CA19-9 as a prognostic factor in inoperable pancreatic cancer: the implication for clinical trials

Potential prognostic significance of a new proteomic profile in patients with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Seven-signal proteomic approach has recently been developed as a new proteomic profile measured by matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry. The aim of this study was to evaluate prognostic significance of this proteomic value in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Blood samples from the patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma were prospectively collected before treatments including surgical resection and systemic chemotherapies. The seven-signal proteomic profiles of the samples were measured, and the prognostic significance of the proteomic value was evaluated through comparison with other existing prognostic markers.

RESULTS

Cut-off value of the proteomic profiles at 52 stratified overall prognosis of the patients (6.5 months vs. 10.9 months with the values ≥52 vs. <52, p = 0.020). In subgroup analyses of inoperable cases with carcinoembryonic antigen level of <5 ng/ml or performance status of 0-1, the proteomic value at 52 stratified their prognosis (p = 0.002 and p = 0.006, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The new seven-signal proteomics showed useful prognostic significance for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Further studies with a large sample size would be required to evaluate whether this proteomic approach possibly complements the existing parameters, such as carcinoembryonic antigen and performance status.

Prognostic factors and sites of metastasis in unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer

Due to differences in natural history and therapy, clinical trials of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer have recently been subdivided into unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) and metastatic disease. We aimed to evaluate prognostic factors in LAPC patients who were treated with first-line chemotherapy and describe patterns of disease progression. Patients with LAPC who initiated first-line palliative chemotherapy, 2001–2011 at the BC Cancer Agency were included. A retrospective chart review was conducted to identify clinicopathologic variables, treatment, and subsequent sites of metastasis. Kaplan–Meier and Cox-regression survival analyses were performed. A total of 244 patients were included in this study. For the majority of patients (94.3%), first-line therapy was single-agent gemcitabine. About 144 (59%) patients developed distant metastatic disease and the most frequent metastatic sites included peritoneum/omentum (42.3%), liver (41%), lungs (13.9%), and distant lymph nodes (9%). Median overall survival (OS) for the entire cohort was 11.7 months (95% CI, 10.6–12.8). Development of distant metastases was associated with significantly inferior survival (HR 3.56, 95% CI 2.57–4.93), as was ECOG 2/3 versus 0/1 (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.28–2.23), CA 19.9 > 1000 versus ≤1000 (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.19–2.14) and female gender, (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.19–2.08). In this population-based study, 41% of LAPC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy died without evidence of distant metastases. Prognostic factors for LAPC were baseline performance status, elevated CA 19.9, gender, and development of distant metastasis. Results highlight the heterogeneity of LAPC and the importance of locoregional tumor control.

Combination of tumour markers CEA and CA19-9 improves the prognostic prediction in patients with pancreatic cancer

AIMS

Tumour markers including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) or carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are frequently determined at the time of diagnosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. Several studies indicate a prognostic relevance of these markers in pancreatic cancer, but space for improvement with regard to the predictive accuracy and ability is given. In this work, the main focus is on mathematical combinations of these two tumour markers in order to validate an improvement of prognostic test results in terms of sensitivity and specificity.

METHODS

This retrospective study includes 393 patients with pancreatic cancer, who were treated between the years 2005 and 2012 at the Division of Oncology, Medical University of Graz, Austria. The goal of this study was to explore whether an appropriate combination of two tumour markers leads to a statistically significant improvement of the prognostic prediction.

RESULTS

Receiver operating characteristic curves comparison analyses with the classification variable cancer-specific survival showed that the mathematical product of two tumour markers (TM(product)= (CEA×CA19-9); area under the curve (AUC)=0.727; 95% CI 0.680 to 0.770) is significantly better than CEA alone (AUC=0.644; 95% CI 0.594 to 0.691; p=0.003) but not significant compared with CA19-9 (AUC=0.710; 95% CI 0.662 to 0.754; p=0.1215). A linear combination of CEA and CA19-9 (TM(linear)=(85×CEA+CA19-9); AUC=0.748; 95% CI 0.702 to 0.790) is significantly better than CEA (p<0.0001) as well as CA19-9 alone (p=0.0304).

CONCLUSIONS

Mathematical combinations of pretherapeutic tumour markers CEA and CA19-9 are feasible and can significantly improve the prognostic prediction in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Survival in overweight patients with advanced pancreatic carcinoma: a multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Obesity is a risk factor for developing pancreatic cancer. We investigated the impact of obesity on survival in patients diagnosed with locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

In a multicentre, retrospective study, we included all patients with advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer treated at four Swiss hospitals between 1994 and 2004. We categorized patients into four body mass index (BMI) groups (<18.5, 18.5 - 25, ≥ 25 - 29, ≥30 kg/m2) and used multivariable Cox regression to investigate the impact of BMI on survival. Missing data were handled using multiple imputations.

RESULTS

483 patients were included. Median age was 66 years (range 59-74), 47% were female, 82% had stage IV disease, 72% had an ECOG below 2, and 84% were treated with gemcitabine-based first-line chemotherapy. After a median follow-up of 8.5 months, 6 and 12-month survival probabilities of the whole cohort were 67% (95% CI 63% - 71%) and 37% (95% CI 33% - 42%), respectively. Unadjusted 12-month survival rates in each BMI group were: 48% (95% CI 33% - 62%), 42% (95% CI 36% - 48%), 30% (95% CI 22% - 38%), and 11% (95% CI 4% - 24%), respectively. In multivariable analysis, increasing BMI (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.04 - 1.41, p = 0.012) and CA 19-9 (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.11, p = 0.003) were significantly associated with worse survival prognosis. Patients with a good clinical performance status (ECOG < 2) had a better prognosis (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.65 - 0.96, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Obese patients diagnosed with advanced pancreatic cancers have a worse prognosis compared to non-obese patients. BMI should be considered for risk stratification in future clinical trials.

At which stage of gastric cancer progression do levels of carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 increase? Application in advanced gastric cancer treatment

Purpose

Since there are no proven tumor markers that reflect the course of gastric cancer, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are commonly used alternatives. However, the degree of progression that corresponds to an increase in these markers, and the values of these markers at different cancer stages, remains unclear.

Materials and Methods

This study enrolled 1,733 gastric cancer patients who underwent surgery and whose pre-operative CEA and CA19-9 levels were known. Survival curves and mean values of the two markers were compared according to the degree of cancer progression: serosa-unexposed (SU), serosa-exposed (SE), direct invasion (DI), localized seeding (P1), and extensive seeding (P2).

Results

The 5-year overall survival rates at each stage differed significantly, except between DI and P1 patients (17.1% vs. 10.5%, P=0.344). The mean CEA values in SU, SE, DI, P1, and P2 patients were 5.80, 5.48, 13.36, 8.06, and 22.82, respectively. The CA19-9 values for these patients were 49.40, 38.97, 101.67, 73.77, and 98.57, respectively. The increase in CEA in P2 patients was statistically significant (P=0.002), and the increases in CA19-9 in DI and P2 patients were significant (P=0.025, 0.007, respectively). There was a fair correlation between the two markers in P2 patients (r=0.494, P<0.001).

Conclusions

CA19-9 can be used to assess DI of gastric cancer into adjacent organs. Both markers are useful for predicting the presence of extensive peritoneal seeding.

Prognostic significance of SUVmax and serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in pancreatic cancer

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of pretreatment standardized maximum uptake value (SUVmax) and serum carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS: From January 2007 to October 2011, 80 consecutive patients with pancreatic cancer who received positron emission/computed tomography before any treatment were enrolled in this study. The pretreatment SUVmax and CA19-9 level of the primary pancreatic tumor were obtained and compared with clinicopathological and prognostic factors. Student’s t test for unpaired data was used to analyze the differences between two groups. Univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to examine the independent effects of each significant variable. Survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS: There was a significant correlation between both the SUVmax and serum CA19-9 of pancreatic cancer and R0 surgical resection (P = 0.043 and P = 0.007). Lymph node metastasis was associated with SUVmax (P = 0.017), but not serum CA19-9 (P = 0.172). On the contrary, the tumor stage was significantly related to serum CA19-9 (P = 0.035), but not SUVmax (P = 0.110). The univariate analysis showed that survival time was significantly related to tumor stage (P < 0.001), lymph node metastasis (P = 0.043), R0 surgical resection (P < 0.001), serum CA19-9 (P = 0.001), SUVmax (P < 0.001) and SUVmax plus CA19-9 (P = 0.002). Multivariate analysis clearly showed that only tumor stage (hazard ratio = 0.452; P = 0.020) was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in pancreatic cancer. Higher SUVmax or CA19-9 showed worse prognosis. We found that high serum CA19-9 plus SUVmax was the most significant variable.

CONCLUSION: Higher pretreatment SUVmax and serum CA19-9 indicates poor prognosis. SUVmax plus serum CA19-9 is the most significant variable in predicting survival.

Combination of AZD2281 (Olaparib) and GX15-070 (Obatoclax) results in synergistic antitumor activities in preclinical models of pancreatic cancer

In this study, we explored the antitumor activities of the PARP inhibitor AZD2281 (Olaparib) and the pan-Bcl-2 inhibitor GX15-070 (Obatoclax) in six pancreatic cancer cell lines. While both agents were able to cause growth arrest and limited apoptosis, the combination of the two was able to synergistically cause growth arrest and non-apoptotic cell death. Furthermore, in an in vivo xenograft model, the combination caused substantially increased tumor necrosis compared to either treatment alone. Our results support further investigation of the combination of Bcl-2 and PARP inhibitors for the treatment of pancreatic cancer.

A retrospective analysis of early CA19‑9 change in salvage chemotherapy for refractory pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

In salvage chemotherapy for refractory pancreatic cancer, early assessment is important to avoid unnecessary toxicities from ineffective chemotherapy. Early CA19-9 change after the first course as a prognostic factor was evaluated in this setting.

METHODS

Patients receiving salvage chemotherapy were retrospectively studied. CA19-9 was measured prior to and after the first course. Cox regression analysis was performed for prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), using the landmark method defined as a day of CA19-9 measurement after the first course.

RESULTS

A total of 239 salvage regimens were given in 167 patients. Median PFS and OS were 2.7 and 6.1 months, respectively. Median pretreatment CA19-9 was 2,362 U/mL, and median CA19-9 change after the first course was 17.8 % increase. CA19-9 change was associated with tumor response, and PFS was 1.7 versus 3.5 months and OS was 3.9 and 8.6 months in patients with ≥50 % versus <50 % increase. In the multivariate analyses, CA19-9 increase ≥50 % was prognostic of both PFS and OS (HR 2.28 and 2.50, p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

CA19-9 change after the first course was prognostic of PFS and OS in refractory pancreatic cancer. Early discontinuation should be considered given the palliative setting.

Pancreatic cancer and predictors of survival: comparing the CA 19-9/bilirubin ratio with the McGill Brisbane Symptom Score

INTRODUCTION

Few tools predict survival from pancreatic cancer (PAC). The McGill Brisbane Symptom Score (MBSS) based on symptoms at presentation (weight loss, pain, jaundice and smoking) was recently validated. The present study compares the ability of four strategies to predict 9-month survival: MBSS, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) alone, CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio and a combination of MBSS and the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio.

METHODOLOGY

A retrospective review of 133 patients diagnosed with PAC between 2005 and 2011 was performed. Survival was determined from the Quebec civil registry. Blood CA 19-9 and bilirubin values were collected (n = 52) at the time of diagnosis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine a cutoff for optimal test characteristics of CA 19-9 and CA19-9-to-total bilirubin ratio in predicting survival at 9 months. Predictive characteristics were then calculated for the four strategies.

RESULTS

Of the four strategies, the one with the greatest negative predictive value was the MBSS: negative predictive value (NPV) was 90.2% (76.9-97.3%) and the positive likelihood ratio (LR) was the greatest. The ability of CA 19-9 levels alone, at baseline, to predict survival was low. For the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio, the test characteristics improved but remained non-significant. The best performing strategy according to likelihood ratios was the combined MBSS and CA19-9 to the bilirubin ratio.

CONCLUSION

CA19-9 levels and the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio are poor predictors of survival for PAC, whereas the MBSS is a far better predictor, confirming its clinical value. By adding the CA19-9-to-bilirubin ratio to the MBSS the predictive characteristics improved.

Clinical significance and revisiting the meaning of CA 19-9 blood level before and after the treatment of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: analysis of 1,446 patients from the pancreatic cancer cohort in a single institution

Background

Life expectancy of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients is usually short and selection of the most appropriate treatment is crucial. The aim of this study was to investigate the usefulness of serum CA 19-9 as a surrogate marker under no impress excluding other factors affecting CA 19-9 level other than tumor itself.

Methods

We recruited 1,446 patients with PDACs and patients with Lewis antigen both negative or obstructive jaundice were excluded to eliminate the false effects on CA 19-9 level. The clinicopathologic factors were reviewed including initial and post-treatment CA 19-9, and statistical analysis was done to evaluate the association of clinicopathologic factors with overall survival (OS).

Results

The total of 944 patients was enrolled, and205 patients (22%) underwent operation with curative intention and 541 patients (57%) received chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy. The median CA 19-9 levels of initial and post-treatment were 670 IU/ml and 147 IU/ml respectively. The prognostic factors affecting OS were performance status, AJCC stage and post-treatment CA 19-9 level in multivariate analysis. Subgroup analysis was done for the patients who underwent R0 and R1 resection, and patients with normalized post-operative CA 19-9 (≤37 IU/mL) had significantly longer OS and DFS regardless of initial CA 19-9 level; 32 vs. 18 months, P<0.001, 16 vs. 9 months, P = 0.004 respectively.

Conclusions

Post-treatment CA 19-9 and normalized post-operative CA 19-9 (R0 and R1 resected tumors) were independent factors associated with OS and DFS, however, initial CA 19-9 level was not statistically significant in multivariate analysis.

S-1 plus CIK as second-line treatment for advanced pancreatic cancer

This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and tolerability of S-1 (Tegafur, Gimeracil, and Oteracil Potassium Capsules) plus CIK (Cytokine-induced killer cells) in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who had previously received gemcitabine-based therapy. In this prospective study, fifty-eight patients were randomly divided into two groups. One group (CT group) was given S-1 alone, and the other group (immuno-CT group) was given S-1 plus CIK. S-1 was administered orally twice a day at 80 mg/m(2)/day on days 1-21 of a 28-day cycle till disease progression or unacceptable toxicity occurred. CIK was given for one cycle of 28 days. The disease control rate for S-1 and CIK was 40.0 and 53.6%, respectively (p = 0.621). The serum CA19-9 level decreased for more than 25% was significantly different (33.3 and 60.7 % in CT group and immuno-CT group, respectively, p = 0.037). The median time to progression was 2.5 (95% CI 2.3-2.8) and 2.9 (95% CI 2.6-3.2) months (p = 0.037) for CT group and immuno-CT group, respectively. The median overall survival was 6.1 (95% CI 5.7-6.5) and 6.6 (95% CI 6.1-7.1) months (p = 0.09) for CT group and immuno-CT group, respectively. The difference in hematological toxicity, including leukocytopenia, anemia, and neutropenia, was insignificant between the two groups. In contrast, the differences in non-hematological toxicity, fatigue, and non-infective fever were significantly different between the two groups (p < 0.05). The S-1 plus CIK regimen was well tolerated in a second-line setting in patients with gemcitabine-refractory and advanced pancreatic cancer.

Application of biochemical markers CA 19-9, CEA and C-reactive protein in diagnosis of malicious and benign pancreatic tumors

INTRODUCTION

We would save many lives and spare a lot of suffering if we could only detect and accurately determine the character and TMN staging of pancreatic tumors (PTs). With improved diagnosis, we could offer specific treatment that would result in better treatment outcome. The aim of study was to determine the significance of neoplastic markers CA 19-9 and CEA for prognosis in inflammatory and carcinomatous PTs.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We based our research upon a group of 170 patients. The patients were treated in our Oncologic Surgery Department from January 2007 to December 2010 for PTs. The patients were divided into four groups depending on the character of the tumor and underwent the following treatments: group 1 - 34 patients with carcinoma of the ampulla of Vater, group 2 - 64 patients with PTs at different stages (1, 2, 3) according to TMN classification, group 3 - 62 patients with PTs at stage 4 on the TMN scale (unresectable tumors), group 4 - 28 patients with inflammatory PTs.

RESULTS

The results of Ca 19-9 in group 2 were 736.00 (25-75% 220.40-4285.00) ng/ml before surgery, 53.00 (25-75% 12.60-84.00) ng/ml in the 7 days after surgery, 29.4 (25-75% 7.90-113.00) ng/ml at day 30, and 119.00 (25-75% 96.30-621.00) ng/ml 3 months after the operation. These results were significantly higher than the control group but were significantly lower than the results for group 3 (unresectable tumors). The highest average concentration and median for CA 19-9 and CEA were noted in patients with unresectable PTs (the 3(rd) group). The average concentration for CEA was lowest in group 4, but much higher than the lab limits.

CONCLUSIONS

The sensitivity of the CA 19-9 marker may be as high as 88%. Values of CA 19-9 above 852 U/ml may indicate TNM stage 4, consistent with an unresectable PT. In the cases where CA 19-9 is within normal limits but C-reactive protein is above normal limits (often thirty times the upper limit), in comparison to the control group and to patients with pancreatic neoplasms, strong consideration should be given towards the inflammatory characteristics of the pancreatic changes and conservative treatment should be applied.

Biomarkers in pancreatic cancer: diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive

Pancreatic cancer is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death in the United States. There has been minimal progress with regard to cancer-specific outcomes in recent decades. Although effective therapies will undoubtedly change the natural history of the disease, effective biomarkers are a promising tool that will likely have a positive impact and will undoubtedly have an important role in the management of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA) in the future. At present, serum CA-19-9 (carbohydrate antigen 19-9) is the only Food and Drug Administration-approved biomarker for PDA, and it has utility as a prognostic marker and as a marker of disease recurrence. There has been a recent explosion in the pancreatic cancer biomarker field with more than 2000 biomarker studies implicating thousands of informative genes as candidate biomarkers. In this review, we summarize the literature on CA-19-9 in PDA and highlight the most promising investigational biomarkers. Distinctions are made between diagnostic biomarkers (detection of disease), prognostic biomarkers (provide information on prognosis and recurrence pattern), and predictive biomarkers (predict treatment response).

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 is a prognostic and predictive biomarker in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who receive gemcitabine-containing chemotherapy: a pooled analysis of 6 prospective trials

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is a widely used biomarker in pancreatic cancer. There is no consensus on the interpretation of the change in CA19-9 serum levels and its role in the clinical management of patients with pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Individual patient data from 6 prospective trials evaluating gemcitabine-containing regimens from 3 different institutions were pooled. CA19-9 values were obtained at baseline and after successive cycles of treatment. The objective of this study was to correlate a decline in CA19-9 with outcomes while undergoing treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 212 patients with locally advanced (n = 50) or metastatic (n = 162) adenocarcinoma of the pancreas were included. Median baseline CA19-9 level was 1077 ng/mL (range, 15-492,241 ng/mL). Groups were divided into those levels below (low) or above (high) the median. Median overall survival (mOS) was 8.7 versus 5.2 months (P = .0018) and median time to progression (mTTP) was 5.8 versus 3.7 months (P = .082) in the low versus high groups, respectively. After 2 cycles of chemotherapy, up to a 5% increase versus ≥ 5% increase in CA19-9 levels conferred an improved mOS (10.3 vs 5.1 months, P = .0022) and mTTP (7.5 vs 3.5 months, P = 0.0005).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients who have advanced pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine-containing regimens baseline CA19-9 is prognostic for outcome. A decline in CA19-9 after the second cycle of chemotherapy is not predictive of improved mOS or mTTP; thus, CA19-9 decline is not a useful surrogate endpoint in clinical trials. Clinically, a ≥ 5% rise in CA19-9 after 2 cycles of chemotherapy serves as a negative predictive marker.

5-Fluorouracil/leucovorin combined with irinotecan and oxaliplatin (FOLFIRINOX) as second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who have progressed on gemcitabine-based therapy

BACKGROUND/AIMS

There is no standard consensus on a strategy in the second-line setting for gemcitabine-refractory advanced pancreatic cancer. This study evaluated the activity and tolerability of oxaliplatin, irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin (FOLFIRINOX) as a second-line therapy in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma pretreated with a gemcitabine-based regimen.

METHODS

A retrospective survey was carried out on 18 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer who had been on gemcitabine-based chemotherapy and were then treated with FOLFIRINOX as a second-line therapy.

RESULTS

One patient (5.6%) had a confirmed complete response, 4 (22.2%) had confirmed partial responses and 5 (27.8%) had stable disease, resulting in a rate of disease control of 55.6% (95% CI, 33.3-77.8%). The median progression-free survival and median survival were 2.8 months and 8.4 months, respectively. Seven patients (38.9%) experienced grade 3-4 neutropenia. Grade 3 or 4 nonhematologic adverse events included nausea (38.9%) and vomiting (16.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest the modest clinical activity regarding efficacy and the acceptable toxicity profile with the FOLFIRINOX regimen as a second-line treatment.

Serum CA19-9 in patients with solid pancreatic mass

AIM

This study evaluated the results and efficacy of serum CA 19-9 in determining the nature of a pancreatic solid mass in patients referred for investigation of possible malignancy.

BACKGROUND

A wide variety of tumor markers have been proposed for pancreatic cancer but currently the only one with any practical usefulness for diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of treatment is "CA 19-9".

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This present study is a single center 2 year descriptive, prospective and case series studying patients with a pancreatic solid mass.

RESULTS

Serum CA 19-9 was checked in 159 patients. The majority of patients were male (68%) and 81% had mass in the head of pancreas. Pathologic assessment revealed 131 adenocarcinomas (82%), 10 other malignancies (6%), 7 benign lesion (4%) and was non-diagnostic in 11 cases (7%). Mean level of this tumor marker in patients with adenocarcinoma, non-adenocarcinoma malignancy, benign and non-diagnostic pathology was 1094, 1004, 120, 259 U/ML respectively. With regarding 58 U/ML as a cutoff point; sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of this tumor marker for diagnosing the adenocarcinoma were 85%, 67%, 88%, 60% and 81% respectively.

CONCLUSION

There was no significant relationship between Serum CA 19-9 value and histopathology of solid pancreatic mass. This marker has limited sensitivity and specificity and cannot be used as a definite diagnostic test. So the use of CA 19-9 for the differentiation of pancreatic cancer should be applied on an individual case basis, depending on the clinical situation and imaging findings.

CA19-9 in potentially resectable pancreatic cancer: perspective to adjust surgical and perioperative therapy

PURPOSE

In pancreatic cancer, genetic markers to aid clinical decision making are still lacking. The present study was designed to determine the prognostic role of perioperative serum tumor marker carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in pancreatic adenocarcinoma, with a focus on implications for pre- and postoperative therapeutic consequences.

METHODS

Of a total of 1,626 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma, data from 1,543 patients with preoperative serum levels of CA19-9 were evaluated for tumor stage, resectability, and prognosis. Preoperative to postoperative CA19-9 changes were analyzed for long-term survival. A control cohort of 706 patients with chronic pancreatitis was used to assess the predictability of malignancy by CA19-9 and the effects of hyperbilirubinemia on CA19-9 levels.

RESULTS

The more that preoperative CA19-9 increased, the lower were tumor resectability and survival rates. Resectability and 5-year survival varied from 80 to 38 % and from 27 to 0 % for CA19-9 <37 versus ≥4,000 U/ml, respectively. The R0 resection rate was as low as 15 % in all patients with CA19-9 levels ≥1,000 U/ml. CA19-9 increased with the stage of the disease and was highest in AJCC stage IV. Patients with an early postoperative CA19-9 increase had a dismal prognosis. Hyperbilirubinemia did not markedly affect CA19-9 levels (correlation coefficient ≤0.135).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma, CA19-9 predicts resectability, stage of disease, as well as survival. Highly elevated preoperative or increasing postoperative CA19-9 levels are associated with low resectability and poor survival rates, and demand the adjustment of surgical and perioperative therapy.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is associated with a distinct urinary metabolomic signature

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis in part due to the lack of early detection and screening methods. Metabolomics provides a means for noninvasive screening of tumor-associated perturbations in cellular metabolism.

METHODS

Urine samples of PDAC patients (n = 32), healthy age and gender-matched controls (n = 32), and patients with benign pancreatic conditions (n = 25) were examined using (1)H-NMR spectroscopy. Targeted profiling of spectra permitted quantification of 66 metabolites. Unsupervised (principal component analysis, PCA) and supervised (orthogonal partial-least squares discriminant analysis, OPLS-DA) multivariate pattern recognition techniques were applied to discriminate between sample spectra using SIMCA-P(+) (version 12, Umetrics, Sweden).

RESULTS

Clear distinction between PDAC and controls was noted when using OPLS-DA. Significant differences in metabolite concentrations between cancers and controls (p < 0.001) were noted. Model parameters for both goodness of fit, and predictive capability were high (R (2) = 0.85; Q (2) = 0.59, respectively). Internal validation methods were used to confirm model validity. Sensitivity and specificity of the multivariate OPLS-DA model were summarized using a receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, with an area under the curve (AUROC) = 0.988, indicating strong predictive power. Preliminary analysis revealed an AUROC = 0.958 for the model of benign pancreatic disease compared with PDAC, and suggest that the cancer-associated metabolomic signature dissipates following RO resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary metabolomics detected distinct differences in the metabolic profiles of pancreatic cancer compared with healthy controls and benign pancreatic disease. These preliminary results suggest that metabolomic approaches may facilitate discovery of novel pancreatic cancer biomarkers.

The clinical utility of serum CA 19-9 in the diagnosis, prognosis and management of pancreatic adenocarcinoma: An evidence based appraisal

BACKGROUND

Serum carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9) is the most common tumor marker assessed in pancreatic cancer patients; nevertheless few articles have comprehensively evaluated the evidence for its utility in pancreatic cancer management.

METHODS

Literature search was performed using Medline with keywords "pancreatic cancer", "tumor markers", "CA 19-9", "diagnosis", "screening", "prognosis", "resectability" and "recurrence". All English language articles pertaining to the role of CA 19-9 in pancreatic cancer were critically analyzed to determine its utility as a biomarker for pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Serum CA 19-9 is the most extensively validated pancreatic cancer biomarker with multiple clinical applications. CA 19-9 serum levels have a sensitivity and specificity of 79-81% and 82-90% respectively for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients; but are not useful as a screening marker because of low positive predictive value (0.5-0.9%). Pre-operative CA 19-9 serum levels provide useful prognostic information as patients with normal levels (<37 U/mL) have a prolonged median survival (32-36 months) compared to patients with elevated levels (>37 U/mL) (12-15 months). A CA 19-9 serum level of <100 U/mL implies likely resectable disease whereas levels >100 U/mL suggest unresectablity or metastatic disease. Normalization or a decrease in post-operative CA 19-9 serum levels by ≥20-50% from baseline following surgical resection or chemotherapy is associated with prolonged survival compared to failure of CA 19-9 serum levels to normalize or an increase. Important limitations to CA 19-9 serum level evaluation in pancreatic cancer include poor sensitivity, false negative results in Lewis negative phenotype (5-10%) and increased false positivity in the presence of obstructive jaundice (10-60%).

CONCLUSIONS

CA 19-9 is the most extensively studied and validated serum biomarker for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients. CA 19-9 serum levels can provide important information with regards to prognosis, overall survival, and response to chemotherapy as well as predict post-operative recurrence. However, non-specific expression in several benign and malignant diseases, false negative results in Lewis negative genotype and an increased false positive results in the presence of obstructive jaundice severely limit the universal applicability of serum CA 19-9 levels in pancreatic cancer management.

The clinical utility of serum CA 19-9 in the diagnosis, prognosis and management of pancreatic adenocarcinoma: An evidence based appraisal

BACKGROUND

Serum carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9) is the most common tumor marker assessed in pancreatic cancer patients; nevertheless few articles have comprehensively evaluated the evidence for its utility in pancreatic cancer management.

METHODS

Literature search was performed using Medline with keywords "pancreatic cancer", "tumor markers", "CA 19-9", "diagnosis", "screening", "prognosis", "resectability" and "recurrence". All English language articles pertaining to the role of CA 19-9 in pancreatic cancer were critically analyzed to determine its utility as a biomarker for pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Serum CA 19-9 is the most extensively validated pancreatic cancer biomarker with multiple clinical applications. CA 19-9 serum levels have a sensitivity and specificity of 79-81% and 82-90% respectively for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients; but are not useful as a screening marker because of low positive predictive value (0.5-0.9%). Pre-operative CA 19-9 serum levels provide useful prognostic information as patients with normal levels (<37 U/mL) have a prolonged median survival (32-36 months) compared to patients with elevated levels (>37 U/mL) (12-15 months). A CA 19-9 serum level of <100 U/mL implies likely resectable disease whereas levels >100 U/mL suggest unresectablity or metastatic disease. Normalization or a decrease in post-operative CA 19-9 serum levels by ≥20-50% from baseline following surgical resection or chemotherapy is associated with prolonged survival compared to failure of CA 19-9 serum levels to normalize or an increase. Important limitations to CA 19-9 serum level evaluation in pancreatic cancer include poor sensitivity, false negative results in Lewis negative phenotype (5-10%) and increased false positivity in the presence of obstructive jaundice (10-60%).

CONCLUSIONS

CA 19-9 is the most extensively studied and validated serum biomarker for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients. CA 19-9 serum levels can provide important information with regards to prognosis, overall survival, and response to chemotherapy as well as predict post-operative recurrence. However, non-specific expression in several benign and malignant diseases, false negative results in Lewis negative genotype and an increased false positive results in the presence of obstructive jaundice severely limit the universal applicability of serum CA 19-9 levels in pancreatic cancer management.

The clinical utility of serum CA 19-9 in the diagnosis, prognosis and management of pancreatic adenocarcinoma: An evidence based appraisal

BACKGROUND

Serum carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9) is the most common tumor marker assessed in pancreatic cancer patients; nevertheless few articles have comprehensively evaluated the evidence for its utility in pancreatic cancer management.

METHODS

Literature search was performed using Medline with keywords "pancreatic cancer", "tumor markers", "CA 19-9", "diagnosis", "screening", "prognosis", "resectability" and "recurrence". All English language articles pertaining to the role of CA 19-9 in pancreatic cancer were critically analyzed to determine its utility as a biomarker for pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Serum CA 19-9 is the most extensively validated pancreatic cancer biomarker with multiple clinical applications. CA 19-9 serum levels have a sensitivity and specificity of 79-81% and 82-90% respectively for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients; but are not useful as a screening marker because of low positive predictive value (0.5-0.9%). Pre-operative CA 19-9 serum levels provide useful prognostic information as patients with normal levels (<37 U/mL) have a prolonged median survival (32-36 months) compared to patients with elevated levels (>37 U/mL) (12-15 months). A CA 19-9 serum level of <100 U/mL implies likely resectable disease whereas levels >100 U/mL suggest unresectablity or metastatic disease. Normalization or a decrease in post-operative CA 19-9 serum levels by ≥20-50% from baseline following surgical resection or chemotherapy is associated with prolonged survival compared to failure of CA 19-9 serum levels to normalize or an increase. Important limitations to CA 19-9 serum level evaluation in pancreatic cancer include poor sensitivity, false negative results in Lewis negative phenotype (5-10%) and increased false positivity in the presence of obstructive jaundice (10-60%).

CONCLUSIONS

CA 19-9 is the most extensively studied and validated serum biomarker for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients. CA 19-9 serum levels can provide important information with regards to prognosis, overall survival, and response to chemotherapy as well as predict post-operative recurrence. However, non-specific expression in several benign and malignant diseases, false negative results in Lewis negative genotype and an increased false positive results in the presence of obstructive jaundice severely limit the universal applicability of serum CA 19-9 levels in pancreatic cancer management.

Monitoring of CA19-9 and SPan-1 can facilitate the earlier confirmation of progressing pancreatic cancer during chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Measurement of objective response to chemotherapy using imaging modalities is sometimes difficult in pancreatic cancer (PC). We aimed to verify whether monitoring of serum tumor markers (TMs), namely carcinoembryonic antigen, CA19-9, DUPAN-2, SPan-1, can facilitate earlier confirmation of treatment failure.

METHODS

Monitoring of serum TMs and computed tomography were performed every 4 weeks until progression of disease in 90 patients with PC undergoing gemcitabine therapy. In Group A (January 2006-October 2007), we analyzed the fluctuation rates of TMs with high pretreatment positive rates, and defined the criteria of progressive disease under TM monitoring (TM-PD). In Group B (November 2007-October 2008), we calculated the time to progression (TTP) under this TM-PD criteria, which was compared with the TTP under the RECIST criteria.

RESULTS

CA19-9 and SPan-1 had the highest pretreatment positive rates: 83% and 90%, respectively. In Group A (CA19-9, n = 38; SPan-1, n = 36), TM-PD criteria were defined as follows: fluctuation rates were ≥25% for a month or ≥10% for 2 consecutive months in CA19-9, and ≥10% for a month in SPan-1. In Group B (CA19-9, n = 18; SPan-1, n = 17), under these criteria, one-month earlier confirmation of treatment failure was feasible in 61% by CA19-9 and 59% by SPan-1. Furthermore, the combination could facilitate this determination in 72% (35/49), significantly better than CA19-9 alone (P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

Monitoring of serum CA19-9 and SPan-1 is helpful for earlier confirmation of treatment failure during gemcitabine therapy in PC.

The prognostic and predictive value of serum CA19.9 in pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Current staging methods for pancreatic cancer (PC) are inadequate, and biomarkers to aid clinical decision making are lacking. Despite the availability of the serum marker carbohydrate antigen 19.9 (CA19.9) for over two decades, its precise role in the management of PC is yet to be defined, and as a consequence, it is not widely used.

METHODS

We assessed the relationship between perioperative serum CA19.9 levels, survival and adjuvant chemotherapeutic responsiveness in a cohort of 260 patients who underwent operative resection for PC.

RESULTS

By specifically assessing the subgroup of patients with detectable CA19.9, we identified potential utility at key clinical decision points. Low postoperative CA19.9 at 3 months (median survival 25.6 vs 14.8 months, P=0.0052) and before adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors. Patients with postoperative CA 19.9 levels>90 U/ml did not benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (P=0.7194) compared with those with a CA19.9 of ≤90 U/ml (median 26.0 vs 16.7 months, P=0.0108). Normalization of CA19.9 within 6 months of resection was also an independent favorable prognostic factor (median 29.9 vs 14.8 months, P=0.0004) and normal perioperative CA19.9 levels identified a good prognostic group, which was associated with a 5-year survival of 42%.

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative serum CA19.9 measurements are informative in patients with detectable CA19.9 (defined by serum levels of >5 U/ml) and have potential clinical utility in predicting outcome and response to adjuvant chemotherapy. Future clinical trials should prioritize incorporation of CA19.9 measurement at key decision points to prospectively validate these findings and facilitate implementation.

Diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive biomarkers in pancreatic cancer

Serum CA 19-9 is the only FDA approved biomarker recommended for use in the routine management of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA). Over 2,000 biomarker studies related to pancreatic cancer appear in the literature, highlighting the need to discover and develop improved tests. Diagnostic biomarkers have implications for early detection of PDA, prognostic markers predict patient survival and recurrence patterns, and predictive markers can help personalize treatment regimens.

Chemically-blocked antibody microarray for multiplexed high-throughput profiling of specific protein glycosylation in complex samples

In this study, we describe an effective protocol for use in a multiplexed high-throughput antibody microarray with glycan binding protein detection that allows for the glycosylation profiling of specific proteins. Glycosylation of proteins is the most prevalent post-translational modification found on proteins, and leads diversified modifications of the physical, chemical, and biological properties of proteins. Because the glycosylation machinery is particularly susceptible to disease progression and malignant transformation, aberrant glycosylation has been recognized as early detection biomarkers for cancer and other diseases. However, current methods to study protein glycosylation typically are too complicated or expensive for use in most normal laboratory or clinical settings and a more practical method to study protein glycosylation is needed. The new protocol described in this study makes use of a chemically blocked antibody microarray with glycan-binding protein (GBP) detection and significantly reduces the time, cost, and lab equipment requirements needed to study protein glycosylation. In this method, multiple immobilized glycoprotein-specific antibodies are printed directly onto the microarray slides and the N-glycans on the antibodies are blocked. The blocked, immobilized glycoprotein-specific antibodies are able to capture and isolate glycoproteins from a complex sample that is applied directly onto the microarray slides. Glycan detection then can be performed by the application of biotinylated lectins and other GBPs to the microarray slide, while binding levels can be determined using Dylight 549-Streptavidin. Through the use of an antibody panel and probing with multiple biotinylated lectins, this method allows for an effective glycosylation profile of the different proteins found in a given human or animal sample to be developed.

Second-line therapy for gemcitabine-pretreated advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer

AIM: To investigate second-line chemotherapy in gemcitabine-pretreated patients with advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer [(frequency, response, outcome, course of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9)].

METHODS: This retrospective study included all patients with advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer (adenocarcinoma or carcinoma) treated with second-line chemotherapy in our center between 2000 and 2008. All patients received first-line chemotherapy with gemcitabine, and prior surgery or radiotherapy was permitted. We analyzed each chemotherapy protocol for second-line treatment, the number of cycles and the type of combination used. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival, response rate, grade 3-4 toxicity, dosage modifications and CA 19-9 course.

RESULTS: A total of eighty patients (38%) underwent a second-line therapy among 206 patients who had initially received first-line treatment with a gemcitabine-based regimen. Median number of cycles was 4 (range: 1-12) and the median duration of treatment was 2.6 mo (range: 0.3-7.4). The overall disease control rate was 40.0%. The median overall survival and progression-free survival from the start of second-line therapy were 5.8 (95% CI: 4.1-6.6) and 3.4 mo (95% CI: 2.4-4.2), respectively. Toxicity was generally acceptable. Median overall survival of patients with a CA 19-9 level declining by more than 20% was 10.3 mo (95% CI: 4.5-11.6) vs 5.2 mo (95% CI: 4.0-6.4) for others (P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION: A large proportion of patients could benefit from second-line therapy, and CA 19-9 allows efficient treatment monitoring both in first and second-line chemotherapy.

Glycomic and proteomic profiling of pancreatic cyst fluids identifies hyperfucosylated lactosamines on the N-linked glycans of overexpressed glycoproteins

Pancreatic cancer is now the fourth leading cause of cancer deaths in the United States, and it is associated with an alarmingly low 5-year survival rate of 5%. However, a patient's prognosis is considerably improved when the malignant lesions are identified at an early stage of the disease and removed by surgical resection. Unfortunately, the absence of a practical screening strategy and clinical diagnostic test for identifying premalignant lesions within the pancreas often prevents early detection of pancreatic cancer. To aid in the development of a molecular screening system for early detection of the disease, we have performed glycomic and glycoproteomic profiling experiments on 21 pancreatic cyst fluid samples, including fluids from mucinous cystic neoplasms and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, two types of mucinous cysts that are considered high risk to undergo malignant transformation. A total of 80 asparagine-linked (N-linked) glycans, including high mannose and complex structures, were identified. Of special interest was a series of complex N-linked glycans containing two to six fucose residues, located predominantly as substituents on β-lactosamine extensions. Following the observation of these "hyperfucosylated" glycans, bottom-up proteomics experiments utilizing a label-free quantitative approach were applied to the investigation of two sets of tryptically digested proteins derived from the cyst fluids: 1) all soluble proteins in the raw samples and 2) a subproteome of the soluble cyst fluid proteins that were selectively enriched for fucosylation through the use of surface-immobilized Aleuria aurantia lectin. A comparative analysis of these two proteomic data sets identified glycoproteins that were significantly enriched by lectin affinity. Several candidate glycoproteins that appear hyperfucosylated were identified, including triacylglycerol lipase and pancreatic α-amylase, which were 20- and 22-fold more abundant, respectively, following A. aurantia lectin enrichment.

CA 19-9 in pancreatic cancer: retrospective evaluation of patients with suspicion of pancreatic cancer

CA 19.9 serum levels were prospectively determined in 573 patients admitted to hospital for suspicion of pancreatic cancer. The final diagnosis was 77 patients with no malignancy, 389 patients with pancreatic cancer, 37 neuroendocrine pancreatic cancer, 28 cholangiocarcinomas, 4 gallbladder cancer, 27 ampullary carcinomas, and 11 periampullary carcinomas. CA 19.9 was determined using a commercial assay from Roche Diagnostics, and 37 U/ml was considered as the upper limit of normality. Abnormal CA 19.9 serum levels were found in 27%, 81.5%, 85.7%, 59.3%, 63.6%, and 18.9% of patients with benign diseases, pancreatic cancer, cholangiocarcinomas, and ampullary, periampullary, or neuroendocrine tumors. Significantly higher concentrations of CA 19.9 were found in patients with than in those without malignancy or with neuroendocrine tumors. CA 19.9 serum levels were higher in pancreatic cancer or cholangiocarcinoma than in other malignancies (p < 0.0001). CA 19.9 serum levels were also correlated with tumor stage, treatment (significantly lower concentrations in resectable tumors), and tumor location (the highest in those located in the body, the lowest in those in the tail or uncinate) and site of metastases (highest in liver metastases). A trend to higher CA 19.9 serum concentrations was found in patients with jaundice, but only with statistical significance in the early stages. Using 50 or 100 U/ml in patients with jaundice, CA 19.9 was useful as an aid in the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer (sensitivity 77.9%, specificity 95.9%) as well as tumor resectability in pancreatic cancer with different cutoffs according to tumor location and bilirubin serum levels with specificities ranging from 90% to 100%. CA 19.9 is the tumor marker of choice in pancreatic adenocarcinomas, with a clear relationship with tumor location, stage, and resectability.

Gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel is an active regimen in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer: a phase I/II trial

PURPOSE

The trial objectives were to identify the maximum-tolerated dose (MTD) of first-line gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma and to provide efficacy and safety data. Additional objectives were to evaluate positron emission tomography (PET) scan response, secreted protein acidic and rich in cysteine (SPARC), and CA19-9 levels in relation to efficacy. Subsequent preclinical studies investigated the changes involving the pancreatic stroma and drug uptake.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with previously untreated advanced pancreatic cancer were treated with 100, 125, or 150 mg/m(2) nab-paclitaxel followed by gemcitabine 1,000 mg/m(2) on days 1, 8, and 15 every 28 days. In the preclinical study, mice were implanted with human pancreatic cancers and treated with study agents.

RESULTS

A total of 20, 44, and three patients received nab-paclitaxel at 100, 125, and 150 mg/m(2), respectively. The MTD was 1,000 mg/m(2) of gemcitabine plus 125 mg/m(2) of nab-paclitaxel once a week for 3 weeks, every 28 days. Dose-limiting toxicities were sepsis and neutropenia. At the MTD, the response rate was 48%, with 12.2 median months of overall survival (OS) and 48% 1-year survival. Improved OS was observed in patients who had a complete metabolic response on [(18)F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET. Decreases in CA19-9 levels were correlated with increased response rate, progression-free survival, and OS. SPARC in the stroma, but not in the tumor, was correlated with improved survival. In mice with human pancreatic cancer xenografts, nab-paclitaxel alone and in combination with gemcitabine depleted the desmoplastic stroma. The intratumoral concentration of gemcitabine was increased by 2.8-fold in mice receiving nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine versus those receiving gemcitabine alone.

CONCLUSION

The regimen of nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine has tolerable adverse effects with substantial antitumor activity, warranting phase III evaluation.

Efficacy of infusional 5-fluorouracil, doxorubicin, and mitomycin-C (iFAM) in the treatment of patients with gemcitabine-pretreated pancreatic cancer and analysis of prognostic factors in a salvage setting

PURPOSE

In gemcitabine-pretreated pancreatic cancer, salvage chemotherapy has not been established, and the prognostic factors are not completely known. The purpose of this study was to determine the efficacy and safety of infusional 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), doxorubicin, and mitomycin-C (iFAM) in patients with gemcitabine-pretreated pancreatic cancer and to elucidate the prognostic factors.

METHODS

Study eligibility was as follows: (1) 18-75 years of age; (2) relapse within 6 months after adjuvant gemcitabine-based chemotherapy (GBC) or previously treated with palliative GBC; and (3) an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) of 0-2. iFAM consisted of a 5-FU (800 mg/m(2)) infusion over 10 h on days 1-5, doxorubicin (30 mg/m(2)) on day 1, and mitomycin-C (8 mg/m(2)) on day 1 every 4 weeks.

RESULTS

Sixty patients were enrolled. The responses to iFAM included a partial response in 6 patients (10.0%) and stable disease in 8 patients (13.3%). The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 2.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-2.8 months) and 6.1 months (95% CI, 4.2-8.0 months), respectively. The 6- and 12-month survival rates were 50.4 and 26.4%, respectively. Grade 3/4 hematologic toxicities included neutropenia (3.3%) and thrombocytopenia (3.3%). The ECOG PS was a significant prognostic factor for PFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P = 0.022). An elevated CA 19-9 at the time of initiating iFAM (P = 0.011) was a poor prognostic factor for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

iFAM is an effective and well-tolerated in patients with gemcitabine-pretreated pancreatic cancer, even patients with an ECOG PS of 2. ECOG PS and CA 19-9 were shown to be significant prognostic factors in this salvage setting.

Predictive value of serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

The goal of the present study was to evaluate the predictive value of serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) in the diagnosis of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of pancreas (IPMNs).

METHODS

Eighty-six patients with pathological diagnosis of IPMNs in Zhongshan Hospital between March 1999 and November 2008 were retrospectively reviewed. Data reflecting clinical characteristics, tumor marker level, and prognosis were collected. The potential predictive value of CA 19-9 was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Eighty-six consecutive patients with IPMNs all underwent surgical intervention. A high level of CA 19-9 or carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) was associated with more advanced stage of malignant IPMNs. Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 was significant for judging malignant IPMNs in the binary logistic regression model (p=0.047). The hazard ratio was 1.014, whose 95.0% confidence interval was 0.91-1.028. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the serum CA 19-9 level had good predictive value for malignant or invasive IPMNs, postoperative survival, and disease-specific recurrence. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.856, 0.893, 0.815, and 0.857 (p<0.05), respectively. According to the follow-up, mean survival time for groups with CA 19-9>63.60 U/ml was dramatically shorter than that for groups with CA 19-9≤63.60 U/ml (57.38±2.85 versus 29.24±5.82 [months]; p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum CA 19-9 level has good predictive value for malignant or invasive IPMNs. Patients with CA 19-9 > 63.60 U/ml had poor postoperative prognosis in IPMNs. Preoperative abnormal serum CA 19-9 might be predictive for an aggressive surgical intervention in IPMNs.

Paclitaxel as second-line chemotherapy in patients with gemcitabine-refractory pancreatic cancer: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the efficacy and feasibility of paclitaxel in patients with gemcitabine-refractory pancreatic cancer. We also evaluated the correlation between tumor marker decline and response rate.

METHODS

Thirty patients histologically diagnosed with pancreatic cancer who had undergone paclitaxel treatment as salvage chemotherapy were retrospectively analyzed. Paclitaxel treatment was performed with 80 mg/(m(2) week) for 3 weeks followed by 1 week rest, and this was continued until failure. Tumor marker response was evaluated by measuring levels of carbohydrate antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen, and DUPAN-2 monthly.

RESULTS

In total, 272 weekly paclitaxel treatments were performed. The median number of treatments per patient was 8 (range 1-22). The median overall survival from the start of paclitaxel treatment was 6.7 months (range 1.2-18.8). The response rate was 10% (3/30 patients) and the disease control rate was 46.7% (14/30 patients). Although grade 3 and 4 hematological and non-hematological toxicities were seen in 7 and 6 patients, respectively, adverse events were managed by conservative treatment. We found a significant correlation between the disease control rate and tumor marker decline within 2 months of paclitaxel treatment (P = 0.01). Patients with tumor marker decline tended to survive longer.

CONCLUSION

Weekly administration of paclitaxel in patients with gemcitabine-refractory pancreatic cancer seems to be well tolerated and can be effective. Paclitaxel treatment should be considered as salvage chemotherapy after gemcitabine failure in patients with good performance status.

Serum CA 19-9 as a Biomarker for Pancreatic Cancer-A Comprehensive Review

Pancreatic cancer is an aggressive tumor with a dismal prognosis, biomarkers that can detect tumor in its early stages when it may be amenable to curative resection may improve prognosis. At present, serum CA 19-9 is the only validated tumor marker in widespread clinical use, but precise knowledge of its role in pancreatic cancer diagnosis, staging, determining resectability, response to chemotherapy and prognosis remains limited. A comprehensive search was performed using PubMed with keywords "pancreatic cancer" "tumor markers" "CA 19-9" "diagnosis" "screening" "prognosis" "resectability" and "recurrence". All English language articles pertaining to the role of CA 19-9 in pancreatic cancer were critically analyzed to determine its utility as a biomarker for pancreatic cancer. Serum CA 19-9 is the most extensively studied and clinically useful biomarker for pancreatic cancer. Unfortunately, CA 19-9 serum level evaluation in pancreatic cancer patients is limited by poor sensitivity, false negative results in Lewis negative phenotype (5-10%) and increased false positivity in the presence of obstructive jaundice (10-60%). Serum CA 19-9 level has no role in screening asymptomatic populations, and has a sensitivity and specificity of 79-81% and 82-90% respectively for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients. Pre-operative CA 19-9 serum level provide useful prognostic information as patients with normal CA 19-9 serum levels (<37 U/ml) have a prolonged median survival (32-36 months) compared to patients with elevated CA 19-9 serum levels (>37 U/ml) (12-15 months). A CA 19-9 serum level of <100 U/ml implies likely resectable disease whereas levels >100 U/ml may suggest unresectablity or metastatic disease. Normalization or a decrease in post-operative CA 19-9 serum levels by ≥20-50% from baseline following surgical resection or chemotherapy is associated with prolonged survival compared to failure of CA 19-9 serum levels to normalize or an increase. Carbohydrate antigen (CA 19-9) is the most extensively studied and validated serum biomarker for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients. The CA 19-9 serum level can provide important information with regards to prognosis, overall survival, and response to chemotherapy as well as predict post-operative recurrence. Non-specific expression in several benign and malignant diseases, false negative results in Lewis negative genotype and an increased false positive results in the presence of obstructive jaundice severely limit the universal applicability of serum CA 19-9 levels in pancreatic cancer management.

Phase 1 clinical trials in 83 patients with pancreatic cancer: The M. D. Anderson Cancer Center experience

BACKGROUND

The outcomes of patients with pancreatic cancer treated on early phase clinical trials have not been systematically analyzed. The purpose of this study was to report the presenting characteristics and outcomes of patients with locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer treated on phase 1 clinical trials at a single institution.

METHODS

The authors reviewed the records of consecutive patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer who were treated in the Phase I Clinical Trials Program at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center from November 2004 to March 2009. Data recorded and analyzed included survival, response, and disease characteristics.

RESULTS

Eighty-three patients were identified. The median age was 62 years (range, 39-81 years). Of 78 patients evaluable for response, 2 (3%) had a partial response (PR), and 10 (13%) had stable disease (SD) for ≥ 4 months. With a median follow-up for survivors of 3.7 months, the median survival from presentation in the phase 1 clinic was 5.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.3-6.2). The median overall survival from diagnosis was 22.1 months (95% CI, 17.9-26.5). The median time to treatment failure was 1.5 months (95% CI, 1.3-1.8). Independent factors associated with lower rates of PR/SD were liver metastases (P = .001) and performance status >0 (P = .01). Independent factors associated with shorter survival were liver metastases (P = .007), low calcium level (P = .015), and elevated CEA level (>6 ng/mL) (P = .005).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that phase 1 clinical trials offer a reasonable therapeutic approach for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio predicts survival in advanced pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is linked with worse survival in many malignancies, whereas its association with pancreatic cancer (PC) remains unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 95 patients with locally advanced or metastatic PC receiving gemcitabine-based chemotherapy. The prognostic value of NLR was evaluated.

RESULTS

Elevated pretreatment NLR (> 5) was observed in 16 out of 89 eligible patients, which was identified as an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The median OS for patients with elevated and normal NLR were 2.4 months and 7.7 months, respectively (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated NLR is a predictor of shorter survival in patients with advanced PC.

CA19-9 as a predictor of tumor response and survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine based chemotherapy

AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine the predictive role of pretreatment carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) measurement and its change after one cycle of gemcitabine-based therapy for response, time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS).

METHODS

Analyses were derived from three consecutive gemcitabine-containing phase II clinical trials between 1997 and 2004.

RESULTS

A total of 111 patients with pancreas cancer was studied. Baseline CA19-9 concentrations were dichotomized near the median. Lower baseline CA19-9 levels were positively associated with OS (median 9.1 vs 6.1 months, P = 0.0057) and TTP (median 6.4 vs 4.2 months, P = 0.0044).The covariate adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for progression among patients with baseline CA19-9 >or= 1000 ng/mL was HR = 1.94 (95% CI 1.24-3.02), with P = 0.0035. The covariate adjusted risk of death among patients with baseline CA19-9 >or= 1000 ng/ml was similarly elevated: HR = 1.90 (95% CI 1.23-2.94), with P = 0.0039. Change in CA19-9 levels from baseline to the end of treatment cycle 1 did not predict objective response (P = 0.75). There was somewhat longer OS (median 8.7 vs 7.1 months) and TTP (median 7.1 vs 5.4 months) in patients with >or=50% reduction in serum CA19-9 concentrations, but this was not statistically significant (P = 0.74 and 0.81, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Baseline CA19-9 levels may predict survival in patients with advanced pancreas cancer. The change in CA19-9 levels determined within 1 month of the initiation of therapy did not predict treatment outcome.

Estimating prognosis and palliation based on tumour marker CA 19-9 and quality of life indicators in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving chemotherapy

Background:

To investigate the prognostic value of quality of life (QOL) relative to tumour marker carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, and the role of CA 19-9 in estimating palliation in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving chemotherapy.

Methods:

CA 19-9 serum concentration was measured at baseline and every 3 weeks in a phase III trial (SAKK 44/00–CECOG/PAN.1.3.001). Patients scored QOL indicators at baseline, and before each administration of chemotherapy (weekly or bi-weekly) for 24 weeks or until progression. Prognostic factors were investigated by Cox models, QOL during chemotherapy by mixed-effect models.

Results:

Patient-rated pain (P<0.02) and tiredness (P<0.03) were independent predictors for survival, although less prognostic than CA 19-9 (P<0.001). Baseline CA 19-9 did not predict QOL during chemotherapy, except for a marginal effect on pain (P<0.05). Mean changes in physical domains across the whole observation period were marginally correlated with the maximum CA 19-9 decrease. Patients in a better health status reported the most improvement in QOL within 20 days before maximum CA 19-9 decrease. They indicated substantially less pain and better physical well-being, already, early on during chemotherapy with a maximum CA 19-9 decrease of ⩾50% vs <50%.

Conclusion:

In advanced pancreatic cancer, pain and tiredness are independent prognostic factors for survival, although less prognostic than CA 19-9. Quality of life improves before best CA 19-9 response but the maximum CA 19-9 decrease has no impact on subsequent QOL. To estimate palliation by chemotherapy, patient's perception needs to be taken into account.

Pancreatic cancer: utility of dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging in assessment of antiangiogenic therapy

PURPOSE

To prospectively evaluate the utility of dynamic contrast material-enhanced magnetic resonance (MR) imaging in predicting the response of locally advanced pancreatic cancer to combined chemotherapy and antiangiogenic therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective, institutional review board-approved, HIPAA-compliant study with informed consent assessed dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging in 11 patients (mean age, 54.3 years; six men and five women) with locally invasive pancreatic cancer before and 28 days after combined chemotherapy and antiangiogenic therapy. Axial perfusion images were obtained after injection of 0.1 mmol gadopentetate dimeglumine per kilogram of body weight. Sagittal images of the upper abdominal aorta were obtained for arterial input function calculation. A two-compartment kinetic model was used to calculate the perfusion parameters K(trans) (the rate constant that represents transfer of contrast agent from the arterial blood into the extravascular extracellular space), K(ep) (the rate constant that represents transfer of contrast agent from the extravascular extracellular space to the blood plasma), and volume of distribution (v(e)). Semiquantitative measurements, peak tissue gadolinium concentration (C(peak)), maximum slope of gadolinium increase (slope), and area under the gadolinium curve at 60 seconds (AUC(60)) were also calculated. Perfusion parameters and tumor size changes were correlated with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels. Comparisons between pre- and posttreatment studies were performed by using the Wilcoxon signed rank test, and comparisons between responders and nonresponders were performed by using the Mann-Whitney test.

RESULTS

After therapy, K(trans), v(e), C(peak), slope, and AUC(60) decreased significantly (P = .02, .001, .002, .007, and .01, respectively). Tumor size and K(ep) were not significantly changed. Pretreatment K(trans) and K(ep) were significantly higher (P = .02 and .006, respectively) in tumors that showed marker response than in those that did not. A pretreatment K(trans) value (milliliters of blood per milliliter of tissue times minutes) of more than 0.78 mL/mL . min was 100% sensitive and 71% specific for subsequent tumor response. Semiquantative parameters and tumor size were not different between the groups.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment K(trans) measurement in pancreatic tumors can predict response to antiangiogenic therapy. All perfusion parameters showed substantial reduction after 28 days of combined chemotherapy and antiangiogenic therapy.

Serum CA19-9 alterations during preoperative gemcitabine-based chemoradiation therapy for resectable invasive ductal carcinoma of the pancreas as an indicator for therapeutic selection and survival

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate serum CA19-9 alterations during preoperative gemcitabine-based chemoradiation therapy (CRT) for resectable pancreatic cancer (PC) in the earlier identification of patients who are likely to benefit from subsequent resection.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

One of the advantages of the preoperative CRT strategy for patients with advanced PC is that undetectable systemic disease may be revealed during preoperative CRT, thus avoiding unnecessary surgery. Serum CA19-9 has been evaluated as a predictive indicator of the treatment efficacy and outcome in various clinical settings.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 64 consecutive patients with resectable PC (at diagnosis) who received preoperative CRT at our hospital between 2002 and 2008. Patients were divided into 2 groups (efficacy grouping) to evaluate the efficacy of preoperative CRT according to the clinical course. Group A included patients who were unable to receive the subsequent resection due to the development of unresectable factors during preoperative CRT and those who received the subsequent resection but developed recurrent disease within 6 months after surgery; group B included patients who received the subsequent resection and survived without recurrences for more than 6 months after surgery. We developed a new classification utilizing pretreatment CA19-9 and proportional alteration of CA19-9 2 months after the initiation of treatment. The categories were defined as: I (increased), MD (modestly decreased), and SD (substantially decreased). Clinicopathological variables and CA19-9 alteration status were correlated with the efficacy grouping and overall survival.

RESULTS

All of the category I patients were included in group A, 93.5% of the category SD patients in group B, and approximately half of the category MD patients in group A. CA19-9 alteration status was a single independent variable associated with efficacy grouping and overall patient survival, with the 1-year survival rate of category I patients, and the 4-year survival rate of category MD and SD patients being 22.2%, 34.1%, and 58.9%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CA19-9 alteration status is useful in identifying those who will benefit from the preoperative CRT and subsequent resection and those who will not; it was a significant predictor for patient prognosis in the setting of the preoperative CRT strategy for resectable PC.

Serum CA 19-9 as a marker of resectability and survival in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation

Purpose

The role of carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 in the evaluation of patients with resectable pancreatic cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy prior to planned surgical resection is unknown. We evaluated CA 19-9 as a marker of therapeutic response, completion of therapy, and survival in patients enrolled on two recently reported clinical trials.

Patients and Methods

We analyzed patients with radiographically resectable adenocarcinoma of the head/uncinate process treated on two phase II trials of neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Patients without evidence of disease progression following chemoradiation underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). CA 19-9 was evaluated in patients with a normal bilirubin level.

Results

We enrolled 174 patients, and 119 (68%) completed all therapy including PD. Pretreatment CA 19-9 <37 U/ml had a positive predictive value (PPV) for completing PD of 86% but a negative predictive value (NPV) of 33%. Among patients without evidence of disease at last follow-up, the highest pretreatment CA 19-9 was 1,125 U/ml. Restaging CA 19-9 <61 U/ml had a PPV of 93% and a NPV of 28% for completing PD among resectable patients. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve of pretreatment and restaging CA 19-9 levels for completing PD was 0.59 and 0.74, respectively. We identified no association between change in CA 19-9 and histopathologic response (P = 0.74).

Conclusions

Although the PPV of CA 19-9 for completing neoadjuvant therapy and undergoing PD was high, its clinical utility was compromised by a low NPV. Decision-making for patients with resectable PC should remain based on clinical assessment and radiographic staging.

Application of a time-varying covariate model to the analysis of CA 19-9 as serum biomarker in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

The clinical relevance of CA 19-9 as surrogate biomarker in advanced pancreatic cancer is a matter of debate.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

This retrospective multicenter study included patients with histologically confirmed advanced pancreatic cancer treated with first-line therapy. Analysis of CA 19-9 was done using the Elecsys assay (Roche Diagnostics). For an analysis of CA 19-9 kinetics, at least three measurements during first-line chemotherapy had to be available. The effect of pretreatment CA 19-9 levels on time-to-progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) was modeled by Cox proportional hazards regression. The effect of CA 19-9 kinetics was also modeled by Cox proportional hazards regression where CA 19-9 was treated as a time-varying covariate.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifteen patients from five German centers were included; 73% of them were treated within prospective clinical trials. Median TTP was 4.4 months and median OS was 9.4 months; univariate analysis indicated that pretreatment CA 19-9 [as continuous variable, log (CA 19-9)] was significantly associated with TTP [hazard ratio (HR), 1.24; P < 0.001] and OS (HR, 1.16; P = 0.002). These associations remained significant within multivariate analysis. For CA 19-9 kinetics during chemotherapy, data from 69 patients (TTP) and 84 patients (OS) were available, respectively; log (CA 19-9) kinetics after start of treatment were found to be a significant predictor for TTP in univariate (HR, 1.48; P < 0.001) and multivariate (HR, 1.45; P < 0.001) analyses, and also for OS (univariate: HR, 1.34; P < 0.001; multivariate: HR, 1.38; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment CA 19-9 and CA 19-9 kinetics may serve as a useful serum biomarker in advanced pancreatic cancer.

CA 19-9 as a biomarker in advanced pancreatic cancer patients randomised to gemcitabine plus axitinib or gemcitabine alone

BACKGROUND

Response assessment in advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) is difficult and predictive markers are needed. There are insufficient data on the value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) and cytostatic-targeted therapies. Axitinib, a selective vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) receptors 1, 2, 3 inhibitor, may increase overall survival (OS) in APC.

METHODS

We assessed serum CA 19-9, clinical outcomes and diastolic blood pressure (dBP) in APC patients receiving gemcitabine plus axitinib (Gem+A) or gemcitabine alone.

RESULTS

In the total population (N=95), median OS was significantly longer in patients with baseline CA 19-9 values at or below the median than in those with values above it (12.2 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 8.6-16.6%] vs 5.0 months [95% CI, 3.9-5.7%]; P<0.0001). This also reached significance in the Gem+A arm (median OS, 12.5 months [95% CI, 8.6-16.6%] vs 4.9 months [95% CI, 3.6-5.6%]; P<0.0001). Patients with any dBP>90 mmHg had significantly longer OS than those who did not. However, there was no predictive significance of CA 19-9.

CONCLUSION

Baseline CA 19-9 levels had prognostic value for OS, but caution is advised in interpreting CA 19-9 as a predictive biomarker for novel cytostatic agents such as VEGF-targeted therapies in phase II studies.

Proteomic analysis of human bile from malignant biliary stenosis induced by pancreatic cancer

Stenosis of the common bile duct may be either due to benign (chronic pancreatitis) or malignant (cholangiocarcinoma, pancreatic adenocarcinoma) conditions. The benign nature of the stricture should be first confirmed in order to ensure appropriate therapy. Therefore, the identification of markers allowing discrimination between malignant and benign biliary stenosis would be very valuable in clinical practice. To this intent, we performed a proteomic analysis of bile samples from patients having a biliary stenosis caused by pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Bile samples were collected during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and purified using different methods. The extracted proteins were then analyzed by SDS-PAGE and LC-MS/MS. A total of 127 proteins were identified, 34 of which have not been previously detected in proteomic studies of bile. Among them, several proteins have been described as potential biomarkers of pancreatic cancer. We extended our investigation by studying the expression of some of these pancreatic cancer markers in bile samples collected from patients with various etiologies of biliary stenosis including pancreatic cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, chronic pancreatitis, as well as gallstone-induced stenosis. Our data showed a conspicuous overexpression of CEACAM6 and MUC1 (CA19-9) in pancreatic cancer and cholangiocarcinoma samples, according to the hypothesis that bile fluid collects cancer-associated protein leaking from the tumor microenvironment. These results underline the interest of using bile as a source of biomarkers for the diagnosis of malignant biliary stenosis.

CA 19-9 and survival in advanced and unresectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The CA 19-9 tumour marker is increasingly used to monitor response to therapy in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Serum CA 19-9 levels have also been shown to correlate with survival. However, their role in cholangiocarcinoma is less clear.

AIM OF STUDY

To assess the utility of CA 19-9 levels in the management of patients with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma or cholangiocarcinoma in routine clinical practice is the aim of the study.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of CA 19-9 values and survival was performed in 26 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma receiving gemcitabine and in 18 patients with cholangiocarcinoma.

RESULTS

Patients with advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma receiving gemcitabine who experienced a decrease of > or = 20% in CA 19-9 concentration had a median survival of 13.9+ months (range 4.2-23.5) compared to 7.6+ months (range 4.0-14.7) in those without such a change (p = 0.0109). In patients with advanced cholangiocarcinoma, the median survival was longest in those with a baseline CA 19-9 level of less than 1,000 U/ml; 11.8 months (range 1.0-41.4) vs 6.2 months (range 3.1-9.4; p = 0.0075).

CONCLUSIONS

The CA 19-9 concentration has a valuable role in predicting outcome in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma. It is helpful in guiding therapy and should be used accordingly in oncology practice.

CA 19-9 velocity predicts disease-free survival and overall survival after pancreatectomy of curative intent

INTRODUCTION

This study was undertaken to correlate serum CA 19-9 levels and CA 19-9 velocity with disease-free and overall survival after pancreatectomy for adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

From 1997 to 2002, 96 patients underwent pancreatectomy without adjuvant chemotherapy as the control arm of a large randomized prospective adjuvant therapy trial. After resection, CA 19-9 levels were drawn at baseline, 4 weeks, and 12-week intervals thereafter. CA 19-9 velocity denotes rate of change in CA 19-9 levels over a 4-week period. Postoperative baseline CA 19-9 levels and CA 19-9 velocity were correlated with disease-free and overall survival. Data are presented as median (mean +/- SD).

RESULTS

Disease-free survival was 7 months (14 +/- 13.7), and overall survival was 12 months (19 +/- 14.3) with 24 (25%) patients alive at 41 months (39 +/- 7.8). Baseline CA 19-9 levels and CA 19-9 velocity predicted disease-free (p < 0.01) and overall survival (p < 0.01). CA 19-9 velocity was a better predictor of overall survival than baseline CA 19-9 (p < 0.001). CA 19-9 velocity at disease progression was 131 U/ml/4-weeks (1,684 +/- 4,474.8) vs. 1 U/ml/4-weeks (1 +/- 3.8) at 22 months for patients without disease progression (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

CA 19-9 velocity predicts imminent disease progression after resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma and is a better predictor of overall survival than baseline CA 19-9 levels. CA 19-9 velocity is a reliable and relatively inexpensive means of monitoring patients after resection of pancreatic cancer and should be considered in all patients enrolled in clinical trials as well as patients receiving adjuvant therapy.