A systematic review of validated methods for identifying pancreatitis using administrative data

Evolving trends in interventions and outcomes for acute biliary pancreatitis during pregnancy: A two-decade analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Cholelithiasis is the most common cause of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy. We analyzed trends in acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) among pregnant women over the past two decades to evaluate changes in outcomes, including the incidence of severe acute pancreatitis, mortality rates, and hospital length of stay.

METHODS

Using the National Inpatient Sample, we identified adult women of childbearing age (age 18-50 years) with hospitalization for ABP from 2002 to 2020. Trends were analyzed using Cochran-Armitage and F-tests. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to evaluate the outcome of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

RESULTS

45,064 pregnant and 212,009 non-pregnant women were hospitalized for ABP (2002-2020), with a significant increase in ABP during pregnancy (14.1 %→17.8 %; p < 0.001). Trend analyses in the pregnant cohort revealed increasing age (mean 27  →  28.1 years; p < 0.001), Class-III obesity (0.7 %→7.8 %; p < 0.001), comorbidities (Elixhauser index ≥3) (2.9 %→11.2 %; p < 0.001), and SAP (2.2 %→5.0 %; p < 0.001). Mortality remained very low (<0.01 %). Performance of ERCP (22.2 %→26.5 %; p < 0.001) and cholecystectomy (41.0 %→54.1 %; p < 0.001) increased while duration of hospitalization decreased (Mean 4.9  →  3.6 days; p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that the development of SAP was associated with Black race (OR 1.70, 95 % CI: 1.10-2.63) and comorbidities (OR 5.10, 95 % CI 3.64-7.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnant women represent a significant portion of hospitalized ABP cases, paralleling increases in age, comorbidities, and obesity rates. Racial disparities are linked to higher odds of SAP, though comorbidities have a dominant effect. There has been an increase in guideline-recommended procedures (ERCP and cholecystectomy); however, further research is needed to address the implementation gap, considering the increased complexity of pregnant women with ABP.

Prevalence of clinical characteristics of lipodystrophy in the US adult population in a healthcare claims database

BACKGROUND

Lipodystrophy is characterized by progressive loss of adipose tissue and consequential metabolic abnormalities. With new treatments emerging for lipodystrophy, there is a growing need to understand the prevalence of specific comorbidities that may be commonly associated with lipodystrophy to contextualize the natural history of lipodystrophy without any disease modifying therapy.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the risk of specific clinical characteristics in people living with lipodystrophy (LD) in 2018-2019 compared with the general US population, among the commercially insured US population.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the 2018-2019 Clinformatics® Data Mart database. An adult LD cohort (age ≥ 18 years) with at least ≥ 1 inpatient or ≥ 2 outpatient LD diagnoses was created. The LD cohort included non-HIV-associated LD (non-HIV-LD) and HIV-associated LD (HIV-LD) subgroups and compared against age- and sex-matched control groups with a 1:4 ratio from the general population with neither an LD or an HIV diagnosis using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

We identified 546 individuals with non-HIV-LD (mean age, 60.3 ± 14.9 years; female, 67.6%) and 334 individuals with HIV-LD (mean age, 59.2 ± 8.3 years; female, 15.0%) in 2018-2019. Compared with the general population, individuals with non-HIV-LD had higher risks (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]) for hyperlipidemia (3.32 [2.71-4.09]), hypertension (3.58 [2.89-4.44]), diabetes mellitus (4.72 [3.85-5.79]), kidney disease (2.78 [2.19-3.53]), liver fibrosis or cirrhosis (4.06 [1.66-9.95]), cancer (2.20 [1.59-3.01]), and serious infections resulting in hospitalization (3.00 [2.19-4.10]). Compared with individuals with HIV, those with HIV-LD have higher odds of hypertension (1.47 [1.13-1.92]), hyperlipidemia (2.46 [1.86-3.28]), and diabetes (1.37 [1.04-1.79]).

CONCLUSIONS

LD imposes a substantial burden on affected individuals due to a high prevalence of metabolic comorbidities and other complications as compared with the general non-LD population. Future longitudinal follow-up studies investigating the causality between LD and observed comorbidities are warranted.

Thromboembolic Events in Hospitalized Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been associated with an increased risk of thromboembolic vascular complications. Although studies from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) examined this association to some extent, sub-stratification for Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) in larger studies is lacking. The aims of this study were to utilize the NIS to determine the prevalence of thromboembolic events in inpatients with IBD compared to in patients without IBD and to explore the inpatient outcomes like morbidity, mortality, and resource utilization in patients with IBD and thromboembolic events as stratified by disease subtype.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study using the NIS 2016. All patients with ICD10-CM codes for IBD were included. Patients with thromboembolic events were identified using diagnostic ICD codes and stratified into 4 categories: (1) Deep vein thrombosis (DVT), (2) Pulmonary embolism (PE), (3) Portal vein thrombosis (PVT), and (4) Mesenteric ischemia, which were then sub-stratified for CD and UC. The primary outcome was the inpatient prevalence and odds of thromboembolic events in patients with IBD compared to without IBD. Secondary outcomes were inpatient morbidity, mortality, resource utilization, colectomy rates, hospital length of stay (LOS), and total hospital costs and charges compared to patients with IBD and thromboembolic events.

RESULTS

A total of 331,950 patients with IBD were identified, of who 12,719 (3.8%) had an associated thromboembolic event. For the primary outcome, after adjusting for confounders, inpatients with IBD had higher adjusted odds of DVT (aOR 1.59, p < 0.001), PE (aOR 1.20, p < 0.001), PVT (aOR 3.18, p < 0.001) and mesenteric ischemia (aOR 2.49, p < 0.001) compared to inpatients without IBD, an observation which was confirmed for both patients with CD and UC. Inpatients with IBD and associated DVT, PE and mesenteric ischemia had higher morbidity, mortality, odds of colectomy, cost, and charges.

CONCLUSIONS

Inpatients with IBD have higher odds of associated thromboembolic disorders compared to patients without IBD. Furthermore, inpatients with IBD and thromboembolic events have significantly higher mortality, morbidity, colectomy rates and resource utilization. For these reasons, increased awareness and specialized strategies for the prevention and management of thromboembolic events should be considered in inpatients with IBD.

Validation of Acute Pancreatitis Among Adults in an Integrated Healthcare System

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is a serious gastrointestinal disease that is an important target for drug safety surveillance. Little is known about the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for acute pancreatitis in the United States, or their performance in specific clinical settings. We conducted a validation study to assess the accuracy of acute pancreatitis ICD-10 diagnosis codes in inpatient, emergency department (ED), and outpatient settings.

METHODS

We reviewed electronic medical records for encounters with acute pancreatitis diagnosis codes in an integrated healthcare system from October 2015 to December 2019. Trained abstractors and physician adjudicators determined whether events met criteria for acute pancreatitis.

RESULTS

Out of 1,844 eligible events, we randomly sampled 300 for review. Across all clinical settings, 182 events met validation criteria for an overall positive predictive value (PPV) of 61% (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 55, 66). The PPV was 87% (95% CI = 79, 92%) for inpatient codes, but only 45% for ED (95% CI = 35, 54%) and outpatient (95% CI = 34, 55%) codes. ED and outpatient encounters accounted for 43% of validated events. Acute pancreatitis codes from any encounter type with lipase >3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of 92% (95% CI = 86, 95%) and identified 85% of validated events (95% CI = 79, 89%), while codes with lipase <3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of only 22% (95% CI = 16, 30%).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that ICD-10 codes accurately identified acute pancreatitis in the inpatient setting, but not in the ED and outpatient settings. Laboratory data substantially improved algorithm performance.

Association of Statin Usage and the Development of Diabetes Mellitus after Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) have at least a 2-fold higher risk for developing postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM). No therapies have prevented PPDM. Statins were demonstrated to possibly lower the incidence and severity of AP but have not been studied to prevent PPDM.

METHODS

Data from a commercial insurance claim database (Optum Clinformatics) were used to assess the impact of statins on patients without pre-existing DM admitted for a first episode of AP in 118,479 patients. Regular statin usage was defined as filled statin prescriptions for at least 80% of the year prior to AP. The primary outcome was defined as PPDM. We constructed a propensity score and applied inverse probability of treatment weighting to balance baseline characteristics between groups. Using Cox proportional hazards regression modeling, we estimated the risk of PPDM, accounting for competing events.

RESULTS

With a median of 3.5 years of follow-up, the 5-year cumulative incidence of PPDM was 7.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.9% to 8.0%) among regular statin users and 12.7% (95% CI, 12.4% to 12.9%) among nonusers. Regular statin users had a 42% lower risk of developing PPDM compared with nonusers (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.52 to 0.65; P < .001). Irregular statin users had a 15% lower risk of PPDM (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.81 to 0.89; P < .001). Similar benefits were seen with low, moderate, and high statin doses.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large database-based study, statin usage reduced the risk of developing DM after acute pancreatitis. Further prospective studies with long-term follow-up are needed to study the impact of statins on acute pancreatitis and prevention of PPDM.

Systemic anticoagulation is associated with decreased mortality and morbidity in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a procoagulant state, and markers of coagulopathy are associated with AP severity. We aimed to explore the association of systemic anticoagulation therapy before AP onset with the inpatient outcomes of patients with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This case-control, retrospective study used data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (Jan 2014-Dec 2016). We used medical coding data to identify patients with a principal diagnosis of AP who were receiving systemic anticoagulation therapy. Patients with anticoagulation were matched to those without it on the propensity for having anticoagulation. The propensity for having anticoagulation was estimated using a logistic regression model, matching for age, gender, race, median household income for patients' zip code, Charlson comorbidity score, region of hospital, location of hospital (urban/rural), teaching status of hospital, if admission day was on a weekend, pancreatic cancer class, obesity, tobacco usage. Secondary outcomes were inpatient outcomes and hospital expenditures.

RESULTS

A total of 190,474 patients admitted for acute pancreatitis were identified, out of which 7827 patients were on anticoagulation. After propensity matching, 5776 matched pairs were successfully identified. Patients with AP on anticoagulation tended to have lower risk for ICU admission, acute kidney injury, organ failure or inpatient mortality. However, the group with anticoagulation had longer hospital length of stay and higher hospital costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Anticoagulation therapy may have a pivotal role in the pathogenesis and progression of AP. These data suggest a potential therapeutic role for anticoagulants in AP. Further studies are needed to better understand these observations.

Chronic Pancreatitis Patients Who Leave Against Medical Advice: Prevalence, Trend, and Predictors

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Leaving against medical advice (LAMA) is an unfortunate occurrence in 1-2% of all hospitalized patients and is associated with worse outcomes. While this has been investigated across multiple clinical conditions, studies on patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP) are lacking. We aimed to determine the prevalence and determinants of this event among patients with CP.

METHODS

The Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project-Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), 2007-2014, was used in the study. Patients with LAMA were identified, and the temporal trend of LAMA was estimated and compared among patients with and without CP. We then extracted patients with a discharge diagnosis of CP from the recent years of HCUP-NIS (2012-2014) and described the characteristics of LAMA in these patients. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to evaluate predictors of LAMA.

RESULTS

3.39% of patients with CP discharged against medical advice. LAMA rate in CP patients was higher and increased more steeply at quadruple the rate of those without. More likely to self-discharge were patients who were young, males, non-privately insured, or engaged in alcohol and substance abuse, likewise were those with psychosis and those admitted on a weekend or non-electively. The northeast and for-profit hospitals also had higher odds of LAMA. However, patients transferred from other healthcare facilities have reduced LAMA odds. Among all patients with CP, those with LAMA had shorter length of stay (2.74 [2.62-2.85] days vs. 5.78 [5.71-5.83] days) and lower hospitalization cost $23,271 [$22,171-$24,370] versus $45,472 [$44,381-$46,562] compared to the no-LAMA group.

CONCLUSION

LAMA occurs in approximately 1 in 29 patients with CP and is increasing at almost quadruple the rate of those without. Clinicians need to pay closer attention to the identified at-risk groups for ameliorative targeted interventions.

Confirming diagnoses of acute pancreatitis with commonly available electronic data

BACKGROUND

Recorded diagnoses of acute pancreatitis (AP) are often inaccurate resulting in limited utility for case identification in large data sources, especially where electronic medical records (EMR) are not available. Our objectives were to validate diagnoses of AP and to identify an algorithm using additional data to enhance the identification of AP cases in different data sources.

METHODS

We randomly sampled 550 persons with an AP diagnosis from inpatient data or outpatient or emergency department diagnoses immediately preceding a hospitalization and 150 negative controls with a differential diagnosis (cholangitis or cholecystitis). We conducted an EMR review to confirm cases of AP and used logistic regression to develop EMR-based and claims-based algorithms to identify confirmed AP cases with variables typically available in electronic data sources. Algorithm performance was assessed using the C statistic, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value.

RESULTS

Of the 550 patients with an AP diagnosis, 467 (84.9%) were confirmed cases. An AP diagnosis alone had high sensitivity (98.9%), modest specificity (63.6%), and a C statistic of 0.813. An EMR-based model using an AP diagnosis, body mass index ≥30 kg/m² , a serum lipase >3 times upper limit of normal and diabetes attained a C-statistic of 0.914. A claims-based model attained a C-statistic of 0.892 using an AP diagnosis and dichotomous variables for whether a serum lipase test and/or an abdominal ultrasound was performed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our simple algorithms increased the accuracy of identification of AP cases providing widespread applicability to epidemiological and drug safety studies.

Predictors of hospital transfer and associated risks of mortality in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

There is limited research in prognosticators of hospital transfer in acute pancreatitis (AP). Hence, we sought to determine the predictors of hospital transfer from small/medium-sized hospitals and outcomes following transfer to large acute-care hospitals.

METHODS

Using the 2010-2013 Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), patients ≥18 years of age with a primary diagnosis of AP were identified. Hospital size was classified using standard NIS Definitions. Multivariable analyses were performed for predictors of "transfer-out" from small/medium-sized hospitals and mortality in large acute-care hospitals.

RESULTS

Among 381,818 patients admitted with AP to small/medium-sized hospitals, 13,947 (4%) were transferred out to another acute-care hospital. Multivariable analysis revealed that older patients (OR = 1.04; 95%CI 1.03-1.06), men (OR = 1.15; 95%CI 1.06-1.24), lower income quartiles (OR = 1.54; 95%CI 1.35-1.76), admission to a non-teaching hospital (OR = 3.38; 95%CI 3.00-3.80), gallstone pancreatitis (OR = 3.32; 95%CI 2.90-3.79), pancreatic surgery (OR = 3.14; 95%CI 1.76-5.58), and severe AP (OR = 3.07; 95%CI 2.78-3.38) were predictors of "transfer-out". ERCP (OR = 0.53; 95%CI 0.43-0.66) and cholecystectomy (OR = 0.14; 95%CI 0.12-0.18) were associated with decreased odds of "transfer-out". Among 507,619 patients admitted with AP to large hospitals, 31,058 (6.1%) were "transferred-in" from other hospitals. The mortality rate for patients "transferred-in" was higher than those directly admitted (2.54% vs. 0.91%, p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that being "transferred-in" from other hospitals was an independent predictor of mortality (OR = 1.47; 95% CI 1.22-1.77).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with AP transferred into large acute-care hospitals had a higher mortality than those directly admitted likely secondary to more severe disease. Early implementation of published clinical guidelines, triage, and prompt transfer of high-risk patients may potentially offset these negative outcomes.

Reproducing Protocol-Based Studies Using Parameterizable Tools-Comparison of Analytic Approaches Used by Two Medical Product Surveillance Networks

The US Sentinel System and the Canadian Network for Observational Drug Effect Studies (CNODES) are two medical product safety surveillance networks. Using Sentinel's preprogrammed, parameterizable analytic tools, we reproduced two protocol-based studies conducted by CNODES to assess the risks of acute pancreatitis and heart failure (HF) associated with the use of incretin-based drugs, compared with use of ≥ 2 oral hypoglycemic agents. Results from the replication new-user cohort analyses aligned with those from the CNODES nested case-control studies. The adjusted hazard ratios were 0.95 (0.81-1.12; vs. 1.03 (0.87-1.22) in CNODES) for acute pancreatitis and 0.91 (0.84-1.00; vs. 0.82 (0.67-1.00) in CNODES) for HF among patients without HF history. The CNODES's common protocol approach allows studies tailored to specific safety questions, whereas the Sentinel's common data model plus pretested program approach enables more rapid analysis. Despite these differences, it is possible to obtain comparable results using both approaches.

Amiodarone use and the risk of acute pancreatitis: Influence of different exposure definitions

Purpose

The antiarrhythmic drug amiodarone has a long half‐life of 60 days, which is often ignored in observational studies. This study aimed to investigate the impact of different exposure definitions on the association between amiodarone use and the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Method

Using data from the Dutch PHARMO Database Network, incident amiodarone users were compared to incident users of a different type of antiarrhythmic drug. Eighteen different definitions were applied to define amiodarone exposure, including dichotomized, continuous and categorized cumulative definitions with lagged effects to account for the half‐life of amiodarone. For each exposure definition, a Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of hospitalization for acute pancreatitis.

Results

This study included 15,378 starters of amiodarone and 21,394 starters of other antiarrhythmic drugs. Adjusted HRs for acute pancreatitis ranged between 1.21−1.43 for dichotomized definitions of exposure to amiodarone, between 1.13‐1.22 for dose definitions (per DDD) and between 0.52‐1.72 for cumulative dose definitions, depending on the category. Accounting for lagged effects had little impact on estimated HRs.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates the relative insensitivity of the association between amiodarone and the risk of acute pancreatitis against a broad range of different exposure definitions. Accounting for possible lagged effects had little impact, possibly because treatment switching and discontinuation was uncommon in this population.

Endoscopic intervention and cholecystectomy in pregnant women with acute biliary pancreatitis decrease early readmissions

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) is associated with increased rates of morbidity in pregnancy. Because there is a paucity of population-based studies evaluating ABP in pregnancy, we sought to investigate clinical outcomes in hospitalized pregnant women on a national level.

METHODS

By using the Nationwide Readmission Database (2011-2014), we identified all women (age ≥18 years) with an index admission for ABP in the United States. Multivariate and propensity-score matched analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of pregnancy on the clinical outcomes of early readmission and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in ABP.

RESULTS

There were 7787 hospitalizations for ABP in pregnant women during the study period. The rate of 30-day readmission was 16.26%; 57% of these early readmissions were due to adverse events of ABP. Compared with nonpregnant women with ABP, ERCP (21.1% vs 25.2%; P < .001) and cholecystectomy (52.8% vs 55.2%; P = .02) were performed less frequently during pregnancy. Propensity-score matched analysis revealed an increased risk of 30-day readmissions in pregnancy (odds ratio [OR], 1.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.67-2.30), whereas there was no difference in the risk of SAP (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.76-1.57). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that weekend admission (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10-1.79) and >1 week of hospitalization (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.24-2.48) increased the risk of 30-day readmission, whereas ERCP (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.27-0.57) and cholecystectomy (OR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.10-0.18) reduced the odds of early readmission in pregnancy.

CONCLUSIONS

Pregnant women with ABP less frequently undergo timely endoscopic biliary decompression and cholecystectomy. These modifiable factors can potentially lower early readmissions in pregnant women.

Challenges and Opportunities for Using Big Health Care Data to Advance Medical Science and Public Health

Methodological advancements in epidemiology, biostatistics, and data science have strengthened the research world's ability to use data captured from electronic health records (EHRs) to address pressing medical questions, but gaps remain. We describe methods investments that are needed to curate EHR data toward research quality and to integrate complementary data sources when EHR data alone are insufficient for research goals. We highlight new methods and directions for improving the integrity of medical evidence generated from pragmatic trials, observational studies, and predictive modeling. We also discuss needed methods contributions to further ease data sharing across multisite EHR data networks. Throughout, we identify opportunities for training and for bolstering collaboration among subject matter experts, methodologists, practicing clinicians, and health system leaders to help ensure that methods problems are identified and resulting advances are translated into mainstream research practice more quickly.

The Risk of Acute Pancreatitis After Initiation of Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitors: Testing a Hypothesis of Subgroup Differences in Older U.S. Adults

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4I) increase acute pancreatitis risk in older patients and whether the association varies by age, sex, and history of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a cohort study of DPP-4I initiators versus thiazolidinedione (TZD) or sulfonylurea initiators using U.S. Medicare beneficiaries, 2007-2014. Eligible initiators were aged 66 years or older without history of pancreatic disease or alcohol-related diseases. Patients were followed up for hospitalization due to acute pancreatitis and censored at 90 days after treatment changes. Weighted Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for acute pancreatitis. Analyses were performed overall as well as within subgroups defined by age, sex, and CVD history.

RESULTS

We found no increased risk of acute pancreatitis comparing 49,374 DPP-4I initiators to 132,223 sulfonylurea initiators (weighted HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.83-1.24) and comparing 57,301 DPP-4I initiators to 32,612 TZD initiators (weighted HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.76-1.62). Age and sex did not modify the association. Among patients with CVD, acute pancreatitis incidence was elevated in initiators of DPP-4I and sulfonylurea (2.3 and 2.4 per 1,000 person-years, respectively) but not in TZD initiators (1.5). Among patients with CVD, higher risk of acute pancreatitis was observed with DPP-4I compared with TZD (weighted HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.02-3.35) but not compared with sulfonylurea.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides evidence that DPP-4I is not associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis in older adults overall. The positive association observed in patients with CVD could be due to chance or bias but merits further investigation.

Effects of Bariatric Surgery on Outcomes of Patients With Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prevalence of obesity and number of patients undergoing bariatric surgery are increasing. Obesity has adverse effects in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). We investigated whether bariatric surgery affects outcomes of patients with AP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study, collecting data from the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample (2007-2011) on all adult inpatients (≥18 years) with a principal diagnosis of AP (n = 1,342,681). We compared primary clinical outcomes (mortality, acute kidney injury, and respiratory failure) and secondary outcomes related to healthcare resources (hospital stay and charges) among patient groups using univariate and multivariate analyses. We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to compare outcomes of patients with versus without bariatric surgery.

RESULTS

Of patients admitted to the hospital with a principal diagnosis of AP, 14,332 (1.07%) had undergone bariatric surgery. The number of patients that underwent bariatric surgery doubled, from 1801 in 2007 to 3928 in 2011 (P < .001). AP in patients that had undergone bariatric surgery was most frequently associated with gallstones. Multivariate analysis associated prior bariatric surgery with decreased mortality (odds ratio, 0.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.92), shorter duration of hospitalization (0.65 days shorter; P < .001), and lower hospital charges ($3558 lower) than in patients with AP not receiving bariatric surgery (P < .001). A propensity score-matched cohort analysis found that mortality and odds of acute kidney injury were similar between patients with versus without history of bariatric surgery, whereas respiratory failure was less frequent in patients who received bariatric surgery (1.34% vs 4.42%; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Prior bariatric surgery in patients hospitalized with AP is not adversely associated with in-hospital mortality, development of organ failure, or healthcare resource use. Bariatric surgery may mitigate the obesity-associated adverse prognostication in AP. These observations are pertinent for future research, because the prevalence of obesity and AP-related hospitalizations is increasing.

Incretin-based therapies are associated with acute pancreatitis: Meta-analysis of large randomized controlled trials

Previous studies have offered weak and conflicting evidence regarding the impact of incretin-based oral antihyperglycemic agents on risk of acute pancreatitis. This meta-analysis of three recent mega-trials found an 82% increase in the odds of acute pancreatitis with the use of these agents compared to usual care (95% CI, 1.17-2.82).

Acute pancreatitis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus treated with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors: a population-based nested case-control study

BACKGROUND

Concern about an increasing risk of acute pancreatitis associated with incretin-based drugs, including dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 analogs, has emerged recently.

OBJECTIVE

This nested case-control study examined the association between the use of DPP-4 inhibitors and acute pancreatitis using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database.

METHODS

From a study cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, we identified 1,957 acute pancreatitis cases (patients who had been admitted with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis) and 7,828 age-, sex-, and cohort entry year-matched controls between 2000 and 2011. Multivariate conditional regression models were used to estimate the association between the use of DPP-4 inhibitors and acute pancreatitis. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by varying the definitions of timing of exposure to DPP-4 inhibitors.

RESULTS

The risks of acute pancreatitis among current and past users of DPP-4 inhibitors were comparable with those of non-users (current users: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.04; 95% CI [0.89-1.21]; past users: aOR 1.61 [0.93-2.77]). Similar results were found in sensitivity analyses with various definitions of "current users" of DPP-4 inhibitors. Nevertheless, the adjusted risk of acute pancreatitis was found to be increased significantly in patients with gallstone disease (aOR 5.89 [4.71-7.35]), alcohol-related disease (aOR 5.36 [4.05-7.08]), hypertriglyceridemia (aOR 1.80 [1.26-2.56]), pancreatic disease (aOR 17.29 [10.60-28.19]), and a higher Diabetes Complications Severity Index (DCSI) score (DCSI 3-4: aOR 1.49 [1.21-1.84]; DCSI≥5: aOR 1.32 [1.01-1.73]).

CONCLUSIONS

This population-based study extends previous evidence by exploring the potential association between DPP-4 inhibitor use and the risk of acute pancreatitis in an ethnic Chinese type 2 diabetic cohort. We found that underlying diseases and severity of diabetes but not DPP-4 inhibitor use were associated with acute pancreatitis.

Incretin-mimetic therapies and pancreatic disease: a review of observational data

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Signals from the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (AERS) and pre-clinical and human pancreata obtained from organ donors have suggested that incretin-based therapies used to treat type 2 diabetes mellitus, such as glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, may increase the risk of acute pancreatitis (AP) and pancreatic cancer (PC). However, data from observational studies and randomized trials have been conflicting. We conducted a literature review to identify and summarize all observational data published assessing the pancreatic safety of incretins.

METHODS

Searches were conducted in MEDLINE via PubMed and Embase using the key terms for the time period of 1 January 2005, to 12 February 2014. A total of 180 articles were screened in abstract form and 49 were subsequently reviewed in full text for inclusion. Data from 12 articles are included in this report.

FINDINGS

Data from the FDA AERS database suggest increased risk of AP and PC with GLP-1 receptor agonist and DPP-4 inhibitor use. These findings are not supported by population-based observational studies for either AP or PC; however, studies assessing the relationship between PC and incretin-based therapies are limited.

CONCLUSIONS

Current evidence is conflicting and inadequate to conclude whether use of incretin-based therapies increases the risk of AP and PC. Further studies, with the ability to provide long term follow-up, are needed.

Adverse gastrointestinal events with intravitreal injection of vascular endothelial growth factor inhibitors: nested case-control study

BACKGROUND

Intravenous administration of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-inhibiting drugs is associated with adverse gastrointestinal (GI) events. Clinical trials of VEGF inhibitors used for the treatment of retinal diseases have suggested higher risks of adverse GI events among patients treated with bevacizumab. However, population-based studies have been lacking.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to assess risks for GI adverse events associated with intravitreal injections of VEGF-inhibiting drugs.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based, nested case-control study of 114,427 older adults in Ontario, Canada, with retinal disease identified between 1 November 2005 and 30 April 2011. Of these, 3,582 cases were admitted to hospital or assessed in an emergency department for GI adverse events. Controls were matched to cases on the basis of age, sex, and outcome history.

RESULTS

Patients experiencing adverse events were equally as likely as matched controls to have been exposed to bevacizumab or ranibizumab. Adjusted odds ratios for bevacizumab were 1.05 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.69-1.61) for upper GI ulceration, 1.29 (95 % CI 0.86-1.96) for diverticular disease, 1.49 (95 % CI 0.84-2.63) for pancreatitis, 0.82 (95 % CI 0.53-1.29) for cholelithiasis, and 1.45 (95 % CI 0.67-3.12) for cholecystitis. For ranibizumab they were 1.25 (95 % CI 0.88-1.77) for upper GI ulceration, 1.12 (95 % CI 0.83-1.52) for diverticular disease, 0.85 (95 % CI 0.51-1.40) for pancreatitis, 0.77 (95 % CI 0.53-1.11) for cholelithiasis, and 0.83 (95 % CI 0.44-1.56) for cholecystitis. Results were similar when the analysis was restricted to patients only exposed to a single type of VEGF inhibitor.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, intravitreal injections of bevacizumab and ranibizumab were not associated with increased risks of adverse GI events.

Decreasing mortality from acute biliary diseases that require endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The management of acute biliary diseases often involves endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), but it is not clear whether this technique reduces mortality. We investigated whether mortality from acute biliary diseases that require ERCP has been reduced over time and explored factors associated with mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (1998-2008). We identified hospitalizations for choledocholithiasis, cholangitis, and acute pancreatitis that involved ERCP. Multivariate analyses were used to determine the effects of time period, patient factors, hospital characteristics, features of the ERCP procedure, and types of cholecystectomies on mortality, length of stay, and costs.

RESULTS

From 1998 to 2008 there were 166,438 admissions for acute biliary conditions that met the inclusion criteria, corresponding to more than 800,000 patients nationwide. During this interval, mortality decreased from 1.1% to 0.6% (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.6-0.8), diagnostic ERCPs decreased from 28.8% to 10.0%, hospitals performing fewer than 100 ERCPs per year decreased from 38.4% to 26.9%, open cholecystectomies decreased from 12.4% to 5.8%, and unsuccessful ERCPs decreased from 6.3% to 3.2% (P < .0001 for all trends). Unsuccessful ERCP (aOR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2), open cholecystectomy (aOR, 3.4; 95% CI 2.7-4.3), cholangitis (aOR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.5-2.3), older age, having Medicare health insurance, and comorbidity were associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital mortality from acute biliary conditions requiring ERCP in the United States has decreased over time. Reductions in the rate of unsuccessful ERCPs and open cholecystectomies are associated with this trend.

Incretin therapies and risk of hospital admission for acute pancreatitis in an unselected population of European patients with type 2 diabetes: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have yielded conflicting results about the association between incretin therapies and acute pancreatitis. We aimed to compare the occurrence of acute pancreatitis in a population of patients with type 2 diabetes who received incretins compared with those who received other antidiabetic treatment.

METHODS

In our population-based matched case-control study, we extracted information from an administrative database from Piedmont, Italy (containing data for 4·4 million inhabitants). From a dataset of 282,429 patients receiving treatment with antidiabetic drugs for type 2 diabetes, we identified 1003 cases older than 41 years who had been admitted to hospital for acute pancreatitis between Jan 1, 2008, and Dec 31, 2012, and 4012 controls who were matched for sex, age, and time of start of antidiabetic therapy. We compared incretin exposure in cases and controls with a conditional logistic regression model, expressed as odds ratios (ORs [95% CI]). We adjusted all analyses for risk factors of acute pancreatitis, as ascertained by hospital discharge records, and concomitant use of metformin or glibenclamide.

FINDINGS

The mean age of cases and controls (72·2 years [SD 11·1]) was high, as expected in an unselected diabetic population in Europe. After adjustment for available confounders, use of incretins in the 6 months before hospital admission was not associated with increased risk of acute pancreatitis (OR 0·98, 95% CI 0·69-1·38; p=0·8958).

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest that, in an unselected population, use of incretins is not associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis. Larger studies are needed to clarify whether age or type of incretin therapy could affect the risk of acute pancreatitis in patients with type 2 diabetes.

FUNDING

Chaira Medica Association, Chieri, Italy.

Rapid, responsive, relevant (R3) research: a call for a rapid learning health research enterprise

Our current health research enterprise is painstakingly slow and cumbersome, and its results seldom translate into practice. The slow pace of health research contributes to findings that are less relevant and potentially even obsolete. To produce more rapid, responsive, and relevant research, we propose approaches that increase relevance via greater stakeholder involvement, speed research via innovative designs, streamline review processes, and create and/or better leverage research infrastructure. Broad stakeholder input integrated throughout the research process can both increase relevance and facilitate study procedures. More flexible and rapid research designs should be considered before defaulting to the traditional two-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT), but even traditional RCTs can be designed for more rapid findings. Review processes for grant applications, IRB protocols, and manuscript submissions can be better streamlined to minimize delays. Research infrastructures such as rapid learning systems and other health information technologies can be leveraged to rapidly evaluate new and existing treatments, and alleviate the extensive recruitment delays common in traditional research. These and other approaches are feasible but require a culture shift among the research community to value not only methodological rigor, but also the pace and relevance of research.

Mini-Sentinel's systematic reviews of validated methods for identifying health outcomes using administrative and claims data: methods and lessons learned

PURPOSE

To overview the methods used in the Mini-Sentinel systematic reviews of validation studies of algorithms to identify health outcomes in administrative and claims data and to describe lessons learned in the development of search strategies, including their ability to identify articles from previous systematic reviews which used different search strategies.

METHODS

Literature searches were conducted using PubMed and the citation database of the Iowa Drug Information Service. Embase was searched for some outcomes. The searches were based on a strategy developed by the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) researchers. All citations were reviewed by two investigators. Exclusion criteria were applied at abstract and full-text review stages to ultimately identify algorithm validation studies that used data sources from the USA or Canada, as the results of these studies were considered most likely to generalize to Mini-Sentinel data. Nonvalidated algorithms were reviewed if fewer than five algorithm validation studies were identified.

RESULTS

The results of this project are described in the separate articles and reports written on algorithms to identify each outcome of interest.

CONCLUSIONS

The Mini-Sentinel systematic reviews of algorithms to identify health outcomes in administrative and claims data are expected to be relatively complete, despite some limitations. Algorithm validation studies are inconsistently indexed in PubMed, creating challenges in conducting systematic reviews of these studies. Google Scholar searches, which can perform text word searches of electronically available articles, are suggested as a strategy to identify studies that are not captured through searches of standard citation databases.

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration's Mini-Sentinel program: status and direction

The Mini-Sentinel is a pilot program that is developing methods, tools, resources, policies, and procedures to facilitate the use of routinely collected electronic healthcare data to perform active surveillance of the safety of marketed medical products, including drugs, biologics, and medical devices. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) initiated the program in 2009 as part of its Sentinel Initiative, in response to a Congressional mandate in the FDA Amendments Act of 2007. After two years, Mini-Sentinel includes 31 academic and private organizations. It has developed policies, procedures, and technical specifications for developing and operating a secure distributed data system comprised of separate data sets that conform to a common data model covering enrollment, demographics, encounters, diagnoses, procedures, and ambulatory dispensing of prescription drugs. The distributed data sets currently include administrative and claims data from 2000 to 2011 for over 300 million person-years, 2.4 billion encounters, 38 million inpatient hospitalizations, and 2.9 billion dispensings. Selected laboratory results and vital signs data recorded after 2005 are also available. There is an active data quality assessment and characterization program, and eligibility for medical care and pharmacy benefits is known. Systematic reviews of the literature have assessed the ability of administrative data to identify health outcomes of interest, and procedures have been developed and tested to obtain, abstract, and adjudicate full-text medical records to validate coded diagnoses. Mini-Sentinel has also created a taxonomy of study designs and analytical approaches for many commonly occurring situations, and it is developing new statistical and epidemiologic methods to address certain gaps in analytic capabilities. Assessments are performed by distributing computer programs that are executed locally by each data partner. The system is in active use by FDA, with the majority of assessments performed using customizable, reusable queries (programs). Prospective and retrospective assessments that use customized protocols are conducted as well. To date, several hundred unique programs have been distributed and executed. Current activities include active surveillance of several drugs and vaccines, expansion of the population, enhancement of the common data model to include additional types of data from electronic health records and registries, development of new methodologic capabilities, and assessment of methods to identify and validate additional health outcomes of interest.