Hazard function analysis of metastatic recurrence after colorectal cancer surgery-A nationwide retrospective study

CT assessment of liver fat fraction and abdominal fat composition can predict postoperative liver metastasis of colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to investigate the clinical value of liver fat fraction assessed by CT(CT-LFF) and abdominal fat components. We focus on predicting liver metastasis (LM) after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery.

METHODS

Clinical and imaging data from 79 patients who underwent radical CRC surgery between January 2019 and December 2021 were retrospectively collected. Semi-automatic software was used to quantify the area of different body tissues at the level of the third lumbar vertebra, and liver fat fraction was calculated based on the CT values. Patients were grouped according to BMI, tumor grade, T stage, N stage, vascular invasion (VI), perineural invasion (PNI), and preoperative levels of CEA and CA199. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify independent risk factors for early LM after surgery. The diagnostic performance was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic analysis with 5-fold cross-validation. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves, and Log-Rank test was used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

The study found that the occurrence of LM after CRC surgery was significantly associated with CA199 positivity, VI, PNI, N1-2 stage, CT-LFF, VAT index (VATI). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CA199 positivity (OR = 7.659), N1-2 stage (OR = 6.394), CT-LFF (OR = 1.271), VATI (OR = 1.043) were independent risk factors for predicting LM after CRC surgery. The multivariate logistic regression model, constructed using these independent risk factors, demonstrated robust predictive performance across 5-fold cross-validations, with an average AUC of 0.898 (95 % CI: 0.828-0.969). Survival analysis showed a significant difference in liver metastasis-free survival rates between the high-risk and low-risk groups (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CT-LFF and VATI assessed by CT are independent risk factors for predicting LM after CRC surgery. The multivariate prediction model combining CA199 and N stage shows high predictive performance.

OLFM2 promotes epithelial-mesenchymal transition, migration, and invasion in colorectal cancer through the TGF-β/Smad signaling pathway

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is an aggressive tumor of the gastrointestinal tract, which is a major public health concern worldwide. Despite numerous studies, the precise mechanism of metastasis behind its progression remains elusive. As a member of the containing olfactomedin domains protein family, olfactomedin 2 (OLFM2) may play a role in tumor metastasis. It is highly expressed in colorectal cancer, and its role in the metastasis of CRC is still unclear. As such, this study seeks to explore the function of OLFM2 on CRC metastasis and its potential mechanisms.

METHODS

Real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR and western blotting were used to study the expression of OLFM2 in human CRC and adjacent normal tissues. Knockdown and overexpression OLFM2 cell lines were constructed using siRNA and overexpression plasmids to explore the role of OLFM2 in the migration and invasion of CRC through transwell, and wound healing experiments. Finally, the expression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) -related proteins and TGF-β/Smad signaling pathway-related proteins was investigated using western blotting.

RESULTS

In this study, we observed an elevation of OLFM2 expression levels in CRC tissues. To investigate the function of OLFM2, we overexpressed and knocked down OLFM2. We discovered that OLFM2 knockdown inhibited migration and invasion of colon cancer cells. Furthermore, E-cadherin expression increased while N-cadherin and Vimentin expression were opposite. It is no surprise that overexpressing OLFM2 had the opposite effects. We also identified that OLFM2 knockdown resulted in reduced TGF-βR1 and downstream molecules p-Smad2 and p-Smad3, which are related to the TGF-β / Smad pathway. In contrast, overexpressing OLFM2 significantly boosted their expression levels.

CONCLUSION

The protein OLFM2 has been identified as a crucial determinant in the progression of CRC. Its mechanism of action involves the facilitation of EMT through the TGF-β/Smad signaling pathway. Given its pivotal role in CRC, OLFM2 has emerged as a promising diagnostic and therapeutic target for the disease. These results indicate the potential of OLFM2 as a valuable biomarker for CRC diagnosis and treatment and highlight the need for further research exploring its clinical significance.

Recurrence Patterns and Risk Factors after Curative Resection for Colorectal Cancer: Insights for Postoperative Surveillance Strategies

This study aimed to assess recurrence patterns and related risk factors following curative resection of colorectal cancer (CRC). This retrospective observational study was conducted at a tertiary care center, including 2622 patients with stage I-III CRC who underwent curative resection between 2008 and 2018. Hazard rates of recurrence were calculated using a hazard function. The primary outcome was the peak recurrence time after curative resection and secondary outcomes were prognostic factors associated with recurrence. Over a median follow-up period of 53 months, the overall, locoregional and systemic recurrence rates were 8.9%, 0.7%, and 8.5%, respectively. Recurrence rates were significantly higher for rectal cancer (14.9% overall, 4.4% locoregionally, and 12.3% systemically) than for colon cancer (all p < 0.001). The peak recurrence time was 11 months, with variations in hazard rates and curves depending on the tumor location, stage, and risk factors. Patients with AL or CRM involvement exhibited a distinct pattern, with a high hazard rate in the early postoperative period. Understanding these recurrence patterns and risk factors is crucial for establishing effective postoperative surveillance strategies. Our findings suggested that short-interval surveillance should be considered during the first 2 years post-surgery, particularly for high-risk patients who should receive early attention.

Application of Hazard Function to Investigate Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Curative-Intent Liver Resection: A Novel Approach to Characterize Recurrence

PURPOSE

To investigate recurrence patterns after surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) relative to lymph node status, tumor extension, tumor burden score (TBS), and adjuvant chemotherapy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC from 1990 to 2020 were enrolled from a multi-institutional database. The hazard function was applied to plot the hazard rates over time, with further stratification by T and N AJCC 8th edition categories, TBS, and adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

A total of 1192 patients underwent curative-intent resection for ICC and 59.9% experienced recurrence. Overall, the peak of recurrence occurred at 6.6 months. Among patients with negative lymph nodes, the T4-category had a higher peak rate of recurrence (0.1199 at 10.2 months) compared with other T-categories, while high TBS had an earlier peak of recurrence (4.2 months) compared with lower TBS. Among patients with N1 disease, T2-T4 categories had multipeak patterns of recurrence with higher hazard rates during the first 3 years after surgery in comparison with T1-category, while patients with high TBS had an earlier (4.0 months) and higher hazard peak rate compared with lower TBS groups. The administration of adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with delayed hazard rates of recurrence for N1 (4 months) and NX (6 months) categories.

DISCUSSION

The novel application of the hazard function to assess hazard rates and timing patterns of recurrence following resection for ICC demonstrated that recurrence varied based on T- and N-categories, as well as TBS. Hazard function-based recurrence data may be helpful to tailor counseling, surveillance, and adjuvant therapy recommendations.

Identifying Recurrences Among Non-Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients Using National Health Data Registries: Validation and Optimization of a Registry-Based Algorithm in a Modern Danish Cohort

Purpose

Colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence is not routinely recorded in Danish health data registries. Here, we aimed to revalidate a registry-based algorithm to identify recurrences in a contemporary cohort and to investigate the accuracy of estimating the time to recurrence (TTR).

Patients and Methods

We ascertained data on 1129 patients operated for UICC TNM stage I-III CRC during 2012-2017 registered in the CRC biobank at the Department of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark. Individual-level data were linked with data from the Danish Colorectal Cancer Group database, Danish Cancer Registry, Danish National Registry of Patients, and Danish Pathology Registry. The algorithm identified recurrence based on diagnosis codes of local recurrence or metastases, the receipt of chemotherapy, or a pathological tissue assessment code of recurrence more than 180 days after CRC surgery. A subgroup was selected for validation of the algorithm using medical record reviews as a reference standard.

Results

We found a 3-year cumulative recurrence rate of 20% (95% CI: 17-22%). Manual medical record review identified 80 recurrences in the validation cohort of 522 patients. The algorithm detected recurrence with 94% sensitivity (75/80; 95% CI: 86-98%) and 98% specificity (431/442; 95% CI: 96-99%). The positive and negative predictive values of the algorithm were 87% (95% CI: 78-93%) and 99% (95% CI: 97-100%), respectively. The median difference in TTR (TTR_{Medical_chart}-TTR_algorithm) was -8 days (IQR: -21 to +3 days). Restricting the algorithm to chemotherapy codes from oncology departments increased the positive predictive value from 87% to 94% without changing the negative predictive value (99%).

Conclusion

The algorithm detected recurrence and TTR with high precision in this contemporary cohort. Restriction to chemotherapy codes from oncology departments using department classifications improves the algorithm. The algorithm is suitable for use in future observational studies.

Survey on Mental Health Status and Quality of Life and Correlation among Patients with Permanent Stoma of Colorectal Tumor

Background

Colorectal cancer is one of the malignant tumors of the digestive system relatively hidden onset with unobvious early clinical symptoms. Most patients have developed into middle and late stages when they were diagnosed, missing the best period of operation. Advanced colorectal cancer has strong diffusion and metastasis with short survival time, which seriously threatens the life safety of patients.

Objective

To investigate the mental health status and quality of life and the relationship between them in patients with permanent stoma of colorectal cancer.

Methods

In this study, a case-control study was conducted to select 80 patients (stoma group) with colorectal cancer treated by permanent stoma surgery in our hospital from January 2020 to June 2021 and 80 patients (control group) with colorectal cancer treated by sphincter-preserving surgery at the same time. The psychological health degree and quality of life of the two groups of patients were evaluated by the psychological resilience scale (CD-RISC), the positive psychological capital questionnaire (PPQ), and the cancer patient quality of life-specific scale (QOL-LC), and a linear correlation model was used to analyze the correlation of CD-RISC score, PPQ score, and QOL-LC score.

Results

The total scores of tenacity, optimism, self-improvement, and resilience of the patients in the stoma group were significantly lower than those in the control one, and the difference between them was statistically significant (P < 0.05); the four dimensions of self-efficacy, optimism, hope, and resilience and the total score of PPQ of patients in the stoma group were significantly lower than those in the control group, and all of the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05); the somatic function, psychological function, symptoms of side effects, social function, and the total QOL-LC score of patients in the stoma one were significantly lower than those in the control one, and all of the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05); the total QOL-LC score of patients in the stoma group showed a significant positive correlation with PPQ score and CD-RISC score (r = 0.511 and r = 0.608, P < 0.01).

Conclusion

The overall level of mental health and life quality of patients with permanent stoma of colorectal cancer was worse than that of patients without stoma measures, and there was a certain correlation between patients' mental health and quality of life.

Serum apolipoprotein B to apolipoprotein A-I ratio is an independent predictor of liver metastasis from locally advanced rectal cancer in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery

BACKGROUND

The ratio of serum apolipoprotein B (apoB) to apolipoprotein A-I (apoAI) had been reported as a prognostic factor in colorectal cancer. This retrospective study aimed to assess the implication of apoB-to-apoAI ratio in predicting liver metastasis from rectal cancer (RC).

METHODS

The clinical data of 599 locally advanced RC patients treated with chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery were reviewed. Serum apoAI, apoB and apoB-to-apoAI ratio were analyzed for their correlation with the liver-metastasis-free, other-metastasis-free and overall survivals, together with the pretreatment and postsurgical pathoclinical features of the patients. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were realized through the Kaplan-Meier approach and Cox model, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for independent predictors.

RESULTS

Carbohydrate antigen 19 - 9 ≥ 26.3 U/ml, apoB-to-apoAI ratio ≥ 0.63, tumor regression grade 5 - 3, pT4 and pN + stage emerged as independent predictors of poorer liver-metastasis-free survival. The hazard ratios were 1.656 (95% CI, 1.094-2.506), 1.919 (95% CI, 1.174-3.145), 1.686 (95% CI, 1.053-2.703), 1.890 (95% CI, 1.110-3.226) and 2.012 (95% CI, 1.314-2.077), respectively. Except apoB-to-apoAI ratio, the other 4 factors were also independent predictors of poorer other-metastasis-free and overall survivals. And the independent predictors of poorer overall survival also included age ≥ 67 years old, distance to anal verge < 5 cm.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum apoB-to-apoAI ratio could be used as a biomarker for prediction of liver metastasis risk in locally advanced RC.

Recurrent patterns after postoperative radiotherapy for early stage endometrial cancer: A competing risk analysis model

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to evaluate site-specific recurrent patterns via competing risks analysis and hazard function to provide evidence for adjuvant treatment and follow-up for early staged endometrial cancer (EC).

METHODS

A total of 858 patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage I-II EC who received adjuvant radiotherapy at our institution (2000-2017) were included. The radiotherapy modality comprised external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) with or without vaginal brachytherapy (VBT) or VBT alone. Competing risks analysis and hazard rate function were employed to evaluate the recurrence rate according to the ESMO-ESGO-ESTRO risk classification.

RESULTS

The 5-year overall survival rates of the low-risk (LR), intermediate-risk (IR), high-intermediate risk (HIR), and high-risk (HR) groups were 96.1%, 95%, 93%, and 89.7%, respectively (p = 0.018). Sixty-eight patients developed recurrence. The 5-year incidence of distant recurrence was the highest in the HR group (14.87%), followed by the HIR (7.71%), IR (5.27%), and LR (1.26%) groups (Gray's test, p < 0.001). The LR and IR groups showed late metastasis behaviors for distant metastasis. The HR group presented a large magnitude of distant metastasis with an early peak that increased beyond 3 years. Subgroup analysis revealed that EBRT±VBT tended to reduce the locoregional relapse rate compared with VBT in the HIR-HR group (2.36% vs. 7.73%, Gray's test, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSION

The established competing risk modeling demonstrated different recurrence patterns across the risk groups and radiotherapy modes. A better understanding of the change in site-specific recurrence behavior allows more targeted adjuvant treatment and surveillance regimens.