A Risk-Based Ecohydrological Approach to Assessing Environmental Flow Regimes

Joint guarantee rate index assessment of the contribution of agricultural water-saving measures to river ecological flow in water shortage areas

Reconciling higher ecological water demands and economic purposes with finite freshwater resources remains one of the great management dilemmas. Low water efficiency and large water consumption in agricultural irrigation hinder the protection of river ecological flow in the water shortage areas of Northwest China. By analyzing the surplus and shortage of river ecological protection targets, the intensity guarantee rate index is innovatively proposed to quantitatively evaluate the important contribution of improved water-saving measures for river flow restoration. It compensates for the shortcomings of the duration guarantee rate index in evaluation that may mask ecological problems. Considering ecological baseflow, fish species, and landscape water demand, the ecological flow interval (6.00-12.42 m3/s) was determined. Three scenarios are highlighted for different typical years and irrigation regimes in combination with planting structure adjustment and irrigation water utilization coefficient. In 75 %, 90 %, and 95 % typical years, the maximum total annual water-savings (Scenario 3) are 57.3, 57.1, and 87.2 million m3 (sufficient irrigation); 32.2, 33.9, and 35.5 million m3 (deficit irrigation) respectively. The guarantee degree of river ecological flow under both irrigation regimes increased from the previous 65.6 % to a maximum of 91.7 % and 81.2 %. The increase in the daily guarantee rate and decrease in the intensity guarantee rate under the aforementioned three scenarios indicate a reduction of damage depth and duration of ecological flow. By using a quantitative study, it is pointed out that improving agricultural water-saving is a reasonable and necessary way to protect the river flow.

Quantifying movement of multiple threatened species to inform adaptive management of environmental flows

There is a growing need for water managers to refine and optimise environmental flow strategies (e-flows) to balance water requirements for humans and nature. With increasing demands for freshwater and consequent declines in biodiversity, managers are faced with the problem of how to adaptively manage e-flows for multiple stakeholders and species whose flow requirements may overlap or vary. This study assessed the effectiveness of a regulated e-flow release strategy from a dam, aimed at providing movement opportunities and facilitating reproductive processes for multiple threatened species. Movements of 24 Mary River cod (Maccullochella mariensis), 20 Australian lungfish (Neoceratodus forsteri) and 13 Mary River turtle (Elusor macrurus) were quantified using acoustic telemetry over a three-year period. The influence of regulated e-flow releases, season, river depth, water temperature and rainfall on animal movements was assessed using Generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs). Models showed that hydraulic connectivity provided by both natural flows and regulated e-flow releases facilitated movement of all three species between pool habitats, throughout the year. Mary River turtles made extensive use of regulated e-flow releases when moving between habitats, whereas Mary River cod and Australian lungfish required additional natural rises in river height above the regulated e-flows to trigger movements. Significant movement activity was also recorded for cod and turtles during the dry season (winter and spring), broadly coinciding with breeding periods for these species. The effectiveness of, and potential improvements to, current e-flow strategies to sustain key life-history requirements of these species is discussed. Findings suggest a revised e-flow strategy with relatively minor increases in the magnitude of e-flow releases throughout winter and spring, would be effective in providing movement opportunities and supporting reproductive success for all three species. This study demonstrates that by quantifying movement behaviour in an e-flow context, ecological risk assessment frameworks can then be used to assess and provide for critical life-history requirements of multiple species within the context of a highly regulated system under increasing water use demands.

Connectivity of fish communities in a tropical floodplain river system and predicted impacts of potential new dams

Longitudinal and lateral connectivity is important for mobile aquatic species in rivers for reproductive migrations, recruitment, gene flow and access to food resources across habitat types. Water resource developments such as dams and levees may disrupt these connections, causing river fragmentation and loss of access to highly productive habitats such as floodplain wetlands. We used sulfur stable isotopes as a tracer to estimate patterns of fish movement in an unregulated river in tropical northern Australia, taking advantage of observed spatial variation in sulfur isotope values of their food resources across the catchment. We also modelled the flow and barrier related impacts of potential dam development scenarios on fish movement. Fish with isotope values significantly different from local prey values were determined to be migrants. In the 'no dams' scenario, movement varied among fish species (0-44% migrant fish within species where n > 5) and sites (0-40% migrant fish within sites where n > 5), and immigration was higher in more connected sites. Impacts of water resource development on fish movement varied between dam scenarios, with predictions that a dam on the main channel of the Mitchell River would have the highest impact of the three individual dam scenarios. This study provides critical information on how flow-mediated connectivity supports patterns of fish community movement in an unregulated river system. The generic quantitative approach of combining tracers of fish movement with connectivity modelling provides a powerful predictive tool. While we used sulfur stable isotopes to estimate fish movement, our approach can be used with other tracers of movement such as otoliths and acoustic telemetry, making it widely applicable to guide sustainable development in other river systems.

Study on the theories and methods of ecological flow guarantee rate index under different time scales

Human activities have altered the region's natural attributes to a certain extent, leading to the competition of resources. As a result of the contradiction between water use inside and outside the river, the river ecosystems are under increasing pressure. Ecological flow has been proposed to ensure the health of the river ecosystem and habitat integrity. However, there are few special studies on its guarantee rate and lack of systematic analysis. To scientifically evaluate the ecological flow guarantee rate, this study proposed an ecological flow guarantee index for long-time by frequency analysis and an ecological flow guarantee index for short-time by Satisfaction Rate. Taking four typical sections of the mainstream of the Huai River as the research objects, we evaluated the ecological flow guarantee rate at different time scales based on the runoff sequence from 1956 to 2018. It was found that over the mid-long term scale (multi-year series), the guarantee rate of each section during the non-flood period reached 87%, while the guarantee rate during the flood period was about 83%. Over a short time scale (day series within the year), taking typical years of wet, normal, dry, and withered years to calculate the guarantee rate within the year, the average ecological flow guarantee rate reached about 70%. In practice, the joint application of the mid-long term and short-term ecological flow guarantee rate can take into account both long-term planning and short-term regulation, ensuring the sustainable development of river ecosystems in all aspects.

Adaptive Management of Environmental Flows

Adaptive management enables managers to work with complexity and uncertainty, and to respond to changing biophysical and social conditions. Amid considerable uncertainty over the benefits of environmental flows, governments are embracing adaptive management as a means to inform decision making. This Special Issue of Environmental Management presents examples of adaptive management of environmental flows and addresses claims that there are few examples of its successful implementation. It arose from a session at the 11th International Symposium on Ecohydraulics held in Australia, and is consequently dominated by papers from Australia. We classified the papers according to the involvement of researchers, managers and the local community in adaptive management. Five papers report on approaches developed by researchers, and one paper on a community-led program; these case studies currently have little impact on decision making. Six papers provide examples involving water managers and researchers, and two papers provide examples involving water managers and the local community. There are no papers where researchers, managers and local communities all contribute equally to adaptive management. Successful adaptive management of environmental flows occurs more often than is perceived. The final paper explores why successes are rarely reported, suggesting a lack of emphasis on reflection on management practices. One major challenge is to increase the documentation of successful adaptive management, so that benefits of learning extend beyond the project where it takes place. Finally, moving towards greater involvement of all stakeholders is critical if we are to realize the benefits of adaptive management for improving outcomes from environmental flows.