Preoperative Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) Is a Better Predictor of Adverse Cardiac Events Compared to Preoperative Scoring System in Patients Who Underwent Abdominal Surgery

The Role of Natriuretic Peptides in Predicting Adverse Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery: An Updated Systematic Review

The increasing global burden of cardiovascular disease, particularly, in the aging population, has led to an increase in high-risk cardiac surgical procedures. The current preoperative risk stratification scores, such as the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation and the Society for Thoracic Surgeons score, have limitations in their predictive accuracy and tend to underestimate the mortality risk in higher-risk populations. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the utility of natriuretic peptides, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and its precursor prohormone (N-terminal prohormone BNP), as predictive biomarkers for adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. A comprehensive search strategy was performed, and 63 studies involving 40,667 patients who underwent major cardiac operations were included for data extraction. Preoperative levels of BNP and N-terminal prohormone BNP seemed to be associated with an increased risk of short- and long-term mortality, postoperative heart failure, kidney injury, and length of intensive care unit stay. However, their predictive value for postoperative arrhythmias and myocardial infarction was less established. Our findings suggest that natriuretic peptides may play an important role in risk prediction in patients who underwent cardiac surgery. The addition of these biomarkers to the existing clinical risk stratification strategies may enhance their predictive accuracy. However, this needs to be endorsed by data derived from wide-scale clinical trials.

ESAIC focused guideline for the use of cardiac biomarkers in perioperative risk evaluation

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been increasing focus on the use of cardiac biomarkers in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

AIMS

The aim of this focused guideline was to provide updated guidance regarding the pre-, post- and combined pre-and postoperative use of cardiac troponin and B-type natriuretic peptides in adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

METHODS

The guidelines were prepared using Grading of Recommendations Assessment Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. This included the definition of critical outcomes, a systematic literature search, appraisal of certainty of evidence, evaluation of biomarker measurement in terms of the balance of desirable and undesirable effects including clinical outcomes, resource use, health inequality, stakeholder acceptance, and implementation. The panel differentiated between three different scopes of applications: cardiac biomarkers as prognostic factors, as tools for risk prediction, and for biomarker-enhanced management strategies.

RESULTS

In a modified Delphi process, the task force defined 12 critical outcomes. The systematic literature search resulted in over 25,000 hits, of which 115 full-text articles formed the body of evidence for recommendations. The evidence appraisal indicated heterogeneity in the certainty of evidence across critical outcomes. Further, there was relevant gradient in the certainty of evidence across the three scopes of application. Recommendations were issued and if this was not possible due to limited evidence, clinical practice statements were produced.

CONCLUSION

The ESAIC focused guidelines provide guidance on the perioperative use of cardiac troponin and B-type natriuretic peptides in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, for three different scopes of application.

The comparative and added prognostic value of biomarkers to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for preoperative prediction of major adverse cardiac events and all-cause mortality in patients who undergo noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely acknowledged prognostic model to estimate preoperatively the probability of developing in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. However, the RCRI does not always make accurate predictions, so various studies have investigated whether biomarkers added to or compared with the RCRI could improve this.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: To investigate the added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Secondary: To investigate the prognostic value of biomarkers compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Tertiary: To investigate the prognostic value of other prediction models compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase from 1 January 1999 (the year that the RCRI was published) until 25 June 2020. We also searched ISI Web of Science and SCOPUS for articles referring to the original RCRI development study in that period.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included studies among adults who underwent noncardiac surgery, reporting on (external) validation of the RCRI and: - the addition of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of the RCRI to other models. Besides MACE, all other adverse outcomes were considered for inclusion.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We developed a data extraction form based on the CHARMS checklist. Independent pairs of authors screened references, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability according to PROBAST. For biomarkers and prediction models that were added or compared to the RCRI in ≥ 3 different articles, we described study characteristics and findings in further detail. We did not apply GRADE as no guidance is available for prognostic model reviews.

MAIN RESULTS

We screened 3960 records and included 107 articles.   Over all objectives we rated risk of bias as high in ≥ 1 domain in 90% of included studies, particularly in the analysis domain. Statistical pooling or meta-analysis of reported results was impossible due to heterogeneity in various aspects: outcomes used, scale by which the biomarker was added/compared to the RCRI, prediction horizons and studied populations.  Added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI Fifty-one studies reported on the added value of biomarkers to the RCRI. Sixty-nine different predictors were identified derived from blood (29%), imaging (33%) or other sources (38%). Addition of NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination improved the RCRI for predicting MACE (median delta c-statistics: 0.08, 0.14 and 0.12 for NT-proBNP, troponin and their combination, respectively). The median total net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.16 and 0.74 after addition of troponin and NT-proBNP to the RCRI, respectively. Calibration was not reported. To predict myocardial infarction, the median delta c-statistic when NT-proBNP was added to the RCRI was 0.09, and 0.06 for prediction of all-cause mortality and MACE combined. For BNP and copeptin, data were not sufficient to provide results on their added predictive performance, for any of the outcomes. Comparison of the predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI  Fifty-one studies assessed the predictive performance of biomarkers alone compared to the RCRI. We identified 60 unique predictors derived from blood (38%), imaging (30%) or other sources, such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (32%). Predictions were similar between the ASA classification and the RCRI for all studied outcomes. In studies different from those identified in objective 1, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 and 0.12 in favour of  BNP and NT-proBNP alone, respectively, when compared to the RCRI, for the prediction of MACE. For C-reactive protein, the predictive performance was similar to the RCRI. For other biomarkers and outcomes, data were insufficient to provide summary results. One study reported on calibration and none on reclassification. Comparison of the predictive value of other prognostic models to the RCRI   Fifty-two articles compared the predictive ability of the RCRI to other prognostic models. Of these, 42% developed a new prediction model, 22% updated the RCRI, or another prediction model, and 37% validated an existing prediction model. None of the other prediction models showed better performance in predicting MACE than the RCRI. To predict myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest, ACS-NSQIP-MICA had a higher median delta c-statistic of 0.11 compared to the RCRI. To predict all-cause mortality, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 higher in favour of ACS-NSQIP-SRS compared to the RCRI. Predictive performance was not better for CHADS₂, CHA₂DS₂-VASc, R₂CHADS₂, Goldman index, Detsky index or VSG-CRI compared to the RCRI for any of the outcomes. Calibration and reclassification were reported in only one and three studies, respectively.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Studies included in this review suggest that the predictive performance of the RCRI in predicting MACE is improved when NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination are added. Other studies indicate that BNP and NT-proBNP, when used in isolation, may even have a higher discriminative performance than the RCRI. There was insufficient evidence of a difference between the predictive accuracy of the RCRI and other prediction models in predicting MACE. However, ACS-NSQIP-MICA and ACS-NSQIP-SRS outperformed the RCRI in predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest combined, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Nevertheless, the results cannot be interpreted as conclusive due to high risks of bias in a majority of papers, and pooling was impossible due to heterogeneity in outcomes, prediction horizons, biomarkers and studied populations. Future research on the added prognostic value of biomarkers to existing prediction models should focus on biomarkers with good predictive accuracy in other settings (e.g. diagnosis of myocardial infarction) and identification of biomarkers from omics data. They should be compared to novel biomarkers with so far insufficient evidence compared to established ones, including NT-proBNP or troponins. Adherence to recent guidance for prediction model studies (e.g. TRIPOD; PROBAST) and use of standardised outcome definitions in primary studies is highly recommended to facilitate systematic review and meta-analyses in the future.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide: Early Predictor of Cardiovascular Complications and Mortality After Major Abdominal Surgery

Background and objectives

In surgical patients, coronary disease is the main cause of perioperative mortality. The incidence of serious cardiovascular complications is reported as 5% with a probability of 1-2% of death from the cardiac cause in major non-cardiac surgery. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a sensitive and specific predictor of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and predicts first cardiovascular event and death in the general population. The recent guidelines recommended the use of pro-BNP for independent perioperative prognosis in cardiac patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery. The aim of this study is to assess the predictive value of raised pro-BNP levels in patients who underwent major abdominal surgery and evaluate its relationship with cardiovascular complications and mortality occurring up to 30 days after surgery.

Materials and methods

We reviewed the medical records of patients undergone surgical procedures in the abdominal region lasting more than two hours, requiring postoperative high dependence or intensive care and an expected hospital stay of at least three days. All types of open or laparoscopic-assisted abdominal or pelvic surgeries that were evaluated for preoperative pro-BNP levels were included in the study. During the postoperative period, all patients were followed for cardiac complications and mortality for 30 days after surgery. Postoperative adverse cardiac events were predefined as angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, cardiogenic dyspnea, acute arrhythmias (atrial fibrillation/flutter, ventricular fibrillation/tachycardia), acute hypertensive event (hypertensive emergency or urgency), congestive heart failure, acute pulmonary edema, or primary cardiac death. While non-cardiac complications were also documented as either pulmonary, septic, postsurgical site infection, and other systemic complications. Subsequently, a survival analysis was done for the discretion of cardiovascular complications and mortality.

Results

The mean age of the study population was found to be 50.22 ± 14.28 years, mean pro-BNP levels were 909.29 ± 3950.04, and mean days of hospital stay were 7.43 ± 4.49 days. The 30-day postoperative all-cause mortality was found to be 9.8%. Hypertension and diabetes were frequent comorbidities amongst the study population. The mean preoperative pro-BNP levels were found higher in the male gender (p=0.071), also found higher in those with cardiovascular complications (p=0.006) and mortality (p=0.057). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed cardiovascular outcomes with a cut-off value of pro-BNP at 143 pg/ml, AUC of 0.891, at a sensitivity of 91%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 96%, a specificity of 75%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 58%, while the same for mortality at a cut-off value of 164 pg/ml was found with AUC of 0.815, at a sensitivity of 84%, a specificity of 66%, PPV of 97%, and NPV of 21%. The unadjusted odds ratio for cardiovascular complications was found to be 17.857 (95% CI: 6.56-48.60) while that for mortality was 10.863 (95% Cl: 2.29-51.37). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showing elevated pro-BNP levels were significantly associated with cardiovascular events, with 30 days mortality at a cut-off value of 164 pg/ml.

Conclusion

Pro-BNP is a useful marker in postoperative patients for not only predicting cardiovascular outcomes as cited by many previous studies but also mortality.

The endoscopic treatment of pilonidal sinus disease: a short-term case-series study

BACKGROUND

Pilonidal disease (PNS) is a common inflammatory disease that can significantly impact the quality of life of the patient. Previous open techniques for the management of this condition have been unsatisfactory, with high recurrence rates reported.

OBJECTIVE

Investigate a new endoscopic procedure for the management of PNS disease.

DESIGN

Case series.

SETTING

Single hospital in Kuwait.

PATIENTS

From April 2014 to October 2017, patients with symptomatic chronic or recurrent PNS were consecutively enrolled to undergo the endoscopic pilonidal sinus treatment (EPSiT) procedure.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Control of pain, wound complications, recurrence rate over a 6-month follow up.

SAMPLE SIZE

35 patients.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 22 years, with 33 (94%) males. Fourteen (40%) presented with recurrent disease and were recommended to undergo an EPSiT procedure. A single tract was used in 32 (91%) of the cases, with an average operative time of 51 mins. On follow-up 5 patients reported minimal pain judging by the need of only mild analgesics for the control of pain. No patient experienced early wound complications necessitating hospitalization. There were 2 (6%) recurrences encountered by the time of the 6-month follow-up period.

CONCLUSION

In these early results, the EPSiT procedure provided effective healing with acceptable recurrence rates and aesthetics. In addition, the procedure allows the surgeon to see the PNS, fistula tracts or any abscess cavities.

LIMITATIONS

Short follow-up period with a small number of patients CONFLICTS OF INTEREST: None.

Elevated admission N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level predicts the development of atrial fibrillation in general surgical intensive care unit patients

BACKGROUND

New onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in critically ill surgical patients is associated with significant morbidity and increased mortality. N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is released by cardiomyocytes in response to stress and may predict AF development after surgery. We hypothesized that elevated NT-proBNP level at surgical intensive care unit (ICU) admission predicts AF development in a general surgical and trauma population.

METHODS

From July to October 2015, NT-proBNP concentrations were measured at ICU admission. Abnormal NT-proBNP concentrations were defined by age-adjusted cut-offs. We examined the relationship between the development of AF and demographics, clinical variables, and NT-proBNP level using univariate analysis and a multivariable logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Three hundred eighty-seven subjects were included in the cohort, none of whom were in AF at ICU admission. The median age was 63 years (52-73 years), and 40.3% were women. The risk of developing AF was higher for abnormal versus normal NT-proBNP (22% vs. 4%; p < 0.0001). Using optimal derived cutoffs (regardless of age), the risk of developing AF was 2% for NT-proBNP less than 600 ng/L, 15% for NT-proBNP of 600 ng/L to 1,999 ng/L, and 27% for NT-proBNP of 2,000 ng/L or greater. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified three independent predictors for new-onset AF: age, older than 70 years (odds ratio [OR], 3.7, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5-9.3), history of AF (OR, 25.3; 95% CI, 9.6-67.0), and NT-proBNP of 600 or greater (OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 1.3-14.2). When none or only one predictor was present, AF incidence was less than 1%. When all three predictors were present, AF incidence was 66%. For subjects 70 years or older but no history of AF, AF incidence was 12.8% when NT-proBNP was 600 or greater compared with 0% when NT-proBNP was less than 600. For subjects younger than 70 years with a history of AF, AF incidence was 44.4% when NT-proBNP was 600 or higher compared to 0% when NT-proBNP was less than 600.

CONCLUSION

Elevated NT-proBNP at ICU admission in general surgical and trauma patients is predictive of AF development in the first 3 ICU days. Addition of NT-proBNP measurement to known risk factors can improve predictive power and identify patients who might potentially benefit from evidence-based prophylactic treatment for AF.

Sleep apnea in total joint arthroplasty patients and the role for cardiac biomarkers for risk stratification: an exploration of feasibility

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is highly prevalent in patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty (TJA) and is a major risk factor for postoperative cardiovascular complications and death. Recognizing this, the American Society of Anesthesiologists urges clinicians to implement special considerations in the perioperative care of OSA patients. However, as the volume of patients presenting for TJA increases, resources to implement these recommendations are limited. This necessitates mechanisms to efficiently risk stratify patients having OSA who may be susceptible to post-TJA cardiovascular complications. We explore the role of perioperative measurement of cardiac troponins (cTns) and brain natriuretic peptides (BNPs) in helping determine which OSA patients are at increased risk for post-TJA cardiovascular-related morbidity.

Endoscopic pilonidal sinus treatment: a prospective multicentre trial

BACKGROUND

Pilonidal disease (PD) is a common inflammatory disease of the gluteal fold, resulting in recurrent acute/chronic infection at the level of the natal cleft. In this study, endoscopic pilonidal sinus treatment (EPSiT), a new endoscopic minimally invasive procedure, was evaluated for its effectiveness in treating PD.

METHODS

Two hundred and fifty prospective patients with chronic PD were enrolled in a prospective multicentre study conducted at a secondary and tertiary colorectal surgery centre. The primary end-point of this study was wound healing, and the short-/long-term outcomes such as healing time, morbidity rate and recurrence rate were analysed. The secondary end-point of this study was quality of life (QoL).

RESULTS

The complete wound healing rate was 94.8%, and the mean complete wound healing time was 26.7 ± 10.4 days. The incomplete healing rate (5.2%) was significantly related to the number of external openings (P = 0.01). There was no difference in the failure rate when EPSiT was performed as the first-line treatment for PD or when it was used after unsuccessful procedures (P = n.s.). Recurrence occurred in 12 cases (5%). The QoL significantly increased from preoperative levels 15 days after the EPSiT procedure (45.3 vs 7.9; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The EPSiT procedure is a safe and effective technique for treating PD. It provides better short- and long-term outcomes than various other techniques that are more invasive. EPSiT is a minimally invasive outpatient procedure, which is associated with a quick recovery and a good QoL outcome.

Changes in the surgical approach to colonic emergencies during a 15-year period

PURPOSE

The present study aims to determine the morbidity and mortality of emergency colonic surgery and the factors associated with adverse outcome, and to evaluate any change in incidence of the different types of pathological conditions and in the surgical approach over the last 15 years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 319 patients who underwent emergency colonic surgery between January 1997 and December 2011 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups according to the date of surgery, namely group 1, between 1997 and 2006, and group 2, between 2006 and 2011. The differences in terms of postoperative outcomes between the groups were analyzed.

RESULTS

Overall postoperative morbidity and mortality rates were 25.3 and 17.2%, respectively; no differences were found between the groups. Group 2 showed a significantly increased rate of primary resection and anastomosis (p < 0.001), as well as an increase in laparoscopic approach compared with group 1 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Emergency colon surgery is today primarily performed for benign diseases, of these the most common is diverticular disease followed by ischemic colitis. Age, comorbidities, and ischemic colon disease are predictors of adverse outcomes, while the surgical procedure per se is not.

Preoperative risk assessment--from routine tests to individualized investigation

BACKGROUND

Risk assessment in adults who are about to undergo elective surgery (other than cardiac and thoracic procedures) involves history-taking, physical examination, and ancillary studies performed for individual indications. Further testing beyond the history and physical examination is often of low predictive value for perioperative complications.

METHOD

This review is based on pertinent articles that were retrieved by a selective search in the Medline and Cochrane Library databases and on the consensus-derived recommendations of the German specialty societies.

RESULTS

The history and physical examination remain the central components of preoperative risk assessment. Advanced age is not, in itself, a reason for ancillary testing. Laboratory testing should be performed only if relevant organ disease is known or suspected, or to assess the potential side effects of pharmacotherapy. Electrocardiography as a screening test seems to add little relevant information, even in patients with stable heart disease. A chest X-ray should be obtained only if a disease is suspected whose detection would have clinical consequences in the perioperative period.

CONCLUSION

In preoperative risk assessment, the history and physical examination are the strongest predictors of perioperative complications. Ancillary tests are indicated on an individual basis if the history and physical examination reveal that significant disease may be present.

Predictive value of plasma brain natriuretic peptide for postoperative cardiac complications--a systemic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies addressing perioperative natriuretic peptide (NP) levels to predict postoperative major adverse cardiac events (MACE) after major surgery.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase with no language restrictions up to May 2013. The end points were major cardiac complications. We summarized test performance characteristics with the use of forest plots, hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curves, and bivariate random effects models.

RESULTS

Of the 662 retrieved articles, 24 studies satisfied the predefined eligibility criteria, including 5438 patients along with 712 (13.1%) events. After major surgery, the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) of NP in predicting postoperative MACE was 14.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.87-20.7) for overall population, 13.9 (8.43-22.8) for patients undergoing cardiac surgery, and 15.0 (8.84-25.5) for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. The pooled sensitivity was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.79-0.88) and specificity was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.71-0.81). Postoperative measurement (DOR, 18.9; 7.68-46.3) was associated with higher predictive value than preoperative measurement (DOR, 13.6; 7.68-46.3). Results were similar for a subgroup with the composite outcome including mortality (DOR, 16.4; 10.6-25.5). B-type natriuretic peptide was associated with higher predictive accuracy (area under the summary receiver operating characteristic, 0.84; 0.81-0.87) than N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide (area under the summary receiver operating characteristic, 0.90; 0.87-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

The existing literature suggests that perioperative NP testing have reasonable accuracy and can be useful in perioperative risk stratification. Natriuretic peptide testing has high rule-out value and low rule-in value for predicting postoperative MACE. Medical decisions should be made in the context of these characteristics.

Postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide for prediction of major cardiac events in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: systematic review and individual patient meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether postoperative B-type natriuretic peptides (i.e., BNP and N-terminal proBNP) can predict cardiovascular complications in noncardiac surgery.

METHODS

The authors undertook a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to determine whether postoperative BNPs predict postoperative cardiovascular complications at 30 and 180 days or more.

RESULTS

The authors identified 18 eligible studies (n = 2,051). For the primary outcome of 30-day mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction, BNP of 245 pg/ml had an area under the curve of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.64-0.78), and N-terminal proBNP of 718 pg/ml had an area under the curve of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.77-0.84). These thresholds independently predicted 30-day mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 4.5; 95% CI, 2.74-7.4; P < 0.001), mortality (AOR, 4.2; 95% CI, 2.29-7.69; P < 0.001), cardiac mortality (AOR, 9.4; 95% CI, 0.32-254.34; P < 0.001), and cardiac failure (AOR, 18.5; 95% CI, 4.55-75.29; P < 0.001). For greater than or equal to 180-day outcomes, natriuretic peptides independently predicted mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (AOR, 3.3; 95% CI, 2.58-4.3; P < 0.001), mortality (AOR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.67-86; P < 0.001), cardiac mortality (AOR, 2.1; 95% CI, 0.05-1,385.17; P < 0.001), and cardiac failure (AOR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.0-9.34; P = 0.022). Patients with BNP values of 0-250, greater than 250-400, and greater than 400 pg/ml suffered the primary outcome at a rate of 6.6, 15.7, and 29.5%, respectively. Patients with N-terminal proBNP values of 0-300, greater than 300-900, and greater than 900 pg/ml suffered the primary outcome at a rate of 1.8, 8.7, and 27%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased postoperative BNPs are independently associated with adverse cardiac events after noncardiac surgery.

The prognostic value of pre-operative and post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: B-type natriuretic peptide and N-terminal fragment of pro-B-type natriuretic peptide: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to determine whether measuring post-operative B-type natriuretic peptides (NPs) (i.e., B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] and N-terminal fragment of proBNP [NT-proBNP]) enhances risk stratification in adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, in whom a pre-operative NP has been measured.

BACKGROUND

Pre-operative NP concentrations are powerful independent predictors of perioperative cardiovascular complications, but recent studies have reported that elevated post-operative NP concentrations are independently associated with these complications. It is not clear whether there is value in measuring post-operative NP when a pre-operative measurement has been done.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis to determine whether the addition of post-operative NP levels enhanced the prediction of the composite of death and nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 and ≥180 days after surgery.

RESULTS

Eighteen eligible studies provided individual patient data (n = 2,179). Adding post-operative NP to a risk prediction model containing pre-operative NP improved model fit and risk classification at both 30 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,280 to 1,204; net reclassification index: 20%; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (corrected quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion: 1,320 to 1,300; net reclassification index: 11%; p = 0.003). Elevated post-operative NP was the strongest independent predictor of the primary outcome at 30 days (odds ratio: 3.7; 95% confidence interval: 2.2 to 6.2; p < 0.001) and ≥180 days (odds ratio: 2.2; 95% confidence interval: 1.9 to 2.7; p < 0.001) after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Additional post-operative NP measurement enhanced risk stratification for the composite outcomes of death or nonfatal myocardial infarction at 30 days and ≥180 days after noncardiac surgery compared with a pre-operative NP measurement alone.

Preoperative HO-1 levels as prognostic factor for adverse cardiac events in elder patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery

Background

Hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) and heme oxygenase-1(HO-1) are involved in the tissue hypoxic response.

Hypothesis

HIF-1α and HO-1 levels may predict cardiac ischemia and adverse cardiac events during non-cardiac surgery.

Methods

HIF-1α and HO-1 levels were determined in elderly patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery preoperatively and at 30 minutes, 48 and 72 hours postoperatively. Results were analyzed with respect to the occurrence of adverse cardiac events.

Results

A total of 380 patients with a mean age of 65.3 years were included, and 54 (14.2%) who had adverse cardiac events during or after the surgery. HIF-1α and HO-1 levels in the adverse cardiac event group were significantly higher than in the group without adverse cardiac events at each time point (all, P<0.05). In multivariates regression analysis, the odds of an adverse cardiac event was increased by every 1-year increase in age (odd ratio [OR] 1.39, P<0.001), abnormal ECG at baseline (OR 2.27, P = 0.048), myocardial infarction history (OR 3.18, P = 0.015), and positive baseline cTnI level were associated with an increased likelihood of an adverse cardiac event (OR 8.78, P = 0.019), and for every 1 unit increase of HO-1, the odds of an adverse cardiac event increased by 1.30 (P = 0.002).

Conclusion

Determination of preoperative HO-1 levels may aid in identifying patients at risk of developing ischemic cardiac events.