A simple risk score for prediction of contrast-induced nephropathy after percutaneous coronary intervention: development and initial validation

Platelet-to-hemoglobin ratio as a valuable predictor of long-term all-cause mortality in coronary artery disease patients with congestive heart failure

BACKGROUND

The platelet-to-hemoglobin ratio (PHR) has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients after PCI but not clear in CAD complicated with congestive heart failure (CHF). Hence, we aimed to assess the association between PHR and long-term all-cause mortality among CAD patients with CHF.

METHODS

Based on the registry at Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital in China, we analyzed data of 2599 hospitalized patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) and were diagnosed with CAD complicated by CHF from January 2007 to December 2018. Low PHR was defined as ˂ 1.69 (group 1) and high PHR as ≥ 1.69 (group 2). Prognosis analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier method. To assess the association between PHR and long-term all-cause mortality, a Cox-regression model was fitted.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.2 (3.1-7.8) years, a total of 985 (37.9%) patients died. On the Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients in high PHR group had a worse prognosis than those in low PHR group (log-rank, p = 0.0011). After adjustment for confounders, high PHR was correlated with an increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality in CAD patients complicated with CHF. (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.52, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Elevated PHR is correlated with an increased risk of long-term all-cause mortality in CAD patients with CHF. These results indicate that PHR may be a useful prognostic biomarker for this population. Meanwhile, it is necessary to take effective preventive measures to regulate both hemoglobin levels and platelet counts in this population.

Hyperglycemia on Admission Predicts Acute Kidney Failure and Renal Functional Recovery among Inpatients

BACKGROUND

Hyperglycemia is associated with adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients. We aimed to assess the impact of glucose levels upon admission on the subsequent deterioration or improvement of kidney function in inpatients with a focus on diabetes or reduced baseline kidney function as possible modifiers of this effect.

METHODS

Running a retrospective cohort analysis, we compared patients with normal vs. high glucose levels upon admission. We applied multivariable logistic regression models to study the association between baseline glucose levels with subsequent renal and clinical outcomes. Interaction terms were used to study a possible modifier effect of diabetes.

RESULTS

Among 95,556 inpatients (52% males, mean age 61 years), 15,675 (16.5%) had plasma glucose higher than 180 mg/dL, and 72% of them were diabetics. Patients with higher glucose at presentation were older, with a higher proportion of co-morbid conditions. Rates of acute kidney injury (AKI), acute kidney functional recovery (AKR), and mortality were proportional to reduced renal function. AKI, AKR, and mortality were almost doubled in patients with high baseline glucose upon admission. Multivariable analysis with interaction terms demonstrated an increasing adjusted probability of all events as glucose increased, yet this association was observed principally in non-diabetic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperglycemia is associated with AKI, AKR, and mortality in non-diabetic inpatients in proportion to the severity of their acute illness. This association diminishes in diabetic patients, suggesting a possible impact of treatable and easily reversible renal derangement in this population.

Association of Lipoprotein(a)-Associated Mortality and the Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Level in Patients Undergoing Coronary Angiography: A 51,500 Cohort Study

Background: High lipoprotein(a) is associated with poor prognosis in patients at high risk for cardiovascular disease. Renal function based on the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is a potential risk factor for the change of lipoprotein(a). However, the regulatory effect of eGFR stratification on lipoprotein(a)-associated mortality has not been adequately addressed.

Methods: 51,500 patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were included from the Cardiorenal ImprovemeNt (CIN) study (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04407936). These patients were grouped according to lipoprotein(a) quartiles (Q1–Q4) stratified by eGFR categories (<60 and ≥60 mL/min/1.73m²). Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for mortality across combined eGFR and lipoprotein(a) categories.

Results: The mean age of the study population was 62.3 ± 10.6 years, 31.3% were female (n = 16,112). During a median follow-up of 5.0 years (interquartile range: 3.0–7.6 years), 13.0% (n = 6,695) of patients died. Compared with lipoprotein(a) Q1, lipoprotein(a) Q2–Q4 was associated with 10% increased adjusted risk of death in all patients (HR: 1.10 [95% CI: 1.03–1.17]), and was strongly associated with about 23% increased adjusted risk of death in patients with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m² (HR: 1.23 [95% CI: 1.08–1.39]), while such association was not significant in patients with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73m² (HR: 1.05 [95% CI: 0.97–1.13]). P for interaction between lipoprotein(a) (Q1 vs. Q2–Q4) and eGFR (≥60 vs. eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m²) on all-cause mortality was 0.019.

Conclusions: Elevated lipoprotein(a) was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and such an association was modified by the baseline eGFR in CAG patients. More attention should be paid to the patients with reduced eGFR and elevated lipoprotein(a), and the appropriate lipoprotein(a) intervention is required.

Predictors of contrast-induced nephropathy in ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention

Background

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a serious complication with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). We aimed to study the different predictors of CIN and determine the cutoff point of contrast volume (CV)/creatinine clearance (CrCl) and the applicability of CHA2DS2-VASC score in the prediction of CIN after PPCI in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. Four hundred patients presented with STEMI and eligible for primary PCI were included in the study. Patients with GFR < 30 ml/min were excluded from the study.

Results

Fifty-four (13.5%) patients who developed CIN who were older (64.20 ± 13.16 vs. 55.80 ± 10.58) had a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension (HTN), and female gender than those without CIN. They also had a higher Killip class and lower hemoglobin (HB) level (P < 0.05) compared to those with no CIN. The incidence of no CIN was (85.8%) in the low-risk Mehran score group and 14.2% in the moderate-risk group, and all patients of high and very high score group developed CIN (P<0.001). Multiple logistic regression showed that old age (OR= 1.06, 95% CI= 1.02–1.11, P< 0.001), female sex (OR= 3.1, 95% CI= 2.65–6.99, P= 0.02), high Mehran score (OR=2.48, 95% CI= 1.98–6.24, P= 0.01), CV/CrCl > 2.8 (odds ratio=1.45, 95% CI= 1.22–2.01, P= 0.03), and CHA2DS2-VASC score > 2 (odds ratio=1.90, 95% CI= 1.76–2.11, P= 0.04) were predictors of CIN.

Conclusions

Old age, female sex, high Mehran score, CHADS2-VASC score > 2, CV/CrCl > 2.8 were predictors of CIN in STEMI patients who underwent PPCI.

Predictive value of plasma volume status for contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with heart failure undergoing PCI

AIMS

Contrast-induced nephropathy remains a common complication of coronary procedure and increases poor outcomes, especially in patients with heart failure. Plasma volume expansion relates to worsening prognosis of heart failure. We hypothesized that calculated plasma volume status (PVS) might provide predictive utility for contrast-induced nephropathy in patients with heart failure undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 441 patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI from 2012 to 2018. Pre-procedural estimated PVS by the Duarte's formula (Duarte-ePVS) and Kaplan-Hakim formula (KH-ePVS) were calculated for all patients. CIN was defined as an absolute serum creatinine (SCr) increase ≥0.5 mg/dL or a relative increase ≥25% compared with the baseline value within 48 h of contrast medium exposure. We assessed the association between PVS and CIN in patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI. In 441 patients, 28 (6.3%) patients developed CIN. The median Duarte-ePVS was 4.44 (3.87, 5.13) and the median KH-ePVS was -0.03 (-0.09, 0.05). The best cutoff values for Duarte-ePVS and KH-ePVS to predict CIN were 4.64 (with 78.6% sensitivity and 61.7% specificity) and 0.04 (with 64.5% sensitivity and 75.5% specificity), respectively. After adjusting for potential confounding variables, KH-ePVS > 0.04 [odds ratio (OR) 2.685, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012-7.123, P = 0.047] remained significantly associated with CIN whereas Duarte-ePVS was not.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-procedural KH-ePVS is an independent risk factor for CIN in patients with heart failure undergoing elective PCI. The best cutoff point of KH-ePVS for predicting CIN was 0.04.

A Predictive Model Based on a New CI-AKI Definition to Predict Contrast Induced Nephropathy in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease With Relatively Normal Renal Function

Background: Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) is a common complication in patients receiving intravascular contrast media. In 2020, the American College of Radiology and the National Kidney Foundation issued a new contrast induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) criteria. Therefore, we aimed to explore the potential risk factors for CIN under the new criteria, and develop a predictive model for patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) with relatively normal renal function (NRF).

Methods: Patients undergoing coronary angiography or percutaneous coronary intervention at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University between May 2019 and April 2020 were consecutively enrolled. Eligible candidates were selected for statistical analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the predictive factors. A stepwise method and a machine learning (ML) method were used to construct a model based on the Akaike information criterion. The performance of our model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and calibration curves. The model was further simplified into a risk score.

Results: A total of 2,009 patients with complete information were included in the final statistical analysis. The results showed that the incidence of CIN was 3.2 and 1.2% under the old and new criteria, respectively. Three independent predictors were identified: baseline uric acid level, creatine kinase-MB level, and log (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) level. Our stepwise model had an AUC of 0.816, which was higher than that of the ML model (AUC = 0.668, P = 0.09). The model also achieved accurate predictions regarding calibration. A risk score was then developed, and patients were divided into two risk groups: low risk (total score < 10) and high risk (total score ≥ 10).

Conclusions: In this study, we first identified important predictors of CIN in patients with CAD with NRF. We then developed the first CI-AKI model on the basis of the new criteria, which exhibited accurate predictive performance. The simplified risk score may be useful in clinical practice to identify high-risk patients.

Comparative analysis of four established risk scores for predicting contrast induced acute kidney injury after primary percutaneous coronary interventions

Objectives

 This study aimed to compare Mehran Risk Score (MRS) with three well -known scoring systems namely CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, Canada Acute Coronary Syndrome Risk Score (C-ACS), and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction risk index (TRI) to predict the contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Background

CI-AKI is a common complication after primary PCI associated with an adverse prognosis.

Methods

In this study consecutive patients of primary PCI were included. Patients with chronic kidney diseases, exposure to the contrast medium within the past 7 days, and Killip class IV at presentation were excluded. MRS along with three risk scores namely CHA₂DS₂-VASc, C-ACS, and TRI were calculated for all patients and CI-AKI was defined as either 0.5 mg/dL or 25% relative increase in post-procedure serum creatinine. The area under the curve (AUC) curve was reported.

Results

Post primary PCI CI-AKI was observed in 63 (9.1%) patients out of 691 patients. The AUC was 0.745 [0.679-0.810] for MRS, 0.725 [0.662-0.788] for CHA₂DS₂-VASc, 0.671 [0.593-0.749] for C-ACS, and 0.734 [0.674-0.795] for TRI. Sensitivity and specificity were 61.9% [48.8-73.8%] and 76.0% [72.4-79.3%] for MRS ≥ 6.5, 66.7% [53.7-78.0%] and 66.7% [62.9-70.4%] for CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥ 2, 52.4% [39.4-65.1%] and 79.9% [76.6-83.0%] for C-ACS ≥ 1, and 87.3% [76.5-94.4%] and 49.2% [45.2-53.2%] for TRI ≥ 16 respectively.

Conclusions

The MRS has shown higher discriminating power than CHA₂DS₂-VASc, C-ACS, and TRI. However, the TRI can be of good value in clinical practice due to its simplicity and high sensitivity in detecting patients at higher risk of CI-AKI after primary PCI.

Admission free-fatty acid level is a predictor of the mid-term worsening renal function in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Whether free fatty acids (FFAs), which are generators of reactive oxygen species and substrates of cytotoxic lipid peroxidation products in proximal tubules of the kidney, can be a predictor of worsening renal function (WRF) is not fully elucidated. A total of 110 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention within 24 h after symptom onset were included. The exclusion criteria were out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, vasospastic angina, hemodialysis, and/or lack of data. FFAs and serum cystatin C were measured on admission, and urinary liver-type fatty acid-binding protein (L-FABP) was measured 3 h after admission. WRF, defined as an increase in serum creatinine by ≥ 0.3 mg/dL for 2-year follow-up, was observed in 16 patients (15%). A multivariate logistic regression analysis (a stepwise algorithm) revealed that the FFA level was an independent predictor of WRF (P = 0.024). The FFA level was associated with WRF adjusted after serum cystatin C (odds ratio [OR]: 1.378 per 1 mEq/L, P = 0.017), L-FABP (OR: 1.370 per 1 mEq/L, P = 0.016), or the Mehran contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) risk score (OR: 1.362 per 1 mEq/L, P = 0.021). The FFA level was inversely associated with the change in estimated glomerular filtration rate level for 2 years (R² = 0.051, P = 0.018). The FFA level on admission was associated with the mid-term WRF in patients with STEMI.

Albuminuria Pre-Emptively Identifies Cardiac Patients at Risk of Contrast-Induced Nephropathy

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a complication associated with the administration of contrast media (CM). The CIN diagnosis is based on creatinine, a biomarker late and insensitive. The objective proposed was to evaluate the ability of novel biomarkers to detect patients susceptible to suffering CIN before CM administration. The study was carried out with patients undergoing cardiac catheterization involving CM. Patients were divided into two groups: (1) CIN, patients who developed this pathology; (2) control, patients who did not suffer CIN. Prior to the administration of CM, urine samples were collected to measure proteinuria, N-acetyl-β-d-glucosaminidase, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin and kidney injury molecule-1, albumin, transferrin, t-gelsolin and GM2 ganglioside activator protein (GM2AP). The risk factors advanced age, low body mass index and low estimated glomerular filtration rate; and the urinary biomarkers albumin, transferrin and GM2AP showed significant predictive capacity. Of all of them, albuminuria demonstrated the highest diagnostic power. When a cutoff point was established for albuminuria at values still considered subclinical (10–30 µg/mg Cr_u), it was found that there was a high incidence of CIN (40–75%). Therefore, albuminuria could be applied as a new diagnostic tool to prevent and predict CIN with P4 medicine criteria, independently of risk factors and comorbidities.

Incidence, Predictors and Outcomes of Contrast Induced Nephropathy in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background:

Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) is considered one of the most common causes of hospital acquired renal failure and severely affects morbidity and mortality. Our objective was to investigate incidence, predictors and outcomes of CIN in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI).

Methods:

The study was conducted on 550 patients with STEMI subjected to PPCI. Patients were classified into two groups according to the occurrence of CIN; group I (Patients without CIN) and group II (Patients with CIN). The two groups were assessed for the clinical outcomes including mortality and major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

Results:

Incidence of CIN was 10.6%, multivariate regression analysis identified the independent predictors of CIN including; age > 60 years OR 6.083 (CI95% 3.143–11.77, P = 0.001), presence of diabetes mellitus OR 2.491 (CI95% 1.327–4.675, P = 0.005), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) use OR 2.708 (CI95% 1.393–5.263, P = 0.003), the volume of contrast agent >200 ml OR 6.543 (CI95% 3.382–12.65, P = 0.001) and cardiogenic shock OR 4.514 (CI95% 1.738–11.72, P = 0.002). Mortality was higher in group II than group I (11.9% vs. 4.4% respectively, P = 0.015). The incidence of MACE were higher in group II than group I (heart failure; 18.6% vs. 7.3%, cardiac arrest; 8.5% vs. 2.8% and cardiogenic shock; 16.9% vs. 6.9% with P. value = 0.003, 0.024, 0.007 respectively).

Conclusion:

Contrast induced nephropathy was associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The independent predictors of CIN were advanced age, diabetes mellitus, NSAIDs use, the volume of contrast agent >200 ml and cardiogenic shock.

Acute Kidney Injury Following Admission with Acute Coronary Syndrome: The Role of Diabetes Mellitus

Purpose: To evaluate the role of diabetes mellitus in the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of AKI (acute kidney injury) in patients admitted with ACS (acute coronary syndrome). Methods: We performed a comparative evaluation of ACS patients with vs. without DM who developed AKI enrolled in the biennial ACS Israeli Surveys (ACSIS) between 2000 and 2018. AKI was defined as an absolute increase in serum creatinine (≥0.5 mg/dL) or above 1.5 mg/dL or new renal replacement therapy upon admission with ACS. Outcomes included 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and 1-year all-cause mortality. Results: The current study included a total of 16,879 patients, median age 64 (IQR 54–74), 77% males, 36% with DM. The incidence of AKI was significantly higher among patients with vs. without DM (8.4% vs. 4.7%, p < 0.001). The rates of 30-day MACE (40.8% vs. 13.4%, p < 0.001) and 1-year mortality (43.7% vs. 10%, p < 0.001) were significantly greater among diabetic patients who developed vs. those who did not develop AKI respectively, yet very similar among patients that developed AKI with vs. without DM (30-day MACE 40.8% vs. 40.3%, p = 0.9 1-year mortality 43.7 vs. 44.8%, p = 0.8, respectively). Multivariate analyses adjusted to potential confounders, showed similar independent predictors of AKI among patients with and without DM, comprising; older age, chronic kidney disease, congestive heart failure, and peripheral arterial disease. Conclusions: Although patients with DM are at much greater risk for AKI when admitted with ACS, the independent predictors of AKI and the worse patient outcomes when AKI occurs, are similar irrespective to DM status.

Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with and without Diabetes Mellitus Undergoing Computed Tomography Angiography and Local Thrombolysis for Acute Lower Limb Ischemia

PurposeRepetitive iodinated contrast media exposure may be harmful for the kidneys. The aim of the present study was to evaluate if patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) undergoing CT angiography (CTA) and local continuous thrombolysis for acute lower limb ischemia (ALI) had an increased risk of developing contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) compared to patients without DM. Methods: This is a retrospective study of patients undergoing CTA and local continuous thrombolysis due to ALI between 2001 and 2018. CA-AKI was defined as a 25% increase in serum creatinine within 72 hours after latest contrast administration. Results: There was no difference (P = .30) in the frequency of CA-AKI between patients with (27.9%; n = 43) and without DM (20.6%; n = 170). Among patients with CA-AKI, patients with DM had a lower (P < .001) estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at discharge (55 ml/min/1.73 m²) than at admission (70 ml/min/1.73 m²), while no such difference was found in the group without DM (P = .20). The gram-iodine dose/eGFR ratio was higher (P < .001) in patients with CA-AKI (median 1.49, [IQR 1.34-1.81]) than in those who did not develop CA-AKI (median 1.05 [IQR 1.00-1.13]). There was a trend that gram-iodine dose/eGFR ratio (OR 1.42/standard deviation increment, 95% CI 1.00-2.02; P = .050) was associated with an increased risk of CA-AKI, after adjusting for DM, age, and gender. Conclusions: The frequency of CA-AKI was high after CTA and local continuous thrombolysis for ALI without shown increased frequency for the DM group. Among patients with CA-AKI, however, patients with DM had worse renal function at discharge than those without DM. The gram-iodine dose/eGFR ratio in these patients needs to be lower to improve renal outcomes, particularly in patients with DM.

Folic Acid Attenuates Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Patients With Hyperhomocysteinemia Undergoing Coronary Catheterization: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Background: Hyperhomocysteinemia is a risk factor for contrast-induced nephropathy. Folic acid can attenuate such nephropathies in rats. The protective effect of folic acid against contrast-induced nephropathy has not been studied in humans. We aimed to investigate the effect of folic acid on the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) after coronary catheterization in patients with hyperhomocysteinemia.

Methods: This was a single-center, prospective, double-blind, randomized controlled trial (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02444013). In total, 412 patients (mean age: 65 ± 12 years, 268 male) with plasma homocysteine ≥15 μM, who underwent coronary arteriography (CAG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) from May 2015 to August 2018, were enrolled. Patients were randomly assigned to two groups: a treatment group (n = 203), taking 5 mg of folic acid (orally, three times/day) immediately after enrollment and for 72 h after operation, and a control group (n = 209), taking placebo. Contrast-induced nephropathy was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of >25% or 44 μM within 48 or 72 h after contrast medium administration.

Results: In total, 50 (12%) patients developed CIN after 48 h after catheterization, including 16 (8%) in the treatment group and 34 (16%) in the control group (P = 0.009). Meanwhile, 53 (13%) patients developed CIN after 72 h of CAG/PCI, including 18 (9%) in the treatment group and 35 (17%) in the control group (P = 0.017). The incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy in the treatment group was lower than that in the control group (P = 0.017). Logistic regression analysis confirmed that administration of folic acid was a protective factor against contrast-induced nephropathy (RD = 0.0788, 95%CI: 0.0105–0.1469, P = 0.019). We found no serious adverse events associated with folic acid. No death or hemodialysis occurred in either group.

Conclusions: Perioperative administration of folic acid attenuates the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy after coronary catheterization in patients with hyperhomocysteinemia.

Clinical Trial Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier [NCT02444013].

The relationship between pre-procedural elevated arterial lactate and contrast-induced nephropathy following primary percutaneous coronary intervention

Background

Risk stratification has been one of the main steps in preventing contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN), which is a common complication after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Elevated arterial lactate is a biomarker indicating severe disease condition and post-intervention complications. The relationship between lactate and CIN has not been established. This study is performed to investigate the relationship between elevated arterial lactate level and contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN).

Methods

Patients diagnosed with ST-segment elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) were prospectively enrolled, with lactate measured within 0.5–1 hours before primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Patients with cardiopulmonary resuscitation, any forms of severe anaerobic condition, or end-stage renal disease undergoing dialysis were excluded. CIN was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥0.5 mg/dL or 25% within 72 hours after PCI. The Mehran Risk Score (MRS) is widely regarded as a classic risk model for CIN and the risk factors of MRS were applied in our multivariate regression analysis.

Results

Of the 227 enrolled patients, 47 (20.7%) developed CIN according to the definition. The mean lactate level was higher in the CIN group than in the non-CIN group (2.68±2.27 vs. 1.74±1.94, P<0.001). The arterial lactate level ≥2.0 mmol/L had 57.5% sensitivity and 75.6% specificity in predicting CIN. The performance of the lactate level in discriminating CIN was similar to that of the MRS (AUC_lac =0.707 vs. AUC_MRS =0.697, P=0.86). After adjusting for other risk factors, lactate ≥2.0 mmol/L still significantly predicted CIN (odds ratio =3.77, 95% CI, 1.77–7.99, P=0.001).

Conclusions

An arterial lactate level of ≥2.0 mmol/L is associated with CIN in STEMI patients after primary PCI.

Effect of Calcium Dobesilate in Preventing Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Patients with Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease

OBJECTIVES

This study assessed the protective effect of calcium dobesilate against contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) after coronary angiography (CAG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

A total of 130 patients with diabetes and CKD estimated glomerular filtration rate: 30-90 mL/min/1.73m2 were enrolled and included in the analysis. They were divided into experimental (n=65) and control groups (n=65). Patients in the experimental group were administered oral calcium dobesilate (500 mg) three times daily for 2 days before and 3 days after the procedure. The serum creatinine (SCr), cystatin C (Cys C), and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) levels were measured before and after the procedure.

RESULTS

The mean SCr level at 24h after the procedure was found to be significantly lower in the experimental group than in the control group (79.1±19.6 μmol/L vs. 87.0±19.3 μmol/L, p=0.023). However, the Cys C and NGAL levels were not significantly different between the two groups at all measurement time points (all p>0.05). The incidence of CIN defined by the SCr level was significantly lower in the experimental group than in the control group (3 [4.6%] vs. 13 [20.0%], p=0.017). However, the incidence of CIN defined by the Cys C level was not statistically different between the two groups (7 [10.8%] vs. 7 [10.8%], p=1.000).

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that calcium dobesilate has no preventive effect against CIN in patients with diabetes and CKD.

Astaxanthin attenuates contrast-induced acute kidney injury in rats via ROS/NLRP3 inflammasome

OBJECTIVE

To explore the protective effect and mechanism of astaxanthin on the kidney of rats with contrast-induced acute kidney injury.

METHODS

Forty SD rats were randomly divided into five groups: Control group (CON); Astaxanthin control group (AST); Contrast media group (CM); Astaxanthin pre-treatment group (AST + CM); N-acetylcysteine pre-treatment group (NAC + CM), each group with eight rats. The rats were killed 72 h after the modeling, the blood supernatant and kidneys were collected, and then the serum creatinine and blood urea nitrogen levels were measured; HE staining was used to observe the pathological changes in kidney tissue; TUNEL was used to detect apoptosis level in renal tubular epithelial cells; frozen section was used to observe the expression of ROS in renal tissue by reactive oxygen staining; the expression of NLRP3, ASC, caspase-1, IL-1β, IL-18 were detected by immunohistochemistry and western blot.

RESULTS

The CI-AKI rat model was induced by iohexol. Then the elevated level of ROS activated the inflammatory response mediated by NLRP3 inflammasome (NLRP3, ASC, caspase-1). Subsequently, the increase in renal tubular epithelial cell apoptosis caused the destruction of the pathological structure of the kidney and finally led to renal impairment. While after the pretreatment of astaxanthin, the level of ROS was decreased. The activation level of NLRP3 inflammasome and its mediated inflammatory response were alleviated significantly. Eventually, the level of renal tubular epithelial cell apoptosis and renal damage were significantly mitigated.

CONCLUSION

Astaxanthin can protect the kidney in CI-AKI by inhibiting the activation of NLRP3 inflammasome-IL-1β/IL-18 through inhibition of the production of ROS.

Preprocedural Lp(a) level and ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio and the risk for contrast-induced acute kidney injury in patients undergoing emergency PCI

BACKGROUND

High serum Lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) level and Apolipoprotein B/Apolipoprotein AΙ (ApoB/ApoA-Ι) ratio are risk factors for cardiovascular disease and kidney disease and have been found to be correlated with the prevalence and prognosis of various kidney diseases. However, it is not clear whether the serum Lp(a) level and ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio pre-PCI are correlated with the prevalence of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI).

METHODS

A total of 931 participants undergoing emergency PCI from July 2018 to July 2020 were included. According to whether the serum creatinine concentration was higher than the baseline concentration (by ≥25% or ≥ 0.5 mg/dL) 48-72 h after contrast exposure, these participants were divided into a CI-AKI group (n = 174) and a non-CI-AKI group (n = 757). Serum Lp(a), ApoA-Ι and ApoB concentration were detected in the patients when they were admitted to hospital, and the ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio was calculated. Logistic regression and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to explore the correlation between the Lp(a) concentration or the ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio and the risk of CI-AKI.

RESULTS

Among the 931 participants undergoing emergency PCI, 174 (18.69%) participants developed CI-AKI. Compared with the non-CI-AKI group, the Lp(a) level and ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio pre-PCI in the CI-AKI group were significantly higher (P < 0.05). The incidence of CI-AKI was positively associated with the serum Lp(a) level and ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio pre-PCI in each logistic regression model (P < 0.05). After adjusting for all the risk factors included in this study, restricted cubic spline analyses found that the Lp(a) level and the ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratio before PCI, within certain ranges, were positively associated with the prevalence of CI-AKI.

CONCLUSION

High Lp(a) levels and high ApoB/ApoA-Ι ratios before PCI are potential risk factors for CI-AKI.

Use of Deep Learning to Predict Acute Kidney Injury After Intravenous Contrast Media Administration: Prediction Model Development Study

Background

Precise prediction of contrast media–induced acute kidney injury (CIAKI) is an important issue because of its relationship with poor outcomes.

Objective

Herein, we examined whether a deep learning algorithm could predict the risk of intravenous CIAKI better than other machine learning and logistic regression models in patients undergoing computed tomography (CT).

Methods

A total of 14,185 patients who were administered intravenous contrast media for CT at the preventive and monitoring facility in Seoul National University Hospital were reviewed. CIAKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of ≥0.3 mg/dL within 2 days or ≥50% within 7 days. Using both time-varying and time-invariant features, machine learning models, such as the recurrent neural network (RNN), light gradient boosting machine (LGM), extreme gradient boosting machine (XGB), random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), κ-nearest neighbors, and logistic regression, were developed using a training set, and their performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) in a test set.

Results

CIAKI developed in 261 cases (1.8%). The RNN model had the highest AUROC of 0.755 (0.708-0.802) for predicting CIAKI, which was superior to that obtained from other machine learning models. Although CIAKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of ≥0.5 mg/dL or ≥25% within 3 days, the highest performance was achieved in the RNN model with an AUROC of 0.716 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.664-0.768). In feature ranking analysis, the albumin level was the most highly contributing factor to RNN performance, followed by time-varying kidney function.

Conclusions

Application of a deep learning algorithm improves the predictability of intravenous CIAKI after CT, representing a basis for future clinical alarming and preventive systems.

Occlusion patterns, strategies and procedural outcomes of percutaneous coronary intervention for in-stent chronic total occlusion

BACKGROUND

In-stent chronic total occlusion (CTO) presents various occlusion patterns, which complicate percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

AIMS

The aim of the study was to investigate the initial outcome and strategy of PCI for in-stent CTO according to the angiographic occlusion patterns.

METHODS

This study assessed 791 in-stent CTOs from the Japanese CTO-PCI Expert Registry from 2015 to 2018. They were divided into four patterns: pattern A (n=419), CTO within the stent segment; pattern B (n=196), CTO beyond the distal edge; pattern C (n=85), CTO beyond the proximal edge; and pattern D (n=69) CTO beyond both the proximal and distal edges.

RESULTS

There were significant differences in the technical success rates (96.2%, 86.2%, 92.9%, and 75.4% for patterns A-D, respectively; p<0.001), guidewire crossing times (22 [interquartile range: 10-46], 52 [24-102], 40 [20-78], and 86 [45-127] min, respectively; p<0.001), and the rates of antegrade approach alone (90.9%, 61.2%, 67.1%, and 31.9%, respectively; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PCI for CTO within the stent segment was associated with excellent initial outcomes with the antegrade approach. However, PCI for CTO beyond both the proximal and distal edges was associated with the poorest outcomes, even with the bidirectional approach.

Evaluation of Radiographic Contrast-Induced Nephropathy by Functional Diffusion Weighted Imaging

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) resembles an important complication of radiographic contrast medium (XCM) displayed by a rise in creatinine levels 48-72 h after XCM administration. The purpose of the current study was to evaluate microstructural renal changes due to CIN in high-risk patients by diffusion weighted (DWI) and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). Fifteen patients (five CIN and ten non-CIN) scheduled for cardiological intervention were included in the study. All patients were investigated pre- and post-intervention on a clinical 3T scanner. After anatomical imaging, renal DWI was performed by a paracoronal echo-planar-imaging sequence. Renal clinical routine serum parameters and advanced urinary injury markers were determined to monitor renal function. We observed a drop in cortical and medullar apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and fractional anisotropy (FA) before and after XCM administration in the CIN group. In contrast, the non-CIN group differed only in medullary ADC. The decrease of ADC and FA was apparent even before serum parameters of the kidney changed. In conclusion, DWI/DTI may be a useful tool for monitoring high-risk CIN patients as part of multi-modality based clinical protocol. Further studies, including advanced analysis of the diffusion signal, may improve the identification of patients at risk for CIN.

Acute kidney injury and multivessel percutaneous coronary interventions in chronic renal disease: the AMICI study

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) often have multivessel coronary artery disease and the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) after percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) is high. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of AKI in patients with CKD who underwent single vessel PCI versus multivessel PCI.

METHODS

We retrospectively screened all PCI performed from January 2011 to December 2017 and we included all the procedures performed in patients with a baseline glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. PCI were divided in two groups according to the treatment of a single vessel (mono group) or multivessel PCI (multi group). The multi group was also divided in two subgroups according to the modality of PCI: multivessel PCI performed in one procedure (multi-single session group) or in multiple staged procedures (multi-staged group).

RESULTS

From a total of 4517 PCI screened, 848 PCI were included, 530 in the mono group and 318 in the multi group. The global rate of AKI was around 15% without significant differences between the mono and the multi group (15.5% in the mono and 14.8% in the multi group, P=0.786). In the multi group, the risk of AKI was significantly higher in the Single session sub-group (21.4%) compared to the staged sub-group (11.2%, P=0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CKD, the risk of AKI did not differ in patients who underwent single vessel versus multivessel PCI, but multivessel PCI should be performed in multiple staged procedures rather than in a single session.

Mild Malnutrition Contributes the Greatest to the Poor Prognosis in Coronary Artery Disease With Well-Controlled Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels: A 4,863 Chinese Cohort Study

Background: Previous studies reported that patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and well-controlled baseline LDL-C (<1.8 mmol/L) still had higher long-term all-cause mortality. However, no study has been conducted to explore the independent risk factors for long-term mortality. In addition, there also was no study evaluating the population attributable risk (PAR) of independent risk factors in combination with their prevalence and relative risk. Therefore, we aimed to identify the independent risk factors and estimate their PAR in patients with CAD and well-controlled baseline LDL-C (<1.8 mmol/L). Methods: We analyzed 4,863 consecutive CAD patients with well-controlled baseline LDL-C admitted to Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital in China from January 2007 to December 2018. Independent risk factors for long-term all-cause death were evaluated through stepwise approach and multivariable Cox regression analysis. PAR of independent risk factors was calculated with their hazard ratio and prevalence among our cohort. Results: The overall mortality was 16.00% (n = 778) over a median follow-up period of 5.93 years. Independent risk factors for all-cause death included malnutrition, age ≥75 years, congestive heart failure (CHF), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation. Among these risk factors of interest, the hazard ratio (HR) of severe malnutrition was the highest (HR 2.82, 95% CI: 1.86-4.26), and the PAR of mild malnutrition was the highest (19.49%, 95% CI: 0.65-36.01%). Conclusion: Malnutrition, age ≥75 years, CHF, CKD and atrial fibrillation were independent predictors for long-term all-cause mortality in CAD patients with well-controlled LDL-C levels. Considering prevalence of these risk factors, more attention should be paid to the occurrence of mild malnutrition for these patients. Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT04407936.

Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Kidney Disease-A Risky Combination for Post-Contrast Acute Kidney Injury

Atrial fibrillation (AF) symptoms may mimic coronary artery disease (CAD) which reflects the difficulties in qualifying AF patients for invasive diagnostics. A substantial number of coronary angiographies may be unnecessary or even put patients at risk of post-contrast acute kidney injury (PC-AKI), especially patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to investigate the hypothesis indicating higher prevalence of PC-AKI in patients with AF scheduled for coronary angiography. The study population comprised of 8026 patients referred for elective coronarography including 1621 with AF. In the comparison of prevalence of PC-AKI in distinguished groups we can see that kidney impairment was twice more frequent in patients with AF in both groups with CKD (CKD (+)/AF (+) 6.24% vs. CKD (+)/AF (−) 3.04%) and without CKD (CKD (−)/AF (+) 2.32% vs. CKD (−)/AF (−) 1.22%). In our study, post-contrast acute kidney disease is twice more frequent in patients with AF, especially in subgroup with chronic kidney disease scheduled for coronary angiography. Additionally, having in mind results of previous studies stating that AF is associated with non-obstructive coronary lesions on angiography, patients with AF and CKD may be unnecessarily exposed to contrast agent and possible complications.

Predictive Value of Lymphocyte-to-monocyte Ratio in Patients with Contrast-induced Nephropathy After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Acute Coronary Syndrome

Background and Objectives

Lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) has emerged as a new indirect marker of inflammation, which is associated with adverse outcomes in cardiovascular diseases. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether admission LMR is associated with contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) in patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention for acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

Methods

A total of 873 patients were assessed. LMR was calculated via dividing lymphocyte count by monocyte count.

Results

LMR was significantly lower in the with-CIN group. ROC analysis showed that the LMR ratios <2.52 predicted CIN development with sensitivity of 66.3% and specificity of 55.8%. Multivariate analysis showed that eGFR, admission glucose, and LMR were independent predictors of CIN in patients with ACS.

Conclusion

LMR is an easily accessible marker and could be used as a predictor of CIN in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

Prognostic Nutritional Index Predicts Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) previously known as contrast-induced nephropathy is associated with a worse prognosis in patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a simple index comprised of serum albumin level and lymphocyte count which reflects the immunonutritional-inflammatory status. Recently, clinical studies have shown associations between the PNI and clinical outcomes in several cardiovascular diseases. The aim of the study was to assess the possible utilization of the PNI to predict the development of CA-AKI after primary PCI.

METHODS

We retrospectively included 836 patients (mean age 58 ± 12 years, 76% men) with STEMI treated with primary PCI. The PNI was calculated as 10 × serum albumin (g/dL) + 0.005 × total lymphocyte count (per mm³). The patients were divided into two groups according to whether or not CA-AKI developed.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of CA-AKI was 9.4%. Compared to the patients without CA-AKI, those with CA-AKI had a significantly lower PNI value (40.7 ± 3.7 vs. 35.2 ± 4.9; p < 0.001). In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal cutoff value of the PNI to predict CA-AKI was 38, with 82% sensitivity and 70% specificity (area under the curve 0.836, p < 0.001). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, PNI < 38, body mass index and creatinine were independently associated with CA-AKI (odds ratio 11.275, 95% confidence interval 3.596-35.351; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The PNI was inversely and significantly associated with the development of CA-AKI in acute STEMI. Assessing PNI at admission may be useful for early risk stratification of STEMI patients.

Poor Prognosis of Contrast-Induced Nephropathy during Long Term Follow Up

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is known to associate with poor prognosis. However, there have been few studies for long-term follow up. The purpose of this study was to know the prognosis of CIN during a 10-year follow up. We retrospectively analyzed 528 patients who underwent coronary angiography in Jeonbuk National University Hospital (South Korea, Jeonju) between Jan 2005 to Dec 2006. We excluded the patients who required regular dialysis before study enrollment. We compared adverse events in the no CIN (group I, n=485, 61.9±11.4 years, male 64.1%) and CIN (group II, n=43, 65.7±11.1 years, male 62.8%). Baseline clinical characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors were not different between the two groups except the post-procedure creatinine level (1.04 mg/dL vs 1.84 mg/dL, p=0.0001). The higher rates of all-cause death were observed in group II at 1-year (3.7% vs 13.9%, log-rank, p=0.001), 5-years (17.9% vs 34.9%, log-rank, p=0.003), and 10-years (25.3% vs 48.8%, log-rank, p=0.000). MACE was higher in group II at 1-year (3.9% vs 11.6%, log-rank, p=0.013), 5-years (6.8% vs 20.9%, log-rank, p=0.000) and 10-years (13.4% vs 27.9%, log-rank, p=0.000). In addition, CIN was an independent predictor for 10-year MACE (adjusted HR 3.432, 95% CI 1.314-8.965, p=0.012) after propensity score matching. The worse prognosis of CIN was continuously observed after the 10-year follow-up. Our data suggests that it is worthwhile to prevent the appearance of CIN in order to improve longterm results.

Major Adverse Renal and Cardiovascular Events following Intra-Arterial Contrast Media Administration in Hospitalized Patients with Comorbid Conditions

INTRODUCTION

Several clinical studies and meta-analyses have demonstrated lower incidence of adverse renal and cardiovascular outcomes associated with the use of iso-osmolar contrast media (IOCM) than low-osmolar contrast media (LOCM) in patients with variable risk profiles undergoing intra-arterial interventional procedures. However, the association of contrast-type and major adverse renal and cardiovascular events (MARCE) has not been studied via comprehensive and robust real-world data analyses in patients with comorbid conditions considered at risk for post-procedural acute kidney injury (AKI). The objective of this study was therefore to retrospectively assess the MARCE rates comparing IOCM with LOCM in at-risk patients receiving iodinated intra-arterial contrast media using a real-world inpatient data source.

METHODS

Patients who underwent a diagnostic or treatment procedure with intra-arterial IOCM or LOCM administration were identified using the Premier Healthcare Database. Patient subgroups including those with diabetes, heart failure, chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 1-4, CKD 3-4, or diagnosis of chronic total occlusion (CTO) were formed. Subgroups with combinations of diabetes and CKD 3-4 with and without CTO were also investigated. We compared the primary endpoint of MARCE (composite of AKI, AKI requiring dialysis, acute myocardial infarction, stroke/transient ischemic attack, stent occlusion/thrombosis, or death) after IOCM versus LOCM administration via adjusted multivariable regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 536,013 inpatient visits met the primary inclusion and exclusion criteria (IOCM = 133,192; LOCM = 402,821). After multivariable modeling, the use of IOCM was associated with a significantly lower incidence of MARCE than LOCM in patients with CKD 1-4, CKD 3-4, diabetes, or heart failure, with greatest absolute risk reduction (ARR) of 2.4% (p < 0.0001) in CKD 3-4 patients (relative risk reduction [RRR] = 13.8%, number needed to treat [NNT] = 43). Additionally, ARR associated with IOCM increased to 3.5% (p < 0.0001) in patients with combined comorbidities of diabetes and CKD 3-4 (RRR = 19.1%, NNT = 29). Statistically significant risk reduction was also found for the use of IOCM among patients who underwent revascularization for CTO (ARR = 1.6% [p < 0.0001], RRR = 22.3%, NNT = 62).

CONCLUSION

Intra-arterial administration using IOCM in at-risk patients is associated with lower rates of MARCE than the use of LOCM. This difference is especially apparent in patients with a combination of CKD 3-4 and diabetes and in patients with CTO, providing real-world data validation with meaningful NNT in favor of IOCM.

Contrast-induced nephropathy in a patient with type 2 diabetes and coronary artery disease: a case report

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is the impairment of kidney function defined as a serum creatinine increase of 25% or 44 µmol/L compared with baseline, usually occurring 24 to 48 hours after the use of intravenous contrast. Important risk factors for CIN include female sex, advanced age (>65 years), type 2 diabetes (T2D), kidney disease, advanced heart failure, and intravascular volume depletion. We herein present a male patient with T2D, moderately reduced renal function, no albuminuria, and a positive echocardiography stress test. He underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and two drug-eluting stents (in the left anterior descending coronary artery) and three bare-metal stents (in the right coronary artery) were implanted. Despite adequate rehydration (0.9% intravenous NaCl with 8.4% sodium bicarbonate) before and after the procedures, he developed irreversible kidney injury after coronary angiography and PCI. This case report demonstrates the unpredictable clinical course of CIN. Patients with T2D are at high risk for the occurrence of CIN, so careful clinical assessment is recommended with global renal functional reserve evaluation.

National Cardiovascular Data Registry-Acute Kidney Injury (NCDR) vs. Mehran risk models for prediction of contrast-induced nephropathy and need for dialysis after coronary angiography in a German patient cohort

BACKGROUND

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a major adverse event in patients undergoing coronary angiography. The Mehran risk model is the gold-standard for CIN risk prediction. However, its performance in comparison to more contemporary National Cardiovascular Data Registry-Acute Kidney Injury (NCDR-AKI) risk models remains unknown. We aimed to compare both in this study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Predictions of Mehran and NCDR-AKI risk models and clinical events of CIN and need for dialysis were assessed in a total of 2067 patients undergoing coronary angiography with or without percutaneous coronary intervention. Risk models were compared regarding discrimination (receiver operating characteristic analysis), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and calibration (graphical and statistical analysis). The NCDR risk model showed superior risk discrimination for predicting CIN (NCDR c-index 0.75, 95% CI 0.72-0.78; vs. Mehran c-index 0.69, 95% CI 0.66-0.72, p < 0.01), and continuous NRI (0.22; 95% CI 0.12-0.32; p < 0.01) compared to the Mehran model. The NCDR risk model tended to underestimate the risk of CIN, while the Mehran model was more evenly calibrated. For the prediction of need for dialysis, NCDR-AKI-D also discriminated risk better (c-index 0.85, 95% CI 0.79-0.91; vs. Mehran c-index 0.75, 95% CI 0.66-0.84; p_NCDRvsMehran < 0.01), but continuous NRI showed no benefit and calibration analysis revealed an underestimation of dialysis risk.

CONCLUSION

In German patients undergoing coronary angiography, the modern NCDR risk model for predicting contrast-induced nephropathy showed superior discrimination compared to the GRACE model while showing less accurate calibration. Results for the outcome 'need for dialysis' were equivocal.

A preprocedural risk score predicts acute kidney injury following primary percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

Reliable preprocedural risk scores for the prediction of Contrast-Induced Acute Kidney Injury (CI-AKI) following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (pPCI) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are lacking. Aim of this study was to derive and validate a preprocedural Risk Score in this setting.

METHODS

Two prospectively enrolled patient cohorts were used for derivation and validation (n = 3,736). CI-AKI was defined as creatinine increase ≥0.5 mg/dl <72 h postpPCI. Odds ratios from multivariable logistic regression model were converted to an integer, whose sum represented the Risk Score.

RESULTS

Independent CI-AKI predictors were: diabetes, Killip class II-III (2 points each), age > 75 years, anterior MI (3 points), Killip class IV (4 points), estimated GFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m² (5 points). The Risk Score c-statistic was 0.84 in both cohorts. Compared with patients with Risk Score ≤ 4, the relative risks of CI-AKI among patients scoring 5-9 were 6.2 (derivation cohort) and 7.1 (validation cohort); among patients scoring ≥10, 19.8, and 21.4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Among STEMI patients, a simple preprocedural Risk Score accurately and reproducibly predicted the risk of CI-AKI, identifying ¼ of patients with a seven-fold risk and 1/10 of patients with a 20-fold risk. This knowledge may help tailored strategies, including delaying revascularization of nonculprit vessels in patients at high risk of CI-AKI.

Onset time and prognostic value of acute kidney injury in patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

The mechanisms and clinical impact of acute kidney injury (AKI) after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may differ depending on whether AKI develops during the early or late phase after AMI. The present study assessed the timing of AKI onset and the prognostic impact on long-term outcomes in patients hospitalized with AMI.

METHODS

The present study enrolled consecutive AMI survivors who had undergone successful percutaneous coronary interventions at admission. AKI was defined as an increase in the serum creatinine level of ≥0.3 mg/dL above the admission value within 7 days of hospitalization. AKI patients were further divided into two subgroups (early-phase AKI: within 3 days vs. late-phase AKI: 4 to 7 days after AMI onset). The primary endpoint was all-cause death.

RESULTS

In total, 506 patients were included in this study, with 385 men and a mean age of 69.5 ± 13.5 years old. The mean follow-up duration was 1289.5 ± 902.8 days. AKI developed in 127 patients (25.1%). Long-term mortality was significantly higher in the AKI group than in the non-AKI group (log-rank p < 0.001). Early-phase AKI developed in 98 patients (19.3%), and late-phase AKI developed in 28 patients (5.5%). In the multivariable analysis, early-phase AKI was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 2.83, 95% CI [1.51-5.29], p = 0.0012), while late-phase AKI was not.

CONCLUSION

Early-phase AKI but not late-phase AKI was associated with poor long-term mortality. Careful clinical attention and intensive care are needed when AKI is observed within 3 days of AMI onset.

Clinical Scoring for Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Acute ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction after Emergency Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Acute kidney injury (AKI) after a coronary intervention is common in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Several scores have been developed to predict post-procedural AKI over the years. However, the AKI definitions have also evolved, which causes the definitions used in the past to be obsolete. We aimed to develop a prediction score for AKI in patients with STEMI requiring emergency primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). This study was based on a retrospective cohort of Thai patients with STEMI who underwent pPCI at the Central Chest Institute of Thailand from December 2014 to September 2019. AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of at least 0.3 mg/dL from baseline within 48 h after pPCI. Logistic regression was used for modeling. A total of 1617 patients were included. Of these, 195 patients had AKI (12.1%). Eight significant predictors were identified: age, baseline creatinine, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 40%, multi-vessel pPCI, treated with thrombus aspiration, inserted intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP), pre- and intra-procedural cardiogenic shock, and congestive heart failure. The score showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78 (95% CI 0.75, 0.82) and was well-calibrated. The pPCI-AKI score showed an acceptable predictive performance and was potentially useful to help interventionists stratify the patients and provide optimal preventive management.

Association of the classification and severity of heart failure with the incidence of contrast-induced acute kidney injury

Congestive heart failure (HF) is a known risk factor of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI). However, the relationship of the classification and severity of HF with CI-AKI remains under-explored. From January 2009 to April 2019, we recruited patients undergoing elective PCI who had complete pre- and post-operative creatinine data. According to the levels of ejection fraction (EF), HF was classified as HF with reduced EF (HFrEF) [EF < 40%], HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF) [EF 40–49%] and HF with preserved EF (HFpEF) [EF ≥ 50%]. CI-AKI was defined as an increase of either 25% or 0.5 mg/dL (44.2 μmoI/L) in serum baseline creatinine level within 72 h following the administration of the contrast agent. A total of 3848 patients were included in the study; mean age 67 years old, 33.9% females, 48.1% with HF, and 16.9% with CI-AKI. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, HF was an independent risk factor for CI-AKI (OR 1.316, p value < 0.05). Among patients with HF, decreased levels of EF (OR 0.985, p value < 0.05) and elevated levels of N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (OR 1.168, p value < 0.05) were risk factors for CI-AKI. These results were consistent in subgroup analysis. Patients with HFrEF were more likely to develop CI-AKI than those with HFmrEF or HFpEF (OR 0.852, p value = 0.031). Additionally, lower levels of EF were risk factors for CI-AKI in the HFrEF and HFmrEF groups, but not in the HFpEF group. NT-proBNP was an independent risk factor for CI-AKI in the HFrEF, HFmrEF and HFpEF groups. Elevated levels of NT-proBNP are independent risk factors for CI-AKI irrespective of the classification of HF. Lower levels of EF were risk factors for CI-AKI in the HFrEF and HFmrEF groups, but not in the HFpEF group.

Significance of serum FGF-23 for risk assessment of contrast-associated acute kidney injury and clinical outcomes in patients undergoing coronary angiography

Background

Fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23 levels rise as kidney function declines. Whether elevated FGF-23 levels are associated with an increased risk for contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients undergoing coronary angiography remain uncertain.

Methods

In total, 492 patients receiving coronary angiography were enrolled. Their serum FGF-23 levels were measured before administration of contrast media. The occurrence of CA-AKI was defined as a rise in serum creatinine of 0.5 mg/dL or a 25% increase from the baseline value within 48 h after the procedure. All patients were followed up for at least 1 year or until the occurrence of MACE including death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), and ischemic stroke.

Results

Overall, CA-AKI occurred in 41 (8.3%) patients. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, there were 24 deaths, 3 nonfatal MIs, and 7 ischemic strokes. Compared with those in the lowest FGF-23 tertile, individuals in the highest FGF-23 tertile had a significantly higher incidence of CA-AKI (P < 0.001) and lower incidence of MACE-free survival (P = 0.001). In multivariate regression analysis, higher FGF-23 level was found to be independently associated with a graded risk for CA-AKI (OR per doubling, 1.90; 95% CI 1.48–2.44) and MACE (HR per doubling, 1.25; 95% CI 1.02–1.52).

Conclusions

Elevated FGF-23 levels were associated with an increased risk for CA-AKI and future MACE among patients undergoing coronary angiography. FGF-23 may play a role in early diagnosis of CA-AKI and predicting clinical outcomes after coronary angiography.

Postoperative complications of endovascular blunt thoracic aortic injury repair

Background

Thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) has become the standard of care for thoracic aortic aneurysms and increasingly for blunt thoracic aortic injury (BTAI). Postoperative complications, including spinal cord ischemia and paraplegia, have been shown to be less common with elective TEVAR than with open thoracic or thoracoabdominal repair. Although small cohort studies exist, the postoperative complications of endovascular repair of traumatic aortic injury have not been described through large data set analysis.

Methods

A retrospective cohort analysis was performed of the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program registry spanning from 2007 to 2017. All patients with BTAI who underwent TEVAR, as indicated by the Abbreviated Injury Scale or the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9 or ICD-10), were included. Categorical data were presented as proportions and continuous data as mean and SD. OR was calculated for each postoperative complication.

Results

2990 patients were identified as having undergone TEVAR for BTAI. The postoperative incidence of stroke was 2.8% (83), and 4.7% (140) of patients suffered acute kidney injury or renal failure. The incidence of spinal cord ischemia was 1.9% (58), whereas 0.2% (7) of patients suffered complete paraplegia. Renal events and stroke were found to occur significantly more frequently in those undergoing TEVAR (OR 1.758, 1.449–2.134 and OR 2.489, 1.917–3.232, respectively). Notably, there was no difference between TEVAR and non-operative BTAI incidences of spinal cord ischemia or paraplegia (OR 1.061, 0.799–1.409 and OR 1.698, 0.728–3.961, respectively).

Discussion

Postoperative intensive care unit care of patients after BTAI has historically focused on awareness of spinal cord ischemia. Our analysis suggests that after endovascular repair of blunt aortic trauma, care should involve vigilance primarily against postoperative cerebrovascular and renal events. Further study is warranted to develop guidelines for the intensivist managing patients after TEVAR for BTAI.

Level of evidence

Level III.

Performance of Prediction Models for Contrast-Induced Acute Kidney Injury after Transcutaneous Aortic Valve Replacement

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) has shown to adversely affect outcomes in patients undergoing transcutaneous aortic valve replacement (TAVR), and its correct risk estimation may interfere in procedural planning and strategies. The aim of the study was to test and compare 6 scores in predicting AKI after TAVR.

METHODS

We tested 6 scores (the contrast material limit score, volume-to-creatinine clearance ratio, ACEF, CR4EATME3AD3, Mehran model A, and Mehran model B) in a total of 559 consecutive patients included in the Brazilian TAVR registry.

RESULTS

All scores had a poor accuracy and calibration to predict the occurrence of AKI grade 1 or 2. All scores improved the accuracy of AKI risk prediction when stratified for AKI grade 2/3 and AKI grade 3 for all scores. The CR4EATME3AD3 was the best predictor of AKI stage 2/3 (AUC: 0.62; OR: 1.12; 95% CI 1.01-1.26; p = 0.04) and AKI stage 3 (AUC: 0.64; OR: 1.16; 95% CI 1.02-1.32; p = 0.02). Mehran models A and B were both good models for AKI stage 3 (AUC: 0.63; OR: 1.10; 95% CI 1.01-1.22; p = 0.05; and AUC: 0.62; OR: 1.10; 95% CI 1.00-1.21; p = 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

None of the current models demonstrated validity in detecting AKI when its lower grades were evaluated. CR4EATME3AD3 was the best score in predicting moderate to severe AKI after TAVR. These findings suggest that contrast-induced AKI may not be the only factor related to kidney injury after TAVR.

Predictive value of creatine kinase MB for contrast-induced acute kidney injury among myocardial infarction patients

Background

Predictive value of creatine kinase MB (CK-MB) for contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) among myocardial infarction (MI) patients has rarely been reported. We aim to evaluate the predictive value of CK-MB for CI-AKI among MI patients.

Methods

Totally, 1131 MI patients were included from the REduction of rIsk for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy (REICIN) study. The peak CK-MB before coronary angiography (CAG) was chosen. The study population was divided into two groups by log-transformed CK-MB cut-off point. The association between CK-MB and CI-AKI was tested by multivariable logistic regression. CK-MB was integrated with Age, creatinine and ejection fraction (ACEF) score and Mehran risk score (MRS) to evaluate the additive value of CK-MB. The integrated models were validated internally by the bootstrap method and externally by the PREdictive Value of COntrast voluMe to creatinine Clearance Ratio (PRECOMIN) study data set.

Results

Overall, 62(5.48%) patients developed CI-AKI, patients with CK-MB point > 4.7 displayed a higher incidence of CI-AKI than those without (11.9% vs. 4.0%, p < 0.001). CK-MB point > 4.7 was independently associated with CI-AKI (adjusted OR: 3.40, 95% CI: 1.93–5.98, p < 0.001). The additions of CK-MB to ACEF score, Mehran score A and Mehran score B resulted in increases in C-statistics, which ranged from 0.680 to 0.733 (p = 0.046), 0.694 to 0.727 (p = 0.091), 0.704 to 0.734 (p = 0.102), respectively. Internal validation also showed increases in C-statistics, and external validation performed well in discrimination and calibration.

Conclusions

Preprocedural peak CK-MB was a predictor of CI-AKI among MI patients.

Contrast-induced nephropathy in non-cardiac vascular procedures, a narrative review: Part 1

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is an important complication of iodinated contrast medium (CM) administration, which is associated with both short- and long-term adverse outcomes (e.g., cardiorenal events, longer hospital stay, and mortality). CIN has been mainly studied in relation to cardiac procedures, but it can also occur following non-cardiac vascular interventions. This is Part 1 of a narrative review summarizing the available literature on CIN after non-cardiac vascular diagnostic or therapeutic procedures for aortic aneurysm and carotid stenosis. We discuss the definition, pathophysiology, incidence, risk factors, biomarkers, and consequences of CIN in these settings, as well as preventive strategies and alternatives to limit iodinated CM use. Physicians and vascular surgeons should be aware of CM-related adverse events and the potential strategies to avoid them. Clearly, more research in this important field is required.

Association between Prognostic Nutritional Index and Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Complicated with Chronic Kidney Disease and Coronary Artery Disease

Background

Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a major adverse effect of coronary angiography (CAG). Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are at high risk of CA-AKI. This study aimed to investigate the association between prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and CA-AKI in this high-risk population.

Methods

This study enrolled a total of 4,391 patients. CA-AKI was defined as a serum creatinine increase ≥0.3 mg/dL or 50% from baseline within the first 48 hours following CAG. The PNI was calculated upon hospital admission: serum albumin (g/L) + 5 × total lymphocyte count (10⁹/L). PNI was analysed from the high level to low level as a continuous variable and categorical variable which was divided into four groups by quartile. Restricted cubic splines and logistic regression were applied.

Results

Overall, 13.09% (575/4391) of patients developed CA-AKI. PNI score was significantly lower in patients with CA-AKI than that in patients without CA-AKI (P < 0.01). The relationship between PNI score and CA-AKI was linear. A logistic regression model revealed that decreased PNI score was associated with increased risk of CA-AKI [per 1-point decrement; adjusted OR = 1.08, 95% CI, 1.05–1.09; compared with Quartile 1 (PNI ≥ 46.30), Quartile 4 (PNI < 37.90), adjusted OR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.41–2.51; and Quartile 3 (37.90 ≤ PNI < 42.15), adjusted OR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.02–1.84].

Conclusion

Our study indicated a negative linear relationship between PNI score and CA-AKI in patients undergoing CAG complicated with CKD and CAD. It suggested that malnutrition is associated with increased risk of CA-AKI in this population.

Trends in incidence and long-term prognosis of acute kidney injury following coronary angiography in Chinese cohort with 11,943 patients from 2013 to 2017: an observational study

Background

Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a common complication with poor prognosis after coronary angiography (CAG). With the prevention methods widely being implemented, the temporal trends of incidence and mortality of CA-AKI are still unknown over the last five years. The study aims to determine the incidence and prognosis of CA-AKI in China.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study was based on the registry at Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital in China (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04407936). We analyzed data from hospitalization patients who underwent CAG and with preoperative and postoperative serum creatinine (Scr) values from January 2013 to December 2017.

Results

11,943 patients were included in the study, in which the mean age was 63.01 ± 10.79 years and 8,469 (71.1 %) were male. The overall incidence of CA-AKI was 11.2 %. Compared with 2013, the incidence of CA-AKI in 2017 was significantly increased from 9.7 to 13.0 % (adjusted odds ratios [aOR], 1.38; 95 %CI, 1.13–1.68; P-value < 0.01, P for trend < 0.01). The temporal trends of incidence among patients of different ages and genders yielded similar findings. During a standardized follow-up of 1 year, 178 (13.7 %) CA-AKI patients died in total, which showed no obvious decreased trend in this 5 five years from 21.1 to 16.5 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.72; 95 %CI, 0.36–1.45; P-value = 0.35, P for trend = 0.24).

Conclusions

Our Chinese cohort showed that the incidence of CA-AKI increased significantly, while CA-AKI associated mortality showed no obvious decreased trend in the last five years. Our findings support more active measures to prevent CA-AKI and improve the prognosis of CA-AKI patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12882-021-02427-6.

Tailored Versus Standard Hydration to Prevent Acute Kidney Injury After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Network Meta-Analysis

Background

Contrast‐induced acute kidney injury (CI‐AKI) is a serious complication after percutaneous coronary intervention. The mainstay of CI‐AKI prevention is represented by intravenous hydration. Tailoring infusion rate to patient volume status has emerged as advantageous over fixed infusion‐rate hydration strategies.

Methods and Results

A systematic review and network meta‐analysis with a frequentist approach were conducted. A total of 8 randomized controlled trials comprising 2312 patients comparing fixed versus tailored hydration strategies to prevent CI‐AKI after percutaneous coronary intervention were included in the final analysis. Tailored hydration strategies included urine flow rate–guided, central venous pressure–guided, left ventricular end‐diastolic pressure–guided, and bioimpedance vector analysis–guided hydration. Primary endpoint was CI‐AKI incidence. Safety endpoint was incidence of pulmonary edema. Urine flow rate–guided and central venous pressure–guided hydration were associated with a lower incidence of CI‐AKI compared with fixed‐rate hydration (odds ratio [OR], 0.32 [95% CI, 0.19–0.54] and OR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.21–0.97]). No significant difference in pulmonary edema incidence was observed between the different hydration strategies. P score analysis showed that urine flow rate–guided hydration is advantageous in terms of both CI‐AKI prevention and pulmonary edema incidence when compared with other approaches.

Conclusions

Currently available hydration strategies tailored on patients' volume status appear to offer an advantage over guideline‐supported fixed‐rate hydration for CI‐AKI prevention after percutaneous coronary intervention. Current evidence suggests that urine flow rate–guided hydration as the most convenient strategy in terms of effectiveness and safety.

Shock Index-C: An Updated and Simple Risk-Stratifying Tool in ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Background: Shock index (heart rate/systolic blood pressure, SI) is a simple scale with prognostic value in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The present study introduces an updated version of SI that includes renal function.

Methods: A total of 1,851 consecutive patients with STEMI undergoing PCI were retrospectively included at Cardiac Care Unit in Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital and divided into two groups according to their admission time: derivation database (from January 2010 to December 2013, n = 1,145) and validation database (from January 2014 to April 2016, n = 706). Shock Index-C (SIC) was calculated as (SI × 100)–estimated CCr. Calibration was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic. The predictive power of SIC was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results: The predictive value and calibration of SIC for in-hospital death was excellent in derivation [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.877, p < 0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square = 3.95, p = 0.861] and validation cohort (AUC = 0.868, p < 0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square = 5.01, p = 0.756). SIC exhibited better predictive power for in-hospital events than SI (AUC: 0.874 vs. 0.759 for death; 0.837 vs. 0.651 for major adverse clinical events [MACEs]; 0.707 vs. 0.577 for contrast-induced acute kidney injury [CI-AKI]; and 0.732 vs. 0.590 for bleeding, all p < 0.001). Cumulative 1-year mortality was significantly higher in the upper SIC tertile (log-rank = 131.89, p < 0.001).

Conclusion: SIC was an effective predictor of poor prognosis and may have potential as a novel and simple risk stratification tool for patients with STEMI undergoing PCI.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Drug-Induced Acute Kidney Injury in Hospitalized Patients: A Case-Control Study Based on Propensity-Score Matching

Background: Drug-induced acute kidney injury (D-AKI) is associated with increased mortality and longer hospital stays. This study aims to establish a nomogram to predict the occurrence of D-AKI in hospitalized patients in a multi-drug environment.

Methods: A single center retrospective study among adult hospitalized patients was conducted from July 2019 to September 2019 based on the Adverse Drug Events Active Surveillance and Assessment System-2 developed by our hospital. According to the propensity score matching algorithm, four controls per case were matched to eliminate the confounding bias caused by individual baseline variables. The predictors for D-AKI were obtained by logistic regression equation and used to establish the nomogram.

Results: Among 51,772 hospitalized patients, 332 were diagnosed with D-AKI. After matching, 288 pairs and 1,440 patients were included in the study, including 1,005 cases in the development group and 435 cases in the validation group. Six variables were independent predictors for D-AKI: alcohol abuse, the concurrent use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or diuretics, chronic kidney disease, lower baseline red blood cell count and neutrophil count ≥7 × 10⁹/L. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model in the development group and validation group were 0.787 (95%CI, 0.752–0.823) and 0.788 (95%CI, 0.736–0.840), respectively. The GiViTI calibration belts showed that the model had a good prediction accuracy for the occurrence of D-AKI (p > 0.05).

Conclusion: This nomogram can help identify patients at high risk of D-AKI, which was useful in preventing the progression of D-AKI and treating it in the early stages.

Ultra-minimum contrast percutaneous coronary intervention for a patient with complex coronary artery disease and end-stage diabetic nephropathy

A pivotal trial indicated that an initial invasive strategy did not improve the clinical outcomes in patients with moderate or severe ischemic heart disease and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) as compared with an initial conservative strategy. It is well known that contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is associated with worse prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Minimum contrast PCI may lower the risk of CIN and improve the clinical outcomes of ischemic heart disease and advanced CKD. Here we report a case involving a 46-year-old woman with ischemic cardiomyopathy who was scheduled to start hemodialysis for end-stage diabetic nephropathy but exhibited improved renal function in accordance with the left ventricular function after PCI with an extremely low contrast dose. Accordingly, dialysis was not performed, and the patient did not require it for >2 years after coronary revascularization. The present case supports aggressive examination and revascularization for severe heart failure with an extremely low amount of contrast, even if the patient has complex coronary lesions and end-stage CKD. <Learning objective: It is important to treat with aggressive examination and revascularization for severe heart failure with an extremely low amount of contrast, even if the patient has end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD). The technique of catheterization with minimum contrast is required for a special patient group. Coronary revascularization with an extremely small amount of contrast medium could improve renal function in patients with end-stage CKD and severely ischemic cardiomyopathy.>.

Unrealistic Optimism and Risk for COVID-19 Disease

Risk perception and consequently engagement in behaviors to avoid illness often do not match actual risk of infection, morbidity, and mortality. Unrealistic optimism occurs when individuals falsely believe that their personal outcomes will be more favorable than others' in the same risk category. Natural selection could favor overconfidence if its benefits, such as psychological resilience, outweigh its costs. However, just because optimism biases may have offered fitness advantages in our evolutionary past does not mean that they are always optimal. The current project examined relationships among personal risk for severe COVID-19, risk perceptions, and preventative behaviors. We predicted that those with higher risk of severe COVID-19 would exhibit unrealistic optimism and behave in ways inconsistent with their elevated risk of morbidity and mortality. Clinical risk scores for severe COVID-19 were calculated and compared with COVID-19 threat appraisal, compliance with shelter-in-place orders (March 13–May 22, 2020) and travel restrictions, compliance with public health recommendations, and potential covariates like self-rated knowledge about COVID-19 in a robust dataset including 492 participants from McLennan County, TX, USA. While those with high clinical risk acknowledged their greater likelihood of experiencing severe illness if infected, they actually reported lower perceived likelihood of becoming infected in the first place. While it is possible that those with higher clinical risk scores truly are less likely to become infected, the pattern and significance of these results held after controlling for possible occupational exposure, household size, and other factors related to infection probability. Higher clinical risk also predicted more recent travel within Texas and lower distress during the pandemic (i.e., feeling less stressed, depressed, and helpless). Additional behavioral data suggested that those with higher clinical risk scores did not generally behave differently than those with lower scores during the shelter-in-place order. While unrealistic optimism may provide some short-term psychological benefits, it could be dangerous due to improper assessment of hazardous situations; inferring that optimism bias has evolutionary origins does not mean that unrealistic optimism is “optimal” in every situation. This may be especially true when individuals face novel sources (or scales) of risk, such as a global pandemic.

The global incidence and mortality of contrast-associated acute kidney injury following coronary angiography: a meta-analysis of 1.2 million patients

BACKGROUND

Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a common complication after coronary angiography (CAG), which brings a poor prognosis. But up to now, there were fewer studies to discuss the incidence of CA-AKI comprehensively. We comprehensively explore the incidence of CA-AKI after coronary angiography.

METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (to 30th June 2019). We evaluated the world's incidence of the CA-AKI, and associated mortality, and to described geographic variations according to countries, regions, and economies. CA-AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥ 0.5 mg/dl or ≥ 25% within 72 h. Random effects model meta-analyses and meta-regressions was performed to derive the sources of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

A total of 134 articles (1,211,106 participants) were included in our meta-analysis. Most studies originated from China, Japan, Turkey and United States, from upper middle income and high income countries. The pooled incidence of CA-AKI after coronary angiography was 12.8% (95% CI 11.7-13.9%), and the CA-AKI associated mortality was 20.2% (95% CI 10.7-29.7%). The incidence of CA-AKI and the CA-AKI associated mortality were not declined over time (Incidence rate change: 0.23% 95% CI - 0.050 to 0.510 p = 0.617; Mortality rate change: - 1.05% 95% CI - 3.070 to 0.970 p = 0.308, respectively).

CONCLUSION

CA-AKI was a universal complication in many regions, and the burden of CA-AKI remains severe. In clinical practice, physicians should pay more attention to the occurrence and active prevention and treatment of CA-AKI.

Kidney Injury Molecule-1 Is Associated with Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Elderly Patients with Non-STEMI

BACKGROUND

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is associated with an increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and the association between CIN and oxidative mechanisms is well documented.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between serum levels of kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) and CIN in elderly patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).

METHODS

This study included a total of 758 patients with NSTEMI, who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); 15 developed CIN after PCI, and another 104 were the control group, matched for age > 65 years. Baseline to 48-to-72-hour laboratory values and clinical outcomes were recorded. Patients were followed during one year. P values of < 0.05 were considered significant.

RESULTS

CIN was observed in 12.60% of the patients. Serum KIM-1 was significantly higher in the CIN group than in the non-CIN group (14.02 [9.53 - 19.90] vs. 5.41 [3.41 - 9.03], p < 0.001). The Mehran score was significantly higher in the CIN group than in the non-CIN group (14 [5 - 22] vs. 5 [2 - 7], p = 0.001). MACE were significantly higher in the CIN group than in the non-CIN group (7 [46.70%] vs. 12 [11.50%], p = 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that baseline KIM-1 level (OR = 1.652, 95% CI: 1.20 - 2.27, p = 0.002) and Mehran score (OR = 1.457, 95% CI: 1.01 - 2.08, p = 0.039) were independent predictors of CIN in elderly patients with NSTEMI.

CONCLUSION

Baseline serum KIM-1 concentration and Mehran score are independent predictors of CIN in elderly patients with NSTEMI. Additionally, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, myocardial reinfarction, stroke, and MACE were significantly higher in the CIN group at one-year follow-up. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2021; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0).

Ultrasonographic Intraparenchymal Renal Resistive Index Variation for Assessing Renal Functional Reserve in Patients Scheduled for Cardiac Surgery: A Pilot Study

INTRODUCTION

Cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) is a common complication in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Preoperative renal functional reserve (RFR) has been demonstrated to be highly predictive of CSA-AKI. We have previously demonstrated that intraparenchymal renal resistive index variation (IRRIV) measured by ultrasound (US) can identify the presence of RFR in healthy individuals. This study aimed (1) to examine the correlation between the US IRRIV test and RFR measured through the protein loading test in patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery and (2) to determine the value of the 2 methods for predicting occurrence of AKI or subclinical AKI after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Consecutive patients scheduled for cardiac surgery were enrolled for this pilot study. The protein loading test and the IRRIV test were performed in all patients 2 days before cardiac surgery. Correlation between IRRIV and RFR was tested using Pearson correlation analysis. Association between presence of RFR and positive IRRIV test, presence of RFR and AKI and subclinical AKI, and positive IRRIV test and AKI and subclinical AKI was evaluated using logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the values of IRRIV for predicting RFR, RFR for predicting AKI and subclinical AKI, and IRRIV for predicting AKI and subclinical AKI.

RESULTS

Among the 31 patients enrolled, significant association was found between IRRIV and RFR (r = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.63-0.90; p < 0.01). The association between RFR and IRRIV was described in 27/31 (87.1%) patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the IRRIV test were 100, 84, 60, and 100%, respectively. In ROC curve analysis, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.64-0.96). After cardiac surgery, 1/31 (3.2%) patient had AKI and 12/31 (38.7%) had subclinical AKI. RFR predicted subclinical AKI (odds ratio [OR] = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.87-0.98; p = 0.02). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the RFR were 61, 88.8, 80, and 76%, respectively; the AUC was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.59-0.91). IRRIV predicts subclinical AKI (OR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.67-0.93; p = 0.005). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the IRRIV test were 46.1, 100, 100, and 72%, respectively; the AUC was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.58-0.87).

CONCLUSION

This pilot study suggests that a positive IRRIV test can significantly predict the presence of RFR in patients scheduled for cardiac surgery. RFR measured by the protein loading test or by the US IRRIV test can predict the occurrence of subclinical postoperative AKI. The findings of this study need to be confirmed in large patient cohorts.