Estimation methods for the ratio of medians of three-parameter lognormal distributions containing zero values and their application to wind speed data from northern Thailand

Wind speed has an important impact on the formation and dispersion of fine particulate matter (PM), which can cause several health problems. During the transition from the winter to the summer season in northern Thailand, the wind speed has been low for longer than usual, which has resulted in fine PM accumulating in the air. Motivated by this, we have identified a need to investigate wind speed due to its effect on PM formation and dispersion and to raise awareness among the general public. The hourly windspeed can be approximated by using confidence intervals for the ratio of the medians of three-parameter lognormal distributions containing zero values. Thus, we constructed them by using fiducial, normal approximation, and Bayesian methods. By way of comparison, the performance measures for all ofthe proposed methods (the coverage percentage, lower and upper error probabilities (LEP and UEP,respectively), and expected length) were assessed via Monte Carlo simulation. The results of Monte Carlo simulation studies show that the Bayesian method provided coverage percentages close to the nominal confidence level and shorter intervals than the other methods. Importantly, it maintained a good balance between LEP and UEP even for large variation and percentage of zero-valued observations. To illustrate the efficacy of our proposed methods, we applied them to hourly wind speed data from northern Thailand.

Association between meteorological factors and elderly falls in injury surveillance from 2014 to 2018 in Guangzhou, China

Introduction

With rapid increase in the aging population, falls injuries have become an important public health problem. However, limited data have been reported on the associations between meteorological factors and falls injuries in the elderly. This study assessed the epidemiology of falls injuries and explored this association in the elderly in Guangzhou, China.

Methods

Data on elderly falls injury cases and meteorological variables from 2014 to 2018 in Guangzhou were collected from the Guangzhou Injury Monitoring System and Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau, respectively. The monthly average data on falls injuries and meteorological factors were applied to the data analysis. These correlations were conducted using Pearson correlation analysis. A multiple linear regression model was used to estimate the effects of meteorological factors on falls injuries in the elderly in Guangzhou, China.

Results

Accounting for 49.41% of causes of elderly injury were falls in the Guangzhou Injury Monitoring System from 2014 to 2018, which occupied first place for five consecutive years. The monthly number of elderly falls injury cases was lowest in April and highest in December, and had a positive correlation with monthly mean wind speed (r = 0.187, P < 0.01) and a negative correlation with monthly atmospheric pressure (r = -0.142, P < 0.05). A multiple linear regression model was constructed (F = 10.176, P < 0.01), which explained 23.7% of the variances (R ² = 0.237). Monthly mean wind speed (β = 76.85, P < 0.01) and monthly mean atmospheric pressure (β = -3.162, P < 0.01) were independent factors affecting monthly elderly falls injuries.

Conclusions

Falls are the primary cause of injury among elderly people in Guangzhou, China. Meteorological factors are related to falls injuries in the elderly population. Decreasing activity during high wind and low atmospheric pressure weather may help reduce the number of elderly falls injury cases.

An open design for a low-cost open-loop subsonic wind tunnel for aerodynamic measurement and characterization

A wind tunnel is an essential device for aerodynamic modeling and measurement. High cost and relatively huge size with no open market design hinder the wind tunnel from being widely available in laboratory design for universities and small R&D companies, particularly in a developed country with limited research funding. Thus, most aerodynamic modeling and measurement are done by simulating through computer software which leads to high deviation as the nature of wind is unpredictable. This project aims to provide an open design for a relatively low-cost wind tunnel that universities and R&D companies can quickly adapt. An open design for an open-loop wind tunnel is presented in this article. The proposed wind tunnel design is specifically intended to help the researcher with the aerodynamic measurement with minimum cost for building, customizable design, and reliable measurement. The components, parts, and equipment use the widely available part, which can be obtained across the globe. Validation and characterization are done using software simulation and actual measurement through the device. The proposed design can meet the criteria for aerodynamic measurement and can help the researcher provide a better analysis by combining the actual measurement and software simulation.

Teleconnections between large-scale oceanic-atmospheric patterns and interannual surface wind speed variability across China: Regional and seasonal patterns

Great attention has been paid to the long-term decline in terrestrial near-surface wind speed (SWS) in China. However, how the SWS varies with regions and seasons and what modulates these changes remain unclear. Based on quality-controlled and homogenized terrestrial SWS data from 596 stations, the covarying SWS patterns during the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) and the Asian Winter Monsoon (AWM) seasons are defined for China using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis for 1961-2016. The dominant SWS features represented by EOF1 patterns in both seasons show a clear decline over most regions of China. The interannual variability of the EOF1 patterns is closely related to the Northeast Asia Low Pressure (NEALP) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO), respectively. The EOF2 and EOF3 patterns during ASM (AWM) season describe a dipole mode of SWS between East Tibetan Plateau and East China Plain (between East Tibetan Plateau and Northeast China), and between Southeast and Northeast China (between Northeast China and the coastal areas of Southeast China), respectively. These dipole structures of SWS changes are closely linked with the oceanic-atmospheric oscillations on interannual scale.

Historical seasonal changes in prescribed burn windows in California

Prescribed (Rx) burns are conducted on days when the meteorological thresholds of maximum air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speeds are all met (burn window) in order to ensure safe Rx burn practices. Limited burn windows have been consistently identified as one of the most important constraints for conducting Rx burns in California. We investigate whether burn windows across California can be extended from the typical fall season to include other opportune seasons for facilitating specific management objectives. We quantify the seasonal Rx burn efficiencies by assessing the frequency and burned areas using an aggregate of Rx datasets, and we compute the seasonal spatiotemporal trends in the number of days the set of meteorological parameters are met over thirty-five years (1984 to 2019), using the gridMET 4 km dataset. Our results indicate that while fall burns are most frequently executed (40% of the time), the spring (and to a lesser extent winter) seasons yield efficient Rx burns similar to fall because greater acres are being consumed with less burns. In addition, winter and spring seasons experience burn window opportunities (70-90% of the time) over larger areas than the other seasons, and this is predominantly over forested regions in Northern California. Our results also indicate that burn windows in the winter and spring are decreasing at a rate of one day per year over a larger spatial area than that of summer and fall. This decrease is primarily driven by changes in the number of days the relative humidity thresholds are met. Policymakers recognize the critical importance that Rx burns have on a multitude of ecosystem restoration factors, fire behavior dynamics, and firefighter safety. Therefore, there is a need to capitalize on these additional burn windows before these opportunities become less feasible in the future.

Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on the atmospheric boundary layer and instability process over Indian region

The abrupt reduction in the human activities during the first lockdown of the COVID-19 pandemic created unprecedented changes in the background atmospheric conditions. Several studies reported the anthropogenic and air quality changes observed during the lockdown. However, no attempts are made to investigate the lockdown effects on the Atmospheric Boundary Layer (ABL) and background instability processes. In this study, we assess the lockdown impacts on the ABL altitude and instability parameters (Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and Convective Inhibition Energy (CINE)) using WRF model simulations. Results showed a unique footprint of COVID-19 lockdown in all these parameters. Increase in the visibility, surface temperature and wind speed and decrease in relative humidity during the lockdown is noticed. However, these responses are not uniform throughout India and are significant in the inland compared to the coastal regions. The spatial variation of temperature (wind speed) and relative humidity shows an increase and decrease over the Indo Gangetic Plain (IGP) and central parts of India by 20% (100%) and 40%, respectively. Increase (80%) in the ABL altitude is larger over the IGP and central parts of India during lockdown of 2020 compared to similar time period in 2015-2019. This increase is attributed to the stronger insolation due to absence of anthropogenic activity and other background conditions. At the same time, CAPE decreased by 98% in the IGP and central parts of India, where it shows an increase in other parts of India. A prominent strengthening of CINE in the IGP and a weakening elsewhere is also noticed. These changes in CAPE and CINE are mainly attributed to the dearth of saturation in lower troposphere levels, which prevented the development of strong adiabatic ascent during the lockdown. These results provide a comprehensive observation and model-based insight for lockdown induced changes in the meteorological and thermo-dynamical parameters.

Combining computational fluid dynamics and neural networks to characterize microclimate extremes: Learning the complex interactions between meso-climate and urban morphology

The urban form and extreme microclimate events can have an important impact on the energy performance of buildings, urban comfort and human health. State-of-the-art building energy simulations require information on the urban microclimate, but typically rely on ad-hoc numerical simulations, expensive in-situ measurements, or data from nearby weather stations. As such, they do not account for the full range of possible urban microclimate variability and findings cannot be generalized across urban morphologies. To bridge this knowledge gap, this study proposes two data-driven models to downscale climate variables from the meso to the micro scale in arbitrary urban morphologies, with a focus on extreme climate conditions. The models are based on a feedforward and a deep neural network (NN) architecture, and are trained using results from computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of flow over a series of idealized but representative urban environments, spanning a realistic range of urban morphologies. Both models feature a relatively good agreement with corresponding CFD training data, with a coefficient of determination R² = 0.91 (R² = 0.89) and R² = 0.94 (R² = 0.92) for spatially-distributed wind magnitude and air temperature for the deep NN (feedforward NN). The models generalize well for unseen urban morphologies and mesoscale input data that are within the training bounds in the parameter space, with a R² = 0.74 (R² = 0.69) and R² = 0.81 (R² = 0.74) for wind magnitude and air temperature for the deep NN (feedforward NN). The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed CFD-NN models makes them well suited for the design of climate-resilient buildings at the early design stage.

Short-term wind speed prediction using hybrid machine learning techniques

Wind energy is one of the potential renewable energy sources being exploited around the globe today. Accurate prediction of wind speed is mandatory for precise estimation of wind power at a site. In this study, hybrid machine learning models have been deployed for short-term wind speed prediction. The twin support vector regression (TSVR), primal least squares twin support vector regression (PLSTSVR), iterative Lagrangian twin parametric insensitive support vector regression (ILTPISVR), extreme learning machine (ELM), random vector functional link (RVFL), and large-margin distribution machine-based regression (LDMR) models have been adopted in predicting the short-term wind speed collected from five stations named as Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai, Salem, and Tirunelveli in Tamil Nadu, India. Further to check the applicability of the models, the performance of the models was compared based on various performance measures like RMSE, MAPE, SMAPE, MASE, SSE/SST, SSR/SST, and R². The results suggest that LDMR outperforms other models in terms of its prediction accuracy and ELM is computationally faster compared to other models.

Widespread decline in winds promoted the growth of vegetation

Vegetation dynamics are sensitive to climate change. Wind is an important climate factor that can affect carbon fluxes by altering carbon uptake and emission rates; however, the impact of wind has not been fully considered in previous studies; therefore, exploring the characteristics of vegetation responses to wind speed is crucial to sustainable natural resource utilization and ecological restoration. In this study, the global leaf area index (LAI) from 1984 to 2013 was used to investigate the vegetation spatial heterogeneities, change processes, and relative contributions of climate change. The differences in vegetation responses to climate factors, such as precipitation (PRE), temperature (TEM), and wind speed (WD), were compared by considering the effects of wind. The results revealed that (1) the global vegetation (86.24%) exhibited a greening trend, among which evergreen broad-leaved forests (0.0052 a^-1) changed the most. (2) The wind speed explained 31.54% of the vegetation variations, which is higher than the contribution of other factors. (3) Reduction of wind speed had a positive impact on vegetation changes. The contribution of climate to vegetation growth increased by 8.14% when considering the effects wind speed, particularly in India and South America. Wind speed effects were essential for enhancing the vegetation dynamics assessment and improving the prediction accuracy of the model.

Utilization of GOCI data to evaluate the diurnal vertical migration of Microcystis aeruginosa and the underlying driving factors

Cyanobacterial blooms are one of the most severe ecological problems affecting lakes. The vertical migration of cyanobacteria in the water column increases the uncertainty in the formation and disappearance of blooms, which may be closely associated with light, temperature, and wind speed. However, it is difficult to quantitatively evaluate the influencing factors of cyanobacteria vertical movement in natural environment compared to the laboratory experimental environment. Besides, both field survey and laboratory experiment method have the difficulties in determining the diurnal vertical migration of cyanobacteria at the synoptic lake scale. In this study, based on the diurnal dynamics of cyanobacterial bloom intensity (CBI) observed by the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) from 2011 to 2019, the daily variations, floating rate, and sinking rate of Microcystis aeruginosa were calculated in the natural environment. Then, the effects of light, temperature, and wind speed on the vertical migration of M. aeruginosa were analysed from the perspectives of day, night, and season. The results are as follows: the records of three typical patterns of diurnal CBI exhibited strong seasonal variability from the 9-year statistics; at night, the buoyancy recovery rate of cyanobacterial colonies increased with temperature, so that at temperature >15 °C and wind speed <3 m s^-1, CBI reached the maximum of the whole day at 08:16; the sinking rate of M. aeruginosa was positively correlated with the cumulated light energy at both synoptic and pixel scale; the upward migration speed of M. aeruginosa was positively correlated with the maximum wind speed of the day before cyanobacterial bloom. Therefore, the severer cyanobacterial blooms were often observed by satellite images after strong winds. The analysis of diurnal variation, floating rate, and sinking rate of M. aeruginosa will expand our knowledge for further understanding the formation mechanism of cyanobacterial blooms and for improving the accuracy of model simulation to predict the hourly changes in cyanobacterial blooms in Lake Taihu.

A method for measuring the emissions of in situ agricultural plastic film microplastics by ultraviolet and mechanical abrasion

Agricultural plastic film (APF) is widely used in modern agriculture. Under natural environmental conditions, the structure, surface properties and mechanical properties of APFs change because of sunlight, wind and other factors and gradually break into debris, resulting in the generation of microplastics (MPs). Studies have reported that the MPs concentration in soil is positively correlated with the use intensity and duration of APFs. Unfortunately, to the best of our knowledge, no method to measure the emissions of in situ APFs has been developed. In this study, the effects of mechanical abrasion driven by wind on MPs fragmentation by polyethylene (PE) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) APFs with the increase of exposure time were investigated. Meanwhile, based on the release rate model of PS fragmented MPs under natural sunlight, a modified model to quantify the effect of ultraviolet (UV) radiation exposure duration on the production of APF fragmented MPs was developed. Based on these models, the amount of MPs produced from APFs in farmland in China was estimated. The national annual MPs mass emissions from APFs in agricultural soil were approximately 5 × 10⁴ to 6.8 × 10⁴ tons in 2018 due to wind and 6.5 × 10³ tons due to sunlight, and the total emission level due to both wind and sunlight was 5.1 × 10⁴ to 7.0 × 10⁴ tons. Compared with that of wind, the contribution of UV radiation to MPs emission is smaller. Our estimates are comparable to data reported in previous studies, indicating that our models have good practical applications and are of great significance for predicting MPs production from APFs in farmland.

An AIAPO MPPT controller based real time adaptive maximum power point tracking technique for wind turbine system

Nowadays, the energy demand is increasing all over the world and conventional energy sources like fossil fuels are gradually emitting less harmful gases (as greenhouse gases). Therefore, the renewable energy (RE) sources are affordable and sustainable, which is essential to increase the demand for power generation. This manuscript proposes a novel Artificial Intelligence Based Adaptive P&O (AIAPO) for real-time adaptive hybrid Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) controller to attain Maximum Power Point (MPP) from the Wind Turbine (WT) system The major objective of the proposed method is "to increase the mathematical calculation of the controller design and eliminate the disadvantage of the conventional MPPT and fuzzy logic (FL) controller". In the proposed method, the optimum perturbation is computed with respect to the variation of WS by FL controller. This optimum perturbation is fed into adaptive P&O technique that is desirable duty-cycle generated for dc-dc power converter using proposed system to achieve the MPP tracking and to enhance the efficiency of the proposed framework. It is estimated that these features can improve the power track by decreasing the steady-state fluctuations of the output power as well as improve the transient performance. Real-time outcomes with novel tracking technique is likened to the existing perturb & observe (P&O), fuzzy logic (FL) depend maximum power point tracking techniques for Wind Turbine Induction Generator (WTIG) system. The proposed algorithm is used to improve the results and to compare the power fluctuations on MPPT with variable wind speed (WS). The statistical analysis of proposed and existing techniques like P&O, FL and SVM are also analyzed. In the proposed method, the best value attains 230.5365, worst value attains 210.5934, mean value attains 230.952 and standard deviation attains 0.05314.

Weather forecasting based on data-driven and physics-informed reservoir computing models

In response to the growing demand for the global energy supply chain, wind power has become an important research subject among studies in the advancement of renewable energy sources. The major concern is the stochastic volatility of weather conditions that hinder the development of wind power forecasting approaches. To address this issue, the current study proposes a weather prediction method divided into two models for wind speed and atmospheric system forecasting. First, the data-based model incorporated with wavelet transform and recurrent neural networks is employed to predict the wind speed. Second, the physics-informed echo state network was used to learn the chaotic behavior of the atmospheric system. The findings were validated with a case study conducted on wind speed data from Turkmenistan. The results suggest the outperformance of physics-informed model for accurate and reliable forecasting analysis, which indicates the potential for implementation in wind energy analysis.

SOLETE, a 15-month long holistic dataset including: Meteorology, co-located wind and solar PV power from

The aim of the SOLETE dataset is to support researchers in the meteorological, solar and wind power forecasting fields. Particularly, co-located wind and solar installations have gained relevance due to the rise of hybrid power plants and systems. The dataset has been recorded in SYSLAB, a laboratory for distributed energy resources located in Denmark. A meteorological station, an 11 kW wind turbine and a 10 kW PV array have been used to record measurements, transferred to a central server. The dataset includes 15 months of measurements from the 1st June 2018 to 1st September 2019 covering: Timestamp, air temperature, relative humidity, pressure, wind speed, wind direction, global horizontal irradiance, plane of array irradiance, and active power recorded from both the wind turbine and the PV inverter. The data was recorded at 1 Hz sampling rate and averaged over 5 min and hourly intervals. In addition, there are three Python source code files accompanying the data file. RunMe.py is a code example for importing the data. MLForecasting.py is a self-contained example on how to use the data to build physics-informed machine learning models for solar PV power forecasting. Functions.py contains utility functions used by the other two.

Impact of climate indicators on the COVID-19 pandemic in Saudi Arabia

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has left a major impact on daily lifestyle and human activities. Many recent studies confirmed that the COVID-19 pandemic has human-to-human transmissibility. Additional studies claimed that other factors affect the viability, transmissibility, and propagation range of COVID-19. The effect of weather factors on the spread of COVID-19 has gained much attention among researchers. The current study investigates the relationship between climate indicators and daily detected COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia, focusing on the top five cities with confirmed cases. The examined climate indicators were temperature (°F), dew point (°F), humidity (%), wind speed (mph), and pressure (Hg). Using data from Spring 2020 and 2021, we conducted spatio-temporal correlation, regression, and time series analyses. The results provide preliminary evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic spread in most of the considered cities is significantly correlated with temperature (positive correlation) and pressure (negative correlation). The discrepancies in the results from different cites addressed in this study suggest that non-meteorological factors need to be explored in conjunction with weather attributes in a sufficiently long-term analysis to provide meaningful policy measures for the future.

Application of hybrid model based on CEEMDAN, SVD, PSO to wind energy prediction

In recent years, a series of environmental problems have come one after another under the use of traditional fossil energy, such as greenhouse effect, acid rain, haze and so on. In order to solve the environmental problems and achieve sustainable development, seeking alternative resources has become the direction of joint efforts of China and the world. As an important part of new energy, wind energy needs strong wind speed prediction support in terms of providing stable electric power. As a result, it is very important to improve the accuracy of wind speed prediction. In view of this, this paper proposes a signal processing method based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) combined with singular value decomposition (SVD), and uses Elman neural network optimized by particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) and autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) to predict the intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Firstly, CEEMDAN combined with SVD is used to decompose and denoise the data, and the weights and thresholds of Elman are optimized by PSO. Finally, the optimized Elman and ARIMA are used to respectively predict the processed wind speed data components, and then the final prediction results are obtained. The final prediction results show that the proposed model can improve the effect of wind speed prediction, reduce the prediction error, and provide strong support for the stable operation of wind farms and the grid connection of power plants.

Convergence in critical fuel moisture and fire weather thresholds associated with fire activity in the pyroregions of Mediterranean Europe

Wildfires are becoming an increasing threat to many communities worldwide. There has been substantial progress towards understanding the proximal causes of increased fire activity in recent years at regional and national scales. However, subcontinental scale examinations of the commonalities and differences in the drivers of fire activity across different regions are rare in the Mediterranean zone of the European Union (EUMed). Here, we first develop a new classification of EUMed pyroregions, based on grouping different ecoregions with similar seasonal patterns of burned area. We then examine the thresholds associated with fire activity in response to different drivers related to fuel moisture, surface meteorology and atmospheric stability. We document an overarching role for variation in dead fuel moisture content (FM_d), or its atmospheric proxy of vapor pressure deficit (VPD), as the major driver of fire activity. A proxy for live fuel moisture content (EVI), wind speed (WS) and the Continuous Haines Index (CH) played secondary, albeit important, roles. There were minor differences in the actual threshold values of FM_d (10-12%), EVI (0.29-0.36) and CH (4.9-5.5) associated with the onset of fire activity across pyroregions with peak fire seasons in summer and fall, despite very marked differences in mean annual burned area and fire size range. The average size of fire events increased with the number of drivers exceeding critical thresholds and reaching increasingly extreme values of a driver led to disproportionate increases in the likelihood of a fire becoming a large fire. For instance, the percentage of fires >500 ha increased from 2% to 25% as FM_d changed from the wettest to the driest quantile. Our study is among the first to jointly address the roles of fuel moisture, surface meteorology and atmospheric stability on fire activity in EUMed and provides novel insights on the interactions across fire activity triggers.

Association between coronavirus cases and seasonal climatic variables in Mediterranean European Region, evidence by panel data regression

The coronavirus pandemic is one of the most fast-spreading diseases in the history, and the transmission of this virus has crossed rapidly over the whole world. In this study, we intend to detect the effect of temperature, precipitation, and wind speed on the Coronavirus infected cases throughout climate seasons for the whole year of epidemic starting from February 20, 2020 to February 19, 2021 with considering data patterns of each season separately; winter, spring, summer, autumn, in Mediterranean European regions, whereas those are located at the similar temperature zone in southern Europe. We apply the panel data approach by considering the developed robust estimation of clustered standard error which leads to achieving high forecasting accuracy. The main finding supports that temperature and wind speed have significant influence in reducing the Coronavirus cases at the beginning of this epidemic particularly in the first-winter, spring, and early summer, but they have very weak effects in the autumn and second-winter. Therefore, it is important to take into account the changes throughout seasons, and to consider other indirect factors which influence the virus transmission. This finding could lead to significant contributions to policymakers in European Union and European Commission Environment to limit the Coronavirus transmissions. As the Mediterranean region becomes more crowded for tourism purposes particularly in the summer season.

Effect of wind speed variation on rainfed wheat production evaluated by the CERES-Wheat model

Climate is one of the major factors affecting crop phenology and yield. In most previous studies, impacts of temperature (T) and rainfall (R) on crop development, growth, and yield were investigated, while the effect of wind speed (WS) has so far not been assessed. In this study, the influence of WS alteration on rainfed wheat production was evaluated in arid and semi-arid environments during a 25-year period in northeast Iran. In so doing, various climatic scenarios were defined using T, R, and WS changes, and then applied to the CERES-Wheat model included in DSSAT v4.7.5. The results showed that WS variation can alter total ET (planting to harvest) from -12.1 to +8.9%, aboveground biomass from -8.4 to +11.0%, water use efficiency from -13.4 to +19.7%, and grain yield from -11.2 to +15.3%. These changes were in many cases related to the climatic conditions. It was also revealed that in a greater amount of rainfall and shorter growing season (i.e., less drought stress), the WS variation had the stronger impact on total ET; while for aboveground biomass, water use efficiency, and grain yield, the greatest effect of WS variation was detected under the water scarcity conditions (i.e., low rainfall). The results demonstrate that wind speed needs to be better considered in climate change impact studies, in particular in water-scarce regions.

Climate factors and dengue fever occurrence in Makassar during period of 2011-2017

OBJECTIVE

Dengue fever is a global burden because of high cases number. Climate factors became determinant of the mosquito's growth. This study aimed to analyze the relationship between climate factors (humidity, temperature, wind speed, rainfall) and dengue cases in Makassar during 2011-2017.

METHODS

It was quantitative study located in Makassar. Data were analyzed by General Estimating Equation (GEE). Gee was used to showing the model of variables. This study used secondary data from Health District Office of Makassar to get Dengue Cases Data and Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency of Makassar for monthly climate data.

RESULTS

The result showed significant correlation between climate variables that have been researched which were temperature, humidity, rainfall, and wind speed to dengue fever cases.

CONCLUSIONS

As conclusion, the humidity had strongest correlation to dengue fever cases. It also showed positive correlation, while others showed negative correlation.

Interaction between meteorological parameters and COVID-19: an ecological study on 406 authorities of the UK

Understanding the factors affecting COVID-19 transmission is critical in assessing and mitigating the spread of the pandemic. This study investigated the transmissibility and death distribution of COVID-19 and its association with meteorological parameters to study the propagation pattern of COVID-19 in UK regions. We used the reported case and death per capita rate (as of November 13, 2020; before mass vaccination) and long-term meteorological data (temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind speed, and visibility) in 406 UK local authority levels based on publicity available secondary data. We performed correlation and regression analysis between COVID-19 variables and meteorological parameters to find the association between COVID-19 and independent variables. Student's T and Mann-Whitney's tests were used to analyze data. The correlation and regression analyses revealed that temperature, dew point, wind speed, and humidity were the most important factors associated with spread and death of COVID-19 (P <0.05). COVID-19 cases negatively correlated with humidity in areas with high population density, but the inverse in low population density areas. Wind speeds in low visibility areas, which are considered polluted air, may increase the spread of disease (r=0.42, P <0.05) and decrease the spread in high visibility areas (r=-0.16, P <0.05). Among low (T <10°C) and high (T >10°C) temperature areas, the average incidence rates were 2056.86 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1909.49-2204.23) and 1446.76 (95% CI: 1296.71-1596.81). Also, COVID-19 death per capita rates were 81.55 (95% CI: 77.40-85.70) and 69.78 (95% CI: 64.39-75.16) respectively. According to the comprehensive analysis, the spread of disease will be suppressed as the weather warms and humidity and wind speed decrease. Different environmental conditions can increase or decrease spread of the disease due to affecting spread of disease vectors and by altering people's behavior.

Improving the preparedness against an oil spill: Evaluation of the influence of environmental parameters on the operability of unmanned vehicles

When an oil spill occurs, a prompt response reduces significantly the impact. The preparedness and contingency plans are essential to identify the most appropriate technologies. Unmanned and autonomous vehicles (UAVs) is emerging as a powerful tool of strategic potential in the observation, oil tracking and damage assessment of an oil spill. The SpilLess project explored the suitability of these devices to be the first-line response to an oil spill. This work analyses the operational requirements related to environmental parameters following a two steps approach: 1) Environmental characterization from long wind and waves time series and modelling; 2) Definition of the optimal periods for operating each UAVs. We have defined the periods in which each of these facilities acts best, confirming that the operational limits of UAVs are not significantly more restrictive than the traditional operations. UAVs should be included in contingency plans as available tools to fight against oil spills.

Wind and solar resource assessment and prediction using Artificial Neural Network and semi-empirical model: case study of the Colombian Caribbean region

This work is focused on the importance of developing and promoting the use of wind and solar energy resources in the Colombian Caribbean coast. This region has a considerable interest for the development of solar technology due to the available climatic characteristics. Therefore, a detailed solarimetric analysis has been carried out in the department of San Andrés, Providencia and Santa Catalina, located in the Colombian Caribbean region, using a semi-empirical radiation model, based on the Bird & Hulstrom model, and the parameterizations of the Mächler & Iqbal model, which allowed obtaining an average total irradiation value of 6.5 kWh/m²day. In addition, a statistical analysis of the wind resource was carried out based on meteorological data, which yielded an average multiannual wind speed of 3.4 m/s, and a maximum wind speed of 15.2 m/s during the month of October. The meteorological input data used for this analysis were provided by the Colombian Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM), in order to perform initial calculations and obtain a climatic profile of the areas with clear, medium and cloudy atmospheres throughout the year. Regarding the comparative study, the analysis was complemented with a prediction of solar radiation using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), where irradiance could be predicted with a fairly good agreement, which was validated with a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.87 using the temperature, the relative humidity, the pressure and the wind speed as the input data.

Analysis of some factors related to dust storms occurrence in the Sistan region

Dust storms over the Sistan region in East Iran are associated with predominant northwest winds (called 120-day winds) which promote desertification, including drying of the Hamoun wetlands. These storms are more frequent in spring and summer seasons in the Sistan region. The study aims to examine the relationship between vegetation cover and wind speed with dust storms intensity in order to understand the behavior of dust sources using satellite remote sensing data (AOD) between 2000 and 2019. Based on the time series, the study period can be divided into three parts based on the following characteristics: high dust intensity (2004), moderate relative intensity of value in all parameters studied (2005 to 2014), and dust reduction (2015-2019). Time series analysis shows a negative relationship between AOD and wind speed owing presumably to vegetative cover changes during years that wind speed has increased. Based on multiple regression analysis by monthly time scales that conforms time series result, monthly NDVI is significantly related to AOD. Analysis of the 3 hourly wind data suggests a positive relationship between wind and dust, and effective thresholds for dust erosion based on wind speeds are proposed for the Sistan region.

Local dispersion characteristics of dust in large open-air piles under the action of one-way wind

A large amount of dust particles produced by the wind in an open-air pile is one of the important reasons for air pollution. Studying the law of dust diffusion in local areas is of great significance for the atmospheric particulate control. In this study, a pile of sodium carbonate in a large open-air pile in Weifang, China, is regarded as the research object. The dispersion characteristics of dust particles around the pile under the action of unidirectional wind are studied through wind tunnel test and numerical simulation. The complex atmospheric environment is simplified as unidirectional wind, and the influence of different wind speeds on the dispersion of particles with diverse sizes in the pile is studied. Although a large gap exists between the assumption and the real atmospheric environment, this study provides a reference for the evaluation of the pollution scope of blowing dust and prevention and control of pollution. Results show that a high-concentration range of the dust exists near the pile behind the wind direction and may continue to spread to the height due to the influence of a whirlpool, and the dispersion distance and width can increase with the increase in wind speed. The increase in particle diameter increases the kinetic energy loss of particles for the fluid. Under the same starting speed, the dispersion distance of dust decreases with the increase in particle diameter. With the increase in particle diameter, the dust concentration distribution presents the trend of interior hollowing and high-concentration area fragmenting.