A Panel of Biomarkers Associates With Increased Risk for Cardiovascular Events in Women With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Personalizing cardiovascular risk prediction for patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

OBJECTIVE

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is increased in SLE and underestimated by general population prediction algorithms. We aimed to develop a novel SLE-specific prediction tool, SLECRISK, to provide a more accurate estimate of CVD risk in SLE.

METHODS

We studied patients in the Brigham and Women's Hospital SLE cohort. We collected one-year baseline data including the presence of traditional CVD factors and SLE-related features at cohort enrollment. Ten-year follow-up for the first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or cardiac death) began at day +1 following the baseline period (index date). ICD-9/10 codes identified MACE were adjudicated by board-certified cardiologists. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression selected SLE-related variables to add to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Pooled Cohort Risk Equations 10-year risk Cox regression model. Model fit statistics and performance (sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive value, c-statistic) for predicting moderate/high 10-year risk (≥7.5 %) of MACE were assessed and compared to ACC/AHA, Framingham risk score (FRS), and modified FRS (mFRS). Optimism adjustment internal validation was performed using bootstrapping.

RESULTS

We included 1,243 patients with 90 MACEs (46 MIs, 36 strokes, 19 cardiac deaths) over 8946.5 person-years of follow-up. SLE variables selected for the new prediction algorithm (SLECRISK) were SLE activity (remission/mild vs. moderate/severe), disease duration (years), creatinine (mg/dL), anti-dsDNA, anti-RNP, lupus anticoagulant, anti-Ro positivity, and low C4. The sensitivity for detecting moderate/high-risk (≥7.5 %) of MACE using SLECRISK was 0.74 (95 %CI: 0.65, 0.83), which was better than the sensitivity of the ACC/AHA model (0.38 (95 %CI: 0.28, 0.48)). It also identified 3.4-fold more moderate/high-risk patients than the ACC/AHA. Patients who were moderate/high-risk according to SLECRISK but not ACC/AHA, were more likely to be young women with severe SLE and few other traditional CVD risk factors. Model performance between SLECRISK, FRS, and mFRS were similar.

CONCLUSION

The novel SLECRISK tool is more sensitive than the ACC/AHA for predicting moderate/high 10-year risk for MACE and may be particularly useful in predicting risk for young females with severe SLE. Future external validation studies utilizing cohorts with more severe SLE are needed.

Vascular damage in systemic lupus erythematosus

Vascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic autoimmune diseases, particularly systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Although comorbid cardiovascular risk factors are frequently present in patients with SLE, they do not explain the high burden of premature vascular disease. Profound innate and adaptive immune dysregulation seems to be the primary driver of accelerated vascular damage in SLE. In particular, evidence suggests that dysregulation of type 1 interferon (IFN-I) and aberrant neutrophils have key roles in the pathogenesis of vascular damage. IFN-I promotes endothelial dysfunction directly via effects on endothelial cells and indirectly via priming of immune cells that contribute to vascular damage. SLE neutrophils are vasculopathic in part because of their increased ability to form immunostimulatory neutrophil extracellular traps. Despite improvements in clinical care, cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of mortality among patients with SLE, and treatments that improve vascular outcomes are urgently needed. Improved understanding of the mechanisms of vascular injury in inflammatory conditions such as SLE could also have implications for common cardiovascular diseases, such as atherosclerosis and hypertension, and may ultimately lead to personalized therapeutic approaches to the prevention and treatment of this potentially fatal complication.

Update of Potential Biomarkers in Risk Prediction and Monitoring of Atherosclerosis in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus to Prevent Cardiovascular Disease

Systemic lupus erythematosus is a chronic connective tissue disease associated with an increased risk of premature atherosclerosis. It is estimated that approximately 10% of SLE patients develop significant atherosclerosis each year, which is responsible for premature cardiovascular disease that is largely asymptomatic. This review summarizes the most recent reports from the past few years on biomarkers of atherosclerosis in SLE, mainly focusing on immune markers. Persistent chronic inflammation of the vascular wall is an important cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events related to endothelial dysfunction, cell proliferation, impaired production and function of nitric oxide and microangiopathic changes. Studies on pathogenic immune mediators involved in atherosclerosis will be crucial research avenues for preventing CVD.

CX3CR1 modulates SLE-associated glomerulonephritis and cardiovascular disease in MRL/lpr mice

OBJECTIVE

Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) often develop multi-organ damages including heart and kidney complications. We sought to better define the underlying mechanisms with a focus on the chemokine receptor CX3CR1.

METHODS

We generated Cx3cr1-deficient MRL/lpr lupus-prone mice through backcrossing. We then employed heterozygous intercross to generate MRL/lpr littermates that were either sufficient or deficient of CX3CR1. The mice were also treated with either Lactobacillus spp. or a high-fat diet (HFD) followed by assessments of the kidney and heart, respectively.

RESULTS

Cx3cr1-/- MRL/lpr mice exhibited a distinct phenotype of exacerbated glomerulonephritis compared to Cx3cr1+/+ littermates, which was associated with a decrease of spleen tolerogenic marginal zone macrophages and an increase of double-negative T cells. Interestingly, upon correction of the gut microbiota with Lactobacillus administration, the phenotype of exacerbated glomerulonephritis was reversed, suggesting that CX3CR1 controls glomerulonephritis in MRL/lpr mice through a gut microbiota-dependent mechanism. Upon treatment with HFD, Cx3cr1-/- MRL/lpr mice developed significantly more atherosclerotic plaques that were promoted by Ly6C+ monocytes. Activated monocytes expressed ICOS-L that interacted with ICOS-expressing follicular T-helper cells, which in turn facilitated a germinal center reaction to produce more autoantibodies. Through a positive feedback mechanism, the increased circulatory autoantibodies further promoted the activation of Ly6C+ monocytes and their display of ICOS-L.

CONCLUSIONS

We uncovered novel, Cx3cr1 deficiency-mediated pathogenic mechanisms contributing to SLE-associated glomerulonephritis and cardiovascular disease.

Cardiovascular events and risk in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: Systematic literature review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease that typically affects women aged 16-55 years. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a well-recognized complication of SLE. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis evaluated the relative risk (RR; compared with non-SLE controls), absolute risk (AR; as incidence proportion, n/N), and incidence rate (IR) of CVD events (including stroke, myocardial infarction [MI], and CVD [composite or undefined]) in adult patients with SLE. The RR of CV risk factors (including hypertension, diabetes, and metabolic syndrome [MetS]) was also examined.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase were searched on September 10, 2020. Observational studies published between January 2010 and September 2020 that reported RR, AR, and/or IR of CVD events, or RR of CV risk factors, were eligible. Pooled risk estimates were calculated using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Forty-six studies (16 cross-sectional, 15 retrospective cohort, 14 prospective cohort, and 1 case-control) were included in meta-analyses. Most studies were considered high quality (Critical Appraisal Skills Programme checklists). Compared with adults without SLE, patients with SLE had statistically significantly higher RRs (95% CIs) of stroke (2.51 [2.03-3.10]; 12 studies), MI (2.92 [2.45-3.48]; 11 studies), CVD (2.24 [1.94-2.59]; 8 studies), and hypertension (2.70 [1.48-4.92]; 7 studies). RRs of diabetes (1.24 [0.78-1.96]; 3 studies) and MetS (1.49 [0.95-2.33]; 7 studies) were elevated but not significant. RRs of stroke and MI were generally higher in younger versus older patients with SLE. In patients with SLE, the pooled estimate of AR (95% CI) was 0.03 (0.02-0.05), 0.01 (0.00-0.02), and 0.06 (0.03-0.10) for stroke (7 studies), MI (6 studies), and CVD (8 studies), respectively. The pooled estimate of IR per 1000 person-years (95% CI) was 4.72 (3.35-6.32), 2.81 (1.61-4.32), and 11.21 (8.48-14.32) for stroke (10 studies), MI (6 studies), and CVD (8 studies), respectively. Although heterogeneity (based on I² value) was high in most analyses, sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the pooled estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis found an increased risk of stroke, MI, CVD, and hypertension in patients with SLE compared with the general population, despite substantial heterogeneity across the included studies.

Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in the Rheumatic Diseases:: An Integrative, Multiparametric Approach

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is increased in most inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRDs), reiterating the role of inflammation in the initiation and progression of atherosclerosis. An inverse association of CVD risk with body weight and lipid levels has been described in IRDs. Coronary artery calcium scores, plaque burden and characteristics, and carotid plaques on ultrasound optimize CVD risk estimate in IRDs. Biomarkers of cardiac injury, autoantibodies, lipid biomarkers, and cytokines also improve risk assessment in IRDs. Machine learning and deep learning algorithms for phenotype and image analysis hold promise to improve CVD risk stratification in IRDs.

Non-Traditional Pro-Inflammatory and Pro-Atherosclerotic Risk Factors Related to Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are one of the leading causes of high mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The Framingham risk score and other traditional risk factors do not fully reflect the CVD risk in SLE patients. Therefore, in order to stratify these high-risk patients, additional biomarkers for subclinical CVD are needed. The mechanisms of atherogenesis in SLE are still being investigated. During the past decades, many reports recognized that inflammation plays a crucial role in the development of atherosclerosis. The aim of this report is to present novel proinflammatory and pro-atherosclerotic risk factors that are closely related to SLE inflammation and which determine an increased risk for the occurrence of early cardiovascular events.

Baseline Elevations of Leukotriene Metabolites and Altered Plasmalogens Are Prognostic Biomarkers of Plaque Progression in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with an increased incidence of acute and chronic cardiovascular disease as compared to the general population. This study uses a comprehensive metabolomic screen of baseline sera from lupus patients to identify metabolites that predict future carotid plaque progression, following 8–9 years of follow-up. Nine patients had SLE without plaque progression, 8 had SLE and went on to develop atherosclerotic plaques (SLE^PP), and 8 patients were controls who did not have SLE. The arachidonic acid pathway metabolites, leukotriene B4 (LTB4) and 5-hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid (5-HETE), and the oxidized lipids 9/13-hydroxyoctodecadienoic acid (HODE) were found to be significantly altered (p < 0.05 and fold-change >2) in SLE^PP patients compared to SLE patients without plaque progression. SLE^PP patients also exhibited significantly altered levels of branched chain amino acid (BCAA) metabolites and plasmalogens compared to the non-SLE controls. Taken together with the rich literature on these metabolites, these findings suggest that the identified metabolites may not only be prognostic of cardiovascular disease development in SLE patients, but they may also be active drivers of atheroma formation. Early identification of these high risk SLE patients may help institute preventive measures early in the disease course.

Cardiovascular disease risk and pathogenesis in systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) often features extensive cardiovascular (CV) comorbidity and patients with SLE are at significantly increased risk of CV event occurrence and CV-related mortality. While the specific mechanisms leading to this increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remain to be fully characterized, this heightened risk cannot be fully explained by traditional CV risk factors and is likely driven by immunologic and inflammatory features of SLE. Widespread innate and adaptive immune dysregulation characterize SLE, and factors including excessive type I interferon burden, inappropriate formation and ineffective clearance of neutrophil extracellular traps, and autoantibody formation have been linked to clinical and metabolic features impacting CV risk in SLE and may represent pathogenic drivers of SLE-related CVD. Indeed, functional and phenotypic aberrations in almost every immune cell type are present in SLE and may impact CVD progression. As understanding of the contribution of SLE-specific factors to CVD in SLE improves, improved screening and monitoring of CV risk alongside development of therapeutic treatments aimed at prevention of CVD in SLE patients are required and remain the focus of several ongoing studies and lines of inquiry.

Extent of vascular plaque predicts future cardiovascular events in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

OBJECTIVE

Patients with SLE have increased prevalence of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) and subclinical atherosclerosis. Although 30-40% of patients with SLE have vascular plaque on ultrasound scanning, this study is the first to consider the relationship between total burden of plaque and subsequent CVD risk.

METHODS

One hundred patients with SLE and without any previous clinical CVD underwent vascular ultrasound scans of both carotid and both common femoral bifurcations between 2011 and 2013. Clinical, serological, demographic and treatment data were collected at baseline. Patients were followed till 2020 to identify those who developed new onset coronary disease or stroke. Statistical analysis to identify factors associated with increased risk of developing CVD events was carried out.

RESULTS

Thirty-six patients had plaque at baseline. During follow-up five patients (all had baseline plaque) developed coronary disease and two, without baseline plaque, developed lacunar strokes. Mean (s.d.) age of these patients was 46.5 (4.5) years. Patients with three or more baseline bifurcations with plaque were 10 times more likely to develop CVD than those with 0-2 bifurcations with plaques (OR 9.9, P = 0.009). TPA > 16mm2 was associated with six-fold increased risk of CVD (OR = 6.44, P = 0.028). Patients with disease duration > 14 years were more likely than those with disease duration < 14 years to develop CVD (OR 8.3 P = 0.043).

CONCLUSIONS

The number of bifurcations with plaque and TPA in patients with SLE may be valuable in assessing risk of CVD and deciding on clinical measures to reduce this risk.

Cardiovascular disease risk and pathogenesis in systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) often features extensive cardiovascular (CV) comorbidity and patients with SLE are at significantly increased risk of CV event occurrence and CV-related mortality. While the specific mechanisms leading to this increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remain to be fully characterized, this heightened risk cannot be fully explained by traditional CV risk factors and is likely driven by immunologic and inflammatory features of SLE. Widespread innate and adaptive immune dysregulation characterize SLE, and factors including excessive type I interferon burden, inappropriate formation and ineffective clearance of neutrophil extracellular traps, and autoantibody formation have been linked to clinical and metabolic features impacting CV risk in SLE and may represent pathogenic drivers of SLE-related CVD. Indeed, functional and phenotypic aberrations in almost every immune cell type are present in SLE and may impact CVD progression. As understanding of the contribution of SLE-specific factors to CVD in SLE improves, improved screening and monitoring of CV risk alongside development of therapeutic treatments aimed at prevention of CVD in SLE patients are required and remain the focus of several ongoing studies and lines of inquiry.

Emerging Molecular Markers Towards Potential Diagnostic Panels for Lupus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a multifactorial autoimmune disease which can affect various tissues and organs, posing significant challenges for clinical diagnosis and treatment. The etiology of SLE is highly complex with contributions from environmental factors, stochastic factors as well as genetic susceptibility. The current criteria for diagnosing SLE is based primarily on a combination of clinical presentations and traditional lab testing. However, these tests have suboptimal sensitivity and specificity. They are unable to indicate disease cause or guide physicians in decision-making for treatment. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a more accurate and robust tool for effective clinical management and drug development in lupus patients. It is fortunate that the emerging Omics have empowered scientists in the discovery and identification of potential novel biomarkers of SLE, especially the markers from blood, urine, cerebrospinal fluids (CSF), and other bodily fluids. However, many of these markers have not been carefully validated for clinical use. In addition, it is apparent that individual biomarkers lack sensitivity or specificity. This review summarizes the sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic value of emerging biomarkers from recent studies, and discusses the potential of these markers in the development of biomarker panel based diagnostics or disease monitoring system in SLE.

Assessing the validity of QRISK3 in predicting cardiovascular events in systemic lupus erythematosus

Objectives

Traditional cardiovascular risk calculators such as the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) have been shown to underestimate risk in patients with SLE. The QRISK3 calculator is unique in including SLE and corticosteroid use as risk factors. This study aims to assess the validity of QRISK3 compared with other cardiovascular risk models in a cohort of patients with SLE in the USA.

Methods

We studied a prospective cohort of 366 adult patients with SLE without history of any cardiovascular event and followed them for 10 years. We compared the diagnostic performance of QRISK3 with FRS, modified FRS, Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD), and Predictors of Risk for Elevated Flares, Damage Progression and Increased Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with SLE (PREDICTS).

Results

Sixty-four of the 366 patients (17.4%) experienced at least one cardiovascular event during the 10-year follow-up period. Of these patients 45% had a QRISK3 score >10%, whereas 20.5% of patients who did not have an event had a QRISK3 score >10% (p<0.001). The corresponding numbers for FRS, modified FRS, ASCVD and PREDICTS were 11.0% vs 7.2% (p=ns), 40.6% vs 28.0% (p=0.05), 12.2% vs 5.9% (p=ns), and 77% vs 32.1% (p<0.001), respectively. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve using QRISK3 >10% and high-risk PREDICTS were both larger than those using ASCVD >10%, FRS >10% and modified FRS >10%.

Conclusions

Both QRISK3 and PREDICTS demonstrated better performance in predicting risk of cardiovascular disease in this cohort of patients with SLE compared with FRS, modified FRS and ASCVD.

Cardiovascular disease in systemic lupus erythematosus

There is a well-known increased risk for cardiovascular disease that contributes to morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Major adverse cardiovascular events and subclinical atherosclerosis are both increased in this patient population. While traditional cardiac risk factors do contribute to the increased risk that is seen, lupus disease-related factors, medications, and genetic factors also impact the overall risk. SLE-specific inflammation, including oxidized lipids, cytokines, and altered immune cell subtypes all are likely to play a role in the pathogenesis of atherosclerotic plaques. Research is ongoing to identify biomarkers that can help clinicians to predict which SLE patients are at the greatest risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). While SLE-specific treatment regimens for the prevention of cardiovascular events have not been identified, current strategies include minimization of traditional cardiac risk factors and lowering of overall lupus disease activity.