[A framework for promoting and evaluating "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives according to the Plan-Do-Check-Action cycle: The ACT-RECIPE framework]

Objective　In 2019, the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare emphasized the importance of promoting "Kayoi-no-ba" (or "places to go") initiatives according to the Plan-Do-Check-Action (PDCA) cycle. However, it proposed no specific promotion measures or standardized evaluation frameworks. This study is intended to propose a framework for local government officials to promote and evaluate "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives according to the PDCA cycle.Methods　The working group (WG) conducted a narrative review of research and extracted evaluation models and indicators that could be used to create the framework. The co-researcher review committee discussed a draft framework prepared by the WG, and the WG revised it based on the discussion; this process was repeated four times. Using the completed framework, we calculated the score of the "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives in 50 Tokyo municipalities and conducted regional correlation analyses on the relationship between the score of the "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives in 50 Tokyo municipalities and the number of "Kayoi-no-ba" per 1,000 older persons.Results　The completed framework (named "ACT-RECIPE" by rearranging the underlined characters below) comprised the following six evaluation phases: (1) Comprehension: understanding the key lessons around disability and frailty prevention, and the necessity for "Kayoi-no-ba"; (2) Research and Planning: clarifying the current status of "Kayoi-no-ba," the strengths of the community, and the issues to be addressed through a community assessment, and developing a plan to resolve the issues; (3) Team Building and Collaboration: building a team by collaborating with organizations to solve problems; (4) Implementation: implementing the initiatives necessary to solve problems; (5) Evaluation: verifying changes in output and outcome indicators from the initiatives; and (6) Adjustment and Improvement: re-examining plans, teams, content, and goals based on the evaluation results. In these six phases, we designated 10 core items and accompanying subitems. The median score rate of the ACT-RECIPE framework in 50 municipalities was 75% for "Comprehension," 61% for "Research and Planning," 69% for "Team Building and Collaboration," 64% for "Implementation," 31% for "Evaluation," and 56% for "Adjustment and Improvement," and the mean ACT-RECIPE score rate was 57%. A significant positive correlation (rs=0.43, P=0.002) was observed between the ACT-RECIPE mean score rate and the number of "Kayoi-no-ba" per 1,000 older persons.Conclusion　We proposed the ACT-RECIPE as a framework for promoting and evaluating "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives according to the PDCA cycle. We hope that this framework will lead to further progress in "Kayoi-no-ba" initiatives and facilitate evaluation of their effectiveness according to the PDCA cycle.

Dose-response associations between physical activity and sedentary time with functional disability in older adults with or without frailty: a prospective cohort study

Purpose

Evidence regarding the dose-response curve shapes of physical activity (PA) and sedentary time (ST) in older adults with functional disability (FD) is extremely limited. Moreover, these associations may differ depending on with/without frailty. We examined the dose-response associations between moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) and ST with FD among older adults with/without frailty.

Methods

We included 7,480 initially nondisabled adults (3,795 men and 3,685 women) aged 65-84 years in Ota City, Tokyo, Japan. MVPA and ST were evaluated using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form. FD was prospectively identified using a nationally unified database of the long-term care insurance system. Frailty was determined using Check-List 15, validated against Fried's frailty criteria. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of MVPA and ST for FD were calculated, and dose-response curves were examined using restricted cubic splines.

Results

During 3.6 years of follow-up, 1,001 (13.4%) participants had FD. Among all participants, compared with no MVPA, the HRs for FD reduced linearly up to approximately 2000 metabolic equivalents (METs)■min/week of MVPA, and the lowest HR (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.51-0.74) was reached at around 3,000-4,000 METs■min/week. Although the shape of this association was consistent regardless of with/without frailty, the magnitude of the association tended to be stronger in frail older adults than in non-frail older adults. Compared with those for the median (300 min/day) of ST, the HRs for FD increased linearly as ST reached approximately 600 min/day or more, independent of MVPA, with a maximum HR of 1.31 (95% CI: 1.01-1.71) for 1,080 min/day among all participants. This association was more pronounced among non-frail older adults but not statistically significant among frail older adults.

Conclusion

Higher MVPA levels consistently reduced the incidence of FD regardless of frailty in a significant inverse nonlinear dose-response manner. A significant positive nonlinear dose-response association between ST and FD risk was identified among non-frail older adults but not among frail older adults. Increasing MVPA and reducing prolonged ST are important for preventing FD among non-frail older adults. However, reducing ST alone may be insufficient; increasing MVPA, even if by only small increments, is highly recommended for frail older adults.

Higher-level competence: Results from the Integrated Longitudinal Studies on Aging in Japan (ILSA-J) on the shape of associations with impaired physical and cognitive functions

AIM

This study aimed to examine the relationships between levels of competence and impaired physical and cognitive functions in older adults.

METHODS

We used a data set of the Integrated Longitudinal Studies on Aging in Japan for 2017 including 5475 community-dwelling older adults. Levels of competence were assessed using the Japan Science and Technology Agency Index of Competence (JST-IC). Grip strength (low grip strength: <28 kg for men and <18 kg for women) and gait speed (slow gait speed: <1.0 m/s for both sexes) were evaluated as physical function measurements, and the Mini-Mental State Examination (cognitive decline: <24 on the Mini-Mental State Examination) was used to assess cognitive function.

RESULTS

The JST-IC had areas under the curve estimated from receiver operating characteristic analysis ranging from 0.65 to 0.73 for detecting low function as assessed by these tests. Restricted cubic spline curves showed that the shape of the association between the JST-IC and impaired function depended on sex and the test used. The comparison between perfect and imperfect JST-IC scores showed significant differences in the prevalence of low grip strength in both sexes, slow gait speed in women, and cognitive decline in men.

CONCLUSIONS

It may be insufficient to identify those with impaired physical or cognitive function using the JST-IC. The shape of the association with the JST-IC varies across their measurements. Our findings can help interpret JST-IC scores in the context of low physical and cognitive functions. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 352-358.

Dose-response Associations of Physical Activity and Sitting Time With All-cause Mortality in Older Japanese Adults

PURPOSE

Although examining the dose-response curves of physical activity (PA) and sitting time with health-related outcomes is an important research agenda, the results for older Japanese adults are extremely limited. We examined the dose-response associations of PA and sitting time with all-cause mortality among older Japanese.

METHODS

Initially, 8,069 non-disabled residents (4,073 men; 3,996 women) aged 65-84 years of Ota City, Japan, were analyzed. Moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) and sitting time were evaluated using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of MVPA and sitting time for all-cause mortality were calculated, and the dose-response curves were examined using restricted cubic splines (RCS).

RESULTS

During 4.1 years of follow-up, 458 participants (5.7%; 331 men and 127 women) died. Compared with the low MVPA (<600 metabolic equivalents [METs]·minutes/week) group, HR for mortality gradually reduced in moderate (600-3,000 METs·minutes/week) and high (>3,000 METs·minutes/week) MVPA groups (moderate: HR 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54-0.82; high: HR 0.58; 95% CI, 0.45-0.75; P < 0.001 for trend). RCS showed that the HR for mortality reduced linearly up to approximately 2,000 METs·minutes/week of MVPA, and maximal risk reduction was seen at approximately 3,000-4,500 METs·minutes/week of MVPA. No significant dose-response association of sitting time with mortality was observed.

CONCLUSION

Higher MVPA levels reduced all-cause mortality risk, in a significant inverse non-linear dose-response manner. Sitting time was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality. It is important to disseminate the significance of even a slight increase in the MVPA for reducing mortality risk.

Association of dietary variety with the risk for dementia: the Yabu cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The consumption of various foods is internationally recommended in healthy diet although the association between dietary variety and incident dementia is unknown. We aimed to examine the association between dietary variety and the incidence of disabling dementia in older Japanese adults.

DESIGN

We conducted a prospective cohort study. Dietary variety was assessed based on the Dietary Variety Score (DVS). DVS was assessed by counting the number of ten food components (meat, fish/shellfish, eggs, milk, soyabean products, green/yellow vegetables, potatoes, fruit, seaweed and fats/oils) that were consumed almost daily using a FFQ. Participants were categorised into low (0-2 points), middle (3-4 points) and high (5-10 points) groups based on the DVS. Data on newly diagnosed disabling dementia were retrieved from the public long-term care insurance database. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95 % CI.

SETTING

Yabu cohort study, Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 4972 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years or older.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 6·8 years, 884 participants were newly diagnosed with disabling dementia. After adjusting for confounders, the multivariable-adjusted HR for incident disabling dementia was 0·82 (95 % CI, 0·69, 0·97) for participants in the highest DVS category compared with those in the lowest DVS category (Pfor trend = 0·019).

CONCLUSIONS

A higher dietary variety is associated with a reduced risk of disabling dementia in older Japanese adults. These results have potential implications for the development of effective public nutritional approaches to prevent dementia in older adults.

The relationship between working status in old age and cause-specific disability in Japanese community-dwelling older adults with or without frailty: A 3.6-year prospective study

AIM

To examine the effects of employment engagement, classified by frailty and working status, on the incidence of disability in urban community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

We used data from 6386 initially nondisabled residents aged 65-84 years from Ota City, Tokyo, Japan, in 2016. The observation duration was 3.6 years. Self-administered questionnaires applied the Cox proportional hazard model by assessing the existence of frailty through Check-List 15 (with a score ≥4 indicating the state of frailty), controlling for age, sex, living situation, education level, equivalent income, chronic conditions, body mass index, instrumental activities of daily living, self-rated health, drinking and smoking status, and social activities. We evaluated the predictive value of working status (full-time, part-time, temporary, or nonworker) at baseline for cause-specific disability (dementia-type vs. non-dementia-type) incidence, identified using the long-term care insurance system's nationally unified database.

RESULTS

Of the 6386 participants, 806 (63/1134 full-time workers; 58/1001 part-time workers; 61/547 temporary workers; 624/3704 nonworkers) presented with disabilities during the 3.6-year-long duration. Adjustments for conventional covariates showed that nonfrail full-time and part-time workers, as well as frail full-time workers, had significantly lower risks of all-cause disability incidence. Furthermore, nonfrail and frail full-time workers had significantly lower risks of dementia-type and nondementia-type disabilities, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of disability in older adults was influenced by working and frailty status. Engaging in full-time work thus prevents disabilities in older adults, regardless of their frailty status. Meanwhile, nonfrail older adults are able to avoid disabilities even when engaging in part-time work. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 855-863.

Longitudinal Changes in Moderate to Vigorous Physical Activity in Community-Dwelling Older Men and Women: A 2-Year Prospective Cohort Study in Japan

BACKGROUND

To examine longitudinal changes in accelerometer-measured moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) and associated factors of changes in MVPA among community-dwelling older Japanese men and women over 2 years of follow-up.

METHODS

In total, 601 participants (72.2 [5.4] y, 40.6% men) were included. MVPA was assessed at baseline (2011) and follow-up (2013) using triaxial accelerometers. Sex-stratified multiple linear regression models were used to identify associated factors of changes in MVPA.

RESULTS

On average, a significant decrease in MVPA over 2 years was observed only in women (P < .001). Higher baseline MVPA levels and older age were significantly associated with a decrease in MVPA over 2 years in both men and women. Men who were currently drinking (vs no) and had faster maximum gait speed showed statistically significant increases in MVPA. Women who had very poor/poor economic status (vs fair/good) and were socially isolated (vs no) showed statistically significant increases in MVPA over 2 years, while those who had fear of falling (vs no) and poor/fair self-rated health (vs good/very good) showed statistically significant decreases in MVPA over 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings showed different associated factors of changes in MVPA by sex, suggesting the importance of accounting for sex differences in terms of developing specific intervention strategies for promoting MVPA among older men and women.

Accelerometer-measured sedentary behavior and risk of functional disability in older Japanese adults: a 9-year prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The associations of sedentary time and patterns with functional disability among older adults remain unclear, and few studies have accounted for the co-dependency of sedentary behavior and physical activities when modeling sedentary behavior with risk of functional disability. We aimed to examine the associations between sedentary time and patterns and risk of incident functional disability, and assess whether replacing sedentary time with light physical activity (LPA) or moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) is associated with reduced risk of functional disability in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

A total of 1,687 Japanese adults aged ≥ 65 years without functional disability at baseline were prospectively followed-up for 9 years (2011-2020). Functional disability was ascertained using the national database of Japan's Long-term Care Insurance System. Sedentary time and patterns, LPA, and MVPA were measured using a tri-axial accelerometer secured to participants' waists.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 466 participants developed functional disability. Compared with the lowest quartile of total sedentary time, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of functional disability for the second, third, and top quartiles were 1.21 (0.91‒1.62), 1.45 (1.10‒1.92), and 1.40 (1.05‒1.88) (p for trend = 0.01). After further adjusting for MVPA, total sedentary time was no longer significantly associated with the risk of functional disability (p for trend = 0.41). Replacing 10 min/day of sedentary time with the same amount of MVPA (but not LPA) was significantly associated with a 12% reduced risk of functional disability (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.88 [0.84‒0.92]). No significant association was observed between sedentary bout length and functional disability.

CONCLUSION

Higher levels of total sedentary time were associated with an increased risk of incident functional disability. However, this association was not independent of MVPA. Replacing sedentary time with MVPA, but not LPA, was associated with reduced risk of functional disability in older adults.

Occupational Fall Risk Assessment Tool for older workers

BACKGROUND

No easy-to-use fall risk assessment tools have been devised to assess occupational fall risk in older workers.

AIMS

To develop an Occupational Fall Risk Assessment Tool (OFRAT) and report its predictive validity and reliability in older workers.

METHODS

The baseline fall risk assessment was completed by 1113 participants aged ≥60 years who worked ≥4 days/month in Saitama, Japan. Participants were followed up for falls during occupational activities for 1 year, and 30 participants were assessed twice for test-retest reliability. The following assessment measures were summed to form the OFRAT risk score: older age, male sex, history of falls, physical work participation, diabetes, use of medications increasing fall risk, reduced vision, poor hearing, executive dysfunction and slow stepping. The scores were then classified into four grades (0-2 points: very low, 3 points: low, 4 points: moderate and ≥5 points: high).

RESULTS

During follow-up, 112 participants fell 214 times during work. The negative binomial regression model showed that participants with higher grades had a higher incidence rate ratio [95% confidence interval] for falls than those with very low grades (low: 1.64 [1.08-2.47], moderate: 4.23 [2.82-6.34] and high: 6.12 [3.83-9.76]). The intraclass correlation coefficient for risk score was 0.86 [0.72-0.93], and the weighted kappa coefficient for grade assessment was 0.74 [0.52-0.95].

CONCLUSIONS

The OFRAT is a valid and reliable tool for estimating the occupational fall risk in older workers. It may assist occupational physicians implement strategies to prevent falls in this group.

Effects of community-based frailty-preventing intervention on all-cause and cause-specific functional disability in older adults living in rural Japan: A propensity score analysis

Preventing frailty is crucial in aging societies. We examined the effectiveness of a community-based frailty-prevention program for delaying the onset of functional disability among community-dwelling older adults. From 2014 to 2019, 48 community-based frailty prevention classes (FPC, 60 min/session, once a week), comprising resistance exercise and nutritional or psychosocial programs, were established in Yabu City, Japan. We conducted a baseline survey in 2012 and followed up with participants for up to 6.8 years (4.8 years from establishing the first FPC). We analyzed data from 3350 older people. The primary and secondary outcomes were the onset of functional disability and cause-specific functional disability (including dementia and cardiovascular and orthopedic diseases), respectively. In addition to crude Cox proportional hazard regression, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM; 918 nonparticipants and 459 participants) were used to adjust for confounders. Participants were more likely to be female and have a healthy lifestyle than nonparticipants. During the follow-up, 690 individuals developed a functional disability. The hazard ratio of incident functional disability in the participants was significantly lower than that in nonparticipants in the IPTW (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% confidential interval 0.38-0.75) and PSM (0.52, 0.37-0.71) analyses. In age-stratified analysis, significant associations were observed only in the ≥75-year-old subgroup. In a cause-specific analysis, participation significantly and consistently reduced incident functional disability caused by dementia (IPTW 0.47, 0.25-0.86; PSM 0.45, 0.25-0.83). Community-based FPC may be effective for preventing functional disability, especially caused by dementia, in this population.

Relationship between the urinary Na/K ratio, diet and hypertension among community-dwelling older adults

The association between the urinary sodium (Na)/potassium (K) ratio and hypertension is well recognized. We investigated whether the urinary Na/K ratio might be associated with hypertension in community-dwelling older adults and whether the association was influenced by habitual dietary patterns. We enrolled a total of 684 older adults (mean age, 76.8 years) and conducted health examinations at Kusatsu, Japan, in 2021. The urinary Na/K ratio was found to be independently associated with systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p < 0.0001), years of education (p = 0.0027), number of cohabitants (p = 0.0175), estimated glomerular filtrate rate (eGFR) (p = 0.0244), and Geriatric Depression Scale short-version (GDS15) score (p = 0.0366). In addition, an unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis revealed a spectrum of habitual dietary patterns for higher and lower values of the urinary Na/K ratio. The decision tree indicated that the urinary Na/K ratio was associated with the history of milk consumption. A positive history of daily milk consumption predicted a mean urinary Na/K ratio of 2.8, and a negative history of daily milk consumption predicted a mean urinary Na/K ratio of 3.3. Furthermore, the frequency of fruit and vegetable consumption also predicted the urinary Na/K ratio. The relationship between the urinary Na/K ratio and hypertension was influenced by the frequency of consumption of milk, fruits, and vegetables in the subjects. This finding might be due to the influence of education and/or depression. The results suggested the importance of nutritional education in the development of hypertension.

Population-based reference values for tongue pressure in Japanese older adults: A pooled analysis of over 5,000 participants

PURPOSE

To establish age- and sex-specific population reference values for tongue pressure (TP) in community-dwelling Japanese older adults.

METHODS

For this analysis, we pooled four population-based studies on community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years that measured TP using a JMS tongue pressure measuring device. We calculated the means and deciles of TP per 5-year age group for each sex. We also estimated age trends in TP for men and women.

RESULTS

In total, 5,083 individuals (2,150 men and 2,933 women, with a mean [standard deviation] age of 75.2 [6.5] years) were included in the present analysis. In male participants, the mean (standard deviation) TPs for ages 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, and ≥85 years were 34.0 (8.4), 32.2 (8.1), 30.8 (8.3), 28.4 (8.9), and 24.4 (8.2) kPa, respectively. In female participants, the corresponding values were 31.5 (7.1), 30.5 (7.5), 29.6 (7.3), 28.4 (8.0), and 26.4 (7.6) kPa, respectively. For both sexes, there were significant declining trends in TP with advanced age. In addition, the interaction between age and sex had a significant effect on TP (regression coefficient [95% confidence interval] = -0.18 [-0.25 to -0.11] when age was modeled as a continuous variable and sex was modeled as a categorical variable [coded as 0=women, 1=men]).

CONCLUSIONS

This study determined age- and sex-specific reference values for TP, presented as means and deciles, in community-dwelling Japanese older adults aged ≥65 years. This study also demonstrated sex differences in age-related declines in TP.

Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Associations of Creatinine-to-Cystatin C Ratio with Sarcopenia Parameters in Older Adults

OBJECTIVES

Accumulating evidence from cross-sectional studies suggests that the serum creatinine-to-cystatin C ratio (CCR) may be a useful biomarker for sarcopenia. This study aimed to assess the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of CCR with sarcopenia and its parameters in community-dwelling older adults.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional and longitudinal study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

This 6-year prospective cohort study included the repeated measurement data from 1,253 Japanese residents (662 males and 591 females) aged ≥65 years who underwent medical checkups in Kusatsu and Hatoyama, Japan. A total of 4,421 observations were collected.

MEASUREMENTS

The CCR was grouped into quartiles by sex (Q1-Q4) using Q4 as the reference category. Sarcopenia was defined according to the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 algorithm. Skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) measured using segmental multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis, handgrip strength (HGS), usual gait speed (UGS), and maximal gait speed (MGS) were measured repeatedly as sarcopenia parameters. The association of the CCR with changes in sarcopenia, SMI, HGS, UGS, and MGS during the 6-year period were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed-effects model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of sarcopenia at baseline was 13.1% (11.9% in males and 14.5% in females). In a cross-sectional analysis, the CCR quartile was inversely associated with sarcopenia and was positively associated with SMI, HGS, and MGS (P for trend < 0.001). In a longitudinal analysis during the 6 years, a significant increase in sarcopenia in Q2 (B = 1.1% point/year; P = 0.026 for group-by-time interaction) and significant declines in SMI (B = -0.01 kg/m2/year; P = 0.044 for group-by-time interaction) and MGS (B = -0.008 m/sec/year; P = 0.041 for group-by-time interaction) in Q1 were observed compared with Q4. However, the dose-response relationship was significant only for MGS (P = 0.033 for trend). No significant group-by-time interaction was observed for HGS. CCR was not significantly associated with UGS either cross-sectionally or longitudinally.

CONCLUSIONS

CCR is a useful biomarker regarding the status of sarcopenia. It may be used for sarcopenia screening even in older adults whose physical function is difficult to assess. However, further longitudinal studies are needed to determine whether CCR can be a predictor of future sarcopenia.

Role of personality traits in determining the association between social participation and mental health: A cross-sectional study in Japan

The role of personality in determining the association between social participation and mental health was examined by a cross-sectional study. We analyzed data from 4981 older adults aged 65-84 years who were recruited via a mail survey in one region of Japan. We defined poor mental health using a score ≤12 points on the World Health Organization-Five Well-Being Index-Japanese. Personality traits were measured by 10 Item Personality Inventory-Japanese. In women, higher openness positively moderated the association between private group participation (volunteering, sports, hobby, and learning) and mental health, while higher neuroticism negatively moderated it. This study contributes to knowledge about mental health, personality, and participation. The findings provide provisional evidence about recommending private group participation for women with high openness but not those with high neuroticism.

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EMPLOYMENT AND ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN JAPANESE COMMUNITY-DWELLING OLDER ADULTS

It is well known that social contribution such as working maintains the functional health and prevents frailty of older adults. However, the effect of employment in old age with frailty on health outcomes is not well-established.This 3.6-year prospective study examined the influence of working on all-cause mortality in urban community-dwelling Japanese older adults. Participants were 10,591 initially non-disabled residents (5,180 men; 5,411 women) aged 65–84 years of Ota City, Tokyo, Japan. We applied the Cox proportional hazard model by gender and with/without frailty, controlling for age, years of education, equivalent income, number of chronic diseases, body mass index, instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs), smoking and drinking status, exercise habits, social activities, and social interaction for evaluating the predictive value of working status (full-time worker, part time worker, occasional worker and non-worker) at baseline for all-cause mortality.During a follow-up of 3.6 years, 328 (3.1%) individuals died. Compared with non-workers, independent multivariate-hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of part-time workers for all-cause mortality in men with/without frailty were 0.35 (0.13–0.97) and 0.54 (0.28–1.01), respectively. Corresponding female multivariate-adjusted HRs with/without frailty were 1.21 (0.34–4.34) and 0.23 (0.05–0.99). Also, for both genders, full-time workers and occasional workers did not have significantly lower adjusted hazard ratios of all-cause mortality, compared to non-workers, regardless of frailty. In conclusion, moderate employment resulted in lower risk of all-cause mortality, even in frail older men.

TRAJECTORIES OF SKELETAL MUSCLE MASS AND FAT MASS AND THEIR IMPACTS ON MORTALITY IN OLDER JAPANESE ADULTS

Skeletal muscle mass and fat mass have differential impacts on mortality between men and women. We aimed to determine age-related trajectories of skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) and fat mass index (FMI) among men and women and to examined their impacts on mortality risks. This prospective study included 1,770 (863 men and 907 women) aged ≥65 years who participated in health check-ups; the total number of observations was 6,110. SMI and FMI were determined using segmental multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis, and their age-related trajectories from age 65–90 years were examined using group-based semiparametric mixture models. SMI and FMI age-related trajectories for all-cause mortality were determined by multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). SMI and FMI trajectories were classified into three trajectories in both sexes: the low- (28.6% and 34.0%), middle- (56.0% and 47.5%), and high-trajectory (15.4% and 18.5%) groups in men and the low- (27.6% and 40.9%), middle- (51.6% and 48.1%), and high-trajectory (20.8% and 11.0%) groups in women. The median follow-up was 5.3 years; 101 (11.7%) men and 56 (6.2%) women died. Compared with the low-trajectory groups, male multivariate-adjusted HRs for mortality in the middle- and high-trajectory groups were 0.89 (95% CI: 0.57–1.39) and 0.34 (0.13–0.93) for SMI, and 0.76 (0.47–1.23) and 1.13 (0.60–2.14) for FMI, respectively. Corresponding female multivariate-adjusted HRs were 1.00 (0.50–2.02) and 1.64 (0.62–4.36) for SMI, and 0.74 (0.38–1.43) and 0.37 (0.12–1.14) for FMI. Maintaining high skeletal muscle mass is important for prolonging life expectancy, especially in men.

The Kesennuma Study in Miyagi, Japan: Study Design and Baseline Profiles of Participants

BACKGROUND

To clarify the association between psychosocial problems and frailty in the areas affected by the Great East Japan Earthquake, and to develop strategies for preventive long-term care in the community, we launched the Kesennuma Study in 2019. This report describes the study design and the participants' profiles at baseline.

METHODS

The prospective study comprised 9,754 people (4,548 men and 5,206 women) randomly selected from community-dwelling independent adults aged 65 to 84 who were living in Kesennuma City, Miyagi. The baseline survey was conducted in October 2019. It included information on general health, socio-economic status, frailty, lifestyle, psychological factors (eg, personality, depressive moods), and social factors (eg, social isolation, social capital). A follow-up questionnaire survey is planned. Mortality, incident disability, and long-term care insurance certifications will also be collected.

RESULTS

A total of 8,150 questionnaires were returned (83.6% response rate), and 7,845 were included in the analysis (80.4%; mean age 73.6 [standard deviation, 5.5] years; 44.7% male). About 23.5% were considered frail. Regarding psychological and social functions, 42.7% had depressive moods, 29.1% were socially isolated, and only 37.0% participated in social activities at least once a month. However, 82.5% trusted their neighbors.

CONCLUSION

While local ties were strong, low social activity and poor mental health were revealed as issues in the affected area. Focusing on the association between psychological and social factors and frailty, we aim to delay the need for long-term care for as long as possible, through exercise, nutrition, social participation, and improvement of mental health.

[Development and evaluation of a modified version of the dietary variety score for community-dwelling older adults]

Objectives　The dietary variety score (DVS) was developed as an index to assess the variety of food intake among older Japanese adults and has been widely used in epidemiological studies and public health settings. However, this index has not been reviewed since its development in the 1990s and may not adequately reflect the current dietary habits of the older Japanese population. In this study, we developed a modified version of the DVS (MDVS) and examined its validity.Methods　We conducted a cross-sectional study of 357 community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years (mean age: 76.2±4.6, men: 61.1%) who participated in the 2016 survey of the Hatoyama cohort study. The DVS and MDVS were assessed by the number of food groups eaten almost every day based on the weekly frequency of consumption. The DVS was calculated based on ten components: meat, fish/shellfish, eggs, milk, soybean products, green/yellow vegetables, potatoes, fruits, seaweed, and fats/oils. The components of the MDVS were determined by calculating the contribution of each food group to the total and nutrient intakes from the food groups comprising the main dish, side dish, and soup, based on the data from older adults aged ≥65 years who participated in the 2017 National Health and Nutrition Survey in Japan. Based on the contribution of each food group, we added "other vegetables" and "dairy products" in the MDVS. Dietary intake was assessed using a validated, self-administered diet history questionnaire. We calculated the probability of adequacy for each of the fourteen nutrients selected as per the estimated average requirement in the Dietary Reference Intake for Japanese 2020 and the mean probability of adequacy for all fourteen nutrients. In addition, we assessed the correlation between the DVS, MDVS, and each indicator and the significance of the difference between correlation coefficients.Results　The MDVS was significantly positively correlated with the energy ratios of protein and fat, dietary fiber, potassium, and the modified diet score based on the Japanese Food Guide Spinning Top (r=0.21-0.45) and negatively correlated with the carbohydrate energy ratio (r=-0.32). The MDVS was also correlated with the mean probability of nutrient adequacy (r=0.41). The correlation coefficients between the MDVS and each indicator were not significantly different from those of the DVS.Conclusions　Validity in terms of nutrient intake and diet quality was comparable between the DVS and MDVS. To revise the DVS, it is necessary to conduct nationwide studies based on highly accurate dietary surveys.

Predictive ability of the total score of the Kihon checklist for the incidence of functional disability in older Japanese adults: An 8-year prospective study

AIM

To investigate the association between the total score of the Kihon checklist (t-KCL score) and functional disability over an 8-year follow-up period, and to examine whether the t-KCL score in the basic model with risk factors contributes to the incremental predictive ability for functional disability among older adults.

METHODS

We followed 2209 older adults aged ≥65 years without functional disability at baseline. The t-KCL score was determined using a baseline survey questionnaire. Functional disability was defined based on information from long-term care certifications. The association between the t-KCL score and functional disability was examined using the Cox proportional hazards model. The incremental predictive ability of the t-KCL score for functional disability was evaluated by the difference of the C-statistic, category-free net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 7.8 years, and 557 participants developed functional disability. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) of functional disability for a 1-point increase of the t-KCL score was 1.08 (1.06-1.10). Adding the t-KCL score to the basic model significantly improved the C-statistic (95% CI) from 0.747 (0.728-0.768) to 0.760 (0.741-0.781). When the t-KCL score was added to the basic model, the NRI and IDI were 0.187 (95% CI: 0.095-0.287) and 0.020 (95% CI: 0.012-0.027), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The t-KCL score had an independent positive association with functional disability over an 8-year follow-up. Furthermore, adding the t-KCL score to the basic model improved the predictive ability for functional disability. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; ••: ••-••.

[Diversity of participants and autonomy of community residents by types of "Kayoi-no-ba": findings from a survey of urban voluntary groups in which older adults participate]

Objectives　A recent long-term care insurance policy encourages the promotion of various types of "Kayoi-no-ba," or places to go, not limited to those focusing on functional training, as resident activities are expected to keep older adults from needing care. In this study, Kayoi-no-ba were voluntary groups in which older adults participated, and their attributes were examined in terms of "diversity of participants" and "autonomy of community residents," based on the type of group.Methods　The staff from the preventing long-term care division in each of the 38 municipalities in Tokyo selected 175 voluntary groups that met three criteria: (1) more than three community residents participate in activities at least once a month, (2) participants are primarily older adults or multi-generational residents including older adults, and (3) community residents participate in group management. Representatives from 165 groups responded to the questionnaire. For the group categorization, a latent class analysis was performed using the goals and activities of the group. Participants' age, gender, and health status were used to assess diversity. The number of residents who managed and/or supported group activities and the precise role the residents played in the activities were used to assess autonomy.Results　The groups were categorized into four types: "Physical Exercises," where the primary activity was physical exercise; "Multi-purpose," which included various purposes and activities; "Social Interaction Oriented," where interaction with others was the goal, but physical exercise was not; and "Non-Interaction," where social interaction was not the goal. Participants in the Multi-purpose group ranged in age and were more likely to have health problems, such as mobility limitations, dementia, and frailty, than those in the Physical Exercises and Social Interaction Oriented groups. Moreover, the Multi-purpose group had more resident managers and supporters involved in various roles.Conclusion　The Multi-purpose group had the most diverse participants and autonomy of residents. However, the type of Kayoi-no-ba should not be considered fixed. The support system should encourage flexible changes such as adding a new activity depending on the situation and the varying needs of the residents.

Modifiable intrinsic factors related to occupational falls in older workers

AIM

Identification of modifiable intrinsic factors for occupational falls is required for initiating effective fall prevention strategies for older workers. This study aimed to identify modifiable intrinsic factors related to falls during occupational activities among older workers.

METHODS

This retrospective study involved 1164 older workers (aged ≥60 years, workdays ≥4/month) sampled from 18 public employment agencies for seniors in Saitama, Japan. Participants were assessed regarding the following 10 modifiable intrinsic factors: multimorbidity, polypharmacy, fall-risk-increasing medication use, self-rated vision and hearing, functional strength, bilateral stepping, standing balance, executive function and visuospatial ability. The number of falls during occupational activities in the past year was also recorded.

RESULTS

In total, 111 falls occurred in 73 of the 1164 participants during occupational activities in the past year. A negative binomial regression model showed that use of fall-risk-increasing medications (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 2.23, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08, 4.60, P = 0.031), reduced functional strength (IRR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.21, P = 0.042), poor standing balance (IRR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.09, 3.09, P = 0.023) and poor visuospatial ability (IRR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.03, 2.36, P = 0.034) were independently associated with occupational falls.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the assessment of medication use, functional strength, standing balance and visuospatial ability in regular health checks in the workplace may be useful for screening older workers at risk of occupational falls. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 338-343.

Dose-response relationships of sarcopenia parameters with incident disability and mortality in older Japanese adults

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia-related parameters may have differential impacts on health-related outcomes in older adults. We examined dose-response relationships of body composition, muscle strength, and physical performance with incident disability and mortality.

METHODS

This prospective study included 1765 Japanese residents (862 men; 903 women) aged ≥65 years who participated in health check-ups. Outcomes were incident disability and all-cause mortality. Fat mass index (FMI) and skeletal muscle mass index (SMI), determined using segmental multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis, handgrip strength (HGS), and usual gait speed (UGS) were measured. We determined multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for disability and mortality relative to sex-specific reference values (FMI: medians; SMI: 7.0 kg/m² for men and 5.7 kg/m² for women; HGS: 28 kg for men and 18 kg for women; or UGS: 1.0 m/s for both sexes). Association shapes were examined using restricted cubic splines or fractional polynomial functions.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 5.3 years; 107 (12.7%) men and 123 (14.2%) women developed disability, and 101 (11.7%) men and 56 (6.2%) women died. FMI did not impact any outcome in men and disability in women, while an FMI ≤ 7.3 kg/m² (median) was significantly associated with higher mortality risk in women, compared with median FMI. SMI did not impact disability in either sex and mortality in women, but showed a significant inverse dose-response relationship with mortality risk in men [HRs (95% confidence intervals) of minimum and maximum values compared with the reference value: 2.18 (1.07-4.46) and 0.43 (0.20-0.93), respectively], independent of HGS and UGS. HGS and UGS showed a significant inverse dose-response relationship with disability in both sexes [HGS: 1.71 (1.00-2.91) and 0.31 (0.09-0.99), respectively, in men, 2.42 (1.18-4.96) and 0.41 (0.20-0.85), respectively, in women; UGS: 2.14 (1.23-3.74) and 0.23 (0.08-0.67), respectively, in men, 3.26 (2.07-5.14) and 0.11 (0.05-0.26), respectively, in women] and mortality in women [HGS: 6.84 (2.84-16.47) and 0.06 (0.02-0.21), respectively; UGS: 2.67 (1.14-6.27) and 0.30 (0.11-0.85), respectively], independent of body composition, but did not impact mortality in men.

CONCLUSIONS

Disability risk was more dependent on muscle strength and physical performance in both sexes. Mortality risk in men was more dependent on muscle mass, and mortality risk in women was influenced by lower fat mass along with muscle strength and physical performance. Although improving muscle strength and physical performance should be the first target for health promotion, it is also necessary to pay attention to body composition to extend life expectancy in older adults.

Behavior changes and functional capacity Physical, social, and dietary behavioral changes during the COVID-19 crisis and their effects on functional capacity in older adults

Background

This two-year follow-up study aimed to identify factors associated with unhealthy behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic and examine their impact on functional capacity in older adults.

Methods

Altogether, 536 adults aged ≥65 years participated in this study. The frequency of going out, exercise habits, face-to-face and non-face-to-face interactions, social participation, and eating habits were examined as behavioral factors before and after the first declaration of a state of emergency in Japan. Functional capacity was assessed using the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology Index of Competence.

Results

Using latent class analysis considering changes in the six behaviors, the participants were divided into healthy (n = 289) and unhealthy (n = 247) behavior groups. The male sex was associated with 2.36 times higher odds, diabetes with 2.19 times higher odds, depressive mood with 1.83 times higher odds, poor subjective economic status with 2.62 times higher odds, and living alone with 44% lower odds of being unhealthy. The unhealthy behavior group showed significantly decreased functional capacity (B =−1.56 [−1.98, −1.14]) than the healthy behavior group. For each behavior, negative changes in going out (B =−0.99 [−1.60, −0.37]), face-to-face interaction (B =−0.65 [−1.16, −0.13]), and non-face-to-face interactions (B =−0.80 [−1.36, −0.25]) were associated with a decline in functional capacity.

Conclusion

Our results showed four factors associated with engaging in unhealthy lifestyle behaviors and how behavioral changes affect functional capacity decline during the COVID-19 pandemic, which will help to develop public health approaches

Combined impacts of physical activity, dietary variety, and social interaction on incident functional disability in older Japanese adults

BACKGROUND

This 3.6-year prospective study examined combined impacts of physical activity, dietary variety, and social interaction on incident disability and estimated population-attributable fraction for disability reduction in older adults.

METHODS

Participants were 7,822 initially non-disabled residents (3,966 men; 3,856 women) aged 65-84 years of Ota City, Tokyo, Japan. Sufficiency of moderate-to-vigorous-intensity physical activity (MVPA) ≥150 min/week, dietary variety score (DVS) ≥3 (median), and social interaction (face-to-face and/or non-face-to-face) ≥1 time/week was assessed using self-administered questionnaires. Disability incidence was prospectively identified using the long-term care insurance system's nationally unified database.

RESULTS

During a follow-up of 3.6 years, 1,046 (13.4%) individuals had disabilities. Independent multivariate-hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals of MVPA, DVS, and social interaction sufficiency for incident disability were 0.68 (0.59-0.78), 0.87 (0.77-0.99), and 0.91 (0.79-1.03), respectively. Incident disability HRs (95% CIs) gradually reduced with increased frequency of satisfying these behaviors (any one: 0.82, 0.65-1.03; any two: 0.65, 0.52-0.82; and all three behaviors: 0.54, 0.43-0.69), in an inverse dose-response manner (P < 0.001 for trend). Population-attributable fraction for disability reduction in satisfying any one, any two, and all three behaviors were 4.0% (-0.2, 7.9), 9.6% (4.8-14.1), and 16.0% (8.7-22.8), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Combining active physical activity, dietary variety, and social interaction substantially enhances the impacts on preventing disability among older adults, with evidence of an inverse dose-response manner. Adding the insufficient behavior element to individual habits and preexisting social group activities may be effective in preventing disability in the community.

Development of risk prediction models for incident frailty and their performance evaluation

There is currently no tool to predict incident frailty despite various frailty assessment tools. This study aimed to develop risk prediction models for incident frailty and evaluated their performance on discrimination, calibration, and internal validity. This 2-year follow-up study used data from 5076 non-frail older adults (51% women) living in Tokyo at baseline. We used the Kaigo-Yobo checklist, a standardised assessment instrument, to determine frailty. Twenty questionnaire-based variables that include sociodemographic, medical, behavioural, and subjective factors were entered into binary logistic regression analysis with stepwise backward elimination (p < 0.1 for retention in the model). Discrimination and calibration were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. For the assessment of internal validity, we used a 5-fold cross-validation method and calculated the mean AUC. At the follow-up survey, 15.0% of men and 10.2% of women were frail. The frailty risk prediction model was composed of 10 variables for men and 11 for women. AUC of the model was 0.71 in men and 0.72 in women. The P-value for the Hosmer-Lemeshow test in both models was more than 0.05. For internal validity, the mean AUC was 0.71 in men and 0.72 in women. Probability of incident frailty rose with an increasing risk score that was calculated from the developed models. These results demonstrated that the developed models enable the identification of non-frail older adults at high risk of incident frailty, which could help to implement preventive approaches in community settings.

[Development of a risk prediction model and a sample risk chart for long-term care certification based on the functional health of older adults]

Objectives　The first aim of this study was to develop risk prediction models based on age, sex, and functional health to estimate the absolute risk of the 3-year incidence of long-term care certification and to evaluate its performance. The second aim was to produce risk charts showing the probability of the incident long-term care certification as a tool for prompting older adults to engage in healthy behaviors.Methods　This study's data was obtained from older adults, aged ≥65 years, without any disability (i.e., they did not certify≥care level 1) and residing in Yabu, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan (n=5,964). A risk prediction model was developed using a logistic regression model that incorporated age and the Kihon Checklist (KCL) score or the Kaigo-Yobo Checklist (KYCL) score for each sex. The 3-year absolute risk of incidence of the long-term care certification (here defined as≥care level 1) was then calculated. We evaluated the model's discrimination and calibration abilities using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, respectively. For internal validity, the mean AUC was calculated using a 5-fold cross-validation method.Results　After excluding participants with missing KCL (n=4) or KYCL (n=1,516) data, we included 5,960 for the KCL analysis and 4,448 for the KYCL analysis. We identified incident long-term care certification for men and women during the follow-up period: 207 (8.2%) and 390 (11.3%) for KCL analysis and 128 (6.6%) and 256 (10.2%) for KYCL analysis, respectively. For calibration, the χ² statistic for the risk prediction model using KCL and KYCL was: P=0.26 and P=0.44 in men and P=0.75 and P=0.20 in women, respectively. The AUC (mean AUC) in the KCL model was 0.86 (0.86) in men and 0.83 (0.83) in women. In the KYCL model, the AUC was 0.86 (0.85) in men and 0.85 (0.85) in women. The risk charts had six different colors, suggesting the predicted probability of incident long-term care certification.Conclusions　The risk prediction model demonstrated good discrimination, calibration, and internal validity. The risk charts proposed in our study are easy to use and may help older adults in recognizing their disability risk. These charts may also support health promotion activities by facilitating the assessment and modification of the daily behaviors of older adults in community settings. Further studies with larger sample size and external validity verification are needed to promote the widespread use of risk charts.

[Trajectories of Dietary Variety Score among community-dwelling older Japanese and their related factors]

AIM

To categorize the age-related trajectories of dietary variety score (DVS) in the community-dwelling elderly and to examine the associated factors.

METHODS

The study population included 1,195 people who underwent a medical checkup for the elderly in Kusatsu-town, Gunma Prefecture in 2012 to 2017. A multinomial logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the factors associated with the age-related trajectories of DVS. The dependent variables were sex, age, family structure, years of education, BMI, subjective chewing ability, TMIG-IC, GDS-15, MMSE, smoking, alcohol consumption, and history of hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and stroke.

RESULTS

The adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) of the low trajectory group in comparison to the medium trajectory group were 2.69 (1.02-7.08) for subjective chewing ability (no chewing), 1.11 (1.06-1.17) for GDS-15, 1.76 (1.14-2.73) for current smoking, and 1.70 (1.19-2.43) for past smoking. In contrast, the adjusted odds ratio of the high trajectory group in comparison to the medium trajectory group were 0.61 (0.37-1.00) for men, 1.04 (1.01-1.07) for age, 0.58 (0.38-0.89) for subjective masticatory ability (difficult to chew), 0.88 (0.82-0.96) for GDS-15, and 0.55 (0.37-0.83) for a history of hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

The age-related trajectory patterns of DVS in the community-dwelling elderly can be categorized into three types. In order to maintain a high quality of food intake, it was shown that, in addition to subjective masticatory ability and mental health factors, such as depression, we should pay attention to the control of hypertension, which is a risk factor for lifestyle diseases, and lifestyle habits such as smoking.

Sarcopenia: prevalence, associated factors, and the risk of mortality and disability in Japanese older adults

BACKGROUND

There is limited evidence on sarcopenia in Asian populations. This study aimed to clarify the prevalence, associated factors, and the magnitude of association with mortality and incident disability for sarcopenia and combinations of its components among Japanese community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

We conducted a 5.8 year prospective study of 1851 Japanese residents aged 65 years or older (50.5% women; mean age 72.0 ± 5.9) who participated in health check-ups. Sarcopenia was defined according to the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia 2019 algorithm. Appendicular lean mass index (ALMI) was measured using direct segmental multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify associations of sarcopenia and the combinations of its components with all-cause mortality and incident disability.

RESULTS

The prevalence of sarcopenia was 11.5% (105/917) in men and 16.7% (156/934) in women. Significant sarcopenia-related factors other than ageing were hypoalbuminaemia, cognitive impairment, low activity, and recent hospitalization (all P-values <0.05) among men and cognitive impairment (P = 0.004) and depressed mood (P < 0.001) among women. Individuals with sarcopenia had higher risks of mortality [hazard ratios (95% confidence interval): 2.0 (1.2-3.5) in men and 2.3 (1.1-4.9) in women] and incident disability [1.6 (1.0-2.7) in men and 1.7 (1.1-2.7) in women]. Compared with the individuals without any sarcopenia components, those having low grip strength and/or slow gait speed without low ALMI tended to have an increased risk of disability [1.4 (1.0-2.0), P = 0.087], but not mortality [1.3 (0.8-2.2)]. We did not find increased risks of these outcomes in participants having low ALMI in the absence of low grip strength and slow gait speed [1.2 (0.8-1.9) for mortality and 0.9 (0.6-1.3) for incident disability].

CONCLUSIONS

Japanese older men and women meeting Asian criteria of sarcopenia had increased risks of all-cause mortality and disability. There were no significant increased risks of death or incident disability for both participants with muscle weakness and/or low performance without low muscle mass and those with low muscle mass with neither muscle weakness nor low performance. Further studies are needed to examine the interaction between muscle loss, muscle weakness, and low performance for adverse health-related outcomes.

[Effects of a multifactorial intervention for improving frailty on risk of long-term care insurance certification, death, and long-term care cost among community-dwelling older adults: A quasi-experimental study using propensity score matching]

Objectives　To examine the effects of a multifactorial intervention for improving frailty-comprising resistance exercise and nutritional and psychosocial programs-on the risk of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification, death, and long-term care (LTC) cost among community-dwelling older adults.Methods　Seventy-seven individuals (47 in 2011 and 30 in 2013) from the Hatoyama Cohort Study (742 individuals) participated in a multifactorial intervention. Non-participants were from the same cohort (including people who were invited to participate in the multifactorial intervention but declined). We performed propensity score matching with a ratio of 1 : 2 (intervention group vs. non-participant group). Afterward, 70 individuals undergoing the multifactorial intervention and 140 non-participants were selected. The risk of LTCI certification and/or death and the mean LTC cost during the follow-up period (32 months) were compared using the Cox proportional hazards model and generalized linear model (gamma regression model).Results　The incidence of new LTCI certification (per 1,000 person-years) tended to be lower in the intervention group than in the non-participant group (1.8 vs. 3.6), but this was not statistically significant as per the Cox proportional hazards model (hazard ratio=0.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.17-1.54). Although the incidence of LTC cost was not significant, the mean cumulative LTC cost during the 32 months and the mean LTC cost per unit during the follow-up period (1 month) were 375,308 JPY and 11,906 JPY/month, respectively, in the intervention group and 1,040,727 JPY and 33,460 JPY/month, respectively, in the non-participant group. Cost tended to be lower in the intervention group than in the non-participant group as per the gamma regression model (cumulative LTC cost: cost ratio=0.36, 95%CI=0.11-1.21, P=0.099; LTC cost per unit follow-up period: cost ratio=0.36, 95%CI=0.11-1.12, P=0.076).Conclusions　These results suggest that a multifactorial intervention comprising resistance exercise, nutritional, and psychosocial programs is effective in lowering the incidence of LTCI certification, consequently saving LTC cost, although the results were not statistically significant. Further research with a stricter study design is needed.

Cumulative Effects of Physical Activity, Dietary Variety, and Social Participation on Active Life Expectancy

Regular physical activity, dietary variety, and active social participation are modifiable and influential factors of adverse health outcomes. However, the cumulative effects of these behaviors are unknown. We examined these cumulative associations with active life loss in older adults. We analyzed 3-year longitudinal data from 7246 initially non-disabled residents aged 65-84 years from 18 districts of Ota City, Tokyo. Sufficiency of moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity (MVPA) of ≥150 minutes/week, dietary variety score (DVS) of ≥3, and social participation of ≥1 time/month were assessed using self-administered questionnaires. We operationally defined active life loss for individuals as being newly certified for long-term care insurance or death without prior certification. Multilevel survival analyses were applied to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During an average follow-up of 2.9 years, the cumulative incidence of active life loss was 11.3% (817 individuals: 650 new certifications and 167 deaths without prior certification). Multivariate-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for active life loss were 0.73 (0.58-0.92) in only MVPA of ≥150 minutes/week, 0.88 (0.67-1.15) in only DVS of ≥3, 0.75 (0.51-1.09) in only social participation of ≥1 time/month, 0.56 (0.45-0.70) in the group satisfying any two, and 0.52 (0.40-0.67) in the group satisfying all three behaviors, compared with a reference group that did not satisfy any of the behaviors. Sensitivity analysis that excluded active life losses during the first year showed similar results. The combination of regular physical activity, dietary variety, and social participation further enhances the effects on active life expectancy than individual practices.

Associations of aging trajectories for an index of frailty score with mortality and medical and long-term care costs among older Japanese undergoing health checkups

AIM

Using up to 13 years of repeated-measures data, we identified aging trajectories for an index in frailty score among older Japanese undergoing health checkups. In addition, we examined whether these trajectories were associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality and healthcare costs.

METHODS

In total, 1698 adults aged ≥65 years completed annual assessments during 2002-2014. During follow-up, the average number of follow-up assessments was 3.9, and the total number of observations was 6373. Frailty was defined by using the following criteria from Fried's phenotype: slowness, weakness, exhaustion, low physical activity and weight loss.

RESULTS

We identified four aging trajectories for frailty. Specifically, 6.5%, 47.3%, 30.3% and 16.0% of participants were in the high, second, third and low trajectory groups, respectively. As compared with the low trajectory group, the high trajectory group had greater risks of cardiovascular disease (adjusted hazard ratios of 3.42) and other-cause death (adjusted hazard ratios of 3.04). The high trajectory group had the highest medical costs until late in the eighth decade of life, costs decreased after age 70 years and were lowest at age 90 years (estimated at $116.7); however, medical and long-term care costs greatly increased after age 80 years in the second and third trajectory groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher aging trajectories in frailty score were associated with elevated risks for cardiovascular, other-cause and all-cause death among older Japanese receiving health checkups. Medical and care needs greatly increased for the second and third trajectory groups when their frailty level was progressed in later life. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 1072-1078..

[Awareness of the term "frailty" and its correlates among older adults living in a metropolitan area]

Objectives　This study aimed to examine the awareness of the term "frailty" and its correlates among older adults living in a Japanese metropolitan area.Methods　We used baseline and 2-year follow-up data from a community-wide intervention on preventing frailty in Ota City, Tokyo. In July 2016, we conducted a self-administered questionnaire survey via mail to investigate the lifestyle and health status of 15,500 non-disabled residents aged 65-84 years from all 18 districts. In July 2018, we investigated the awareness of the term "frailty" in the same sample using a different questionnaire, and 10,228 people (4,977 men and 5,251 women) were included in the analyses. In addition, 9,069 people (4,347 men and 4,722 women) who responded to both 2016 and 2018 surveys were analyzed for correlates of awareness of the term "frailty." We categorized the responses "I know the meaning" or "I have heard of it but do not know the meaning" as awareness of the term. Decision tree and multilevel Poisson regression analyses were performed to examine the association of the following with awareness of "frailty": age, marital status, living situation, education, equivalent income, body mass index, number of chronic diseases, alcohol consumption, smoking status, Dietary Variety Score (DVS), and presence or absence of lower back and knee pains, depressive mood, exercise habits, social activity, social isolation, and frailty.Results　Awareness of the term "frailty" was estimated as 20.1% in total (15.5% in men and 24.3% in women). The subgroup with the highest "frailty" awareness was women who exercised, were socially active, and had a DVS of 4 or more (awareness of 36.3%). Significant independent correlates of "frailty" awareness were age (as per year: multivariate-adjusted prevalence ratio=1.03, [95% confidence interval=1.02-1.04]), sex (women: 1.35 [1.21-1.51]), educational attainment (high school: 1.27 [1.11-1.45], higher than junior college/vocational schools: 1.47 [1.28-1.70]), equivalent income (more than 2.5 million yen/year: 1.12 [1.01-1.25]), exercise habits (presence: 1.26 [1.11-1.43]), DVS (6 points or more: 1.37 [1.21-1.55]), social activity (presence: 1.33 [1.20-1.49]), social isolation (presence: 0.75 [0.67-0.85]), and frailty (presence: 0.72 [0.62-0.84]).Conclusions　Although many policies refer to "frailty," the level of awareness of the term among older adults was low. Older adults, especially women, who had higher socioeconomic status, better exercise and dietary habits, and stronger social connections, were significantly more aware of the term. In contrast, individuals who were socially isolated and/or frail did not know the term. Thus, it is crucial to develop specific measures to promote frailty prevention among high-risk individuals.

[Impact of lifestyle-related diseases and frailty on the incidence of loss of independence in Japanese community-dwelling older adults: A Longitudinal Study on Aging and Health in Kusatsu]

Objectives　This study aimed to determine risk factors for frailty and lifestyle-related diseases impacting the incidence of loss of independence among Japanese community-dwelling older adults, and to measure the magnitude of these associations.Methods　We conducted an 8.1-year prospective study involving 1,214 residents of the town of Kusatsu, aged 65 years and over, who were initially free of disability and underwent the comprehensive geriatric assessment between 2002 and 2011. Loss of independence was defined as the incidence of disability or having died before the occurrence of disability was certified by the Long-Term Care Insurance program in Japan. Risk factors for lifestyle-related diseases and health status comprised hypertension, diabetes mellitus, overweight, chronic kidney disease, current smoking, past history of stroke, heart disease and cancer, frailty, underweight, anemia, hypoalbuminemia, and cognitive decline. Frailty was defined as the presence of three or more of the following criteria: Weight loss, weakness, exhaustion, slowness, and low levels of physical activity. Prefrailty was defined as the presence of one or two of these same criteria. Cox proportional-hazard regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and the population attributable fraction (PAF) of loss of independence.Results　During the follow-up, 475 cases, including 372 disabilities and 103 deaths, were identified as having experienced loss of independence. The multivariable HRs for the loss of independence were 1.3 to 2.2-fold higher for the presence of frailty, past history of stroke, cognitive decline, prefrailty, and smoking. The PAF of loss of independence was the greatest for prefrailty (19%), followed by frailty (12%). The PAF was relatively large for prefrailty (19%) and smoking (11%) in men, and frailty (18%), prefrailty (18%), and chronic kidney disease (11%) in women. Stratified by age category, participants aged 65-74 years having frailty and several lifestyle-related diseases showed significantly higher HRs for loss of independence and greater PAFs for prefrailty (18%), frailty (13%), and smoking (11%).Conclusions　Loss of independence among Japanese community-dwelling older adults who underwent screening examinations was largely attributed to frailty and prefrailty. Our findings suggest that the screening and the intervention for frailty and lifestyle-related diseases in the early stages of old age might be beneficial in prolonging healthy life expectancy of Japanese community-dwelling older adults.

[Process and outcome evaluation of community-based strategies for frailty prevention in the elderly with the help of the senior workforce at Silver Human Resources Centers in Yabu City, Japan]

Objectives　Preventing frailty is a crucial issue in aging societies such as Japan. In 2011, we launched an action research project in Yabu City, Hyogo Prefecture, to develop effective community-based strategies to prevent frailty in the elderly. We attempted to introduce community-based frailty prevention classes in every administrative district with the help of the senior workforce at Silver Human Resources Centers. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and the applicability to different communities of this strategy, which will be called the "Yabu model."Methods　Using PAIREM (Plan, Adoption, Implementation, Reach, Effectiveness, Maintenance) framework, we evaluated the effectiveness and the applicability to different communities of the Yabu model. To evaluate its effectiveness, we conducted a baseline and follow-up survey of residents aged 65 years or older in 2012 (n=7,287, 90.7% response rate) and 2017 (n=8,157, 85.7%), using a mailed self-administered questionnaire.Results　(1) Plan: The idea was to establish a frailty prevention class (60 min/session, once a week) consisting of resistance exercises and nutritional or psychosocial programs (standard course, six months, 20 sessions/course; short course, one and a half months, 6 sessions/course; after the course, residents continued with the activities themselves). We planned to launch three classes in the first year (2014) and then to increase the number of classes by ten each year after the second year. (2) Adoption: Out of 154 administrative districts, 36 (23.4%) held frailty prevention classes between 2014 and 2017. (3) Implementation: The median attendance rate for the standard or short course (number of times each participant attended/number of frailty prevention class sessions held) was 75.0%. (4) Reach: A total of 719 older people participated in the standard or short course. The participation rate in the administrative districts, where each frailty prevention class was held, was 32.8%, while at the city level it was 8.1%. (5) Effectiveness: Propensity score matching after multiple imputations were performed. While the prevalence of frailty in non-participants increased by 13.7% in the five years from 2012 to 2017, it only increased by 6.8% in participants. Compared to non-participants, program participants had a significantly lower prevalence odds ratio of frailty at the time of the follow-up survey (OR=0.65, 95% confidence interval 0.46-0.93). (6) Maintenance: After the standard or short course, 25 out of 26 communities (96.2%) continued the frailty prevention activities once a week.Conclusion　The frailty prevention classes were adopted across many districts and lowered the participants' risk of frailty. Moreover, participants continued to engage in frailty prevention activities even after the course. These results indicate the Yabu model's effectiveness and its applicability for a different community.

Association of Trajectories of Higher-Level Functional Capacity with Mortality and Medical and Long-Term Care Costs Among Community-Dwelling Older Japanese

Background

Higher-level functional capacity is crucial component for independent living in later life. We used repeated-measures analysis to identify aging trajectories in higher-level functional capacity. We then determined whether these trajectories were associated with all-cause mortality and examined differences in medical and long-term care costs between trajectories among community-dwelling older Japanese.

Methods

2,675 adults aged 65-90 years participated in annual geriatric health assessments and biennial health monitoring surveys during the period from October 2001 through August 2011. The average number of follow-up assessments was 4.0, and the total number of observations was 10,609. Higher-level functional capacity, which correspond to the fourth and fifth sublevels of Lawton's hierarchical model, was assessed with the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology-Index of Competence (TMIG-IC).

Results

We identified four distinct trajectory patterns (high-stable, late-onset decreasing, early-onset decreasing, and low-decreasing) on the TMIG-IC through age 65-90 years. As compared with the high-stable trajectory group, participants in the late-onset decreasing, early-onset decreasing, and low-decreasing TMIG-IC trajectory groups had adjusted hazard ratios for mortality of 1.22 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.47), 1.90 (1.53-2.36), and 2.87 (2.14-3.84), respectively. Participants with high-stable and late-onset decreasing higher-level functional capacity trajectories had lower mean monthly medical costs and long-term care costs. In contrast, mean total costs were higher for those with low-decreasing trajectories, after excluding the large increase in such costs at the end of life.

Conclusions

People with a low-decreasing aging trajectory in higher-level functional capacity had higher risks of death and had high monthly total costs.

A Community-Wide Intervention Trial for Preventing and Reducing Frailty Among Older Adults Living in Metropolitan Areas: Design and Baseline Survey for a Study Integrating Participatory Action Research With a Cluster Trial

Background

Preventing and reducing frailty is an important challenge for Japan in the next decade, especially in metropolitan areas. We launched a community-wide intervention trial (the Ota Genki Senior Project) in 2016 to develop effective community-based strategies for frailty prevention in metropolitan areas. This report describes the study design and baseline survey.

Methods

This study is a community-wide intervention trial that integrates participatory action research into a cluster non-randomized controlled trial for adults aged 65 years or older living in Ota City, Tokyo. We allocated 3 of 18 districts to an intervention group and the other 15 to a control group. Using a mailed self-administered questionnaire, we conducted a baseline survey of 15,500 residents (8,000 and 7,500 in the intervention and control groups, respectively) from July through August 2016. In addition to socioeconomic status and lifestyle variables, we assessed frailty status (primary outcome) and physical, nutritional, and psychosocial variables (secondary outcomes). Based on the baseline findings, an intervention to improve outcomes will be implemented as participatory action research. Follow-up surveys will be conducted in the same manner as the baseline survey.

Results

A total of 11,925 questionnaires were returned (76.9% response rate; 6,105 [76.3%] and 5,820 [77.6%] in the intervention and control groups, respectively), and 11,701 were included in the analysis (mean age, 74.3 [standard deviation, 5.5] years; 48.5% were men).

Conclusions

This study is expected to contribute to development of a prototype of a community-wide frailty prevention strategy, especially in metropolitan areas in Japan. Trial registration: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000026515).

Effects of a multifactorial intervention comprising resistance exercise, nutritional and psychosocial programs on frailty and functional health in community-dwelling older adults: A randomized, controlled, cross-over trial

AIM

To examine the effects of a multifactorial intervention on frailty and functional health among community-dwelling older adults, a 6-month randomized, controlled, cross-over trial was carried out within the Hatoyama Cohort Study.

METHODS

A total of 77 pre-frail or frail older adults (mean age 74.6 years) were randomly allocated to an immediate intervention group (IIG; n = 38) or delayed intervention group (DIG; n = 39). The IIG participated in a twice-weekly multifactorial intervention comprising resistance exercise, nutritional education and psychosocial programs. No intervention was given to the DIG during the initial 3-month period, and both groups were crossed over for the latter 3-month period. Pre-frailty and frailty were determined by using the Check-List 15, which was validated against Fried's frailty criteria. Effects of the intervention on primary (Check-List 15 score and frailty status) and secondary outcomes (physical and psychosocial functions, and nutritional intake) were examined for both 3-month periods.

RESULTS

As compared with the DIG, the IIG had significant reductions in Check-List 15 score (-0.36 points; 95% CI -0.74 to -0.03), frailty prevalence (-23.5%, 95% CI -40.4 to -6.7), Timed Up and Go test (-0.25 s, 95% CI -0.47 to -0.08), and Geriatric Depression Score (-0.92 points, 95% CI -1.44 to -0.39), and improvements in the Dietary Variety Score (0.65 points, 95% CI 0.05-1.25), and protein (1.9% E, 95% CI 1.1-2.7) and micronutrient intakes at 3 months, all of which, excluding protein and micronutrient intakes, persisted at 6 months. The DIG showed similar intervention effects in the latter 3-month period.

CONCLUSIONS

This 3-month multifactorial intervention reduced frailty and improved functional health. These intervention effects persisted for at least 3 months post-intervention. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2017; 17: 2034-2045.

Public health approach to preventing frailty in the community and its effect on healthy aging in Japan

Effective methods to prevent or delay the onset of frailty are urgently required in aging societies, such as Japan. As a public health approach, we carried out a 10-year community intervention for frailty prevention, and examined its impact on healthy aging among older adults. The target population was all residents aged 65 years or older in the town of Kusatsu, Gunma Prefecture, Japan. For community empowerment, we organized a community forum, and discussed how to address the frailty issue in the community. For primary prevention, we attempted to promote physical activity, nutrition and social participation by means of a health education program to motivate older residents. For secondary prevention, we added a comprehensive geriatric assessment to routine annual health check-ups, which helped older participants improve self-care ability of functional health. High-risk persons were screened and encouraged to participate in a frailty prevention class with a multicomponent program. The attendance rate at annual health check-ups has remained constant at 30-40% of the target population; however, over 80% of the population appeared at least once during the 10 year-period. For evaluation, we carried out biennial health monitoring surveys, and reviewed the records of the local Long-Term Care Insurance system. The functional health of older residents was significantly improved as a result of the interventions; the incidence rate of Long-Term Care Insurance system certification in the old-old population (age ≥75 years) was decreased by one second, and healthy life expectancy at age 70 years was extended by 1.2 years for women and 0.5 years for men. Such trends greatly contrasted with those in the reference area, and Japan as a whole. In summary, the present public health approach to frailty prevention appears to promote healthy aging among older adults.

Dietary Variety and Decline in Lean Mass and Physical Performance in Community-Dwelling Older Japanese: A 4-year Follow-Up Study

OBJECTIVES

To examine associations of dietary variety with changes in lean mass and physical performance during a 4-year period in an elderly Japanese population.

DESIGN

Four-year prospective study.

SETTING

The Hatoyama Cohort Study and Kusatsu Longitudinal Study, Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

935 community-dwelling Japanese aged 65 years or older.

MEASUREMENTS

Dietary variety was assessed using a 10-item food frequency questionnaire. Body composition was determined by multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis, and physical performance (grip strength and usual gait speed) was measured in surveys at baseline and 4 years later. Longitudinal analysis included only participants who were originally in the upper three quartiles of lean body mass, appendicular lean mass, grip strength, and usual gait speed. The outcome measures were decline in lean body mass, appendicular lean mass, grip strength, and usual gait speed, defined as a decrease to the lowest baseline quartile level at the 4-year follow-up survey. Associations of dietary variety with the outcome measures were examined by logistic regression analysis adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

In the fully adjusted model, the odds ratios for decline in grip strength and usual gait speed were 0.43 (95% confidence interval, 0.19-0.99) and 0.43 (confidence interval, 0.19-0.99), respectively, for participants in the highest category of dietary variety score as compared with those in the lowest category. Dietary variety was not significantly associated with changes in lean body mass or appendicular lean mass.

CONCLUSION

Among older adults, greater dietary variety may help maintain physical performance, such as grip strength and usual gait speed, but not lean mass.

Gait Performance Trajectories and Incident Disabling Dementia Among Community-Dwelling Older Japanese

OBJECTIVES

Initial gait speed is a good predictor of dementia in later life. This prospective study used repeated measures analysis to identify potential gait performance trajectory patterns and to determine whether gait performance trajectory patterns were associated with incident disabling dementia among community-dwelling older Japanese.

DESIGN

A prospective, observational, population-based follow-up study.

SETTING

Japan, 2002 to 2014.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1686 adults without dementia (mean [SD] age, 71.2 [5.6] years; women, 56.3%) aged 65 to 90 years participated in annual geriatric health assessments during the period from June 2002 through July 2014. The average number of follow-up assessments was 3.9, and the total number of observations was 6509.

MEASUREMENTS

Gait performance was assessed by measuring gait speed and step length at usual and maximum paces. A review of municipal databases in the Japanese public long-term care insurance system revealed that 196 (11.6%) participants developed disabling dementia through December 2014.

RESULTS

We identified 3 distinct trajectory patterns (high, middle, and low) in gait speed and step length at usual and maximum paces in adults aged 65 to 90 years; these trajectory patterns showed parallel declines among men and women. After adjusting for important confounders, participants in the low trajectory groups for gait speed and step length at usual pace were 3.46 (95% confidence interval 1.88-6.40) and 2.12 (1.29-3.49) times as likely to develop incident disabling dementia, respectively, as those in the high trajectory group. The respective values for low trajectories of gait speed and step length at maximum pace were 2.05 (1.02-4.14) and 2.80 (1.48-5.28), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Regardless of baseline level, the 3 major trajectory patterns for gait speed and step length tended to show similar age-related changes in men and women in later life. Individuals with low trajectories for gait speed and step length had a higher dementia risk, which highlights the importance of interventions for improvements in gait performance, even among older adults with low gait performance.

[Prospective study of cognitive decline assessed using the mini-mental state examination and the risk of incident long-term care insurance among community-dwelling older Japanese]

AIM

We examined the longitudinal association between the change in the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score per year and the incidence of a certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system among community-dwelling older Japanese subjects.

METHODS

A total of 773 adults 65 years of age or older who participated in a baseline survey (2002 to 2007) underwent MMSE reevaluation at least once until Wave-1 (2003 to 2008). The incidence of a certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system until Wave-2 (Wave-1 to 2013) was examined in all subjects.

RESULTS

During an average follow-up of 1,195 days (baseline survey to Wave-1), the change in the MMSE score per year was greater than 0 in 511 (66.1%) participants, 0 to -0.5 in 94 (12.2%) participants, -0.5 to -1 in 66 (8.5%) participants, -1 to -2 in 56 (7.2%) participants, and less than -2 in 46 (6.0%) participants. During an average follow-up of 1,802 days (Wave-1 to Wave-2), 104 participants (13.5%) were newly certified with a need for care in the long-term care insurance system. After controlling for important confounders, elders with a change in the MMSE score of 0 to -0.5, -0.5 to -1, -1 to -2 and less than -2 per year were 1.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.93-3.23), 1.94 (1.01-3.45), 1.95 (1.02-3.76) and 3.16 (1.68-5.98) times as likely to be newly certified with a need for care in the long-term care insurance system, respectively, compared those with a change in the score greater than 0.

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of change in the MMSE score per year independently predicted the incident certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system in a general population of older Japanese subjects. A decrease of greater than 0.5 points per year may be a useful cutoff value for clinically evaluating elders.