The Department of Veterans Affairs' NSQIP: the first national, validated, outcome-based, risk-adjusted, and peer-controlled program for the measurement and enhancement of the quality of surgical care. National VA Surgical Quality Improvement Program

Association between Preoperative Indications and Outcomes after Major Lower Extremity Amputation

Despite aggressive limb salvage techniques, lower extremity amputation (LEA) is frequently performed. Major indications for LEA include ischemia and uncontrolled infection (UI). A review of the national Vascular Quality Initiative amputation registry was performed to analyze the influence of indication on outcomes after LEA. Retrospective review of the Vascular Quality Initiative LEA registry (2012–2017) identified all above- and below-knee amputations. Outcome measures included 30-day mortality, return to operating room (OR), postoperative myocardial infarctions, and postoperative SSI. Indications for surgery included ischemic rest pain, ischemic tissue loss (TL), acute limb ischemia (ALI), UI, and neuropathic TL. A total of 6701 patients met the inclusion criteria. The indications for surgery included TL (49.0%), UI (31.7%), ALI (8.0%), rest pain (6.6%), and neuropathic TL (2.3%). Patients with ALI had the highest 30-day mortality (12.0%) compared with TL (6.6%) and UI (6.4%) [ P < 0.001]. The highest rate of return to OR occurred in the UI group (12.6%) [ P < 0.001]. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that patients with UI have significantly higher rates of return to OR, whereas those with ALI have a 30-day mortality twice as high as other indications (both P < 0.001). These data can inform expectations after LEA based on the indications for surgery.

Association of Patient Frailty With Increased Morbidity After Common Ambulatory General Surgery Operations

Importance

Frailty is a measure of decreased physiological reserve that is associated with morbidity and mortality in major elective and emergency general surgery operations, independent of chronological age. To date, the association of frailty with outcomes in ambulatory general surgery has not been established.

Objective

To determine the association between frailty and perioperative morbidity in patients undergoing ambulatory general surgery operations.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A retrospective cohort study was conducted of 140 828 patients older than 40 years of age from the 2007-2010 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Participant Use File who underwent ambulatory and 23-hour-stay hernia, breast, thyroid, or parathyroid surgery. Data analysis was performed from August 18, 2016, to June 21, 2017.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The association between the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program modified frailty index and perioperative morbidity was determined via multivariable logistic regression with random-effects modeling to control for clustering within Current Procedural Terminology codes.

Results

A total of 140 828 patients (80 147 women and 60 681 men; mean [SD] age, 59.3 [12.0] years) underwent ambulatory hernia (n = 71 455), breast (n = 51 267), thyroid, or parathyroid surgery (n = 18 106). Of these patients, 2457 (1.7%) experienced any type of perioperative complication and 971 (0.7%) experienced serious perioperative complications. An increasing modified frailty index was associated with a stepwise increase in the incidence of complications. In multivariable analysis adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, anesthesia type, tobacco use, renal failure, corticosteroid use, and clustering by Current Procedural Terminology codes, an intermediate modified frailty index score (0.18-0.35, corresponding to 2-3 frailty traits) was associated with statistically significant odds ratios of 1.70 (95% CI, 1.54-1.88; P < .001) for any complication and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.72-2.34; P < .001) for serious complications. A high modified frailty index score (≥0.36, corresponding to ≥4 frailty traits) was associated with statistically significant odds ratios of 3.35 (95% CI, 2.52-4.46; P < .001) for any complication and 3.95 (95% CI, 2.65-5.87; P < .001) for serious complications. Anesthesia with local and monitored anesthesia care was the only modifiable covariate associated with decreased odds of serious 30-day complications, with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.53-0.81; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Frailty is associated with increased perioperative morbidity in common ambulatory general surgery operations, independent of age, type of anesthesia, and other comorbidities. Surgeons should consider frailty rather than chronological age when counseling and selecting patients for elective ambulatory surgery.

The Effects of Preoperative Steroid Therapy on Perioperative Morbidity and Mortality After Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

OBJECTIVES

To identify the effects of preoperative steroid therapy on 30-day perioperative complications after adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Chronic steroid therapy has demonstrated therapeutic effects in the treatment of various medical conditions but is also known to be associated with surgical complications. There remains a gap in the literature regarding the impact of chronic steroid therapy in predisposing patients to perioperative complications after elective surgery for ASD.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of data from the 2008-2015 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. Patients were divided into two groups based on preoperative steroid therapy. Differences in baseline patient characteristics, comorbidities, and operative variables were assessed. Univariate analysis was performed to compare the incidence of perioperative complications. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression models were then used to adjust for baseline patient and operative variables in order to identify perioperative complications that were associated with preoperative steroid therapy.

RESULTS

We identified 7,936 patients who underwent surgery for ASD, of which 418 (5.3%) were on preoperative steroid therapy. Preoperative steroid therapy was an independent risk factor for four perioperative complications, including mortality (odds ratio [OR] 2.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30, 4.51; p = .005), wound dehiscence (OR 3.12, 95% CI 1.45, 6.70; p = .004), deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.24, 3.55; p = .006), and blood transfusion (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.08, 1.66; p < .007).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients on preoperative steroid therapy are at increased risk of 30-day mortality, wound dehiscence, DVT, and blood transfusion after surgery for ASD. An interdisciplinary approach to the perioperative management of steroid regimens is critical.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Outcomes of Veterans Undergoing TAVR Within Veterans Affairs Medical Centers: Insights From the Veterans Affairs Clinical Assessment, Reporting, and Tracking Program

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to describe clinical and procedural characteristics of veterans undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) within U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) centers and to examine their association with short- and long-term mortality, length of stay (LOS), and rehospitalization within 30 days.

BACKGROUND

Veterans with severe aortic stenosis frequently undergo TAVR at VA medical centers.

METHODS

Consecutive veterans undergoing TAVR between 2012 and 2017 were included. Patient and procedural characteristics were obtained from the VA Clinical Assessment, Reporting, and Tracking system. The primary outcomes were 30-day and 1-year survival, LOS >6 days, and rehospitalization within 30 days. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to evaluate the associations between pre-procedural characteristics and LOS and rehospitalization.

RESULTS

Nine hundred fifty-nine veterans underwent TAVR at 8 VA centers during the study period, 860 (90%) by transfemoral access, 50 (5%) transapical, 36 (3.8%) transaxillary, and 3 (0.3%) transaortic. Men predominated (939 of 959 [98%]), with an average age of 78.1 years. There were 28 deaths within 30 days (2.9%) and 134 at 1 year (14.0%). Median LOS was 5 days, and 141 veterans were rehospitalized within 30 days (14.7%). Nonfemoral access (odds ratio: 1.74; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10 to 2.74), heart failure (odds ratio: 2.51; 95% CI: 1.83 to 3.44), and atrial fibrillation (odds ratio: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.95) were associated with increased LOS. Atrial fibrillation was associated with 30-day rehospitalization (hazard ratio: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.22 to 2.63).

CONCLUSIONS

Veterans undergoing TAVR at VA centers are predominantly elderly men with significant comorbidities. Clinical outcomes of mortality and rehospitalization at 30 days and 1-year mortality compare favorably with benchmark outcome data outside the VA.

Surgical Risk Is Not Linear: Derivation and Validation of a Novel, User-friendly, and Machine-learning-based Predictive OpTimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER) Calculator

INTRODUCTION

Most risk assessment tools assume that the impact of risk factors is linear and cumulative. Using novel machine-learning techniques, we sought to design an interactive, nonlinear risk calculator for Emergency Surgery (ES).

METHODS

All ES patients in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) 2007 to 2013 database were included (derivation cohort). Optimal Classification Trees (OCT) were leveraged to train machine-learning algorithms to predict postoperative mortality, morbidity, and 18 specific complications (eg, sepsis, surgical site infection). Unlike classic heuristics (eg, logistic regression), OCT is adaptive and reboots itself with each variable, thus accounting for nonlinear interactions among variables. An application [Predictive OpTimal Trees in Emergency Surgery Risk (POTTER)] was then designed as the algorithms' interactive and user-friendly interface. POTTER performance was measured (c-statistic) using the 2014 ACS-NSQIP database (validation cohort) and compared with the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA), Emergency Surgery Score (ESS), and ACS-NSQIP calculators' performance.

RESULTS

Based on 382,960 ES patients, comprehensive decision-making algorithms were derived, and POTTER was created where the provider's answer to a question interactively dictates the subsequent question. For any specific patient, the number of questions needed to predict mortality ranged from 4 to 11. The mortality c-statistic was 0.9162, higher than ASA (0.8743), ESS (0.8910), and ACS (0.8975). The morbidity c-statistics was similarly the highest (0.8414).

CONCLUSION

POTTER is a highly accurate and user-friendly ES risk calculator with the potential to continuously improve accuracy with ongoing machine-learning. POTTER might prove useful as a tool for bedside preoperative counseling of ES patients and families.

Surgical site infections in outpatient surgeries: Less invasive procedures contribute substantially to the overall burden

More than 50% of outpatient surgeries predicted to have an increased likelihood of an adverse event were excluded from surgical site infection (SSI) surveillance based on Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) eligibility criteria, defined by clinician determination of invasiveness. Burden of SSI for eligible versus ineligible surgeries was similar; thus, surveillance activities in the outpatient setting need to be re-evaluated.

Evaluating Unplanned Returns to the Operating Room in Head and Neck Free Flap Patients

BACKGROUND

Head and neck oncologic surgery with reconstruction represents one of the most complex operations in otolaryngology. Unplanned return to the operating room represents an objective measure of postoperative complications. The purpose of this study was to identify reasons and risk factors for unplanned return to the operating room in patients undergoing head and neck surgery with reconstruction.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study of 467 patients undergoing head and neck surgery with free flap reconstruction used a previously-developed Head and Neck-Reconstructive Surgery-specific National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Disease and site-specific preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative data were gathered. Comparisons between those with and without an unexpected return to the operating room were completed with univariate and multiple logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The rate of unexpected return to the operating room was 18.8% (88 patients). Most common reasons for URTOR were flap compromise (24 patients, 5.1%), postoperative infection (21 patients, 4.5%), and hematoma (20 patients, 4.3%). Two risk factors were identified by multivariate analysis: coagulopathy (OR_adjusted = 2.83, 95% CI = 1.24-6.19, P = 0.010), and use of alcohol (OR_adjusted = 1.9, 95% CI = 1.14-3.33, P = 0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

Preexisting coagulopathy and increased alcohol consumption were associated with increased risk of unexpected return to the operating room. These findings can aid physicians in preoperative patient counseling and medical optimization and can inform more precise risk stratification of patients undergoing head and neck surgery with reconstruction. Strategies to prevent and mitigate unexpected returns to the operating room will improve patient outcomes, decrease resource utilization, and facilitate successful integration into alternative payment models.

A Longitudinal Study of S. aureus Infection in a National Cohort of Surgical Patients

BACKGROUND

Postoperative infections are a common and often preventable complication of surgery. S. aureus is a prevalent organism cultured in these infections and is associated with morbidity, mortality, and increased healthcare utilization. However, the long-term burden of S. aureus infection in surgical patients is not well studied. The purpose of this retrospective observational study is to assess the incidence, time trend, and burden of S. aureus infection up to 1 year after surgery.

METHODS

We obtained manually-reviewed data from the VA Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) to identify surgeries in all major specialties. These were combined with laboratory microbiology and pharmacy data to identify pneumonia and infections of the urinary tract, surgical site, and blood.

RESULTS

In the study population of 559,550 patients, S. aureus incidence decreased each year, from 2.1% in 2008 to 1.1% in 2015. Among these, incidence of methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) infection decreased from 0.7% to 0.4%, and methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) decreased from 1.4% to 0.7%. S. aureus infection was associated with increased length of stay, ED utilization, inpatient admissions, as well as a 4-fold increase in mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This is one of the largest studies describing the long-term incidence of S. aureus in the surgical population of a national integrated healthcare system. We conclude that the burden of S. aureus infection extends well beyond the conventional 30-day postoperative window, and late infection should be included in assessing the effects of interventions.

Outcomes after craniotomy for resection of craniopharyngiomas in adults: analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP)

PURPOSE

Craniopharyngiomas occur in suprasellar locations that pose challenges for surgical management. This study evaluates the incidence of complications following craniotomy for craniopharyngioma in adults and investigates risk factors for these complications.

METHODS

Patients who underwent craniotomy for excision of craniopharyngioma were identified from the 2005-2016 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP). Incidence of 30-day postoperative complications was determined. Multivariable logistic regression identified demographic, comorbid and perioperative characteristics associated with any complication and major (Clavien IV) complications.  RESULTS: There were 143 cases identified. Fifty-one (35.7%) had a complication, twenty (14.0%) experienced a major complication and there were four (2.8%) deaths. The most common complications were: unplanned readmission (13.3%), prolonged ventilation > 48 h (9.8%), and unplanned reoperation (9.3%). In multivariable analysis, variables significantly associated with any complication were: black race (OR 0.16; 95% CI 0.03-0.84; p = 0.03), hypertension (OR 5.04; 95% CI 1.79-14.17; p = 0.002) and longer duration of surgery (OR 1.27; 95% CI 1.01-1.58; p = 0.04). Hypertension (OR 9.33; 95% CI 1.61-54.21; p = 0.01) and longer duration of surgery (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.05-2.17; p = 0.03) were also significant predictors for major complications.

CONCLUSION

One-third of patients undergoing craniotomy for craniopharyngioma resection experienced a postoperative complication. While high, this contrasts previously reported rates of two-thirds. Prolonged operative time and hypertension are positive predictors of major complications. This information can assist in counseling patients and decision-making for management. We note that other treatment approaches, such as endoscopic surgical techniques, radiosurgery and radiation therapy likely have different profiles and predictors of complications.

Clinical Factors Associated with Longer Hospital Stay Following Ovarian Cancer Surgery

Background: Ovarian cancer (OC) is the leading cause of death from gynecologic malignancy and is treated with a combination of cytoreductive surgery and platinum-based chemotherapy. Extended length of stay (LOS) after surgery can affect patient morbidity, overall costs, and hospital resource utilization. The primary objective of this study was to identify factors contributing to prolonged LOS for women undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer. Methods: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database was queried to identify women from 2012-2016 who underwent hysterectomy for ovarian, fallopian tube and peritoneal cancer. The primary outcome was LOS >50th percentile. Preoperative and intraoperative variables were examined to determine which were associated with prolonged LOS. Results: From 2012-2016, 1771 women underwent elective abdominal surgery for OC and were entered in the ACS-NSQIP database. The mean and median LOS was 4.6 and 4.0 days (IQR 0-38), respectively. On multivariate analysis, factors associated with prolonged LOS included: American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) Classification III (aOR 1.71, 95% CI 1.38-2.13) or IV (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.44-2.46), presence of ascites (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.44-2.46), older age (aOR 1.23, 95% CI 1.13-1.35), platelet count >400,000/mm3 (aOR 1.74, 95% CI 1.29-2.35), preoperative blood transfusion (aOR 11.00, 95% CI 1.28-94.77), disseminated cancer (aOR 1.28, 95% CI 1.03-1.60), increased length of operation (121-180 min, aOR 1.47, 95% CI 1.13-1.91; >180 min, aOR 2.78, 95% CI 2.13-3.64), and postoperative blood transfusion within 72 h of incision (aOR 2.04, 95% CI 1.59-2.62) (p < 0.05 for all). Conclusions: Longer length of hospital stay following surgery for OC is associated with many patient, disease, and treatment-related factors. The extent of surgery, as evidenced by perioperative blood transfusion and length of surgical procedure, is a factor that can potentially be modified to shorten LOS, improve patient outcomes, and reduce hospital costs.

The Effect of Body Mass Index on 30-day Complications After Revision Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

We aimed to explore the effect of body mass index (BMI) on 30-day complications after aseptic revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) and aseptic revision total hip arthroplasty (rTHA), considering BMI as both a categorical and continuous variable.

METHODS

A total of 18,866 patients (9093 rTHA and 9773 rTKA) patients were included for analysis using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database. Thirty-day rates of readmissions, reoperations, and major and minor complications were compared between different weight categories (overweight: BMI >25 and ≤30 kg/m²; obese: BMI >30 and ≤40 kg/m²; morbidly obese: BMI >40 kg/m²) and the normal weight category (BMI >18.5 and ≤25 kg/m²) using multivariate regression models. Spline regression models were created to study BMI as a continuous variable.

RESULTS

Both readmission rates and reoperation rates increased for rTKA as BMI increased (P < .005). There was a linear relationship between BMI and readmission rates for rTKA. Morbid obesity was associated with an increased reoperation rate for rTHA on univariate analysis (P = .022); however, multivariate analysis showed no statistically significant increase in readmission or reoperation rates as BMI increased for rTHA.

CONCLUSIONS

The relationship between BMI and complications after revision total joint arthroplasty is a J-shaped curve with the lowest rates of complications occurring around a BMI of 30 kg/m². The relationship between BMI and perioperative complications is stronger for revision TKA as opposed to revision THA.

Predicting reamputation risk in patients undergoing lower extremity amputation due to the complications of peripheral artery disease and/or diabetes

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing amputation of the lower extremity for the complications of peripheral artery disease and/or diabetes are at risk of treatment failure and the need for reamputation at a higher level. The aim of this study was to develop a patient-specific reamputation risk prediction model.

METHODS

Patients with incident unilateral transmetatarsal, transtibial or transfemoral amputation between 2004 and 2014 secondary to diabetes and/or peripheral artery disease, and who survived 12 months after amputation, were identified using Veterans Health Administration databases. Procedure codes and natural language processing were used to define subsequent ipsilateral reamputation at the same or higher level. Stepdown logistic regression was used to develop the prediction model. It was then evaluated for calibration and discrimination by evaluating the goodness of fit, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and discrimination slope.

RESULTS

Some 5260 patients were identified, of whom 1283 (24·4 per cent) underwent ipsilateral reamputation in the 12 months after initial amputation. Crude reamputation risks were 40·3, 25·9 and 9·7 per cent in the transmetatarsal, transtibial and transfemoral groups respectively. The final prediction model included 11 predictors (amputation level, sex, smoking, alcohol, rest pain, use of outpatient anticoagulants, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, white blood cell count, kidney failure and previous revascularization), along with four interaction terms. Evaluation of the prediction characteristics indicated good model calibration with goodness-of-fit testing, good discrimination (AUC 0·72) and a discrimination slope of 11·2 per cent.

CONCLUSION

A prediction model was developed to calculate individual risk of primary healing failure and the need for reamputation surgery at each amputation level. This model may assist clinical decision-making regarding amputation-level selection.

Key Issues in the Development of an Evidence-Based Stratified Surgical Patient Safety Improvement Information System: Experience From a Multicenter Surgical Safety Program

Surgery is still far from being completely safe and reliable. Surgical safety has, therefore, been the focus of considerable attention over the last few decades, and there are a growing number of national drives to improve it. There are also a number of large surgical complication reporting systems and system-based interventions, both of which have made remarkable progress in the past two decades. These systems, however, have either mainly focused on reporting complications and played a limited role in guiding practice or have provided nonselective interventions to all patients, perhaps imposing unnecessary burdens on frontline medical staff. We have, therefore, developed an evidence-based stratified surgical safety information system based on a multicenter surgical safety improvement program. This study discusses some critical issues in the process of developing this information system, including (1) decisions about data gathering, (2) establishing and sharing knowledge, (3) developing functions for the system, (4) system implementation, and (5) evaluation and continuous improvement. Using examples drawn from the surgical safety improvement program, we have shown how this type of system can be fitted into day-to-day clinical practice and how it can guide medical practice by incorporating inherent patient-related risk and providing tailored interventions for patients with different levels of risk. We concluded that multidisciplinary collaboration, involving experts in health care (including senior staff in surgery, nursing, and anesthesia), data science, health care management, and health information technology, can help build an evidence-based stratified surgical patient safety improvement system. This can provide an information-intensified surgical safety learning platform and, therefore, benefit surgical patients by delivering tailored interventions and an integrated workflow.

The Nature and Severity of Adverse Events in Select Outpatient Surgical Procedures in the Veterans Health Administration

BACKGROUND

Research on adverse events (AEs) in outpatient surgery has been limited. As part of a Veterans Health Administration (VA) project on AE surveillance, we chart-reviewed selected outpatient surgical cases to characterize the nature and severity of AEs.

METHODS

We abstracted financial year 2012-2015 VA outpatient surgery cases selected with high (n = 1185) and low (n = 1072) likelihood of an AE based on postoperative health care utilization. The abstraction tool included established AE definitions and validated harm and severity scales.

RESULTS

We found AEs in 608 high-likelihood (51%) and 126 low-likelihood outpatient surgical procedures (12%). Among 1010 unique AEs, the most common were wound issues (n = 261, 26%), urinary retention (23%), and urinary tract infections (12%). While 63% of all AEs involved minimal harm, 28% required hospitalization, and 9% were severely harmful including 8 AEs requiring intervention to sustain life and 2 deaths. Overall, 102 AEs (10%) required, at minimum, a repeat surgery to treat.

CONCLUSIONS

Among VA outpatient surgical procedures selected based on likelihood of an AE, nearly 40% of identified events carried more than minimal patient harm, undermining the claim that outpatient surgery is relatively safe. Prevalent and preventable AEs such as wound dehiscence and urinary retention may be useful targets for quality improvement.

Clair CM, Hou JY, Tergas AI, Melamed A, Ananth CV, Neugut AI, Hershman DL, Wright JD. Development and validation of a risk-calculator for adverse perioperative outcomes for women with ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

Primary cytoreduction followed by platinum-based chemotherapy is the primary treatment for advanced ovarian cancer. However, neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking is an alternative option, particularly in those who may be poor surgical candidates.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to determine factors associated with short-term, significant perioperative morbidity and mortality for women undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer and to create a nomogram to predict the risk of adverse perioperative outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN

We used the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database to identify women with ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer who underwent surgery from 2011 to 2015. Demographic factors, clinical characteristics, comorbidity, functional status, and the extent of surgery were used to predict the risk of severe perioperative complications or death using multivariable models. Multiple imputation methods were employed for missing data. A nomogram was developed based on the final model. The discrimination ability of the model was assessed with a calibration plot and discrimination concordance index.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 7029 patients. Overall, 5.8% of patients experienced a Clavien-Dindo IV complication, 9.8% of patients were readmitted, 3.0% of patients required a reoperation, and 0.9% of patients died within 30 days. Among the baseline variables assessed, increasing age, emergent surgery, ascites, bleeding disorder, low albumin, higher American Society of Anesthesiology classification score, and a higher extended procedure score were associated with serious perioperative morbidity or mortality. Of these factors, performance of ≥3 cytoreductive procedures (adjusted odds ratio 4.53, 95% confidence interval 3.01-6.82), American Society of Anesthesiology classification score ≥ class 4 (adjusted odds ratio 2.89, 95% confidence interval 1.17-7.14), bleeding disorder (adjusted odds ratio 2.73, 95% confidence interval 1.82-4.10), and age ≥80 years (adjusted odds ratio 2.46, 95% confidence interval 1.66-3.63) were most strongly associated with risk of an event. The final nomogram included the above variables and had an internal discrimination concordance index of 0.71, with accurate predictions in an internal validation set, indicating a 71% correct identification of patients across all possible pairs.

CONCLUSION

Women undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer are at significant risk for the occurrence of adverse perioperative outcomes. Using readily identifiable characteristics, this nomogram can predict adverse outcomes.

Sustained positive impact of ACS-NSQIP program on outcomes after colorectal surgery over the last decade

BACKGROUND

We evaluate trends in outcomes after colorectal resection over the decade of the introduction of ACS-NSQIP as well as of targeted-colectomy information.

STUDY DESIGN

From 2007 to 2016, patients undergoing non-emergent colorectal procedures were included. Demographics, operative complexity (American Society of Anesthesiologists and wound classes); complications, early (<5 days) discharge and mortality were plotted over years. Outcomes after introduction of colectomy-targeted datasets (2013-2016) were compared to those prior (2007-2012). Multivariable analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of colectomy-targeted data on outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 310,632 included procedures, 131,122(42.2%) and 179,510(57.8%) were performed before and after the introduction of colectomy-targeted variables respectively. Most complications including surgical site and urinary tract infections, sepsis, septic shock, venous thromboembolism, respiratory complications, reoperation and mortality reduced over time with increased early discharge. On multivariable analysis, introduction of colectomy-targeted data was associated with lower surgical site (OR = 0.78,95%CI = [0.77-0.80]); systemic (OR = 0.94,95%CI = [0.91-0.98]) and urinary tract (OR = 0.70,95%CI = [0.67-0.74]) infections; reoperation (OR = 0.88,95%CI = [0.85-0.91]) and early discharge (OR = 1.60,95%CI = [1.57-1.63]).

CONCLUSION

Over its first decade of introduction, ACS-NSQIP has been associated with improved outcomes after colorectal surgery. The introduction of colectomy-targeted data has further improved outcomes.

Advancement in the quality of operative documentation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of synoptic versus narrative operative reporting

BACKGROUND

The operative report is vital for patients and central to surgical quality assessment. Narrative operative reports are often poor quality. Synoptic reporting can improve documentation. The objective was to identify and appraise studies comparing synoptic and narrative operative reporting.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic review of the literature was performed. The primary outcome was completion of critical elements for an operative report. Additional secondary outcomes were measured. Meta-analysis was performed where possible. Quality analysis was performed using Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).

RESULTS

1471 citations were identified; 16 studies included. Mean NOS was 7.09 out of 9 (+/-- SD 1.73). Meta-analysis demonstrated that synoptic reporting was significantly more complete (SMD 1.70, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.26; I² 98%). Completion time was shorter with synoptic reporting (mean difference -0.86, 95% CI -1.17 to -0.55). Secondary outcomes favoured synoptic reporting.

CONCLUSIONS

Synoptic reporting platforms outperform narrative reporting and should be incorporated into surgical practice.

Health economic implications of postoperative complications following liver resection surgery: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Limited data exists concerning the health economics of liver resection, with even less information on the costs emerging from complications, despite this remaining an important target from a health economic perspective. Our objective was to describe the financial burden of complications following liver resection.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search and included studies reporting resource use of in-hospital complications during the index liver resection admission. All indications for liver resection were considered. All techniques were considered. Data was collected using a data extraction table and a narrative synthesis was performed.

RESULTS

We identified 12 eligible articles. There was considerable heterogeneity in study designs, patient populations and outcome definitions. We found weak evidence of increased costs associated with major liver resection compared to minor resections. We found robust evidence supporting the increasing economic burden arising from complications after liver resection. Acceptable evidence for increased cost due to the presence and grade of complication was found. Strong evidence concerning the association of length of stay with costs was demonstrated.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence and grade of complications increase hospital cost across diverse settings. The costing methodology should be transparent and complication grading systems should be consistent in future studies.

Systematic review of the use of big data to improve surgery in low- and middle-income countries

Background

Technological advances have led to the generation of large amounts of data, both in surgical research and practice. Despite this, it is unclear how much originates in low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs) and what barriers exist to the use of such data in improving surgical care. The aim of this review was to capture the extent and impact of programmes that use large volumes of patient data on surgical care in LMICs.

Methods

A PRISMA‐compliant systematic literature review of PubMed, Embase and Google Scholar was performed in August 2018. Prospective studies collecting large volumes of patient‐level data within LMIC settings were included and evaluated qualitatively.

Results

A total of 68 studies were included from 71 LMICs, involving 708 032 patients. The number of patients in included studies varied widely (from 335 to 428 346), with 25 reporting data on 3000 or more LMIC patients. Patient inclusion in large‐data studies in LMICs has increased dramatically since 2015. Studies predominantly involved Brazil, China, India and Thailand, with low patient numbers from Africa and Latin America. Outcomes after surgery were commonly the focus (33 studies); very few large studies looked at access to surgical care or patient expenditure. The use of large data sets specifically to improve surgical outcomes in LMICs is currently limited.

Conclusion

Large volumes of data are becoming more common and provide a strong foundation for continuing investigation. Future studies should address questions more specific to surgery.

Enhanced Recovery After Surgery: Is It Time to Change Our Strategy Regarding Laparoscopic Colectomy?

Enhanced recovery after surgery or 'fast-track' methods are evidence-based protocols designed to standardize post-operative medical care, improve patient outcomes, promote early recovery, and reduce healthcare expenditure. Fast-track surgery is a multifunctional concept involving pre-, peri- and post-operative measures aiming to reduce the length of hospital stay and morbidity and complication rates, following elective abdominal surgery. Through the optimization of peri-operative care and the recovery process in adherence to these fast-track protocols, improved outcomes are reached, surgical trauma and post-operative stress are reduced, with less surgical pain, reduced complications, and shorter length of hospital stay. Fast-track care requires a multidisciplinary collaboration of all healthcare professionals, as well as a high rate of protocol compliance and a good organizational structure. Despite the existing evidence of the benefits of fast-track protocols in a variety of surgical procedures and the similar outcomes of laparoscopic colonic surgery compared to open surgery, clear evidence of the benefits of fast-track care after laparoscopic colonic surgery is yet to be clearly demonstrated.

Performance Measures in Dermatologic Surgery: A Review of the Literature and Future Directions

BACKGROUND

In recent years, health care reform initiatives have aimed to assess quality of care through the use of performance measures. Multiple specialties, including dermatology, have implemented registries to track and report health care quality.

OBJECTIVE

The authors review the history and rationale for assessing quality in dermatologic surgery. The authors also discuss the different types of performance measures and the current efforts to develop clinically relevant dermatologic surgery-specific measures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An extensive literature review was conducted using OVID, MEDLINE, PubMed, and government and health care-related websites to identify articles related to surgical performance measures.

RESULTS

Few performance measures are established to assess quality in dermatologic surgery. The authors propose specific candidate measures and discuss how clinical registries can capture measures that meet federal reporting requirements.

CONCLUSION

Assessment of health care quality will become increasingly important in health care reform. Physicians need to take an active role in selecting appropriate, clinically relevant performance measures that will help improve patient care while containing health care costs and meeting government-mandated reporting requirements.

Accuracy of Valuations of Surgical Procedures in the Medicare Fee Schedule

BACKGROUND

The Relative Value Scale Update Committee (RUC) of the American Medical Association plays a central role in determining physician reimbursement. The RUC's role and performance have been criticized but subjected to little empirical evaluation.

METHODS

We analyzed the accuracy of valuations of 293 common surgical procedures from 2005 through 2015. We compared the RUC's estimates of procedure time with "benchmark" times for the same procedures derived from the clinical registry maintained by the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). We characterized inaccuracies, quantified their effect on physician revenue, and examined whether re-review corrected them.

RESULTS

At the time of 108 RUC reviews, the mean absolute discrepancy between RUC time estimates and benchmark times was 18.5 minutes, or 19.8% of the RUC time. However, RUC time estimates were neither systematically shorter nor longer than benchmark times overall (β, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.94 to 1.01; P = 0.10). Our analyses suggest that whereas orthopedic surgeons and urologists received higher payments than they would have if benchmark times had been used ($160 million and $40 million more, respectively, in Medicare reimbursement in 2011 through 2015), cardiothoracic surgeons, neurosurgeons, and vascular surgeons received lower payments ($130 million, $60 million, and $30 million less, respectively). The accuracy of RUC time estimates improved in 47% of RUC revaluations, worsened in 27%, and was unchanged in 25%. (Percentages do not sum to 100 because of rounding.).

CONCLUSIONS

In this analysis of frequently conducted operations, we found substantial absolute discrepancies between intraoperative times as estimated by the RUC and the times recorded for the same procedures in a surgical registry, but the RUC did not systematically overestimate or underestimate times. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health.).

Evaluating Patient Outcomes in Breast and Abdominal Cosmetic Plastic Surgery Procedures Involving Residents

BACKGROUND

Hands-on training and exposure to cosmetic surgery is an integral part of plastic surgery residency. However, resident participation in cosmetic surgical cases is often limited in many training programs. Furthermore, the effect of resident participation in cosmetic surgery is poorly defined.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of resident involvement on outcomes in cosmetic plastic surgery procedures, with a focus on breast and abdominal surgeries.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was performed to identify all patients undergoing cosmetic breast and abdominal surgical procedures by plastic surgeons over a 4-year period (2009-2012). Multivariate regression models were constructed to determine any association between resident participation and surgical outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 6982 patients were included in the analysis. Cases with resident involvement had higher rates of superficial surgical site infection (P < 0.0001), wound dehiscence (P = 0.014), and an increase in mean length of hospital stay (P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the increased rate of superficial surgical site infection was associated with a higher body mass index and with the involvement of a resident during the surgical procedure.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides further evidence to support the claim that resident involvement in cosmetic surgery is safe, with little effect on the rates of major complications. Any increase in minor complication rates must be critically analyzed with respect to the valuable surgical experience gathered by the next generation of surgeons.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 2

Mortality prediction following non-traumatic amputation of the lower extremity

BACKGROUND

Patients who undergo lower extremity amputation secondary to the complications of diabetes or peripheral artery disease have poor long-term survival. Providing patients and surgeons with individual-patient, rather than population, survival estimates provides them with important information to make individualized treatment decisions.

METHODS

Patients with peripheral artery disease and/or diabetes undergoing their first unilateral transmetatarsal, transtibial or transfemoral amputation were identified in the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) database. Stepdown logistic regression was used to develop a 1-year mortality risk prediction model from a list of 33 candidate predictors using data from three of five Department of Veterans Affairs national geographical regions. External geographical validation was performed using data from the remaining two regions. Calibration and discrimination were assessed in the development and validation samples.

RESULTS

The development sample included 5028 patients and the validation sample 2140. The final mortality prediction model (AMPREDICT-Mortality) included amputation level, age, BMI, race, functional status, congestive heart failure, dialysis, blood urea nitrogen level, and white blood cell and platelet counts. The model fit in the validation sample was good. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the validation sample was 0·76 and Cox calibration regression indicated excellent calibration (slope 0·96, 95 per cent c.i. 0·85 to 1·06; intercept 0·02, 95 per cent c.i. -0·12 to 0·17). Given the external validation characteristics, the development and validation samples were combined, giving a total sample of 7168.

CONCLUSION

The AMPREDICT-Mortality prediction model is a validated parsimonious model that can be used to inform the 1-year mortality risk following non-traumatic lower extremity amputation of patients with peripheral artery disease or diabetes.

Association of postoperative organ space infection after intraoperative irrigation in appendicitis

BACKGROUND

The benefit of intraoperative irrigation on postoperative abscess rates compared to suction alone is unclear. The American Association for the Surgery of Trauma grading system provides distinct disease severity stratification to determine if prior analyses were biased by anatomic severity. We hypothesized that for increasing appendicitis severity, patients receiving (high, ≥2 L) intraoperative irrigation would have increased postoperative organ space infection (OSI) rate compared to (low, <2 L) irrigation.

METHODS

Single-institution review of adults (>18 years) undergoing appendectomy for appendicitis during 2010-2016. Demographics, operative details, irrigation volumes, duration of stay, and complications (Clavien-Dindo classification) were collected. American Association for the Surgery of Trauma grades were assigned by two independent reviewers based on operative findings. Summary, univariate, and area under the receiver operating curve analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Patients (n = 1187) were identified with a mean (SD) age of 41.6 (18.4) years (45% female). Operative approach included laparoscopy (n = 1122 [94.5%]), McBurney incision (n = 10 [0.8%]), midline laparotomy (n = 16 [1.3 %]), and laparoscopy converted to laparotomy (n = 39 [3.4%)]. The mean (SD) volume of intraoperative irrigation was 410 (1200) mL. Complication rate was 26.1%. Median volume of intraoperative irrigation in patients who developed postoperative OSI was 3 [0-4] compared to 0 [0-0] in those without infection (p < 0.0001). Area under the receiver operating curve analysis determined that 2 or more liters of irrigation was associated with postoperative OSI (c statistic: 0.83, 95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.89; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Irrigation is used for increasingly severe appendicitis with wide variation. Irrigation volumes of 2 L or greater are associated with postoperative OSI. Improving standardization of irrigation volume (<2 L) may prevent morbidity associated with this high-volume disease.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic, level IV.

The Association Between Operative Time and Short-Term Complications in Total Hip Arthroplasty: An Analysis of 89,802 Surgeries

BACKGROUND

It has been established by previous studies that longer operative times can lead to higher rates of complications and poorer outcomes after total hip arthroplasty (THA). However, these studies were heterogeneous, examined limited complications, and have not provided a clear time after which complications increase. The aims of this study were to (1) assess whether longer operative time increases risk of complications within 30 days of THA, (2) investigate the relationship between operative time and various complications after THA, and (3) identify possible operative times beyond which complication rates increase.

METHODS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database was queried to identify 89,802 procedures that were included in the final analysis. The effect of operative time on complications within 30 days was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression models. Spline regression models were created to investigate the relationship between operative time and complications.

RESULTS

Longer operative times were associated with higher risk of readmissions (P < .001), reoperations (P < .001), surgical site infection (P < .001), wound dehiscence (P < .001), renal or systemic complications (P < .001), and blood transfusion (P < .001). A linear relationship was observed between operative time and readmission, reoperation, surgical site infection, and transfusions with increased rate of these complications when the operative time exceeded 75 to 80 minutes. Venous thromboembolic complications had a U-shaped relationship with operative time with the trough around 90 to 100 minutes.

CONCLUSION

While our findings cannot establish a clear cause and effect relation, they do suggest strong correlation between increased operative time and perioperative complications. Additionally, this study suggests an optimal time of approximately 80 minutes, as a goal for surgeons, that may be associated with less risk of complications following THA.

Preoperative Frailty Evaluation: A Promising Risk-stratification Tool in Older Adults Undergoing General Surgery

PURPOSE

General surgical procedures are among the most commonly performed operations in the United States. Despite advances in surgical and anesthetic techniques and perioperative care, complications after general surgery in older adults remain a significant cause of increased morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. Frailty, a geriatric syndrome characterized by multisystem physiologic decline and increased vulnerability to stressors and adverse clinical outcomes, has emerged as a plausible predictor of adverse outcomes after surgery in older patients. Thus, the goal of this topical review is to evaluate the evidence on the association between preoperative frailty and clinical outcomes after general surgery and whether frailty evaluation may have a role in surgical risk-stratification in vulnerable older patients.

METHODS

A PubMed database search was conducted between September and October 2018 to identify relevant studies evaluating the association between frailty and clinical outcomes after general surgery. Key words (frailty and surgery) and Medical Subject Heading term (general surgery) were used, and specific inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied.

FINDINGS

The available evidence from meta-analyses and cohort studies suggest that preoperative frailty is significantly associated with adverse clinical outcomes after emergent or nonemergent general surgery in older patients. Although these studies are limited by a high degree of heterogeneity of frailty assessments, types of surgery, and primary outcomes, baseline frailty appears to increase risk of postoperative complications and morbidity, hospital length of stay, 30-day mortality, and long-term mortality after general surgical procedures in older adults.

IMPLICATIONS

Evidence supports the further development of preoperative frailty evaluation as a risk-stratification tool in older adults undergoing general surgery. Research is urgently needed to quantify and differentiate the predictive ability of validated frailty instruments in the context of different general surgical procedures and medical acuity and in conjunction with existing surgical risk indices widely used in clinical practice. Practical applicability of frailty instrument as well as geriatrics-centered outcomes need to be incorporated in future studies in this line of research. Furthermore, clinical care pathways that integrate frailty assessment, geriatric medicine focused perioperative and postoperative management, and patient-centered interdisciplinary care models should be investigated as a comprehensive intervention approach in older adults undergoing general surgery. Finally, early implementation of palliative care should occur at the outset of hospital encounter in frail older patients who present with indications for emergent general surgery.

Association of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction and Symptoms With Mortality After Elective Noncardiac Surgery Among Patients With Heart Failure

IMPORTANCE

Heart failure is an established risk factor for postoperative mortality, but how left ventricular ejection fraction and heart failure symptoms affect surgical outcomes is not fully described.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the risk of postoperative mortality among patients with heart failure at various levels of echocardiographic (left ventricular systolic dysfunction) and clinical (symptoms) severity compared with those without heart failure and to evaluate how risk varies across levels of surgical complexity.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

US multisite retrospective cohort study of all adult patients receiving elective, noncardiac surgery in the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Project database from 2009 through 2016. A total of 609 735 patient records were identified and analyzed with 1 year of follow-up after having surgery (final study follow-up: September 1, 2017).

EXPOSURES

Heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction, and presence of signs or symptoms of heart failure within 30 days of surgery.

MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE

The primary outcome was postoperative mortality at 90 days.

RESULTS

Outcome data from 47 997 patients with heart failure (7.9%; mean [SD] age, 68.6 [10.1] years; 1391 women [2.9%]) and 561 738 patients without heart failure (92.1%; mean [SD] age, 59.4 [13.4] years; 50 862 women [9.1%]) were analyzed. Compared with patients without heart failure, those with heart failure had a higher risk of 90-day postoperative mortality (2635 vs 6881 90-day deaths; crude mortality risk, 5.49% vs 1.22%; adjusted absolute risk difference [RD], 1.03% [95% CI, 0.91%-1.15%]; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.67 [95% CI, 1.57-1.76]). Compared with patients without heart failure, symptomatic patients with heart failure (n = 5906) had a higher risk (597 deaths [10.11%]; adjusted absolute RD, 2.37% [95% CI, 2.06%-2.57%]; adjusted OR, 2.37 [95% CI, 2.14-2.63]). Asymptomatic patients with heart failure (n = 42 091) (2038 deaths [crude risk, 4.84%]; adjusted absolute RD, 0.74% [95% CI, 0.63%-0.87%]; adjusted OR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.44-1.63]), including the subset with preserved left ventricular systolic function (1144 deaths [4.42%]; adjusted absolute RD, 0.66% [95% CI, 0.54%-0.79%]; adjusted OR, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.35-1.57]), also experienced elevated risk.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients undergoing elective noncardiac surgery, heart failure with or without symptoms was significantly associated with 90-day postoperative mortality. These data may be helpful in preoperative discussions with patients with heart failure undergoing noncardiac surgery.

Effects of Underlying Liver Disease on 30-Day Outcomes After Posterior Lumbar Fusion

OBJECTIVE

To examine the effects of underlying liver disease on 30-day postoperative complications after elective posterior lumbar fusion (PLF).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program study of patients who had undergone elective PLF from 2011 to 2014. The patients were divided into 2 groups stratified by the presence of liver disease, assessed using the Model for End-stage Liver Disease plus sodium score (liver disease, ≥10; no liver disease, <10). The baseline patient and operative characteristics were compared between the 2 groups using univariate analysis. Subsequent multivariate regression analysis adjusted for differences in baseline characteristics was performed to identify 30-day postoperative complications independently associated with liver disease.

RESULTS

Of 2965 patients, 55.9% had underlying liver disease. Those with liver disease were more frequently aged >65 years, male, and underweight or overweight and had had American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥3, diabetes, pulmonary comorbidity, cardiac comorbidity, renal comorbidity, bleeding disorder, preoperative dyspnea at rest, and a prolonged operative time. On univariate analysis, patients with liver disease had a greater incidence of cardiac complications, pulmonary complications, renal complications, blood transfusion, sepsis, urinary tract infection, and prolonged hospitalization. On adjusted multivariate regression analysis, liver disease was independently associated with renal complications, pulmonary complications, sepsis, urinary tract infection, prolonged hospitalization, and blood transfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

As the long-term survival of patients with liver disease continues to increase, a better understanding of the relationship between liver dysfunction and surgical outcomes is needed. The identification of modifiable risk factors would allow them to be addressed and optimized preoperatively to decrease the incidence and severity of complications and improve patient outcomes after PLF.

Adverse events in brain tumor surgery: incidence, type, and impact on current quality metrics

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to determine pre-operative factors associated with adverse events occurring within 30 days after neurosurgical tumor treatment in a German center, adjusting for their incidence in order to prospectively compare different centers.

METHODS

Adult patients that were hospitalized due to a benign or malignant brain were retrospectively assessed for quality indicators and adverse events. Analyses were performed in order to determine risk factors for adverse events and reasons for readmission and reoperation.

RESULTS

A total of 2511 cases were enrolled. The 30 days unplanned readmission rate to the same hospital was 5.7%. The main reason for readmission was tumor progression. Every 10th patient had an unplanned reoperation. The incidence of surgical revisions due to infections was 2.3%. Taking together all monitored adverse events, male patients had a higher risk for any of these complications (OR 1.236, 95%CI 1.025-1.490, p = 0.027). Age, sex, and histological diagnosis were predictors of experiencing any complication. Adjusted by incidence, the increased risk ratios greater than 10.0% were found for male sex, age, metastatic tumor, and hemiplegia for various quality indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that most predictors of outcome rates are based on preoperative underlying medical conditions and are not modifiable by the surgeon. Comparing our results to the literature, we conclude that differences in readmission and reoperation rates are strongly influenced by standards in decision making and that comparison of outcome rates between different health-care providers on an international basis is challenging. Each health-care system has to develop own metrics for risk adjustment that require regular reassessment.

Can Machine Learning Methods Produce Accurate and Easy-to-use Prediction Models of 30-day Complications and Mortality After Knee or Hip Arthroplasty?

BACKGROUND

Existing universal and procedure-specific surgical risk prediction models of death and major complications after elective total joint arthroplasty (TJA) have limitations including poor transparency, poor to modest accuracy, and insufficient validation to establish performance across diverse settings. Thus, the need remains for accurate and validated prediction models for use in preoperative management, informed consent, shared decision-making, and risk adjustment for reimbursement.

QUESTIONS/PURPOSES

The purpose of this study was to use machine learning methods and large national databases to develop and validate (both internally and externally) parsimonious risk-prediction models for mortality and complications after TJA.

METHODS

Preoperative demographic and clinical variables from all 107,792 nonemergent primary THAs and TKAs in the 2013 to 2014 American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) were evaluated as predictors of 30-day death and major complications. The NSQIP database was chosen for its high-quality data on important outcomes and rich characterization of preoperative demographic and clinical predictors for demographically and geographically diverse patients. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, a type of machine learning that optimizes accuracy and parsimony, was used for model development. Tenfold validation was used to produce C-statistics, a measure of how well models discriminate patients who experience an outcome from those who do not. External validation, which evaluates the generalizability of the models to new data sources and patient groups, was accomplished using data from the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP). Models previously developed from VASQIP data were also externally validated using NSQIP data to examine the generalizability of their performance with a different group of patients outside the VASQIP context.

RESULTS

The models, developed using LASSO regression with diverse clinical (for example, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, comorbidities) and demographic (for example, age, gender) inputs, had good accuracy in terms of discriminating the likelihood a patient would experience, within 30 days of arthroplasty, a renal complication (C-statistic, 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.80), death (0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.76), or a cardiac complication (0.73; 95% CI, 0.71-0.75) from one who would not. By contrast, the models demonstrated poor accuracy for venous thromboembolism (C-statistic, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.60-0.62) and any complication (C-statistic, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.63-0.65). External validation of the NSQIP- derived models using VASQIP data found them to be robust in terms of predictions about mortality and cardiac complications, but not for predicting renal complications. Models previously developed with VASQIP data had poor accuracy when externally validated with NSQIP data, suggesting they should not be used outside the context of the Veterans Health Administration.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderately accurate predictive models of 30-day mortality and cardiac complications after elective primary TJA were developed as well as internally and externally validated. To our knowledge, these are the most accurate and rigorously validated TJA-specific prediction models currently available (http://med.stanford.edu/s-spire/Resources/clinical-tools-.html). Methods to improve these models, including the addition of nonstandard inputs such as natural language processing of preoperative clinical progress notes or radiographs, should be pursued as should the development and validation of models to predict longer term improvements in pain and function.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, diagnostic study.

Scoping Review of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program in Plastic Surgery Research

BACKGROUND

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) is a robust, high-quality surgical outcomes database that measures risk-adjusted 30-day outcomes of surgical interventions. The purpose of this scoping review is to describe how the NSQIP is being used in plastic surgery research.

METHODS

A comprehensive electronic literature search was completed in PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, and CINAHL. Two reviewers independently reviewed articles to determine their relevance using predefined inclusion criteria. Articles were included if they utilized NSQIP data to conduct research in a domain of plastic surgery or analyzed surgical procedures completed by plastic surgeons. Extracted information included the domain of plastic surgery, country of origin, journal, and year of publication.

RESULTS

A total of 106 articles met the inclusion criteria. The most common domain of plastic surgery was breast reconstruction representing 35% of the articles. Of the 106 articles, 95% were published within the last 5 years. The Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery journal published most of the (59%) NSQIP-related articles. All of the studies were retrospective. Of note, there were no articles on burns and only one study on trauma as the domain of plastic surgery.

CONCLUSION

This scoping review describes how NSQIP data are being used to analyze plastic surgery interventions and outcomes in order to guide quality improvement in 106 articles. It demonstrates the utility of NSQIP in the literature, however also identifies some limitations of the program as it applies to plastic surgery.

Predictors of 30-day morbidity after hysterectomy for benign disease

OBJECTIVE

To determine the 30-day morbidity rate after hysterectomy for benign disease and identify predictors of 30-day morbidity.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted among women undergoing hysterectomy for benign indications between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2015, at Konkuk University Hospital, South Korea. Multivariable regression analysis identified independent factors for morbidity.

RESULTS

1609 women were included. 30-day morbidity rates were 4.5% (n=72) for the whole cohort: 7.5% (28/371), 3.2% (22/686), and 4.0% (22/552) for abdominal hysterectomy, laparoscopic-assisted vaginal hysterectomy (LAVH), and vaginal hysterectomy, respectively. The most common 30-day postoperative morbidities were urinary complications (1.2%, 20/1609), wound infection (0.9%, 14/1609), and blood transfusion more than 4 units (0.7%, 11/1609). In multivariate regression analysis, Charlson comorbidity index of 2 or more, operative time, and estimated blood loss were independently associated with morbidity. Propensity score-matching indicated no difference in morbidity rates for the abdominal hysterectomy and LAVH or vaginal hysterectomy groups (P=0.351), whereas the LAVH or vaginal hysterectomy groups were more strongly associated with operation time, estimated blood loss, and length of postoperative hospital stay.

CONCLUSION

Comorbidity index, operative time, and blood loss were independently associated with morbidity following hysterectomy. These findings supported the preoperative optimization of comorbidities and the appropriate selection of surgical approaches.

Characteristics Associated with Prolonged Length of Stay after Myomectomy for Uterine Myomas

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To identify factors contributing to prolonged hospitalization for women undergoing myomectomy for uterine myomas.

PATIENTS

Women undergoing myomectomy for uterine myomas during 2014 to 2016 were identified by the Current Procedural Terminology code.

DESIGN

Retrospective population-based analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.

SETTING

Data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was length of stay longer than the median (1 day). Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables were examined to determine predictors for prolonged length of stay (LOS). Seven thousand five hundred thirty-one women underwent abdominal or laparoscopic myomectomy for uterine myomas. Nonwhite race (black: odds ratio [OR] = 2.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.01-2.51; Asian: OR = 1.54; 95% CI, 1.27-1.85; other/unknown: OR = 2.82; 95% CI, 2.43-3.27), preoperative hematocrit <38% (OR = 1.38; 95% CI, 1.26-1.52), body mass index ≥30.1 kg/m² (OR = 1.36; 95% CI, 1.21-1.53), preoperative blood transfusion (OR = 3.70; 95% CI, 2.03-6.74), perioperative blood transfusion (OR = 6.64; 95% CI, 4.76-9.27), removal of ≥5 myomas (OR = 1.47; 95% CI, 1.28-1.70), and operative time >120 minutes (121-150 minutes: OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.15-1.77; 151-180 minutes: OR = 1.59; 95% CI, 1.24-2.03; ≥181 minutes: OR = 1.36; 95% CI, 1.10-1.69) predicted prolonged LOS. Laparoscopy protected against prolonged LOS (OR = 0.11; 95% CI, 0.09-0.13).

CONCLUSIONS

Limited potentially modifiable perioperative factors contributing to prolonged LOS for abdominal or laparoscopic myomectomy were identified and suggest areas for targeted interventions.

Comparative Analysis of Short-Term Postoperative Complications in Outpatient Versus Inpatient Total Ankle Arthroplasty: A Database Study

Ankle arthritis is a potentially debilitating disease, with approximately 50,000 cases diagnosed annually. One treatment option for these patients is total ankle arthroplasty (TAA). This procedure has historically been performed in the inpatient setting with a 1-2-night postoperative hospital stay. Outpatient surgeries are gaining popularity due to their cost effectiveness, decreased length of hospital stay, and convenience. Therefore it is important to evaluate the safety of specific procedures in the outpatient setting compared with the inpatient setting. This study evaluated the complication rates in inpatient versus outpatient TAA. It analyzed data from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program for 591 patients who received TAA. Postoperative complication rates were compared between 66 outpatients and 535 inpatients. Frequencies of the following complications were analyzed: wound complications, pneumonia, hematologic complications (pulmonary embolism and deep vein thrombosis), renal failure, stroke, and return to the operating room within 30 days. Unadjusted direct comparisons of the cohorts revealed higher complication rates in the inpatient cohort. Inpatients had higher rates of superficial surgical site infections, deep surgical site infections, number of organ/space surgical site infections, pneumonia occurrences, and return to the operating room, but these differences were not significant. These results showed no significant increase in complication rates in outpatients compared to inpatients. Our results suggest that inpatient and outpatient TAA show similar complication rates. This suggests that outpatient TAA is safe and may be a superior option for certain populations. Further investigation is warranted to verify these conclusions.

Patient Frailty Should Be Used to Individualize Treatment Decisions in Primary Hyperparathyroidism

BACKGROUND

Primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT) is a common endocrine disorder that predominantly affects patients >60 and is increasing in prevalence. Identifying risk factors for poor outcomes after parathyroidectomy in older adults will help tailor operative decision making. The impact of frailty on surgical outcomes in parathyroidectomy has not been established.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of patients ≥40 years who underwent parathyroidectomy in the 2005-2010 ACS NSQIP. Frailty was assessed using the modified frailty index (mFI). Multivariable regression was used to determine the association of frailty with 30-day complications, length of stay (LOS), and reoperation.

RESULTS

We identified 13,123 patients ≥40 who underwent parathyroidectomy for PHPT. The majority of patients were not frail, with 80% with a low NSQIP mFI score (0-1 frailty traits), 19% with an intermediate mFI score (2-3), and 0.9% with a high mFI score (≥4). Overall 30-day complications were rare, occurring in 141 (1.1%) patients. Increasing frailty was associated with an increased risk of complications with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 1.76 (95% CI 1.20-2.59; p = 0.004) for intermediate and 8.43 (95% CI 4.33-16.41; p < 0.001) for high mFI score. Patient age was independently associated with an increased risk of complications only when ≥75, as was African-American race. Anesthesia with local, monitored anesthesia care, or regional block was the only factor associated with decreased odds of complications. A high NSQIP mFI was also associated with a significant 4.77-day adjusted increase in LOS (95% CI 4.28-5.25; p < 0.001) and increased odds of reoperation (OR 4.20, 95% CI 1.64-10.74; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Patient frailty is associated with increased complications, reoperation and prolonged LOS in patients undergoing parathyroidectomy for PHPT. The risks of surgical management should be weighed against potential benefits in frail patients with PHPT to individualize treatment decisions in this vulnerable population.

Is VTE Prophylaxis Necessary on Discharge for Patients Undergoing Adrenalectomy for Cushing Syndrome?

Background

Patients with Cushing syndrome (CS) have an increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, it is unclear whether patients undergoing adrenalectomy for CS are at increased risk for postoperative VTE. The aim of this study was to determine the rate of postoperative VTE in patients undergoing adrenalectomy for CS.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of patients in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database who underwent adrenalectomy from 2005 to 2016 was performed. We compared the clinical characteristics and 30-day postoperative VTE occurrence in patients with and without CS.

Results

A total of 4217 patients were analyzed; 2607 (61.8%) were female and 310 (7.4%) had CS. The overall prevalence of postoperative VTE was 1.0% (n = 45). The rates of VTE were higher in patients with CS (2.6% vs 0.9%; P = 0.007). In the two groups, CS was associated with younger age, increased body mass index, and diabetes mellitus (P < 0.001). CS was also associated with longer length of operation and longer hospital length of stay (P < 0.001). In the subgroup of patients who had diagnosed VTE, CS was associated with longer length of operation (P < 0.001). Rates of laparoscopic vs open surgery were equivalent between patients with and without CS, and VTE events did not differ. The median time to VTE event was 14.5 days (range, 1 to 23 days) in the CS group and 4 days (range, 2 to 25 days) in the group without CS.

Conclusions

The prevalence of postoperative VTE was increased in patients undergoing adrenalectomy for CS. In patients with CS undergoing adrenalectomy, VTE prophylaxis for 28 days should be considered upon discharge.

Pediatric Surgical Risk Assessment Tools: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Pediatric surgical risk assessment tools use patient- and procedure-specific variables to predict postoperative complications. These tools assist clinicians in preoperative counseling and surgical decision-making. The objective of this systematic literature review was to compile and compare existing pediatric surgical risk tools that are broadly applicable across pediatric surgical specialties.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews (PRISMA) guidelines. Relevant publications were identified and screened based on predefined eligibility criteria: (1) a preoperative risk assessment tool predicting postoperative complications or mortality, (2) applicable across various surgical specialties, and (3) pertinent to the pediatric population. Studies with specialty- or procedure-specific risk scores and validation studies were excluded. Included articles were assessed for quality and risk of bias by using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

RESULTS

Four studies met inclusion criteria. Risk factors were evaluated across the models as proxies for operative suitability of patients before surgery. Risk factors common to all studies were the presence of cardiovascular or neurological diseases and history of prematurity. Three of the four included studies defined most risk factors in binary terms, whereas one study used a scale of severity of organ system disease when defining preoperative risk. Generated risk score models provided good to strong concordance with inpatient mortality or postoperative complications, with c-statistic values ranging from 0.77 to 0.98.

CONCLUSIONS

Each study reported an assessment of a novel, generally applicable pediatric surgical risk assessment tool for risk-stratifying children preoperatively for complications that rise after surgery. More studies are needed to assess generalizability in all populations and procedures.

The Effects of Chronic Preoperative Steroid Therapy on Perioperative Complications Following Elective Posterior Lumbar Fusion

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES

Chronic steroid therapy is used in the treatment of various inflammatory and autoimmune conditions, but it is known to be associated with adverse effects. There remains a gap in the literature regarding the role of chronic steroid therapy in predisposing patients to perioperative complications following elective posterior lumbar fusion (PLF). We aimed to identify the effects of chronic preoperative steroid therapy on 30-day perioperative complications in patients undergoing PLF.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed using the 2011-2014 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. We identified 22 903 patients who underwent elective PLF. There were 849 patients (3.7%) who received chronic preoperative steroid therapy. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to examine steroid therapy as an independent risk factor for 30-day perioperative complications. A subgroup analysis of patients on chronic steroid therapy was then performed to identify additional patient characteristics that further increased the risk for perioperative complications.

RESULTS

Chronic preoperative steroid therapy was an independent risk factor for 7 perioperative complications, including superficial surgical site infection (SSI), deep SSI, wound dehiscence, urinary tract infection, pulmonary embolism, nonhome discharge, and readmission. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that morbid obesity further predisposed patients on chronic steroid therapy to an increased risk of superficial SSI and wound dehiscence.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients on chronic preoperative steroid therapy are at increased risk of multiple perioperative complications following elective PLF, particularly surgical site complications and venous thromboembolic events. This risk is further elevated in patients who are morbidly obese.

Outcomes of Ileal Pouch Excision: an American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) Analysis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to define the incidence and risk factors of postoperative morbidity and mortality after pouch excision (PE).

METHODS

ACS-NSQIP database was queried for patients who underwent PE between 2005 and 2015. Main outcome measures were 30-day mortality, major morbidity, overall surgical site infections (SSI), reoperation, and length of stay (LOS). Risk factors associated with these outcomes were assessed using multivariate logistic or quantile regression.

RESULTS

Three hundred eighty-one patients underwent PE (mean age 47.7(±15.3) years; 51.7% female). Mean body mass index (BMI) was 24.6(±5.7) kg/m², 55.4% were ASA class 1-2 and 18.4% were immunosuppressed. Mean operative time was 252(±112.7) min, 98% were elective cases, and median LOS was 7(5-11) days. Twenty-eight percent experienced major morbidity, including SSIs (21.5% overall, 9.2% superficial, 3.7% deep, 10.3% organ space), sepsis (9.5%), urinary tract infection (5.8%), and postoperative pneumonia (2.4%). The observed venous thromboembolism rate was low, with 0.5 and 0.8% of patients suffering pulmonary embolism and deep vein thrombosis, respectively; 5.5% required reoperation. Postoperative mortality was 0.8%. On multivariate logistic regression, smoking (OR 3.03 [95% CI 1.56, 5.88]) and operative time (OR 1.003 [95% CI 1.0003, 1.0005) were associated with increased odds of major morbidity. Smoking (OR 3.29 [95% CI 1.65, 6.54]) and operative time (OR 1.002 [95% CI 1.000, 1.004]) were independent risk factors for overall SSI. LOS was significantly increased in patients with major morbidity (3.29 days [95% CI 1.60, 4.99]) and increased operative time (0.013 days [95% CI 0.007, 0.018]).

CONCLUSIONS

PE is an operation with significant risk of morbidity. However, mortality was low in the present cohort of patients. Patients who were smokers and had longer operative time had increased risk of overall infectious complications and major morbidity. Furthermore, major morbidity and operative time were associated with increased hospital length of stay following PE.

Risk Factors for Perioperative Complications in Morbidly Obese Patients Undergoing Elective Posterior Lumbar Fusion

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of obesity-related low back pain and degenerative disc disease is on the rise. Past studies have demonstrated that obesity is associated with higher perioperative complication rates, but there remains a gap in the literature regarding additional risk factors that further predispose this already high-risk patient population to poor surgical outcomes following elective posterior lumbar fusion (PLF). The aim of the study is to identify independent risk factors for poor 30-day perioperative outcomes in morbidly obese patients undergoing elective PLF.

METHODS

We identified 22 909 patients in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database who underwent elective PLF. There were 1861 morbidly obese patients. Baseline patient demographics and medical comorbidities were collected. Univariate analysis was performed to compare perioperative complication rates between non-morbidly obese and morbidly obese patients. The 5 most common complications in the morbidly obese group were then selected for multivariate regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for poor 30-day outcomes.

RESULTS

Morbidly obese patients had a higher perioperative complication rate. The 5 most common complications were prolonged hospitalization, blood transfusion, readmission, wound complications, and reoperation. Independent risk factors for these complications were age ≥65 years, super obesity (ie, BMI > 48.6), chronic steroid use, American Society of Anesthesiology classification ≥3, poor functional status, long length of fusion ≥4 levels, and extended operative time (ie, operative time ≥318 minutes).

CONCLUSIONS

Morbidly obese patients are at higher risk of perioperative complications following elective PLF. Modifiable risk factors for the most common complications are obesity and preoperative steroid use.

Quality Anesthesia

Quality has been defined by six domains: effective, equitable, timely, efficient, safe, and patient centered. Quality of anesthesia care can be improved through measurement, either through local measures in quality improvement or through national measures in value-based purchasing programs. Death directly related to anesthesia care has been reduced, but must be measured beyond simple mortality. To improve perioperative care for our patients, we must take shared accountability for all surgical outcomes including complications, which has traditionally been viewed as being surgically related. Anesthesiologists can also impact public health by being engaged in improving cognitive recovery after surgery and addressing the opiate crisis. Going forward, we must focus on what patients want and deserve: improved patient-oriented outcomes and satisfaction with our care. By listening to our patients and being engaged in the entire perioperative process, we can make the greatest impact on perioperative care.

Process improvement strategies: Designing and implementing quality improvement research

Quality improvement (QI) is the practice of continuously evaluating and improving the quality of health care that is delivered to patients. In this article, we will use practical examples to show how quality improvement projects have improved surgical patient care, and can be shared between institutions to accelerate the pace of improvement. We will explain the differences between quality improvement and research, and describe the methodological approach to performing and reporting quality improvement projects. Finally, we will describe ways to disseminate and widely implement changes in clinical practice using QI methodology. Even if they are not initiating and developing QI projects, all surgeons are likely to be affected by improvement initiatives going on in their hospitals, and should understand their valuable contribution to patient care.

Mortality and morbidity after pancreatoduodenectomy in patients undergoing hemodialysis: Analysis using a national inpatient database

BACKGROUND

Whether patients undergoing hemodialysis have greater risks of mortality and morbidity after pancreatoduodenectomy remains unknown.

METHODS

We used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a national Japanese inpatient database, to identify patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy from July 2010 to March 2015. We conducted propensity-score-matching analyses to compare the outcomes, including postoperative complications and 30- and 90-day mortality after pancreatoduodenectomy between patients with and without hemodialysis.

RESULTS

Of 30,495 eligible patients, 307 (1.0%) received hemodialysis. In the unmatched cohort, the proportions of male sex, younger age, pancreatic cancer, ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension were greater in patients with hemodialysis than those without hemodialysis. A 1-to-4 propensity score matching created a total of 1,535 patients, including 307 with hemodialysis and 1,228 without hemodialysis. Patients undergoing hemodialysis had greater proportions of postoperative complications, including peritonitis (8.8% vs 4.8%, P = .012), sepsis or disseminated intravascular coagulation (3.6% vs 0.7%, P = .001), intra-abdominal bleeding (4.9% vs 0.7%, P < .001), and acute coronary event (4.2% vs 1.7%, P = .015). Propensity score matching showed that patients undergoing hemodialysis had an increased risk of postoperative complications (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.23-2.14; P = .001), 30-day mortality (OR, 7.45; 95% CI, 3.26-17.0; P < .001), and 90-day mortality (OR, 10.9; 95% CI, 6.58-18.2; P < .001) than those not undergoing hemodialysis.

CONCLUSION

Patients undergoing hemodialysis had a significantly increased risk of postoperative complications and death after pancreatoduodenectomy. In particular, surgeons should consider the increased risk of intra-abdominal bleeding, peritonitis, sepsis or disseminated intravascular coagulation, and acute coronary event in patients with hemodialysis.