Postoperative nomogram for 12-year sarcoma-specific death

A Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival of Gastric Cancer Patients with Insufficient Lymph Nodes Examined

Insufficient number of examined lymph nodes (eLNs) was considered to increase significantly the risk of stage migration in gastric cancer patients. The aim of our study is to establish a nomogram predicting the overall survival (OS) for patients with an insufficient number of eLNs. A total of 872 gastric cancer patients with extended lymphadenectomies were assigned randomly (2:1) to the development cohort and the validation cohort. The nomogram was established based on the Cox regression model using the development cohort. The concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate the discriminative ability. We also compared our model with two other staging systems. Using multivariate analysis, age, sex, tumor location, depth of invasion, macroscopic type, lymphovascular invasion, the number of eLNs, and metastatic lymph nodes were selected and incorporated into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.742 and 0.743 in development and validation cohorts, respectively, which were significantly superior to the C-indices (range 0.705-0.712, all P < 0.001) of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) seventh edition and lymph node ratio staging systems in both cohorts. We established a nomogram which could predict accurately OS for gastric cancer patients with insufficient number of eLNs.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in soft tissue sarcomas: latest evidence and clinical implications

Soft tissue sarcomas are a rare and multifaceted group of solid tumours. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is increasingly used to limit loss of function after wide surgical excision with the ultimate aim of improving patient survival. Recently, advances in the identification of effective treatment strategies and improvements in patient risk stratification have been reached. A randomized trial demonstrated that neoadjuvant epirubicin and ifosfamide improves survival of patients affected by five high-risk soft tissue sarcoma histologies of trunk and extremities, including undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma, myxoid liposarcoma, synovial sarcoma, malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumours, and leiomyosarcoma. Selection of patients for these treatments is expected to be improved by the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system, as it tailors T-stage categories on primary tumour site and considers a prognostic nomogram for retroperitoneal sarcoma, which also includes soft tissue sarcoma histology and other patient and tumour features not directly included in the TNM staging. Within this framework, this article will present neoadjuvant treatment strategies for high-risk soft tissue sarcoma, emphasizing the most recent advances and discussing the need for further research to improve the effectiveness of neoadjuvant treatments.

Histopathologic evaluation of atypical neurofibromatous tumors and their transformation into malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor in patients with neurofibromatosis 1-a consensus overview

Patients with neurofibromatosis 1 (NF1) develop multiple neurofibromas, with 8% to 15% of patients experiencing malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor (MPNST) during their lifetime. Prediction of transformation, typically from plexiform neurofibroma, is clinically and histologically challenging. In this overview, after a consensus meeting in October 2016, we outline the histopathologic features and molecular mechanisms involved in the malignant transformation of neurofibromas. Nuclear atypia alone is generally insignificant. However, with atypia, loss of neurofibroma architecture, high cellularity, and/or mitotic activity >1/50 but <3/10 high-power fields, the findings are worrisome for malignancy. We propose the term "atypical neurofibromatous neoplasms of uncertain biologic potential (ANNUBP)" for lesions displaying at least 2 of these features. This diagnosis should prompt additional sampling, clinical correlation, and possibly, expert pathology consultation. Currently, such tumors are diagnosed inconsistently as atypical neurofibroma or low-grade MPNST. Most MPNSTs arising from neurofibromas are high-grade sarcomas and pose little diagnostic difficulty, although rare nonnecrotic tumors with 3-9 mitoses/10 high-power fields can be recognized as low-grade variants. Although neurofibromas contain numerous S100 protein/SOX10-positive Schwann cells and CD34-positive fibroblasts, both components are reduced or absent in MPNST. Loss of p16/CDKN2A expression, elevated Ki67 labeling, and extensive nuclear p53 positivity are also features of MPNST that can to some degree already occur in atypical neurofibromatous neoplasms of uncertain biologic potential. Complete loss of trimethylated histone 3 lysine 27 expression is potentially more reliable, being immunohistochemically detectable in about half of MPNSTs. Correlated clinicopathological, radiologic, and genetic studies should increase our understanding of malignant transformation in neurofibromas, hopefully improving diagnosis and treatment soon.

Soft tissue sarcoma nomograms and their incorporation into practice

The accurate prediction of prognosis in patients with soft tissue sarcoma (STS) is a challenging issue. Extreme variability in the clinical and pathological characteristics of this family of tumors hinders the simple stratification of patients into meaningful prognostic cohorts. Precision medicine tools for the prediction of prognosis, such as nomograms, enable personalized computation of outcome based on clinical and pathological characteristics of both patient and tumor. The eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging manual moved from a "population-based" to a "personalized" approach endorsing high-quality nomograms to improve clinician prediction ability in definite patient subgroups. The first nomogram for STS was published in 2002, and this was followed by several prognostic predictors offered to clinicians. Focusing on a specific STS subgroup or site, nomograms can take into consideration highly specific factors relevant only in that particular scenario, thereby maximizing prognostic ability. The objective of this review was to critically evaluate available nomograms for patients with STS to provide clinicians and researchers with a choice of the most optimal tool for each specific patient. Cancer 2017;123:2802-20. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Prognostic Nomogram for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with FOLFOX 4

Background:

The Oxaliplatin plus 5-Fluorouracil /Leucovorin (FOLFOX4) regimen have been approved by Chinese Food and Drug Administration (CFDA), and covered by health insurance for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. However, the efficacy of FOLFOX4 for HCC patients is still under debate. In this study, we aimed to establish a nomogram to identify HCC patients who might benefit from FOLFOX4 chemotherapy base on individual profile.

Methods:

A total of 184 patients from the EACH study who were treated with FOLFOX4 were included in this analysis. Backward Cox proportional hazards regression combined with clinical experience was used to select variables for construction of the nomogram. The nomogram performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. The results were validated using bootstrap resampling.

Results:

Six variables were included in the prognostic models based on their clinical relevance: age, maximum tumor diameter, lymph node status, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBIL) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). The calibration curve showed that the predicted survival probabilities closely matched the actual observations. The C-index of the model was 0.75 (95% CI:0.71-0.80). This value was significantly superior to the one for the following staging systems: BCLC (0.67, P=0.004), CUPI (0.66, P<0.001), AJCC seventh edition (0.63, P=0.002), GRETCH (0.63, P<0.001).

Conclusions:

The proposed nomogram showed accurate prognostic prediction for 6-month overall survival of patients treated with FOLFOX4 and could be useful for clinicians counseling patients and making treatment decisions.

Survival and Margin Status in Head and Neck Radiation-Induced Sarcomas and De Novo Sarcomas

Objective To describe histologic subtypes and oncologic outcomes among patients with radiation-induced and de novo sarcomas of the head and neck. Study Design Retrospective case series with chart review. Setting Tertiary academic center. Subject and Methods In total, 166 adult patients with sarcoma of the head and neck treated from January 1, 1985, to January 1, 2010, were included. Tumors were characterized as radiation induced (15.1%) vs de novo sarcomas (84.9%). Clinical and tumor characteristics were compared. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Results Radiation-induced sarcomas were more likely to be high grade ( P = .006) and advanced stage ( P = .03). Chondrosarcoma was more common in de novo tumors ( P = .02) while leiomyosarcoma ( P = .01), sarcoma not otherwise specified ( P = .02), and undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma ( P < .001) were more common in radiation-induced sarcomas. Radiation-induced sarcomas were associated with statistically significantly worse DSS ( P = .019) and OS ( P = .005) compared with de novo sarcomas, but when only high-grade soft tissue sarcomas were analyzed, neither DSS ( P = .48) nor OS ( P = .29) differed. Margin status was a significant predictor of survival as both R0 and R1 resections correlated with statistically better DSS and OS compared with R2 ( P < .001) resections and patients treated with radiation therapy/chemoradiation therapy alone ( P = .005). Conclusion Radiation-induced sarcomas of the head and neck correlate with worse survival compared with de novo tumors; however, when controlling for tumor grade and resection status, there is no statistically significant difference in observed outcomes.

Tumor biology remains the main determinant of prognosis in retroperitoneal sarcomas: a 14-year single-center experience

AIM

To review our experience in the management of retroperitoneal sarcomas (RPSs) in a single institution, with a predominantly Asian population, and identify associated prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and local recurrence.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All RPSs diagnosed and managed at our center between January 2000 and March 2014 were included. Exclusion criteria included patients whose medical records were untraceable and patients who underwent biopsy but did not undergo resection. The variables studied were age, gender, histological subtype, tumor size, tumor grade, surgical margins, type of presentation of tumor (primary or recurrent) and presence of contiguous organ resection. The primary outcome measured was OS.

RESULTS

Eighty-five patients underwent resection of RPS with curative intent. Eight patients underwent adjuvant chemotherapy and 15 patients underwent radiotherapy. The median DFS was 21 months (range: 0-146) and median OS was 45 months (range: 1-233). On univariate analysis, resection margin (P = 0.04), tumor grade (P = 0.011) and type of presentation of tumor (P = 0.007) were found to significantly affect OS. Patients with tumor adherent to contiguous organs had a greater OS as compared to patients with tumor invasive into the contiguous organs (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

An aggressive surgical approach in primary and recurrent RPS is associated with good OS. Complete resection, with contiguous organ resection if necessary should be performed to achieve microscopically negative surgical margins to allow for long-term survival. However, tumor biology remains the main determinant for OS.

Soft tissue sarcomas in adolescents and young adults: a comparison with their paediatric and adult counterparts

Survival outcomes for adolescent and young adult patients with soft tissue sarcomas lag behind those of children diagnosed with histologically similar tumours. To help understand these differences in outcomes, we discuss the following issues with regard to the management of these patients with soft tissue sarcomas: delays in diagnosis, trial availability and participation, aspects of the organisation of care (with an emphasis on age-specific needs), national centralisation of sarcoma care, international consortia, and factors related to tumour biology. Improved understanding of the causes of the survival gap between adolescents and young adults with sarcomas will help drive new initiatives to improve final health outcomes in these populations. In this Review, we specifically focus on embryonal and alveolar rhabdomyosarcoma, synovial sarcoma, and adult soft tissue sarcomas diagnosed in adolescents and young adults, and discuss the age-specific needs of these patients.

Analysis of pulmonary nodules in patients with high-grade soft tissue sarcomas

Nowadays, small pulmonary nodules are easily detectable in patients with soft tissue sarcomas (STSs) because of highly improved computed tomography (CT) technologies. The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency and significance of the pulmonary nodules detected by CT in high-grade STS patients. 124 patients with high-grade STS were retrospectively reviewed. There were 72 males (57%) and 52 females (43%). Patients’ average age was 61 years (median (quartiles) 66 years (48–75), range 8–94 years). Pulmonary nodules were detected in 49 (39.5%) of 124 patients by CT scanning at first presentation. Of 49 patients with nodules at first presentation, 34 (69.4%) had benign lesions, and 13 (26.5%) had metastatic nodules. One patient (2%) had primary lung cancer and the remaining one with one nodule could not be definitively diagnosed due to a short follow-up time. 30 patients (24.1%) of 124 patients developed pulmonary nodules during their clinical progression. Seven (23.3%) had benign lesions, whereas 21 (70%) had metastatic lesions. Primary lung cancer was detected in two patients (6.7%). The size and timing of detection of a pulmonary nodule significantly affected the final clinical diagnosisby multivariate analysis. We conclude that pulmonary nodules can be detected highly frequently in patients with high-grade STSs because of improved CT technologies. Careful follow-up is needed if nodules are detected after initial treatment or during the clinical course of the disease.

Sequential histological findings and clinical response after carbon ion radiotherapy for unresectable sarcoma

Background and purpose

The efficacy of carbon ion radiotherapy (CIRT) for bone and soft tissue sarcoma has been reported recently. Although histological assessment after CIRT requires skilled interpretation, little information is presently available. In this study, we report sequential histological findings after treatment with CIRT, and evaluate the association between these findings and clinical response.

Material and methods

Seven patients with unresectable sarcoma underwent needle biopsy 12 times at an average of 14.3 months after CIRT and were included in this study.

Results

One patient underwent two biopsies after CIRT for chordoma. Although a few suspected residual chordoma cells were observed at 19 and 30 months after CIRT, the tumor continued to shrink at 75 months. Immunohistochemical analysis of post-CIRT specimens revealed CK AE1/3, EMA, and S100 expression, as in the pre-CIRT specimen. In total, viable tumor cells were found in 9 of 12 specimens; however, only 2 patients showed recurrent masses on radiological examination. The other 5 patients had stable disease.

Conclusions

Viable tumor cells after CIRT did not always cause recurrence. This may be due to observation of dying cells or radiation-induced deformed cells. Histological evaluation after CIRT should be done carefully.

Surveillance Imaging Patterns and Outcomes Following Radiation Therapy and Radical Resection for Localized Extremity and Trunk Soft Tissue Sarcoma

BACKGROUND

Optimal surveillance imaging (SI) regimens following radiation therapy (RT) and radical resection for localized soft tissue sarcoma (STS) are unknown and practice patterns vary.

METHODS

Between 2006 and 2014, 94 patients with localized STS of the extremity/trunk treated with preoperative RT and radical resection were identified. Timing of local recurrence (LR), distant recurrence (DR), and SI were evaluated. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to determine recurrence-free and overall survival (OS), and the method of recurrence detection (SI or due to signs/symptoms) was determined.

RESULTS

Median tumor size was 7.5 cm, and 92% were intermediate/high grade. After a median follow-up of 60 months for surviving patients, 30 patients (32%) recurred, including 5 LRs and 26 DRs. The median time to LR and DR was 36.2 months (range 14.4-65.7) and 10.4 months (range 5.2-76.9), respectively, and the 5-year local recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant RFS, and OS was 95, 71, and 76%, respectively. Local SI was performed for 90% of patients, mostly by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI; 91%). Of the five LRs, two were detected by SI and three had signs/symptoms preceding imaging. All patients underwent distant SI. Of the 26 DRs, 23 (88%) were in the lung. SI detected 22 (85%) DRs, and only 4 of 26 had signs/symptoms prompting imaging.

CONCLUSION

Given excellent local control with RT and radical resection for intermediate/high-grade STS of the extremity/trunk, SI of the primary site should be reserved for select patients at high risk of LR. Conversely, due to frequent occurrence of asymptomatic DR in the lungs, periodic lung SI is appropriate. Routine abdominopelvic SI may not be indicated for most histologies.

Quantifying risk of early relapse in patients with first demyelinating events: Prediction in clinical practice

Background:

Characteristics at clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) examination assist in identification of patient at highest risk of early second attack and could benefit the most from early disease-modifying drugs (DMDs).

Objective:

To examine determinants of second attack and validate a prognostic nomogram for individualised risk assessment of clinical conversion.

Methods:

Patients with CIS were prospectively followed up in the MSBase Incident Study. Predictors of clinical conversion were analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Prognostic nomograms were derived to calculate conversion probability and validated using concordance indices.

Results:

A total of 3296 patients from 50 clinics in 22 countries were followed up for a median (inter-quartile range (IQR)) of 1.92 years (0.90, 3.71). In all, 1953 (59.3%) patients recorded a second attack. Higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) at baseline, first symptom location, oligoclonal bands and various brain and spinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) metrics were all predictors of conversion. Conversely, older age and DMD exposure post-CIS were associated with reduced rates. Prognostic nomograms demonstrated high concordance between estimated and observed conversion probabilities.

Conclusion:

This multinational study shows that age at CIS onset, DMD exposure, EDSS, multiple brain and spinal MRI criteria and oligoclonal bands are associated with shorter time to relapse. Nomogram assessment may be useful in clinical practice for estimating future clinical conversion.

(Neo)adjuvant treatment in localised soft tissue sarcoma: The unsolved affair

Soft tissue sarcomas (STS) are rare and heterogeneous tumours. A correct definition of STS is imperative from the very beginning of disease management, to guide the diagnostic and imaging work-up, and help to establish the prognosis on which the therapeutic strategy will be based. Over the last few years, many efforts have been made to identify characteristics that could predict disease behaviour and to enrich the therapeutic armamentarium against the advanced disease, that is still characterised by poor prognosis. Surgery remains the milestone of treatment for localised STS, whereas many uncertainties regarding the role of adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatment persist. Some controlled evidence is available, but often conflicting and insufficient to make chemotherapy (CT) a standard practice and, currently, a common and shared strategy does not exist. The biggest question concerns the prospective identification of the subgroup of patients who would benefit the most from (neo)adjuvant therapies. In light of the growing understanding of different biologies and sensitivities of the various sarcoma subtypes, the value of histology in the selection of peri-operative treatments is one of the most intriguing topics under discussion. In this perspective, a new generation of neoadjuvant trials have been planned and are currently ongoing. The aim of this review was to rekindle interest in the long-standing topic of (neo)adjuvant CT in localised STS, providing an update on its role in sarcomas' management and highlighting future directions and consequential factors needed to further improve outcomes in this disease.

Looking for answers: the current status of neoadjuvant treatment in localized soft tissue sarcomas

PURPOSE

Sarcomas are a rare and heterogeneous variant of cancer. The standard of care treatment involves surgical resection with radiation in high-risk patients. Despite appropriate treatment approximately 50 % of patients will suffer and die from recurrent disease. The purpose of this article is to review the current evidence concerning the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without radiation in soft tissue sarcomas.

METHODS

An in-depth literature search was conducted using Ovid Medline and PubMed.

RESULTS

The most active chemotherapeutic agents in sarcoma are anthracyclines and ifosfamide. Adjuvant chemotherapy trials show only minimal benefit. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy offers the potential advantage of reducing the extent of surgery, increasing the limb salvage rate, early exposure of micrometastatic disease to chemotherapy, and assessment of tumor response to chemotherapy. Some retrospective and phase II trials suggest a benefit to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Unfortunately, no clearly positive phase III prospectively randomized trials exist for neoadjuvant therapy in soft tissue sarcomas.

CONCLUSIONS

The current neoadjuvant chemotherapy trials that do exist are heterogeneous resulting in conflicting results. However, neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without radiation can be considered in patients with high-risk disease in an attempt to improve long-term outcomes.

Nomogram for 5-year relapse-free survival of a patient with advanced gastric cancer after surgery

BACKGROUND

Prognoses vary substantially among patients with advanced gastric cancer following curative surgery. The aim of the current study was to develop and verify the validity of a novel nomogram that predicts the probability of 5-year relapse-free survival (RFS) in patients who underwent curative resection for stage II/III gastric cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A nomogram to predict 5-year RFS following surgical resection of gastric cancer was constructed based on the data of patients who underwent surgery for primary gastric carcinoma at three institutions in Japan in January 2001-December 2006. Multivariate analysis using a Cox proportional hazards regression model was performed, and the nomogram's predictive accuracy (discrimination) and the agreement between observed outcomes and predictions (calibration) were evaluated by internal validation.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses revealed that age at operation, depth of tumor, tumor location, lymph node classification, and presence of combined resection were significant prognostic factors for RFS. In the internal validation, discrimination of the developed nomogram for 5-year RFS was superior to that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM classification (concordance indices of 0.80 versus 0.67; P < 0.001). Moreover, calibration appeared to be accurate. Based on these results, we have created free software to more easily predict 5-year RFS.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a nomogram to predict 5-year RFS after curative surgery for stage II/III gastric cancer. This tool will be useful for the assessing a patient's individual recurrence risk when considering additional therapy in clinical practice.

Primary female breast sarcoma: clinicopathological features, treatment and prognosis

Primary breast sarcoma (PBS) is a rare and heterogeneous group of malignancies with limited publications. We obtained data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program and performed analysis to determine clinicopathological characteristics of PBS and estimate their associations with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Median age of PBS was 55–59 years and median OS was 108 months. Age, overlap or entire breast involvement, tumor histology, and tumor spread were associated with poor survival outcomes. In the multivariable analysis, tumor size, lymph node involvement, distant metastasis and histologic grade were correlated with survival outcomes (P < 0.001). In M0 patients, mastectomy was associated with worse survival outcomes compared with breast conservative surgery (BCS) (adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR], 1.80; 95% CI, 1.31–2.47), regardless of tumor size, tumor grade, tumor histology or radiation history. Adjuvant radiation improved survival outcomes in patients with tumor size >5 cm (adjHR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43–0.91), but not in patients with tumor size ≤ 5 cm. Our study demonstrated clinicopathological characteristics of PBS in the US population and supports performing BCS if R0 resection can be achieved, with radiation if tumor size is over 5 cm.

Histology-based Classification Predicts Pattern of Recurrence and Improves Risk Stratification in Primary Retroperitoneal Sarcoma

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic significance of histologic type/subtype in a large series of patients with primary resected retroperitoneal sarcoma.

BACKGROUND

The histologic diversity and rarity of retroperitoneal sarcoma has hampered the ability to predict patient outcome.

METHODS

From a single-institution, prospective database, 675 patients treated surgically for primary, nonmetastatic retroperitoneal sarcoma during 1982 to 2010 were identified and histologic type/subtype was reviewed. Clinicopathologic variables were analyzed for association with disease-specific death (DSD), local recurrence (LR), and distant recurrence (DR).

RESULTS

Median follow-up for survivors was 7.5 years. The predominant histologies were well-differentiated liposarcoma, dedifferentiated liposarcoma, and leiomyosarcoma. Five-year cumulative incidence of DSD was 31%, and factors independently associated with DSD were R2 resection, resection of 3 or more contiguous organs, and histologic type. Five-year cumulative incidence for LR was 39% and for DR was 24%. R1 resection, age, tumor size, and histologic type were independently associated with LR; size, resection of 3 or more organs, and histologic type were independently associated with DR. Liposarcoma and leiomyosarcoma were associated with late recurrence and DSD (as long as 15 years from diagnosis). For solitary fibrous tumor, LR was uncommon (<10%), but early distant recurrence was common (36% at 5 years). Nomograms were developed to predict DSD, LR, and DR.

CONCLUSIONS

Histologic type/subtype is the most important independent predictor of DSD, LR, and DR in primary retroperitoneal sarcoma. Histology predicts the pattern and incidence of LR and DR and will aid in more accurate patient counseling and selection of patients for adjuvant therapy trials.

Primary high-grade soft-tissue sarcoma of the buttock: a rare but distinct clinical entity

OBJECTIVE

Sarcoma arising in the region of the buttocks is a rare entity and therefore no consensus regarding management exists in the literature.

METHODS

16 patients diagnosed with localized, non-metastatic primary soft-tissue sarcoma (STS) in the buttock area, who were consecutively treated between 2005 and 2013, were retrospectively evaluated for the rate of local control, distant metastases and overall survival.

RESULTS

Most tumours were classified as high grade (87.5%). The average time between the appearances of symptoms to diagnosis of sarcoma was 4.5 months. At the end of the observation period, 7 (44%) patients were alive without signs of progressive disease, 37.5% patients died as the disease progressed, 13 patients were free of disease and 3 (19%) patients were alive with signs of progressive disease. Seven (44%) patients developed local recurrence. Six (37.5%) patients developed distant metastases. The lung was the most common site of distant failure (four patients); other sites were the liver as well as the adrenal gland and kidney (one patient). Four patients had both distant and local progression, three patients experienced isolated local recurrence and two patients developed isolated distant metastases. 5-year local recurrence-free survival was 58% and 5-year distant metastases-free survival was 63%.

CONCLUSION

It is unclear whether to subsume STS of the buttock under the rubric of pelvic tumours or tumours of the lower extremity. Either way, STS of the buttock seems to be characterized by local control, freedom from distant relapse and survival, which is inferior to accepted standards for either pelvic or lower extremity sarcomas. To improve this poor outcome, oncologists are encouraged to regard sarcoma of the buttock as a distinct clinical entity and to devise innovative therapeutic strategies accordingly.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Sarcoma of the buttock area should possibly be regarded as a distinct entity.

Uric acid levels in blood are associated with clinical outcome in soft-tissue sarcoma patients

BACKGROUND

Recent evidence indicates toward a role of uric acid (UA) as a potential antioxidant. Elevated UA levels were shown to be associated with better survival in various malignancies. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic relevance of pre-operative UA levels on cancer-specific survival (CSS) in soft-tissue sarcoma (STS) patients who underwent curative surgical resection.

METHODS

Three hundred and fifty-seven patients with STS were included in the study. Pre-operative serum UA level was measured using an enzymatic colorimetric assay. The effect of UA levels on CSS was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. To further evaluate the prognostic impact of UA levels, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models were calculated.

RESULTS

Among the 357 STS patients, cancer-related deaths occurred in 20 (24.7%) of 81 patients with a serum UA level <279.6 µmol/L and in 36 (13%) of 276 patients with a UA level ≥279.6 µmol/L. In univariate analysis, elevated UA levels were significantly associated with increased CSS in STS patients [hazard ratio (HR) 0.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.26-0.77, p=0.004]. Furthermore, elevated UA levels remain a significant factor for better CCS in multivariate analysis (HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.23-0.75, p=0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study is the first one to demonstrate that higher UA levels are associated with positive clinical outcome in STS patients. UA levels are a simple and cost-effective test for the assessment of the prognosis of STS patients.

Elevated serum creatinine and low albumin are associated with poor outcomes in patients with liposarcoma

Low serum albumin levels and impaired kidney function have been associated with decreased survival in patients with a variety of cancer types. In a retrospective cohort study, we analyzed 84 patients with liposarcoma treated at from May 1994 to October 2011. Uni- and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk analyses were performed to evaluate the association between putative biomarkers with disease-specific and overall survival. The median age of the study population was 51.7 (range 19.6-83.8) years. In multivariable analysis adjusted for AJCC tumor stage, serum creatinine was highly associated with disease-specific survival (Subdistribution Hazard ratio (SHR) per 1 mg/dl increase = 2.94; 95%CI 1.39-6.23; p = 0.005). High albumin was associated with improved overall and disease-specific survival (Hazard Ratio (HR) per 10 units increase = 0.50; 95%CI 0.26-0.95; p = 0.033 and SHR = 0.64; 95%CI 0.42-1.00; p = 0.049). The serum albumin-creatinine-ratio emerged to be associated with both overall and disease-specific survival after adjusting for AJCC tumor stage (HR = 0.95; 95%CI 0.92-0.99; p = 0.011 and SHR = 0.96; 95%CI 0.93-0.99; p = 0.08). Our study provides evidence for a tumor-stage-independent association between higher creatinine and lower albumin with worse disease-specific survival. Low albumin and a high albumin-creatinine-ratio independently predict poor overall survival. Our work identified novel prognostic biomarkers for prognosis of patients with liposarcoma.

Current treatment options for malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors

Malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors (MPNST) are aggressive soft tissue sarcomas characterized by high risk of local recurrence and distant metastasis. The only known curative therapy is complete resection. Adjuvant radiation is recommended for larger lesions or those with more aggressive histology. Given the dismal prognosis in tumors that cannot be cured by surgery alone and the lack of systemic therapy with proven benefit, targeted therapies based on knowledge of activation of the Ras pathway and downstream effectors have been trialed in MPNST, thus far without proven benefit. However, novel or combination therapies based on recent preclinical advances are highly desirable and are the subject of ongoing clinical trials.

Preoperative platelet-lymphocyte ratio is superior to neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic factor for soft-tissue sarcoma

BACKGROUND

Inflammation can promote tumor growth, invasion, angiogenesis and even metastasis. Inflammatory markers have been identified as prognostic indicators in various malignances. This study compared the usefulness of platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) with that of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for predicting outcomes of patients who underwent radical resection for soft tissue sarcoma (STS).

METHODS

We included 222 STS patients in this retrospective study. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox proportional models were used to calculate overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, elevated PLR and NLR were both significantly associated with decreased OS. In multivariate analysis, PLR (HR: 2.60; 95 % CI: 1.17-5.74, P = 0.019) but not NLR was still identified as independent predictors of outcome. Median OS was 62 and 76 months for the high PLR and low PLR groups, respectively. High PLR and NLR were both significantly associated with shorter DFS in univariate analysis, with median DFS of 18 and 57 months in the high PLR and low PLR groups. In multivariate analysis, elevated PLR (HR: 1.77; 95 % CI: 1.05-2.97, P = 0.032) was also related to decreased DFS.

DISCUSSION

Our findings provide a new and valuable clue for diagnosing and monitoring STS. Prediction of disease progression is not only determined by the use of clinical or histopathological factors including tumor grade, tumor size, and tumor site but also by host-response factors such as performance status, weight loss, and systemic inflammatory response. They also significantly affect clinical outcomes. Thus, PLR can be used to enhance clinical prognostication. Furthermore, the PLR can be assessed from peripheral blood tests that are routinely available without any other complicated expenditure, thus providing lower cost and greater convenience for the prognostication.

CONCLUSION

Elevated preoperative PLR as an independent prognostic factor is superior to NLR in predicting clinical outcome in patients with STS.

One-year mortality in patients with bone and soft tissue sarcomas as an indicator of delay in presentation

INTRODUCTION

For many cancers, one-year mortality following diagnosis is a reflection of either advanced stage at diagnosis, multiple co-morbidities and/or complications of treatment. One-year mortality has not been reported for soft tissue or bone sarcomas. This study reports 1-year sarcoma mortality data over a 25-year period, investigates prognostic factors and considers whether a delay in presentation affects 1-year mortality.

METHODS

A total of 4,945 newly diagnosed bone sarcoma and soft tissue sarcoma patients were identified from a prospectively maintained, single institution oncology database. Of these, 595 (12%) died within 1 year of diagnosis. Both patient factors and tumour characteristics available at diagnosis were analysed for effect.

RESULTS

There was significant variation in one-year mortality between different histological subtypes. There has been no significant change in mortality rate during the last 25 years (mean: 11.7%, standard deviation: 2.8 percentage points). Soft tissue sarcoma patients who survived over one year reported a longer duration of symptoms preceding diagnosis than those who died (median: 26 vs 20 weeks, p<0.001). Prognostic factors identified in both bone and soft tissue sarcomas mirrored those for mid to long-term survival, with high tumour stage, large tumour size, metastases at diagnosis and increasing age having the greatest predictive effect.

CONCLUSIONS

One-year mortality in bone and soft tissue sarcoma patients is easy to measure, and could be a proxy for late presentation and therefore a potential performance indicator, similar to other cancers. It is possible to predict the risk of one-year mortality using factors available at diagnosis. Death within one year does not correlate with a long history but is associated with advanced disease at diagnosis.

Development and external validation of nomograms predicting distant metastases and overall survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for patients with nonmetastatic osteosarcoma: A multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND

In this era of individualized cancer treatment, data that could be applied to predicting the survival of patients with osteosarcoma are still limited because of the rarity of the disease and the difficulty in accumulating a sufficient number of patients. Therefore, a multi‐institutional collaboration was implemented to develop and externally validate nomograms that would predict metastasis‐free survival (MFS) and overall survival (OAS) for patients with nonmetastatic osteosarcoma.

METHODS

This study retrospectively examined 1070 patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for nonmetastatic osteosarcoma. Data from Japanese patients (n = 557) were used to develop multivariate nomograms based on Cox regression. Six clinical and pathologic variables were built into nomograms estimating the probability of MFS and OAS 3 and 5 years after diagnosis. The model was internally validated for discrimination and calibration with bootstrap resampling and was externally validated with an independent patient cohort from Korea (n = 513).

RESULTS

A patient's age, tumor site, and histologic response were found to have a stronger influence on MFS and OAS in the model than sex, tumor size, or pathologic fracture. The nomograms and calibration plots based on these results well predicted the probability of MFS (concordance index, 0.631) and OAS (concordance index, 0.679). The concordance indices for external validation were 0.682 for MFS and 0.665 for OAS.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms were externally validated and verified to be useful for the prediction of MFS and OAS and for the assessment of the postoperative prognosis. They can be used for counseling patients and for establishing appropriate surveillance strategies after surgery. Cancer 2015;121:3844–3852. © 2015 American Cancer Society.

Prognostic nomograms for osteosarcoma have been developed and externally validated through multi‐institutional collaboration. These prognostic nomograms are the first to be developed and externally validated for osteosarcoma.

Texture Analysis of Non-Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography for Assessing Angiogenesis and Survival of Soft Tissue Sarcoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the role of computed tomographic (CT) texture analysis in assessing tumor angiogenesis and survival of soft tissue sarcoma (STS).

METHODS

In 20 patients with STSs, tumor texture parameters, which were measured on pretherapeutic CT using CT texture analysis software with the spatial scale filter extracting fine to coarse texture, were compared with microvessel density, plasma vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), soluble VEGF receptor-1, and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Mean of positive pixels (MPP) showed a positive correlation with microvessel density (P = 0.02). Entropy at medium texture scales (spatial scale filter = 3, 4, 5) showed positive correlations with VEGF (P = 0.03, P = 0.009, and P = 0.02, respectively), and entropy without filtration showed a positive correlation with soluble VEGF receptor-1 (P = 0.02). In the univariate analysis, kurtosis at a medium texture scale and MPP showed significant correlations with OS (P = 0.04 and P = 0.007), and multivariate analysis demonstrated that MPP was an independent prognostic factor (P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Texture parameters are associated with tumor angiogenesis and OS in STS.

Nomograms in oncology: more than meets the eye

Nomograms are widely used as prognostic devices in oncology and medicine. With the ability to generate an individual probability of a clinical event by integrating diverse prognostic and determinant variables, nomograms meet our desire for biologically and clinically integrated models and fulfill our drive towards personalised medicine. Rapid computation through user-friendly digital interfaces, together with increased accuracy, and more easily understood prognoses compared with conventional staging, allow for seamless incorporation of nomogram-derived prognosis to aid clinical decision making. This has led to the appearance of many nomograms on the internet and in medical journals, and an increase in nomogram use by patients and physicians alike. However, the statistical foundations of nomogram construction, their precise interpretation, and evidence supporting their use are generally misunderstood. This issue is leading to an under-appreciation of the inherent uncertainties regarding nomogram use. We provide a systematic, practical approach to evaluating and comprehending nomogram-derived prognoses, with particular emphasis on clarifying common misconceptions and highlighting limitations.

Development of ProCaRS Clinical Nomograms for Biochemical Failure-free Survival Following Either Low-Dose Rate Brachytherapy or Conventionally Fractionated External Beam Radiation Therapy for Localized Prostate Cancer

Purpose: Although several clinical nomograms predictive of biochemical failure-free survival (BFFS) for localized prostate cancer exist in the medical literature, making valid comparisons can be challenging due to variable definitions of biochemical failure, the disparate distribution of prognostic factors, and received treatments in patient populations. The aim of this investigation was to develop and validate clinically-based nomograms for 5-year BFFS using the ASTRO II “Phoenix” definition for two patient cohorts receiving low-dose rate (LDR) brachytherapy or conventionally fractionated external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) from a large Canadian multi-institutional database.

Methods and Materials: Patients were selected from the GUROC (Genitourinary Radiation Oncologists of Canada) Prostate Cancer Risk Stratification (ProCaRS) database if they received (1) LDR brachytherapy ≥ 144 Gy (n=4208) or (2) EBRT ≥ 70 Gy  (n=822). Multivariable Cox regression analysis for BFFS was performed separately for each cohort and used to generate clinical nomograms predictive of 5-year BFFS. Nomograms were validated using calibration plots of nomogram predicted probability versus observed probability via Kaplan-Meier estimates.

Results: Patients receiving LDR brachytherapy had a mean age of 64 ± 7 years, a mean baseline PSA of 6.3 ± 3.0 ng/mL, 75% had a Gleason 6, and 15% had a Gleason 7, whereas patients receiving EBRT had a mean age of 70 ± 6 years, a mean baseline PSA of 11.6 ± 10.7 ng/mL, 30% had a Gleason 6, 55% had a Gleason 7, and 14% had a Gleason 8-10. Nomograms for 5-year BFFS included age, use and duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), baseline PSA, T stage, and Gleason score for LDR brachytherapy and an ADT (months), baseline PSA, Gleason score, and biological effective dose (Gy) for EBRT.

Conclusions: Clinical nomograms examining 5-year BFFS were developed for patients receiving either LDR brachytherapy or conventionally fractionated EBRT and may assist clinicians in predicting an outcome. Future work should be directed at examining the role of additional prognostic factors, comorbidities, and toxicity in predicting survival outcomes.

Hemoglobin, alkalic phosphatase, and C-reactive protein predict the outcome in patients with liposarcoma

Data on prognostic biomarkers in soft tissue sarcomas are scarce. The aim of the study was to define prognostic markers in patients with a liposarcoma, a subtype of sarcoma derived from adipose tissue. We restrospectively reviewed 85 patients with liposarcoma treated at our department from May 1994 to October 2011. Kaplan-Meier curves, uni-, and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and competing risk analysis were performed to evaluate the association between putative biomarkers with disease-specific and overall survival. We observed a significant association between both alkalic phosphatase (ALP; subhazard ratio [SHR] per 1 unit increase: 1.35; 95%CI 1.10-1.65; p = 0.005) and C-reactive protein (CRP; SHR per 1 mg/dl increase: 2,57; 95%CI 1.36-4,86; p = 0.004) with disease-specific survival. Hemoglobin (Hb) (HR per 1 g/dl increase: 065; 95%CI 0.48-0.87; p = 0.003) was associated with overall survival. These associations prevailed after multivariable adjustment for AJCC tumor stage. This study identifies CRP and ALP as novel independent predictors of disease-specific survival in patients with liposarcoma.

Management of patients with retroperitoneal tumors and a review of the literature

Background

Retroperitoneal tumors (RTs) develop insidiously and are generally seen as large masses, and 50% of RTs are larger than 20 cm at the time of diagnosis. In this article, we share our experience of 5 years of surgical management of RTs.

Methods

We evaluated 28 RT cases operated on in three education hospitals in Turkey from January 2008 onwards, with regard to patients’ demographic characteristics, complaints, weight loss figures, the location and size of the tumor, blood transfusion, intra-operational time, metastases (in malignant cases), additional organ resection, histological grade, local recurrences, average life expectancy, and post-operative treatment methods.

Results

The mean age of the patients was 49 years (range, 18 to 78 years). Twenty (71.43%) were female, and 8 (28.57%) were male. The primary complaint was abdominal pain in 18 patients (64.28%). CT scans were performed in 17 (61%) patients, 10 (35.4%) underwent abdominal MR imaging, and 1 (3.6%) underwent both abdominal CT and abdominal MR imaging. A mass was palpated in the pelvis (suprapubic region) in seven (25%) of the patients during physical examination. The largest tumors were detected in the left lumbar area. The mean tumor size was 12.78 cm (range, 2 to 30 cm). The mean intra-operational time was 192 min (range, 70 to 380 min). The mean hospitalization period was 11 days (range, 8 to 23 days). Seven (25%) patients were reported to have benign tumors, while 21 (75%) were reported to have malignant tumors. The most frequently seen malignant pathology was liposarcoma (eight cases; 38.09%) followed by leiomyosarcoma (five cases; 23.8%) and malignant fibrous histiocytoma (four cases; 19.04%). The earliest local recurrence was detected in the 12th month and the latest in the 28th month. A total of 11 (52.3%) of the total of 21 malignant cases experienced local recurrence within 3 years. The 3-year average life expectancy was 85.7% in the 18 malignant cases.

Conclusions

Due to the low response rate of all but two types of RT to chemotherapy, the best remaining treatment option is surgery with wide resection margins, whereby all macroscopic traces of tumor are removed.

Soft tissue sarcoma of the head & neck: nomogram validation and analysis of staging systems

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Soft tissue sarcomas of the head and neck (STSHN) comprise a rare group of malignancies. Our objective is to determine the utility of soft tissue sarcoma staging systems within the head and neck, and to validate an individualized soft tissue sarcoma nomogram within head and neck primary sites.

METHODS

Previously-untreated patients with STSHN diagnosed and treated between 1982 and 2012 were eligible (n = 319, median follow-up 46 months). Clinical variables were extracted from a prospectively-maintained database. The performance of AJCC/UICC and MSK staging systems and a soft tissue sarcoma-specific nomogram were assessed.

RESULTS

Four-year overall survival (OS), disease specific survival (DSS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were 72%, 76%, and 71%, respectively. AJCC/UICC and MSK staging systems accurately stratified outcomes (OS, DSS, and RFS; P < 0.001 for all comparisons). The nomogram stratified outcomes by quartile (P < 0.001), and predicted risk of death at 4, 8 and 12 years (P < 0.001). Concordance indices for overall survival for the AJCC/UICC system, MSK system, and the nomogram were 0.71, 0.70, and 0.78, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Oncologic outcomes among groups of patients with STSHN can be accurately predicted using both the AJCC/UICC and MSK staging systems. A soft tissue sarcoma-specific nomogram provides reliable, individualized prognostic information for patients with STSHN.

Lessons learned from the study of 10,000 patients with soft tissue sarcoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The management of rare tumors is difficult because of limited information on natural history. Our objective was to describe a long-term comprehensive prospective database with the assumption that with careful attention to patient, predisposing tumor and treatment variables, valuable knowledge could be obtained that could guide management.

METHODS

In July of 1982, we began a prospective database of all adult patients admitted to our institution for a surgical procedure for soft tissue sarcoma. Patients were included if they had primary, locally recurrent or metastatic disease undergoing a surgical procedure.

RESULTS

Over 3 decades, we entered 10,000 patients into our prospective soft tissue sarcoma database. Data were entered on a weekly or biweekly schedule with full participation of a multidisciplinary team and a dedicated sarcoma pathologist. Extensive information is available from this database. In this article, we describe distribution by site, histopathology, sex, size, and grade. We utilize this information along with outcome data for local recurrence, distant recurrence, disease specific, and overall survival. The value of molecular diagnosis is illustrated.

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous prospective long-term databases are important to obtain knowledge particularly for rare tumors. Such data can be a rich resource for the development of prognostic indicators including nomograms and can be analyzed by Bayesian Belief Networks. These long-term data linked to collection of tumor and germ-line tissue at the time of an initial procedure will remain a resource for future decades.

Surgical management of retroperitoneal and pelvic sarcomas

Management of retroperitoneal sarcomas presents technical and oncological challenges. Imaging is crucial for diagnosis and to define local tumor extent. Complete gross resection at initial presentation is the best chance for cure, but there is controversy as to how this can be best achieved. There is a long-term risk of local recurrence, which is best treated with repeat resection if feasible. The roles of radiation and chemotherapy remain undefined.

Prognostic significance of histological invasion in high grade soft tissue sarcomas

High grade soft tissue sarcomas often show histological invasion to adjacent compartment including bone and vessel. This study aimed to evaluate histological invasion in high grade soft tissue sarcomas, clarify its impact on prognosis and devise treatment strategies. We retrospectively reviewed 133 patients with non-small round cell high grade soft tissue sarcomas surgically treated between 2001 and 2011. Clinical and histological factors examined for prognostic value included age, gender, size, depth, location, adjuvant therapy and invasion to adjacent compartment. Study endpoints included overall survival rate, event free survival rate and local recurrence free survival rate, estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model. Local recurrence was recognized in 14 cases (11%). The 5-year overall survival rate and 5-year event free survival rate were 82.2% and 63.6% respectively. The metastasis-free survival rate at 5 years and local recurrence-free survival rate at 5 years were 69.8% and 86.8% respectively. Histological invasion to adjacent compartment was noted in 52 cases (39%), and was significantly correlated with histological type (p = 0.01), tumor size (p = 0.009), and depth (p < 0.05). In multivariate analyses, we showed that tumor size and histological invasion were significant independent predictors of OS (hazard ratio 8.1/2.5) and EFS (hazard ratio 5.5/2.2), while only tumor size was a significant independent predictor of LRFS (hazard ratio 4.0). We evaluated the relation between histological invasion and the oncological outcomes of high grade soft tissue sarcomas. In multivariate analyses, histological invasion was found to be an independent adverse prognostic factor with hazard ratios of 2.2-2.5, suggesting that a detailed assessment of these factors is essential. Histological invasion showed a correlation with tumor size and histological type, and the surgical margin should be decided based on these factors.

Relative mortality in soft tissue sarcoma patients: a Danish population-based cohort study

Background

Cancer-specific survival estimates rely on precise and correct data on the cause of death; however, these data can be difficult to acquire, particularly in elderly patients where comorbidity is common. Furthermore, while some deaths are directly related to cancer, others are more complex, with cancer merely contributing. Another, more precise, method is to assess the relative mortality, i.e., mortality in patients compared to the general population. The aims of this study were to describe the relative mortality in soft tissue sarcoma, and to compare the relative mortality with the cancer-specific mortality.

Methods

We included 1246 patients treated for soft tissue sarcoma and 6230 individually age- and sex-matched individuals from the general population. The relative mortality was estimated as rates, and rate ratios adjusted for comorbidity. Mortality rate ratios were computed using the Cox proportional hazard model for 0–5 years and 5–10 years, according to age, sex and level of comorbidity. The cancer-specific mortality was compared to the corresponding relative mortality.

Results

The overall 5- and 10-year relative mortality was 32.8% and 36.0%. Patients with low-grade soft tissue sarcoma did not have increased mortality compared with the general population. Soft tissue sarcoma patients had a 4.4 times higher risk of dying within the first five years after diagnosis and a 1.6 times higher risk between five and ten years compared with the general comparison cohort. The relative mortality varied according to age, grade, stage at diagnosis, and level of comorbidity, being highest in younger patients and in patients without comorbidity. The overall 5- and 10-year cancer-specific mortality was underestimated by 1.5 and overestimated by 0.7 percentage points compared to the relative mortality, respectively. No statistical significant difference between the relative and the cancer-specific mortality was found.

Conclusion

The relative mortality provides an unbiased and accurate method to differentiate between cancer-specific and non-cancer-specific deaths. However, when data on the cause of death is of a sufficient quality, there is no difference between relative mortality and disease-specific mortality based on death certificates.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/1471-2407-14-682) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Postoperative nomogram to predict the probability of metastasis in Enneking stage IIB extremity osteosarcoma

BACKGROUND

Metastasis is the most crucial prognostic factor in osteosarcoma. The goal of this study was to develop a new nomogram to predict the probability of metastasis in Enneking stage IIB extremity osteosarcoma after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and limb salvage surgery.

METHODS

We examined medical records of 91 patients who had undergone surgery between March 1994 and March 2007. A nomogram was developed using multivariate logistic regression. The nomogram was validated internally by bootstrapping-method (200 repetitions) and externally in independent validation set (n = 34). A Youden-derived cutoff value was assigned to the nomogram to predict dichotomous outcomes for metastasis.

RESULTS

The nomogram was built from four predictors of tumor site, serum alkaline phosphatase, intracapsular extension, and Huvos grade, and an additional clause that the cutoff value should be added to the total points in the cases of incomplete surgical resection. P-value of Hosmer and Lemshow Goodness-of-fit test of this model was 0.649. Area under receiver operating curve values of 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 0.92) in the training set and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.63 to 0.96) in the validation set were obtained. The accuracy of dichotomous outcomes was 79.1% (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.86) and 82.4% (95% CI, 0.63 to 0.92) in the training and validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

We have developed a new high-performance nomogram to predict the probability of metastasis in Enneking stage IIB extremity osteosarcoma after limb salvage surgery.

Pre-treatment anemia is a poor prognostic factor in soft tissue sarcoma patients

BACKGROUND

Anemia refers to low hemoglobin (Hb) levels, represents a common symptom and complication in cancer patients and was reported to negatively influence survival in patients with various malignancies. In the present study, we aimed to explore the prognostic impact of pre-operative Hb levels on clinical outcome in a large cohort of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients after curative surgery.

METHODS

Retrospective data from 367 STS patients, which were operated between 1998 and 2013, were included in the study. Cut-off levels for anemia were defined as Hb<13 g/dl in males and Hb<12 g/dl in females according to the current WHO guidelines. The impact of pre-operative Hb levels on cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Additionally, Hb levels were compared for the prognostic influence on CSS and OS applying univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models.

RESULTS

Hb level was associated with established prognostic factors, including age, tumor grade, size and depth (p<0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that low Hb levels were significantly associated with decreased CSS and OS in STS patients (p<0.001 for both endpoints, log-rank test). In multivariate analysis, we found an independent association between low Hb levels and poor CSS and OS (HR = 0.46, Cl 95% = 0.25-0.85, p = 0.012; HR = 0.34, Cl 95% = 0.23-0.51, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The present data underline a negative prognostic impact of low pre-operative Hb levels on clinical outcome in STS patients. Thus, Hb levels may provide an additional and cost-effective tool to discriminate between STS patients that are at high risk of mortality.

Prognostic model for predicting overall survival in children and adolescents with rhabdomyosarcoma

Background

The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model for the survival of pediatric patients with rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) using parameters that are measured during routine clinical management.

Methods

Demographic and clinical variables were evaluated in 1679 pediatric patients with RMS registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program from 1990 to 2010. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was developed to predict median, 5-year and 10-year overall survival (OS). The Akaike information criterion technique was used for model selection. A nomogram was constructed using the reduced model after model selection, and was internally validated.

Results

Of the total 1679 patients, 543 died. The 5-year OS rate was 64.5% (95% confidence interval (CI), 62.1-67.1%) and the 10-year OS was 61.8% (95%CI, 59.2-64.5%) for the entire cohort. Multivariate analysis identified age at diagnosis, tumor size, histological type, tumor stage, surgery and radiotherapy as significantly associated with survival (p < 0.05). The bootstrap-corrected c-index for the model was 0.74. The calibration curve suggested that the model was well calibrated for all predictions.

Conclusions

This study provided an objective analysis of all currently available data for pediatric RMS from the SEER cancer registry. A nomogram based on parameters that are measured on a routine basis was developed. The nomogram can be used to predict 5- and 10-year OS with reasonable accuracy. This information will be useful for estimating prognosis and in guiding treatment selection.

Prognostic models to predict overall and cause-specific survival for patients with middle ear cancer: a population-based analysis

Background

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the survival outcome for middle ear cancer and to construct prognostic models to provide patients and clinicians with more accurate estimates of individual survival probability.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with middle ear cancer between 1983 and 2011 were selected for the study from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Program. We used the Kaplan-Meier product limit method to describe overall survival and cause-specific survival. Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to model the relationships between patient characteristics and prognosis. Nomograms for predicting overall survival and cause-specific survival were built using the Cox models established.

Results

The entire cohort comprised 247 patients with malignant middle ear cancer. Median duration of follow-up until censoring or death was 25 months (range, 1–319 months). Five-year overall survival and cause-specific survival were 47.4% (95% Confidence Interval (CI), 41.2% to 54.6%) and 58.0% (95% CI, 51.6% to 65.3%), respectively. In multivariable analysis, age, histological subtype, stage, surgery and radiotherapy were predictive of survival. The bootstrap corrected c-index for model predicting overall and cause-specific survival was 0.73 and 0.74, respectively. Calibration plots showed that the predicted survival reasonably approximated observed outcomes.

Conclusion

The models represent an objective analysis of all currently available data. The resulting models demonstrated good accuracy in predicting overall survival and cause-specific survival. Nomograms should thus be considered as a useful tool for predicting clinical prognosis.

Outcomes in the management of adult soft tissue sarcomas

Adult soft tissue sarcomas (STSs) are heterogeneous neoplasms that account for 11,410 new diagnoses and 4,390 deaths per year. This article summarizes recent NCCN guidelines for diagnosis and management of STSs of the extremities and retroperitoneum, as well as gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). AJCC staging and recently reported NCDB data regarding outcomes are reviewed. Currently accepted STS prognostic variables are presented, as are future directions regarding the utility of molecular prognosticators and nomograms.

Prognostic factors for local recurrence and mortality in adult soft tissue sarcoma of the extremities and trunk wall: a cohort study of 922 consecutive patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Previous studies of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) have identified a number of possible prognostic factors; however, the majority of these include highly selected populations, with unclear validation of data and insufficient statistical methods. We identified prognostic factors in a validated, population-based 30-year series of STS treated at a single institution, using an advanced statistical approach.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1979 and 2008, 922 adult patients from western Denmark were treated at the Aarhus Sarcoma Center for non-metastatic STS in the extremities or trunk. The endpoints were local recurrence (LR) and disease-specific mortality (DSM). Prognostic factors were analyzed using a proportional hazard model, including continuous variables as cubic splines. Directed acyclic graphs were used to depict the causal structure.

RESULTS

The 5-year LR was 16% and the 5-year DSM was 24%. Important prognostic factors for both LR and DSM were age, duration of symptoms, tumor size, grade, margin, and radiotherapy, while anatomical location (upper, lower extremity, trunk) was prognostic for DSM.

INTERPRETATION

In this population-based series of adult, non-metastatic STS, we included directed acyclic graphs, cubic splines, and a competing risk model in order to minimize bias, and demonstrated that these statistical methods are feasible. Using these statistical methods on a large, validated dataset, we excluded depth as a prognostic factor and established that age, duration of symptoms, size, grade, margin, and radiotherapy were important prognostic factors for both local recurrence and disease-specific mortality.

Risk-stratified patients with resectable soft tissue sarcoma benefit from epirubicin-based adjuvant chemotherapy

As adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for soft tissue sarcomas is controversial, we performed a retrospective analysis of patients seen at Washington University in St. Louis to evaluate whether it benefited our patient population. Patients were risk-assessed using the Memorial Sloan Kettering Predictive Nomogram (MSKPN). We defined high-risk patients by a MSKPN 4-year postoperative probability of sarcoma-specific death of ≥0.3 and investigated if they benefited from AC. Retrospective review was performed on patients seen between 15 February 1996 and 6 February 2010. A propensity score method in the logistic regression framework was used to model the likelihood of receiving AC. To make causal inference on the effect of AC on survival outcomes, a propensity score inverse probability of treatment weighting approach was applied to survival analysis. Overall, 135 high-grade patients were assessed, 33 were treated with Ifosfamide/Epirubicin (I/Epi) and 102 were non AC patients. The stratified MSKPN risk was not significantly associated with any survival endpoint in the whole cohort, but trended for overall survival (OS) when evaluated against non AC patients. After adjustment for MSKPN risk and other variables, patients not receiving chemotherapy had significantly worse OS, recurrent free survival, and disease-specific survival (DSS) with adjusted hazard ratios of 4.18 (95% CI: 2.22-7.90), 8.96 (95% CI: 3.85-20.83), and 5.42 (95% CI: 2.09-14.06), respectively. In retrospective analyses, risk-stratified patients with soft tissue sarcoma benefited from I/Epi-based AC. Randomized I/Epi versus I/Doxorubicin clinical trials may determine the optimal adjuvant treatment.

A nomogram for predicting individual survival of patients with gastric cancer who underwent radical surgery with extended lymph node dissection

BACKGROUND

We developed and validated a nomogram for use at a high-volume center where radical surgery with extended lymph node dissection is the standard treatment for gastric cancer.

METHODS

Overall, 1,614 patients were randomly divided into the test set (n = 805) and validation set (n = 809). The scoring system was calculated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model with the survival of gastric cancer as the predicted endpoint. The concordance index (c-index) was used as an accuracy measure, with bootstrapping to correct for optimistic bias. Calibration plots were constructed.

RESULTS

Based on a Cox model, we developed a nomogram that predicts the probability of 3- and 5-year survival from the time of surgery. The bootstrap-corrected c-indices were 0.87 and 0.84 in the test and validation sets, respectively. Survival was well predicted in both sets. The predictions of our nomogram discriminated better than the AJCC staging system (test set: c-index, 0.87 vs. 0.77; P < 0.0001; validation set: c-index, 0.84 vs. 0.79; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a nomogram that provided a significantly accurate prediction of postoperative survival in Korean patients with gastric cancer who underwent radical gastrectomy with extended lymph node dissection.

The role of radiation in retroperitoneal sarcomas

OPINION STATEMENT

Retroperitoneal sarcomas form a group of rare malignancies that require expertise in every aspect of management. Patients benefit from referral to cancer centers that can provide comprehensive, multidisciplinary, oncologic management. The role of radiation in retroperitoneal sarcoma management is, appropriately, the subject of considerable controversy due to the absence of high-level evidence proving its efficacy. Nonetheless, the preponderance of available data suggests that radiation therapy likely improves local control and, in some settings, may favorably impact resectability and survival. These outcome observations coupled with the lower doses (45-54 Gy) and normal tissue displacement characteristic of preoperative radiation therapy leads us to favor preoperative radiotherapy followed by oncologic resection for most retroperitoneal sarcomas. This strategy appears to provide the highest chance of safe and successful delivery of multimodal therapy, which can otherwise be hindered by postoperative complications as a result of technically challenging surgery and normal tissue radiation dose tolerances. Dose-escalation and selective integrative boosts to "at-risk" margins are attractive strategies that merit, and arguably require, further clinical evaluation. We believe that postoperative radiotherapy should be reserved for very high-risk cases and should be treated to a dose of ≥60 Gy respecting normal tissue dose tolerances. An additional approach that we consider in the postoperative setting is close surveillance with consideration of preoperative radiotherapy at recurrence before repeat surgical resection. Highly conformal radiotherapy techniques, such as IMRT with image guidance, should be employed to minimize dose to normal tissues and thereby allow delivery of efficacious radiation doses. If feasible, referral to a treatment facility with proton beam therapy should be discussed with the patient, especially if normal tissue dose constraints cannot be met using IMRT/IGRT. Participation in prospective studies should be highly encouraged.

Prognostic nomogram for nonresectable pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine-based chemotherapy

Background:

A nomogram is progressively being used as a useful predictive tool for cancer prognosis. A nomogram to predict survival in nonresectable pancreatic cancer treated with chemotherapy has not been reported.

Methods:

Using prospectively collected data on patients with nonresectable pancreatic cancer receiving gemcitabine-based chemotherapy at five Japanese hospitals, we derived a predictive nomogram and internally validated it using a concordance index and calibration plots.

Results:

In total, 531 patients were included between June 2001 and February 2013. The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM stages were III and IV in 204 and 327 patients, respectively. The median survival time of the total cohort was 11.3 months. A nomogram was generated to predict survival probabilities at 6, 12, and 18 months and median survival time, based on the following six variables: age; sex; performance status; tumour size; regional lymph node metastasis; and distant metastasis. The concordance index of the present nomogram was higher than that of the AJCC TNM staging system at 12 months (0.686 vs 0.612). The calibration plots demonstrated good fitness of the nomogram for survival prediction.

Conclusions:

The present nomogram can provide valuable information for tailored decision-making early after the diagnosis of nonresectable pancreatic cancer.

Importance of tumor size in soft tissue sarcomas: a proposal for a nomogram based on a score system to staging soft tissue sarcomas in the postoperative setting

In order to adequately stage patients with extremity soft tissue sarcomas (ESTS), it is mandatory to include all adverse prognostic factors and create an integral staging system. We were able to evaluate a nomogram based on a score (STSSS), to improve ESTS staging. We retrospectively evaluated 596 patients with ESTS in stages I-III, of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), who had a complete resection. We analyzed the influence of clinicopathological factors on metastasis, recurrence, and disease-specific survival. The STSSS was based on histologic grade (HG), profundity, tumor size (TS), and surgical margins; we also compared STSSS versus AJCC systems in their ability to stage ESTS. The mean TS was 11.8 cm, with 50%>10 cm. Large TS and high HG were independent but adverse prognostic factors for metastasis. In addition, large TS, high grade, and R1 resection were independent adverse prognostic factors for decreased survival. There was a progressive decline in survival as TS increased, although AJCC staging did not correlate well between stages (IA vs. IB p=0.233, IA vs. IIA p=0.123, IA vs. IIB p=0.075, IB vs. IIA p=0.472, IB vs. IIB p=0.211). STSSS showed differences between these categories for 5-year survival (I vs. II p=0.003, II vs. III p=0.002, III vs. IV p<0.001). Surgical margins, HG, and TS are important determinants for metastases and survival. We also found a strong correlation between survival and prognosis with the use of STSSS in the immediate postoperative setting.

Phase I trial of neoadjuvant conformal radiotherapy plus sorafenib for patients with locally advanced soft tissue sarcoma of the extremity

BACKGROUND

Despite effective local therapy with surgery and radiotherapy (RT), ~50 % of patients with high-grade soft tissue sarcoma (STS) will relapse and die of disease. Since experimental data suggest a significant synergistic effect when antiangiogenic targeted therapies such as sorafenib are combined with RT, we chose to evaluate preoperative combined modality sorafenib and conformal RT in a phase I/II trial among patients with extremity STS amenable to treatment with curative intent.

METHODS

For the phase I trial, eight patients with intermediate- or high-grade STS >5 cm in maximal dimension or low-grade STS >8 cm in maximal dimension received concomitant sorafenib (dose escalation cohort 1:200 twice daily, cohort 2:200/400 daily) and preoperative RT (50 Gy in 25 fractions). Sorafenib was continued during the entire period of RT as tolerated. Surgical resection was completed 4-6 weeks following completion of neoadjuvant sorafenib/RT. Three sorafenib dose levels were planned. Primary endpoints of the phase I trial were maximal tolerated dose and dose-limiting toxicity (DLT).

RESULTS

Eight patients were enrolled in the phase I (five females, median age 44 years, two high-grade pleomorphic, two myxoid/round cell liposarcoma, four other). Median tumor size was 16 cm (range 8-29), and all tumors were located in the lower extremity. Two of five patients treated at dose level 2 developed DLT consisting of grade 3 rash not tolerating drug reintroduction. Other grade 3 side effects included anemia, perirectal abscess, and supraventricular tachycardia. Radiation toxicity (grade 1 or 2 dermatitis; N = 8) and post-surgical complications (three grade 3 wound complications) were comparable to historical controls and other series of preoperative RT monotherapy. Complete pathologic reponse (≥95 % tumor necrosis) was observed in three patients (38 %).

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant sorafenib in combination with RT is tolerable and appears to demonstrate activity in locally advanced extremity STS. Further study to determine efficacy at dose level 1 is warranted. (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00805727).