Trends in patterns of treatment and survival of colorectal cancer patients using cancer registry data in Japan: 1995-2015

Recent advances in treating colorectal cancer (CRC) have increased the importance of multidisciplinary treatment. This study aimed to clarify trends in the treatment and survival of CRC using population-based cancer registry data in Japan. We analyzed the survival of CRC cases diagnosed from 1995 through 2015 from a population-based cancer registry of six prefectures. The year of diagnosis was classified into five periods, and the trends in the detailed categorization of treatments and survival were identified. We calculated net survival and excess hazard of death from cancer using data on 256,590 CRC patients. The use of laparoscopic surgery has been increasing since 2005 and accounts for the largest proportion of treatment types in the most recent period. Net survival of CRC patients diagnosed after 2005 remained high for laparoscopic surgery and endoscopic surgery (endoscopic mucosal resection or endoscopic submucosal dissection). There was an upward trend in treatment with chemotherapy in addition to open and laparoscopic surgery. Using the excess hazard ratio at the regional stage since 2005, there has been a significant improvement in survival in the younger age group and the rectum cancer group. By type of treatment, there was a tendency toward significant improvement in the open surgery + chemotherapy group. We clarified the trends in treating CRC and the associated trends in survival. Continuous survey based on population-based data helps monitor the impact of developments in treatment.

Cytoreductive surgery without intra-peritoneal chemotherapy for metachronous colorectal peritoneal metastases

BACKGROUND

Cytoreductive surgery and chemotherapy reportedly improve the prognosis of patients with metachronous peritoneal metastases. However, the types of peritoneal metastases indicated for cytoreductive surgery remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the category of cases for which cytoreductive surgery would be effective and report the prognosis associated with cytoreductive surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases.

METHODS

This study included 52 consecutive patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases caused by colorectal cancer between January 2005 and December 2018 and fulfilled the selection criteria. The median follow-up period was 54.9 months. Relapse-free survival was calculated as the time from cytoreductive surgery of metachronous peritoneal metastases to recurrence. Overall survival was defined as the time from cytoreductive surgery of metachronous peritoneal metastases to death or the end of the follow-up period.

RESULTS

The 5-year relapse-free survival rate was 30.0% and the 5-year overall survival rate was 72.3%. None of the patients underwent hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy. The analysis indicated no potential risk factors for 5-year relapse-free survival. However, for 5-year overall survival, the multivariate analysis revealed that time to diagnosis of metachronous peritoneal metastases of < 2 years after primary surgery (hazard ratio = 4.1, 95% confidence interval = 2.0-8.6, p = 0.0002) and number of metachronous peritoneal metastases ≥ 3 (hazard ratio = 9.8, 95% confidence interval = 2.3-42.3, p = 0.002) as independent factors associated with a poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Long intervals of more than 2 years after primary surgery and 2 or less metachronous peritoneal metastases were good selection criteria for cytoreductive surgery for metachronous peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer.

The effect of lymph node ratio on the surgical outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer

The current study aimed to evaluate the effect of lymph node ratio (LNR) on the short-term and long-term outcomes of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients who underwent radical CRC surgery. We retrospectively collected CRC patients who underwent radical surgery from Jan 2011 to Jan 2020 in a single-center hospital. The patients were divided into the high LNR group and the low group according to the median. The baseline information and the short-term outcomes were compared between the high group and the low group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was performed to analyze the independent predictors for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). A 1:1 proportional propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce the selection bias between the two groups. Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the OS and DFS between the two groups in different T stages. A total of 1434 CRC patients undergoing radical surgery were enrolled in this study, and there were 730 (50.9%) patients in the low LNR group and 704 (49.1%) patients in the high LNR group. After the PSM, there were 618 patients in both groups, the baseline characteristics between the two groups had no significant difference (p > 0.05). After comparing the Surgery-related information and The Short-term outcomes, the high LNR group had a longer hospital stay (after PSM, p < 0.01). In univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, age (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), tumor location (univariate analysis, p = 0.020; multivariate analysis, p = 0.024), lymph-vascular space invasion (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), cancer nodules (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), tumor size (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), LNR (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), and overall complications (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01) were independent risk factors for OS, and age (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), tumor location (univariate analysis, p = 0.032; multivariate analysis, p = 0.031), T stage (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p = 0.014), lymph-vascular space invasion (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), cancer nodules (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), LNR (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01), and overall complications (univariate analysis, p < 0.01; multivariate analysis, p < 0.01) were identified as independent risk factors for DFS. The high LNR group had a worse OS in T3 (p < 0.01) and T4 (p < 0.01) as well as a worse DFS in T3 (p < 0.01) and T4 (p < 0.01). No association was found between LNR and postoperative complications, but the high LNR group had a longer hospital stay. LNR was identified as an independent predictor for OS and DFS. Furthermore, high LNR had a worse OS and DFS under T3 and T4 stages. Therefore, LNR was more prognostically significant for CRC patients under T3 and T4 stages.

Optimization of colorectal cancer screening strategies: New insights

In this editorial, we discuss the article by Agatsuma et al. We concentrate specifically on the current routinely used screening tests recommended by society guidelines and delve into the significance of early diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) and its substantial impact on both incidence and mortality rates. Screening is highly recommended, and an early diagnosis stands out as the most crucial predictor of survival for CRC patients. Therefore, it is essential to identify and address the barriers hindering adherence to screening measures, as these barriers can vary among different populations. Furthermore, we focus on screening strategy optimization by selecting high-risk groups. Patients with comorbidities who regularly visit hospitals have been diagnosed at an early stage, showing no significant difference compared to patients undergoing regular screening. This finding highlights the importance of extending screening measures to include patients with comorbidities who do not routinely visit the hospital.

Thigh muscle by CT images as a predictor of mortality in patients with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of thigh muscle assessed by CT images to predict overall mortality in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). This was a multicenter cohort study including adults (≥ 18 years old) newly diagnosed with CRC, who performed a diagnostic computed tomography (CT) exam including thigh regions. CT images were analyzed to evaluate skeletal muscle (SM in cm2), skeletal muscle index (SMI in cm2/m2), and skeletal muscle density (SMD in HU). Muscle abnormalities (low SM, SMI, and SMD) were defined as the values below the median by sex. Kaplan-Meyer curves and hazard ratios (HRs) for low SM, SMI and SMD were evaluated for overall mortality, stratified by sex. A total of 257 patients were included in the final analysis. Patients' mean age was 62.6 ± 12.1 years, and 50.2% (n = 129) were females. In males, low thigh SMI was associated with shorter survival (log-rank P = .02). Furthermore, this low thigh SMI (cm2/m2) was independently associated with higher mortality rates (HR adjusted 2.08, 95% CI 1.03-4.18). Our additional findings demonstrated that low SMD was independently associated with overall mortality among early-stage patients (I-III) (HR adjusted 2.78, 95% CI 1.26-6.15).

An internally and externally validated nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in octogenarians after radical resection for colorectal cancer

AIMS

We aimed to develop an elaborative nomogram that predicts cancer-specific survival (CSS) in American and Chinese octogenarians treated with radical resection for CRC.

METHODS

The patient data of newly diagnosed patients aged 80 years or older who underwent radical resection for CRC from 2010 to 2015 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and then randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The patients collected from our hospital were defined as the external validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression was used to select independent predictive factors for the construction of a nomogram to predict 1-, 2- and 3-year CSS.

RESULTS

The multivariate Cox regression model identified age, T stage, N stage, perineural invasion, chemotherapy, tumour deposits, carcinoembryonic antigen level, number of lymph node metastases, and number of solid organ metastases as independent predictors of survival. The C-index of the nomogram for 1-, 2- and 3-year CSS was 0.758, 0.762, and 0.727, respectively, demonstrating significant clinical value and substantial reliability compared to the TNM stage. The calibration curve and area under the curve also indicated considerable predictive accuracy. In addition, decision curve analysis demonstrated desirable net benefits in clinical application.

CONCLUSION

We constructed a nomogram for predicting the CSS of individual octogenarian patients with CRC who underwent radical resection. The nomogram performed better than the TNM staging system in this particular population and could guide clinicians in clinical follow-up and individual therapeutic plan formulation.

Impact of Dementia in Colorectal Cancer Patients: United States Population-Based Cohort Study

Background/Aims

Various socioeconomic and racial disparities are well-documented for colon cancer. However, the association of dementia, which is a growing cause of mortality in the elderly, remains unexplored. We aim to understand the association between these two conditions, in the elderly population group.

Methods

We utilized the 2020 National Inpatient Sample to investigate records admitted for colorectal cancer identified through ICD-10 CM codes. We divided records by the presence of dementia. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for predefined outcomes were determined using multivariable logistic and linear regression models, adjusting for comorbidities. The primary outcome assessed was inpatient mortality, while secondary outcomes include other inpatient complications.

Results

We identified 33,335 hospitalizations with ages more than 60. The mean age was 75.2 and males constituted 50.4%. In a survey multivariable logistic and linear regression model adjusting for patient and hospital factors, utilizing propensity score matching, the presence of dementia is associated with lower inpatient mortality (aOR 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.26, 0.92], p=0.03), lower hospitalization costs (beta coefficient -2,823, 95% CI [-5,266, -440], p=0.02), lower odds of acute respiratory failure (aOR 0.54, p=0.01), lower mechanical ventilation usage (aOR 0.26, p<0.01) but higher odds of mental status change (aOR 1.97, 95% CI [1.37, 2.84], p<0.01).

Conclusions

The presence of dementia is associated with a lower risk of inpatient mortality, and other clinical outcomes, in colorectal cancer cases admitted for hospitalization. Etiologies behind this relationship should be explored to understand this inverse relationship.

Subgroup analyses from patients with pre-treated metastatic colorectal cancer receiving trifluridine/tipiracil: results of the TALLISUR trial

BACKGROUND

In the pivotal phase III RECOURSE trial, trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) improved progression-free and overall survival (PFS, OS) of patients with pre-treated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Subsequently, the TALLISUR trial provided post-authorisation efficacy and safety data and patient-reported outcomes on quality of life (QoL) in a German patient cohort. The present analysis reports the final data on efficacy, safety and QoL and investigates the impact of baseline characteristics and associated prognostic subgroups on outcome.

METHODS

In this prospective, multi-centre, Germany-wide, phase IV study, patients with pre-treated mCRC were given the choice to receive either FTD/TPI or best supportive care (BSC). To assess the primary endpoint, QoL, EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaires were employed. Secondary endpoints included QoL assessed through EQ-5D-5L questionnaires, OS, PFS and safety. Additionally, 3 subgroups were defined according to a post-hoc analysis of the RECOURSE trial: best, good and poor prognostic characteristics (BPC, GPC, PPC). Patients with < 3 metastatic sites at inclusion and/or ≥ 18 months from diagnosis to inclusion were considered to have GPC. GPC patients without liver metastasis at inclusion were considered to have BPC. All remaining patients were considered to have PPC.

RESULTS

Of 195 patients, 186 decided to receive FTD/TPI and 9 to receive BSC. The low number of patients in the BSC-arm did not allow statistically meaningful analyses. Treatment with FTD/TPI was associated with maintained QoL. For all patients, median OS was 6.9 months (95% CI 6.1 - 8.3) and for the defined subgroups (BPC n = 20 vs GPC n = 65 vs PPC n = 121) 12.2, 7.9 and 6.8 months (95% CI 6.0 - 18.2, 6.2 - 13.3, 5.4 - 8.1). The most frequent TEAEs were neutropenia (29.6%), anaemia (24.7%) and nausea (23.7%). Febrile neutropenia occurred in 1.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of patients suffering from pre-treated mCRC with FTD/TPI was associated not only with prolonged survival and delayed progression, but also with maintained QoL. Independent of other baseline characteristics such as ECOG performance status and age, low metastatic burden and indolent disease were factors associated with favourable outcome.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

EudraCT-Number 2017-000292-83, first registration 19/06/2017.

Development and Implementation of a Digital Quality Measure of Emergency Cancer Diagnosis

PURPOSE

Missed and delayed cancer diagnoses are common, harmful, and often preventable. Automated measures of quality of cancer diagnosis are lacking but could identify gaps and guide interventions. We developed and implemented a digital quality measure (dQM) of cancer emergency presentation (EP) using electronic health record databases of two health systems and characterized the measure's association with missed opportunities for diagnosis (MODs) and mortality.

METHODS

On the basis of literature and expert input, we defined EP as a new cancer diagnosis within 30 days after emergency department or inpatient visit. We identified EPs for lung cancer and colorectal cancer (CRC) in the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) and Geisinger from 2016 to 2020. We validated measure accuracy and identified preceding MODs through standardized chart review of 100 records per cancer per health system. Using VA's longitudinal encounter and mortality data, we applied logistic regression to assess EP's association with 1-year mortality, adjusting for cancer stage and demographics.

RESULTS

Among 38,565 and 2,914 patients with lung cancer and 14,674 and 1,649 patients with CRCs at VA and Geisinger, respectively, our dQM identified EPs in 20.9% and 9.4% of lung cancers, and 22.4% and 7.5% of CRCs. Chart reviews revealed high positive predictive values for EPs across sites and cancer types (72%-90%), and a substantial percent represented MODs (48.8%-84.9%). EP was associated with significantly higher odds of 1-year mortality for lung cancer and CRC (adjusted odds ratio, 1.78 and 1.83, respectively, 95% CI, 1.63 to 1.86 and 1.61 to 2.07).

CONCLUSION

A dQM for cancer EP was strongly associated with both mortality and MODs. The findings suggest a promising automated approach to measuring quality of cancer diagnosis in US health systems.

The prognostic significance of CD117-positive mast cells and microvessel density in colorectal cancer

The prognostic significance of angiogenesis has been demonstrated in various types of cancer. However, in colorectal cancer (CRC), there are conflicting results regarding the relationship between angiogenesis and clinical-histopathological prognostic factors. Mast cells are immune system cells found in the inflammatory microenvironment; their role in carcinogenesis and prognosis remains unclear although they are considered to cause cancer development and progression. The present study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of mast cell accumulation and angiogenesis assessed by microvessel density (MVD) in patients with CRC. Patients who underwent curative resection and who were not treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included. The anti-CD34 antibody and anti-CD117 antibody were utilized for the immunohistochemical assessment of MVD and the mast cell count (MCC) in the tissue samples, respectively. The relationship between MCC, MVD, survival and clinical-histopathological prognostic factors were evaluated. A total of 94 patients were enrolled to the study. In a median 49-month follow-up, 65 patients (69.1%) died. The 5-year disease-free survival was 61.1% and 31.3% for the group with CD34 < 18.3% and CD34 > 18.3%, respectively (P = .001). The same groups presented 5-year overall survival rates of 77, 1% and 51, 4%, respectively (P, .012). The MVD was found to be associated with the pathological T stage, lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis (P < .05). Although the MCC was positively correlated with MVD, there was no association between the MCC and clinical-histopathological prognostic factors. MVD-assessed angiogenesis was significantly related to survival and the clinical-histopathological prognostic factors in patients diagnosed with CRC.

Efficacy and safety of PD-1/L1 inhibitors as first-line therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of PD-1/L1 inhibitors as first-line therapy in metastatic colorectal cancer(mCRC).

Method

Articles evaluating first-line PD-1/L1 inhibitors for mCRC were sought in four databases (Pubmed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library) from the inception of the databases until 11 November 2023. Meta-analyses were conducted to assess the rates of progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), complete response (CR), partial response (PR), stable disease (SD), progressive disease (PD), objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and grade ≥ 3 treatment-related adverse events (trAEs).

Results

Totally nine studies were included for meta-analysis. A subgroup analysis was performed based on mismatch repair(MMR) status and regimens. In patients diagnosed with mismatch repair-deficient(dMMR) mCRC who received PD-1/L1 inhibitors as their first-line treatment, the ORR was 0.54 (95% CI, 0.39 to 0.68), the median PFS was 53.2 months, the Grade≥ 3 TRAEs rate was 0.33(95% CI, 0.12 to 0.60) and the median OS was not determined. For patients with proficient mismatch repair (pMMR) mCRC who underwent a combined treatment of PD-1/L1 inhibitors, anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody and chemotherapy as their first-line therapy, the ORR was 0.62 (95% CI, 0.56 to 0.68), the median PFS was 10.1 months, the median OS was 26.7 months, and the Grade≥ 3 TRAEs rate was 0.59(95% CI, 0.39 to 0.77).

Conclusion

Our results revealed that the utilization of PD-1/L1 inhibitors as first-line therapy for dMMR mCRC yielded highly favorable outcomes, while maintaining an acceptable level of safety. Administering a combination of PD-1/L1 inhibitors, anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody, and chemotherapy as first-line treatment in patients with pMMR mCRC led to an improved ORR. However, there was no significant improvement in the long-term prognosis of the tumor.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42024506196, identifier CRD42024506196.

Prognostic significance of negative lymph node count in microsatellite instability-high colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) tumors, with elevated tumor mutational burden and expression of neoantigens, represent a distinct immune-activated subpopulation in colorectal cancer (CRC), characterized by strong lymph node reaction, locally advanced tumor and higher total lymph nodes harvested (TLN), but less metastatic lymph nodes and fewer incidence of III-IV stage. Host immune response to tumor and lymph nodes may be an important prognostic factor. However, N stage and LNR (Lymph-Node Ratio) have limitations in predicting the prognosis of MSI-H patients. Negative lymph node count (NLC) provided a more precise representation of immune activation status and extent of tumor metastasis. The study aims to detect prognostic significance of NLC in MSI-H CRC patients, and compare it with N stage, TLN and LNR.

METHODS

Retrospective data of 190 consecutive MSI-H CRC patients who received curative resection were collected. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Clinicopathological variables including NLC, N stage, TLN and LNR were studied in univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses. ROC (receiver operating characteristic curve) and concordance index were employed to compare the differences in predictive efficacy between NLC, N stage, TLN and LNR.

RESULTS

Patients with increased NLC experienced a significantly improved 5-years DFS and OS in Kaplan-Meier analysis, univariate analysis, and multivariate analysis, independent of potential confounders examined. Increased NLC corresponded to elevated 5-years DFS rate and 5-years OS rate. AUC (area under curve) and concordance index of NLC in DFS and OS predicting were both significantly higher than N stage, TLN and LNR.

CONCLUSIONS

Negative lymph node is an important independent prognostic factor for MSI-H patients. Reduced NLC is associated with tumor recurrence and poor survival, which is a stronger prognostic factor than N stage, TLN and LNR.

Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index and its association with body composition and overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationship between the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (A-CCI) with body composition and overall survival in patients newly diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC).

RESEARCH METHODS AND PROCEDURES

In this cohort study, patients (≥ 18 years old) with CRC were followed for 36 months. Computed tomography images of the third lumbar were analyzed to determine body composition, including skeletal muscle area (SMA), skeletal muscle index (SMI), skeletal muscle radiodensity (SMD), visceral adipose tissue (VAT), and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT). Phenotypes based on comorbidity burden assessed by A-CCI and body composition parameters were established.

RESULTS

A total of 436 participants were included, 50% male, with a mean age of 61 ± 13.2 years. Approximately half of the patients (50.4%) had no comorbidity, and the A-CCI median score was 4 (interquartile range: 3-6). A higher A-CCI score was a risk factor for 36-month mortality (HR = 3.59, 95% CI = 2.17-5.95). Low SMA and low SMD were associated with a higher A-CCI. All abnormal phenotypes (high A-CCI and low SMA; high A-CCI and low SMD; high A-CCI and high VAT) were independently associated with higher 36-month mortality hazard (adjusted HR 5.12, 95% CI 2.73-9.57; adjusted HR 4.58, 95% CI 2.37-8.85; and adjusted HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.07-5.22, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The coexistence of comorbidity burden and abnormal body composition phenotypes, such as alterations in muscle or fat compartments, may pose an additional risk of mortality in patients newly diagnosed with CRC. Early assessment and management of these phenotypes could be crucial in optimizing outcomes in such patients.

Minimal Residual Disease using a Plasma-Only Circulating Tumor DNA Assay to Predict Recurrence of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Following Curative Intent Treatment

PURPOSE

Minimal residual disease (MRD) detection can identify the recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) following definitive treatment. We evaluated a plasma-only MRD assay to predict recurrence and survival in patients with metastatic CRC who underwent curative intent procedures (surgery and/or radiotherapy), with or without (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy. The primary objective of this study was to assess the correlation of postprocedure tumor cell-free DNA detection status with radiographic disease recurrence.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Preprocedure and postprocedure longitudinal samples were collected from 53 patients and analyzed with a multiomic MRD assay detecting circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from genomic and epigenomic signals. Preprocedure and postprocedure ctDNA detection correlated with recurrence-free and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

From 52 patients, 230/233 samples were successfully analyzed. At the time of data cutoff, 36 (69.2%) patients recurred with median follow-up of 31 months. Detectable ctDNA was observed in 19/42 patients (45.2%) with ctDNA analyzed 3 weeks postprocedure. ctDNA detection 3 weeks postprocedure was associated with shorter median recurrence-free survival (RFS; HR, 5.27; 95% CI, 2.31-12.0; P < 0.0001) and OS (HR, 12.83; 95% CI, 3.6-45.9; P < 0.0001). Preprocedure ctDNA detection status was not associated with RFS but was associated with improved OS (HR, 4.65; 95% CI, 1.4-15.2; P = 0.0111). Undetectable ctDNA preprocedure had notable long-term OS, >90% 3 years postprocedure.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of oligometastatic CRC, detection of ctDNA preprocedure or postprocedure was associated with inferior outcomes even after accounting for known prognostic clinicopathologic variables. This suggests ctDNA may enhance current risk stratification methods helping the evaluation of novel treatments and surveillance strategies toward improving patient outcomes.

Mortality rate and predictors of colorectal cancer patients in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been increasing in Sub-Saharan countries, including Ethiopia. However, the real mortality rate for CRC patients in Ethiopia has not been established. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the overall mortality rate and identify predictors among CRC patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar were searched to identify relevant articles. The preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) were followed. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale Critical Appraisal checklist. A random effect model was used to estimate the pooled mortality rate and adjusted hazard ratio (AHR). Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's regression test, while heterogeneity was evaluated through the Cochran Q test and I2 statistics.

RESULTS

After reviewing 74 articles, only 7 studies met the criteria and were included in the analysis. The analysis revealed that the overall mortality rate among CRC patients in Ethiopia was 40.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 32.05, 48.87) while the survival rates at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 82.3% (95% CI: 73.33, 91.31), 48.8% (95% CI: 43.35, 54.32), and 26.6% (95% CI: 21.26, 31.91) respectively. Subgroup analysis indicated that studies conducted after 2017 had higher mortality rates compared to those studied earlier (43.0% vs. 38.2%). Older age (AHR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.27, 2.82); being married (AHR: 2.53, 95% CI: 1.79, 3.57); having comorbidities (AHR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.45, 2.35); having high CEA levels (AHR: 2.06, CI: 1.35, 3.13); being in stage II (AHR: 4.13, 95% CI: 1.85, 9.22), III (AHR: 8.62, 95% CI: 3.88, 19.15), and IV (AHR: 8.06, CI: 2.89, 22.49) were the most important predictors.

CONCLUSION

In Ethiopia, the mortality rate among individuals diagnosed with CRC is high, with two out of five patients dying from this disease. Age, marital status, CEA level, comorbidities, and cancer stage were identified as predictors of mortality in CRC patients. Therefore, early detection and screening should be prioritized, particularly for older patients, those who are married, have comorbidities, elevated CEA levels, and advanced cancer stages.

Conditional survival and the prognostic value of serum carcinoembryonic antigen level in oldest old with colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the clinical value of serum CEA levels and their implications on the diagnostic value of the conventional TNM staging system in the oldest-old patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

The recruited subjects were colorectal cancer patients aged 85 and older. The cutoff value for normal CEA level is 5 ng/mL. Patients with elevated CEA levels were categorized as stage C1, and those with normal CEA levels as stage C0. A number of Cox proportional hazard regression models were established to evaluate the prognosis of different prognostic factors with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The Kaplan-Meier method was utilized to display the disparate prognostic impact of multiple clinicopathological factors with the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 17,359 oldest-old patients diagnosed with CRC were recruited from the SEER database. The conditional survival of oldest-old patients with CRC was dismal with a 1-year conditional survival of only 11%, 18%, and 30% for patients surviving 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Patients with stage C1 exhibited a 48.5% increased risk of CRC-specific mortality compared with stage C0 (HR = 1.485, 95%CI = 1.393-1.583, using stage C0 patients as the reference, P < 0.001). All the stage C0 patients indicated lower HRs relative to the corresponding stage C1 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Dismal conditional survival of oldest-old patients with CRC should be given additional consideration. C stage influences the prognosis of oldest-old patients with CRC.

Cancer histology in metastatic lymph node predicts prognosis in patients with node-positive stage IV colorectal cancer

Background

Appropriate prognostic indicators are required for patients with stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC). Lymph node metastasis mainly involves four histological types of CRC. Some metastatic lymph nodes (mLNs) showing cribriform carcinoma are associated with distant metastasis in patients with node-positive CRC and are correlated with recurrence and survival in stage III disease. However, the significance of mLN histology in the prognosis of patients with node-positive stage IV disease remains unclear.

Methods

We enrolled 449 consecutive patients with CRC who underwent primary tumor resection with lymph node dissection between January 2011 and November 2018. This study included 88 patients with node-positive stage IV CRC and synchronous or metachronous distant metastases. We retrospectively investigated the association between cancer histology in the mLNs based on our classification and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with node-positive stage IV CRC.

Results

Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that CSS was better in patients with CRC and all the mLNs showing tubular-type carcinoma. In contrast, patients with at least some mLNs showing poorly differentiated-type carcinoma had poor prognosis. Multivariate analysis showed that "all mLNs showing tubular-type carcinoma" was an independent good prognostic factor for CSS in patients with node-positive stage IV CRC. In addition, "at least some mLNs showing poorly differentiated-type carcinoma" was an independent poor prognostic factor for CSS in patients with node-positive stage IV disease.

Conclusions

The histological type of the mLN may indicate a better or poor prognosis for patients with stage IV CRC.

Genome wide identification of novel DNA methylation driven prognostic markers in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) stands as a major contributor to cancer-related fatalities within China. There is an urgent need to identify accurate biomarkers for recurrence predicting in CRC. Reduced representation bisulfite sequencing was used to perform a comparative analysis of methylation profiles in tissue samples from 30 recurrence to 30 non-recurrence patients with CRC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method was performed to select the differential methylation regions (DMRs) and built a DNA methylation classifier for predicting recurrence. Based on the identified top DMRs, a methylation classifier was built and consisted of eight hypermethylated DMRs in CRC. The DNA methylation classifier showed high accuracy for predicting recurrence with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.825 (95% CI 0.680-0.970). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that CRC patients with high methylation risk score, evaluated by the DNA methylation classifier, had poorer survival than low risk score (Hazard Ratio 4.349; 95% CI 1.783-10.61, P = 0.002). And only CRC patients with low methylation risk score could acquire benefit from adjuvant therapy. The DNA methylation classifier has been proved as crucial biomarkers for predicting recurrence and exhibited promising prognostic value after curative surgery in patients with CRC.

Prognostic impact of primary tumour location after curative resection in Stage I-III colorectal cancer: a single-centre retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

The relationship of tumour site with post-recurrence course and outcome after primary surgery in resectable colorectal cancer is unclear. This study investigated the prognostic impact of primary tumour location following radical resection without preoperative treatment in Stage I-III colorectal cancer.

METHODS

We analyzed 3770 patients with Stage I-III colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection at our hospital during 2000-15. We defined the right-sided colon as the cecum, ascending colon and transverse colon, and the left-sided colon as the descending colon, sigmoid and rectosigmoid junction. Patients were divided into three groups according to tumour site: right-sided colon, left-sided colon and rectum. Endpoints were overall survival, recurrence-free survival by stage and survival after recurrence, respectively.

RESULTS

The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with stage I left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 98.2, 97.3 and 97.2%, respectively (P = 0.488). The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with Stage II left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 96.2, 88.7 and 83.0, respectively (P = 0.070). The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with Stage III left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 88.7, 83.0 and 80.2, respectively (P = 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage I left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 95.1, 94.5 and 90.6% (P = 0.027). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage II left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 85.2, 90.2 and 76.1%, respectively (P < 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage III left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 75.3, 75.3 and 59.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). Right-sided colon cancer was significantly associated with better recurrence-free survival compared with left-sided colon cancer (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.03-1.63; P = 0.025) and rectal cancer (HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.51-2.38; P < 0.001) after adjusting for clinical factors. Amongst patients with recurrence, right-sided colon cancer was significantly associated with poorer survival after recurrence compared with left-sided colon cancer (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.48-0.97; P = 0.036), and showed a tendency towards poorer survival after recurrence compared with rectal cancer (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.57-1.10; P = 0.164).

CONCLUSIONS

In Stage I-III colorectal cancer without preoperative treatment, our results suggest that the three tumour sites (right-sided colon, left-sided colon or rectum) may have prognostic significance for recurrence-free survival and survival after recurrence, rather than sidedness alone.

Long-term survivals of immune checkpoint inhibitors as neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy in dMMR/MSI-H colorectal and gastric cancers

BACKGROUND

The long-term survival benefit of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in neoadjuvant and adjuvant settings is unclear for colorectal cancers (CRC) and gastric cancers (GC) with deficiency of mismatch repair (dMMR) or microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H).

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled patients with dMMR/MSI-H CRC and GC who received at least one dose of neoadjuvant ICIs (neoadjuvant cohort, NAC) or adjuvant ICIs (adjuvant cohort, AC) at 17 centers in China. Patients with stage IV disease were also eligible if all tumor lesions were radically resectable.

RESULTS

In NAC (n = 124), objective response rates were 75.7% and 55.4%, respectively, in CRC and GC, and pathological complete response rates were 73.4% and 47.7%, respectively. The 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 96% (95%CI 90-100%) and 100% for CRC (median follow-up [mFU] 29.4 months), respectively, and were 84% (72-96%) and 93% (85-100%) for GC (mFU 33.0 months), respectively. In AC (n = 48), the 3-year DFS and OS rates were 94% (84-100%) and 100% for CRC (mFU 35.5 months), respectively, and were 92% (82-100%) and 96% (88-100%) for GC (mFU 40.4 months), respectively. Among the seven patients with distant relapse, four received dual blockade of PD1 and CTLA4 combined with or without chemo- and targeted drugs, with three partial response and one progressive disease.

CONCLUSION

With a relatively long follow-up, this study demonstrated that neoadjuvant and adjuvant ICIs might be both associated with promising DFS and OS in dMMR/MSI-H CRC and GC, which should be confirmed in further randomized clinical trials.

Ferroptosis: the balance between death and survival in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common malignant tumor associated with high morbidity and mortality. Despite an increase in early screening and treatment options, people with CRC still have a poor prognosis and a low 5-year survival rate. Therefore, mining more therapeutic targets and developing means of early diagnosis and determining prognosis are now imperative in the clinical treatment of CRC. Ferroptosis is a recently identified type of regulated cell death (RCD) characterized, which is identified by the accumulation of iron-dependent lipid peroxidation, thereby causing membrane damage and cell death. Recent studies have shown that ferroptosis is associated with tumors, including CRC, and can be involved in CRC progression; however, the underlying mechanisms are complex and heterogeneous and have not been thoroughly summarized. Therefore, this study reviewed the roles of ferroptosis in CRC progression to target ferroptosis-related factors for CRC treatment. The significance of ferroptosis-related biomarkers and genes in the early diagnosis and prognosis of CRC was also investigated. Furthermore, the limitations of ferroptosis studies in the current treatment of CRC, as well as future research perspectives, are discussed.

Factors associated with receipt of pulmonary metastasectomy in patients with lung-limited metastatic colorectal cancer: Disparities in care and impact on overall survival

OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary metastasectomy (PM) for colorectal cancer may provide respite from systemic therapy and prolonged disease-free intervals. We sought to identify factors associated with PM and to characterize the differential impact on overall survival for those offered lung resection.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was queried for stage IV colorectal cancer patients with lung-limited metastatic disease between 2010 and 2016. Among patients who underwent primary tumor resection, those who underwent PM were compared with those who did not. Penalized regression with the least absolute selection and shrinkage operator was used to determine factors associated with receiving metastasectomy as well as overall survival.

RESULTS

In total, 867 (15.1%) patients underwent resection of both primary tumor and pulmonary metastases whereas 4864 (84.8%) had primary tumor resection alone. In unadjusted analyses, metastasectomy patents were younger, more often privately insured, more educated, and traveled farther to receive care (all P < .001). In multivariable analyses, younger age, traveling >25 miles, and care at high-volume hospitals were associated with PM (P < .01). In addition, primary site surgery without PM was associated with worse overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.35; confidence interval, 1.23-1.49), even after adjusting for patient, tumor, and hospital-related factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who were older, who received care closer to home, and who were treated at low-volume hospitals were less likely to receive metastasectomy for lung-limited colorectal cancer after definitive resection of their primary tumor. Failure to receive PM resulted in worse overall survival, emphasizing the strong need for efforts to provide uniform, equitable care to all patients.

The Clinical Efficacy of Colorectal Cancer Patients with Pulmonary Oligometastases by Sterotactic Body Ablative Radiotherapy: A Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

There is increasing interest in the efficacy of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) for treating colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with oligometastases (OM), recently. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to evaluate local control (LC), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) of CRC patients with pulmonary OM treated with SABR and toxicities.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Studies that reported SABR for CRC patients with pulmonary OM were searched from MEDLINE and Embase. Treatment outcomes including LC, PFS, OS, and toxicities of grade 3 or higher were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 19 studies with 1,668 patients were chosen for this meta-analysis. Pooled 1-, 2-, and 3-year LC rates were 83.1%, 69.3%, and 63.9%, respectively. PFS rates were 44.8%, 26.5%, and 21.5% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. OS rates at 1-, 2-, and 3-year were 87.5%, 69.9%, and 60.5%, respectively. The toxicity rate of grade 3 or higher was 3.6%. The effect of dose escalation was meta-analyzed using available studies.

CONCLUSION

Application of SABR to CRC patients with pulmonary OM achieved modest local control with acceptable toxicity according to the present meta-analysis. Further studies establishing the clinical efficacy of SABR are guaranteed.

Duration of risk reduction in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality after a complete colonoscopy in Ontario, Canada: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer guidelines recommend screening colonoscopy every 10 years after a negative procedure. If risk reduction extends past 10 years, the recommended interval could be extended, reducing the burden on the individual and health-care system. We aimed to estimate the duration that patients remain at reduced risk of colorectal cancer incidence and mortality after a complete colonoscopy.

METHODS

We did a population-based cohort study of individuals aged 50-65 years between Jan 1, 1994, to Dec 31, 2017. We excluded individuals with previous exposure to colonoscopy or colorectal surgery, those previously diagnosed with colorectal cancer, or a history of hereditary or other bowel disorders. We followed up participants until Dec 31, 2018, and identified all colonoscopies performed in this time period. We used a 9-level time-varying measure of exposure, capturing time since last complete colonoscopy (no complete colonoscopy, ≤5 years, >5-10 years, >10-15 years, and >15 years) and whether an intervention was performed (biopsy or polypectomy). A Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusting for age, sex, comorbidity, residential income quintile, and immigration status was used to estimate the association between exposure to a complete colonoscopy and colorectal cancer incidence and mortality.

FINDINGS

5 298 033 individuals (2 609 060 [49·2%] female and 2 688 973 [50·8%] male; no data on ethnicity were available) were included in the cohort, with a median follow-up of 12·56 years (IQR 6·26-20·13). 90 532 (1·7%) individuals were diagnosed with colorectal cancer and 44 088 (0·8%) died from colorectal cancer. Compared with those who did not have a colonoscopy, the risk of colorectal cancer in those who had a complete negative colonoscopy was reduced at all timepoints, including when the procedure occurred more than 15 years earlier (hazard ratio [HR] 0·62 [95% CI 0·51-0·77] for female individuals and 0·57 [0·46-0·70] for male individuals. A similar finding was observed for colorectal cancer mortality, with lower risk at all timepoints, including when the procedure occurred more than 15 years earlier (HR 0·64 [95% CI 0·49-0·83] for female participants and 0·65 [0·50-0·83] for male participants). Those who had a colonoscopy with intervention had a significantly lower colorectal cancer incidence than those who did not undergo colonoscopy if the procedure occurred within 10 years for females (HR 0·70 [95% CI 0·63-0·77]) and up to 15 years for males (0·62 [(0·53-0·72]).

INTERPRETATION

Compared with those who do not receive colonoscopy, individuals who have a negative colonoscopy result remain at lower risk for colorectal cancer incidence and mortality more than 15 years after the procedure. The current recommendation of repeat screening at 10 years in these individuals should be reassessed.

FUNDING

Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

Critical appraisal of surgical margins according to KRAS status in liver resection for colorectal liver metastases: Should surgical strategy be influenced by tumor biology?

BACKGROUND

KRAS mutation is a negative prognostic factor for colorectal liver metastases. Several studies have investigated the resection margins according to KRAS status, with conflicting results. The aim of the study was to assess the oncologic outcomes of R0 and R1 resections for colorectal liver metastases according to KRAS status.

METHODS

All patients who underwent resection for colorectal liver metastases between 2010 and 2015 with available KRAS status were enrolled in this multicentric international cohort study. Logistic regression models were used to investigate the outcomes of R0 and R1 colorectal liver metastases resections according to KRAS status: wild type versus mutated. The primary outcomes were overall survival and disease-free survival.

RESULTS

The analysis included 593 patients. KRAS mutation was associated with shorter overall survival (40 vs 60 months; P = .0012) and disease-free survival (15 vs 21 months; P = .003). In KRAS-mutated tumors, the resection margin did not influence oncologic outcomes. In multivariable analysis, the only predictor of disease-free survival and overall survival was primary tumor location (P = .03 and P = .03, respectively). In KRAS wild-type tumors, R0 resection was associated with prolonged overall survival (74 vs 45 months, P < .001) and disease-free survival (30 vs 17 months, P < .001). The multivariable model confirmed that R0 resection margin was associated with prolonged overall survival (hazard ratio = 1.43, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-2.03) and disease-free survival (hazard ratio = 1.42; 95% confidence interval: 1.06-1.91).

CONCLUSIONS

KRAS-mutated colorectal liver metastases showed more aggressive tumor biology with inferior overall survival and disease-free survival after liver resection. Although R0 resection was not associated with improved oncologic outcomes in the KRAS-mutated tumors group, it seems to be of paramount importance for achieving prolonged long-term survival in KRAS wild-type tumors.