Automated classification of depression from structural brain measures across two independent community-based cohorts

Multi-site benchmark classification of major depressive disorder using machine learning on cortical and subcortical measures

Machine learning (ML) techniques have gained popularity in the neuroimaging field due to their potential for classifying neuropsychiatric disorders. However, the diagnostic predictive power of the existing algorithms has been limited by small sample sizes, lack of representativeness, data leakage, and/or overfitting. Here, we overcome these limitations with the largest multi-site sample size to date (N = 5365) to provide a generalizable ML classification benchmark of major depressive disorder (MDD) using shallow linear and non-linear models. Leveraging brain measures from standardized ENIGMA analysis pipelines in FreeSurfer, we were able to classify MDD versus healthy controls (HC) with a balanced accuracy of around 62%. But after harmonizing the data, e.g., using ComBat, the balanced accuracy dropped to approximately 52%. Accuracy results close to random chance levels were also observed in stratified groups according to age of onset, antidepressant use, number of episodes and sex. Future studies incorporating higher dimensional brain imaging/phenotype features, and/or using more advanced machine and deep learning methods may yield more encouraging prospects.

Aberrant resting-state co-activation network dynamics in major depressive disorder

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a globally prevalent and highly disabling disease characterized by dysfunction of large-scale brain networks. Previous studies have found that static functional connectivity is not sufficient to reflect the complicated and time-varying properties of the brain. The underlying dynamic interactions between brain functional networks of MDD remain largely unknown, and it is also unclear whether neuroimaging-based dynamic properties are sufficiently robust to discriminate individuals with MDD from healthy controls since the diagnosis of MDD mainly depends on symptom-based criteria evaluated by clinical observation. Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data of 221 MDD patients and 215 healthy controls were shared by REST-meta-MDD consortium. We investigated the spatial-temporal dynamics of MDD using co-activation pattern analysis and made individual diagnoses using support vector machine (SVM). We found that MDD patients exhibited aberrant dynamic properties (such as dwell time, occurrence rate, transition probability, and entropy of Markov trajectories) in some transient networks including subcortical network (SCN), activated default mode network (DMN), de-activated SCN-cerebellum network, a joint network, activated attention network (ATN), and de-activated DMN-ATN, where some dynamic properties were indicative of depressive symptoms. The trajectories of other networks to deactivated DMN-ATN were more accessible in MDD patients. Subgroup analyses also showed subtle dynamic changes in first-episode drug-naïve (FEDN) MDD patients. Finally, SVM achieved preferable accuracies of 84.69%, 76.77%, and 88.10% in discriminating patients with MDD, FEDN MDD, and recurrent MDD from healthy controls with their dynamic metrics. Our findings reveal that MDD is characterized by aberrant dynamic fluctuations of brain network and the feasibility of discriminating MDD patients using dynamic properties, which provide novel insights into the neural mechanism of MDD.

Brain multi-contrast, multi-atlas segmentation of diffusion tensor imaging and ensemble learning automatically diagnose late-life depression

We investigated the potential of machine learning for diagnostic classification in late-life major depression based on an advanced whole brain white matter segmentation framework. Twenty-six late-life depression and 12 never depressed individuals aged > 55 years, matched for age, MMSE, and education underwent brain diffusion tensor imaging and a multi-contrast, multi-atlas segmentation in MRIcloud. Fractional anisotropy volume, mean fractional anisotropy, trace, axial and radial diffusivity (RD) extracted from 146 white matter parcels for each subject were used to train and test the AdaBoost classifier using stratified 12-fold cross validation. Performance was evaluated using various measures. The statistical power of the classifier was assessed using label permutation test. Statistical analysis did not yield significant differences in DTI measures between the groups. The classifier achieved a balanced accuracy of 71% and an Area Under the Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.81 by trace, and a balanced accuracy of 70% and a ROC-AUC of 0.80 by RD, in limbic, cortico-basal ganglia-thalamo-cortical loop, brainstem, external and internal capsules, callosal and cerebellar structures. Both indices shared important structures for classification, while fornix was the most important structure for classification by both indices. The classifier proved statistically significant, as trace and RD ROC-AUC scores after permutation were lower than those obtained with the actual data (P = 0.022 and P = 0.024, respectively). Similar results were obtained with the Gradient Boosting classifier, whereas the RBF-kernel Support Vector Machine with k-best feature selection did not exceed the chance level. Finally, AdaBoost significantly predicted the class using all features together. Limitations are discussed. The results encourage further investigation of the implemented methods for computer aided diagnostics and anatomically informed therapeutics.

Systematic Review: White Matter Microstructural Organization in Adolescents With Depression

Objective

A growing body of literature has focused on the neural mechanisms of depression. Our goal was to conduct a systematic review on the white matter microstructural differences in adolescents with depressive disorders vs adolescents without depressive disorders.

Method

We searched PubMed and PsycINFO for publications on August 3, 2022 (original search conducted in July 2021). The review was registered on PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42021268200), and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed. Eligible studies were original research papers comparing diffusion tensor/spectrum imaging findings in adolescents with vs without depression (originally ages 12-19 years, later expanded to 11-21 years). Studies were excluded if they focused on depression exclusively in the context of another condition, used only dimensional depressive symptom assessment(s), or used the same dataset as another included publication.

Results

The search yielded 575 unique records, of which 14 full-text papers were included (824 adolescents with depression and 686 without depression). The following white matter regions showed significant differences in fractional anisotropy in at least 3 studies: uncinate fasciculus, cingulum, anterior corona radiata, inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus, and corpus callosum (genu and body). Most studies reported decreased, rather than increased, fractional anisotropy in adolescents with depression. Limitations include the possibility for selective reporting bias and risk of imprecision, given the small sample sizes in some studies.

Conclusion

Our systematic review suggests aberrant white matter microstructure in limbic-cortical-striatal-thalamic circuits, and the corpus callosum, in adolescents with depression. Future research should focus on developmental trajectories in depression, identifying sources of heterogeneity and integrating findings across imaging modalities.

Structural brain correlates of childhood trauma with replication across two large, independent community-based samples

INTRODUCTION

Childhood trauma and adversity are common across societies and have strong associations with physical and psychiatric morbidity throughout the life-course. One possible mechanism through which childhood trauma may predispose individuals to poor psychiatric outcomes is via associations with brain structure. This study aimed to elucidate the associations between childhood trauma and brain structure across two large, independent community cohorts.

METHODS

The two samples comprised (i) a subsample of Generation Scotland (n=1,024); and (ii) individuals from UK Biobank (n=27,202). This comprised n=28,226 for mega-analysis. MRI scans were processed using Free Surfer, providing cortical, subcortical, and global brain metrics. Regression models were used to determine associations between childhood trauma measures and brain metrics and psychiatric phenotypes.

RESULTS

Childhood trauma associated with lifetime depression across cohorts (OR 1.06 GS, 1.23 UKB), and related to early onset and recurrent course within both samples. There was evidence for associations between childhood trauma and structural brain metrics. This included reduced global brain volume, and reduced cortical surface area with highest effects in the frontal (β=-0.0385, SE=0.0048, p(FDR)=5.43x10-15) and parietal lobes (β=-0.0387, SE=0.005, p(FDR)=1.56x10-14). At a regional level the ventral diencephalon (VDc) displayed significant associations with childhood trauma measures across both cohorts and at mega-analysis (β=-0.0232, SE=0.0039, p(FDR)=2.91x10-8). There were also associations with reduced hippocampus, thalamus, and nucleus accumbens volumes.

DISCUSSION

Associations between childhood trauma and reduced global and regional brain volumes were found, across two independent UK cohorts, and at mega-analysis. This provides robust evidence for a lasting effect of childhood adversity on brain structure.

AI-based dimensional neuroimaging system for characterizing heterogeneity in brain structure and function in major depressive disorder: COORDINATE-MDD consortium design and rationale

BACKGROUND

Efforts to develop neuroimaging-based biomarkers in major depressive disorder (MDD), at the individual level, have been limited to date. As diagnostic criteria are currently symptom-based, MDD is conceptualized as a disorder rather than a disease with a known etiology; further, neural measures are often confounded by medication status and heterogeneous symptom states.

METHODS

We describe a consortium to quantify neuroanatomical and neurofunctional heterogeneity via the dimensions of novel multivariate coordinate system (COORDINATE-MDD). Utilizing imaging harmonization and machine learning methods in a large cohort of medication-free, deeply phenotyped MDD participants, patterns of brain alteration are defined in replicable and neurobiologically-based dimensions and offer the potential to predict treatment response at the individual level. International datasets are being shared from multi-ethnic community populations, first episode and recurrent MDD, which are medication-free, in a current depressive episode with prospective longitudinal treatment outcomes and in remission. Neuroimaging data consist of de-identified, individual, structural MRI and resting-state functional MRI with additional positron emission tomography (PET) data at specific sites. State-of-the-art analytic methods include automated image processing for extraction of anatomical and functional imaging variables, statistical harmonization of imaging variables to account for site and scanner variations, and semi-supervised machine learning methods that identify dominant patterns associated with MDD from neural structure and function in healthy participants.

RESULTS

We are applying an iterative process by defining the neural dimensions that characterise deeply phenotyped samples and then testing the dimensions in novel samples to assess specificity and reliability. Crucially, we aim to use machine learning methods to identify novel predictors of treatment response based on prospective longitudinal treatment outcome data, and we can externally validate the dimensions in fully independent sites.

CONCLUSION

We describe the consortium, imaging protocols and analytics using preliminary results. Our findings thus far demonstrate how datasets across many sites can be harmonized and constructively pooled to enable execution of this large-scale project.

Distinguishing major depressive disorder from bipolar disorder in remission: A brain structural network analysis

BACKGROUND

It is challenging to differentiate major depressive disorder (MDD) from bipolar disorder (BD) in depression and remission. To exclude the potential influence of depressive episodes, we compared the white matter (WM) network between MDD and BD patients in remission to find disease-specific alterations in MDD and BD, and then distinguish these two affective disorders.

METHODS

We recruited 33 patients with remitted MDD (rMDD), 54 patients with remitted BD (rBD), and 60 healthy controls (HCs). Diffusion tensor imaging and high-resolution 3D T1-weighted image were acquired. Global and nodal topological parameters were used to depict the alterations of the whole-brain WM network.

RESULTS

We found that rMDD displayed increased global network efficiency (E_glob) and local network efficiency (E_loc) compared with HCs, whereas we found no significance between rBD and HCs. Compared with rBD and HCs, patients in the rMDD group showed increased nodal degree and nodal efficiency, and decreased nodal shortest path length in the four cerebral regions, including the right calcarine fissure (CAL.R), right cuneus (CUN.R), left lingual gyrus (LING.L), and left middle occipital gyrus (MOG.L). We did not find any rBD specific changes of nodal topological metrics.

LIMITATIONS

The main limitation is the possible effects of medication and BD subtypes on the results.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that rMDD exhibited elevated global properties compared with HCs group, and increased nodal properties in the CAL.R, CUN.R, LING.L, and MOG.L specifically compared with rBD and HCs, which may underlie the distinction of the two affective disorders in remission.

Common and unique neural activities in subclinical depression and major depressive disorder indicate the development of brain impairments in different depressive stages

BACKGROUND

Subclinical depression (SD) and major depressive disorder (MDD) can be considered as the early and late stages of depression, but the characteristics of intrinsic neural activity in different depressive stages are largely unknown.

METHODS

Twenty-six SD, 36 MDD subjects and 33 well-matched healthy controls (HCs) were recruited and underwent resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI). Voxel-wise regional homogeneity (ReHo) was analyzed to explore the alterations of intrinsic neural activity, and machine learning classification based on ReHo features was performed to assess potential performance for diagnostic classification.

RESULTS

Common alterations of ReHo in both SD and MDD groups were found in the bilateral middle temporal gyrus and the left middle occipital gyrus. Opposite alterations in SD and MDD groups were found in the right superior cerebellum. Moreover, increased ReHo in the bilateral precuneus was only found in MDD, while increased ReHo in the right middle frontal gyrus and precentral gyrus were unique to SD. The distinct ReHo values correctly identified SD, MDD, and HC by linear support vector machine (SVM) with an accuracy of 77.89 %, which further verified the discrimination ability of altered ReHo in these brain regions.

LIMITATION

The sample size is relatively small.

CONCLUSION

Common and unique ReHo alterations provided insights into the development of brain impairments in depression, and helped to understand the pathophysiology of SD and MDD.

Identification of suicidality in patients with major depressive disorder via dynamic functional network connectivity signatures and machine learning

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a severe brain disease associated with a significant risk of suicide. Identification of suicidality is sometimes life-saving for MDD patients. We aimed to explore the use of dynamic functional network connectivity (dFNC) for suicidality detection in MDD patients. A total of 173 MDD patients, including 48 without suicide risk (NS), 74 with suicide ideation (SI), and 51 having attempted suicide (SA), participated in the present study. Thirty-eight healthy controls were also recruited for comparison. A sliding window approach was used to derive the dFNC, and the K-means clustering method was used to cluster the windowed dFNC. A linear support vector machine was used for classification, and leave-one-out cross-validation was performed for validation. Other machine learning methods were also used for comparison. MDD patients had widespread hypoconnectivity in both the strongly connected states (states 2 and 5) and the weakly connected state (state 4), while the dysfunctional connectivity within the weakly connected state (state 4) was mainly driven by suicidal attempts. Furthermore, dFNC matrices, especially the weakly connected state, could be used to distinguish MDD from healthy controls (area under curve [AUC] = 82), and even to identify suicidality in MDD patients (AUC = 78 for NS vs. SI, AUC = 88 for NS vs. SA, and AUC = 74 for SA vs. SI), with vision-related and default-related inter-network connectivity serving as important features. Thus, the dFNC abnormalities observed in this study might further improve our understanding of the neural substrates of suicidality in MDD patients.

Integrated methylome and phenome study of the circulating proteome reveals markers pertinent to brain health

Characterising associations between the methylome, proteome and phenome may provide insight into biological pathways governing brain health. Here, we report an integrated DNA methylation and phenotypic study of the circulating proteome in relation to brain health. Methylome-wide association studies of 4058 plasma proteins are performed (N = 774), identifying 2928 CpG-protein associations after adjustment for multiple testing. These are independent of known genetic protein quantitative trait loci (pQTLs) and common lifestyle effects. Phenome-wide association studies of each protein are then performed in relation to 15 neurological traits (N = 1,065), identifying 405 associations between the levels of 191 proteins and cognitive scores, brain imaging measures or APOE e4 status. We uncover 35 previously unreported DNA methylation signatures for 17 protein markers of brain health. The epigenetic and proteomic markers we identify are pertinent to understanding and stratifying brain health.

Comparing personalized brain-based and genetic risk scores for major depressive disorder in large population samples of adults and adolescents

BACKGROUND

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a polygenic disorder associated with brain alterations but until recently, there have been no brain-based metrics to quantify individual-level variation in brain morphology. Here, we evaluated and compared the performance of a new brain-based 'Regional Vulnerability Index' (RVI) with polygenic risk scores (PRS), in the context of MDD. We assessed associations with syndromal MDD in an adult sample (N = 702, age = 59 ± 10) and with subclinical depressive symptoms in a longitudinal adolescent sample (baseline N = 3,825, age = 10 ± 1; 2-year follow-up N = 2,081, age = 12 ± 1).

METHODS

MDD-RVIs quantify the correlation of the individual's corresponding brain metric with the expected pattern for MDD derived in an independent sample. Using the same methodology across samples, subject-specific MDD-PRS and six MDD-RVIs based on different brain modalities (subcortical volume, cortical thickness, cortical surface area, mean diffusivity, fractional anisotropy, and multimodal) were computed.

RESULTS

In adults, MDD-RVIs (based on white matter and multimodal measures) were more strongly associated with MDD (β = 0.099-0.281, PFDR = 0.001-0.043) than MDD-PRS (β = 0.056-0.152, PFDR = 0.140-0.140). In adolescents, depressive symptoms were associated with MDD-PRS at baseline and follow-up (β = 0.084-0.086, p = 1.38 × 10-4-4.77 × 10-4) but not with any MDD-RVIs (β < 0.05, p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results potentially indicate the ability of brain-based risk scores to capture a broader range of risk exposures than genetic risk scores in adults and are also useful in helping us to understand the temporal origins of depression-related brain features. Longitudinal data, specific to the developmental period and on white matter measures, will be useful in informing risk for subsequent psychiatric illness.

An insight into diagnosis of depression using machine learning techniques: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

In this modern era, depression is one of the most prevalent mental disorders from which millions of individuals are affected today. The symptoms of depression are heterogeneous and often coincide with other disorders such as bipolar disorder, Parkinson's, schizophrenia, etc. It is a serious mental illness that may lead to other health problems if left untreated. Currently, identifying individuals with depression is totally based on the expertise of the clinician's experience. In order to assist clinicians in identifying the characteristics and classifying depressed people, different types of data modalities and machine learning techniques have been incorporated by researchers in this field. This study aims to find the answers to some important questions related to the trend of publications, data modality, machine learning models, dataset usage, pre-processing techniques and feature extraction and selection techniques that are prevalent and guide the direction of future research on depression diagnosis.

METHODS

This systematic review was conducted using a broad range of articles from two major databases: IEEE Xplore and PubMed. Studies ranging from the years 2011 to April 2021 were retrieved from the databases resulting in a total of 590 articles (53 articles from the IEEE Xplore database and 537 articles from the PubMed database). Out of those, the articles which satisfied the defined inclusion criteria were investigated for further analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 135 articles were identified and analysed for this review. High growth in the number of publications has been observed in recent years. Furthermore, significant diversity in the use of data modalities and machine learning classifiers has also been noted in this study. fMRI data with an SVM classifier was found to be the most popular choice among researchers. In most of the studies, data scarcity and small sample size, particularly for neuroimaging data are major concerns. The use of identical data pre-processing tools for similar data modalities can be seen. This study also provides statistical analysis of the current framework with respect to the modality, machine learning classifier, sample size and accuracy by applying one-way ANOVA and the Tukey - Kramer test.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate that an effective fusion of machine learning techniques with a potential data modality has a promising future for assisting clinicians in automatic depression diagnosis.

Improving the diagnostic accuracy for major depressive disorder using machine learning algorithms integrating clinical and near-infrared spectroscopy data

BACKGROUND

Given that major depressive disorder (MDD) is both biologically and clinically heterogeneous, a diagnostic system integrating neurobiological markers and clinical characteristics would allow for better diagnostic accuracy and, consequently, treatment efficacy.

OBJECTIVE

Our study aimed to evaluate the discriminative and predictive ability of unimodal, bimodal, and multimodal approaches in a total of seven machine learning (ML) models-clinical, demographic, functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS), combinations of two unimodal models, as well as a combination of all three-for MDD.

METHODS

We recruited 65 adults with MDD and 68 matched healthy controls, who provided both sociodemographic and clinical information, and completed the HAM-D questionnaire. They were also subject to fNIRS measurement when participating in the verbal fluency task. Using the nested cross validation procedure, the classification performance of each ML model was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), balanced accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

RESULTS

The multimodal ML model was able to distinguish between depressed patients and healthy controls with the highest balanced accuracy of 87.98 ± 8.84% (AUC = 0.92; 95% CI (0.84-0.99) when compared with the uni- and bi-modal models.

CONCLUSIONS

Our multimodal ML model demonstrated the highest diagnostic accuracy for MDD. This reinforces the biological and clinical heterogeneity of MDD and highlights the potential of this model to improve MDD diagnosis rates. Furthermore, this model is cost-effective and clinically applicable enough to be established as a robust diagnostic system for MDD based on patients' biosignatures.

Spectral clustering based on structural magnetic resonance imaging and its relationship with major depressive disorder and cognitive ability

There is increasing interest in using data-driven unsupervised methods to identify structural underpinnings of common mental illnesses, including major depressive disorder (MDD) and associated traits such as cognition. However, studies are often limited to severe clinical cases with small sample sizes and most do not include replication. Here, we examine two relatively large samples with structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), measures of lifetime MDD and cognitive variables: Generation Scotland (GS subsample, N = 980) and UK Biobank (UKB, N = 8,900), for discovery and replication, using an exploratory approach. Regional measures of FreeSurfer derived cortical thickness (CT), cortical surface area (CSA), cortical volume (CV) and subcortical volume (subCV) were input into a clustering process, controlling for common covariates. The main analysis steps involved constructing participant K-nearest neighbour graphs and graph partitioning with Markov stability to determine optimal clustering of participants. Resultant clusters were (1) checked whether they were replicated in an independent cohort and (2) tested for associations with depression status and cognitive measures. Participants separated into two clusters based on structural brain measurements in GS subsample, with large Cohen's d effect sizes between clusters in higher order cortical regions, commonly associated with executive function and decision making. Clustering was replicated in the UKB sample, with high correlations of cluster effect sizes for CT, CSA, CV and subCV between cohorts across regions. The identified clusters were not significantly different with respect to MDD case-control status in either cohort (GS subsample: p_FDR  = .2239-.6585; UKB: p_FDR  = .2003-.7690). Significant differences in general cognitive ability were, however, found between the clusters for both datasets, for CSA, CV and subCV (GS subsample: d = 0.2529-.3490, p_FDR  < .005; UKB: d = 0.0868-0.1070, p_FDR  < .005). Our results suggest that there are replicable natural groupings of participants based on cortical and subcortical brain measures, which may be related to differences in cognitive performance, but not to the MDD case-control status.

Structural brain correlates of serum and epigenetic markers of inflammation in major depressive disorder

Inflammatory processes are implicated in the aetiology of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD); however, the relationship between peripheral inflammation, brain structure and depression remains unclear, partly due to complexities around the use of acute/phasic inflammatory biomarkers. Here, we report the first large-scale study of both serological and methylomic signatures of CRP (considered to represent acute and chronic measures of inflammation respectively) and their associations with depression status/symptoms, and structural neuroimaging phenotypes (T1 and diffusion MRI) in a large community-based sample (Generation Scotland; NMDD cases = 271, Ncontrols = 609). Serum CRP was associated with overall MDD severity, and specifically with current somatic symptoms- general interest (β = 0.145, PFDR = 6 × 10-4) and energy levels (β = 0.101, PFDR = 0.027), along with reduced entorhinal cortex thickness (β = -0.095, PFDR = 0.037). DNAm CRP was significantly associated with reduced global grey matter/cortical volume and widespread reductions in integrity of 16/24 white matter tracts (with greatest regional effects in the external and internal capsules, βFA= -0.12 to -0.14). In general, the methylation-based measures showed stronger associations with imaging metrics than serum-based CRP measures (βaverage = -0.15 versus βaverage = 0.01 respectively). These findings provide evidence for central effects of peripheral inflammation from both serological and epigenetic markers of inflammation, including in brain regions previously implicated in depression. This suggests that these imaging measures may be involved in the relationship between peripheral inflammation and somatic/depressive symptoms. Notably, greater effects on brain morphology were seen for methylation-based rather than serum-based measures of inflammation, indicating the importance of such measures for future studies.

The cingulum in very preterm infants relates to language and social-emotional impairment at 2 years of term-equivalent age

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Maturation of specific WM tracts in preterm individuals differs from those of term controls.

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The elastic net logistic regression model was used to identify altered white matter tracts in the preterm brain.

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The alteration of the cingulum in the preterm at near-term correlate with neurodevelopmental scores at 18–22 months of age.

Background

Relative to full-term infants, very preterm infants exhibit disrupted white matter (WM) maturation and problems related to development, including motor, cognitive, social-emotional, and receptive and expressive language processing.

Objective

The present study aimed to determine whether regional abnormalities in the WM microstructure of very preterm infants, as defined relative to those of full-term infants at a near-term age, are associated with neurodevelopmental outcomes at the age of 18–22 months.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled 89 very preterm infants (birth weight < 1500 g) and 43 normal full-term control infants born between 2016 and 2018. All infants underwent a structural brain magnetic resonance imaging scan at near-term age. The diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) metrics of the whole-brain WM tracts were extracted based on the neonatal probabilistic WM pathway. The elastic net logistic regression model was used to identify altered WM tracts in the preterm brain. We evaluated the associations between the altered WM microstructure at near-term age and motor, cognitive, social-emotional, and receptive and expressive language developments at 18–22 months of age, as measured using the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, Third Edition.

Results

We found that the elastic net logistic regression model could classify preterm and full-term neonates with an accuracy of 87.9% (corrected p < 0.008) using the DTI metrics in the pathway of interest with a 10% threshold level. The fractional anisotropy (FA) values of the body and splenium of the corpus callosum, middle cerebellar peduncle, left and right uncinate fasciculi, and right portion of the pathway between the premotor and primary motor cortices (premotor-PMC), as well as the mean axial diffusivity (AD) values of the left cingulum, were identified as contributive features for classification. Increased adjusted AD values in the left cingulum pathway were significantly correlated with language scores after false discovery rate (FDR) correction (r = 0.217, p = 0.043). The expressive language and social-emotional composite scores showed a significant positive correlation with the AD values in the left cingulum pathway (r = 0.226 [p = 0.036] and r = 0.31 [p = 0.003], respectively) after FDR correction.

Conclusion

Our approach suggests that the cingulum pathways of very preterm infants differ from those of full-term infants and significantly contribute to the prediction of the subsequent development of the language and social-emotional domains. This finding could improve our understanding of how specific neural substrates influence neurodevelopment at later ages, and individual risk prediction, thus helping to inform early intervention strategies that address developmental delay.

Automated classification of depression from structural brain measures across two independent community-based cohorts

Major depressive disorder (MDD) has been the subject of many neuroimaging case-control classification studies. Although some studies report accuracies ≥80%, most have investigated relatively small samples of clinically-ascertained, currently symptomatic cases, and did not attempt replication in larger samples. We here first aimed to replicate previously reported classification accuracies in a small, well-phenotyped community-based group of current MDD cases with clinical interview-based diagnoses (from STratifying Resilience and Depression Longitudinally cohort, 'STRADL'). We performed a set of exploratory predictive classification analyses with measures related to brain morphometry and white matter integrity. We applied three classifier types-SVM, penalised logistic regression or decision tree-either with or without optimisation, and with or without feature selection. We then determined whether similar accuracies could be replicated in a larger independent population-based sample with self-reported current depression (UK Biobank cohort). Additional analyses extended to lifetime MDD diagnoses-remitted MDD in STRADL, and lifetime-experienced MDD in UK Biobank. The highest cross-validation accuracy (75%) was achieved in the initial current MDD sample with a decision tree classifier and cortical surface area features. The most frequently selected decision tree split variables included surface areas of bilateral caudal anterior cingulate, left lingual gyrus, left superior frontal, right precentral and paracentral regions. High accuracy was not achieved in the larger samples with self-reported current depression (53.73%), with remitted MDD (57.48%), or with lifetime-experienced MDD (52.68-60.29%). Our results indicate that high predictive classification accuracies may not immediately translate to larger samples with broader criteria for depression, and may not be robust across different classification approaches.