NT-proBNP is associated with mortality and adverse cardiac events in patients with atrial fibrillation presenting to the emergency department

Correlation between triglyceride-glucose index and atrial fibrillation in acute coronary syndrome patients: a retrospective cohort study and the establishment of a LASSO-Logistic regression model

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance (IR) is an independent predictor of atrial fibrillation (AF), but the specific utility of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index as a predictive marker for the incidence of AF in the acute coronary syndrome (ACS) population has not yet been explored.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the correlation between TyG index and the risk of AF in ACS patients and to establish a predictive model.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 613 ACS patients admitted to the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine at the First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2022 to September 2024. Patients were divided into four groups based on quartiles of TyG index. Patients were further divided into two groups based on the occurrence of AF: the AF group and the non-AF group. Patient information was collected through the hospital's HIS system. Variable selection was completed using LASSO regression algorithms. Multivariate logistic bidirectional stepwise regression analysis was used to explore the correlation between the TyG index and the risk of AF in ACS patients and to construct a regression model. Three different models were constructed by adjusting for confounding factors and restricted cubic spline plots were drawn to validate the significance of the TyG index combined with AF further. The predictive value of the LASSO-multivariate logistic bidirectional stepwise regression model and the TyG index alone for predicting AF in ACS patients was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

The LASSO-multivariate logistic bidirectional stepwise regression algorithm showed that coronary heart disease (CHD), valvular heart disease (VHD), TyG, age (AGE), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were risk factors for AF in ACS. The restricted cubic spline model demonstrated a significant linear relationship between a higher TyG index and an increased risk of AF in the ACS patient population. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicting AF in ACS patients using the TyG index and the LASSO-multivariate logistic bidirectional stepwise regression model was 0.65(95%CI = 0.58 ~ 0.73) and 0.71(95%CI = 0.65 ~ 0.77) respectively. Additionally, the correlation between the TyG index and AF was consistent across different subgroups.

CONCLUSION

In ACS patients, the TyG index is a stable and independent predictor of AF, with specific clinical value in identifying the occurrence of AF in this population.

Randomized Invitation to Systematic NT-proBNP and ECG Screening in 75-Year-Olds to Detect Atrial Fibrillation: STROKESTOP II

BACKGROUND

Guidelines have suggested screening for atrial fibrillation to enable early treatment and avoid downstream negative clinical events. We aimed to determine whether atrial fibrillation screening potentially enhanced by NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) would reduce stroke or systemic embolism incidence compared with a control group and to determine whether it was safe for those with low NT-proBNP concentrations to forfeit prolonged screening.

METHODS

In this randomized controlled trial, all 75- and 76-year-old individuals in Stockholm Region, Sweden, were randomized 1:1 to be invited to screening or serve as a control group. NT-proBNP concentrations were measured, and a single-lead ECG was registered only once if NT-proBNP <125 ng/L, whereas if NT-proBNP ≥125 ng/L, participants underwent prolonged screening, recording single-lead ECGs 4 times daily for 2 weeks. If atrial fibrillation was detected, treatment was initiated. Baseline and outcome data were collected from Swedish National Registries.

RESULTS

In total, 28 712 individuals were randomized. After exclusion of death and emigration, 13 905 remained in the intervention group, 13 884 in the control group. The participation rate in the intervention group was 49.2% (6843 of 13 905). Participants in the high NT-proBNP group (NT-proBNP≥125 ng/L) without previous atrial fibrillation constituted 60% of the total and underwent prolonged screening. New atrial fibrillation was detected in 2.4% (165 of 6843) in the intervention group. There was no difference in atrial fibrillation prevalence or oral anticoagulant treatment between the intervention and the control group after 5 years of follow-up. After a median of 5.1 years (interquartile range, 5.0-5.8), there was no difference in the primary outcome of stroke or systemic embolism between the intervention group and the control group (hazard ratio, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.86-1.06]). The low NT-proBNP group had significantly fewer strokes or systemic emboli than the control group (hazard ratio, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.46-0.74]; P<0.001). In the high NT-proBNP group, the risk of stroke or systemic embolism was higher compared with the low NT-proBNP group (hazard ratio, 1.57 [95% CI, 1.22-2.02]; P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based screening trial for atrial fibrillation using NT-proBNP for screening enhancement, there was no difference in risk of stroke or systemic embolism for the intervention group compared with controls. Participation was moderate. The use of NT-proBNP for screening enhancement was safe in identifying low-risk participants.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02743416.

Diltiazem reduces levels of NT-proBNP and improves symptoms compared with metoprolol in patients with permanent atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Short-term treatment with calcium channel blockers lowers levels of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and reduces rhythm-related symptoms compared to treatment with beta-blockers. The aim of this study was to compare the effects of metoprolol and diltiazem for rate control in patients with permanent atrial fibrillation (AF) after 6 months.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Men and women with permanent AF and preserved left ventricular systolic function were randomized to receive either diltiazem 360 mg or metoprolol 100 mg once daily. The primary endpoint was the level of NT-proBNP after a 6-month treatment period. Secondary endpoints included heart rate, rhythm-related symptoms and exercise capacity. A total of 93 patients (mean age 71 ± 7 years, 28 women) were randomized. After 6-months' treatment, mean levels of NT-proBNP decreased in the diltiazem group and increased in the metoprolol group, with a significant between-group difference (409.8 pg/mL, 95% CI: 230.6-589.1, P < 0.001). Treatment with diltiazem significantly reduced rhythm-related symptoms compared to baseline, but no change was observed in the metoprolol group. Diltiazem and metoprolol had similar effects on heart rate and exercise capacity.

CONCLUSION

Diltiazem reduced NT-proBNP levels and improved rhythm-related symptoms. Metoprolol increased peptide levels but had no impact on symptoms despite similar heart rate reduction. Non-dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers should be considered more often for rate control in permanent AF.

Development and validation of a nomogram model for all-cause mortality risk in patients with chronic heart failure and atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

As the global aging process continues to accelerate, heart failure (HF) has become an important cause of increased morbidity and mortality in elderly patients. Chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for HF. Patients with HF combined with AF are more difficult to treat and have a worse prognosis. The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors for 1-year mortality in patients with HF combined with AF and to develop a risk prediction assessment model.

METHODS

We recruited hospitalized patients with HF and AF who received standardized care in the Department of Cardiology at Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from January 2013 to December 2018. The patients were randomly divided into modeling and internal validation groups using a random number generator at a 1:1 ratio. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for all-cause mortality during a one-year follow-up period. Then, a nomogram was constructed based on the weights of each index and validated. Receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the curve (AUC), decision curve, and calibration curve analyses for survival were used to evaluate the model's predictive and clinical validities and calibration.

RESULTS

We included 3,406 patients who met the eligibility criteria; 1,703 cases each were included in the modeling and internal validation groups. Eight statistically significant predictors were identified: age, sex, New York Heart Association cardiac function class III or IV, a history of myocardial infarction, and the albumin, triglycerides, N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide, and blood urea nitrogen levels. The AUCs were 0.793 (95% confidence interval: 0.763-0.823) and 0.794 (95% confidence interval: 0.763-0.823) in the modeling and validation cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We present a predictive model for all-cause mortality in patients with coexisting HF and AF comprising eight key factors. This model gives clinicians a simple assessment tool that may improve the clinical management of these patients.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Aminoterminal Prohormone of Brain Natriuretic Peptide in Heart Failure with Mildly Reduced Ejection Fraction Stratified by the Degree of Renal Dysfunction

Limited data concerning the diagnostic and prognostic value of blood-derived biomarkers in heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) is available. This study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of aminoterminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with HFmrEF, stratified by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Consecutive patients with HFmrEF were retrospectively included at one institution from 2016 to 2022. First, the diagnostic value of NT-proBNP for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) was tested. Thereafter, the prognostic value of NT-proBNP levels was tested for 30-months all-cause mortality in patients with ADHF. From a total of 755 patients hospitalized with HFmrEF, the rate of ADHF was 42%. Patients with ADHF revealed higher NT-proBNP levels compared to patients without (median 5394 pg/mL vs. 1655 pg/mL; p = 0.001). NT-proBNP was able to discriminate ADHF with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.777 (p = 0.001), with the highest AUC in patients with eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min (AUC = 0.800; p = 0.001), and no diagnostic value was seen in eGFR < 30 mL/min (AUC = 0.576; p = 0.210). Patients with NT-proBNP levels > 3946 pg/mL were associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality at 30 months (57.7% vs. 34.4%; HR = 2.036; 95% CI 1.423-2.912; p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.712; 95% CI 1.166-2.512; p = 0.006). In conclusion, increasing NT-proBNP levels predicted the risk of ADHF and all-cause mortality in patients with HFmrEF and preserved renal function; however, NT-proBNP levels were not predictive in patients with HFmrEF and eGFR < 30 mL/min.

Atrial Fibrillation, thromboembolic risk, and the potential role of the natriuretic peptides, a focus on BNP and NT-proBNP - A narrative review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most commonly encountered arrythmia in clinical practice. AF itself can be driven by genetic predisposition, ectopic electrical activity, and abnormal atrial tissue substrates. Often there is no single etiological mechanism, but rather a combination of factors that feed back to remodel and worsen tissue substrate, "AF begets AF". The clinical consequences of AF can often include emboli, heart failure, and early mortality. The classical AF cardioembolic (CE) concept requires thrombus formation in the left atrial appendage, with subsequent embolization. The temporal dissociation between AF occurrence and CE events has thrown doubt on AF as the driver of this mechanism. Instead, there has been a resurgence of the "atrial cardiomyopathy" (ACM) concept. An ACM is proposed as a potential mechanism of embolic disease through promotion of prothrombotic mechanisms, with AF instead reflecting atrial disease severity. Regardless, AF has been implicated in 25% to 30% of cryptogenic strokes. Natriuretic peptide(NP)s have been shown to be elevated in AF, with higher levels of both NT-proBNP and BNP being predictive of incidental AF. NPs potentially reflect the atrial environment and could be used to identify an underlying ACM. Therefore, this narrative review examines this evidence and mechanisms that may underpin the role of NPs in identifying atrial dysfunction, with focus on both, BNP and NTproBNP. We explore their potential role in the prediction and screening for both, ACM and AF. Moreover, we compare both NPs directly to ascertain a superior biomarker.

Laboratory predictors of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in clinical practice that affects intracardiac hemodynamics and is accompanied by increased mortality due to the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism. In recent years, numerous studies, evaluating the use of biomarkers in AF patients, have been conducted to expand the possibility of stratification the complications risks.

The aim of the review is to evaluate the possible isolated and combined predictive significance of NT-proBNP, troponin T (TnT) and D-dimer levels in the development and progression of AF and its thromboembolic complications according to published data. Determining the level of NT-proBNP can be used to diagnose cardioembolic stroke in latent forms of AF. Patients with a cardioembolic stroke have been shown to have higher BNP/NT-proBNP levels than patients with an atherothrombotic stroke and venous thromboembolism. Elevated TnT level is independently associated with AF detection as a cause of stroke. The assessment on the CHADS2 scale significantly correlates with the level of troponin I (TnI). However, it is equally important to take into account TnI level even with a low score of CHADS2. Patients with the level of TnI ≥ 0.040 pg/L are considered to be prescribed anticoagulants in the same way as the patients with high CHADS2 score. Similar results were obtained analyzing high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) data. The level of D-dimer 0.315 mg/L was determined to be the optimal limit level for predicting the adverse functional outcome of stroke owing to AF. Patients with a high level of D-dimer have shown a high risk of developing thromboembolic and cardiovascular complications despite their taking anticoagulant drugs. D-dimer levels positively correlate with the CHA2DS2 and CHA2DS2-VASC scales of stroke risk stratification. The analysis of the biomarkers combination has revealed the increase of hs-cTnT and BNP associated with stroke in AF patients (p<0.05). However, ABC scale, including hs-cTnT and NT- pro BNP, hasn't given more accurate result in stroke predicting than CHA2DS2-VASc scale. The integration of biomarkers in predicting the risk of AF occurrence, progression and appearance of thromboembolic complications is a promising direction. An isolated level of biomarkers (hs-cTnT, NT-proBNP, D-dimer) and their combination with clinical risk factors can improve the quality of cardioembolic strokes prognosis.

Association of natriuretic peptide and adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A meta-analysis

Studies on the association of elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)/N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level with adverse clinical outcomes have yielded conflicting results in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This meta-analysis aimed to assess the prognostic value of BNP/NT-proBNP level in AF patients. A comprehensive literature search was conducted using PubMed and Embase databases up to July 1, 2020. Studies investigating the association between BNP/NT-proBNP level and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with AF were eligible. Outcome measures were all-cause mortality, stroke/systemic embolism, major bleed, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Ten studies recruiting 29 543 patients with AF were included. Elevated BNP/NT-proBNP level was independently associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality (risk ratios [RR] 1.92; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.50-2.45), stroke/systemic embolism (risk ratio [RR] 2.53; 95% CI 2.00-3.19), and MACEs (RR 2.17; 95% CI 1.89-2.49). However, the association between elevated BNP/NT-proBNP level and major bleed was not statistically significant (RR 1.14; 95% CI 0.92-1.40). Elevated BNP/NT-proBNP level is significantly associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality, stroke/systemic embolism, and MACEs. Determination of BNP/NT-proBNP level may play an important role in risk stratification of AF patients.

Pulmonary Congestion Complicating Atrial Fibrillation Cardioversion

Acute pulmonary congestion (APC) may occur within hours after electrical cardioversion of atrial fibrillation (AF). There is scarce data about its incidence, risk factors, and the outcome. In the present study, data of consecutive patients admitted for first electrical cardioversion for AF between 2007 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. APC within the 48 hours following cardioversion was defined as dyspnea and at least one of the following: drop in saturation to <90%, administration of intravenous diuretic or an emergent chest X-ray with new pulmonary congestion. All-cause mortality was determined from the national registry. Total of 1,696 patients had first cardioversion for AF, of whom 66 (3.9%) had APC. In a multivariate logistic regression model independent predictors of APC included (OR [CI], p): older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02 to 1.08, p = 0.001), rapid ventricular response (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.17 to 3.34, 0.010), previous heart failure (OR 3.53, 95% CI 2.09 to 5.97, p <0.001), Amiodarone loading (OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.18 to 4.79, p = 0.016) and diabetes mellitus (OR 1.77 95% CI 1.05 to 3.00, p = 0.033). There was no difference in cardioversion success rate (overall 94%). In-hospital mortality was 1.5% within the APC group and 0.5% without (p = 0.301). Patients with APC had higher rate of 6-month readmissions (28.8% vs 18.1% p <0.028). Within a median follow-up of 2.9 years, APC following cardioversion was an independent predictor of overall mortality (hazard ratio 1.73, 95% CI (1.17 to 2.56) p = 0.006). In conclusion, APC occurs in 3.9% of hospitalized patients following electrical AF cardioversion. Risk factors include increased age, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, Amiodarone loading and rapid ventricular response. APC following cardioversion is associated with increased rates of readmissions and mortality.

NT-proBNP is associated with mortality and adverse cardiac events in patients with atrial fibrillation presenting to the emergency department

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in the emergency department. The CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score helps to predict thromboembolic risk; however, the rate of other adverse cardiac events is more difficult to predict.

HYPOTHESIS

The biomarker N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has prognostic value in patients presenting to the emergency department with AF.

METHODS

During a 1.5-year period, a prospective study was performed in consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with AF on the presenting electrocardiogram. At baseline, NT-proBNP was measured. The primary endpoints were all-cause death and major adverse cardiac events (MACE: all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or revascularization).

RESULTS

A total of 355 patients were included (mean age, 71 years; 55% male). The median duration of follow-up was 2 years. After adjustment for baseline variables, the logNT-proBNP was independently correlated with death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-1.99) and MACE (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.03-1.58). After adjustment for baseline variables, a high NT-proBNP value (>500 pmol/L) was independently correlated with death (HR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.19-4.28), and for MACE a trend was seen (HR: 1.67, 95% CI: 0.96-2.91) compared with a low value (<250 pmol/L).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients presenting to the emergency department with AF, higher NT-proBNP values are independently associated with an increased mortality and MACE. Therefore, this biomarker may be a useful prognostic marker in the management and treatment of these patients.