Predicting Brain Age and Gender from Brain Volume Data Using Variational Quantum Circuits

The morphology of the brain undergoes changes throughout the aging process, and accurately predicting a person's brain age and gender using brain morphology features can aid in detecting atypical brain patterns. Neuroimaging-based estimation of brain age is commonly used to assess an individual's brain health relative to a typical aging trajectory, while accurately classifying gender from neuroimaging data offers valuable insights into the inherent neurological differences between males and females. In this study, we aimed to compare the efficacy of classical machine learning models with that of a quantum machine learning method called a variational quantum circuit in estimating brain age and predicting gender based on structural magnetic resonance imaging data. We evaluated six classical machine learning models alongside a quantum machine learning model using both combined and sub-datasets, which included data from both in-house collections and public sources. The total number of participants was 1157, ranging from ages 14 to 89, with a gender distribution of 607 males and 550 females. Performance evaluation was conducted within each dataset using training and testing sets. The variational quantum circuit model generally demonstrated superior performance in estimating brain age and gender classification compared to classical machine learning algorithms when using the combined dataset. Additionally, in benchmark sub-datasets, our approach exhibited better performance compared to previous studies that utilized the same dataset for brain age prediction. Thus, our results suggest that variational quantum algorithms demonstrate comparable effectiveness to classical machine learning algorithms for both brain age and gender prediction, potentially offering reduced error and improved accuracy.

Brain Age Prediction Using Multi-Hop Graph Attention Combined with Convolutional Neural Network

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been used widely to predict biological brain age based on brain magnetic resonance (MR) images. However, CNNs focus mainly on spatially local features and their aggregates and barely on the connective information between distant regions. To overcome this issue, we propose a novel multi-hop graph attention (MGA) module that exploits both the local and global connections of image features when combined with CNNs. After insertion between convolutional layers, MGA first converts the convolution-derived feature map into graph-structured data by using patch embedding and embedding-distance-based scoring. Multi-hop connections between the graph nodes are modeled by using the Markov chain process. After performing multi-hop graph attention, MGA re-converts the graph into an updated feature map and transfers it to the next convolutional layer. We combined the MGA module with sSE (spatial squeeze and excitation)-ResNet18 for our final prediction model (MGA-sSE-ResNet18) and performed various hyperparameter evaluations to identify the optimal parameter combinations. With 2788 three-dimensional T1-weighted MR images of healthy subjects, we verified the effectiveness of MGA-sSE-ResNet18 with comparisons to four established, general-purpose CNNs and two representative brain age prediction models. The proposed model yielded an optimal performance with a mean absolute error of 2.822 years and Pearson's correlation coefficient (PCC) of 0.968, demonstrating the potential of the MGA module to improve the accuracy of brain age prediction.

Structure-decoupled functional connectome-based brain age prediction provides higher association to cognition

Brain age prediction as well as the prediction difference has been well examined to be a potential biomarker for brain disease or abnormal aging process. However, less knowledge was reported for the cognitive association within normal population. In this study, we proposed a novel approach to brain age prediction by structure-decoupled functional connectome. The original functional connectome was decomposed and decoupled into a structure-decoupled functional connectome using structural connectome harmonics. Our method was applied to a large dataset of normal aging individuals and achieved a high correlation between predicted and chronological age (r = 0.77). Both the original FC and structure-decoupled FC could be well-trained in a brain age prediction model. Significant remarkable relationships between the brain age prediction difference (predicted age minus chronological age) and cognitive scores were discovered. However, the brain age-predicted difference driven by structure-decoupled FC showed a stronger correction to the two cognitive scores (MMSE: r = -0.27, P -value = 0.002; MoCA: r = -0.32, P -value = 0.0003). Our findings suggest that our structure-decoupled functional connectivity approach could provide a more individual-specific functional network, leading to improved brain age prediction performance and a better understanding of cognitive decline in aging.

Predicting mild cognitive impairments from cognitively normal brains using a novel brain age estimation model based on structural magnetic resonance imaging

Brain age prediction is a practical method used to quantify brain aging and detect neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, very few studies have considered brain age prediction as a biomarker for the conversion of cognitively normal (CN) to mild cognitive impairment (MCI). In this study, we developed a novel brain age prediction model using brain volume and cortical thickness features. We calculated an acceleration of brain age (ABA) derived from the suggested model to estimate different diagnostic groups (CN, MCI, and AD) and to classify CN to MCI and MCI to AD conversion groups. We observed a strong association between ABA and the 3 diagnostic groups. Additionally, the classification models for CN to MCI conversion and MCI to AD conversion exhibited acceptable and robust performances, with area under the curve values of 0.66 and 0.76, respectively. We believe that our proposed model provides a reliable estimate of brain age for elderly individuals and can identify those at risk of progressing from CN to MCI. This model has great potential to reveal a diagnosis associated with a change in cognitive decline.

Inter-site generalizability of EEG based age prediction algorithms in the preterm infant

OBJECTIVE

To assess and overcome the effects of site differences in EEG -based brain age prediction in preterm infants. &#xD;Approach: We used a 'bag of features' with a combination function estimated using support vector regression (SVR) and feature selection (filter then wrapper) to predict post-menstrual age (PMA). The SVR was trained on a dataset containing 138 EEG recordings from 37 preterm infants (site 1). A separate set of 36 EEG recordings from 36 preterm infants was used to validate the age predictor (site 2). The feature distributions were compared between sites, and training used only features that were not significantly different between sites. The mean absolute error between predicted age and PMA was used to define the accuracy of prediction. Successful validation was defined as no significant differences in error between site 1 (cross-validation) and site 2.&#xD;Main results: The age predictor based on all features and trained on site 1 was not validated on site 2 (p < 0.001; MAE site 1 = 1.0 weeks, n = 59 vs MAE site 2 = 2.1 weeks, n = 36). The MAE was improved by training on a restricted features set (MAE site 1 = 1.0 weeks, n = 59 vs MAE site 2 = 1.1 weeks, n = 36), resulting in a validated age predictor (p = 0.68). The selected features closely aligned with features selected when trained on a combination of data from site 1 and site 2.&#xD;Significance: The ability of EEG classifiers, such as brain age prediction, to maintain accuracy on data collected at other sites may be challenged by unexpected, site-dependent differences in EEG signals. Permitting a small amount of data leakage between sites improves generalization, leading towards universal methods of EEG interpretation in preterm infants.&#xD.

Biological brain age prediction using machine learning on structural neuroimaging data: Multi-cohort validation against biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease and neurodegeneration stratified by sex

Brain-age can be inferred from structural neuroimaging and compared to chronological age (brain-age delta) as a marker of biological brain aging. Accelerated aging has been found in neurodegenerative disorders like Alzheimer's disease (AD), but its validation against markers of neurodegeneration and AD is lacking. Here, imaging-derived measures from the UK Biobank dataset (N=22,661) were used to predict brain-age in 2,314 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals at higher risk of AD and mild cognitive impaired (MCI) patients from four independent cohorts with available biomarker data: ALFA+, ADNI, EPAD, and OASIS. Brain-age delta was associated with abnormal amyloid-β, more advanced stages (AT) of AD pathology and APOE-ε4 status. Brain-age delta was positively associated with plasma neurofilament light, a marker of neurodegeneration, and sex differences in the brain effects of this marker were found. These results validate brain-age delta as a non-invasive marker of biological brain aging in non-demented individuals with abnormal levels of biomarkers of AD and axonal injury.

Comparison of Machine Learning Models for Brain Age Prediction Using Six Imaging Modalities on Middle-Aged and Older Adults

Machine learning (ML) has transformed neuroimaging research by enabling accurate predictions and feature extraction from large datasets. In this study, we investigate the application of six ML algorithms (Lasso, relevance vector regression, support vector regression, extreme gradient boosting, category boost, and multilayer perceptron) to predict brain age for middle-aged and older adults, which is a crucial area of research in neuroimaging. Despite the plethora of proposed ML models, there is no clear consensus on how to achieve better performance in brain age prediction for this population. Our study stands out by evaluating the impact of both ML algorithms and image modalities on brain age prediction performance using a large cohort of cognitively normal adults aged 44.6 to 82.3 years old (N = 27,842) with six image modalities. We found that the predictive performance of brain age is more reliant on the image modalities used than the ML algorithms employed. Specifically, our study highlights the superior performance of T1-weighted MRI and diffusion-weighted imaging and demonstrates that multi-modality-based brain age prediction significantly enhances performance compared to unimodality. Moreover, we identified Lasso as the most accurate ML algorithm for predicting brain age, achieving the lowest mean absolute error in both single-modality and multi-modality predictions. Additionally, Lasso also ranked highest in a comprehensive evaluation of the relationship between BrainAGE and the five frequently mentioned BrainAGE-related factors. Notably, our study also shows that ensemble learning outperforms Lasso when computational efficiency is not a concern. Overall, our study provides valuable insights into the development of accurate and reliable brain age prediction models for middle-aged and older adults, with significant implications for clinical practice and neuroimaging research. Our findings highlight the importance of image modality selection and emphasize Lasso as a promising ML algorithm for brain age prediction.

An analysis of the effects of limited training data in distributed learning scenarios for brain age prediction

OBJECTIVE

Distributed learning avoids problems associated with central data collection by training models locally at each site. This can be achieved by federated learning (FL) aggregating multiple models that were trained in parallel or training a single model visiting sites sequentially, the traveling model (TM). While both approaches have been applied to medical imaging tasks, their performance in limited local data scenarios remains unknown. In this study, we specifically analyze FL and TM performances when very small sample sizes are available per site.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

2025 T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging scans were used to investigate the effect of sample sizes on FL and TM for brain age prediction. We evaluated models across 18 scenarios varying the number of samples per site (1, 2, 5, 10, and 20) and the number of training rounds (20, 40, and 200).

RESULTS

Our results demonstrate that the TM outperforms FL, for every sample size examined. In the extreme case when each site provided only one sample, FL achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 18.9 ± 0.13 years, while the TM achieved a MAE of 6.21 ± 0.50 years, comparable to central learning (MAE = 5.99 years).

DISCUSSION

Although FL is more commonly used, our study demonstrates that TM is the best implementation for small sample sizes.

CONCLUSION

The TM offers new opportunities to apply machine learning models in rare diseases and pediatric research but also allows even small hospitals to contribute small datasets.

Interpretation for Individual Brain Age Prediction Based on Gray Matter Volume

The relationship between age and the central nervous system (CNS) in humans has been a classical issue that has aroused extensive attention. Especially for individuals, it is of far greater importance to clarify the mechanisms between CNS and age. The primary goal of existing methods is to use MR images to derive high-accuracy predictions for age or degenerative diseases. However, the associated mechanisms between the images and the age have rarely been investigated. In this paper, we address the correlation between gray matter volume (GMV) and age, both in terms of gray matter themselves and their interaction network, using interpretable machine learning models for individuals. Our goal is not only to predict age accurately but more importantly, to explore the relationship between GMV and age. In addition to targeting each individual, we also investigate the dynamic properties of gray matter and their interaction network with individual age. The results show that the mean absolute error (MAE) of age prediction is 7.95 years. More notably, specific locations of gray matter and their interactions play different roles in age, and these roles change dynamically with age. The proposed method is a data-driven approach, which provides a new way to study aging mechanisms and even to diagnose degenerative brain diseases.

Brain Age Prediction: A Comparison between Machine Learning Models Using Brain Morphometric Data

Brain structural morphology varies over the aging trajectory, and the prediction of a person's age using brain morphological features can help the detection of an abnormal aging process. Neuroimaging-based brain age is widely used to quantify an individual's brain health as deviation from a normative brain aging trajectory. Machine learning approaches are expanding the potential for accurate brain age prediction but are challenging due to the great variety of machine learning algorithms. Here, we aimed to compare the performance of the machine learning models used to estimate brain age using brain morphological measures derived from structural magnetic resonance imaging scans. We evaluated 27 machine learning models, applied to three independent datasets from the Human Connectome Project (HCP, n = 1113, age range 22-37), the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience (Cam-CAN, n = 601, age range 18-88), and the Information eXtraction from Images (IXI, n = 567, age range 19-86). Performance was assessed within each sample using cross-validation and an unseen test set. The models achieved mean absolute errors of 2.75-3.12, 7.08-10.50, and 8.04-9.86 years, as well as Pearson's correlation coefficients of 0.11-0.42, 0.64-0.85, and 0.63-0.79 between predicted brain age and chronological age for the HCP, Cam-CAN, and IXI samples, respectively. We found a substantial difference in performance between models trained on the same data type, indicating that the choice of model yields considerable variation in brain-predicted age. Furthermore, in three datasets, regularized linear regression algorithms achieved similar performance to nonlinear and ensemble algorithms. Our results suggest that regularized linear algorithms are as effective as nonlinear and ensemble algorithms for brain age prediction, while significantly reducing computational costs. Our findings can serve as a starting point and quantitative reference for future efforts at improving brain age prediction using machine learning models applied to brain morphometric data.

Differential Associations of White Matter Brain Age With Language-Related Mechanisms in Word-Finding Ability Across the Adult Lifespan

Research on cognitive aging has established that word-finding ability declines progressively in late adulthood, whereas semantic mechanism in the language system is relatively stable. The aim of the present study was to investigate the associations of word-finding ability and language-related components with brain aging status, which was quantified by using the brain age paradigm. A total of 616 healthy participants aged 18–88 years from the Cambridge Centre for Ageing and Neuroscience databank were recruited. The picture-naming task was used to test the participants’ language-related word retrieval ability through word-finding and word-generation processes. The naming response time (RT) and accuracy were measured under a baseline condition and two priming conditions, namely phonological and semantic priming. To estimate brain age, we established a brain age prediction model based on white matter (WM) features and estimated the modality-specific predicted age difference (PAD). Mass partial correlation analyses were performed to test the associations of WM-PAD with the cognitive performance measures under the baseline and two priming conditions. We observed that the domain-specific language WM-PAD and domain-general WM-PAD were significantly correlated with general word-finding ability. The phonological mechanism, not the semantic mechanism, in word-finding ability was significantly correlated with the domain-specific WM-PAD. In contrast, all behavioral measures of the conditions in the picture priming task were significantly associated with chronological age. The results suggest that chronological aging and WM aging have differential effects on language-related word retrieval functions, and support that cognitive alterations in word-finding functions involve not only the domain-specific processing within the frontotemporal language network but also the domain-general processing of executive functions in the fronto-parieto-occipital (or multi-demand) network. The findings further indicate that the phonological aspect of word retrieval ability declines as cerebral WM ages, whereas the semantic aspect is relatively resilient or unrelated to WM aging.

Predicting brain age during typical and atypical development based on structural and functional neuroimaging

Exploring typical and atypical brain developmental trajectories is very important for understanding the normal pace of brain development and the mechanisms by which mental disorders deviate from normal development. A precise and sex-specific brain age prediction model is desirable for investigating the systematic deviation and individual heterogeneity of disorders associated with atypical brain development, such as autism spectrum disorders. In this study, we used partial least squares regression and the stacking algorithm to establish a sex-specific brain age prediction model based on T1-weighted structural magnetic resonance imaging and resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging. The model showed good generalization and high robustness on four independent datasets with different ethnic information and age ranges. A predictor weights analysis showed the differences and similarities in changes in structure and function during brain development. At the group level, the brain age gap estimation for autistic patients was significantly smaller than that for healthy controls in both the ABIDE dataset and the healthy brain network dataset, which suggested that autistic patients as a whole exhibited the characteristics of delayed development. However, within the ABIDE dataset, the premature development group had significantly higher Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule (ADOS) scores than those of the delayed development group, implying that individuals with premature development had greater severity. Using these findings, we built an accurate typical brain development trajectory and developed a method of atypical trajectory analysis that considers sex differences and individual heterogeneity. This strategy may provide valuable clues for understanding the relationship between brain development and mental disorders.

Optimising a Simple Fully Convolutional Network for Accurate Brain Age Prediction in the PAC 2019 Challenge

Brain age prediction from brain MRI scans not only helps improve brain ageing modelling generally, but also provides benchmarks for predictive analysis methods. Brain-age delta, which is the difference between a subject's predicted age and true age, has become a meaningful biomarker for the health of the brain. Here, we report the details of our brain age prediction models and results in the Predictive Analysis Challenge 2019. The aim of the challenge was to use T1-weighted brain MRIs to predict a subject's age in multicentre datasets. We apply a lightweight deep convolutional neural network architecture, Simple Fully Convolutional Neural Network (SFCN), and combined several techniques including data augmentation, transfer learning, model ensemble, and bias correction for brain age prediction. The model achieved first place in both of the two objectives in the PAC 2019 brain age prediction challenge: Mean absolute error (MAE) = 2.90 years without bias removal (Second Place = 3.09 yrs; Third Place = 3.33 yrs), and MAE = 2.95 years with bias removal, leading by a large margin (Second Place = 3.80 yrs; Third Place = 3.92 yrs).

Causality-Based Feature Fusion for Brain Neuro-Developmental Analysis

Human brain development is a complex and dynamic process caused by several factors such as genetics, sex hormones, and environmental changes. A number of recent studies on brain development have examined functional connectivity (FC) defined by the temporal correlation between time series of different brain regions. We propose to add the directional flow of information during brain maturation. To do so, we extract effective connectivity (EC) through Granger causality (GC) for two different groups of subjects, i.e., children and young adults. The motivation is that the inclusion of causal interaction may further discriminate brain connections between two age groups and help to discover new connections between brain regions. The contributions of this study are threefold. First, there has been a lack of attention to EC-based feature extraction in the context of brain development. To this end, we propose a new kernel-based GC (KGC) method to learn nonlinearity of complex brain network, where a reduced Sine hyperbolic polynomial (RSP) neural network was used as our proposed learner. Second, we used causality values as the weight for the directional connectivity between brain regions. Our findings indicated that the strength of connections was significantly higher in young adults relative to children. In addition, our new EC-based feature outperformed FC-based analysis from Philadelphia neurocohort (PNC) study with better discrimination of different age groups. Moreover, the fusion of these two sets of features (FC + EC) improved brain age prediction accuracy by more than 4%, indicating that they should be used together for brain development studies.

Multimodal Sparse Classifier for Adolescent Brain Age Prediction

The study of healthy brain development helps to better understand both brain transformation and connectivity patterns, which happen during childhood to adulthood. This study presents a sparse machine learning solution across whole-brain functional connectivity measures of three datasets, derived from resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) and two task fMRI data including a working memory n-back task (nb-fMRI) and an emotion identification task (em-fMRI). The fMRI data are collected from the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort (PNC) for the prediction of brain age in adolescents. Due to extremely large variable-to-instance ratio of PNC data, a high-dimensional matrix with several irrelevant and highly correlated features is generated, and hence a sparse learning approach is necessary to extract effective features from fMRI data. We propose a sparse learner based on the residual errors along the estimation of an inverse problem for extreme learning machine (ELM). Our proposed method is able to overcome the overlearning problem by pruning several redundant features and their corresponding output weights. The proposed multimodal sparse ELM classifier based on residual errors is highly competitive in terms of classification accuracy compared to its counterparts such as conventional ELM, and sparse Bayesian learning ELM.

Improved prediction of brain age using multimodal neuroimaging data

Brain age prediction based on imaging data and machine learning (ML) methods has great potential to provide insights into the development of cognition and mental disorders. Though different ML models have been proposed, a systematic comparison of ML models in combination with imaging features derived from different modalities is still needed. In this study, we evaluate the prediction performance of 36 combinations of imaging features and ML models including deep learning. We utilize single and multimodal brain imaging data including MRI, DTI, and rs‐fMRI from a large data set with 839 subjects. Our study is a follow‐up to the initial work (Liang et al., 2019. Human Brain Mapping) to investigate different analytic strategies to combine data from MRI, DTI, and rs‐fMRI with the goal to improve brain age prediction accuracy. Additionally, the traditional approach to predicting the brain age gap has been shown to have a systematic bias. The potential nonlinear relationship between the brain age gap and chronological age has not been thoroughly tested. Here we propose a new method to correct the systematic bias of brain age gap by taking gender, chronological age, and their interactions into consideration. As the true brain age is unknown and may deviate from chronological age, we further examine whether various levels of behavioral performance across subjects predict their brain age estimated from neuroimaging data. This is an important step to quantify the practical implication of brain age prediction. Our findings are helpful to advance the practice of optimizing different analytic methodologies in brain age prediction.

Investigating systematic bias in brain age estimation with application to post-traumatic stress disorders

Brain age prediction using machine-learning techniques has recently attracted growing attention, as it has the potential to serve as a biomarker for characterizing the typical brain development and neuropsychiatric disorders. Yet one long-standing problem is that the predicted brain age is overestimated in younger subjects and underestimated in older. There is a plethora of claims as to the bias origins, both methodologically and in data itself. With a large neuroanatomical dataset (N = 2,026; 6-89 years of age) from multiple shared datasets, we show this bias is neither data-dependent nor specific to particular method including deep neural network. We present an alternative account that offers a statistical explanation for the bias and describe a simple, yet efficient, method using general linear model to adjust the bias. We demonstrate the effectiveness of bias adjustment with a large multi-modal neuroimaging data (N = 804; 8-21 years of age) for both healthy controls and post-traumatic stress disorders patients obtained from the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort.