Epidemiology of dialysis patients and heart failure patients

Role of leptin in reverse epidemiology in chronic kidney disease

Leptin is mainly produced by adipocytes and metabolized in the kidney. Leptin is taken up into the central nervous system by a saturable transport system, and controls appetite in rodents and in healthy subjects. Leptin acts on peripheral tissue and increases the inflammatory response by stimulating the production of tumor necrosis factor alpha, interleukin-6 and interleukin-12. In healthy humans, serum leptin concentration is related to the size of adipose tissue mass in the body. The majority of obese subjects have inappropriately high levels of circulating plasma leptin concentrations, indicating leptin resistance. In healthy subjects increased leptin concentration constitutes a biomarker for increased cardiovascular risk. On the other hand, a recent prospective long-term study in patients with chronic kidney disease stage 5 on hemodialysis therapy showed that reduced serum leptin concentration is an independent risk factor for mortality in these patients.

Racial and survival paradoxes in chronic kidney disease

Most of the 20 million people in the US with chronic kidney disease (CKD) die before commencing dialysis. One of every five dialysis patients dies each year in the US. Although cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of death among patients with CKD, conventional cardiovascular risk factors such as hypercholesterolemia, hypertension and obesity are paradoxically associated with better survival in hemodialysis populations. Emerging data indicate the existence of this 'reverse epidemiology' in earlier stages of CKD. There are also paradoxical relationships between outcomes and race and ethnicity. For example, the survival rate of African American dialysis patients seems to be superior to that of whites on dialysis. Paradoxes-within-paradoxes have been detected among Hispanic and Asian American CKD patients. These survival paradoxes might evolve and change over the natural course of CKD progression as a result of the time differentials of competing risk factors and the overwhelming impact of malnutrition, inflammation and wasting. Reversal of the reverse epidemiology as a result of successful kidney transplantation underscores the role of nutritional status and kidney function in engendering these paradoxes. The observation of paradoxes and their reversal might lead to the formulation of new paradigms and management strategies to improve the survival of patients with CKD. Such movement away from the use of targets set on the basis of data gathered in general populations (e.g. the Framingham cohort) would be a major paradigm shift in clinical medicine and public health.

Risk factor paradox in wasting diseases

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Emerging data indicate that conventional cardiovascular risk factors (e.g. hypercholesterolemia and obesity) are paradoxically associated with better survival in distinct populations with wasting. We identify these populations and review survival paradoxes and common pathophysiologic mechanisms.

RECENT FINDINGS

A 'reverse epidemiology' of cardiovascular risk is observed in chronic kidney disease, chronic heart failure, chronic obstructive lung disease, cancer, AIDS and rheumatoid arthritis, and in the elderly. These populations apparently have slowly progressive to full-blown wasting and significantly greater short-term mortality than the general population. The survival paradoxes may result from the time differential between the two competing risk factors [i.e. over-nutrition (long-term killer but short-term protective) versus undernutrition (short-term killer)]. Hemodynamic stability of obesity, protective adipokine profile, endotoxin-lipoprotein interaction, toxin sequestration of fat, antioxidation of muscle, reverse causation, and survival selection may also contribute.

SUMMARY

The seemingly counterintuitive risk factor paradox is the hallmark of chronic disease states or conditions associated with wasting disease at the population level. Studying similarities among these populations may help reveal common pathophysiologic mechanisms of wasting disease, leading to a major shift in clinical medicine and public health beyond the conventional Framingham paradigm and to novel therapeutic approaches related to wasting and short-term mortality.

A1C and survival in maintenance hemodialysis patients

OBJECTIVE

The optimal target for glycemic control has not been established in diabetic dialysis patients.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

To address this question, the national database of a large dialysis organization (DaVita) was analyzed via time-dependent survival models with repeated measures.

RESULTS

Of 82,933 patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) in DaVita outpatient clinics over 3 years (July 2001 through June 2004), 23,618 diabetic MHD patients had A1C measurements at least once. Unadjusted survival analyses indicated paradoxically lower death hazard ratios (HRs) with higher A1C values. However, after adjusting for potential confounders (demographics, dialysis vintage, dose, comorbidity, anemia, and surrogates of malnutrition and inflammation), higher A1C values were incrementally associated with higher death risks. Compared with A1C in the 5-6% range, the adjusted all-cause and cardiovascular death HRs for A1C > or = 10% were 1.41 (95% CI 1.25-1.60) and 1.73 (1.44-2.08), respectively (P < 0.001). The incremental increase in death risk for rising A1C values was monotonic and robust in nonanemic patients (hemoglobin > 11.0 g/dl). In subgroup analyses, the association between A1C > 6% and increased death risk was more prominent among younger patients, those who had undergone dialysis for > 2 years, and those with higher protein intake (> 1 g x kg(-1) x day(-1)), blood hemoglobin (> 11 g/dl), or serum ferritin values (> 500 ng/ml).

CONCLUSIONS

In diabetic MHD patients, the apparently counterintuitive association between poor glycemic control and greater survival is explained by such confounders as malnutrition and anemia. All things equal, higher A1C is associated with increased death risk. Lower A1C levels not related to malnutrition or anemia appear to be associated with improved survival in MHD patients.

Gender-specific association of adiponectin as a predictor of progression of chronic kidney disease: the Mild to Moderate Kidney Disease Study

Progressive renal vascular sclerosis is a key feature of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Adiponectin, an adipokine with potent anti-inflammatory and antiatherosclerotic properties, is associated with insulin resistance, type II diabetes and cardiovascular disease. In this study, we evaluated the predictive value of adiponectin for the progression of CKD in patients enrolled in the Mild to Moderate Kidney Disease Study. The primary end point was defined as a doubling of the baseline serum creatinine and/or terminal renal failure in 177 patients who completed a prospective follow-up of 7 years. Patients who reached a progression endpoint (n=65) were significantly older, had higher baseline serum creatinine, proteinuria and adiponectin concentrations and more components of the metabolic syndrome. A gender-stratified Cox model revealed adiponectin in men as a significant predictor of progression after adjustment for age, glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria. Male patients with adiponectin levels above their ROC analysis-derived optimal cutoff of 4 microg/ml had a significantly faster progression than patients below this point. This prospective long-term study in patients with CKD indicates high adiponectin as a novel independent predictor of disease progression in men but not in women. Our observation may be relevant for other conditions of progressive vascular sclerosis and diabetic nephropathy.

Impact of kidney bone disease and its management on survival of patients on dialysis

Despite the enormous cardiovascular disease epidemic and poor survival among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD), traditional risk factors such as hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and obesity appear not as relevant as was previously thought, nor would their management improve survival in patients with CKD who are undergoing dialysis. On the contrary, kidney disease wasting (KDW) (also known as the malnutrition-inflammation complex), renal anemia, and kidney bone disease (KBD) appear to be the 3 most important nontraditional risk factors associated with cardiovascular disease in CKD. KBD-associated hyperparathyroidism may contribute to worsening refractory anemia and KDW/inflammation. The main cause of secondary hyperparathyroidism is active vitamin D deficiency. Hence, treatment of patients with KBD with vitamin D analogs, especially those with lesser effects on calcium and phosphorus such as paricalcitol, may be the most promising option for improving CKD outcomes. By conducting survival analyses in a 2-year (7/2001 to 6/2003) cohort of 58,058 patients on hemodialysis, we recently found that associations between high serum parathyroid hormone and increased death risk were masked by the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients, and that alkaline phosphatase had an incremental association with mortality. Administration of paricalcitol was associated with improved survival in time-varying models. We now present additional subgroup analyses that show that administration of any dose of paricalcitol, when compared with no paricalcitol, is associated with better likelihood of survival in virtually all subgroups of patients on hemodialysis. Because these associations may be secondary to bias by indication, randomized clinical trials are necessary to verify the findings of this and similar observational studies.

Association between serum lipids and survival in hemodialysis patients and impact of race

Despite the enormous cardiovascular disease epidemic among maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients, total hypercholesterolemia seems paradoxically to be associated with better survival. It was hypothesized that similar paradoxic associations also exist for serum LDL, HDL, and triglycerides. A 3-yr (July 2001 through June 2004) cohort of 15,859 MHD patients was studied in the United States from DaVita dialysis clinics where lipid profile was measured in at least 50% of all outpatients during a given calendar quarter. Cox proportional hazard models were adjusted for case mix and surrogates of malnutrition-inflammation complex. Both total and LDL hypercholesterolemia showed a paradoxic association with better survival. Hypertriglyceridemia (>200 mg/dl) also showed a similar trend, but serum HDL cholesterol did not have any clear association with survival. The association between a low serum LDL <70 mg/dl, which was prevalent among almost 50% of all MHD patients, and a higher all-cause death risk was robust to multivariate adjustment. In the subgroup analyses, these paradoxic associations persisted among most subgroups, although they tended to be stronger among hypoalbuminemic (<3.8 mg/dl) patients and those with a lower dietary protein intake (<1 g/kg per d). However, in black patients, a high serum LDL (>100 mg/ml) was associated with adjusted cardiovascular death hazard ratio of 1.94 (95% confidence interval 1.12 to 2.38; P = 0.02). Despite inverse associations between hyperlipidemia and survival, black MHD patients with high LDL show almost two-fold increase in cardiovascular death risk. Although these associations may not be causal, they call into question whether specific subgroups of dialysis patients are better targets for cholesterol-lowering therapy.

The kidney disease wasting: Inflammation, oxidative stress, and diet-gene interaction

The 350,000 maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients in the United States have an unacceptably high mortality rate of >20%/year. Almost half of all deaths are assumed to be cardiovascular. Markers of kidney disease wasting (KDW) such as hypoalbuminemia, anorexia, body weight and fat loss, rather than traditional cardiovascular risk factors, appear to be the strongest predictors of early death in these patients. The KDW is closely related to oxidative stress (SOX). Such SOX markers as serum myeloperoxidase are associated with pro-inflammatory cytokines and poor survival in MHD patients. Identifying the conditions that modulate the KDW/SOX-axis may be the key to improving outcomes in MHD patients. Dysfunctional lipoproteins such as a higher ratio of the high-density lipoprotein inflammatory index (HII) may engender or aggravate the KDW, whereas functionally intact or larger lipoprotein pools, as in hypercholesterolemia and obesity, may mitigate the KDW in MHD patients. Hence, a reverse epidemiology or "bad-gone-good" phenomenon may be observed. Diet and gene and their complex interaction may lead to higher proportions of pro-inflammatory or oxidative lipoproteins such as HII, resulting in the aggravation of the SOX and inflammatory processes, endothelial dysfunction, and subsequent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and death in MHD patients. Understanding the factors that modulate the KDW/SOX complex and their associations with genetic polymorphism, nutrition, and outcomes in MHD patients may lead to developing more effective strategies to improve outcomes in this and the 20 to 30 million Americans with chronic disease states such as individuals with chronic heart failure, advanced age, malignancies, AIDS, or cachexia.

Hepatitis C inflection in dialysis patients: a link to poor clinical outcome?

Among the 350,000 maintenance dialysis patients in the USA, the mortality rate is high (20-23% per year) as is the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection (5-15%). An additional same number of dialysis patients in the USA may be infected with HCV but have undetectable HCV antibodies. Almost half of all deaths in dialysis patients, including HCV-infected patients, are due to cardiovascular disease. Since over two-thirds of dialysis patients die within 5 years of initiating dialysis and because markers of malnutrition-inflammation complex syndrome (MICS), rather than traditional cardiovascular risk factors, are among the strongest predictors of early death in these patients, the impact of HCV infection on nutritional status and inflammation may be a main cause of poor survival in this population. Based on data from our cross-sectional and limited longitudinal studies, we hypothesize that HCV infection confounds the association between MICS and clinical outcomes in dialysis patients and, by doing so, leads to higher short-term cardiovascular events and death. Understanding the natural history of HCV and its association with inflammation, nutrition and outcomes in dialysis patients may lead to testing more effective anti-HCV management strategies in this and other similar patient populations, providing benefits not only for HCV infection but the detrimental consequences associated with this infection. In this article, we review the link between the HCV infection and mortality in dialysis patients and compare HCV antibody to molecular methods to detect HCV infection in these individuals.