probability of major osteoporotic and hip fractures were significantly higher among the BHC group when estimated with FRAX. When estimated with PFFR score, there was no difference in the 10-year probability of hip fracture between the groups. Prevalence of secondary osteoporosis and glucocorticoid use was higher in the BHC group, and prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis was higher in the UE clinic group.

CONCLUSIONS

This study underscores the importance of an UE fragility fracture in determining the risk of future fracture. A fragility fracture of the UE should be considered a sentinel event and physicians who evaluate these patients should recognize them as a high-risk group for future hip fracture.

Identifying shared genetic architecture between rheumatoid arthritis and other conditions: a phenome-wide association study with genetic risk scores

BACKGROUND

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) shares genetic variants with other autoimmune conditions, but existing studies test the association between RA variants with a pre-defined set of phenotypes. The objective of this study was to perform a large-scale, systemic screen to determine phenotypes that share genetic architecture with RA to inform our understanding of shared pathways.

METHODS

In the UK Biobank (UKB), we constructed RA genetic risk scores (GRS) incorporating human leukocyte antigen (HLA) and non-HLA risk alleles. Phenotypes were defined using groupings of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. Patients with an RA code were excluded to mitigate the possibility of associations being driven by the diagnosis or management of RA. We performed a phenome-wide association study, testing the association between the RA GRS with phenotypes using multivariate generalized estimating equations that adjusted for age, sex, and first five principal components. Statistical significance was defined using Bonferroni correction. Results were replicated in an independent cohort and replicated phenotypes were validated using medical record review of patients.

FINDINGS

We studied n = 316,166 subjects from UKB without evidence of RA and screened for association between the RA GRS and n = 1317 phenotypes. In the UKB, 20 phenotypes were significantly associated with the RA GRS, of which 13 (65%) were immune mediated conditions including polymyalgia rheumatica, granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA), type 1 diabetes, and multiple sclerosis. We further identified a novel association in Celiac disease where the HLA and non-HLA alleles had strong associations in opposite directions. Strikingly, we observed that the non-HLA GRS was exclusively associated with greater risk of the validated conditions, suggesting shared underlying pathways outside the HLA region.

INTERPRETATION

This study replicated and identified novel autoimmune phenotypes verified by medical record review that share immune pathways with RA and may inform opportunities for shared treatment targets, as well as risk assessment for conditions with a paucity of genomic data, such as GPA.

FUNDING

This research was funded by the US National Institutes of Health (P30AR072577, R21AR078339, R35GM142879, T32AR007530) and the Harold and DuVal Bowen Fund.

Association Between Inflammation, Incident Heart Failure, and Heart Failure Subtypes in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

In rheumatoid arthritis (RA), there are limited data on risk factors for the clinical heart failure (HF) subtypes of HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). This study examined the association between inflammation and incident HF subtypes in RA. Because inflammation changes over time with disease activity, we hypothesized that the effect of inflammation may be stronger at the 5-year follow-up than at the standard 10-year follow-up from general population studies of cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

We studied an electronic health record (EHR)-based RA cohort with data pre- and post-RA incidence. We applied a validated approach to identify HF and extract ejection fraction to classify HFrEF and HFpEF. Follow-up started from the RA incidence date (index date) to the earliest occurrence of incident HF, death, last EHR encounter, or 10 years. Baseline inflammation was assessed using erythrocyte sedimentation rate or C-reactive protein values. Covariates included demographic characteristics, established HF risk factors, and RA-related factors. We tested the association between baseline inflammation with incident HF and its subtypes using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

We studied 9,087 patients with RA; 8.2% developed HF during 10 years of follow-up. Elevated inflammation was associated with increased risk for HF at both 5- and 10-year follow-ups (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.12-2.46 and HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.13-1.90, respectively), which is also seen for HFpEF at 5 years (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.09-2.70) and 10 years (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.07-1.94). HFrEF was not associated with inflammation for either follow-up time.

CONCLUSION

Elevated inflammation early in RA diagnosis was associated with HF; this association was driven by HFpEF and not HFrEF, suggesting a window of opportunity for prevention of HFpEF in RA.

Temporal Trends in Clinical Evidence of 5-Year Survival Within Electronic Health Records Among Patients With Early-Stage Colon Cancer Managed With Laparoscopy-Assisted Colectomy vs Open Colectomy

IMPORTANCE

Temporal shifts in clinical knowledge and practice need to be adjusted for in treatment outcome assessment in clinical evidence.

OBJECTIVE

To use electronic health record (EHR) data to (1) assess the temporal trends in treatment decisions and patient outcomes and (2) emulate a randomized clinical trial (RCT) using EHR data with proper adjustment for temporal trends.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Clinical Outcomes of Surgical Therapy (COST) Study Group Trial assessing overall survival of patients with stages I to III early-stage colon cancer was chosen as the target trial. The RCT was emulated using EHR data of patients from a single health care system cohort who underwent colectomy for early-stage colon cancer from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2017, and were followed up to January 1, 2020, from Mass General Brigham. Analyses were conducted from December 2, 2019, to January 24, 2022.

EXPOSURES

Laparoscopy-assisted colectomy (LAC) vs open colectomy (OC).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival. To address confounding in the emulation, pretreatment variables were selected and adjusted. The temporal trends were adjusted by stratification of the calendar year when the colectomies were performed with cotraining across strata.

RESULTS

A total of 943 patients met key RCT eligibility criteria in the EHR emulation cohort, including 518 undergoing LAC (median age, 63 [range, 20-95] years; 268 [52%] women; 121 [23%] with stage I, 165 [32%] with stage II, and 232 [45%] with stage III cancer; 32 [6%] with colon adhesion; 278 [54%] with right-sided colon cancer; 18 [3%] with left-sided colon cancer; and 222 [43%] with sigmoid colon cancer) and 425 undergoing OC (median age, 65 [range, 28-99] years; 223 [52%] women; 61 [14%] with stage I, 153 [36%] with stage II, and 211 [50%] with stage III cancer; 39 [9%] with colon adhesion; 202 [47%] with right-sided colon cancer; 39 [9%] with left-sided colon cancer; and 201 [47%] with sigmoid colon cancer). Tests for temporal trends in treatment assignment (χ2 = 60.3; P < .001) and overall survival (χ2 = 137.2; P < .001) were significant. The adjusted EHR emulation reached the same conclusion as the RCT: LAC is not inferior to OC in overall survival rate with risk difference at 5 years of -0.007 (95% CI, -0.070 to 0.057). The results were consistent for stratified analysis within each temporal period.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that confounding bias from temporal trends should be considered when conducting clinical evidence studies with long time spans. Stratification of calendar time and cotraining of models is one solution. With proper adjustment, clinical evidence may supplement RCTs in the assessment of treatment outcome over time.

Improving the Efficiency of Clinical Trial Recruitment Using an Ensemble Machine Learning to Assist With Eligibility Screening

Objective

Efficiently identifying eligible patients is a crucial first step for a successful clinical trial. The objective of this study was to test whether an approach using electronic health record (EHR) data and an ensemble machine learning algorithm incorporating billing codes and data from clinical notes processed by natural language processing (NLP) can improve the efficiency of eligibility screening.

Methods

We studied patients screened for a clinical trial of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with one or more International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code for RA and age greater than 35 years, from a tertiary care center and a community hospital. The following three groups of EHR features were considered for the algorithm: 1) structured features, 2) the counts of NLP concepts from notes, 3) health care utilization. All features were linked to dates. We applied random forest and logistic regression with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty against the following two standard approaches: 1) one or more RA ICD code and no ICD codes related to exclusion criteria (Screen_RAICD1+EX) and 2) two or more RA ICD codes (Screen_RAICD2). To test the portability, we trained the algorithm at one institution and tested it at the other.

Results

In total, 3359 patients at Brigham and Women’s Hospital (BWH) and 642 patients at Faulkner Hospital (FH) were studied, with 461 (13.7%) eligible patients at BWH and 84 (13.4%) at FH. The application of the algorithm reduced ineligible patients from chart review by 40.5% at the tertiary care center and by 57.0% at the community hospital. In contrast, Screen_RAICD2 reduced patients for chart review by 2.7% to 11.3%; Screen_RAICD1+EX reduced patients for chart review by 63% to 65% but excluded 22% to 27% of eligible patients.

Conclusion

The ensemble machine learning algorithm incorporating billing codes and NLP data increased the efficiency of eligibility screening by reducing the number of patients requiring chart review while not excluding eligible patients. Moreover, this approach can be trained at one institution and applied at another for multicenter clinical trials.

Leveraging electronic health records data to predict multiple sclerosis disease activity

Objective

No relapse risk prediction tool is currently available to guide treatment selection for multiple sclerosis (MS). Leveraging electronic health record (EHR) data readily available at the point of care, we developed a clinical tool for predicting MS relapse risk.

Methods

Using data from a clinic‐based research registry and linked EHR system between 2006 and 2016, we developed models predicting relapse events from the registry in a training set (n = 1435) and tested the model performance in an independent validation set of MS patients (n = 186). This iterative process identified prior 1‐year relapse history as a key predictor of future relapse but ascertaining relapse history through the labor‐intensive chart review is impractical. We pursued two‐stage algorithm development: (1) L₁‐regularized logistic regression (LASSO) to phenotype past 1‐year relapse status from contemporaneous EHR data, (2) LASSO to predict future 1‐year relapse risk using imputed prior 1‐year relapse status and other algorithm‐selected features.

Results

The final model, comprising age, disease duration, and imputed prior 1‐year relapse history, achieved a predictive AUC and F score of 0.707 and 0.307, respectively. The performance was significantly better than the baseline model (age, sex, race/ethnicity, and disease duration) and noninferior to a model containing actual prior 1‐year relapse history. The predicted risk probability declined with disease duration and age.

Conclusion

Our novel machine‐learning algorithm predicts 1‐year MS relapse with accuracy comparable to other clinical prediction tools and has applicability at the point of care. This EHR‐based two‐stage approach of outcome prediction may have application to neurological disease beyond MS.