Atrial fibrillation as an independent risk factor for stroke: the Framingham Study

Influence of atrial fibrillation on the morbido-mortality of patients on hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

The consequences of atrial fibrillation (AF) on morbido-mortality of patients on hemodialysis have not been fully explored. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of AF in patients on hemodialysis and to evaluate its influence on the development of thromboembolic phenomena (TEP).

METHODS

The incidence of AF in 190 patients in our hemodialysis program was assessed, and the patients were followed up for 1 year. Pertinent demographic and biochemical parameters were entered into univariate and multivariate statistical analyses to evaluate associations with overall mortality and TEP such as cerebrovascular accident, transitory ischemic accident, or peripheral embolism.

RESULTS

In 13.6% of patients, AF was found; 9.4% of these were of the permanent type. In the multivariate analysis, only increased age was associated with a higher probability of having arrhythmia (odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.17; P =.003). During follow-up, 23% of the patients with AF died compared with 6% of those in sinus rhythm (P <.05), although AF did not appear to be an independent predictive factor for death. Thirty-five percent of the patients with AF and 4% with sinus rhythm had TEP (P <.01). In the multivariate analysis, AF was identified as the only independent predictor for TEP (odds ratio, 8; 95% CI, 2.3-27; P =.0008).

CONCLUSIONS

AF is a frequent arrhythmia in patients on hemodialysis, and approximately 1 in 3 hemodialysis patients with AF had thromboembolic complications within 1 year of follow-up. These findings suggest that the consensus contraindication of prophylactic anticoagulation therapy for this group of patients may need to be redefined.

Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) in atrial fibrillation

Transesophageal echocardiography has given new insight into the pathogenesis of the thromboembolic sequelae of AF and expanded the available therapeutic options. Studies to date indicate that TEE-guided cardioversion is a safe and reasonable approach when the clinical situation warrants prompt restoration of sinus rhythm. Whether widespread use of this strategy offers further benefit remains to be established, although there are theoretical advantages to such an approach. The potential for earlier cardioversion using a TEE-guided approach may facilitate the achievement and maintenance of sinus rhythm. In the long term, earlier restoration of sinus rhythm prevents adverse atrial remodeling, lowers embolic risk, and may improve cardiac performance and functional status. Thromboembolic sequelae (either cardioversion-related or as a result of chronic AF) remain the most devastating complications of AF. Every attempt to minimize this risk should be pursued aggressively. Information gathered from TEE has helped to elucidate the mechanisms responsible for postcardioversion embolism and has emphasized the importance of anticoagulation during and after the restoration of sinus rhythm. TEE also has the potential to further risk stratify patients with AF. Ultimately, a subset of patients may be identified who require more intense anticoagulation (i.e., those with dense SEC or thrombus, or persistent thrombus after prolonged anticoagulation) or in whom cardioversion may be deferred entirely. Likewise, TEE also may prove to be useful in identifying patients with a low-clinical risk profile who may be treated with aspirin alone and patients in whom warfarin may be superior. The results of the ACUTE study should help to further define the role of TEE in the management of patients with AF. Additional clinical studies are needed to address some of the issues that have been raised and to allow for optimal use of TEE in this patient population.

Effect of degree of blood pressure on the hypercoagulable state in chronic atrial fibrillation

To investigate the hypothesis that higher levels of blood pressure would further promote the hypercoagulable state in atrial fibrillation (AF) by increasing the degree of hemostatic abnormalities, we studied 82 consecutive patients with chronic nonvalvular AF who were not taking antithrombotic therapy. Patients with AF had higher levels of plasma fibrin D-dimer, von Willebrand factor, and fibrinogen than controls in sinus rhythm, and no differences between tertiles of either systolic, diastolic, or mean blood pressure were found, suggesting other mechanisms may be contributing to the hypercoagulable state in AF.

Development of a decision aid for atrial fibrillation who are considering antithrombotic therapy

With patients demanding a greater role in the clinical decision-making process, many researchers are developing and disseminating decision aids for various medical conditions. In this article, we outline the essential elements in the development and evaluation of a decision aid to help patients with atrial fibrillation choose, in consultation with their physicians, appropriate antithrombotic therapy (warfarin, aspirin, or no therapy) to prevent stroke. We also outline possible future directions regarding the implementation and evaluation of this decision aid. This information should enable clinicians to better understand the role that decision aids may have in their interactions with patients.

Cost effectiveness of therapies for atrial fibrillation. A review

Atrial fibrillation is the most common supraventricular tachyarrhythmia encountered in clinical practice, affecting over 5% of persons over the age of 65 years. A common pathophysiological mechanism for arrhythmia development is atrial distention and fibrosis induced by hypertension, coronary artery disease or ventricular dysfunction. Less frequently, atrial fibrillation is caused by mitral stenosis or other provocative factors such as thyrotoxicosis, pericarditis or alcohol intoxication. Depending on the extent of associated cardiovascular disease, atrial fibrillation may produce haemodynamic compromise, or symptoms such as palpitations, fatigue, chest pain or dyspnoea. Arrhythmia-induced atrial stasis can precipitate clot formation and the potential for subsequent thromboembolism. Comprehensive management of atrial fibrillation requires a multifaceted approach directed at controlling symptoms, protecting the patient from ischaemic stroke or peripheral embolism and possible conversion to or maintenance of sinus rhythm. Numerous randomised trials have demonstrated the efficacy of warfarin--and less so aspirin (acetylsalicylic acid)--in reducing the risk of embolic events. Furthermore, therapeutic strategies exist that can favourably modify symptoms by restoring and maintaining sinus rhythm with cardioversion and antiarrhythmic prophylaxis. However, the risks and benefits of various treatments is highly dependent on patient-specific features, emphasising the need for an individualised approach. This article reviews the findings of cost-effectiveness studies published over the past decade that have evaluated different components of treatment strategies for atrial fibrillation. These studies demonstrate the economic attractiveness of acute management options, long term warfarin prophylaxis, telemetry-guided initiation of antiarrhythmic therapy, approaches to restore and maintain sinus rhythm, and the potential role of transoesophageal echocardiographic screening for atrial thrombus prior to pharmacological or electrical cardioversion. Further, we discuss the merits and limitations of the cost-effectiveness analyses in the context of overall treatment strategies. Finally, we identify areas that will require additional research to achieve the goal of effective and economically efficient management of atrial fibrillation.

Incidence, predictive factors, and prognostic significance of supraventricular tachyarrhythmias in congestive heart failure

BACKGROUND

The incidence, predictive factors, morbidity, and mortality associated with the development of supraventricular tachyarrhythmias (SVTs) in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) are poorly defined.

METHODS

In the Digitalis Investigation Group trial, patients with CHF who were in sinus rhythm were randomly assigned to digoxin (n = 3,889) or placebo (n = 3,899) and followed up for a mean of 37 months. Baseline factors that predicted the occurrence of SVT and the effects of SVT on total mortality, stroke, and hospitalization for worsening CHF were determined.

RESULTS

Eight hundred sixty-six patients (11.1%) had SVT during the study period. Older age (odds ratio [OR], 1.029 for each year increase in age; p = 0.0001), male sex (OR, 1.270; p = 0.0075), increasing duration of CHF (OR, 1.003 for each month increase in duration of CHF; p = 0.0021), and a cardiothoracic ratio of > 0.50 (OR, 1.403; p = 0.0001) predicted an increased risk of experiencing SVT. Left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association functional class, and treatment with digoxin vs placebo were not related to the occurrence of SVT. After adjustment for other risk factors, development of SVT predicted a greater risk of subsequent total mortality (risk ratio [RR] = 2.451; p = 0.0001), stroke (RR = 2.352; p = 0.0001), and hospitalization for worsening CHF (RR = 3. 004; p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In CHF patients in sinus rhythm, older age, male sex, longer duration of CHF, and increased cardiothoracic ratio predict an increased risk for experiencing SVT. Development of SVT is a strong independent predictor of mortality, stroke, and hospitalization for CHF in this population. Prevention of SVT may prolong survival and reduce morbidity in CHF patients.

The impairment of health-related quality of life in patients with intermittent atrial fibrillation: implications for the assessment of investigational therapy

OBJECTIVES

We sought to assess the impact of intermittent atrial fibrillation (AF) on health-related quality of life (QoL).

BACKGROUND

Intermittent AF is a common condition with little data on health-related QoL questionnaires to guide investigational therapies.

METHODS

Outpatients from four centers, with documented AF (n = 152), completed validated QoL questionnaires (Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36 [SF-36], Specific Activity, Symptom Checklist, Illness Intrusiveness and University of Toronto AF Severity Scales). Comparison groups were made up of healthy individuals (n = 47) and four cardiac control groups: published (n = 78) and created for study (n = 69) percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA); published heart failure (n = 216) and published postmyocardial infarction (MI) (n = 107).

RESULTS

Across all domains of the SF-36, AF patients reported substantially worse QoL than healthy controls (1.3 to 2.0 standard deviation units), with scores of 24%, 23%, 16% and 30% lower than healthy individuals on measures of physical and social functioning, mental and general health, respectively (all p < 0.001). Patients with AF were either significantly worse (p < 0.05, published controls) or as impaired (study controls) as either PTCA or post-MI patients on all domains of the SF-36 and the same as heart failure controls on SF-36 psychological subscales. Patients with AF were as impaired or worse than study PTCA controls on measures of illness intrusiveness, activity limitations and symptoms. Associations between objective disease indexes and subjective QoL measures had poor correlations and accounted for <6% of the total variability in QoL scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Quality of life is as impaired in patients with intermittent AF as in patients with significant structural heart disease. Patients' perception of QoL is not dependent on the objective measures of disease severity that are usually employed.

Distinct increase in hematocrit associated with paroxysm of atrial fibrillation

In a previous study we found that hemoconcentration, which was identified by an increase in hematocrit, occured during a paroxysm of atrial fibrillation. In the present study we investigated the changes in hematocrit from sinus rhythm to paroxysm in 10 patients who had multiple paroxysms of atrial fibrillation in order to assess the ranges of the changes in hematocrit among the paroxysms. In these patients hematocrit was measured simultaneously with electrocardiographic recording during 3 or more paroxysms and sinus rhythm just before each paroxysm. The changes in hematocrit varied among the paroxysms. The maximum increase in hematocrit in each patient ranged from 3.5 to 8.0 points with an average of 5.1 points. Such a distinct increase in hematocrit which abruptly develops with a paroxysm of atrial fibrillation may be a potential risk for thrombus formation.

Adequacy of anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation coming to a hospital

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the adequacy of anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) coming to a hospital.

DESIGN

Retrospective medical record review.

SETTING

Tertiary care hospital.

PATIENTS

Consecutive patients with a history of AF who had been prescribed warfarin and who had the international normalized ratio (INR) measured when they arrived at the hospital. Those who developed AF as a complication during hospitalization were excluded.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Of 1085 patients, 375 (mean age 73 yrs, 56.3% men) were eligible for further evaluation. Most had nonvalvular AF; in 44.5% the INR was subtherapeutic, in 36.5% it was therapeutic, and in 18.9% it was supratherapeutic. Patients admitted for any thromboembolic event and for ischemic stroke were significantly more likely to have subtherapeutic INRs.

CONCLUSION

It is well documented in the literature that warfarin is underprescribed, but our results suggest that even in treated patients, about half are inadequately protected from thromboembolism.

Functional outcome in stroke patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

To identify the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a sample of stroke patients and to evaluate the impact of AF on patient clinical characteristics and functional outcome.

DESIGN

A retrospective case-comparison study.

SETTING

University-affiliated rehabilitation centers.

PARTICIPANTS

One hundred ninety-six of 231 consecutive stroke patients admitted to inpatient rehabilitation units were evaluated during the rehabilitation period.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Characteristics of cerebral lesions, patient demographic features, disease duration, length of hospital stay (LOS), risk factors for stroke, and functional status at admission and at discharge were assessed and compared in patients with and without AF. Functional Independence Measure (FIM) and Adapted Patient Evaluation Conference System (APECS) were used to evaluate functional status.

RESULTS

AF was diagnosed in 41 (20.1%) patients. Patients who had AF were more likely to have ischemic cerebral lesions. There were no significant differences between the AF and non-AF groups with regard to mean age, LOS, and disease duration. Ischemic and valvular heart disease were more common in patients with AF. Based on FIM and APECS scores, both initial and discharge disability were more severe in patients with AF. In a multivariate model, AF was a negative prognostic factor for functional outcome in stroke patients.

CONCLUSION

AF is not only associated with increased risk of stroke, but also with markedly greater disability in stroke patients. Factors such as size and type of cerebral lesions, stroke severity, comorbid conditions, and impact of AF on systemic and cerebral circulation can influence stroke recovery.

Management of arrythmias

The management of arrhythmias in elderly patients with congestive heart failure, including atrial fibrillation, ventricular tachyarrhythmias, and bradyarrhythmias, is described. Patients with atrial fibrillation can be treated with rate control anticoagulation for stroke prevention or by attempt at cardioversion and maintenance of sinus rhythm. Elderly patients remaining in atrial fibrillation benefit from anticoagulation provided that no contraindication exists. In patients surviving malignant ventricular arrhythmias, defibrillator implantation is beneficial in elderly patients with heart failure. Prognosis and treatment of nonsustained arrhythmias depends on the presence of underlying cardiac abnormalities. In the healthy elderly population, treatment is not indicated. In patients with coronary artery disease, decreased ejection fraction, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, electrophysiology can further stratify risk, and defibrillator implantation can improve survival if arrhythmias are induced. This benefit is as great in elderly patients as in younger patients. Symptomatic bradycardias are increasingly common with advancing age. Symptoms are improved with pacing, with maximum benefit from physiologic rather than ventricular pacing. Although the elderly population poses a unique challenge when faced with arrhythmias, an active approach not only saves lives but also reduces morbidity.

Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation will present the most significant arrhythmia management challenge for clinicians in the new millennium, particularly as the percentage of elderly patients and longevity increase worldwide. The clinical manifestations of the arrhythmia are wide ranging: paroxysmal to permanent modes of occurrence and asymptomatic to severely symptomatic presentations. Perhaps most important, the major risks of atrial fibrillation are stroke and death. Current therapies remain heavily focused on pharmacologic efforts to reduce the severity of primary symptoms and to prevent stroke and other thromboembolic complications by means of anticoagulation. It has not yet been proven that prevention of atrial fibrillation will prolong survival, however. Nonpharmacologic therapies remain under intense basic and clinical investigation as promising means to improve outcome further for patients suffering from atrial fibrillation.

Which acute stroke patients with atrial fibrillation are prescribed warfarin therapy? Results from one-year's experience in Dundee

The recommended treatment of ischaemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is anticoagulation therapy with warfarin sodium and if this is contraindicated then aspirin should be used. The management of patients on warfarin therapy can be complicated and there is a risk of intra-cranial haemorrhage in elderly patients. However, these are the patients who stand to gain the most benefit from this treatment and therefore increased use of warfarin for secondary prophylaxis is likely to lead to a lower rate of subsequent admissions and less morbidity. The recommended treatment for these patients has often not been fully instigated in practice. This study was carried out in order to determine whether a group of patients admitted to a teaching hospital with diagnosis of ischaemic stroke and atrial fibrillation received appropriate antithrombotic therapy. Details of patients admitted with acute stroke during 1997 were obtained from the Dundee Stroke Database and information was extracted from the relevant clinical notes. Twenty-five out of 42 patients (60%) were considered eligible for anticoagulation and 14 out of those 25 (56%) were found to be on warfarin either on admission or subsequently. Of patients aged less than 75 years, 8/10 (80%) were on warfarin, whereas only 6/15 (40%) of those aged 75 years and older were being anticoagulated.

Long-term predictors of stroke in a cohort of people aged 70 years

This paper aims at studying the development and the risk factors for stroke prospectively during a 6-year follow-up in the Turku Elderly Study, Turku, Finland. The study cohort consisted of 1032 people aged 70 years at baseline. The stroke events (ICD-9 codes 430-434) were identified by computer linkage from the hospital discharge and death registers, and from a follow-up questionnaire. During the 6 years of follow-up, 71 patients (6.9%) suffered a stroke. Previous stroke (RR 5.82), history of transient ischemic attack (RR 4.14), diabetes mellitus (RR 2.50), poorly controlled hypertension (RR 2.42), smoking (RR 1.94) and male sex (RR 1.65) were independent risk factors for stroke. Atrial fibrillation, cardiac failure and previous myocardial infarction did not appear to be significant independent predictors of stroke in the elderly. The risk of stroke in the elderly population appears to be strongly related to the concomitant clinical disease, and this should be remembered when identifying persons at increased risk of stroke. Poorly controlled hypertension was associated with an increased risk of stroke. Thus, achieving a good control of blood pressure in elderly hypertensives receiving treatment has the potential to prevent strokes.

A prospective, randomized controlled trial comparing the efficacy and safety of sotalol, amiodarone, and digoxin for the reversion of new-onset atrial fibrillation

STUDY OBJECTIVE

A prospective, randomized controlled trial of new-onset atrial fibrillation was conducted to compare the efficacy and safety of sotalol and amiodarone (active treatment) with rate control by digoxin alone for successful reversion to sinus rhythm at 48 hours.

METHODS

We prospectively randomly assigned 120 patients with atrial fibrillation of less than 24 hours' duration to treatment with sotalol, amiodarone, or digoxin using a single intravenous dose followed by 48 hours of oral treatment. Patients had ECG monitoring for 48 hours, and time of reversion, adequacy of rate control, and numbers of adverse events were compared. After 48 hours, those still in atrial fibrillation underwent cardioversion according to a standardized protocol. After 48 hours of therapy and attempted cardioversion, the number of patients whose rhythms had successfully reverted were compared.

RESULTS

There was a significant reduction in the time to reversion with both sotalol (13. 0+/-2.5 hours, P <.01) and amiodarone (18.1+/-2.9 hours, P <.05) treatment compared with digoxin only (26.9+/-3.4 hours). By 48 hours, the active treatment group was significantly more likely to have reverted to sinus rhythm than the rate control group (95% versus 78%, P <.05; risk ratio 5.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5 to 19.2 ). In those patients whose rhythms did not revert to sinus rhythm, there was superior ventricular rate control in the sotalol group at both 24 and 48 hours compared with those who received either amiodarone or digoxin. There were also fewer adverse events in the active treatment group compared with the rate control group.

CONCLUSION

Immediate pharmacologic therapy for new-onset atrial fibrillation with class III antiarrhythmic drugs (sotalol or amiodarone) improves complication-free 48-hour reversion rates compared with rate control with digoxin.

Observations on the transition from intermittent to permanent atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Quantitative data on the frequency with which transition from intermittent to permanent atrial fibrillation occurs are lacking. We conducted this study to determine the proportion of patients with intermittent atrial fibrillation who progress to permanent atrial fibrillation and to investigate baseline clinical characteristics that might predict such a progression.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 231 patients who were seen with intermittent atrial fibrillation at a university hospital-based clinic from January 1978 through December 1997. Patients' medical records and electrocardiograms were reviewed and data were collected for all clinic visits through May 1998. The proportion of patients who remained free of transition from intermittent to permanent atrial fibrillation was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the effect of some baseline characteristics on this transition.

RESULTS

The number of patients who remained free of transition from intermittent to permanent atrial fibrillation was 92% (95% confidence interval 88%-96%) at 1 year and 82% (95% confidence interval 75%-88%) at 4 years. Among 5 baseline characteristics (age, sex, structural heart disease, atrial fibrillation at presentation, and use of an antiarrhythmic medicine before presentation), the 2 significant predictors of progression from intermittent to permanent atrial fibrillation were age (P =.0003) and being in atrial fibrillation at presentation (P =.0006). The hazard ratio associated with 10 years of advancing age was 1.82 (95% confidence interval 1.31-2.51), and the hazard ratio associated with atrial fibrillation at presentation was 3.56 (95% confidence interval 1.73-7.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 18% of patients who had intermittent atrial fibrillation were permanently in atrial fibrillation after 4 years of follow-up. Age and being in atrial fibrillation at presentation were the only 2 important clinical variables identified in predicting such a progression.

The relationship between cholesterol and stroke: implications for antihyperlipidaemic therapy in older patients

Various studies on the relationship between serum cholesterol level and the risk of stroke have been published recently. Subsequent reviews have extrapolated information on stroke from the clinical trials originally aimed at lowering cholesterol for the primary and secondary prevention of myocardial infarction (MI) in middle-aged patients. We have reviewed the epidemiological knowledge on the relationship between serum cholesterol levels and stroke, and also focused on possible reduction of the risk of stroke with hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitor treatment. Possible benefits from such therapy are particularly relevant for the elderly population which is at particularly high risk for stroke. The effects of serum cholesterol levels on the risk for haemorrhagic and ischaemic stroke have been evaluated. Indirect epidemiological evidence indicates that serum levels of total cholesterol and its subfractions are determinants of stroke, but their associations are relatively weak. When exploring the possible association of serum cholesterol levels with the increased risk of stroke with aging, we concluded that, as in younger adults, elevated total cholesterol and decreased high density lipoprotein-cholesterol levels predispose to ischaemic stroke in the elderly. The mechanism through which serum cholesterol levels increase stroke risk is based on its actions on the artery walls. Indirect evidence suggests that the reduction in the stroke risk with HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors is larger than would be expected with reduction of elevated serum cholesterol level alone. Therefore, antioxidant and endothelium-stabilising properties of HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors may contribute in reducing the risk of stroke in recipients. Lowering high serum cholesterol with HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors has been beneficial in the primary and secondary prevention of MI. No trials have specifically tested the effect of cholesterol lowering with HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors on stroke occurrence. High serum cholesterol levels are a risk factor for ischaemic stroke, although the risk imparted is lower than that for MI. Although the relative risk of stroke associated with elevated serum cholesterol levels is only moderate, its population attributable risk is high given the increase in the elderly population worldwide. The effect of cholesterol reduction with HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors on prevention of ischaemic stroke should be evaluated in prospective, randomised, placebo-controlled trials in the elderly. The tolerability of lipid-lowering drugs in the elderly and the cost effectiveness of primary prevention of stroke using lipid-lowering drugs also needs to be assessed in the elderly.

Clinical relevance of silent atrial fibrillation: prevalence, prognosis, quality of life, and management

Although first described about 100yr ago, atrial fibrillation (AF) is now recognized as the most common of all arrhythmias. It has a substantial morbidity and presents a considerable health care burden. Improved diagnosis and an ageing population with an increased likelihood of underlying cardiac disease results in AF in more than 1% of population. AF is associated with an approximately two-fold increase in mortality, largely due to stroke which occurs at an annual rate of 5-7%. Another risk to survival is heart failure, which is aggravated by poor control of the ventricular rate during AF. Usually AF is associated with a variety of symptoms: palpitations, dyspnea, chest discomfort, fatigue, dizziness, and syncope. Paroxysmal AF is likely to be symptomatic and frequently presents with specific symptoms, while permanent AF is usually associated with less specific symptoms. However, in at least one third of patients, no obvious symptoms or noticeable degradation of quality of life are observed. This asymptomatic, or silent, AF is diagnosed incidentally during routine physical examinations, pre-operative assessments or population surveys. Recently, a very large incidence of generally short paroxysms of AF has been seen in patients with implantable pacemakers or defibrillators and these arrhythmias are often silent. Pharmacological suppression of arrhythmia may be associated with a conversion from a symptomatic to an asymptomatic form of AF. Holter monitoring and transtelephonic monitoring studies have demonstrated that asymptomatic episodes of AF exceed symptomatic paroxysms by twelve-fold or more. Although symptoms may not stem directly from AF, the risk of complications is probably the same for symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. AF is found incidentally in about 25% of admissions for a stroke. Studies in patients with little or no awareness of their arrhythmia condition indicate that unrecognized and untreated AF may cause congestive heart failure. In patients with coronary bypass, AF may not only represent risk for immediate postoperative morbidity and increase hospital resource utilization, but being unrecognized, may produce a significant impact on long-term survival and quality of life. Although silent AF merits consideration for anticoagulation and rate control therapy according to standard criteria, whether antiarrhythmic therapy is relevant in this condition remains unclear.

Use of oral anticoagulants in older patients

Recently published American and British guidelines have comprehensively reviewed the indications for long term anticoagulation. The best evidence currently available supports the use of long term oral anticoagulants in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), venous thromboembolic disease, ischaemic heart disease, mural thrombi, and mechanical heart valves. Selected patients with valvular heart disease, cerebral vascular disease, and peripheral arterial disease may also benefit from the use of these drugs. When no specific contraindications are present, elderly patients with either paroxysmal or persistent NVAF should be considered candidates for treatment with anticoagulants. Pooled analyses of the results from 9 randomised trials demonstrate that warfarin significantly reduces the risk of ischaemic stroke in patients with NVAF, particularly those in a 'high risk' category defined by the presence of additional clinical or echocardiographic risk factors. Long term anticoagulation does not appear to be justified in patients with NVAF considered to be at 'low risk' for stroke. Because the prevalence of NVAF and most other cardiovascular conditions increases with advancing age, many elderly patients will be candidates for thromboprophylaxis. The potential benefit of long term anticoagulation must be carefully weighed against the risk of serious haemorrhage in such patients. Bleeding complications with anticoagulant drugs appear to occur more frequently in older patients than in younger individuals. Advanced age (>75 years), intensity of anticoagulation [International Normalised Ratio (INR) >4.0], history of cerebral vascular disease (recent or remote), and concomitant use of drugs that interfere with haemostasis [aspirin (acetylsalicylic acid) or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs] are among the most important variables in determining an individual's risk for major bleeding with anticoagulants. Older patients often display increased sensitivity to the effects of warfarin, both in the early induction phase and during the long term maintenance phase of therapy. Conditions such as congestive heart failure, malignancy, malnutrition, diarrhoea and unsuspected vitamin K deficiency, enhance the prothrombin time response. The decision to interrupt anticoagulant therapy before elective surgery in elderly patients should evaluate the thrombotic risk of such a manoeuvre versus the risk of bleeding if anticoagulants are continued. In non-surgical patients, excessively elevated INRs without associated haemorrhage can usually be managed by simply witholding one or several doses of warfarin. If more rapid reversal is needed, small doses of phytomenadione (vitamin K1) can be administered safely without overcorrection or the development of vitamin K-induced warfarin resistance.

A cross-sectional and diurnal study of thrombogenesis among patients with chronic atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

First, we sought to determine whether there is diurnal variation in hemostatic factors related to thrombogenesis and hypercoagulability among patients with chronic atrial fibrillation (AF). Second, we sought to determine whether levels of soluble thrombomodulin (sTM), a marker of endothelial function, or soluble P-selectin (sP-sel), an index of platelet activation, are altered in patients with AF as compared with subjects in sinus rhythm.

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased risk of stroke and thromboembolism and is known to confer a hypercoagulable state, with abnormalities of thrombosis, platelet activation and endothelial cell function. Many cardiovascular events, such as acute myocardial infarction, have thrombosis as an underlying process, and they undergo diurnal variation.

METHODS

Fifty-two patients (45 men, mean [+/- SD] age 66 +/- 6 years) with chronic AF, none of whom received antithrombotic therapy, were studied. Baseline levels of fibrinogen, sP-sel, sTM and von Willebrand factor (vWF) were compared to those levels in matched healthy control subjects in sinus rhythm. In a subgroup of 20 patients, five venous blood samples were collected through an indwelling cannula at 6-h intervals from 12 PM to 12 PM the following day and were analyzed for the same markers.

RESULTS

Patients with chronic AF had higher plasma sP-sel, sTM, vWF and fibrinogen levels as compared with control subjects in sinus rhythm. Significant correlations were found between fibrinogen and sP-sel in patients with AF (r = 0.567 [Spearman], p < 0.001) and in control subjects (r = 0.334, p = 0.016). There was no significant diurnal variation in plasma levels of sP-sel, sTM, vWF or fibrinogen over the 24-h study period (repeated measures analysis of variance, p = NS).

CONCLUSIONS

There is no circadian or diurnal variation in the hypercoagulable state seen in AF, as assessed by plasma fibrinogen and markers of platelet (sP-sel) and endothelial function (vWF and sTM). The persistent hypercoagulable state, together with the loss of diurnal variation in various hemostatic markers, in chronic AF may contribute to the high risk of stroke and thromboembolic complications in these patients.

Relationship between left atrial spontaneous echo contrast and the features of middle cerebral artery territory in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

We investigated the relationship between left atrial spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) and cerebrovascular features in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Few reports have been published to compare cardiac and cerebrovascular imaging in patients with NVAF. Forty-four patients with NVAF were studied using transesophageal echocardiography and non-invasive imaging including magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), magnetic resonance angiography (MRA), and transcranial color Doppler imaging (TCD) in the middle cerebral artery (MCA) territory. The symptomatic severity was divided into asymptomatic, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and stroke. The severity of the MRI findings was divided into normal, small, and large infarcts. The severity of the MRA findings was divided into normal, attenuation, and occlusion. MCA was bilaterally scanned and a side-to-side asymmetry ratio of pulsatility index (PI) was measured. The severity of SEC was divided into normal, SEC, and thrombi. Five patients with other thromboembolic risk or poor results of TCD were excluded. SEC and thrombi were detected in 12 (30%) and in 3 patients (5%), respectively. TIA and stroke were detected in 8 (21%) and in 17 patients (44%), respectively. Small and large infarcts were detected in 9 (23%) and in 18 patients (46%), respectively, on MRI. Attenuation and occlusion were detected in 14 (36%) and in 8 patients (21%), respectively, on MRA. PI ratio was 1.21 +/- 0.25. SEC severity was highly associated with PI ratio and MRA severity in monovariate analysis (P < 0.005), P < 0.01, respectively). SEC severity was highly associated with PI ratio and MRA severity in stepwise multiple regression analysis (P = 0.0001, r = 0.630, n = 39). In patients with NVAF, left atrial SEC was highly related to attenuation or occlusion on MRA and imbalance of cerebral blood flow on TCD in the MCA territory.

Clinical study to investigate the predictive parameters for the onset of atrial fibrillation in patients with essential hypertension

BACKGROUND

The risk factors involved in the onset of atrial fibrillation (AF) are well known, but the predictive clinical and paraclinical parameters for the onset of AF in hypertensive patients have not been investigated specifically.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analyzed 97 consecutive patients with hypertension and no known history of AF or cardiovascular events who attended the cardiology outpatient clinic. The analysis was based on clinical data, the noninvasive ambulatory 24-hour measurement of blood pressure (AMBP), a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram, and a Doppler echocardiogram. After a mean follow-up of 25 +/- 3 months, 19 (19. 5%) patients had AF, 3 (15.8%) of whom had a cerebrovascular accident. The patients with AF were older than the others and their AMBP showed higher mean systolic diurnal and nocturnal blood pressures, though no differences in the clinical blood pressure readings were present. On the electrocardiogram, the maximum duration of the P wave and its dispersion were more prolonged in the patients with AF. On the Doppler echocardiogram, left ventricular mass and left atrial dimension were higher in the patients with AF, and the A-wave velocity of diastolic mitral flow was reduced in these patients. In the multivariate analysis, age (odds ratio 3.28, P <.001), diurnal systolic blood pressure (odds ratio 1.35, P <.01) and nocturnal systolic blood pressure (odds ratio 1.16, P <.01), maximum duration of the P wave (odds ratio 2.09, P <.01), dispersion of the P wave (odds ratio 2.52, P <.001), echocardiographic left ventricular mass (odds ratio 1.43, P <.01), left atrial dimension (odds ratio 2.81, P <.001), and velocity of the A wave (odds ratio 2. 24, P <.01) were independent predictors for the onset of AF. After correction for age, maximum duration of the P wave (odds ratio 1.34, P <.01), dispersion of the P wave (odds ratio 1.63, P <.001), and the velocity of the A wave (odds ratio 1.42, P <.01) remained independent predictors for the onset of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with hypertension, age and the level of diurnal and nocturnal systolic blood pressures measured by 24-hour AMBP are important independent predictors for the onset of AF. Independent of age, increases in left atrial dimension and left ventricular mass, prolongation of the maximum duration and dispersion of the P wave and reduced A-wave velocity are also predictors for the onset of AF.

Long-term prevention of ischaemic stroke and stroke recurrence

Stroke is the third most important cause of mortality, but the leading cause of severe handicap, dependency, and loss of social competence. Because of the high recurrence rate, active secondary prevention is mandatory once a stroke has occurred. Secondary prevention of stroke implies the primary prevention of cardiovascular disorders as well. Among the modifiable risk factors hypertension is worst and should be normalized according to recent WHO criteria, also in the elderly. Smoking is another major risk factor and hard to delete. Diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidaemia are also important risk factors and should be treated consequently by diet and medication. Moderate alcohol intake, normalization of body weight and regular physical activity also contribute considerably to prevention of stroke. Whether hyperhomocysteinaemia should be normalized has not yet been clarified. Cardiovascular disorders are an important source of ischemic strokes, particularly atrial fibrillation. Low dose anticoagulation can dramatically reduce stroke risk. Carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic stenoses is the most expensive means of stroke prevention. In less severe stenoses, or ICA occlusions, antiplatelet agents are the treatment of choice. Composite drugs with ASS and other antiplatelet agents seem to be superior to either compound alone. Dissections of the cervical arteries should not be operated on but may be treated by anticoagulation or antiplatelet agents in the acute and subacute phase. The potency of a consequent and comprehensive stroke prevention in preventing disability and death is much greater than any sophisticated acute stroke treatment.

Appropriate outcome measures in trials evaluating treatment of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a widespread disease that has only recently received the focused attention of arrhythmia specialists despite being the most frequently occurring significant cardiac arrhythmia.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The wide variety of trial designs used to evaluate AF treatment is a reflection of the diverse outcomes associated with this condition. The best trials assess the impact of treatment on a clearly measured outcome that is of clinical relevance to patients. This review discusses the different designs of AF treatment trials and analyzes the utility of the various outcomes that can be assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

A sensible goal of AF treatment is to reduce the frequency of recurrences and to prolong the time between them. The most appropriate trials focus on AF recurrences that are symptomatic and therefore relevant to the patient. We still do not know if there is value in AF prevention, beyond preventing symptoms. However, ongoing and future studies will show whether AF suppression reduces the longer-term risks of stroke or death and improves patient quality of life. Cost of care will increasingly be studied in future trials of AF management.

Stroke prevention: hypertension, diabetes, tobacco, and lipids

This article reviews the most recent epidemiologic evidence supporting topics such as hypertension, diabetes, tobacco, and lipids as risks for stroke. Where available, American Stroke Association (ASA) and National Stroke Association (NSA) consensus statement guidelines for the treatment of these risk factors are given.

Low molecular-weight heparin versus aspirin in patients with acute ischaemic stroke and atrial fibrillation: a double-blind randomised study. HAEST Study Group. Heparin in Acute Embolic Stroke Trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute ischaemic stroke and atrial fibrillation have an increased risk of early stroke recurrence, and anticoagulant treatment with heparins has been widely advocated, despite missing data on the balance of risk and benefit.

METHODS

Heparin in Acute Embolic Stroke Trial (HAEST) was a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, and double-dummy trial on the effect of low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH, dalteparin 100 IU/kg subcutaneously twice a day) or aspirin (160 mg every day) for the treatment of 449 patients with acute ischaemic stroke and atrial fibrillation. The primary aim was to test whether treatment with LMWH, started within 30 h of stroke onset, is superior to aspirin for the prevention of recurrent stroke during the first 14 days.

FINDINGS

The frequency of recurrent ischaemic stroke during the first 14 days was 19/244 (8.5%) in dalteparin-allocated patients versus 17/225 (7.5%) in aspirin-allocated patients (odds ratio=1.13, 95% CI 0.57-2.24). The secondary events during the first 14 days also revealed no benefit of dalteparin compared with aspirin: symptomatic cerebral haemorrhage 6/224 versus 4/225; symptomatic and asymptomatic cerebral haemorrhage 26/224 versus 32/225; progression of symptoms within the first 48 hours 24/224 versus 17/225; and death 21/224 versus 16/225. There were no significant differences in functional outcome or death at 14 days or 3 months.

INTERPRETATION

The present data do not provide any evidence that LMWH is superior to aspirin for the treatment of acute ischaemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, the study could not exclude the possibility of smaller, but still worthwhile, effects of either of the trial drugs.

Serial evaluation of left atrial dimension after cardioversion for atrial fibrillation and relation to atrial function

The size of the left atrium is usually increased during atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of the present study was to evaluate changes in left atrial (LA) dimension after cardioversion for AF, and the relation between LA dimension and atrial function. The initial study population included 171 consecutive patients. Patients who had spontaneous cardioversion to sinus rhythm (56 patients) were compared with patients who had random cardio-version with drugs (50 patients) or direct-current (DC) shock (50 patients). Echocardiographic evaluations included LA size and volume. LA passive and active emptying volumes were calculated, and LA function was assessed. Atrial stunning was observed in 18 patients reverted with DC shock and in 7 patients reverted with drugs. The left atrium was dilated in all patients during AF (48 +/- 5 mm). The size of the left atrium decreased after restoration of sinus rhythm in all patients with spontaneous reversion to sinus rhythm, in 73% of patients reverted with drugs, and in 50% of patients reverted with DC shock. The comparison between patients with a normal mechanical atrial function and patients with reduced atrial function showed that a higher atrial ejection force was associated with a more marked reduction in LA size after restoration of sinus rhythm. A relation between LA volumes and atrial ejection force was observed in the group of patients with depressed atrial mechanical function (r = -0.78; p <0.001). The active emptying fraction was lower, although not significantly, in this group, whereas the conduit volume was increased. Thus, a depressed atrial mechanical function after cardioversion for AF was associated with a persistence of LA dilation.

Amiodarone to prevent recurrence of atrial fibrillation. Canadian Trial of Atrial Fibrillation Investigators

BACKGROUND

The restoration and maintenance of sinus rhythm is a desirable goal in patients with atrial fibrillation, because the prevention of recurrences can improve cardiac function and relieve symptoms. Uncontrolled studies have suggested that amiodarone in low doses may be more effective and safer than other agents in preventing recurrence, but this agent has not been tested in a large, randomized trial.

METHODS

We undertook a prospective, multicenter trial to test the hypothesis that low doses of amiodarone would be more efficacious in preventing recurrent atrial fibrillation than therapy with sotalol or propafenone. We randomly assigned patients who had had at least one episode of atrial fibrillation within the previous six months to amiodarone or to sotalol or propafenone, given in an open-label fashion. The patients in the group assigned to sotalol or propafenone underwent a second randomization to determine whether they would receive sotalol or propafenone first; if the first drug was unsuccessful the second agent was prescribed. Loading doses of the drugs were administered and electrical cardioversion was performed (if necessary) within 21 days after randomization for all patients in both groups. The follow-up period began 21 days after randomization. The primary end point was the length of time to a first recurrence of atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

Of the 403 patients in the study, 201 were assigned to amiodarone and 202 to either sotalol (101 patients) or propafenone (101 patients). After a mean of 16 months of follow-up, 71 of the patients who were assigned to amiodarone (35 percent) and 127 of those who were assigned to sotalol or propafenone (63 percent) had a recurrence of atrial fibrillation (P<0.001). Adverse events requiring the discontinuation of drug therapy occurred in 18 percent of the patients receiving amiodarone, as compared with 11 percent of those treated with sotalol or propafenone (P=0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Amiodarone is more effective than sotalol or propafenone for the prevention of recurrences of atrial fibrillation.

Decision analysis and guidelines for anticoagulant therapy to prevent stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Clinical guidelines are needed on whether or not to use anticoagulant therapy to prevent stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. We did a Markov decision analysis to model decision-making with regard to warfarin treatment in patients with atrial fibrillation, and used the model to develop evaluative guidelines.

METHODS

The decision analysis involved a systematic literature review supplemented by patients' estimates of the quality of life associated with different states of health, secondary analysis of stroke-registry data, and estimation of service costs; it also incorporated a sensitivity analysis. The derived guidelines were subsequently applied to a cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation.

FINDINGS

We constructed decision tables for 12 age and sex groups. For most risk combinations, warfarin treatment would have decreased health-care costs and increased quality-of-life years, although the clinical decision was sensitive to patients' preferences and to the estimate of warfarin's effectiveness. 97% of women with atrial fibrillation older than 75 years, and 69% aged 65-74 would have been recommended for treatment; for men, the corresponding figures would have been 75% and 53%. With the upper quartile for the loss of quality of life associated with being on warfarin treatment (1.00), all but two of the 116 patients without contraindications would have been treated, whereas with the lower quartile (0.92), only 27 of 116 would have been treated.

INTERPRETATION

Decision analysis is useful in the incorporation of complex probabilistic data into informed decision-making, the identification of factors influencing such decisions, and the subsequent development of evaluative guidelines.

Stroke risk factors

Despite advances in the treatment of acute cerebral infarction, the most effective method of reducing stroke morbidity and mortality is the identification and modification of stroke risk factors. Modifiable stroke risk factors include hypertension, atrial fibrillation, hypercholesterolemia, cigarette smoking, hyperhomocystinemia, and carotid stenosis. Improved identification of individuals at increased stroke risk due to these factors can reduce individual risk and the cost to society of the consequences of stroke.

Clinical implication of antiembolic trials in atrial fibrillation and role of transesophageal echocardiography in atrial fibrillation

Risk for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly heterogeneous. Increasing age, history of diabetes, hypertension, previous transient ischemic attack or stroke, and poor ventricular function are independent risk factors for stroke in patients with AF. Accordingly, some groups of patients with AF have low risk and some have high risk. In general, patients at high risk benefit most from anticoagulation therapy with warfarin. In general, if a patient is younger than 65 years of age and has none of the defined risk factors, the stroke rate without prophylaxis (aspirin or warfarin) is low. In patients 65 to 75 years of age with no risk factors, the risk for stroke is low with either aspirin or warfarin therapy; the choice is left to the caretaking physician. All patients older than 75 years and all patients of any age who have risk factors obtain striking benefit from the use of anticoagulation with warfarin. This benefit far outweighs any risk for major hemorrhage.

Incident stroke after discharge from the hospital with a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE

Atrial fibrillation is an important risk factor for stroke. We analyzed stroke risk over time in patients discharged from the hospital with a diagnosis of incident atrial fibrillation as compared with the risk of stroke in the Danish population.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

In a random sample of half of the Danish population, we identified 13,625 men and 13,577 women, aged 50 to 89 years, with a hospital diagnosis of atrial fibrillation and no prior diagnosis of stroke during 1980 to 1993. Data on other medical conditions were also available from 1977 to 1993, but medication data were not available. Patients were followed from the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation until the first diagnosis of stroke (nonfatal or fatal cerebral ischemic infarct and cerebral hemorrhage), death, or the end of 1993. The risk of stroke in these patients was compared with the risk in the Danish population using Poisson regression modeling to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

For men with atrial fibrillation, the stroke rates increased by age, from 13 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 50 to 59 years, to 22 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 60 to 69 years, to 42 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 70 to 79 years, to 51 per 1,000 person-years in those ages 80 to 89 years. Age-specific stroke rates were similar in women with atrial fibrillation. Patients with a hospital diagnosis of atrial fibrillation had an increased risk of stroke (RR = 2.4; 95% CI, 2.3 to 2.5 in men and RR = 3.0; 95% CI, 2.9 to 3.2 in women) compared with the Danish population. Stroke risk was greatest during the first year after discharge and decreased thereafter. Hypertension, diabetes, and peripheral atherosclerosis were also associated with an increased risk of stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation. Ischemic heart disease and heart failure were risk factors in men only. There was no reduction in the risk of stroke from 1980 to 1993.

CONCLUSIONS

Men and women with atrial fibrillation are at a substantially increased risk of stroke, particularly in the first year after the diagnosis.

Clinical experience with implantable atrial and combined atrioventricular defibrillators

The high prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and its clinical complications, the poor efficacy of medical therapy for preventing recurrences, and dissatisfaction with alternative modes of therapy stimulated interest in implantable atrial and combined atrioventricular defibrillators. In a multicenter study, the safety and efficacy of a stand alone implantable atrial defibrillator, the Metrix system, were evaluated. The device was implanted in 51 patients with highly symptomatic episodes of AF refractory to pharmacological treatment. During a follow-up of 9 months, 96% of 227 spontaneous AF episodes were successfully converted to sinus rhythm in 41 patients. In 62 episodes (27%), several shocks and/or additional drug treatment were required to maintain stable sinus rhythm because of early recurrences of AF. A total of 3719 shocks were delivered and no induction of ventricular proarrhythmia or inaccurately synchronized shocks occurred. The AF detection algorithm exhibited a 100% specificity for the recognition of sinus rhythm and a 92.3% sensitivity for the detection of AF. The combined atrioventricular defibrillator, Jewel AF 7250, was evaluated in a multicenter, randomized, cross-over trial. The primary study objectives included: overall safety as determined by complications-free survival at 6 months, efficacy of tiered atrial pacing and defibrillation therapies for termination of spontaneous atrial tachycardias (AT) and AF, and relative sensitivity of a new dual-chamber detection algorithm. The device was implanted in 211 patients with either a history of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VT/VF) alone or with a history of both AT/AF and VT/VF. During a mean follow-up of 4.5 months, it has been shown that the Jewel AF is safe and effective in treating atrial and ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Pace termination of 85% of AT episodes were achieved with painless delivery of antitachycardia pacing; additional 35% of AT episodes were terminated by high frequency burst pacing.

CONCLUSIONS

The stand alone implantable atrial defibrillator may be safe and clinically useful in selected patients for the treatment of highly symptomatic, drug resistant recurrences of AF. The combined atrioventricular defibrillator may be particularly indicated in patients presenting with both a history of atrial and ventricular tachyarrhythmias.

Antiplatelet therapy for preventing stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and no previous history of stroke or transient ischemic attacks

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) carries an increased risk of stroke; antiplatelet agents are proven effective for stroke prevention in other settings.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this review was to determine the efficacy and safety of antiplatelet therapy for prevention of stroke in patients with chronic non-valvular AF.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Stroke Group Specialised Register of Trials, MEDLINE database (June 1999), and the database of the Antithrombotic Trialists Collaboration, as well as reference lists of relevant articles.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomized trials comparing antiplatelet therapies to placebo in patients with non-valvular AF and no history of transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Trials for inclusion were independently selected by two reviewers who also extracted each outcome and double-checked the data. The Peto method was used for combining odds ratios. All analysis were, as far as possible, "intention-to-treat". Since the published results of two trials included 3-8% of participants with prior stroke or TIA, unpublished results excluding these participants were obtained from the Atrial Fibrillation Investigators.

MAIN RESULTS

Among 1680 participants without prior stroke/TIA, randomized to aspirin (N = 838) or placebo in two trials, aspirin was associated with nonsignificantly lower risks of ischemic stroke (OR = 0.71, CI 95% 0. 46 - 1.10), all stroke (OR = 0.70, CI 95% 0.45 - 1.08) all disabling/fatal stroke (OR =0.88, CI 95% 0.48 - 1.58) and the constellation of stroke, MI or vascular death (OR = 0.76, CI 95% 0. 54 - 1.05 ). Considering all randomized participants including those with prior stroke or TIA, reductions in these events by aspirin were consistently smaller and marginally statistically significant: ischemic stroke (OR = 0.77, CI 95% 0.60-1.00), all stroke (OR = 0.76, CI 95% 0.61 - 0.93), all disabling/fatal stroke (OR = 0.87, CI 95% 0.64 - 1.19) and the combined outcome (OR = 0.79, CI 95% 0.64 - 0. 99). No increase in major hemorrhage was seen, but the number of hemorrhagic events was small.

REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS

Considering all randomized data, aspirin modestly (by about 20%) reduces stroke and major vascular events in nonvalvular AF. For primary prevention among AF patients with an average stroke rate of 4.5%/year, about 10 strokes would be prevented yearly for every 1000 given aspirin.

Stroke prevention as an indication for the Maze procedure in the treatment of atrial fibrillation

The Maze procedure has proven to be extremely effective in curing medically refractory atrial fibrillation. This analysis of our surgical results with the Maze procedure indicates that the Maze procedure, with or without associated cardiac surgery, has the lowest perioperative stroke rate of any major cardiac surgical procedure. This is surprising in view of the fact that all of the patients who undergo the Maze procedure have an elevated risk of stroke because of the presence of atrial fibrillation. In addition, many of the patients have already had strokes, further increasing the likelihood of perioperative stroke. Only 1 patient has had a stroke in the 12-year follow-up period following the Maze procedure. This is comparable to the risk of stroke in the general population and indicates that the Maze procedure essentially abolishes the risk of stroke associated with atrial fibrillation.

Stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation

Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) is an independent risk factor for stroke. The overall risk of ischemic stroke in patients experiencing AF without prior stroke averages about 5% per year, but varies depending on the presence of coexistent thromboembolic risk factors. Patients with AF with low (about 1% per year), moderate (2%-4% per year) and high (> or = 6% per year) stroke risks have been identified, but the generalizability of available risk stratification schemes to clinical practice has not been defined. Adjusted-dose warfarin (target International Normalized Ratio 2-3) is highly efficacious for prevention of stroke in patients with AF (about 60% reduction) and is relatively safe for selected patients, if carefully monitored. Aspirin has a modest effect on reducing stroke (about 20% reduction). The role of transesophageal echocardiography is routine management of AF remains unsettled. Warfarin therapy should be considered for patients with AF predicted to have a high risk of stroke and who can safely receive it. Aspirin may be indicated for patients with AF at low risk for stroke and for those who cannot safely receive adjusted-dose warfarin. For those with moderate stroke risk, individual bleeding risks during anticoagulation and patient preferences should guide antithrombotic therapy.

Structural changes of atrial myocardium during chronic atrial fibrillation

Of all known arrhythmia's, atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most often met in the clinical setting and it is associated with an increase in mortality risk. Several risk factors for AF have been described and several mechanisms of induction and maintenance have been proposed. Studies in patients with AF have shown that structural changes occur in the atria, but the relationship between the structural remodelling and the chronicity of the arrhythmia are not well understood. The changes mainly concern adaptive (dedifferentiation of cardiomyocytes) and maladaptive (degeneration of cells with replacement fibrosis) features. In order to characterise the time course of the structural remodelling the need for animal models which adequately mimic chronic atrial fibrillation in humans is felt essential. In this review, the structural changes that are observed during prolonged sustained AF in patients and animal models, are described. Furthermore, the time course and potential mechanisms of structural remodelling are discussed and methods for elucidation of the underlying molecular mechanisms are presented.

Oral anticoagulants for preventing stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and no previous history of stroke or transient ischemic attacks

BACKGROUND

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this review was to characterize the efficacy and safety of oral anticoagulation (OAC) with vitamin K antagonists for the primary prevention of stroke in patients with chronic AF.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Stroke Group Specialised Register of Trials (June 1999), MEDLINE database, and the database of the Antithrombotic Trialists Collaboration, as well as reference lists of relevant articles.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All randomized controlled trials comparing the value of OAC versus control in patients with non-valvular chronic atrial fibrillation and no history of transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Trials for inclusion were independently selected by two reviewers who also extracted each outcome and double-checked the data. The Peto method was used for combining odds ratios. All analysis were, as far as possible, "intention-to-treat". Since the published results of four trials included 3-8% of participants with prior stroke or TIA, unpublished results excluding these participants were obtained from the Atrial Fibrillation Investigators.

MAIN RESULTS

Of 2313 participants without prior cerebral ischemia from five trials, about half (n = 1154) were randomized to adjusted-dose OAC with an estimated mean INRs ranging between 2.0-2.6 during 1.5 years/participant average follow-up. Participant features and study quality were similar between trials. OAC was associated with large, highly statistically significant reductions in ischemic stroke (OR = 0.34, 95% CI 0.23 - 0.52), all stroke (OR = 0.39, 95% CI 0.26 - 0. 59), all disabling or fatal stroke (OR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.28 - 0.80), and the combined endpoint of all stroke, MI or vascular death (OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.42 - 0.76). The observed rates of intracranial and extracranial hemorrhage not significantly increased by OAC therapy, but confidence intervals were wide.

REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS

Adjusted-dose OAC (achieved INRs between 2-3) reduces stroke as well as disabling/fatal stroke for patients with nonvalvular AF, and these benefits were not substantially offset by increased bleeding among participants in randomized clinical trials. Limitations include relatively short follow-up and imprecise estimates of bleeding risks from these selected participants. For primary prevention in AF patients who have an average stroke rate of 4%/year, about 25 strokes and about 12 disabling fatal strokes would be prevented yearly for every 1000 given OAC.

Observations on the perioperative management of patients undergoing the Maze procedure

In addition to the usual measures that constitute optimal perioperative care after cardiac surgery, the Maze procedure demands several other measures because of certain complications that are unique to this particular operation. These complications include preoperative conditions such as amiodarone therapy, thromboembolism, diastolic dysfunction of the left ventricle, and associated valvular heart disease, as well as intraoperative differences that include multiple atriotomies and excision of both atrial appendages. The most common postoperative complications are atrial arrhythmias, excessive fluid retention, and pulmonary complications. In this article, we outline our own approach to the perioperative care of patients undergoing the Maze procedure.

Thrombolytic therapy for stroke: a review with particular reference to elderly patients

Clinical trials in the 1990s of intravenous thrombolysis for ischaemic stroke have involved over 3000 patients. Alteplase given within 3 hours of onset significantly reduces the combined end-point of death and disability. Although alteplase appears safe when given up to 6 hours after onset, individual trials have failed to confirm efficacy beyond 3 hours. Meta-analysis indicates that intravenous alteplase given up to 6 hours after stroke onset significantly reduces death or dependence 3 months after stroke. Two trials of intra-arterial pro-urokinase confirm benefits of treatment up to 6 hours in highly selected patients with angiographically confirmed proximal middle cerebral occlusion. Streptokinase increased the risk of early death significantly in 3 trials, with no overall reduction in eventual death and disability. Patients over 80 years have been excluded from most trials of alteplase, and experience in this age group is minimal. Increased incidence and poorer functional outcome in the elderly mean that thrombolysis may have greater absolute benefit in this group than in the young, but there is also a higher prevalence of absolute or relative potential contraindications to treatment (ranging from increased use of anticoagulant drugs to higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation). Further trials are necessary to address age restrictions and other important issues in the use of alteplase. Thrombolysis is likely to remain feasible for a minority of stroke patients of all ages, and there is a need for other acute treatment options.