Inflammation is associated with incident hypertension in patients with axial spondyloarthritis: A longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To elucidate the risk factors for the development of incident hypertension (IHT) in patients with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in axSpA patients who were recruited from 2001 to 2019 from a university clinic in Hong Kong. Patients with HT and/or anti-hypertensive drug use at baseline were excluded. They were followed until the end of 2020. The outcome was IHT, defined by a diagnosis and a prescription for an antihypertensive drug. Baseline and time-varying Cox regression analyses adjusting for age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), were used to assess the relationship between drug use, inflammatory burden, and IHT.

RESULTS

Four hundred and thirteen patients [age: 34(25-43) years, male: 319 (77.2%)] were recruited. After a median follow-up of 12 (6-17) years, 58 patients (14%) developed IHT (IHT+group). Among all the baseline variables, disease duration and delay in diagnosis were the independent predictors for IHT based on the Cox regression model. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, baseline disease duration, delay in diagnosis and time-varying ESR levels were independent predictors associated with an increased risk of IHT. IHT risk was significantly increased in patients with disease duration >5 years. The use of anti-inflammatory drugs was not associated with the development of IHT.

CONCLUSION

Higher inflammatory burden as reflected by a longer disease duration, delay diagnosis and higher ESR levels, were predictors associated with IHT after adjusting for traditional CV risk factors. These data support routine screening for hypertension in axSpA patients, especially those with longer disease duration.

A longitudinal study of incident hypertension and its determinants in Indian adults aged 45 years and older: evidence from nationally representative WHO-SAGE study (2007-2015)

Objectives

Hypertension (HT) is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity in developing countries. This study aimed to estimate the incidence of HT among adults aged 45 years and older in India and its associated risk factors.

Methods

This study used longitudinal data from the Indian sample of the first and second waves of the World Health Organization Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health (WHO-SAGE). A bivariate analysis using Pearson's chi-square test was done to examine the associations of individual, lifestyle, and household characteristics with HT status reported in Wave 2. Incident HT changes were analyzed by adjusting for various covariates in the generalized estimating equation (logit link function) with an exchangeable correlation matrix and robust standard errors.

Results

The study found that during the 8-year period from 2007 to 2015, the incidence of HT in individuals aged 45 years and over was 20.8%. Pre-hypertensive individuals had an overall incidence rate of 31.1 per 1,000 [95% confidence interval (CI): 26.20-35.9] and a 2.24 times higher odds ratio: 2.24 (95% CI: 1.65-3.03) of developing incident HT compared to those who were normotensive. Adults aged 45 years and older, overweight/obese individuals, and women were more at risk of incident HT.

Conclusion

One in five individuals had developed HT over 8 years, with a greater risk of incident HT among women than men. Pre-hypertensive individuals were at a greater risk of developing incident HT compared to normotensive individuals. The study recommends comprehensive and effective management of pre-HT to tackle the burden of HT.

Sex differences in hypertension among people living with HIV after initiation of antiretroviral therapy

Background

Hypertension is common in people living with HIV (PLWH) on antiretroviral therapy (ART). In the general population and in experimental animal models, the incidence of hypertension is greater in males than in females, especially during the premenopausal period. However, it is not known whether there are sex differences in hypertension associated with HIV and ART, and the factors contributing to incident hypertension among PLWH have not been well characterized. In this study, we aimed to determine the time course, sex differences and factors associated with incident hypertension in PLWH initiating ART.

Methods and results

We conducted a retrospective study in which we used programmatic data from the ART registry to identify sex differences in the determinants of incident hypertension among PLWH initiating the ART regimen from Livingstone University Teaching Hospital in Zambia and followed for 8 years. Males developed hypertension earlier, 2 years after initiating ART, compared to 6 years in females. In multivariable analysis, increasing age, baseline systolic blood pressure and baseline mean arterial pressure (MAP) were associated with increased risk for developing incident hypertension. Also, participants who switched to the integrase strand transfer inhibitor, dolutegravir (DTG) or the protease inhibitor, lopinavir boosted with ritonavir were 2 and 3 times more likely to develop hypertension when compared to those on non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs). However, these relationships were abrogated by sex, as self-reported male sex was the major contributor in predicting incident hypertension. While none of the factors remained significantly associated with incident hypertension upon multivariate analysis among females, body mass index (BMI), and use of protease inhibitors remained strongly associated with hypertension among males.

Conclusion

Our results indicate that the use of protease inhibitors and BMI are important predictors of incident hypertension among males. Thus, blood pressure and BMI should be closely monitored, particularly in males living with HIV on protease inhibitors. In addition, identifying specific factors that protect females from developing hypertension early is important but remains to be determined.

Ultra-Processed Food Consumption Associated with Incident Hypertension among Chinese Adults-Results from China Health and Nutrition Survey 1997-2015

Objective: Ultra-processed food (UPF) has been shown to increase the cardiometabolic health risks. We aimed to determine the association between UPF intake based on the NOVA classification and the risk of hypertension incidence during 1997−2015. Methods: Data from 15,054 adults aged ≥ 20 years (47.4% males) attending the China Nutrition and Health Survey (CNHS) were used. Food intake at each survey was assessed by a 3-day 24 h dietary recall and weighed food record method between 1997−2011. Cox regression was used to assess the association between UPF intake and incident hypertension. Results: During a mean average of 9.5 years (SD 5.5) of follow up, 4329 hypertension incident cases were identified. The incident rates (per 1000) for non-consumers and 1−49, 50−99, and ≥100 g/day of UPF intake were 29.5 and 29.5, 33.4, and 36.3, respectively. Compared with non-consumers, the hazard ratios (95% CI) for UPF intake of 1−49, 50−99, and >100 g/day were 1.00 (0.90−1.12), 1.17 (1.04−1.33), and 1.20 (1.06−1.35), respectively, (p = 0.001) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. There was a significant interaction between UPF intake and age with a higher risk in the younger group (<40 years) than in the older one. Conclusion: UPF consumption was dose-responsively associated with increased risk of hypertension among Chinese adults, especially in younger groups.

Dyslipidemia Increases the Risk of Incident Hypertension in a Large Taiwanese Population Follow-Up Study

Dyslipidemia is an important risk factor for hypertension and is strongly associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular diseases including atherosclerosis and stroke. In this study, we investigated correlations between lipid profiles, including triglycerides, total cholesterol (Chol), high-and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C/LDL-C), and Chol/HDL-C, and baseline and incident hypertension. A total of 26,965 subjects with 4 years of follow-up data were enrolled from the Taiwan Biobank. In the cross-sectional cohort, associations between the prevalence of hypertension and lipid profiles were examined in all study participants (n = 26,965). In the longitudinal cohort, these associations were further assessed in the participants without baseline hypertension (n = 21,454). Multivariable analysis revealed that those in the second quartile (Q2) of triglycerides (compared to Q1; odds ratio (OR), 1.402; p < 0.001); Q3 of triglycerides (compared to Q1; OR, 1.365; p < 0.001); Q4 of triglycerides (compared to Q1; OR, 1.617; p < 0.001); Q3 of HDL-C (compared to Q1; OR, 0.886; p = 0.042); Q4 of HDL-C (compared to Q1; OR, 0.819; p = 0.002); Q2 of Chol/HDL-C (compared to Q1; OR, 1.144; p = 0.042); Q3 of Chol/HDL-C (compared to Q1; OR, 1.149; p = 0.034); and Q4 of Chol/HDL-C (compared to Q1; OR, 1.225; p = 0.002) were significantly associated with incident hypertension. In summary, high Chol/HDL-C, low HDL-C, and high triglycerides were associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension in the enrolled Taiwanese participants.

Association of cooking fuel with incident hypertension among adults in China: A population-based cohort study

With an increasing prevalence of hypertension, indoor air‐pollution factors began to attract extensive attention. However, the association of cooking fuel with the incidence of hypertension was inconsistent. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of household air‐pollution caused by cooking fuel with the incidence of hypertension. Data were derived from the China Health and Nutrition Survey. Participants aged 18 years or older were eligible. A validated questionnaire was used to collect the information on the type of cooking fuel, including electricity, natural gas, coal, and wood/charcoal. Participants with a systemic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg or /and a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg without use of anti‐hypertensive medications, or participants with an SBP/DBP < 140/90 mmHg but having hypertensive history or currently being taking anti‐hypertensive medication were identified as hypertension. Multilevel Cox regressions were employed to examine the association of cooking fuel with incident hypertension. Compared to participants using electricity, participants using wood/charcoal had a higher incidence of hypertension (HR: 1.581; 95% CI: 1.373‐1.821; and P < .001), which was independent of sex and living areas. Furthermore, this significant association was observed only in the participants aged 18–39 years (HR: 1.443; 95% CI: 1.131‐1.840; and P = .003). Compared to participants using non‐polluting energy, participants using solid fuel were more likely to develop hypertension (HR: 1.309; 95% CI: 1.191‐1.439; and P < .001). In conclusion, household air‐pollution was associated with the incidence of hypertension among Chinese adults. Using wood/charcoal or solid fuel in youth was associated with a higher incidence of hypertension later in life.

N-glycosylation of immunoglobulin G predicts incident hypertension

OBJECTIVES

Glycosylation of immunoglobulin G (IgG) is an important regulator of the immune system and has been implicated in prevalent hypertension. The aim of this study is to investigate whether the IgG glycome begins to change prior to hypertension diagnosis by analysing the IgG glycome composition in a large population-based female cohort with two independent replication samples.

METHODS

We included 989 unrelated cases with incident hypertension and 1628 controls from the TwinsUK cohort (mean follow-up time of 6.3 years) with IgG measured at baseline by ultra-performance liquid chromatography and longitudinal BP measurement available. We replicated our findings in 106 individuals from the 10 001 Dalmatians and 729 from KORA S4. Cox regression mixed models were applied to identify changes in glycan traits preincident hypertension, after adjusting for age, mean arterial pressure, BMI, family relatedness and multiple testing (FDR < 0.1). Significant IgG-incident hypertension associations were replicated in the two independent cohorts by leveraging Cox regression mixed models in the 10 001 Dalmatians and logistic regression models in the KORA cohort.

RESULTS

We identified and replicated four glycan traits, incidence of bisecting GlcNAc, GP4, GP9 and GP21, that are predictive of incident hypertension after adjusting for confoundes and multiple testing [hazard ratio (95% CI) ranging from 0.45 (0.24-0.84) for GP21 to 2.9 (1.5-5.68) for GP4]. We then linearly combined the four replicated glycans and found that the glycan score correlated with incident hypertension, SBP and DBP.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the IgG glycome changes prior to the development of hypertension.

Live birth/parity number and the risk of incident hypertension among parous women during over 13 years of follow-up

The effect of live birth/parity number on incident hypertension was investigated among Iranian parous women aged 30–70 years. The study population included 2188 normotensive women who were enrolled in 1999–2001. They were followed for incident hypertension (based on JNC 7 report) by 3‐year intervals up to April 2018. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for a wide set of potential hypertension risk factors, reproductive factors, and pregnancy complications, were applied to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the number of parity/live birth(s) for incident hypertension. Additionally, as a sensitivity analysis, age‐scale Cox regression was also done. During a median follow‐up of 13.5 years, 935 incident hypertension have occurred. Compared to those with two live births, the participants who had 3 and ≥4 live births were at higher risk of hypertension development by the HRs of 1.25 [95% CI: 1.02–1.55] and 1.39 [1.12–1.72], respectively, in the full‐adjusted model. Moreover, each additional live birth increased the risk of hypertension by a HR of 1.06 [95%CI: 1.02–1.11]. Results of parity number were also similar. Considering age as time scale also did not change the results generally. The authors found a significant interaction between live birth/parity number and age groups; the adverse effect of higher live birth/parity numbers on hypertension development was mainly found among those aged < 50 years. To sum up, compared to the live birth/parity number of two, Iranian women with ≥3 live birth/parity had a higher risk of incident hypertension; the issue was more prominent among younger mothers.

Incidence of hypertension in obstructive sleep apnea using hypopneas defined by 3 percent oxygen desaturation or arousal but not by only 4 percent oxygen desaturation

STUDY OBJECTIVES

This analysis determined ∼5-year incident hypertension rates using the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association blood pressure (BP) guidelines in individuals with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) with hypopneas defined by a ≥ 3% oxygen desaturation or arousal but not by a hypopnea criterion of ≥ 4% oxygen desaturation (4% only).

METHODS

Data were analyzed from participants in the Sleep Heart Health Study exam 2 (n = 1219) who were normotensive (BP ≤ 120/80 mm Hg) at exam 1. The AHI at exam 1 was classified into 4 categories of OSA severity: < 5, 5 ≤ 15, 15 ≤ 30, and ≥ 30 events/h using both the 3% oxygen desaturation or arousal and the 4% only definitions. Three definitions of hypertension-elevated BP (> 120/80 mm Hg), stage 1 (> 130/80 mm Hg), and stage 2 (> 140/90 mm Hg)-were used to determine incidence rates at exam 2.

RESULTS

Five-year follow-up was available for 476 participants classified as having OSA by the 3% oxygen desaturation or arousal criterion but not by the 4% only standard at exam 1. Incident hypertension using American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association-defined BP categories in these discordantly classified individuals were 15% (elevated BP), 15% (stage 1), and 6% (stage 2). Hypertensive medications were used in 4% of participants who were normotensive. The overall incidence rate of at least an elevated BP was 40% (191/476) in those with OSA defined using the 3% oxygen desaturation or arousal criterion but not by the 4% only criterion.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of the 4% only hypopnea definition resulted in the failure to identify a significant number of individuals with OSA who eventually developed hypertension and could have benefited from earlier diagnosis and treatment.

Effects of the total physical activity and its changes on incidence, progression, and remission of hypertension

OBJECTIVES

Moderate to vigorous physical activity is recommended to prevent hypertension according to the current guidelines. However, the degree to which the total physical activity (TPA) and its changes benefit normotensives and hypertensives is uncertain. We aimed to examine the effects of TPA and its changes on the incidence, progression, and remission of hypertension in the large-scale prospective cohorts.

METHODS

A total of 73,077 participants (55,101 normotensives and 17,976 hypertensives) were eligible for TPA analyses. During a mean follow-up of 7.16 years (394,038 person-years), 12,211 hypertension cases were identified. TPA was estimated as metabolic equivalents and categorized into quartiles. Cox proportional hazards regression and multivariable logistic regression were used to estimate associations of TPA and changes in TPA with incident hypertension and progression/remission of hypertension.

RESULTS

Compared with the lowest quartile of TPA, normotensives at the third and the highest quartile had a decreased risk of incident hypertension, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.81-0.91] and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.86), respectively. Hypertensives at the highest quartile of TPA demonstrated a decreased risk of progression of hypertension [odds ratio (OR) = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.79-0.95], and an increased probability of hypertension remission (OR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.29). Moreover, getting active from a sedentary lifestyle during the follow-up period could reduce 25% (HR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) risk of incident hypertension, whereas those becoming sedentary did not achieve benefit from initially being active.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicated that increasing and maintaining TPA levels could benefit normotensives, whereas higher TPA levels were needed to effectively control progression and improve remission of hypertension. Physical activity played undoubtedly an essential role in both primary and secondary prevention of hypertension.

Spatiotemporal Variation of the Association between Urbanicity and Incident Hypertension among Chinese Adults

Urbanization is believed to result in a transition towards energy-dense diets, sedentary lifestyles, and a subsequent increase in the burden of hypertension (HTN) and other cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in developing countries. However, the extent to which this occurs is likely dependent on social contexts. We performed multilevel logistic regression models to examine whether the association between incident HTN and the degree to which a community exhibits urban features varied by region (the Northeast, East Coast, Central, and West) within China and period. We used longitudinal data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (1991–2015) and stratified analyses by sex. Among women, the positive association between medium-to-high urbanicity and HTN onset generally shifted to negative between 1991 and 2015. The high urbanicity was associated with lower odds of developing HTN in the East Coast from the early 1990s. The negative association between high urbanicity and HTN occurrence became statistically significant during 1991–2015 in the Northeastern and Central Regions, while the association remained positive and non-significant in the West. Among men, the relationship between urbanicity and incident HTN was generally non-significant, except for the East Coast in which the negative association between high urbanicity and HTN occurrence became statistically-significant in more recent years. Our findings suggest that, when a subnational region or the society as a whole has become more economically developed, higher urbanicity might turn out to be a protective factor of cardiovascular health. Moreover, improvements made to communities’ urban features might be more effective in preventing HTN for women than for men.

Prediction of incident hypertension and arterial stiffness using the non-insulin-based metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) index

Hypertension is associated with insulin resistance (IR), metabolic syndrome (MS), and arterial stiffness. Non-insulin-based IR indexes were developed as tools for metabolic screening. Here, we aimed to evaluate the novel non-insulin-based Metabolic Score for IR (METS-IR) index for the prediction of incident hypertension and arterial stiffness evaluated using pulse wave velocity (PWV) analysis, compared with other non-insulin-based IR indexes. We evaluated two populations, a cross-sectional evaluation of high-risk individuals (n = 305) with a wide range of metabolic comorbidities and dyslipidemia in whom PWV measurement was performed and a 3-year prospective cohort of normotensive individuals (N = 6850). We observed a positive correlation between METS-IR and PWV in the cross-sectional cohort, which was higher compared with other non-insulin-based fasting IR indexes; furthermore, PWV values >75th percentile were associated with the upper tercile of METS-IR values. In the prospective cohort, we observed an increased risk for incident hypertension for the upper METS-IR tercile (METS-IR ≥ 46.42; HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.41-2.34), adjusted for known cardiovascular risk factors, and observed that METS-IR had greater increases in the predictive capacity for hypertension along with SBP and the Framingham Hypertension Risk Prediction Model compared with other non-insulin-based IR indexes. Therefore, METS-IR is a novel non-insulin-based IR index which correlates with arterial stiffness and is a predictor of incident hypertension, complementary to previously validated risk prediction models.

C-reactive protein and incident hypertension in a worksite population of Japanese men

Inflammation plays a key role in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular diseases via the development of atherosclerosis. Here, we evaluated the impact of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and the white blood cell (WBC) count on the risk of hypertension in middle-aged Japanese men at a work site. We evaluated a total of 2991 Japanese male workers without hypertension who ranged in age from 18 to 64 years (mean age 40.4 ± 0.2 years) at a worksite in 2010. The hazard ratio (HR) for incident hypertension was estimated according to quartile levels of serum high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP) or WBC count. These men were followed up for 5 years from 2010 to 2015. During the follow-up period, 579 (19.4%) subjects developed hypertension. In a multivariable analysis, the risk of incident hypertension was significantly increased with higher hs-CRP levels: HR 1.00 (reference) for the lowest quartile, 1.39 (1.04-1.85) for the 2nd quartile, 1.46 (1.08-1.98) for the 3rd quartile, and 1.57 (1.17-2.11) for the highest quartile. In contrast, the WBC count was not associated with a greater risk of incident hypertension after multivariable adjustment. These findings suggest that higher levels of serum hs-CRP, but not the WBC count, are associated with the future incidence of hypertension in middle-aged Japanese men.

Cardiovascular Health and Incident Hypertension in Blacks: JHS (The Jackson Heart Study)

Several modifiable health behaviors and health factors that comprise the Life's Simple 7-a cardiovascular health metric-have been associated with hypertension risk. We determined the association between cardiovascular health and incident hypertension in JHS (the Jackson Heart Study)-a cohort of blacks. We analyzed participants without hypertension or cardiovascular disease at baseline (2000-2004) who attended ≥1 follow-up visit in 2005 to 2008 or 2009 to 2012 (n=1878). Body mass index, physical activity, diet, cigarette smoking, blood pressure (BP), total cholesterol, and fasting glucose were assessed at baseline and categorized as ideal, intermediate, or poor using the American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7 definitions. Incident hypertension was defined at the first visit wherein a participant had systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg, diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg, or self-reported taking antihypertensive medication. The percentage of participants with ≤1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 ideal Life's Simple 7 components was 6.5%, 22.4%, 34.4%, 25.2%, 10.0%, and 1.4%, respectively. No participants had 7 ideal components. During follow-up (median, 8.0 years), 944 (50.3%) participants developed hypertension, including 81.3% with ≤1 and 11.1% with 6 ideal components. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for incident hypertension comparing participants with 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 versus ≤1 ideal component were 0.80 (0.61-1.03), 0.58 (0.45-0.74), 0.30 (0.23-0.40), 0.26 (0.18-0.37), and 0.10 (0.03-0.31), respectively (Ptrend <0.001). This association was present among participants with baseline systolic BP <120 mm Hg and diastolic BP <80 mm Hg and separately systolic BP 120 to 139 mm Hg or diastolic BP 80 to 89 mm Hg. Blacks with better cardiovascular health have lower hypertension risk.

Synergistic effect of gestational hypertension and postpartum incident hypertension on cardiovascular health: a nationwide population study

BACKGROUND

Gestational hypertension (GH) is a common complication of pregnancy and is associated with increased risk of incident hypertension in later life (IH) and cardiovascular events. However, the interactive effect of GH and IH on postpartum cardiovascular health remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A nationwide population-based study was conducted using 1 million individuals from the Taiwan National Health Insurance database. Records from 1998 to 2009 were used to identify 1260 pregnant women with GH and without previous cardiovascular disease. The control group comprised 5040 pregnant women without GH, matched for age and date of delivery. During the follow-up period (median duration, 5.8 years), 182 cardiovascular events developed. Women with GH had significantly higher risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio [95% CI], 2.44 [1.80 to 3.31]) and IH (8.29 [6.30 to 10.91]) than controls. Compared with women without GH and IH, there was a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular events for women without GH but with IH (relative risk [95% CI], 2.89 [1.27-6.58]), women with GH but without IH (1.66 [1.16-2.39]), and women with GH and IH (8.11 [5.36-12.30]). The synergy index was 2.91 (95% CI 1.11 to 7.59), suggesting a positive interaction between GH and IH.

CONCLUSIONS

GH increased the risk of subsequent IH. Women with both GH and IH were at a substantially higher cardiovascular risk than were women with either GH or IH. The synergistic adverse effect of GH and IH on postpartum cardiovascular health indicates that more attention should be paid to this special population.

Sodium intake from various time frames and incident hypertension among Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Although it is clear that there are short-term effects of sodium intake on blood pressure, little is known about the most relevant timing of sodium exposure for the onset of hypertension. This question can be addressed only in cohorts with repeated measures of sodium intake.

METHODS

Using up to seven measures of dietary sodium intake and blood pressure between 1991 and 2009, we compared the association of baseline, mean, and most recent sodium intake with incident hypertension, in 6578 adults enrolled in the China Health and Nutrition Survey (age 18 to 65 years and free of hypertension at baseline). We used survival methods that account for the interval-censored nature of this study and inverse-probability weights to generate adjusted survival curves and time-specific cumulative risk differences; hazard ratios were also estimated.

RESULTS

Baseline sodium intake was not associated with incident hypertension. For the mean and most recent measures, the probability of hypertension-free survival was the lowest among those with the highest sodium intake compared with all other intake groups across the entire follow-up. In addition, the most recent sodium intake had a positive dose-response association with incident hypertension (risk difference at 11 years of follow-up = 0.04 [95% confidence interval = 0.00 to 0.08], 0.06 [0.02 to 0.11], 0.18 [0.12 to 0.24], and 0.20 [0.12 to 0.27] for the second to fifth sodium-intake groups compared with the lowest group, respectively).

CONCLUSION

We found that, among the various time frames, the most recent exposure to sodium was most strongly associated with incident hypertension.

Progression from prehypertension to hypertension in a Jamaican cohort: incident hypertension and its predictors

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the incidence of hypertension in people with and without prehypertension and determine the factors that predict progression to hypertension.

METHODS

Data from a cohort of 25-74-year-old residents of Spanish Town, Jamaica, were analysed. All participants completed a structured questionnaire and had blood pressure (BP), anthropometric measurements and venous blood sampling performed by trained personnel. Blood Pressure was classified using the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC-7) criteria.

RESULTS

708 persons who had the required data and were not hypertensive at baseline were included in this analysis. Mean follow-up time was 4.1 years; 28.7% of prehypertensive participants developed hypertension compared to 6.2% of normotensive participants. The unadjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR [95% CI]) for progression among prehypertensive compared to normotensive participants was 4.62 [2.96, 7.43]. Among males, the rate of progression to hypertension was significantly higher for those 45-64 years old and those who were current smokers. Among females, progression was higher for age groups 25-44 years, 45-64 years, those who were overweight (BMI > or =25), obese (BMI > or =30) and current smokers. In multivariate models, prehypertension, female gender overweight status and older age remained significantly associated with progression to hypertension among the combined prehypertensive and normotensive groups. IRR [95% CI] were: prehypertension, 3.45 [2.18-5.45]; female gender 1.81 [1.12, 2.94]; overweight, 1.87 [1.15, 2.94]; age 45-64 years, 1.73 [1.08, 2.76]; age > 65 years 2.39 [1.31, 4.34].

CONCLUSIONS

Prehypertension is associated with a three-fold increase in the incidence of hypertension. Higher BMI, age and female gender also independently predict the development of hypertension.