Prognostic value of DNA analysis in colorectal carcinoma

MALDI-imaging reveals thymosin beta-4 as an independent prognostic marker for colorectal cancer

DNA aneuploidy has been identified as a prognostic factor for epithelial malignancies. Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization (MALDI) imaging mass spectrometry (IMS) is a powerful tool for direct analysis of multiple proteins in tissue sections while maintaining the cellular and molecular integrity. We compared diploid and aneuploid colon cancer tissues against normal mucosa of the colon by means of IMS.

DNA image cytometry determined the ploidy status of tissue samples that were subsequently subjected to MALDI-IMS. After obtaining protein profiles through direct analysis of tissue sections, a discovery and independent validation set were used to predict ploidy status by applying proteomic classification algorithms [Supervised Neural Network (SNN) and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC)]. Five peaks (m/z 2,395 and 4,977 for diploid vs. aneuploid comparison as well as m/z 3,376, 6,663, and 8,581 for normal mucosa vs. carcinoma comparison) were significant in both SNN and ROC analysis. Among these, m/z 4,977 was identified as thymosin beta 4 (Tβ-4). Tβ-4 was subsequently validated in clinical samples using a tissue microarray to predict overall survival in colon cancer patients.

Effect of the 12-gene colon cancer assay results on adjuvant treatment recommendations in patients with stage II colon cancer

INTRODUCTION

The 12-gene colon cancer Recurrence Score assay is a clinically validated predictor of recurrence risk in stage II colon cancer patients. A survey was performed characterizing the assay's impact on treatment recommendations for these patients.

METHODS

US medical oncologists (n = 346) who ordered the assay for ≥3 stage II colon cancer patients were asked to complete a web-based survey regarding their most recent such patient. Physicians surveyed represented users of the assay within the first 2 years of commercial availability which may include 'early adopters'.

RESULTS

Most of 116 eligible physicians were in community practice (86%), with median 14.5 years' experience (range = 2-40). Mean patient age was 61 years (range = 32-85); 81% had T3 disease, and 38% had comorbidities. Of 76 patients tested for mismatch-repair/microsatellite-instability (MMR/MSI), 13 (17%) were MMR-deficient/MSI-high; 46 (61%) MMR-proficient/MSI-low; and 17 (22%) unknown. Most patients (84%) had ≥12 nodes examined. Median Recurrence Score result was 20 (range = 1-77). Before assay, treatment recommendations were specified for 92 (79%) patients, with no recommendation for 24 (21%). Of the 92 with pre-assay recommendations, chemotherapy was planned for 52 (57%) and observation for 40 (43%); the assay changed recommendations for 27 (29%). Treatment intensity decreased for 18 (67%) and increased for nine (33%) patients; it was more likely to decrease for lower Recurrence Score values and increase for higher values (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

For stage II colon cancer patients receiving Recurrence Score testing, 29% of treatment recommendations were changed. Use of the assay may lead to reductions in treatment intensity. Study limitations include retrospective design, data gathering during the first 2 years of assay availability only, and potential non-representativeness of respondents.

HDAC2 and TXNL1 distinguish aneuploid from diploid colorectal cancers

DNA aneuploidy has been identified as a prognostic factor for epithelial malignancies. Further understanding of the translation of DNA aneuploidy into protein expression will help to define novel biomarkers to improve therapies and prognosis. DNA ploidy was assessed by image cytometry. Comparison of gel-electrophoresis-based protein expression patterns of three diploid and four aneuploid colorectal cancer cell lines detected 64 ploidy-associated proteins. Proteins were identified by mass spectrometry and subjected to Ingenuity Pathway Analysis resulting in two overlapping high-ranked networks maintaining Cellular Assembly and Organization, Cell Cycle, and Cellular Growth and Proliferation. CAPZA1, TXNL1, and HDAC2 were significantly validated by Western blotting in cell lines and the latter two showed expression differences also in clinical samples using a tissue microarray of normal mucosa (n=19), diploid (n=31), and aneuploid (n=47) carcinomas. The results suggest that distinct protein expression patterns, affecting TXNL1 and HDAC2, distinguish aneuploid with poor prognosis from diploid colorectal cancers.

Optimal pathologic staging: defining stage II disease

Tumor stage remains the most important determinant of prognosis in colorectal cancer and is the basis of all authoritative patient management guidelines. The pathologic assessment of stage II disease is especially critical because it may help to identify patients at additional risk for whom surgery alone may not be curative. Accurate analysis of regional lymph nodes, extent of tumor penetration, and circumferential resection margins constitute the most crucial issues. For assignment of pN0, adequacy of the surgical resection and thoroughness of the lymph node harvest from the resection specimen are both essential. The minimum number of lymph nodes has been variably determined to be between 12 and 18 for assignment of pN0, but the confidence level increases with increasing numbers of nodes examined. The ability of exhaustive analysis of sentinel lymph nodes using special techniques to substitute for an exhaustive lymph node harvest and standard node examination has not been definitively shown. Although special techniques may facilitate the identification of minute amounts of tumor (i.e., isolated tumor cells) in regional lymph nodes, the prognostic significance of such findings remains unclear. Additional stage-independent pathologic features that have been validated as adverse prognostic factors include involvement by tumor of mural lymphovascular channels, venous vessels, or the surgical resection margin of the operative specimen and high tumor grade. The presence of these features may help to identify patients for whom surgery alone will not be curative and adjuvant therapies may be appropriate.

DNA Image Cytometry Is a Useful Adjunct Tool in the Prediction of Disease Outcome in Patients with Stage II and Stage III Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

We assessed the prognostic value of the nuclear DNA content measured in the primary tumours of 123 patients with stage II or stage III colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

Isolated nuclei from paraffin sections were stained with the Feulgen reaction, and DNA was measured using a computer-assisted image analysis cytometry system. We applied 4 different approaches in the analysis of DNA histograms: the ABCDE approach, histogram range, peak evaluation and DNA cut-off values.

RESULTS

Using the histogram range, the narrow range was rare (3.7%) in patients who died of disease (n = 28) as compared with 16.4% among those alive (n = 74; p = 0.017). Modal peak evaluation was a significant predictor of disease-free survival (DFS; Kaplan-Meier log-rank p = 0.0235). In the range evaluation, the 1st set (low-start gates) was a significant predictor of DFS (log-rank p = 0.0121), where disease recurrence was closely associated with the widest range (1.8->10c; c = haploid DNA content) gates. Recurrence-free survival was 3 times better in narrow-gate histograms than wide-range histograms (p < 0.03). The 1st set also proved to be a significant predictor of disease-specific survival (DSS; log-rank p = 0.0045), which was markedly better (77.8-90.0%) among the patients with the narrow-gate histograms. Grading of the histogram range into 2 categories (with 6.0c as cut-off), was a powerful predictor of both DSS (log-rank p = 0.0092) and 5-year DFS (p = 0.0106) in the whole series, and separately in stage III (but not stage II) disease, with p = 0.0131 and p = 0.0201, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The DNA image cytometry with careful analysis of the histograms may provide valuable prognostic information in CRC, with potential clinical implications in patient management, particularly in predicting the patients at high risk for recurrence who should be considered as candidates for adjuvant therapy.

Pathologic prognostic factors in the recurrence of rectal cancer

For rectal cancer, local recurrence following surgical treatment is a grave complication that occurs in as many as 25% of cases. Pathological examination of the surgical resection specimen plays a primary role in assessing both the surgery- and tumor-related factors that contribute to the risk of recurrence. Among the tumor-related factors, stage has long been considered the single most accurate indicator of survival. However, recent evidence strongly suggests that the most powerful predictor of both local recurrence and overall outcome in the absence of distant metastatic disease is the macroscopic quality of the mesorectum in the resection specimen and the proximity of the tumor to the circumferential (radial) resection margin. Additional pathologic features have been shown to have stage-independent prognostic significance in colorectal cancer and may help to further define risk of adverse outcome. Such features include: tumor grade; histologic type; extent of extramural penetration by tumor; neural, venous, and/or lymphatic invasion; tumor border configuration; tumor budding; and host lymphoid response. The predictive value of tumor-specific molecular features is currently under investigation and may help to further improve prognostication and refine individual patient management in rectal cancer.

Prognostic factors in colorectal cancer. College of American Pathologists Consensus Statement 1999

BACKGROUND

Under the auspices of the College of American Pathologists, the current state of knowledge regarding pathologic prognostic factors (factors linked to outcome) and predictive factors (factors predicting response to therapy) in colorectal carcinoma was evaluated. A multidisciplinary group of clinical (including the disciplines of medical oncology, surgical oncology, and radiation oncology), pathologic, and statistical experts in colorectal cancer reviewed all relevant medical literature and stratified the reported prognostic factors into categories that reflected the strength of the published evidence demonstrating their prognostic value. Accordingly, the following categories of prognostic factors were defined. Category I includes factors definitively proven to be of prognostic import based on evidence from multiple statistically robust published trials and generally used in patient management. Category IIA includes factors extensively studied biologically and/or clinically and repeatedly shown to have prognostic value for outcome and/or predictive value for therapy that is of sufficient import to be included in the pathology report but that remains to be validated in statistically robust studies. Category IIB includes factors shown to be promising in multiple studies but lacking sufficient data for inclusion in category I or IIA. Category III includes factors not yet sufficiently studied to determine their prognostic value. Category IV includes factors well studied and shown to have no prognostic significance.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The medical literature was critically reviewed, and the analysis revealed specific points of variability in approach that prevented direct comparisons among published studies and compromised the quality of the collective data. Categories of variability recognized included the following: (1) methods of analysis, (2) interpretation of findings, (3) reporting of data, and (4) statistical evaluation. Additional points of variability within these categories were defined from the collective experience of the group. Reasons for the assignment of an individual prognostic factor to category I, II, III, or IV (categories defined by the level of scientific validation) were outlined with reference to the specific types of variability associated with the supportive data. For each factor and category of variability related to that factor, detailed recommendations for improvement were made. The recommendations were based on the following aims: (1) to increase the uniformity and completeness of pathologic evaluation of tumor specimens, (2) to enhance the quality of the data needed for definitive evaluation of the prognostic value of individual prognostic factors, and (3) ultimately, to improve patient care.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Factors that were determined to merit inclusion in category I were as follows: the local extent of tumor assessed pathologically (the pT category of the TNM staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer and the Union Internationale Contre le Cancer [AJCC/UICC]); regional lymph node metastasis (the pN category of the TNM staging system); blood or lymphatic vessel invasion; residual tumor following surgery with curative intent (the R classification of the AJCC/UICC staging system), especially as it relates to positive surgical margins; and preoperative elevation of carcinoembryonic antigen elevation (a factor established by laboratory medicine methods rather than anatomic pathology). Factors in category IIA included the following: tumor grade, radial margin status (for resection specimens with nonperitonealized surfaces), and residual tumor in the resection specimen following neoadjuvant therapy (the ypTNM category of the TNM staging system of the AJCC/UICC). (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED)

Colorectal cancer staging and adjuvant chemotherapy

Colorectal cancer is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in Western populations. The standard of care for staging patients with colorectal cancer to determine prognosis and identify patients who will receive adjuvant therapy continues to be histopathology of regional lymph nodes. However, the significant variability in survival within each staging category likely reflects the heterogeneity of detecting micrometastatic disease employing this technique. Novel molecular markers of micrometastases currently in development will permit more accurate staging of patients with colorectal cancer. These advances in staging will distinguish patients who will maximally benefit from adjuvant therapy from those who have an especially good prognosis in whom chemotherapy can be avoided. In addition, new adjuvant chemotherapeutic agents, novel combinations of those agents and creative dosing schedules currently being investigated will offer considerable advantages with respect to ease of administration, safety and tolerability, quality of life and efficacy. Ultimately, it is anticipated that advances in molecular diagnostics will define unique biochemical characteristics of patients' tumours, permitting individualization of chemotherapeutic regimens employing novel agents that specifically exploit those characteristics.

American Joint Committee on Cancer Prognostic Factors Consensus Conference: Colorectal Working Group

BACKGROUND

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), which regularly reviews TNM staging systems, established a working party to develop recommendations for colorectal carcinoma.

METHODS

A multidisciplinary consensus conference using published literature developed an arbitrary classification system of prognostic marker value (Category I, IIA, IIB, III, and IV), which forms the framework for this report.

RESULTS

The working party concluded that several T categories should be subdivided: pTis into intraepithelial carcinoma (pTie) and intramucosal carcinoma (pTim); pT1 into pT1a and pT1b corresponding to the absence or presence of blood or lymphatic vessel invasion, respectively; and pT4 into pT4a and pT4b according to the absence or presence of tumor involving the surface of the specimen, respectively. The working party also recommended that TNM groups be stratified based on the presence or absence of elevated serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (>/= 5 ng/mL) on preoperative clinical examination. In addition, the working party also concluded that carcinoma of the appendix should be excluded from the colorectal carcinoma staging system because of fundamental differences in natural history.

CONCLUSIONS

The TNM categories and stage groupings for colorectal carcinoma published in the current AJCC manual have clinical and academic value. However, a few categories require subdivision to provide increasing discrimination for individual patients. The serum marker CEA should be added to the staging system, whereas multiple other factors should be recorded as part of good clinical practice. Although many molecular and oncogenic markers show promise to supplement or modify the current staging systems eventually, to the authors' knowledge none have yet been evaluated sufficiently to recommend their inclusion in the TNM system.

Microsatellite instability: impact on cancer progression in proximal and distal colorectal cancers

Whilst individual planning of treatment and follow-up in every colorectal cancer case is an increasing demand, prognostic markers are needed for predicting cancer progression in the primary phase. We studied the effect of replication error (RER)-positivity on colorectal cancer progression by analysing 255 colorectal cancer specimens by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and fragment analysis and correlating the results with the clinical and histological features of the tumour and with patient outcome. RER-positivity was detected in 12% (28/235) of cases. It was associated with proximal location of the tumour (P < 0.001), poor differentiation (P = 0.001) and large tumour size (P = 0.009). The 5-year cumulative survival rate of the patients with RER-positive cancer of the proximal colon was markedly better (100%) than that of those with RER-negative proximal cancer (74%), whilst in cases of cancer of the distal colon or rectum, RER-positivity (21%) indicated poorer survival than RER-negativity (57%). Thus, it is suggested that RER-positivity has an opposite impact on cancer progression in cases of proximal and distal cancers. RER-positivity appears to indicate improved prognosis only in cases of proximally located cancer, in which it could accordingly be useful as a prognostic marker.

Evaluation of argyrophilic nucleolar organizer region and proliferating cell nuclear antigen in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Information on cellular proliferation is gaining importance for predicting prognosis in several cancers. To clarify the clinicopathological significance of argyrophilic nucleolar organizer region (AgNOR), proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA), and DNA ploidy pattern, we studied their correlations with clinicopathological factors in colorectal cancer.

METHODS

Fifty-two patients with colorectal cancer were examined by AgNOR staining, immunohistochemical study of PCNA expression, and DNA flow cytometry.

RESULTS

The AgNOR score and the PCNA labeling rate (PCNA LR) were significantly higher in patients with deep invasion (P = 0.0072, P = 0.0355), liver metastasis (P = 0.0022, P = 0.0001), and Dukes D classification (P = 0.0002, P = 0.0001) than in patients without these factors. In patients with high AgNOR score (>3.83) or with high PCNA LR (>48.8), prognosis was significantly worse (P = 0.0002, P = 0.0123) than in those with low AgNOR score (<3.83) or in those with low PCNA LR (<48.8), respectively. No significant association was observed between AgNOR score and PCNA LR. Combined analysis revealed that the survival curve for patients with high AgNOR score and high PCNA LR was significantly lower (P = 0.0156) than that for patients with high AgNOR score and low PCNA LR. There was no significant correlation between DNA ploidy pattern and clinicopathological findings.

CONCLUSIONS

PCNA LR and AgNOR score were correlated not only with local progression but also with metastasis. Their determination provided useful prognostic information, and these parameters are probably independent. Their simultaneous determination was useful for accurate evaluation of prognosis. The value of DNA ploidy pattern was uncertain.

Molecular biology of colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in Western populations. This cancer develops as a result of the pathologic transformation of normal colonic epithelium to an adenomatous polyp and ultimately an invasive cancer. The multistep progression requires years and possibly decades and is accompanied by a number of recently characterized genetic alterations. Mutations in two classes of genes, tumor-suppressor genes and proto-oncogenes, are thought to impart a proliferative advantage to cells and contribute to development of the malignant phenotype. Inactivating mutations of both copies (alleles) of the adenomatous polyposis coli (APC) gene--a tumor-suppressor gene on chromosome 5q--mark one of the earliest events in colorectal carcinogenesis. Germline mutation of the APC gene and subsequent somatic mutation of the second APC allele cause the inherited familial adenomatous polyposis syndrome. This syndrome is characterized by the presence of hundreds to thousands of colonic adenomatous polyps. If these polyps are left untreated, colorectal cancer develops. Mutation leading to dysregulation of the K-ras protooncogene is also thought to be an early event in colon cancer formation. Conversely, loss of heterozygosity on the long arm of chromosome 18 (18q) occurs later in the sequence of development from adenoma to carcinoma, and this mutation may predict poor prognosis. Loss of the 18q region is thought to contribute to inactivation of the DCC tumor-suppressor gene. More recent evidence suggests that other tumor-suppressor genes--DPC4 and MADR2 of the transforming growth factor beta (TGF-beta) pathway--also may be inactivated by allelic loss on chromosome 18q. In addition, mutation of the tumor-suppressor gene p53 on chromosome 17p appears to be a late phenomenon in colorectal carcinogenesis. This mutation may allow the growing tumor with multiple genetic alterations to evade cell cycle arrest and apoptosis. Neoplastic progression is probably accompanied by additional, undiscovered genetic events, which are indicated by allelic loss on chromosomes 1q, 4p, 6p, 8p, 9q, and 22q in 25% to 50% of colorectal cancers. Recently, a third class of genes, DNA repair genes, has been implicated in tumorigenesis of colorectal cancer. Study findings suggest that DNA mismatch repair deficiency, due to germline mutation of the hMSH2, hMLH1, hPMS1, or hPMS2 genes, contributes to development of hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer. The majority of tumors in patients with this disease and 10% to 15% of sporadic colon cancers display microsatellite instability, also know as the replication error positive (RER+) phenotype. This molecular marker of DNA mismatch repair deficiency may predict improved patient survival. Mismatch repair deficiency is thought to lead to mutation and inactivation of the genes for type II TGF-beta receptor and insulin-like growth-factor II receptor. Individuals from families at high risk for colorectal cancer (hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer or familial adenomatous polyposis) should be offered genetic counseling, predictive molecular testing, and when indicated, endoscopic surveillance at appropriate intervals. Recent studies have examined colorectal carcinogenesis in the light of other genetic processes. Telomerase activity is present in almost all cancers, including colorectal cancer, but rarely in benign lesions such as adenomatous polyps or normal tissues. Furthermore, genetic alterations that allow transformed colorectal epithelial cells to escape cell cycle arrest or apoptosis also have been recognized. In addition, hypomethylation or hypermethylation of DNA sequences may alter gene expression without nucleic acid mutation.

Topographic genotyping of colorectal carcinoma: from a molecular carcinogenesis model to clinical relevance

BACKGROUND

In recent years, as a result of refinement in molecular biology techniques, significant progress has been made in the understanding of colorectal carcinogenesis. Particular attention has been drawn to identification of genetic mutation that may predispose to colorectal carcinoma (familial syndromes) and may affect tumor behavior and prognosis (sporadic cases).

CONCLUSIONS

Our method of topographic genotyping of human colonic carcinomas has shown a correlation between K-ras-2 and p53 mutations and stage at diagnosis as well as long-term survival. Data from other investigators in this field confirm the importance of genetic analysis of human colorectal tumors. These findings are likely to impact management by allowing a more individualized therapeutic approach.

Flow cytometric DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction correlate with histopathologic indicators of tumor behavior in colorectal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The clinical behavior of colorectal carcinoma is highly variable without reliable predictive biomarkers. Previous reports have shown that flow cytometric DNA analysis may provide valuable prognostic information in these tumors.

PURPOSE AND METHODS

This study evaluates the DNA ploidy and the S-phase fraction (SPF) on frozen samples obtained from 61 patients with colorectal carcinoma by using flow cytometry, and it correlates the data with histopathologic features known to affect disease prognosis. Tumors were classified using the World Health Organization's histologic criteria and were staged according the American Joint Committee on Cancer's classification system. Grade of the neoplasm, vascular invasion, and perineural tumor spread were evaluated in every case.

RESULTS

Fifty-nine percent of tumors were aneuploid and showed statistically significant higher S-phase values than diploid tumors (22.5 vs. 11.2 percent; P < 0.00001). Mean SPF of the whole series was 17.9 (range, 4.2-44.2) percent. A statistically significant association was found between SPF values and histologic grade (P < 0.0016), nodal status (P < 0.0007), distant metastasis (P < 0.0001), tumor stage (P < 0.0001), venous invasion (P < 0.0002), and lymphatic permeation (P < 0.01) but not with perineural growth and infiltration of the neoplasm through the bowel wall (T). DNA ploidy correlated positively with tumor stage (P < 0.03), and the association between aneuploidy and advanced stages of the disease was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings showed that flow cytometric DNA ploidy and SPF, evaluated in fresh samples, are potentially useful parameters to estimate colorectal carcinoma biopathology. Aneuploidy and high replicative neoplastic activity correlated with histopathologic features that are commonly associated with the prognosis of colorectal carcinoma, being SPF-related to disease dissemination and, therefore, an indicator of clinical relevance.

Conserved region mutations of the p53 gene are concentrated in distal colorectal cancers

Distal colorectal cancers, especially those in the rectum, are more aggressive and more commonly recurrent than proximal cancers. We studied the possible relationship between p53-gene mutation type and location of the tumour, since mutations in the conserved areas of the p53 gene have been suggested to result in a poorer outcome of colorectal cancer than mutations outside these areas. Exons 5 to 8 of the p53 gene were studied in specimens from 72 colorectal-cancer patients. Polymerase-chain-reaction-amplified products of tumour DNA were analyzed by automated direct sequencing. Of the mutations detected in distal cancers, 71% were located in conserved regions of the gene, while only 42% of the mutations in proximal cancers were in these areas. In rectal cancers, 81% of the mutations were located in conserved regions. The tumours with mutations in the conserved regions were more often poorly differentiated (23%) than those with other mutations (0%). Our results indicate that mutations in the conserved regions of the p53 gene accumulate in distal but not in proximal tumours. This difference may be related to the more aggressive behaviour and to different aetiological factors associated with distal tumours.

Stromal tenascin distribution as a prognostic marker in colorectal cancer

A total of 169 colorectal adenocarcinomas, obtained from patients with a median follow-up of 6.5 years, were studied with immunohistochemical staining on cryosections using a monoclonal anti-tenascin antibody to evaluate the possible association between the staining patterns and tumour stage, tumour differentiation and survival. We found two different staining patterns in the tumour stroma--a diffuse stromal fibrillar staining in 92 out of 169 (54%) tumours and a subglandular staining in the remaining 77 tumours. When the entire group of patients (P < 0.01) and the group of potentially cured patients (P < 0.03) were analysed univariately, it was found that diffuse stromal fibrillar staining was associated with a shorter survival time than subglandular staining. In a multivariate analysis, the Dukes' stage and age were independent prognostic factors, whereas the tenascin expression did not retain a clear independent relationship to survival (P = 0.06). Hence, it appears that the tumour expression of tenascin may be a potential prognostic marker in colorectal cancer, in so far as a diffuse stromal fibrillar staining pattern seems to indicate an increased risk of poor outcome. However, after adjustment for age and Dukes' stage, the additional prognostic value of tenascin remains to be established in further analyses.

Carcinoma of the rectum. Possible cellular predictors of metastatic potential and response to radiation therapy

BACKGROUND

Preoperative radiation therapy can markedly improve local control of rectal carcinoma. However, some tumors do not respond well to moderate doses of preoperative radiation and would be better served by more aggressive preoperative treatment (e.g., chemoradiotherapy). Cellular predictors of responsiveness to radiation can help to select lesions for more aggressive treatment. In addition, there is a need for cellular predictors of metastatic potential. This is particularly important in the setting of preoperative radiation-downstaging by preoperative treatment can obscure the true pathologic stage of a tumor and confound the usual selection criteria for postoperative chemotherapy.

PURPOSE

This study was undertaken to determine if proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA), p53, DNA ploidy, and S-phase fraction are associated with response to radiation and/or risk for distant metastatic disease and to determine if these cellular markers are best evaluated from preradiation biopsy specimen or the larger (but possibly altered) final surgical specimen.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Archival specimens from 23 cases of ultrasound T3 or T4 rectal carcinoma treated preoperatively with radiation therapy were reviewed. Eligible lesions had preradiation biopsy specimens of sufficient size for flow cytometric review of archival tissue. Factors considered included PCNA positivity, presence of mutant nuclear p53, more than 30 percent tumor cells in S-phase, and presence of aneuploidy.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of three years, overall freedom from relapse was 83 percent, with all but one failure being extrapelvic. PCNA positivity in the preradiation specimen was significantly (P = 0.025) associated with a greater risk of tumor recurrence. In addition, there was a trend to greater likelihood of "probable downstaging" (defined as surgical T stage less than preradiation ultrasound T stage) for lesions that were PCNA-negative or lesions with normal p53. Biomarkers measured in the postradiation surgical specimen were not associated with either freedom from relapse or response to radiation. Radiation treatment appeared to produce false-negatives in the final specimen. Thus, there were significantly more specimens converting from PCNA-positive to PCNA-negative after preoperative radiation than would be expected solely on the basis of sampling errors (P = 0.004). Similar results were found for abnormal p53 findings (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Prospective studies of biomarkers should be based on pretreatment specimens if preoperative radiation is given. For carcinoma of the rectum, PCNA and p53 may be useful predictors of both metastatic potential and responsiveness to radiation.

An image analysis study of DNA content in early colorectal cancer

The DNA content of 168 consecutive T3,N0,M0 (Dukes' B, Astler-Coller B2) colorectal cancers was studied using image analysis on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissues. 72 cases (43%) were classified as diploid and the remaining 96 (57%) as non-diploid. After a median follow-up period of 6.7 years, a significant survival advantage was found for diploid compared with non-diploid cases (logrank test; P = 0.008). The long-term (8 year) survival rate was 70% for diploid and 46% for non-diploid tumours. Subgroup analysis showed that the survival advantage conferred by tumour diploidy was greatest in large (> or = 5 cm) cancers and was found both in colonic and rectal cancer cases. These data indicate that tumour ploidy status measured by image analysis might be useful in determining risk of colorectal cancer recurrence and death in patients following resection of early colorectal cancer.

Prognostic evaluation of DNA flow cytometric and histopathologic parameters of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The clinical value of DNA flow cytometry of colorectal cancer is unclear. The purpose of this retrospective study was to evaluate the relationship between tumor flow cytometry, histopathologic parameters, and survival.

METHODS

Flow cytometry was performed on paraffin embedded specimens from 653 patients who had surgery from 1980 to 1983.

RESULTS

Aneuploidy was associated with distal tumor, perineural invasion, desmoplastic reaction, and failure to secrete mucin. TNM Stage I tumors were more frequently diploid than were more advanced tumors (71% vs. 41%). An abnormal DNA content had a marginal impact on survival as evaluated by univariate analysis (69% vs. 61% 10-year survival rate, P = 0.06). Multivariate analysis revealed that significant predictors of outcome were lymph node metastasis (95% confidence interval of relative risks of death from recurrent disease, 1.50-2.92), rectal cancer (1.22-2.19), absence of lymphocytic infiltration (1.20-2.17), invasion through bowel wall (1.17-3.13), lymphatic vessel invasion outside bowel wall (1.05-2.69), perineural invasion (1.15-3.19), and male gender (1.00-1.79).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that ploidy is associated with some histopathologic parameters, but flow cytometry does not correlate with long term survival of patients with colorectal carcinoma.

Prognostic value of pathological characteristics of colorectal cancer

The overall cure rate of colon cancer has not improved dramatically in the last decade, remaining at approximately 60% 5-year survival. The main reason for this lack of progress is that at the moment the primary tumour is resected, a significant proportion of the patients with seemingly localised disease already has (undetectable) micrometastases, mostly in the liver. The most important prognostic indicators have been extension of the tumour into the bowel wall and the presence of lymph node metastasis, as expressed in the Dukes classification. However, in the Dukes B and C categories, these parameters are poor predictors of final outcome. For improvement of the prognosis, in addition to earlier detection, more aggressive (adjuvant) treatment of high risk patients would be a rational strategy. This requires development of new therapeutic modalities, but also reliable stratification of patients according to high risk or low risk for recurrent disease. In recent years, many attempts have been made to improve the prediction of final outcome. Parameters studied include inflammatory response to the primary tumour, tumour cell growth fraction, tumour cell differentiation, genetic abnormalities and expression of genes involved in invasion and metastasis. Although some of these newer parameters have significant predictive value, in multivariant analyses, most appear to have limited independent value. Recent studies indicate that genetic abnormalities might be important new prognostic indicators. One of the most promising findings in this area is an allelic loss of chromosome 18q, which allows division of Dukes B patients into subgroups with low risk and high risk for recurrent disease.