Cost-effectiveness of nivolumab versus surveillance for the adjuvant treatment of patients with urothelial carcinoma who are at high risk of recurrence: a US payer perspective

AIM

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant nivolumab compared with surveillance for the treatment of patients with high-risk muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma (MIUC) after radical resection from a US healthcare payer perspective and to investigate the impact of alternative modeling approaches on the cost-effectiveness results.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A four-state, semi-Markov model consisting of disease free, local recurrence, distant recurrence, and death health states was developed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab compared with surveillance over a 30-year time horizon. The model used data from the randomized CheckMate 274 trial (NCT02632409) and published literature to inform transitions among health states, and inputs on cost, utility, adverse event, and disease management. Scenario analyses were conducted to investigate the impact of model structure and key assumptions on the results. One-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were conducted to investigate the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Total expected costs were higher with nivolumab ($162,278) compared with surveillance ($63,027). Nivolumab was associated with improved survival (1.61 life-years gained compared with surveillance) and an incremental gain of 0.98 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Although total treatment costs were higher for nivolumab, cost offsets were observed because of delayed or avoided recurrences and deaths experienced with nivolumab compared with observation. The incremental cost-effectiveness and cost-utility ratios were $61,462/life-year and $100,930/QALY.

LIMITATIONS

At the time of analysis, CheckMate 274 had limited follow-up on disease-free survival and no overall survival data. The limited evidence necessitated assumptions on modeling survival after each type of recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Nivolumab is estimated to be a life-extending and cost-effective option for adjuvant treatment of MIUC for patients who are at high risk of recurrence after undergoing radical resection in the United States. Using a threshold of $150,000/QALY, the cost-effectiveness conclusions remained consistent across the scenario and sensitivity analyses conducted.

Effects of single and combined contamination of total petroleum hydrocarbons and heavy metals on soil microecosystems: Insights into bacterial diversity, assembly, and ecological function

Deciphering the impact of single and combined contamination of total petroleum hydrocarbons (TPH) and heavy metals on soil microecosystems is essential for the remediation of contaminated habitats, yet it remains incompletely understood. In this study, we employed high-throughput sequencing to investigate the impact of single TPH contamination, single metal contamination, and their co-contamination on soil microbial diversity, assembly mechanisms, composition, ecological function, and resistome. Our results revealed that contamination led to a reduction in alpha diversity, with single contamination displaying lower diversity compared to co-contamination, depending on the concentration of pollutants. Community beta diversity was primarily driven by turnover rather than nestedness, and narrower ecological niches were detected under pollution conditions. The neutral community model suggested that homogenizing dispersal played a significant role in the community assembly process under single TPH or co-contamination, while homogeneous selection dominated under heavy metals pollution. Procrustes analysis demonstrated a correlation between community composition and functional divergence, while Mantel tests linked this divergence to concentrations of Cr, Cr6+, Pb, and TPH. Interestingly, soils co-polluted with TPH and heavy metals exhibited similar genera, community functions, and resistomes as soils contaminated with only metals, highlighting the significant impact of heavy metals. Ecological functions related to carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and sulfur (S) cycles were enhanced under TPH pollution but impaired under heavy metals stress. These findings enhance our understanding of soil microecosystems subjected to TPH, heavy metals, and their co-contamination, and carry significant implications for environmental microecology and pollutant risk assessment.

Ten-year cost-consequence analysis of weight loss on obesity-related outcomes in privately insured adults with obesity in Saudi Arabia

AIM

This study aimed to estimate the 10-year cost-consequence of weight loss on obesity-related outcomes in a sample of privately insured adults with obesity in Saudi Arabia (KSA).

METHODS

We analyzed data of adults with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) available in Nphies, the private health insurance platform of the Council of Health Insurance, KSA. A micro-costing analysis was used to obtain domestic cost estimates for obesity-related outcomes. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the benefit of weight loss by preventing incident cases of 10 obesity-related outcomes.

RESULTS

In the study cohort (n = 314,079), the 30-34.9 BMI category contributed two-thirds of the cohort, and no gender differences were found in the age distribution of BMI categories. The elderly population had a higher prevalence of obesity-related outcomes, such as hypertension, osteoarthritis, and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The baseline cost (2023) for treating these outcomes was USD 1.245 billion, which could double in 10 years. A 15% weight loss could save USD 1.295 billion over 10 years, with most savings due to T2DM (USD 430 million), given its higher prevalence (27.5%). The model was most sensitive to cost variability in T2DM, dyslipidemia, and hypertension.

LIMITATIONS

The results should be interpreted within the bounds of the study cohort, and Nphies is in its early stages of implementation. The cost estimates may differ if repeated among adults with obesity only, potentially leading to increased cost savings with weight loss.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate weight loss of 5-15% over 10 years is associated with substantial cost savings in Saudi Arabia. For a 15% weight loss, 18.8% of incidence cases of obesity-related outcomes may be prevented, and slowed increases in T2DM, dyslipidemia, and hypertension may lead to considerable cost savings. The findings would help policymakers to implement weight loss programs in KSA.

Patients treated with pimavanserin or quetiapine for Parkinson's disease psychosis: analysis of health resource utilization patterns among Medicare beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Pimavanserin (PIM) is the only FDA approved atypical antipsychotic (AAP) for the treatment of Parkinson's Disease Psychosis (PDP). However, other AAPs such as quetiapine (QUE) are used off-label in patients with PDP. Real-world comparative effects of PIM and QUE on health resource utilization (HCRU) may provide insights about their relative benefits.

OBJECTIVES

To examine annual HCRU among newly initiated PIM or QUE monotherapy among patients with PDP.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 100% Medicare (Parts A, B, and D) claims of patients with PDP during 01/01/13-12/31/19 was conducted. Treatment-naive patients with first prescription for PIM or QUE from 01/01/14-12/31/18 were selected if they had ≥12-months continuous monotherapy and had no prior AAP use for ≥12-month pre-index. Post-index 12-month HCRU was compared between 1:1 propensity score matched (PSM) PIM or QUE cohorts. HCRU outcomes included: rates of all-cause and psychiatric-related inpatient hospitalizations by stay-type [i.e., long-term stays (LT-stays), short-term stays (ST-stays), skilled nursing facility stays (SNF-stays)], outpatient hospitalizations, emergency room (ER) visits, and office visits. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) are reported.

RESULTS

A total of 842 and 7,116 were treated with PIM and QUE, respectively. Mean age and gender distribution were similar among PIM (77.4 ± 7.2 years; 53% males) and QUE (78.1 ± 7.7 years; 54% males) cohorts, respectively. Among matched (n = 842) patients, those on PIM had significantly lower RR for all-cause: inpatient hospitalizations [RR 0.78 (95% CI: 0.70-0.87)], ST-stays [RR 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.84)], SNF-stays [RR 0.64 (95% CI: 0.54-0.76)], and ER visits [RR 0.91 (95% CI: 0.84-0.97)] vs. QUE. PIM patients had slightly higher RR for all-cause office visits [RR 1.03 (95% CI: 1.01-1.05)] compared to QUE. All-cause LT-stays, and outpatient hospitalizations were not significant. The RR for psychiatric-related inpatient hospitalizations were lower for PIM vs. QUE: [0.63 (95% CI: 0.48-0.82)] ST-stays [0.61 (95% CI: 0.43-0.86)], SNF-stay [0.69 (95% CI: 0.47-1.02)], and ER visits [0.53 (95% CI: 0.37-0.76)].

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with PDP newly treated with PIM monotherapy compared to newly treated QUE monotherapy, PIM users were nearly 22% and 37% less likely to have all-cause and psychiatric-related inpatient hospitalizations.

Cost-effectiveness of selective internal radiation therapy with Y-90 resin microspheres for intermediate- and advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma in Brazil

AimsHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a severe condition with poor prognosis that places a significant burden on patients, caregivers, and healthcare systems. Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is a treatment available to patients with HCC which addresses some of the limitations of alternative treatment options. A cost-effectiveness analysis was undertaken into the use of SIRT using Y-90 resin microspheres for the treatment of unresectable, intermediate- and late-stage HCC in Brazil.Materials and methodsA partitioned-survival model was developed, including a tunnel state for patients downstaged to receive treatments with curative intent. Sorafenib was the selected comparator, a common systemic treatment in Brazil and for which comparative evidence exists. Clinical data were extracted from published sources of pivotal trials, and effectiveness was measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and life-years (LYs). The analysis was conducted from the Brazilian private payer perspective and a lifetime horizon was implemented. Comprehensive sensitivity analyses were conducted.ResultsLYs and QALYs were higher for SIRT with Y-90 resin microspheres versus sorafenib (0.27 and 0.20 incremental LYs and QALYs, respectively) and costs were slightly higher for SIRT (R$15,864). The base case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was R$77,602 per QALY. The ICER was mostly influenced by parameters defining the sorafenib overall survival curve and SIRT had a 73% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of R$135,761 per QALY (three times the per-capita gross domestic product in Brazil). Overall, sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the results indicating that SIRT with Y-90 resin microspheres is cost-effective compared with sorafenib.LimitationsA rapidly evolving treatment landscape in Brazil and worldwide, and the lack of local data for some variables were the main limitations.ConclusionsSIRT with Y-90 resin microspheres is a cost-effective option compared with sorafenib in Brazil.

Cost-effectiveness of a novel, non-active implantable device as a treatment for refractory gastro-esophageal reflux disease

AIMS

Gastro-esophageal reflux disease (GERD) is a common, chronic gastrointestinal condition characterized by heartburn, chest pain, regurgitation, and bloating. Current standard of care includes chronic treatment with proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) or, in selected patients, laparoscopic anti-reflux surgery. RefluxStop is a novel implantable device indicated for GERD patients eligible for laparoscopic surgical treatment. The aim of this analysis was to assess the cost-effectiveness of RefluxStop against available treatment options for GERD.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of RefluxStop compared with PPI-based medical management (MM) and two surgical management options, LNF and magnetic sphincter augmentation (MSA, LINX system), in people with GERD. Clinical outcomes and costs were estimated over a lifetime horizon from the UK National Health Service perspective and an annual discount rate of 3.5% was applied.

RESULTS

RefluxStop showed favorable surgical outcomes compared with both LNF and MSA. The base case incremental cost-effectiveness ratios compared with MM, LNF, and MSA were £4,156, £6,517, and £249 per QALY gained, respectively. At the UK cost effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY gained, the probability that RefluxStop was cost-effective against MM, LNF, and MSA was 100%, 93%, and 100%, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

The model presented the results of a naïve comparison, with evidence for RefluxStop derived from its single-arm CE mark trial and that for comparators from the literature. The varied clinical care pathway of individual GERD patients was necessarily simplified for modelling purposes, and necessary assumptions were made; however, the model results proved robust to sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Introduction of RefluxStop was estimated to extend life expectancy and improve quality of life of GERD patients when compared with MM, LNF and MSA. The results of the cost-effectiveness analysis demonstrated that RefluxStop is highly likely to be a cost-effective treatment option within NHS England.

Assessing the impact of single or short-term administration on a therapy's cost-effectiveness: a hypothetical disease-agnostic model

AIMS

Assessing the value of single or short-term therapies (SSTs) within traditional cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) has been a topic of discussion as the number of SSTs increases, particularly regarding the effect of discounting on valuation. To quantify the impact of discounting in economic evaluations, a CEA of a hypothetical SST and equivalent chronic therapy was conducted using standard methods.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A lifetime Markov model was developed for a hypothetical chronic, progressive disease that could be treated with an SST, chronic therapy, or no novel treatment, termed standard of care (SoC). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) comparing SST vs. SoC and an equivalent chronic therapy vs. SoC were assessed from a payer perspective. Both treatments had equal benefits and undiscounted lifetime costs; 3% discounting was applied to costs/benefits in the base case, and the impact of discounting was assessed.

RESULTS

In the base case example, both the SST and equivalent chronic therapy vs. SoC had ICERs of $86,000/QALY without discounting. With 3% discounting, the ICER for the SST increased by 116% ($186,000/QALY) while the ICER for the chronic therapy increased by 10% ($95,000/QALY) despite equal clinical benefit. In scenario analyses, the ICER of the SST was consistently higher than the equivalent chronic therapy across a range of assumptions/inputs. Varying the cost/benefit discount rates had a greater impact on the SST. Differences in the ICERs between the therapies increased with increasing life expectancy/time horizon.

LIMITATIONS

The simple model structure may not be reflective of acute or more complex diseases. Also, the scenario of perfect equivalency in efficacy and lifetime costs is hypothetical.

CONCLUSIONS

This quantitative assessment showed the extent to which SST CEAs are highly sensitive to discounting, resulting in worse value assessments for SSTs than equivalent chronic therapies.

Evaluating process utilities for the treatment burden of chemotherapy in multiple myeloma in Japan: a time trade-off valuation study

AIMS

This study estimated the "process utilities" of treatment options for patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) in Japan using the time trade-off (TTO) method. Chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cell immunotherapy is available for patients with RRMM who are triple-class exposed (TCE) after treatment with immunomodulatory agents, proteasome inhibitors, and anti-CD38 monoclonal antibodies. However, the impact of available treatment options on health state utilities has not been well characterized, particularly in relation to process utilities.

METHODS

Eight vignettes of health states and daily activity restrictions related to each of the following RRMM therapies were prepared: no treatment, CAR T cell therapy with idecabtagene vicleucel (ide-cel), regular intravenous infusion, and oral administration. A face-to-face survey of healthy Japanese adults who were representative of the general population was conducted. The TTO method was used to evaluate each vignette and to generate utility scores for each treatment regimen.

RESULTS

Three hundred and nineteen respondents participated in the survey (mean age: 44 years [range: 20-64]; female: 50%). Utility scores for no treatment, ide-cel, and oral pomalidomide and dexamethasone (Pd) therapy ranged from approximately 0.7 to 0.8. Utility scores for regular intravenous infusion regimens ranged from 0.50 to 0.56. There was a difference of approximately 0.2 between the utility scores for no treatment/ide-cel/oral administration and regular intravenous infusions.

CONCLUSIONS

Differences in treatment administration across RRMM therapies showed a substantial impact on health state utilities. When quantifying the value of treatments, process utility gains should be considered as an independent factor in health technology assessments.

Characterization of organic contaminants associated with road dust of Delhi NCR, India

Hydrophobic organic contaminated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and CHNS (carbon, hydrogen, nitrogen and sulphur species) are explosively associated with road dust particles. A few organic contaminants are toxic in nature and have an unpleasant effect on human health. The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and the United States-Environmental Protection Agency has considered several PAHs and PCBs as carcinogens for human beings. In the proposed study, the anthropogenic contaminants present in road dust were assessed in six representative diversified sites i.e. industrial, commercial, office, residential, construction and traffic intersection in Delhi NCR, India. Roadside dust samples were gathered in premonsoon, monsoon and postmonsoon seasons and characterized for PAHs, PCBs and CHNS. The concentration of total PAHs (16 Nos) and PCBs (6 Nos) of the selected sites ranged from 0.27 µg/kg to 605.80 µg/kg and 0.01 µg/kg to 41.26 µg/kg, respectively. The Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy-attenuated total reflectance study suggested that the presence of O = C = O, Si-O, carbonyl, acidic or aliphatic esters group were associated with road dust particles. Hydrogen and sulphur concentrations were not detected in the selected road dust samples. Carbon and nitrogen concentrations varied from 2.24% to 16.82% and 0.69% to 14.5%, respectively, seasonally. In the premonsoon season, road dust was distinguishably contaminated as compared to monsoon and postmonsoon season, which might be due to movement of contaminated road dust from adjacent locations. It was perceived that Delhi NCR organic contamination in road dust was much below as compared to other countries. It may be concluded that due to the presence of significant amounts of carbon and nitrogen concentrations in the road dust, to a greater extent, road dust can be fertile and might be advantageous for green belt development to mitigate air pollution. The utilization of road dust will further bring down the burden of landfill sites and may lead towards sustainability.

Cost-effectiveness of a new ACI technique for the treatment of articular cartilage defects of the knee compared to regularly used ACI technique and microfracture

AIMS

For patients with cartilage defects of the knee, a new biocompatible and in situ cross-linkable albumin-hyaluronan-based hydrogel has been developed for matrix-associated autologous chondrocyte implantation (M-ACI) - NOVOCART® Inject plus (NInject)1. We aimed to estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of NInject, that is not available on the market, yet compared to spheroids of human autologous matrix-associated chondrocytes (Spherox^®)2 and microfracture.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An early Markov model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness in the United Kingdom (UK) from the payer perspective. Transition probabilities, response rates, utility values and costs were derived from literature. Since NInject has not yet been launched and no prices are available, its costs were assumed equal to those of Spherox^®. Cycle length was set at one year and the time horizon chosen was notional patients' remaining lifetime. Model robustness was evaluated with deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (DSA; PSA) and value of information (VOI) analysis. The Markov model was built using TreeAge Pro Healthcare.

RESULTS

NInject was cost-effective compared to microfracture (ICER: ₤5,147) while Spherox® was extendedly dominated. In sensitivity analyses, the ICER exceeded conventional WTP threshold of ₤20,000 only when the utility value after successful first treatment with NInject was decreased by 20% (ICER: ₤69,620). PSA corroborated the cost-effectiveness findings of NInject, compared to both alternatives, with probabilities of 60% of NInject undercutting the aforementioned WTP threshold and being the most cost-effective alternative. The VOIA revealed that obtaining additional evidence on the new technology will likely not be cost-effective for the UK National Health Service.

LIMITATIONS AND CONCLUSION

This early Markov model showed that NInject is cost-effective for the treatment of articular cartilage defects in the knee, compared to Spherox and microfracture. However, as the final price of NInject has yet to be determined, the cost-effectiveness analysis performed in this study is provisional, assuming equal prices for NInject and Spherox.

Baseline Serum Biomarkers of Inflammation and Subsequent Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability: A Post Hoc Analysis of MESA

BACKGROUND

Higher blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with the development of major vascular diseases, independent of mean blood pressure. However, despite data indicating that serum inflammatory markers are linked to hypertension, the association between serum inflammatory markers and BPV has not been studied in humans.

METHODS

This is a post hoc analysis of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) study. The study exposure was tertiles of serum level of interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein (CRP), d-dimer, plasmin-antiplasmin complex (PAP), fibrinogen antigen, and calibrated Factor VIII (%) at the baseline study visit. The primary outcome was visit-to-visit BPV measured as the residual standard deviation (rSD) of at least 4 study visits (2000-2018). Two logistic regression models were fit to the top tertile of rSD during follow-up: in Model 1, we adjusted for age, sex, and hypertension, and in Model 2, for patient age categories, sex, race/ethnicity, education, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, drinking, body mass index, lipid-lowering medication, and mean systolic blood pressure.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 5,483 patients, with a mean (SD) age of 61.4 (10.0) years, 52.9% female, and 40.7% White. In unadjusted analyses, all markers of inflammation were associated with higher BPV, but after adjustment, only IL-6 retained significance (P < 0.001). The odds ratio for the highest tertile of BPV and IL-6 was 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.74, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline serum IL-6 was associated with increased subsequent BPV in a large multiracial cohort. Further investigation is needed to better understand the relationship between chronic inflammation and BPV.

Characteristics and drivers of plant C, N, and P stoichiometry in Northern Tibetan Plateau grassland

Understanding vegetation C, N, and P stoichiometry helps us not only to evaluate biogeochemical cycles and ecosystem functions but also to predict the potential impact of environmental change on ecosystem processes. The foliar C, N, and P stoichiometry in Northern Tibetan grasslands, especially the controlling factors, has been highlighted in recent years. In this study, we have collected 340 plant samples and 162 soil samples from 54 plots in three grassland types, with the purpose of evaluating the foliar C, N, and P stoichiometry and underlying control factors in three grassland types along a 1,500-km east-to-west transect in the Northern Tibetan Plateau. Our results indicated that the averaged foliar C, N, and P concentrations were 425.9 ± 15.8, 403.4 ± 22.2, and 420.7 ± 30.7 g kg^-1; 21.7 ± 2.9, 19.0 ± 2.3, and 21.7 ± 5.2 g kg^-1; and 1.71 ± 0.29, 1.19 ± 0.16, and 1.59 ± 0.6 g kg^-1 in the alpine meadow (AM), alpine steppe (AS), and desert steppe (DS) ecosystems, respectively. The foliar C and N ratios were comparable, with values of 19.8 ± 2.8, 20.6 ± 1.9, and 19.9 ± 5.8 in the AM, AS, and DS ecosystems, respectively. Both the C/P and N/P ratios are the lowest in the AM ecosystem, with values of 252.2 ± 32.6 and 12.8 ± 1.3, respectively, whereas the highest values of 347.3 ± 57.0 and 16.2 ± 3.2 were obtained in the AS ecosystem. In contrast, the soil C, N, C/P, and N/P values decreased from the AM to DS ecosystem. Across the whole transects, leaf C, N, and P stoichiometry showed no obvious trend, but soil C and N concentrations showed an increasing trend, and soil P concentrations showed a decreasing trend with the increasing longitude. Based on the general linear model analysis, the vegetation type was the dominant factor controlling the leaf C, N, and P stoichiometry, accounting for 42.8% for leaf C, 45.1% for leaf N, 35.2% for leaf P, 52.9% for leaf C/N, 39.6% for leaf C/P, and 48.0% for leaf N/P; the soil nutrients and climate have relatively low importance. In conclusion, our results supported that vegetation type, rather than climatic variation and soil nutrients, are the major determinants of north Tibet grassland leaf stoichiometry.

Identification of cancer chemotherapy regimens and patient cohorts in administrative claims: challenges, opportunities, and a proposed algorithm

BACKGROUND

Real-world evidence is a valuable source of information in healthcare. This study describes the challenges and successes during algorithm development to identify cancer cohorts and multi-agent chemotherapy regimens from claims data to perform a comparative effectiveness analysis of granulocyte colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) use.

METHODS

Using the Biologics and Biosimilars Collective Intelligence Consortium's Distributed Research Network, we iteratively developed and tested a de novo algorithm to accurately identify patients by cancer diagnosis, then extract chemotherapy and G-CSF administrations for a retrospective study of prophylactic G-CSF.

RESULTS

After identifying patients with cancer and subsequent chemotherapy exposures, we observed only 12% of patients with cancer received chemotherapy, which is fewer than expected based on prior analyses. Therefore, we reversed the initial inclusion criteria to identify chemotherapy receipt, then prior cancer diagnosis, which increased the number of patients from 2,814 to 3,645, or 68% of patients receiving chemotherapy had diagnoses of interest. Additionally, we excluded patients with cancer diagnoses that differed from those of interest in the 183 days before the index date of G-CSF receipt, including early-stage cancers without G-CSF or chemotherapy exposure. By removing this criterion, we retained 77 patients who were previously excluded. Finally, we incorporated a 5-day window to identify all chemotherapy drugs administered (excluding oral prednisone and methotrexate, as these medications may be used for other non-malignant conditions) as patients may fill oral prescriptions days to weeks prior to infusion. This increased the number of patients with chemotherapy exposures of interest to 6,010. The final cohort of included patients, based on G-CSF exposure, increased from 420 from the initial algorithm to 886 using the final algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

Medications used for multiple indications, sensitivity and specificity of administrative codes, and relative timing of medication exposure must all be evaluated to identify patient cohorts receiving chemotherapy from claims data.

Transarterial therapies in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma eligible for transarterial embolization: a US cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost-effectiveness of transarterial radioembolization (TARE) versus conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) and drug-eluting beads chemoembolization (DEE-TACE) for patients with unresectable early- to intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

DESIGN

A cohort-based Markov model with a five-year time horizon was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the three embolization treatments. Upon entering the model, patients with HCC received either TARE or one of the two other embolization treatments. Patients remained in a "watch and wait" state for tumor downstaging that allowed them to move to health states such as liver transplant, resection, systemic therapies, or cure. Clinical input parameters were retrieved from the published literature, and where values could not be sourced, assumptions were made and validated by clinical experts. Health benefits were quantified using quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost input parameters were obtained from various sources, including the Medicare Cost Report, IBM® Micromedex RED BOOK, and published literature.

RESULTS

At five years, TARE was found to be cost-saving (saving $15,779 per person compared to cTACE) and produced 0.33 more QALYs per person than cTACE. TARE cost $13,696 more but produced 0.33 more QALYs than DEE-TACE, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $41,474 per QALY gained at five years. After accounting for parameter uncertainty, the likelihood of TARE being cost-effective was at least 90% against all comparators at a cost-effectiveness threshold of $100,000 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

TARE produces more QALYs than cTACE and DEE-TACE, with a high probability of being cost-effective against both comparators.

Cost-effectiveness of targeted screening for non-valvular atrial fibrillation in the United Kingdom in older patients using digital approaches

AIM

Screening for non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is key in identifying patients with undiagnosed disease who may be eligible for anticoagulation therapy. Understanding the economic value of screening is necessary to assess optimal strategies for payers and healthcare systems. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of opportunistic screening with handheld digital devices and pulse palpation, as well as targeted screening predictive algorithms for UK patients ≥75 years of age.

METHODS

A previously developed Markov cohort model was adapted to evaluate clinical and economic outcomes of opportunistic screening including pulse palpation, Zenicor (extended 14 days), KardiaMobile (extended), and two algorithms compared to no screening. Key model inputs including epidemiology estimates, screening effectiveness, and risks for medical events were derived from the STROKESTOP, ARISTOTLE studies, and published literature, and cost inputs were obtained from a UK national cost database. Health and cost outcomes, annually discounted at 3.5%, were reported for a cohort of 10,000 patients vs. no screening over a time horizon equivalent to a patient's lifetime, Analyses were performed from a UK National Health Services and personal social services perspective.

RESULTS

Zenicor, pulse palpation, and KardiaMobile were dominant (providing better health outcomes at lower costs) vs. no screening; both algorithms were cost-effective vs. no screening, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) of £1,040 and £1,166. Zenicor, pulse palpation, and KardiaMobile remained dominant options vs. no screening in all scenarios explored. Deterministic sensitivity analyses indicated long-term stroke care costs, prevalence of undiagnosed NVAF in patients 75-79 years of age, and clinical efficacy of anticoagulant on stroke prevention were the main drivers of the cost-effectiveness results.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening for NVAF at ≥75 years of age could result in fewer NVAF-related strokes. NVAF screening is cost-effective and may be cost-saving depending on the program chosen.

To wait, or too late? Modeling the effects of delayed ofatumumab treatment in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Several disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) reduce relapse rates and slow disease progression. RRMS DMTs have varying efficacy and administration routes; DMTs prescribed first may not be the most effective on relapses or disease progression. Here, we aimed to quantify the benefit of initiating ofatumumab, a high-efficacy DMT, earlier in the treatment pathway.

METHODS

Aggregate data from a real-world cohort of patients with RRMS, who were eligible for dimethyl fumarate (DMF) or ofatumumab treatment within the UK National Health Service (N = 615), were used to produce a simulated patient cohort. The cohort was tracked through a discrete event simulation (DES) model, based on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), with a lifetime time horizon. Outcomes assessed were: mean number of relapses, time to wheelchair (EDSS ≥7), and time to death. Two modeling approaches were used. The first compared outcomes between two treatment sequences (base case: ofatumumab to natalizumab versus DMF to ofatumumab). The second incorporated a time-specific delay of 1-5 years for switching from DMF to ofatumumab; the difference in outcomes as a function of increasing delay to ofatumumab are reported.

RESULTS

Compared with delayed ofatumumab, fewer relapses and increased time to wheelchair were predicted for earlier ofatumumab in the treatment-sequence approach (mean relapses over the lifetime time horizon: 8.63 versus 9.00; time to wheelchair: 17.55 versus 16.60 years). Time to death was similar for both sequences. At Year 10, a numerically greater proportion of patients receiving earlier ofatumumab had mild disease (EDSS 0-3: 44.12% versus 40.06%). Greater differences, reflecting poorer outcomes, were predicted for relapses and time to wheelchair with increasing delays to ofatumumab treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

The DES model provided a means by which the magnitude of benefit associated with earlier ofatumumab initiation could be quantified; fewer relapses and a prolonged time to wheelchair were predicted.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs of care in the United States for patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

AIMS

This retrospective, observational cohort study aimed to determine the burden of comorbidities, hospitalization, and healthcare costs among patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the United States stratified by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) or body mass index (BMI).

METHODS

Adults with NASH were identified in the Veradigm Health Insights Electronic Health Record Database and linked Komodo claims data. The index date was the earliest coded NASH diagnosis between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020 with valid FIB-4 and ≥6 months of database activity and continuous enrollment pre- and post-index. We excluded patients with viral hepatitis, alcohol-use disorder, or alcoholic liver disease. Patients were stratified by FIB-4: FIB-4 ≤ 0.95, 0.95 < FIB-4 ≤ 2.67, 2.67 < FIB-4 ≤ 4.12, FIB-4 > 4.12) or BMI (BMI <25, 25 ≤ BMI ≤30, BMI > 30). Multivariate analysis was used to assess the relationship of FIB-4 with costs and hospitalizations.

RESULTS

Among 6,743 qualifying patients, index FIB-4 was ≤0.95 for 2,345 patents, 0.95-2.67 for 3,289 patients, 2.67-4.12 for 571 patients, and >4.12 for 538 patients (mean age 55.8 years; 62.9% female). Mean age, comorbidity burden, cardiovascular disease risk, and healthcare utilization increased with increasing FIB-4. Mean ± SD annual costs increased from $16,744±$53,810 to $34,667±$67,691 between the lowest and highest FIB-4 cohorts and were higher among patients with BMI <25 ($24,568±$81,250) than BMI >30 ($21,542±$61,490). A one-unit increase in FIB-4 at index was associated with a 3.4% (95%CI: 1.7%-5.2%) increase in mean total annual cost and an 11.6% (95%CI: 8.0%-15.3%) increased likelihood of hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher FIB-4 was associated with increased healthcare costs and risk of hospitalization in adults with NASH; however, even patients with FIB-4 ≤ 0.95 presented a significant burden.

Clinical and economic impact of ferric carboxymaltose treatment for iron deficiency in patients stabilized following acute heart failure: a multinational study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate clinical events and evaluate the financial implications of introducing ferric carboxymaltose (FCM) to treat iron deficiency (ID) at discharge in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% in the UK, Switzerland and Italy.

METHODS

A decision analytic cost-offset model was developed to evaluate the costs associated with introducing FCM for all eligible patients in three countries compared to a world without FCM, over a five-year time horizon. Data from AFFIRM-AHF clinical trial were used to model clinical outcomes, using an established cohort state-transition Markov model. Country-specific prevalence estimates were derived using data from real-world studies to extrapolate number of events and consequent cost totals to the population at risk on a national scale.

RESULTS

The cost-offset modeling demonstrated that FCM is projected to be a cost-saving intervention in all three country settings over a five-year time horizon. Savings were driven primarily by reduced hospitalizations and avoided cardiovascular deaths, with net cost savings of -£14,008,238, -CHF25,456,455 and -€105,295,146 incurred to the UK, Switzerland and Italy, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Although AFFIRM-AHF was a multinational trial, efficacy data per country was not sufficiently large to enable country-specific analysis, therefore overall clinical parameters have been assumed to apply to all countries.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides further evidence of the potential cost savings achievable by treating ID with FCM at discharge in patients hospitalized for AHF with LVEF <50%. The value of FCM treatment within the healthcare systems of the UK, Switzerland and Italy was demonstrated even within a limited time frame of one year, with consistent cost savings indicated over a longer term.

An economic evaluation of vagus nerve stimulation as an adjunctive treatment to anti-seizure medications for the treatment of drug resistant epilepsy in the United States

INTRODUCTION

People with recurrent epileptic seizures are typically treated with anti-seizure medications (ASMs). Around a third of epilepsy patients fail to achieve an adequate response to ASMs and may be eligible to receive vagus nerve stimulation (VNS) therapy for their drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE) if they are unsuited to surgery. VNS received approval from the United States (US) Food and Drug Administration agency. However, there has to date been no comprehensive cost effectiveness evaluation of VNS within the US setting. This study was designed, using a US Medicare perspective, to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with VNS as an adjunct to ongoing ASM therapy, compared to ASMs alone.

METHODS

We developed a cohort state transition model in Microsoft Excel, with four health states defined by different percentage reductions in seizure frequency, with a 3-month cycle and transition probabilities derived from published clinical trials and registry data. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to understand the impact of parameter uncertainty. Costs included the VNS device, placement, programming, battery changes, and removal; ASM therapy; adverse events associated with VNS (dyspnea, hoarseness, and cough); and costs associated with seizure burden (i.e. hospitalizations, emergency department visits, neurologist visits).

RESULTS

Under base case assumptions, treatment with VNS was associated with a 0.385 QALY gain and a $109,678 saving per patient, when compared with ASM therapy alone. The incremental net monetary benefit (iNMB) was $128,903 at a threshold of $50,000 per QALY, with the positive iNMB indicating that VNS is a highly cost effective treatment. This result is explained by the modeled reduction in relative seizure frequency and associated reduction in healthcare resource use that the VNS group experienced. Sensitivity analyses supported this conclusion.

CONCLUSIONS

VNS was evaluated as a cost effective addition to the current standard of care in the treatment of DRE in the US Medicare context.

Healthcare costs among patients with newly diagnosed helicobacter pylori infection in the United States: a linked claims-EHR study

AIMS

The study objectives were to 1) characterize the cost drivers of patients with Helicobacter pylori (HP) and 2) estimate HP-related cost savings following lab-confirmed HP eradication with US guideline-recommended treatment compared to failed eradication.

METHODS

We identified adults newly diagnosed with HP between 1/1/2016-12/31/2019 in the Veradigm Electronic Health Record Database linked to claims data (earliest HP diagnosis = index date). For the overall costs analysis, we required patients to have data available for ≥12 months before and after the index date. Then, we used multivariable modeling to assess the marginal effects of comorbidities on all cause-healthcare costs in the 12 months following HP diagnosis. For the eradication savings analysis, we identified patients with ≥1 HP eradication regimen, a subsequent HP lab test result, and ≥1 year of data after the test result. Then we used multivariable modeling to estimate HP-related cost while adjusting for eradication status, demographics, post-testing HP-related clinical variables, and the interactions between eradication status and each HP-related clinical variable.

RESULTS

The overall cost analysis included 60,593 patients with HP (mean age 54.2 years, 65.5% female). Mean (SD) 12-month unadjusted all-cause costs were $23,693 ($78,089). Rare comorbidities demonstrated the highest marginal effect. The marginal effects of gastric cancer and PUD were $15,705 and $7,323, respectively. In the eradication savings analysis, 1,835 (80.0%) of the 2295 patients had lab test-confirmed HP eradication. Compared to failed eradication, there were significant one-year cost savings among patients with successful HP eradication and select conditions: $1,770 for PUD, $518 for atrophic gastritis, $494 for functional dyspepsia, and $352 for gastritis.

CONCLUSIONS

The healthcare costs of patients with HP are partially confounded by their burden of high-cost comorbidities. In the subset of patients with available results, confirmed vs. failed eradication of HP was associated with short-term cost offsets among those with specific to HP-related sequelae.

Health impact and cost effectiveness of implementing gender-neutral HPV vaccination in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To assess the public health impact and cost effectiveness of gender-neutral vaccination (GNV) versus female-only vaccination (FOV) with human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in Japan.

METHODS

We modeled the public health impact and cost effectiveness of GNV versus FOV to prevent HPV-associated diseases in Japan over the next 100 years. We used one-way sensitivity analyses to examine the impact of varying key model input parameters and conducted scenario analyses to explore the effects of varying the vaccination coverage rate (VCR) of each cohort.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, GNV averted additional cancer cases (17,228 female/6,033 male) and deaths (1,892 female/1,849 male) compared to FOV. When all HPV-associated diseases were considered, GNV had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥4,732,320 (US$35,987)/quality-adjusted life year gained compared to FOV. The model was most sensitive to the discount rate and the disutility associated with HPV-related diseases. GNV had greater relative public health benefits when the female VCR was lower and was cost effective at a female VCR of 30%.

CONCLUSIONS

Immediate implementation of GNV would reduce the disease burden and mortality associated with HPV in Japan, and would be cost effective compared to FOV if the female VCR remains low (30%).

The cost-effectiveness of non-invasive stool-based colorectal cancer screening offerings from age 45 for a commercial and medicare population

AIM

The United States Preventive Services Taskforce (USPSTF) recently recommended lowering the age for average-risk colorectal cancer (CRC) screening from 50 to 45 years. While initiating screening at age 45 versus 50 provides a greater opportunity for CRC early detection and prevention, the full profile of benefits, risks, and cost-effectiveness of expanding the screen-eligible population requires further evaluation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The costs and clinical outcomes for screening at age 45 for triennial multi-target stool DNA [mt-sDNA], and other non-invasive stool-based modalities (annual fecal immunochemical test [FIT] and annual fecal-occult blood test [FOBT]), were estimated using the validated CRC-AIM microsimulation model over a lifetime horizon. Test sensitivity and specificity inputs were based on 2021 USPSTF modeling analyses; adherence rates were based on published real-world data and the costs of the screening test, follow-up colonoscopies, complications, and CRC care were included. Outcomes are reported from the perspective of a United States payer as clinical, life-years gained (LYG), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); stool-based and follow-up colonoscopy adherence ranges were explored in one-way, probabilistic and threshold analyses.

RESULTS

When compared to initiation of CRC screening at age 45 versus 50, all modalities reduced both the incidence of and mortality from CRC and increased LYG. Initiating CRC screening at age 45 was cost-effective with an ICER of $59,816 and $35,857 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for mt-sDNA versus FIT and FOBT, respectively. In the threshold analyses, at equivalent rates to stool-based screening, mt-sDNA was always cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY versus FIT and FOBT.

CONCLUSIONS

Initiating average-risk CRC screening at age 45 instead of age 50 increases the estimated clinical benefit by reducing disease burden while remaining cost-effective. Among stool-based screening modalities, mt-sDNA provides the most clinical benefit in a Commercial and Medicare population.

US cost-effectiveness analysis of polatuzumab vedotin in previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

AIMS

We evaluated the pharmacoeconomic value of polatuzumab vedotin plus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisone (Pola-R-CHP) in previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) versus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A 3-state partitioned survival model was used to estimate life years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and cost impacts of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP. Analyses utilized mixture-cure survival modelling, assessed a lifetime horizon, discounted all outcomes at 3% per year, and examined both payer and societal perspectives. Progression-free survival, overall survival (OS), drug utilization, treatment duration, adverse reactions, and subsequent treatment inputs were based on data from the POLARIX study (NCT03274492). Costs included drug acquisition/administration, adverse reaction management, routine care, subsequent treatments, end-of-life care, and work productivity.

RESULTS

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP were $70,719/QALY gained and $88,855/QALY gained from societal and payer perspectives, respectively. The $32,824 higher total cost of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP was largely due to higher drug costs ($122,525 vs $27,694), with cost offsets including subsequent treatment (-$52,765), routine care (-$1,781), end-of-life care (-$383), and work productivity (-$8,418). Pola-R-CHP resulted in an increase of 0.47 LYs and 0.46 QALYs versus R-CHOP. Pola-R-CHP was cost-effective in 60.9% and 58.0% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY gained from societal and payer perspectives, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

There was uncertainty around the OS extrapolation in the model, and costs were derived from different sources. Recommended prophylactic medications were not included; prophylactic use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor for all patients was assumed to be equal across treatment arms in POLARIX. Work productivity loss was estimated from a general population and was not specific to patients with DLBCL.

CONCLUSION

Pola-R-CHP was projected to be cost-effective versus R-CHOP in previously untreated DLBCL, suggesting that Pola-R-CHP represents good value relative to R-CHOP in this setting.