Rainfall seasonality and drought performance shape the distribution of tropical tree species in Ghana

Riparian areas as a conservation priority under climate change

Identifying climatic refugia is important for long-term conservation planning under climate change. Riparian areas have the potential to provide climatic refugia for wildlife, but literature remains limited, especially for plants. This study was conducted with the purpose of identifying climatic refugia of plant biodiversity in the portion of the Mekong River Basin located in Xishuangbanna, China. We first predicted the current and future (2050s and 2070s) potential distribution of 50 threatened woody species in Xishuangbanna by using an ensemble of small models, then stacked the predictions for individual species to derive spatial biodiversity patterns within each 10 × 10 km grid cell. We then identified the top 17 % of the areas for spatial biodiversity patterns as biodiversity hotspots, with climatic refugia defined as areas that remained as biodiversity hotspots over time. Stepwise regression and linear correlation were applied to analyze the environmental correlations with spatial biodiversity patterns and the relationships between climatic refugia and river distribution, respectively. Our results showed potential upward and northward shifts in threatened woody species, with range contractions and expansions predicted. The spatial biodiversity patterns shift from southeast to northwest, and were influenced by temperature, precipitation, and elevation heterogeneity. Climatic refugia under climate change were related closely to river distribution in Xishuangbanna, with riparian areas identified that could provide climatic refugia. These refugial zones are recommended as priority conservation areas for mitigating the impacts of climate change on biodiversity. Our study confirmed that riparian areas could act as climatic refugia for plants and emphasizes the conservation prioritization of riparian areas within river basins for protecting biodiversity under climate change.

Intraspecific variation in growth response to drought stress across geographic locations and genetic groups in Coffea canephora

Uganda lies within the drier end of the natural distribution range of Coffea canephora and contains unexplored genetic material that could be drought-adapted and useful for developing climate-resilient varieties. Using water treatment: (i) ample and (ii) restricted-water, the response of 148 genotypes were studied comprising wild, feral and cultivated C. canephora. Biomass allocation, standing leaf area and leaf area growth data were collected. Linear mixed effect models and PCA were used to the analyze effect of water treatment on genotypes from different: (i) cultivation status, (ii) genetic groups and (iii) locations. We also assessed the relationship between drought tolerance for relative growth rate in leaf area (RGRA), total number of leaves (TNL), total leaf area (TLA) and total leaf dry weight (TLDW) of genotypes at final harvest. Restricted-water reduced RGRA across genetic groups (3.2-32.5%) and locations (7.1-36.7%) but not cultivation status. For TNL, TLA and TLDW, genotypes that performed well in ample-water performed worse under restricted-water, indicating growth-tolerance trade-off. Drought tolerance in RGRA and TNL were negatively correlated with wetness index suggesting some degree of adaptation to local climate. Findings indicate a growth-tolerance trade-off within this tropical tree species and drought tolerance of Uganda's C. canephora is somewhat associated with local climate.

Not all species will migrate poleward as the climate warms: The case of the seven baobab species in Madagascar

It is commonly accepted that species should move toward higher elevations and latitudes to track shifting isotherms as climate warms. However, temperature might not be the only limiting factor determining species distribution. Species might move to opposite directions to track changes in other climatic variables. Here, we used an extensive occurrence data set and an ensemble modelling approach to model the climatic niche and to predict the distribution of the seven baobab species (genus Adansonia) present in Madagascar. Using climatic projections from three global circulation models, we predicted species' future distribution and extinction risk for 2055 and 2085 under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and two dispersal scenarios. We disentangled the role of each climatic variable in explaining species range shift looking at relative variable importance and future climatic anomalies. Four baobab species (Adansonia rubrostipa, Adansonia madagascariensis, Adansonia perrieri¸ and Adansonia suarezensis) could experience a severe range contraction in the future (>70% for year 2085 under RCP 8.5, assuming a zero-dispersal hypothesis). For three out of the four threatened species, range contraction was mainly explained by an increase in temperature seasonality, especially in the North of Madagascar, where they are currently distributed. In tropical regions, where species are commonly adapted to low seasonality, we found that temperature seasonality will generally increase. It is, thus, very likely that many species in the tropics will be forced to move equatorward to avoid an increase in temperature seasonality. Yet, several ecological (e.g., equatorial limit, or unsuitable deforested habitat) or geographical barriers (absence of lands) could prevent species to move equatorward, thus increasing the extinction risk of many tropical species, like endemic baobab species in Madagascar.

Weak tradeoff between xylem hydraulic efficiency and safety: climatic seasonality matters

A classic theory proposes that plant xylem cannot be both highly efficient in water transport and resistant to embolism, and therefore a hydraulic efficiency-safety trade-off should exist. However, the trade-off is weak, and many species exhibit both low efficiency and low safety, falling outside of the expected trade-off space. It remains unclear under what climatic conditions these species could maintain competitive fitness. We compiled hydraulic efficiency and safety traits for 682 observations of 499 woody species from 178 sites world-wide and measured the position of each observation within the proposed trade-off space. For both angiosperms and gymnosperms, observations from sites with high climatic seasonality, especially precipitation seasonality, tended to have higher hydraulic safety and efficiency than observations from sites with low seasonality. Specifically, high vapour pressure deficit, high solar radiation, and low precipitation during the wet season were driving factors. Strong climatic seasonality and drought in both dry and wet seasons appear to be ecological filters that select for species with co-optimized safety and efficiency, whereas the opposite environmental conditions may allow the existence of plants with low efficiency and safety.

Differential Expression of Maize and Teosinte microRNAs under Submergence, Drought, and Alternated Stress

Submergence and drought stresses are the main constraints to crop production worldwide. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are known to play a major role in plant response to various stresses. In this study, we analyzed the expression of maize and teosinte miRNAs by high-throughput sequencing of small RNA libraries in maize and its ancestor teosinte (Zea mays ssp. parviglumis), under submergence, drought, and alternated stress. We found that the expression patterns of 67 miRNA sequences representing 23 miRNA families in maize and other plants were regulated by submergence or drought. miR159a, miR166b, miR167c, and miR169c were downregulated by submergence in both plants but more severely in maize. miR156k and miR164e were upregulated by drought in teosinte but downregulated in maize. Small RNA profiling of teosinte subject to alternate treatments with drought and submergence revealed that submergence as the first stress attenuated the response to drought, while drought being the first stress did not alter the response to submergence. The miRNAs identified herein, and their potential targets, indicate that control of development, growth, and response to oxidative stress could be crucial for adaptation and that there exists evolutionary divergence between these two subspecies in miRNA response to abiotic stresses.