Ultrasonographic surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis: a randomized trial comparing 3- and 6-month periodicities

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus infection

The updated EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection provide comprehensive, evidence-based recommendations for its management. Spanning ten thematic sections, the guidelines address diagnostics, treatment goals, treatment indications, therapeutic options, hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, management of special populations, HBV reactivation prophylaxis, post-transplant care, HBV prevention strategies, and finally address open questions and future research directions. Chronic HBV remains a global health challenge, with over 250 million individuals affected and significant mortality due to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These guidelines emphasise the importance of early diagnosis, risk stratification based on viral and host factors, and tailored antiviral therapy. Attention is given to simplified algorithms, vaccination, and screening to support global HBV elimination targets. The guidelines also discuss emerging biomarkers and evolving definitions of functional and partial cure. Developed through literature review, expert consensus, and a Delphi process, the guidelines aim to equip healthcare providers across disciplines with practical tools to optimise HBV care and outcomes worldwide.

Differences between hepatocellular carcinoma caused by alcohol and other aetiologies

Alcohol-related liver disease is the third leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide and the leading cause in Europe. Additionally, the recent definition of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease with increased alcohol intake (MetALD) will enrich this population with a more nuanced phenotype, reflecting recent epidemiological trends. In these patients, the hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis is often delayed and less frequently detected through screening programmes. Moreover, at the time of diagnosis, patients with alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma tend to have a poorer general condition, more severely impaired liver function, and a higher prevalence of comorbidities, leading to increased competitive mortality. However, when hepatocellular carcinoma is diagnosed during surveillance programmes in patients with alcohol-related liver disease or MetALD, the rate of allocation to first-line curative treatments is high (56%) and comparable to that of patients with virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma. As a consequence, the aetiology of the underlying cirrhosis cannot be considered an independent prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Instead, prognosis is driven by liver function, general condition, and tumour burden. This underscores the crucial role of early diagnosis through periodic surveillance in patients with alcohol- or MetALD-related cirrhosis.

Recent advances and issues in imaging modalities for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Early detection via surveillance plays a crucial role in enabling curative treatment and improving survival rates. Since the initial randomized controlled trial, biannual ultrasound (US) has been established as the standard surveillance method because of its accessibility, safety, and low cost. However, US has some limitations, including operator dependency, suboptimal sensitivity for early-stage HCC, and challenges such as a limited sonic window that may result in inadequate examination. Alternative imaging modalities, including contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), have demonstrated higher sensitivity for detecting very early-stage HCC. Recent advancements, such as low-dose CT with deep learning-based reconstruction, have enhanced the safety and feasibility of CT-based surveillance by reducing radiation exposure and amount of contrast media. MRI, particularly with gadoxetic acid or abbreviated protocols, offers superior tissue contrast and sensitivity, although its accessibility and cost remain challenges. Tailored surveillance strategies based on individual risk profiles and integration of advanced imaging technologies have the potential to enhance the detection performance and cost-effectiveness. This review highlights the recent developments in imaging technologies for HCC surveillance, focusing on their respective strengths and limitations.

A concise review of updated global guidelines for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: 2017-2024

Many guidelines for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been published and are regularly updated worldwide. HCC management involves a broad range of treatment options and requires multidisciplinary care, resulting in significant heterogeneity in management practices across international communities. To support standardized care for HCC, we systematically appraised 13 globally recognized guidelines and expert consensus statements, including five from Asia, four from Europe, and four from the United States. These guidelines share similarities but reveal notable discrepancies in surveillance strategies, treatment allocation, and other recommendations. Geographic differences in tumor biology (e.g., prevalence of viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease, or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) and disparities in available medical resources (e.g., organ availability, healthcare infrastructure, and treatment accessibility) complicate the creation of universally applicable guidelines. Previously, significant gaps existed between Asian and Western guidelines, particularly regarding treatment strategies. However, these differences have diminished over the years. Presently, variations are often more attributable to publication dates than to regional differences. Nonetheless, Asia-Pacific experts continue to diverge from the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system, particularly with respect to surgical resection and locoregional therapies, which are viewed as overly conservative in Western guidelines. Advancements in systemic therapies have prompted ongoing updates to these guidelines. Given that each set of guidelines reflects distinct regional characteristics, strengths, and limitations, fostering collaboration and mutual complementarity is essential for addressing discrepancies and advancing global HCC care.

Noninvasive assessment of hepatic decompensation

Noninvasive tests (NITs) are used in all aspects of liver disease management. Their most prominent break-through since the millennium has been in advancing early detection of liver fibrosis, but their use is not limited to this. In contrast to the symptom-driven assessment of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis, NITs provide not only opportunities for earlier diagnoses but also accurate prognostication, targeted treatment decisions, and a means of monitoring disease. NITs can inform disease management and decision-making based on validated cutoffs and standardized interpretations as a valuable supplement to clinical acumen. The Baveno VI and VII consensus meetings resulted in tangible improvements to pathways of care for patients with compensated and decompensated advanced chronic liver disease, including the combination of platelet count and transient elastography to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension. Furthermore, circulating NITs will play increasingly important roles in assessing the response to interventions against ascites, variceal bleeding, HE, acute kidney injury, and infections. However, due to NITs' wide availability, there is a risk of inaccurate use, leading to a waste of resources and flawed decisions. In this review, we describe the uses and pitfalls of NITs for hepatic decompensation, from risk stratification in primary care to treatment decisions in outpatient clinics, as well as for the in-hospital management of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. We summarize which NITs to use when, for what indications, and how to maximize the potential of NITs for improved patient management.

Persisting challenges in the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Prognosis in patients with HCC is largely determined by stage at diagnosis, highlighting the importance of effective early detection strategies. HCC surveillance is associated with increased early detection and reduced HCC-related mortality and is currently recommended in patients with cirrhosis or chronic HBV infection.

AREAS COVERED

We performed a targeted literature review to identify limitations of current HCC surveillance practices and strategies for improvement.

EXPERT OPINION

Semi-annual ultrasound continues as the cornerstone modality for HCC surveillance but has limited sensitivity for detecting early-stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and non-viral etiologies. Although sensitivity for early-stage HCC can be improved by using ultrasound with alpha fetoprotein, this strategy misses over one-third of HCC at an early stage. Emerging imaging and biomarker-based surveillance strategies currently remain in varying stages of validation and are not yet ready for routine use in practice. The cost-effectiveness of surveillance in patients with non-cirrhotic liver disease related to hepatitis C or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease continues to be debated, although subgroups with advanced fibrosis may warrant surveillance. Finally, the effectiveness of surveillance is diminished by underuse in clinical practice, particularly in racial minority and low-income groups, highlighting a need for interventions to increase utilization.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C and Liver Cirrhosis Treated with DAA: A Focused Review

Background/Objectives: The issue of HCC recurrence in patients with liver cirrhosis and chronic HCV infection after DAA treatment as well as the issue of de novo HCC in individuals with chronic HCV hepatitis treated with DAA is of great importance. In this review, the two important aspects are discussed and, finally, an algorithm for approaching the patient with HCC and chronic HCV infection is proposed. Methods: A literature search of the two databases (PubMed and Scopus) was conducted using the terms 'chronic hepatitis C' and/or 'liver cirrhosis' and 'hepatocellular carcinoma', from database inception to December 2024. Results: Thirty-one studies have examined the risk of HCC recurrence. Most of these studies conclude that DAA treatment reduces the risk of HCC recurrence compared to patients who did not receive DAA. There are considerable differences across various world regions. These variations may arise from: differences in genotypes, baseline characteristics of the populations, variability in DAA treatment protocols, and differences in follow-up intervals. Eleven studies that investigated the issue of de novo HCC after DAA were reviewed, of which two included historical cohorts of untreated patients. Conclusions: The conclusion is that these patients present a low or equal risk of HCC incidence compared to untreated patients, and the risk factors for HCC are: lower platelet number, impaired liver function, nonresponse to DAA. Most patients with chronic hepatitis C and HCC should receive DAAs, except for those in BCLC stage D, but we must emphasize that timing of intervention is crucial and it is very important to evaluate possible drug interactions.

Update on the Complications and Management of Liver Cirrhosis

Liver cirrhosis represents the advanced pathological stage of chronic liver disease, characterized by the progressive destruction and regeneration of the hepatic parenchyma over years, culminating in fibrosis and disruption of the vascular architecture. As a leading global cause of morbidity and mortality, it continues to affect millions worldwide, imposing a substantial burden on healthcare systems. Alcoholic/nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and chronic viral hepatitis infection, hepatitis C (HCV) in particular, remain leading causes of cirrhosis. Despite significant advances in understanding the pathogenesis of cirrhosis, its management is still complex due to the multifaceted complications, including ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal bleeding, and hepatocellular carcinoma, all of which severely compromise the patient outcomes and quality of life. This review aims at filling a critical gap by providing a comprehensive summary of the latest evidence on the complications and management of liver cirrhosis. Evidence-based therapies targeting both the etiologies and complications of cirrhosis are essential for improving outcomes. While liver transplantation is considered a definitive cure, advancements in pharmacological therapies offer promising avenues for halting and potentially reversing disease progression. This review summarizes the latest management strategies for cirrhosis and its associated complications, emphasizing the importance of early intervention and novel therapeutic options for improving outcomes and quality of life in affected individuals.

Advanced Imaging of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review of Current and Novel Techniques

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary carcinoma arising from the liver. Although HCC can arise de novo, the vast majority of cases develop in the setting of chronic liver disease. Hepatocarcinogenesis follows a well-studied process during which chronic inflammation and cellular damage precipitate cellular and genetic aberrations, with subsequent propagation of precancerous and cancerous lesions. Surveillance of individuals at high risk of HCC, early diagnosis, and individualized treatment are keys to reducing the mortality associated with this disease. Radiological imaging plays a critical role in the diagnosis and management of these patients. HCC is a unique cancer in that it can be diagnosed with confidence by imaging that meets all radiologic criteria, obviating the risks associated with tissue sampling. This article discusses conventional and emerging imaging techniques for the evaluation of HCC.

LI-RADS US Surveillance Version 2024 for Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Update to the American College of Radiology US LI-RADS

In 2017, the American College of Radiology introduced the US Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) as a framework for US surveillance of patients at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma. This has aided in the standardization of technique, clinical reporting, patient management, data collection, and research. Emerging evidence has helped inform changes to the algorithm, now released as LI-RADS US Surveillance version 2024. The updated algorithm, the rationale for changes, and its alignment with the 2023 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases Practice Guidance are presented.

Impact of Screening on Mortality for Patients Diagnosed with Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Safety-Net Healthcare System: An Opportunity for Addressing Disparities

Purpose: We describe the impact of screening on outcomes of patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in an urban safety-net healthcare system compared to a non-screened cohort diagnosed with HCC. Methods: Patients diagnosed with HCC at John Peter Smith Health Network were identified by querying the hospital tumor registry and allocated to the screened cohort if they had undergone any liver imaging within one year prior to HCC diagnosis, while the remainder were allocated to the non-screened cohort. Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests were used to compare 3-year survival curves from an index date of HCC diagnosis. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The Duffy adjustment was used to address lead-time bias. Results: A total of 158 patients were included (n = 53 screened, n = 105 non-screened). The median overall survival (OS) for the screened cohort was 19.0 months (95% CI: 9.9-NA) and that for the non-screened cohort was 5.4 months (95% CI: 3.7-8.5) [HR death (non-screened vs. screened) = 2.4, 95% CI: 1.6-3.6; log rank p < 0.0001]. The benefit of screening remained after adjusting for lead-time bias (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.4-3.3, p = 0.0002). Conclusions: In an urban safety-net population, screening for HCC was associated with improved outcomes compared to patients diagnosed with HCC outside of a screening protocol.

SEOM-GEMCAD-TTD clinical guidelines for the management of hepatocarcinoma patients (2023)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary malignancy in the liver and is the third cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Surveillance with abdominal ultrasound should be offered to individuals at high risk for developing HCC. Accurate diagnosis, staging, and liver function are crucial when determining the optimal therapeutic approach. The BCLC staging system is widely endorsed in Western countries. Managing this pathology requires a multidisciplinary, personalized approach, generally with a multimodal strategy. Surgery remains the only curative option, albeit local and systemic therapy may also increase survival when surgery is not suitable. In advanced disease, systemic treatment should be offered to patients with ECOG/PS 0-1 and Child-Pugh class A.

Alcohol and Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) poses a significant risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), comprising various liver conditions from steatosis to cirrhosis. Despite accounting for a third of global HCC cases and deaths, ALD-related HCC lacks characterization compared to viral hepatitis-related HCC. Proposed mechanisms for ALD-related HCC include acetaldehyde toxicity, increased reactive oxygen species, and inflammation. This review examines ALD-associated HCC epidemiology, co-factors like viral hepatitis and metabolic syndrome, surveillance, and treatment challenges. Despite advances in screening and management, ALD-related HCC often presents at advanced stages, limiting treatment options and survival.

Advancing Surveillance Strategies for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A New Era of Efficacy and Precision

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the few cancers with a 5-year survival that has remained below 20%; however, prognosis differs by tumor stage at diagnosis. Curative treatment options among patients with early-stage HCC afford a median survival of 5-10 years. Accordingly, international society guidelines recommend semi-annual HCC surveillance in at-risk patients, including those with cirrhosis or high-risk chronic hepatitis B infection. Surveillance is associated with increased early-stage HCC detection and curative treatments, leading to reduced HCC-related mortality. Abdominal ultrasound has been the cornerstone for HCC surveillance for the past two decades, but recent data have highlighted its suboptimal sensitivity for early-stage HCC detection, particularly in patients with obesity and those with non-viral etiologies of liver disease. The combination of ultrasound plus alpha fetoprotein (AFP) has higher sensitivity for early-stage HCC detection than ultrasound alone, although the combination still misses over one-third of HCC at an early stage. Emerging imaging and blood-based biomarker strategies have promising data in biomarker phase 2 (case-control) and phase 3 (cohort) studies. Beyond ultrasound, Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the best-studied imaging strategy, with superior sensitivity and specificity compared to ultrasound in a cohort study. Abbreviated MRI protocols have been proposed to address concerns about MRI radiological capacity, costs, and patient acceptance. Of biomarker strategies, GALAD (a panel including gender, age, AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP) is the best validated, with promising sensitivity for early-stage HCC detection in a national multi-center cohort study. Liquid biopsy biomarkers, including methylated DNA markers, have also shown promising accuracy in case-control studies. Abbreviated MRI and GALAD are now entering prospective trials that examine clinical outcomes such as early-stage HCC detection and screening-related harms, which are essential data to understand for adoption in clinical practice. As additional surveillance strategies become available, it will allow an era of precision surveillance in which optimal surveillance modalities are tailored to individual patient risk and expected test performance.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Subcentimeter Liver Nodules Identified on Surveillance Ultrasound: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Guidelines recommend that sub-centimeter nodules on ultrasound be followed with short-interval surveillance ultrasound, given assumed low risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and suboptimal diagnostic imaging performance in lesions <1 cm. We performed a systematic review to estimate HCC risk among patients with cirrhosis and sub-centimeter nodules detected on ultrasound.

METHODS

We systematically searched Ovid MEDLINE and EMBASE databases for relevant articles published between January 2005 and July 2024. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled proportion of incident HCC.

RESULTS

We identified 9 eligible studies, of which 5 provided both lesion- and patient-level data (n = 354 patients), 2 patient-level alone (n = 888 patients), and 2 lesion-level alone (n = 69 lesions). The pooled proportion of incident HCC was 31.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7%-69.7%) on a lesion-level and 21.3% (95% CI, 6.0%-53.6%) on a patient-level; however, pooled estimates were limited by high heterogeneity (I2 >90%). Among 2 studies with study periods post-dating 2015, HCC developed in only ∼5% of patients during a median follow-up of 2 years. Risk factors associated with incident HCC were older age, male sex, elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels, thrombocytopenia, and Child Pugh B cirrhosis. Limitations of studies included small sample sizes, selection bias, ascertainment bias for HCC, and failure to report factors associated with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Up to one-fifth of patients with sub-centimeter nodules may develop HCC, although contemporary cohorts report a substantially lower risk. Older patients and those with elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels or poorer liver function are at greatest risk of HCC, highlighting an unmet need for better risk stratification models.

Prospective cohort for early detection of liver cancer (Pearl): a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fastest-rising and fourth most common cause of cancer death worldwide. Liver cirrhosis is the largest underlying risk factor for HCC. Therefore, patients with cirrhosis should have regular ultrasound and biochemical screening to pick up early HCC. Early HCC can be cured; more advanced HCCs have limited treatment options and poor prognosis. Current screening methods are suboptimal with poor sensitivity in picking up early disease. In this study, the investigators aim to recruit people with liver cirrhosis into a Prospective cohort for early detection of liver cancer-the Pearl cohort. The investigators believe that by using state-of-the-art tests we can improve the detection of early HCC.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a UK-based prospective, longitudinal, diagnostic, prognostic, multicentre, non-CTIMP study. Aiming to recruit 3000 patients with liver cirrhosis without a HCC diagnosis, the Pearl cohort will be followed actively for 3 years from recruitment and then passively via registry data for ten years thereafter. Blood and urine samples will be taken and information from routine care will be gathered. These will be used to assess novel diagnostic approaches for the detection early HCC and to develop models to identify those most at risk for developing HCC.Participants will be linked to national UK health registries to ensure long-term capture of HCC incidence and other relevant endpoints. Approximately 75 patients are predicted to develop de novo HCC within the 3-year follow up period. After this period, the study teams will obtain data on participants for at least 10 years after the last contact. This cohort will help develop an understanding of the incidence of HCC in a UK population stratified by underlying cirrhosis aetiology.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval has been granted by REC and the trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. The results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at relevant meetings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05541601.

Comparison of non-contrast abbreviated MRI and ultrasound as surveillance modalities for HCC

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Ultrasound (US) is recommended for HCC surveillance in high-risk patients but has limited performance in detecting early-stage HCC. We aimed to compare the diagnostic performance of biannual US and annual non-contrast abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (NC-AMRI) as HCC surveillance modalities in high-risk patients.

METHODS

This prospective, multicenter cohort study enrolled participants with an estimated annual risk of HCC greater than 5% between October 2015 and April 2017. Participants underwent six rounds of HCC surveillance at 6-month intervals, with both US and NC-AMRI at rounds 1, 3, and 5, and only US at rounds 2, 4, and 6. The sensitivity, diagnostic yield (DY), and false referral rate (FRR) for HCC detection by US and NC-AMRI were compared.

RESULTS

In total, 208 participants underwent 980 US and 516 NC-AMRI examinations during 30 months of follow-up. Among them, 34 HCCs were diagnosed in 31 participants, with 20 (64.5%) classified as very early-stage and 11 (35.5%) as early-stage HCC. The sensitivity of annual NC-AMRI (71.0%, 22/31) was marginally higher than that of biannual US (45.2%, 14/31; p = 0.077). NC-AMRI showed a significantly higher DY than US (4.26% vs. 1.43%, p <0.001), with a similar FRR (2.91% vs. 3.06%, p = 0.885). A simulation of alternating US and NC-AMRI at 6-month intervals yielded a sensitivity of 83.9% (26/31), significantly exceeding that of biannual US (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Annual NC-AMRI showed a marginally higher sensitivity than biannual US for HCC detection in high-risk patients. The DY of annual NC-AMRI was significantly higher than that of biannual US, without increasing the FRR. Thus, alternating US and NC-AMRI at 6-month intervals could be an optimal surveillance strategy for high-risk patients.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Current guidelines permit the use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a surveillance tool for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients in whom ultrasonography (US) is inadequate. However, the specific indications, imaging sequences, and intervals for MRI surveillance remain unclear. In our study, we found that annual non-contrast abbreviated MRI exhibited marginally higher sensitivity and significantly better diagnostic yield than biannual US in patients at high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. Alternating US and non-contrast abbreviated MRI at 6-month intervals led to significantly improved sensitivity compared to biannual US, making it a potentially optimal surveillance strategy for high-risk patients.

CLINICALTRIALS

GOV IDENTIFIER

NCT02551250.

PNPLA3 risk allele is associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not decompensation in compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, and HSD17B13-rs6834314-A polymorphisms have been associated with cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and HCC. However, whether they remain associated with HCC and decompensation in people who already have cirrhosis remains unclear, which limits the clinical utility of genetics in risk stratification as HCC is uncommon in the absence of cirrhosis. We aimed to characterize the effects of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotype on hepatic decompensation, HCC, and liver-related mortality or liver transplant in patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center retrospective study of patients in the Michigan Genomics Initiative who underwent genotyping. The primary predictors were PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotypes. Primary outcomes were either hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver-related mortality/transplant. We conducted competing risk Fine-Gray analyses on our cohort.

RESULTS

We identified 732 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. During follow-up, 50% of patients developed decompensation, 13% developed HCC, 24% underwent liver transplant, and 27% died. PNPLA3-rs738409-G genotype was associated with risk of incident HCC: adjusted subhazard hazard ratio 2.42 (1.40-4.17), p=0.0015 for PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG carriers than PNPLA3-rs738409-CC/-CG carriers: 15.6% (9.0%-24.0%) vs. 7.4% (5.2%-10.0%), p<0.001. PNPLA3 genotype was not associated with decompensation or the combined outcome of liver-related mortality or liver transplant. TM6SF2 and HSD17B13 genotypes were not associated with decompensation or HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

The PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele is associated with an increased risk of HCC among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. People with cirrhosis and PNPLA3-rs738409-GG genotype may warrant more intensive HCC surveillance.

The hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis: a competing risk nomogram based on a 4-year retrospective cohort study

Objective

The study aimed to build and validate a competitive risk nomogram to predict the cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis.

Methods

A total of 1401 HBV-related cirrhosis patients were retrospectively enrolled from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2014. Application of 20 times imputation dealt with missing data using multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE). The patients were randomly divided into a training set (n = 1017) and a validation set (n = 384) at a ratio of 3:1. A prediction study was carried out using a competing risk model, where the event of interest was HCC and the competing events were death and liver transplantation, and subdistribution hazard ratios (sHRs) with 95% CIs were reported. The multivariate competing risk model was constructed and validated.

Results

There was a negligible difference between the original database and the 20 imputed datasets. At the end of follow-up, the median follow-up time was 69.9 months (interquartile range: 43.8-86.6). There were 31.5% (442/1401) of the patients who developed HCC, with a 5-year cumulative incidence of 22.9 (95%CI, 20.8%-25.2%). The univariate and multivariate competing risk regression and construction of the nomogram were performed in 20 imputed training datasets. Age, sex, antiviral therapy history, hepatitis B e antigen, alcohol drinking history, and alpha-fetoprotein levels were included in the nomogram. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve values at 12, 24, 36, 60, and 96 months were 0.68, 0.69, 0.70, 0.68, and 0.80, and the Brier scores were 0.30, 0.25, 0.23, 0.21, and 0.20 in the validation set. According to the cumulative incidence function, the nomogram effectively screened out high-risk HCC patients from low-risk patients in the presence of competing events (Fine-Gray test p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The competitive risk nomogram was allowed to be used for predicting HCC risk in individual patients with liver cirrhosis, taking into account both the association between risk factors and HCC and the modifying effect of competition events on this association.

Current Trends and Advancements in the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a significant global health burden with a high mortality rate. Over the past 40 years, significant progress has been achieved in the prevention and management of HCC.

SUMMARY

Hepatitis B vaccination programs, the development of direct acting antiviral drugs for Hepatitis C, and effective surveillance strategies provide a profound basis for the prevention of HCC. Advanced surgery and liver transplantation along with local ablation techniques potentially offer cure for the disease. Also, just recently, the introduction of immunotherapy opened a new chapter in systemic treatment. Finally, the introduction of the BCLC classification system for HCC, clearly defining patient groups and assigning reasonable treatment options, has standardized treatment and become the basis of almost all clinical trials for HCC. With this review, we provide a comprehensive overview of the evolving landscape of HCC management and also touch on current challenges.

KEY MESSAGE

A comprehensive and multidisciplinary approach is crucial for effective HCC management. Continued research and clinical trials are imperative to further enhance treatment options and will ultimately reduce the global burden of this devastating disease.

The clinical and financial burden of nonhepatocellular carcinoma focal lesions detected during the surveillance of patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HCC surveillance is challenged by the detection of hepatic focal lesions (HFLs) of other types. This study aimed to describe the incidence, characteristics, outcomes, and costs of non-HCC HFL detected during surveillance.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analyzed nonstandardized workup performed in French patients included in HCC surveillance programs recruited in 57 French tertiary centers (ANRS CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts, HCC 2000 trial). The overall cost of workup was evaluated, with an estimation of an average cost per patient for the entire population and per lesion detected. A total of 3295 patients were followed up for 59.8 months, 391 (11.9%) patients developed HCCs (5-year incidence: 12.1%), and 633 (19.2%) developed non-HCC HFLs (5-year incidence: 21.8%). Characterization of non-HCC HFL required a median additional of 0.7 exams per year. A total of 11.8% of non-HCC HFLs were not confirmed on recall procedures, and 19.6% of non-HCC HFLs remained undetermined. A definite diagnosis of benign liver lesions was made in 65.1%, and malignant tumors were diagnosed in 3.5%. The survival of patients with benign or undetermined non-HCC HFL was similar to that of patients who never developed any HFL (5-year survival 92% vs. 88%, p = 0.07). The average cost of the diagnostic workup was 1087€ for non-HCC HFL and €1572 for HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-HCC HFLs are frequently detected in patients with cirrhosis, and do not impact prognosis, but trigger substantial costs. This burden must be considered in cost-effectiveness analyses of future personalized surveillance strategies.

Monitoring for liver cancer post-gene therapy-How much and how often?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has long been recognized as a complication in people with chronic liver disease, particularly those with cirrhosis. Two gene therapies for haemophilia A and B recently approved in Europe and the US utilize adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors designed to target hepatocytes. A number of other AAV gene therapies are undergoing clinical investigation for both liver and extrahepatic diseases, many of which likely transduce hepatocytes as well. Although AAV vectors predominantly persist in episomal forms, concerns about insertional mutagenesis have arisen due to findings in pre-clinical models and in a small subset of human HCC cases featuring wild-type AAV integrations in proximity to potential oncogenes. Despite the absence of any causative link between AAV vector therapy and HCC in approved extrahepatic gene therapies or haemophilia gene therapy trials, the package inserts for the recently approved haemophilia gene therapies advise HCC screening in subsets of individuals with additional risk factors. In this review, we discuss HCC risk factors, compare various screening modalities, discuss optimal screening intervals, and consider when to initiate and possibly discontinue screening. At this early point in the evolution of gene therapy, we lack sufficient data to make evidence-based recommendations on HCC screening. While AAV vectors may eventually be shown to be unassociated with risk of HCC, we presently favour a cautious approach that entails regular surveillance until such time as it is hopefully proven to be unnecessary.

Study protocol for FASTRAK: a randomised controlled trial evaluating the cost impact and effectiveness of FAST-MRI for HCC suRveillance in pAtients with high risK of liver cancer

INTRODUCTION

The surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using semi-annual liver ultrasound (US) is justified in patients with cirrhosis. In this context, US has a low sensitivity (<30%) for the detection of HCC at the very early stage (ie, Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) 0, uninodular tumour <2 cm). The sensitivity of abbreviated liver MRI (AMRI) is reported to exceed 80%, but its use is hampered by costs and availability. Our hypothesis is that AMRI used as a screening examination in patients at high risk of HCC (>3% per year) could increase the rates of patients with a tumour detected at an early stage accessible to curative-intent treatment, and demonstrate its cost-effectiveness in this population.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The FASTRAK trial is a multicentre, randomised controlled trial with two parallel arms, aiming for superiority and conducted on patients at high risk for HCC (yearly HCC incidence >3%). Randomisation will be conducted on an individual basis with a centralised approach and stratification by centre. After inclusion in the trial, each patient will be randomly assigned to the experimental group (semi-annual US and AMRI) or the control group (semi-annual US alone). The main objective is to assess the cost/quality-adjusted life year and cost/patient detected with a BCLC 0 HCC in both arms. A total of 944 patients will be recruited in 37 tertiary French centres during a 36-month period and will be followed-up during 36 months.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The FASTRAK trial received ethical approval on 4 April 2022. Results will be disseminated via publication in peer-reviewed journals as well as presentation at international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Clinical trial number (ClinicaTrials.gov) NCT05095714.

Expanding the Boundaries for Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, which was the third most common cause of cancer death worldwide in 2020. Transplantation remains the preferred treatment for cure in otherwise unresectable HCC. There are several areas of active research that have led to expansion of eligibility criteria for transplantation including local-regional therapy for downstaging patients presenting outside of the Milan criteria and identification of tumor biomarkers aiding in the early diagnosis, determining prognosis and likelihood of recurrence after transplantation for HCC. New neoadjuvant therapies and post-transplant immunosuppression regimens may also result in expansion of transplant eligibility criteria for HCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Evidence-Based Tailored Approach

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended by professional society guidelines given a consistent association with reduced HCC-related mortality. HCC surveillance should be performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein, although this combination has suboptimal sensitivity and can miss more than one-third of HCC at an early stage. There are promising emerging blood-based and imaging-based strategies, including abbreviated MRI and biomarker panels; however, these require further validation before routine use in clinical practice. HCC surveillance is underused in clinical practice due to patient-related and provider-related barriers, highlighting a need for interventions to improve surveillance utilization in clinical practice.

Immunotherapy, targeted therapy, and their cross talks in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a challenging malignancy with limited treatment options beyond surgery and chemotherapy. Recent advancements in targeted therapies and immunotherapy, including PD-1 and PD-L1 monoclonal antibodies, have shown promise, but their efficacy has not met expectations. Biomarker testing and personalized medicine based on genetic mutations and other biomarkers represent the future direction for HCC treatment. To address these challenges and opportunities, this comprehensive review discusses the progress made in targeted therapies and immunotherapies for HCC, focusing on dissecting the rationales, opportunities, and challenges for combining these modalities. The liver's unique physiology and the presence of fibrosis in many HCC patients pose additional challenges to drug delivery and efficacy. Ongoing efforts in biomarker development and combination therapy design, especially in the context of immunotherapies, hold promise for improving outcomes in advanced HCC. Through exploring the advancements in biomarkers and targeted therapies, this review provides insights into the challenges and opportunities in the field and proposes strategies for rational combination therapy design.

On-Site Diagnostic Ability of CEUS/CT/MRI for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (2019-2022): A Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVES

To compare the on-site diagnostic performance of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS), computed tomography (CECT), and magnetic resonance imaging (CEMRI) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across diverse practice settings.

METHODS

Between May 2019 and April 2022, a total of 2085 patients with 2320 pathologically confirmed focal liver lesions (FLLs) were enrolled. Imaging reports were compared with results from pathology analysis. Diagnostic performance was analyzed in defined size, high-risk factors for HCC, and hospital volume categories.

RESULTS

Three images achieved similar diagnostic performance in classifying HCC from 16 types of FLLs, including HCC ≤2.0 cm. For HCC diagnosis at low-volume hospitals and HCC with high-risk factors, the accuracy and specificity of CEUS were comparable to CECT and CEMRI, while the sensitivity of CEUS (77.4 and 89.5%, respectively) was inferior to CEMRI (87.0 and 92.8%, respectively). The diagnostic accuracy of CEUS + CEMRI and CEUS + CECT increased by 7.8 and 6.2% for HCC ≤2.0 cm, 8.0 and 5.0% for HCC with high-risk factors, and 7.4 and 5.5% for HCC at low-volume hospitals, respectively, compared with CEMRI/CECT alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with CECT and CEMRI, CEUS provides adequate diagnostic performance in clinical first-line applications at high-volume hospitals. Moreover, a higher diagnostic performance for HCC is achieved by combining CEUS with CECT/CEMRI compared with any single imaging technique.

Global trends in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology: implications for screening, prevention and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates are increasing globally, and particularly in the Western world. Cirrhosis remains the predominant risk factor for HCC. However, epidemiological shifts in the incidence of HCC from patients with virus-related liver disease to those with non-viral aetiologies, including alcohol-associated and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, have important implications for prevention, surveillance and treatment. Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral therapy for hepatitis B and C are effective for primary prevention of virus-related HCCs, but chemoprevention strategies for non-viral liver disease remain an unmet need. Emerging data suggest associations between aspirin, statins, metformin and coffee and reduced HCC incidence, although none has been proved to be causally related. Secondary prevention of HCC via semi-annual surveillance is associated with improvements in early detection and thus reduced mortality; however, current tools, including abdominal ultrasonography, have suboptimal sensitivity for the detection of early stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and/or non-viral liver disease. Promising blood-based or imaging-based surveillance strategies are emerging, although these approaches require further validation before adoption in clinical practice. In the interim, efforts should be focused on maximizing use of the existing surveillance tools given their prevalent underuse globally. Remarkable advances have been made in the treatment of HCC, including expanded eligibility for surgical therapies, improved patient selection for locoregional treatments and increased systemic treatment options, including immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we discuss trends in the epidemiology of HCC and their implications for screening, prevention and therapy.

Ultrasound Patterns of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Prognostic Impact: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death. Abdominal ultrasound (US) is by far the most widely used first-level exam for the diagnosis of HCC. We aimed to assess whether different ultrasound patterns were related to tumor prognosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all patients with a new diagnosis of HCC (single nodule) and undergoing radiofrequency thermal ablation (RFTA) at our clinic between January 2009 and December 2021. Patients were classified according to four HCC ultrasound patterns: 1A, single capsulated nodule; 1B, well capsulated intra-node nodule; 1C, cluster consisting of capsulated nodules; and 2, non-capsulated nodule.

RESULTS

149 patients were analysed; median follow-up time was 43 months. US patterns 1A (32.9%) and 1B (61.1%) were the most commonly seen. Median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) from RFTA were 54 months (95% CI, 42-66) and 22 months (95% CI, 12-32), respectively. Pattern 1A showed the best OS. Compared to pattern 1A, 1B was independently associated with worse OS (51 months (95% CI, 34-68) vs. 46 months (95% CI, 18-62)) and RFS (34 months (95% CI, 27-41) vs. 18 months (95% CI, 12-24)). Patterns 1C and 2 were associated with worse RFS compared to 1A, while no difference was seen for OS. Among baseline clinical variables, pattern 1B exhibited higher histological grade (p = 0.048) and tumor dimension (p = 0.034) compared to pattern 1A.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that different US patterns correlate with different survival outcomes and tumor behavior in patients with HCC. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Individual surveillance by competing risk model for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in all-cause cirrhosis

PURPOSE

It was of great significance to identify someone with a high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence and make a diagnosis as early as possible. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a new, objective, and accurate prediction model, and convert it into a nomogram to make a personalized prediction of cancer occurrence in cirrhotic patients with different etiologies.

METHODS

The present study included 938 patients with cirrhosis from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2012. Patients were prospectively followed-up until January 1, 2018. We used a competing risk model and the Fine-Gray test to develop and validate the prediction model and to plot a nomogram based on the model established.

RESULTS

At the end of follow-up, 202 (21.5%) patients developed HCC, with a 5-year incidence of 19.0% (corrected for competing risk model). Based on the competing risk regression method, we built a prediction model including age, gender, etiology, lymphocyte, and A/G ratio. Three groups with different risks were generated on account of tertiles of the 5-year risk predicted by the model. The cumulative 1-, 3-, and 5-year incidences of HCC were 2.0%, 20.8%, and 42.3% in high-risk group, 0.9%, 10.1%, and 17.7% in medium-risk group, and 0%, 2.0%, 8.5% in low-risk group (P < 0.001). The model showed excellent discrimination and calibration in predicting the risk of HCC occurrence in patients with all-cause cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The model could make an individual prediction of cancer occurrence and stratify patients based on predicted risk, regardless of the causes of cirrhosis.

The combination of non-contrast abbreviated MRI and alpha foetoprotein has high performance for hepatocellular carcinoma screening

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to compare two abbreviated MRI (AMRI) protocols to complete MRI for HCC detection: non-contrast (NC)-AMRI without/with alpha foetoprotein (AFP) and dynamic contrast-enhanced (Dyn)-AMRI.

METHODS

This retrospective single-center study included 351 patients (M/F: 264/87, mean age: 57y) with chronic liver disease, who underwent MRI for HCC surveillance between 2014 and 2020. Two reconstructed AMRI sets were obtained based on complete MRI: NC-AMRI (T2-weighted imaging (WI) + diffusion-WI) and Dyn-AMRI (T2-WI + dynamic T1-WI) and were assessed by 2 radiologists who reported all suspicious lesions, using LI-RADS/adapted LI-RADS classification. The reference standard was based on all available patient data. Inter-reader agreement was assessed and MRI diagnostic performance was compared to the reference standard.

RESULTS

The reference standard demonstrated 83/351 HCC-positive patients (prevalence: 23.6%, median size: 22 mm, and positive MRIs: 83/631). Inter-reader agreement was substantial for all sets. Sensitivities of Dyn-AMRI and complete MRI (both 92.8%) were similar, higher than NC-AMRI (72.3%, p < 0.001). Specificities were not different between sets. NC-AMRI + AFP (92.8%) had similar sensitivity to Dyn-AMRI and complete MRI. In patients with small size HCCs (≤ 2 cm), sensitivities of Dyn-AMRI (85.3%) and complete MRI (88.2%) remained similar (p = 0.564), also outperforming NC-AMRI (52.9%, p < 0.05). NC-AMRI + AFP had similar sensitivity (88.2%) to Dyn-AMRI and complete MRI (p = 0.706 and p = 1, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Dyn-AMRI has similar diagnostic performance to complete MRI for HCC detection, while both outperform NC-AMRI, especially for small size HCCs. NC-AMRI + AFP demonstrates similar sensitivity to Dyn-AMRI and complete MRI.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Due to the low sensitivity of ultrasound for hepatocellular screening, new screening methods are needed. Abbreviated MRI (AMRI) is a candidate, especially non-contrast AMRI with serum alpha foetoprotein as the acquisition time is low, without the need for contrast medium injection.

KEY POINTS

• Dynamic contrast-enhanced abbreviated MRI using extracellular gadolinium-based contrast agent and complete MRI have similar diagnostic performance for hepatocellular carcinoma detection in an at-risk population. • Non-contrast abbreviated MRI with alpha foetoprotein has similar diagnostic performance to dynamic contrast-enhanced abbreviated MRI and complete MRI, including when considering small size hepatocellular carcinoma  ≤ 2 cm. • Non-contrast abbreviated MRI and dynamic contrast-enhanced abbreviated MRI can be performed in 7 and 10 min, excluding patient setup time.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prevention in the Era of Hepatitis C Elimination

The hepatitis C virus (HCV), a single-stranded RNA virus belonging to the Flaviviridae family, is a major cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Tumors caused by HCC have an increased mortality rate globally, which is more accentuated in Western countries. The carcinogenic potential of this virus is mediated through a wide range of mechanisms, spanning from the induction of chronic inflammation to oxidative stress and deregulation of cellular pathways by viral proteins. As the number of new infections continues unabated, HCC-related mortality should be prioritized through early detection, continued prevention of HCV transmission, and treatment of HCV with safe and efficacious direct antiviral agents (DAAs). People who inject drugs (PWID) are a significant reservoir of new HCV infections globally, and in order to eliminate hepatitis C as a global health threat, as set out by the World Health Organization, an integrated approach based on the optimization of care delivery and increased access to harm reduction and treatment for PWID is needed. Thanks to the development of safe and effective antiviral agents, eradication of the infection is now possible in almost all treated patients, leading to a significant reduction but not the elimination of the risk for HCC in cured patients. This is particularly relevant among aged populations who have cofactors of morbidity known to accelerate HCC progression, such as diabetes, obesity, and excessive alcohol consumption. Given the restless accumulation of individuals with cured HCV infection, the implementation of risk-stratified surveillance programs becomes impellent from a cost-effectiveness perspective, whereas the availability of a performant biomarker to predict HCC in cured patients remains an unmet clinical need.

Risk stratification and early detection biomarkers for precision HCC screening

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality remains high primarily due to late diagnosis as a consequence of failed early detection. Professional societies recommend semi-annual HCC screening in at-risk patients with chronic liver disease to increase the likelihood of curative treatment receipt and improve survival. However, recent dynamic shift of HCC etiologies from viral to metabolic liver diseases has significantly increased the potential target population for the screening, whereas annual incidence rate has become substantially lower. Thus, with the contemporary HCC etiologies, the traditional screening approach might not be practical and cost-effective. HCC screening consists of (i) definition of rational at-risk population, and subsequent (ii) repeated application of early detection tests to the population at regular intervals. The suboptimal performance of the currently available HCC screening tests highlights an urgent need for new modalities and strategies to improve early HCC detection. In this review, we overview recent developments of clinical, molecular, and imaging-based tools to address the current challenge, and discuss conceptual framework and approaches of their clinical translation and implementation. These encouraging progresses are expected to transform the current "one-size-fits-all" HCC screening into individualized precision approaches to early HCC detection and ultimately improve the poor HCC prognosis in the foreseeable future.

Evaluation of Ultrasound-based Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients at Risk: Results From a German Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in patients at risk is strongly recommended and usually performed by ultrasound (US) semiannually with or without alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) measurements. Quality parameters except for surveillance intervals have not been strictly defined. We aimed to evaluate surveillance success and risk factors for surveillance failure.

METHODS

Patients with ≥1 US prior to HCC diagnosis performed at four tertiary referral hospitals in Germany between 2008 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Surveillance success was defined as HCC detection within Milan criteria.

RESULTS

Only 47% of 156 patients, median age 63 (interquartile range: 57-70) years, 56% male, and 96% with cirrhosis, received recommended surveillance modality and interval. Surveillance failure occurred in 29% and was significantly associated with lower median model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score odds ratio (OR) 1.154, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.027-1.297, p=0.025) and HCC localization within right liver lobe (OR: 6.083, 95% CI: 1.303-28.407, p=0.022), but not with AFP ≥200 µg/L. Patients with surveillance failure had significantly more intermediate/advanced tumor stages (93% vs. 6%, p<0.001), fewer curative treatment options (15% vs. 75%, p<0.001) and lower survival at 1 year (54% vs. 75%, p=0.041), 2 years (32% vs. 57%, p=0.019) and 5 years (0% vs. 16%, p=0.009). Alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (OR: 6.1, 95% CI: 1.7-21.3, p=0.005) and ascites (OR: 3.9, 95% CI: 1.2-12.6, p=0.021) were independently associated with severe visual limitations on US.

CONCLUSIONS

US-based HCC surveillance in patients at risk frequently fails and its failure is associated with unfavorable patient-related outcomes. Lower MELD score and HCC localization within right liver lobe were significantly associated with surveillance failure.

Comparative effectiveness of different hepatocellular carcinoma screening intervals or modalities: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in high-risk populations. However, the ideal HCC screening interval and screening modality have not been determined. This study aimed to compare the screening efficacy among different modalities with various intervals.

METHODS

PubMed and other nine databases were searched through June 30, 2021. Binary outcomes were pooled using risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Survival rates were also pooled using RR with 95% CIs because most eligible studies only provided the number of survival patients instead of hazard ratio.

RESULTS

In all, 13 studies were included. Two random controlled trials (RCTs) and six cohort studies compared screening intervals for ultrasonography (US) screening and found no significant differences between shorter (3- or 4-month) and longer (6- or 12-month) screening intervals in terms of early HCC proportion, HCC significant mortality, 1-year survival rate; screening at 6-month interval significantly increased the proportion of early HCC (RR = 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.26) and prolonged the 5-year survival rate (RR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.07-1.82) relative to the 12-month interval results. Three other RCTs and two cohort studies compared different screening modalities in cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B, which indicated no statistical differences in the proportion of early HCC (RR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.40-1.96) and HCC mortality (RR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.23-2.09) between the biannual US and annual computed tomography (CT screening). Biannual US screening showed a lower proportion of early HCC than biannual magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) (RR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.37-0.97) and biannual US combined with annual CT (RR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.13-1.51) screening. The proportion of early HCC in the contrast-enhanced US group was slightly higher than that in the B-mode US (RR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.00-1.23) group.

CONCLUSIONS

The evidence suggests that 6 months may be the best HCC screening interval for US screening. The effectiveness of CT and MRI is better than US during same screening intervals. However, MRI and CT are more expensive than US, and CT also can increase the risk of radiation exposure. The selection of CT or MRI instead of US should be carefully considered.

REGISTRATION

No. CRD42020148258 at PROSPERO website ( https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ ).