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Tönnies T, Hoyer A, Brinks R. Productivity-adjusted life years lost due to type 2 diabetes in Germany in 2020 and 2040. Diabetologia 2021; 64:1288-1297. [PMID: 33665686 PMCID: PMC8099797 DOI: 10.1007/s00125-021-05409-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2020] [Accepted: 12/21/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS Type 2 diabetes can lead to reduced productivity during working age. We aimed to estimate productive life years lost associated with type 2 diabetes on the individual and population level in Germany in 2020 and 2040, while accounting for future trends in mortality. METHODS Based on a mathematical projection model, we estimated age- and sex-specific productivity losses associated with type 2 diabetes during working age (20-69 years) in Germany in 2020 and 2040. Productivity losses in terms of excess mortality (years of life lost, YLL) and reductions in labour force participation, presenteeism and absenteeism (years of productivity lost, YPL) were summed to calculate productivity-adjusted life years (PALY) lost. Input data for the projection were based on meta-analyses, representative population-based studies and population projections to account for future trends in mortality. RESULTS Compared with a person without type 2 diabetes, mean PALY lost per person with type 2 diabetes in 2020 was 2.6 years (95% CI 2.3, 3.0). Of these 2.6 years, 0.4 (95% CI 0.3, 0.4) years were lost due to YLL and 2.3 (95% CI 1.9, 2.6) years were lost due to YPL. Age- and sex-specific results show that younger age groups and women are expected to lose more productive life years than older age groups and men. Population-wide estimates suggest that 4.60 (95% CI 4.58, 4.63) million people with prevalent type 2 diabetes in 2020 are expected to lose 12.06 (95% CI 10.42, 13.76) million PALY (1.62 million years due to YLL and 10.44 million years due to YPL). In 2040, individual-level PALY lost are projected to slightly decrease due to reductions in YLL. In contrast, population-wide PALY lost are projected to increase to 15.39 (95% CI 13.19, 17.64) million due to an increase in the number of people with type 2 diabetes to 5.45 (95% CI 5.41, 5.50) million. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION On the population level, a substantial increase in productivity burden associated with type 2 diabetes was projected for Germany between 2020 and 2040. Efforts to reduce the incidence rate of type 2 diabetes and diabetes-related complications may attenuate this increase.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thaddäus Tönnies
- Institute for Biometrics and Epidemiology, German Diabetes Center (DDZ), Leibniz Center for Diabetes Research at Heinrich Heine University, Düsseldorf, Germany.
| | - Annika Hoyer
- Department of Statistics, Ludwig Maximilians University, Munich, Germany
| | - Ralph Brinks
- Institute for Biometrics and Epidemiology, German Diabetes Center (DDZ), Leibniz Center for Diabetes Research at Heinrich Heine University, Düsseldorf, Germany
- Department of Statistics, Ludwig Maximilians University, Munich, Germany
- Chair for Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, Witten/Herdecke University, Faculty of Health/School of Medicine, Witten, Germany
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102
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Safieddine B, Sperlich S, Epping J, Lange K, Geyer S. Development of comorbidities in type 2 diabetes between 2005 and 2017 using German claims data. Sci Rep 2021; 11:11149. [PMID: 34045564 PMCID: PMC8159920 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-90611-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2021] [Accepted: 05/11/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Against the background of increasing life expectancy over time, several hypotheses have been proposed on the way morbidity has been developing. In type 2 diabetes (T2D), previous research suggests that morbidity compression could be ruled out due to increasing prevalence and life expectancy with T2D over time. Understanding how the health state in individuals with T2D is developing would help identify whether morbidity expansion or a dynamic equilibrium pattern applies for this disease. This study aims to answer the following questions: (1) How do the number and the prevalence of T2D concordant comorbidities develop over time? (2) What does this imply in terms of morbidity development in T2D in Germany? The study used claims data from a statutory health insurance provider in Lower Saxony, Germany. Period prevalence of T2D concordant comorbidities was examined for the periods 2005–2007, 2010–2012 and 2015–2017 in 240,241, 295,868 and 308,134 individuals with T2D respectively. The effect of time period on the number and prevalence of comorbidities was examined by means of (ordered) logistic regression. The age-adjusted predicted probabilities of more severe cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) decreased over the three periods while those of less severe CVDs and other vascular diseases increased significantly in men and women and among all examined age-groups. Predicted probability of having at least one more comorbidity over time also increased significantly among all examined groups. While less and more severe CVDs exhibited different developmental patterns, the results of the study point towards morbidity expansion in T2D. Future studies should focus on mechanisms that contribute to these trends.
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Affiliation(s)
- Batoul Safieddine
- Medical Sociology Unit OE 5420, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
| | - Stefanie Sperlich
- Medical Sociology Unit OE 5420, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany
| | - Jelena Epping
- Medical Sociology Unit OE 5420, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany
| | - Karin Lange
- Medical Psychology Unit OE 5430, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany
| | - Siegfried Geyer
- Medical Sociology Unit OE 5420, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany
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103
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Kristófi R, Bodegard J, Norhammar A, Thuresson M, Nathanson D, Nyström T, Birkeland KI, Eriksson JW. Cardiovascular and Renal Disease Burden in Type 1 Compared With Type 2 Diabetes: A Two-Country Nationwide Observational Study. Diabetes Care 2021; 44:1211-1218. [PMID: 33653822 PMCID: PMC8132335 DOI: 10.2337/dc20-2839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2020] [Accepted: 02/04/2021] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Type 1 diabetes (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) increase risks of cardiovascular (CV) and renal disease (CVRD) compared with diabetes-free populations. Direct comparisons between T1D and T2D are scarce. We examined this by pooling full-population cohorts in Sweden and Norway. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS A total of 59,331 patients with T1D and 484,241 patients with T2D, aged 18-84 years, were followed over a mean period of 2.6 years from 31 December 2013. Patients were identified in nationwide prescribed drug and hospital registries in Norway and Sweden. Prevalence and event rates of myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), stroke, chronic kidney disease (CKD), all-cause death, and CV death were assessed following age stratification in 5-year intervals. Cox regression analyses were used to estimate risk. RESULTS The prevalence of CV disease was similar in T1D and T2D across age strata, whereas CKD was more common in T1D. Age-adjusted event rates comparing T1D versus T2D showed that HF risk was increased between ages 65 and 79 years, MI between 55 and 79 years, and stroke between 40 and 54 years (1.3-1.4-fold, 1.3-1.8-fold, and 1.4-1.7-fold, respectively). CKD risk was 1.4-3.0-fold higher in T1D at all ages. The all-cause death risk was 1.2-1.5-fold higher in T1D at age >50 years, with a similar trend for CV death. CONCLUSIONS Adult patients with T1D compared with those with T2D had an overall greater risk of cardiorenal disease (HF and CKD) across ages, MI and all-cause death at middle-older ages, and stroke at younger ages. The total age-adjusted CVRD burden and risks were greater among patients with T1D compared with those with T2D, highlighting their need for improved prevention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robin Kristófi
- Department of Medical Sciences, Clinical Diabetes and Metabolism, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | | | - Anna Norhammar
- Cardiology Unit, Department of Medicine, Solna, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.,Capio Saint Göran Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | | | - David Nathanson
- Department of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Thomas Nyström
- Department of Clinical Science and Education, Karolinska Institutet, Södersjukhuset, Stockholm, Sweden
| | | | - Jan W Eriksson
- Department of Medical Sciences, Clinical Diabetes and Metabolism, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
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104
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Inequalities in the Global Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease Due to Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: An Analysis of Trends from 1990 to 2019. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18094723. [PMID: 33925259 PMCID: PMC8124442 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18094723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2021] [Revised: 04/26/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
The prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and the burden of complications are increasing worldwide. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one serious complication. Our aim was to investigate the trends and inequalities of the burden of CKD due to T2DM between 1990 and 2019. Data were obtained from the Global Health Data Exchange database. Age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates of CKD were used to estimate the disease burden across the Human Development Index (HDI). Joinpoint regression was performed to assess changes in trend, and the Gini coefficient was used to assess health inequality. A higher incidence was observed in more developed countries (p < 0.001), while higher mortality and DALYs rates were experienced in low and middle HDI countries in 2019 (p < 0.001). The trend of incidence has increased since 1990 (AAPC: 0.9–1.5%), while slight decrease was observed in low HDI countries in mortality (APC: −0.1%) and DALYs (APC: −0.2%). The Gini coefficients of CKD incidence decreased from 0.25 in 2006 to 0.23 in 2019. The socioeconomic development was associated with disease burden. Our findings indicate that awareness of complications should be improved in countries with high incidence, and cost-effective preventive, diagnostic, and therapeutic tools are necessary to implement in less developed regions.
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105
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Shah BR, Lipscombe LL, Booth GL. Glycemic Control Among People With Diabetes in Ontario: A Population-Based Cross-Sectional Study. Can J Diabetes 2020; 45:313-318. [PMID: 33221136 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcjd.2020.09.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2020] [Revised: 08/31/2020] [Accepted: 09/20/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Our aim in this study was to determine the distribution of glycated hemoglobin (A1C) in the Ontario diabetes population and identify subgroups with a high risk of poor glycemic control. METHODS In this cross-sectional study, we used real-world clinical data linked with health-care administrative data to identify all people with prevalent diabetes on December 31, 2019. We then identified their most recent A1C result during the year. The distribution of A1C was assessed, and the proportion of those with an A1C of >8.0% was determined, stratified by various sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS In the population of 1,009,938 individuals with diabetes, mean ± standard deviation A1C was 7.2±1.4%, with 43.4% of them having an A1C of >7.0% and 19.0% with an A1C of >8.0%. Younger age, remote location of residence, longer diabetes duration and other surrogates for diabetes severity were associated with poor control. CONCLUSIONS The mean A1C among people with diabetes in Ontario was 7.2%, but nearly 20% had an A1C of >8%. There were notable disparities in glycemic control that identified several high-risk groups, including younger people, people with longer disease duration and people living in remote areas. Better clinical and policy approaches are needed to improve diabetes care for these populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Baiju R Shah
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Division of Endocrinology, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
| | - Lorraine L Lipscombe
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Division of Endocrinology, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Gillian L Booth
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Division of Endocrinology, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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106
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Ducos C, Rigo M, Larroumet A, Delyfer MN, Korobelnik JF, Monlun M, Foussard N, Poupon P, Haissaguerre M, Blanco L, Mohammedi K, Rigalleau V. Diabetic retinopathy in well-controlled type 2 diabetes: Role of glycaemic memory. DIABETES & METABOLISM 2020; 47:101156. [PMID: 32387701 DOI: 10.1016/j.diabet.2020.03.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2019] [Revised: 03/18/2020] [Accepted: 03/31/2020] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
AIMS As diabetic retinopathy (DR) can occur even in well-controlled patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), our study sought to determine whether it might be related to 'glucose memory' by evaluating patients' HbA1c over previous years and their skin autofluorescence (SAF). METHODS In 334 patients with T2D and HbA1c levels≤8%, their available values of HbA1c from previous years were collected, and their SAF measured by an advanced glycation end-product (AGE) reader. Binary logistic regression analysis was then used to correlate DR with previously recorded HbA1c levels and to SAF, with adjustment for DR risk factors [age, gender, BMI, duration of diabetes, arterial hypertension, diabetic kidney disease (DKD), blood lipid levels and statin treatment]. RESULTS Our patients were mostly men (58.4%) aged 63±10years, with a duration of diabetes of 13±10years and HbA1c=7.1±0.7%. Of these patients, 84 (25.1%) had DR, which was associated with longer duration of diabetes and greater prevalence of DKD. A total of 605 HbA1c values from previous years were collected for time periods -4±3 months (n=255), -16±4months (n=152), -30±4months (n=93) and -62±26 months (n=105). After adjustment, the association between DR and having an HbA1c higher than the median was significant only for the oldest previous HbA1c values: OR=6.75, 95% CI: 1.90-23.90. Moreover, SAF values were higher in those with DR [2.95±0.67 arbitrary units (AU)] vs 2.65±0.65 AU with no DR (P<0.01) and were also associated with the oldest previous HbA1c values (P<0.01). CONCLUSION Our study found that 25.1% of our well-controlled T2D patients had DR, which was related to both their HbA1c levels from 5years prior to study admission and their SAF values, a marker of glucose memory.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Ducos
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France.
| | - M Rigo
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - A Larroumet
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - M-N Delyfer
- Department of Ophthalmology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - J-F Korobelnik
- Department of Ophthalmology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - M Monlun
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - N Foussard
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - P Poupon
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - M Haissaguerre
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - L Blanco
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - K Mohammedi
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
| | - V Rigalleau
- Department of Endocrinology-Nutrition-Diabetology, CHU de Bordeaux, 33000 Bordeaux, France
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