Predicting anticoagulant-related bleeding in patients with venous thromboembolism: a clinically oriented review

Systematic review of thromboprophylaxis in patients having orthognathic surgery

Orthognathic surgery is an elective procedure that is done in healthy individuals so complications such as thromboembolic events are rare. Pharmacological thromboprophylaxis, which reduces the risk of these events, may also increase blood loss and potentially the risk of life-threatening haemorrhage, so a state of clinical equipoise exists about whether it should be given routinely. We systematically reviewed published papers to identify the incidence of venous thromboembolism and haemorrhage in patients treated by orthognathic surgery who were, and were not, given pharmacological thromboprophylaxis. The pooled incidence of thromboembolic events was 0% in those who were, and 0.19% in those who were not. Return to theatre to control bleeding was required in 2.72% of the patients treated at centres where it was given, and in 0.55% at those where it was not. Small sample sizes, the heterogeneity of treatment protocols, and incomplete reporting made further statistical analysis impossible. The incidence of venous thromboembolism in patients who have orthognathic surgery is low when compared with the rest of the hospital population. Although pharmacological thromboprophylaxis may further reduce this, it can also increase blood loss, and uncertainty therefore remains over the best protocol for its routine use. The risk stratification of individual patients, and large randomised controlled trials are now required to establish the best treatment.

Optimal management of hormonal contraceptives after an episode of venous thromboembolism

Optimal management of hormonal contraception in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) requires an individualized approach considering its potential benefits and complications during and after anticoagulant treatment. Potential benefits include prevention of pregnancy and mitigation of menstrual bleeding that is often worsened after start of anticoagulation therapy. Current evidence suggests that patients may opt for a continuation of (all forms of) hormonal contraception during anticoagulant treatment, provided that they are adequately informed by the treating physicians. Combined oral contraceptives should be stopped before anticoagulant therapy may be discontinued, preferably after the second last menstrual cycle of the intended anticoagulant treatment period. If hormonal contraceptive treatment needs to be initiated in patients with a history of VTE, oral prostagen-only therapy or intra-uterine devices are to be preferred: this may be independent of the anticoagulation status and in light of a negligible risk of (recurrent) VTE associated with their use.

Safety and Effectiveness of Edoxaban in Japanese Venous Thromboembolism Patients - Final Analysis of One-Year Follow-up Data From a Japanese Postmarketing Observational Study (ETNA-VTE-Japan)

Background: ETNA-VTE-Japan is a prospective, observational study conducted as part of a postmarketing study regarding the safety and effectiveness of edoxaban in Japanese patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). The results of the final analysis of data collected at 1 year are presented. Methods and Results: A total of 1,732 patients were included in this study. The safety and effectiveness were evaluated in 1,702 patients (safety analysis set; SAS) and in 1,698 patients (effectiveness analysis set). In the SAS, 39.4% of patients were aged ≥75 years, 58.2% had body weight ≤60 kg, and 22.2% had creatinine clearance <50 mL/min. Approximately 90% of patients received a dose recommended on the package insert. A total of 46.1% of patients continued treatment for 1 year, with mean and median treatment periods of 235.8 and 263.0 days, respectively. The incidence of bleeding adverse events (AE) was 10.3%; major bleeding, 2.6%; and VTE recurrence, 1.8%. The risk factor commonly associated with bleeding AE and VTE recurrence was cancer. The safety and effectiveness profiles of edoxaban in patients receiving the appropriate low dose (30 mg/day), generally used in patients with high bleeding risk, were similar to those for the appropriate standard dose (60 mg/day). Conclusions: At 1 year of treatment, there were no major concerns regarding the safety and effectiveness of edoxaban in Japanese patients with VTE.

Prediction of significant bleeding during vitamin K antagonist treatment for venous thromboembolism in outpatients

Bleeding is the most concerning complication associated with anticoagulant therapy but poorly characterized and important for risk/benefit assessment. We developed a risk stratification score to predict vitamin K antagonist (VKA)-associated bleeding in venous thromboembolism (VTE) using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Significant bleeding events in outpatients consisted of major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding requiring hospitalisation (CRNMB-H) within 90 days of VKA initiation. A scoring scheme for predicting bleeding was developed from subhazard ratios, validated using cross-validation and expressed by the C-statistic. The study cohort consisted of 10,010 patients with first VTE receiving initial VKA treatment, mean age 62·2 years. Between 2008 and 2016, 167 significant bleeding events were recorded (1·7%), i.e. incidence rate was 7·4/100 person-years. Independent predictors for community-acquired significant bleeding included active cancer, trauma/surgical procedure, male gender, dementia, liver disease, anaemia, history of bleeding, cerebrovascular, renal and chronic pulmonary disease, VTE presenting as pulmonary embolism and age over 75. The overall C-statistic was 0·68 (95% CI, 0·60-0·76), 0·75 (0·60-0·88) for major bleeding and 0·65 (0·55-0·75) for CRNMB-H, and higher than in other risk schemes applied to our study population. The developed risk score may identify patients having a significant bleeding risk, in particular major bleeding events, in outpatients.

A Systematic Review of Prophylactic Anticoagulation in Nephrotic Syndrome

Introduction

Nephrotic syndrome is associated with an increased risk of venous and arterial thromboembolism, which can be as high as 40% depending on the severity and underlying cause of nephrotic syndrome. The 2012 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines recommend prophylactic anticoagulation only in idiopathic membranous nephropathy but acknowledge that existing data are limited and of low quality. There is a need for better identification of vulnerable patients in order to balance the risks of anticoagulation.

Methods

We undertook a systematic search of the topic in MEDLINE, EMBASE and COCHRANE databases, for relevant articles between 1990 and 2019.

Results

A total of 2381 articles were screened, with 51 full-text articles reviewed. In all, 28 articles were included in the final review.

Conclusion

We discuss the key questions of whom to anticoagulate, when to anticoagulate, and how to prophylactically anticoagulate adults with nephrotic syndrome. Using available evidence, we expand upon current KDIGO guidelines and construct a clinical algorithm to aid decision making for prophylactic anticoagulation in nephrotic syndrome.

Cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban versus apixaban for the initial treatment of venous thromboembolism and extended prevention of recurrences in the UK

Aim: To evaluate the relative cost-effectiveness of using rivaroxaban vs apixaban for the initial treatment plus extended prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in the UK. Extended prevention was assessed using a 10-mg rivaroxaban dose, as the 20-mg dose has already been evaluated. Methods: A Markov model compared the health outcomes and costs of treating VTE patient cohorts with either rivaroxaban (15 mg twice daily for 3 weeks, followed by 20 mg once daily for 6 months, then extended prevention with 10 mg once daily) or apixaban (10 mg twice daily for 1 week, followed by 5 mg twice daily for 6 months, then extended prevention with 2.5 mg twice daily) over a lifetime horizon. The model included an initial acute treatment and prevention phase (0-6 months) and an extended prevention phase (6-18 months). Efficacy and safety data were derived from two network meta-analyses. Reference treatment comparators were derived from the EINSTEIN-Pooled study and EINSTEIN-CHOICE trial. Healthcare costs and utility data were derived from published literature. Results: The rivaroxaban regimen was associated with increased quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and slightly lower total costs compared with apixaban over a lifetime horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that rivaroxaban remained a cost-effective alternative to apixaban over a wide range of parameters. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio estimates were below the £20,000 per QALY threshold in 74.1% of 2,000 model simulations. Scenario analyses further supported that rivaroxaban is a cost-effective alternative to apixaban. Limitations: Clinical and safety inputs were derived from network meta-analysis, which are subject to inherent limitations whereby small differences between study designs may severely impact efficacy and safety outcomes. Furthermore, these inputs were based on data from clinical trials, which may not reflect real-world data. Conclusions: Rivaroxaban was associated with a slightly lower total cost and increased QALYs compared with apixaban for VTE management in the UK over a lifetime horizon.

Evaluation of the predictive value of the bleeding prediction score VTE-BLEED for recurrent venous thromboembolism

INTRODUCTION

VTE-BLEED is a validated score for identification of patients at increased risk of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism (VTE). It is unknown whether VTE-BLEED high-risk patients also have an increased risk for recurrent VTE, which would limit the potential usefulness of the score.

METHODS

This was a post hoc analysis of the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled PADIS-PE trial that randomized patients with a first unprovoked pulmonary embolism (PE) initially treated during 6 months to receive an additional 18-month of warfarin vs. placebo. The primary outcome of this analysis was recurrent VTE during 2-year follow-up after anticoagulant discontinuation, that is, after the initial 6-month treatment in the placebo arm and after 24 months of anticoagulation in the active treatment arm. This rate, adjusted for study treatment allocation, was compared between patients in the high- vs. low-risk VTE-BLEED group.

RESULTS

In complete case analysis (n = 308; 82.4% of total population), 89 (28.9%) patients were classified as high risk; 44 VTE events occurred after anticoagulant discontinuation during 668 patient-years. The cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE was 16.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.0%-26.1%; 14 events) and 14.6% (95% CI, 10.4%-20.3%; 30 events) in the high-risk and low-risk VTE-BLEED groups, respectively, for an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.16 (95% CI, 0.62-2.19).

CONCLUSION

In this study, patients with unprovoked PE classified at high risk of major bleeding by VTE-BLEED did not have a higher incidence of recurrent VTE after cessation of anticoagulant therapy, supporting the potential yield of the score for making management decisions on the optimal duration of anticoagulant therapy.

Age-Stratified National Trends in Pulmonary Embolism Admissions

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is one of the leading causes of death in hospitalized patients. Treatment patterns and patient demographics for PE are changing; therefore, we sought to evaluate national trends in admission rate, discharge disposition, and length of stay (LOS) in patients hospitalized with PE.

METHODS

The National Inpatient Sample database was used to collect data for hospitalizations of patients ≥ 20 years old with primary diagnosis of PE between January 2000 and September 2015. Patient demographics and hospital characteristics, stratified by patient age, were reported. Trends in rates of hospitalizations for PE, LOS, discharge disposition, and hospital charges were assessed across age groups.

RESULTS

There were an estimated 2,159,568 hospitalizations with primary diagnosis of PE. The rate of PE per 100,000 persons increased by > 100%, and was highest among elderly patients. Increased age and comorbidity burden were independently associated with poor outcomes. Inpatient mortality and LOS decreased across all age groups, but was highest in the elderly. Home health utilization increased in patients ≥ 55 years old. Average hospital charges increased across all age groups, despite shorter length of stay, with patients ≥ 85 experiencing $13,000 average increase.

CONCLUSIONS

Between 2000 and 2015, the rate of hospitalization for PE increased across all age groups. Despite improvements in average LOS and inpatient mortality, hospitalizations became more expensive, and patients required more resources (ie, home health) on discharge. This increased resource utilization was most apparent in elderly patients. This suggests that targeted clinical trials designed to improve outcomes in all age brackets are needed.

Safety and Effectiveness of Edoxaban in Japanese Patients With Venous Thromboembolism - An Interim Analysis of Data From a Japanese Postmarketing Observational Study (ETNA-VTE-Japan)

BACKGROUND

ETNA-VTE-Japan is an ongoing prospective observational study conducted as part of a postmarketing observational study to investigate the safety and effectiveness of edoxaban in Japanese patients for whom the drug has been newly prescribed to treat venous thromboembolism (VTE) and prevent VTE recurrence. The results of an interim analysis of data collected at 3 months are presented.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1,732 patients were enrolled. The safety and effectiveness analyses included data from 1,703 and 1,699 patients, respectively. In the safety analysis set, 39.4% of patients were aged ≥75 years, 58.2% had body weight ≤60 kg, and 22.2% had creatinine clearance <50 mL/min. Approximately 90% of patients received a dose in accordance with the package insert. Approximately 80% of patients continued treatment; the mean treatment period was 74.5 days. The incidence of bleeding adverse events and major bleeding was 6.3% and 1.4%, respectively. The incidence of VTE recurrence and symptomatic VTE recurrence in the on-treatment population was 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Safety and effectiveness profiles of edoxaban in patients receiving the low dose (30 mg/day), generally administered to patients with high bleeding risk, were similar to those of the standard dose (60 mg/day).

CONCLUSIONS

The results confirm no major concerns about the safety and effectiveness of edoxaban in Japanese patients with VTE in the first 3 months of treatment. (Trial registration No.: UMIN000016387.).

Comparison of prediction value of four bleeding risk scores for pulmonary embolism with anticoagulation: A real-world study in Chinese patients

BACKGROUND

Major bleeding (MB) and clinically relevant bleeding (CRB) are the most common seen complications associated with anticoagulation treatment for pulmonary embolism (PE) patients. A bleeding risk score (BRS) may help to accurately determine the risk of bleeding and make better decisions for patients in clinical practice.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed as acute PE and who met the inclusion criteria in Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital from January 2009 to September 2013 were consecutively enrolled. Baseline data were collected. Four BRS (Kuijer score, RIETE score, Kearon score and Nieuwenhuis score) were assessed and compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total number of 563 patients were included in the study. Of which, 16 had MB and 89 had CRB within three months of anticoagulation treatment. Three months' cumulative incidence for MB and CRB events was 0.03 (95% CI 0.01-0.05) and 0.17 (95% CI 0.12-0.21), respectively. In our study population, the AUCs for Kuijer, RIETE, Kearon and Nieuwenhuis scores were 0.57 (95% CI 0.44~0.68), 0.56 (95% CI 0.45-0.71), 0.75 (95% CI 0.60~0.89) and 0.59 (95% CI 0.41~0.74), respectively. In addition, the AUCs of four BRS for CRB were all poor, with values less than 0.65.

CONCLUSIONS

Only the Kearon score appeared to have more accuracy in predicting the risk of MB. Further large prospective studies are needed to externally validate a BRS for CRB.

Highlights from the ERS International Congress 2018: Assembly 13 - Pulmonary Vascular Diseases

The 2018 European Respiratory Society (ERS) International Congress in Paris, France, highlighted the subject of pulmonary vascular disease (PVD). 2018 was an exciting year for the PVD community as it was the first ERS International Congress since the formation of Assembly 13, which is dedicated to PVD, pulmonary embolism and the right ventricle. This article aims to summarise the high-quality studies presented at the 2018 Congress into four subject areas: the use of risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension, the molecular mechanisms and treatment of pulmonary hypertension (PH), understanding and improving the right ventricle in PH, and finally, advances in the field of acute pulmonary embolus.

Fatal recurrent VTE after anticoagulant treatment for unprovoked VTE: a systematic review

Current guidelines recommend long-term anticoagulant therapy in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). The risk of fatal recurrent VTE after treatment discontinuation (versus that of fatal bleeding during anticoagulation) is of particular relevance in the decision to continue or stop anticoagulation after the first 3 months. Our primary aim was to provide a point-estimate of the yearly rate of fatal recurrent VTE and VTE case-fatality rate in patients with unprovoked VTE after anticoagulation cessation. Data were extracted from both randomised controlled trials and observational studies published before May 1, 2017. The pooled fatality rates were calculated using a random-effects model. 18 studies with low-to-moderate bias were included in the primary analysis, totalling 6758 patients with a median (range) follow-up duration of 2.2 (1–5) years. After anticoagulation cessation, the weighted pooled rate of VTE recurrence was 6.3 (95% CI 5.4–7.3) per 100 patient-years and the weighted pooled rate of fatal recurrent VTE was 0.17 (95% CI 0.047–0.33) per 100 patient-years, for a case-fatality rate of 2.6% (95% CI 0.86–5.0). These numbers are a solid benchmark for comparison to the risks associated with long-term anticoagulation treatment for the decision on the optimal duration of treatment of patients with unprovoked VTE.

Predictive value of venous thromboembolism (VTE)-BLEED to predict major bleeding and other adverse events in a practice-based cohort of patients with VTE: results of the XALIA study

Venous thromboembolism (VTE)-BLEED, a decision tool for predicting major bleeding during chronic anticoagulation for VTE has not yet been validated in practice-based conditions. We calculated the prognostic indices of VTE-BLEED for major bleeding after day 30 and day 90, as well as for recurrent VTE and all-cause mortality, in 4457 patients enrolled in the international, prospective XALIA study. The median at-risk time was 190 days (interquartile range 106-360). The crude hazard ratio (HR) for major bleeding after day 30 was 2·6 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1·3-5·2] and the treatment-adjusted HR was 2·3 (95% CI 1·1-4·5) for VTE-BLEED high (versus low) risk patients: the corresponding values for major bleeding after day 90 were 3·8 (95% CI 1·6-9·3) and 3·2 (95% CI 1·3-7·7), respectively. The predictive value of VTE-BLEED was similar in selected patients with unprovoked VTE or those treated with rivaroxaban. High VTE-BLEED score was associated with higher incidence of all-cause mortality (treatment-adjusted HR 11, 95% CI 4·8-23), but not evidently with recurrent VTE (treatment-adjusted HR 1·5; 95% CI 0·85-2·7). These results confirm the predictive value of VTE-BLEED in practice-based data in patients treated with rivaroxaban or conventional anticoagulation, supporting the hypothesis that VTE-BLEED may be useful for making management decisions on the duration of anticoagulant therapy.

Incidence, mortality and bleeding rates associated with pulmonary embolism in England between 1997 and 2015

BACKGROUND

Improvements in availability and accuracy of diagnostic testing in pulmonary embolism (PE) in the last 20 years have more recently been paralleled by the introduction of additional anticoagulation agents and treatment strategies. These developments are likely to shape potentially important changes in PE incidence, associated mortality and treatment complications.

METHODS

We investigated trends in PE incidence, PE-related mortality and bleeding risk by analysing Hospital Episodes Statistics for England.

RESULTS

Between 1997 and 2015, 464,046 patients (53.9% female) were hospitalized with PE in England. The annual number of hospitalizations with an associated diagnosis of PE more than doubled over this period (24,366 in 1998 vs. 53,108 in 2014), with a corresponding increase in PE hospitalization rate (50.2 to 97.8 per 100,000 population/year), evident in all age categories. Mortality at 1 and 3 months decreased over the study period and was significantly associated with age, treatment era and comorbidities. The risk of bleeding resulting in hospitalization or death within 3 and 12 months after the index PE admission increased over the study period (4.3%/5.1% for 1998-2004 versus 6.1%/7.2% for 2010-2014, p < 0.001 for both comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of PE doubled in England between 1997 and 2015, likely attributable to raised awareness and ability to diagnose less severe cases. While PE-associated mortality decreased, there was an increase in bleeding risk. Renewed efforts directed at reducing the incidence of bleeding, including consideration of anticoagulation regimens and investigation of anticoagulation requirement in patients with low-risk features, are needed.

Novel Anticoagulant Treatment for Pulmonary Embolism with Direct Oral Anticoagulants Phase 3 Trials and Clinical Practice

Anticoagulant therapy is the cornerstone of therapeutic management in acute venous thromboembolism (VTE), consisting of pulmonary embolism and deep vein thrombosis. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have become the standard of care because of their good safety profile and ease of use in clinical practice. Indeed, phase 3 randomized trials (AMPLIFY, EINSTEIN, RECOVER, and HOKUSAI studies) showed that DOACs provided a similar efficacy and a better safety than conventional treatment with parenteral heparin with overlapping loading dose of vitamin K antagonists in acute VTE therapeutic management. The results of published data from real-world registries confirm the safety and efficacy of DOACs demonstrated in the phase 3 trials.

Pulmonary embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is caused by emboli, which have originated from venous thrombi, travelling to and occluding the arteries of the lung. PE is the most dangerous form of venous thromboembolism, and undiagnosed or untreated PE can be fatal. Acute PE is associated with right ventricular dysfunction, which can lead to arrhythmia, haemodynamic collapse and shock. Furthermore, individuals who survive PE can develop post-PE syndrome, which is characterized by chronic thrombotic remains in the pulmonary arteries, persistent right ventricular dysfunction, decreased quality of life and/or chronic functional limitations. Several important improvements have been made in the diagnostic and therapeutic management of acute PE in recent years, such as the introduction of a simplified diagnostic algorithm for suspected PE as well as phase III trials demonstrating the value of direct oral anticoagulants in acute and extended treatment of venous thromboembolism. Future research should aim to address novel treatment options (for example, fibrinolysis enhancers) and improved methods for predicting long-term complications and defining optimal anticoagulant therapy parameters in individual patients, and to gain a greater understanding of post-PE syndrome.

External validation of the VTE-BLEED score for predicting major bleeding in stable anticoagulated patients with venous thromboembolism

One of the main determinants of establishing the optimal treatment duration of patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the risk of major bleeding during long-term anticoagulant therapy. The 6-variable VTE-BLEED score was recently developed to enable estimation of this bleeding risk. This study aimed at externally validating VTE-BLEED. This was a post-hoc study of the randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, Hokusai-VTE study that compared edoxaban versus warfarin for treatment of VTE. VTE-BLEED was calculated in all 8,240 study patients. The numbers of adjudicated major bleeding events during ‘stable anticoagulation’, i. e. occurring after day 30, in patients with low (total score <2 points) and high risk of bleeding (total score ≥2 points) were compared for the overall study population, patients randomised to edoxaban or warfarin, and for important patient subcategories. During ‘stable’ anticoagulation, major bleeding occurred in 1.02% (40/3,903) and 0.82% (32/3,899) of patients treated with warfarin and edoxaban, respectively. For the overall study population, the risks of bleeding in the low and high risk groups were 0.51% and 2.03%, respectively, for an odds ratio (OR) of 4.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.51–6.48). ORs were 5.04 (95%CI: 2.62–9.69) and 3.09 (95%CI: 1.54–6.22) for warfarin and edoxaban, respectively. VTE-BLEED was consistently able to identify patients at a 2.5- to 11-fold higher bleeding risk across all the predefined subcategories, as well as for the treatment period between day 30 to day 180, and beyond day 180. In conclusion, patients identified as high risk by VTE-BLEED had a four-fold increased risk of bleeding during the chronic phase of treatment.

Supplementary Material to this article is available online at www.thrombosis-online.com.

Management of incidental pulmonary embolism

Incidental pulmonary embolism (PE) is a frequent finding on routine computed tomography (CT) scans of the chest, occurring in 1.1% of coronary CT scans and 3.6% of oncological CT scans. Despite this high frequency, optimal management of incidental PE has not been addressed in clinical trials and remains the subject of debate. Although these CT scans have not been performed with a dedicated PE protocol and have suboptimal contrast enhancement, diagnosis of incidental PE has been shown to be accurate up to the segmental and subsegmental arteries. The embolic load in incidental PE is lower than that in symptomatic PE. Even so, observational studies suggest that the natural course of incidental PE is similar to that of symptomatic PE with regard to the risk of recurrent venous thrombotic disease and mortality. Interestingly, the increased use of more advanced CT technology has coincided with an increase in the rate of incidental subsegmental PE, as is the case for symptomatic subsegmental PE. Although clinical trials are lacking, and observational data are limited to cancer-associated incidental PE, the consensus is that the management of incidental PE is identical to that of symptomatic PE, including the choice of optimal drug class, outpatient treatment and total duration of treatment.

Prediction of bleeding events in patients with venous thromboembolism on stable anticoagulation treatment

Attempts at identifying patients with an elevated risk of bleeding while on anticoagulation following acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) have largely been unsuccessful thus far. We sought to develop a clinical prediction score for bleeding during stable anticoagulation treatment after acute VTE.

We performed a post hoc analysis of the pooled RE-COVER studies, two double-blind randomised “sister” trials evaluating dabigatran versus standard treatment in 5107 VTE patients.

A score was derived from patients randomised to dabigatran using logistic regression analysis covering the complete follow-up period. The final model, named VTE-BLEED, included six variables and yielded a c-statistic of 0.72 (95% CI 0.67–0.76). Patients from the derivation cohort in the low-risk group (<2 points; 74% of the derivation population) had a bleeding incidence of 2.8% compared to 12.6% in the elevated-risk group (OR 5.0; 95% CI 3.5–7.1). The score proved accurate for our primary end-point, i.e. prediction of major bleeding after day 30 (“stable” anticoagulation), both in patients on dabigatran (c-statistic 0.75, 95% CI 0.61–0.89) and those on warfarin (0.78, 95% CI 0.68–0.86; p=0.77 for difference).

The new VTE-BLEED score accurately predicted major bleeding events in VTE patients on stable anticoagulation with both dabigatran and warfarin.

Recent developments in the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary embolism

Due to the nonspecific symptoms of the condition, a diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is frequently considered. However, PE will only be confirmed in 10-20% of patients. Because the imaging test of choice, computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA), is costly and associated with radiation exposure and other complications, a validated diagnostic algorithm consisting of a clinical decision rule and D-dimer test should be used to safely exclude PE in 20-30% of patients without the need for CTPA. Recently, the age-adjusted D-dimer threshold has been validated, and this has increased the proportion of patients at older age in whom PE can be excluded without CTPA. Initial therapeutic management of PE depends on the risk of short-term PE-related mortality. Haemodynamically unstable patients should be closely monitored and receive thrombolytic therapy unless contraindicated because of an unacceptably high bleeding risk, whereas patients with low-risk PE may be safely discharged early from hospital or receive only outpatient treatment. The PESI score and Hestia decision rule are available to select patients in whom early discharge or outpatient treatment will be safe, although the safety of these strategies should be confirmed in additional studies. Standard PE therapy consists of low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) followed by vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Recently, several nonvitamin K-dependent oral anticoagulants have been shown to be as effective as LMWH/VKAs, and maybe safer. Determining the optimal duration of treatment for a first unprovoked PE remains a challenge, although clinical prediction rules for estimating the risk of recurrence of venous thromboembolism and anticoagulation-associated haemorrhage are under investigation. Using these prediction rules may lead to both more standardized and more individualized long-term treatment of PE.

Risk Factors for Bleeding in Hospitalized at Risk Patients With an INR of 5 or More Treated With Vitamin K Antagonists

Various predictive scores for vitamin K antagonist (VKA)-related bleeding have been developed and validated in outpatients and in patients treated for specific indications (when VKAs are used under optimal therapeutic conditions). However, there are few published data on the evaluation of bleeding risk factors in hospitalized, at-risk patients (with a high international normalized ratio [INR]) treated with VKAs. The objective of the present study was to identify the most relevant bleeding risk factors in 906 VKA-treated patients with an INR of 5 or more hospitalized in a French university medical center.Over a 2-year period, we screened all consecutive VKA-treated adults with a risk of major bleeding (defined as an INR ≥ 5 on admission). Demographic and clinical characteristics, medications, and bleeding characteristics were recorded prospectively.The overall incidence of bleeding was 26.6% (serious bleeding: 21.4%; fatal bleeding: 5.4%). An INR ≥ 8.5, a history of recent digestive tract lesions, trauma in the preceding 2 weeks, and known noncompliance were independent risk factors for bleeding and serious bleeding.Our present findings emphasize that VKAs should not be prescribed to patients with a high risk of bleeding (noncompliant patients and those with recent trauma or recent gastrointestinal lesions). It is essential to monitor the INR on a frequent basis and adjust oral anticoagulant treatment appropriately.