The value of computed tomography in assessing the risk of death in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency room

Sensitivity of Lung Point-of-Care Ultrasound (POCUS) to Predict Oxygen Requirements in Emerging Viral Infections

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic characteristics of lung point-of-care ultrasound (L-POCUS) to predict respiratory decompensation in patients with emerging infections remains unstudied. Our objective was to examine whether scored lung ultrasounds predict hypoxia among a nonhypoxic, ambulatory population of patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

This was a diagnostic case-control study. Three academic emergency departments across the United States collected a convenience sample of nonhypoxic subjects with COVID-19, scored subjects' hemithorax at 7 locations using lung ultrasound, and followed outcomes for 40 days. We defined cases as hypoxia (≤91% by pulse oxygenation) from 2 hours after index presentation to day 40. Follow-up was by telephone plus home pulse oximeter and by chart review. We conducted a logistic regression to test the association between L-POCUS scores and hypoxia. To evaluate lung ultrasound score prediction of a hypoxic event, we calculated sensitivity and specificity at optimal cut off scores and report receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve.

RESULTS

We enrolled 163 subjects but excluded 15 (3 duplicate entries; 12 lost to follow up). Median age was 41 years (interquartile range [IQR] 31-56); 83 (56%) were female, and median body mass index was 29 (IQR 25-35). We classified 47 of 148 as hypoxic cases (32%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 25-40), leaving 101 controls. L-POCUS scores associated with hypoxia by logistic regression (odds ratio = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08), with a 5% increase in odds of hypoxia for each 1-unit increase in L-POCUS score. The optimal cut-off score was 15 (sensitivity, 0.60; specificity, 0.73) and the area under the curve was 0·66 (95% CI 0·58-0·75). The correctly classified proportion was 69% (95% CI: 61-76).

CONCLUSIONS

Among nonhypoxic COVID-19 patients, higher L-POCUS rubric scores were associated with hypoxia but no scoring threshold strongly predicts hypoxia at 40 days.

CT-Defined Pectoralis Muscle Density Predicts 30-Day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: A Nationwide Multicenter Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The prognostic role of computed tomography (CT)-defined skeletal muscle features in COVID-19 is still under investigation. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic role of CT-defined skeletal muscle area and density in patients with COVID-19 in a multicenter setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study is a part of the German multicenter project RACOON (Radiological Cooperative Network of the COVID-19 pandemic). The acquired sample included 1379 patients, 389 (28.2%) women and 990 (71.8%) men. In each case, chest CT was analyzed and pectoralis muscle area and density were calculated. Data were analyzed by means of descriptive statistics. Group differences were calculated using the Mann-Whitney-U test and Fisher's exact test. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The 30-day mortality was 17.9%. Using median values as thresholds, low pectoralis muscle density (LPMD) was a strong and independent predictor of 30-day mortality, HR=2.97, 95%-CI: 1.52-5.80, p=0.001. Also in male patients, LPMD predicted independently 30-day mortality, HR=2.96, 95%-CI: 1.42-6.18, p=0.004. In female patients, the analyzed pectoralis muscle parameters did not predict 30-day mortality. For patients under 60 years of age, LPMD was strongly associated with 30-day mortality, HR=2.72, 95%-CI: 1.17;6.30, p=0.019. For patients over 60 years of age, pectoralis muscle parameters could not predict 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

In male patients with COVID-19, low pectoralis muscle density is strongly associated with 30-day mortality and can be used for risk stratification. In female patients with COVID-19, pectoralis muscle parameters cannot predict 30-day mortality.

[Prevalence and prognostic role of thoracic lymphadenopathy in Covid-19]

PURPOSE

The prevalent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has spread throughout the world and is considered a serious threat to global health. The prognostic role of thoracic lymphadenopathy in COVID-19 is unclear. The aim of the present meta-analysis was to analyze the prognostic role of thoracic lymphadenopathy for the prediction of 30-day mortality in patients with COVID-19.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The MEDLINE library, Cochrane, and SCOPUS databases were screened for associations between CT-defined features and mortality in COVID-19 patients up to June 2021. In total, 21 studies were included in the present analysis. The quality of the included studies was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.3. Heterogeneity was calculated by means of the inconsistency index I2. DerSimonian and Laird random-effect models with inverse variance weights were performed without any further correction.

RESULTS

The included studies comprised 4621 patients. The prevalence of thoracic lymphadenopathy varied between 1 % and 73.4 %. The pooled prevalence was 16.7 %, 95 % CI = (15.6 %; 17.8 %). The hospital mortality was higher in patients with thoracic lymphadenopathy (34.7 %) than in patients without (20.0 %). The pooled odds ratio for the influence of thoracic lymphadenopathy on mortality was 2.13 (95 % CI = [1.80-2.52], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of thoracic lymphadenopathy in COVID-19 is 16.7 %. The presence of thoracic lymphadenopathy is associated with an approximately twofold increase in the risk for hospital mortality in COVID-19.

KEY POINTS

· The prevalence of lymphadenopathy in COVID-19 is 16.7 %.. · Patients with lymphadenopathy in COVID-19 have a higher risk of mortality during hospitalization.. · Lymphadenopathy nearly doubles mortality and plays an important prognostic role..

CITATION FORMAT

· Bucher AM, Sieren M, Meinel F et al. Prevalence and prognostic role of thoracic lymphadenopathy in Covid-19. Rofo 2025; 197: 163 - 171.

The prognostic relevance of pleural effusion in patients with COVID-19 - A German multicenter study

PURPOSE

This study evaluates the prognostic significance of pleural effusion (PE) in COVID-19 patients across thirteen centers in Germany, aiming to clarify its role in predicting clinical outcomes.

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis within the RACOON project (Radiological Cooperative Network of the COVID-19 pandemic), 1183 patients (29.3 % women, 70.7 % men) underwent chest CT to assess PE. We investigated PE's association with 30-day mortality, ICU admission, and the need for mechanical ventilation.

RESULTS

PE was detected in 31.5 % of patients, showing a significant correlation with 30-day mortality (47.5 % in non-survivors vs. 27.3 % in survivors, p < 0.001), with a hazard ratio of 2.22 (95 % CI 1.65-2.99, p < 0.001). No significant association was found between PE volume or density and mortality. ICU admissions were noted in 46.8 % of patients, while mechanical ventilation was required for 26.7 %.

CONCLUSION

Pleural effusion is present in a significant portion of COVID-19 patients and independently predicts increased 30-day mortality, underscoring its value as a prognostic marker. Its identification, irrespective of volume or density, should be a priority in radiological reports to guide clinical decision-making.

Myosteatosis predicts short-term mortality in patients with COVID-19: A multicenter analysis

OBJECTIVES

Body composition on computed tomography can predict prognosis in patients with COVID-19. The reported data are based on small retrospective studies. The aim of the present study was to analyze the prognostic relevance of skeletal muscle parameter derived from chest computed tomography for prediction of 30-d mortality in patients with COVID-19 in a multicenter setting.

METHODS

The clinical databases of three centers were screened for patients with COVID-19 between 2020 and 2022. Overall, 447 patients (142 female; 31.7%) were included into the study. The mean age at the time of computed tomography acquisition was 63.8 ± 14.7 y and median age was 65 y. Skeletal muscle area and skeletal muscle density were defined on level T12 of the chest.

RESULTS

Overall, 118 patients (26.3%) died within the 30-d observation period. Of the patient sample, 255 patients (57.0%) were admitted to an intensive care unit and 122 patients needed mechanical ventilation (27.3%). The mean skeletal muscle area of all patients was 96.1 ± 27.2 cm² (range = 23.2-200.7 cm²). For skeletal muscle density, the mean was 24.3 ± 11.1 Hounsfield units (range = -5.6 to 55.8 Hounsfield units). In survivors, the mean skeletal muscle density was higher compared with the lethal cases (mean 25.8 ± 11.2 versus 20.1 ± 9.6; P < 0.0001). Presence of myosteatosis was independently associated with 30-d mortality: odds ratio = 2.72 (95% CI, 1.71-4.32); P = 0.0001.

CONCLUSIONS

Myosteatosis is strongly associated with 30-d mortality in patients COVID-19. Patients with COVID-19 with myosteatosis should be considered a risk group.

Elevated NET, Calprotectin, and Neopterin Levels Discriminate between Disease Activity in COVID-19, as Evidenced by Need for Hospitalization among Patients in Northern Italy

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) displays clinical heterogeneity, but little information is available for patients with mild or very early disease. We aimed to characterize biomarkers that are useful for discriminating the hospitalization risk in a COVID-19 cohort from Northern Italy during the first pandemic wave. We enrolled and followed for four weeks 76 symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 positive patients and age/sex-matched healthy controls. Patients with mild disease were discharged (n.42), and the remaining patients were hospitalized (n.34). Blood was collected before any anti-inflammatory/immunosuppressive therapy and assessed for soluble C5b-9/C5a, H3-neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs), calprotectin, and DNase plasma levels via ELISA and a panel of proinflammatory cytokines via ELLA. Calprotectin and NET levels discriminate between hospitalized and non-hospitalized patients, while DNase negatively correlates with NET levels; there are positive correlations between calprotectin and both NET and neopterin levels. Neopterin levels increase in patients at the beginning of the disease and do so more in hospitalized than non-hospitalized patients. C5a and sC5b-9, and other acute phase proteins, correlate with neopterin, calprotectin, and DNase. Both NET and neopterin levels negatively correlate with platelet count. We show that calprotectin, NETs, and neopterin are important proinflammatory parameters potentially useful for discriminating between COVID-19 patients at risk of hospitalization.

Epicardial Adipose Tissue as a Prognostic Marker in COVID-19

BACKGROUND/AIM

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) has been established as a quantitative imaging biomarker associated with the prognosis of several diseases, especially cardiovascular diseases. The cardiac injury by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) might be linked to the EAT. This study aimed to use this prognostic marker derived from computed tomography (CT) images to predict 30-day mortality in patients with COVID-19.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients with COVID-19 were retrospectively screened between 2020 and 2022. Overall, 237 patients (78 female, 32.9%) were included in the present study. The study end-point was the 30-day mortality. EAT was measured using the diagnostic CT in a semiquantitative manner. EAT volume and density were measured for each patient.

RESULTS

Overall, 70 patients (29.5%) died within the 30-day observation period and 143 patients (60.3%) were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). The mean EAT volume was 140.9±89.1 cm3 in survivors and 132.9±77.7 cm3 in non-survivors, p=0.66. The mean EAT density was -71.9±8.1 Hounsfield units (HU) in survivors, and -67.3±8.4 HU in non-survivors, p=0.0001. EAT density was associated with 30-day mortality (p<0.0001) and ICU admission (p<0.0001). EAT volume was not associated with mortality and/or ICU admission.

CONCLUSION

EAT density was associated with 30-day mortality and ICU admission in patients with COVID-19.

CT coronary artery calcification score as a prognostic marker in COVID-19

Background

Coronary artery calcification (CA) score has been established as a quantitative imaging biomarker to reflect arteriosclerosis and general vessel status. It is established as an important prognostic factor for coronary heart disease but also for other disease entities. Our aim was to use this imaging marker derived from computed tomography (CT) images to elucidate the prognostic relevance in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Methods

The clinical database was retrospectively screened for patients with COVID-19 between 2020 and 2022. A total of 241 patients (85 female patients, 35.3%) were included into the analysis. CA scoring was performed semiquantitatively on thoracic CT images with the established Weston score.

Results

Overall, 61 patients (25.3%) of the investigated patient sample died. In survivors, the mean CA score was 2.3±3.0 and in non-survivors, it was 4.2±4.1 (P=0.002). In univariable regression analysis, CA was associated with 30-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) =1.15; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-1.25, P<0.001]. These results were confirmed by the multivariable regression analysis adjusted for age and sex, the CA score predicted 30-day mortality (OR =1.28; 95% CI: 1.08-1.4, P=0.002).

Conclusions

CA score is an independent risk factor in COVID-19. As CA scoring can easily be performed by the radiologist, it should be further investigated as an imaging marker in patients with COVID-19 and potentially be translated into clinical routine.

Chest computed tomography findings of patients infected with Covid-19 and their association with disease evolution stages

INTRODUCTION

To describe CT findings in patients with confirmed Covid-19 infection and correlate them with the disease evolution stages.

METHODS

This is a historical cohort observational analytical study carried out with outpatients, inpatients, and emergency patients from a private hospital in Maceió/AL, Brazil. The final sample consisted of 390 patients with positive RT-PCR for Covid-19 with available laboratory tests and chest CT results.

RESULTS

The most frequent initial symptoms were cough, fever, dyspnea and headache. The most commonly found comorbidities were hypertension, diabetes mellitus and obesity. A total of 22% of the CT scans showed no alterations; ground-glass opacity was the most frequently found one. There was a significant association between age, comorbidities, pulmonary involvement, ground-glass opacity, mosaic attenuation and percentage of pulmonary involvement with death. The analysis of the disease stages showed a significant association with laboratory data (CRP and platelet levels), ground-glass opacity and mosaic attenuation with the disease evolution stages in relation to the days since symptom onset.

CONCLUSION

The disease evolution of Covid-19 occurs in stages, and this study describes tomographic findings in patients with confirmed Covid-19 infection and shows they vary depending on the disease evolution stages.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

This paper provides important addition to the various records that have been accumulated through the Covid-19 pandemic.

Prognostic models in COVID-19 infection that predict severity: a systematic review

Current evidence on COVID-19 prognostic models is inconsistent and clinical applicability remains controversial. We performed a systematic review to summarize and critically appraise the available studies that have developed, assessed and/or validated prognostic models of COVID-19 predicting health outcomes. We searched six bibliographic databases to identify published articles that investigated univariable and multivariable prognostic models predicting adverse outcomes in adult COVID-19 patients, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission, intubation, high-flow nasal therapy (HFNT), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and mortality. We identified and assessed 314 eligible articles from more than 40 countries, with 152 of these studies presenting mortality, 66 progression to severe or critical illness, 35 mortality and ICU admission combined, 17 ICU admission only, while the remaining 44 studies reported prediction models for mechanical ventilation (MV) or a combination of multiple outcomes. The sample size of included studies varied from 11 to 7,704,171 participants, with a mean age ranging from 18 to 93 years. There were 353 prognostic models investigated, with area under the curve (AUC) ranging from 0.44 to 0.99. A great proportion of studies (61.5%, 193 out of 314) performed internal or external validation or replication. In 312 (99.4%) studies, prognostic models were reported to be at high risk of bias due to uncertainties and challenges surrounding methodological rigor, sampling, handling of missing data, failure to deal with overfitting and heterogeneous definitions of COVID-19 and severity outcomes. While several clinical prognostic models for COVID-19 have been described in the literature, they are limited in generalizability and/or applicability due to deficiencies in addressing fundamental statistical and methodological concerns. Future large, multi-centric and well-designed prognostic prospective studies are needed to clarify remaining uncertainties.

Complement activation predicts negative outcomes in COVID-19: The experience from Northen Italian patients

Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) may present as a multi-organ disease with a hyperinflammatory and prothrombotic response (immunothrombosis) in addition to upper and lower airway involvement. Previous data showed that complement activation plays a role in immunothrombosis mainly in severe forms. The study aimed to investigate whether complement involvement is present in the early phases of the disease and can be predictive of a negative outcome. We enrolled 97 symptomatic patients with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 presenting to the emergency room. The patients with mild symptoms/lung involvement at CT-scan were discharged and the remaining were hospitalized. All the patients were evaluated after a 4-week follow-up and classified as mild (n. 54), moderate (n. 17) or severe COVID-19 (n. 26). Blood samples collected before starting any anti-inflammatory/immunosuppressive therapy were assessed for soluble C5b-9 (sC5b-9) and C5a plasma levels by ELISA, and for the following serum mediators by ELLA: IL-1β, IL-6, IL-8, TNFα, IL-4, IL-10, IL-12p70, IFNγ, IFNα, VEGF-A, VEGF-B, GM-CSF, IL-2, IL-17A, VEGFR2, BLyS. Additional routine laboratory parameters were measured (fibrin fragment D-dimer, C-reactive protein, ferritin, white blood cells, neutrophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, platelets, prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, and fibrinogen). Fifty age and sex-matched healthy controls were also evaluated. SC5b-9 and C5a plasma levels were significantly increased in the hospitalized patients (moderate and severe) in comparison with the non-hospitalized mild group. SC5b9 and C5a plasma levels were predictive of the disease severity evaluated one month later. IL-6, IL-8, TNFα, IL-10 and complement split products were higher in moderate/severe versus non-hospitalized mild COVID-19 patients and healthy controls but with a huge heterogeneity. SC5b-9 and C5a plasma levels correlated positively with CRP, ferritin values and the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. Complement can be activated in the very early phases of the disease, even in mild non-hospitalized patients. Complement activation can be observed even when pro-inflammatory cytokines are not increased, and predicts a negative outcome.

Prognostic accuracy of visual lung damage computed tomography score for mortality prediction in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Chest computed tomography (CT) findings provide great added value in characterizing the extent of disease and severity of pulmonary involvements. Chest CT severity score (CT-SS) could be considered as an appropriate prognostic factor for mortality prediction in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. In this study, we performed a meta-analysis evaluating the prognostic accuracy of CT-SS for mortality prediction in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted on Web of Science, PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar databases between December 2019 and September 2021. The meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model, and sensitivity and specificity (with 95%CIs) of CT-SS were calculated using the study authors’ pre-specified threshold.

Results

Sensitivity estimates ranged from 0.32 to 1.00, and the pooled estimate of sensitivity was 0.67 [95%CI (0.59–0.75)]. Specificity estimates ranged from 0.53 to 0.95 and the pooled estimate of specificity was 0.79 [95%CI (0.74–0.84)]. Results of meta-regression analysis showed that radiologist experiences did not affect the sensitivity and specificity of CT-SS to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients (P = 0.314 and 0.283, respectively). The test for subgroup differences suggests that study location significantly modifies sensitivity and specificity of CT-SS to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients. The area under the summary receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.8248.

Conclusion

Our results have shown that CT-SS has acceptable prognostic accuracy for mortality prediction in COVID-19 patients. This simple scoring method could help to improve the management of high-risk patients with COVID-19.

Point-of-care Lung Ultrasound, Lung CT and NEWS to Predict Adverse Outcomes and Mortality in COVID-19 Associated Pneumonia

Introduction: The appraisal of disease severity and prediction of adverse outcomes using risk stratification tools at early disease stages is crucial to diminish mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). While lung ultrasound (LUS) as an imaging technique for the diagnosis of lung diseases has recently gained a leading position, data demonstrating that it can predict adverse outcomes related to COVID-19 is scarce. The main aim of this study is therefore to assess the clinical significance of bedside LUS in COVID-19 patients who presented to the emergency department (ED). Methods: Patients with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia admitted to the ED of our hospital between March 2021 and May 2021 and who underwent a 12-zone LUS and a lung computed tomography scan were included prospectively. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to predict adverse events, which was our primary outcome. The secondary outcome was to discover the association of LUS score and computed tomography severity score (CT-SS) with the composite endpoints. Results: We assessed 234 patients [median age 59.0 (46.8-68.0) years; 59.4% M), including 38 (16.2%) in-hospital deaths for any cause related to COVID-19. Higher LUS score and CT-SS was found to be associated with ICU admission, intubation, and mortality. The LUS score predicted mortality risk within each stratum of NEWS. Pairwise analysis demonstrated that after adjusting a base prediction model with LUS score, significantly higher accuracy was observed in predicting both ICU admission (DBA −0.067, P = .011) and in-hospital mortality (DBA −0.086, P = .017). Conclusion: Lung ultrasound can be a practical prediction tool during the course of COVID-19 and can quantify pulmonary involvement in ED settings. It is a powerful predictor of ICU admission, intubation, and mortality and can be used as an alternative for chest computed tomography while monitoring COVID-19-related adverse outcomes.

Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Severe COVID-19: A Systematic Review and External Validation of Clinical Prediction Rules

Multiple prediction models for risk of in-hospital mortality from COVID-19 have been developed, but not applied, to patient cohorts different to those from which they were derived. The MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web of Science (WOS) databases were searched. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed with PROBAST. Nomograms, whose variables were available in a well-defined cohort of 444 patients from our site, were externally validated. Overall, 71 studies, which derived a clinical prediction rule for mortality outcome from COVID-19, were identified. Predictive variables consisted of combinations of patients′ age, chronic conditions, dyspnea/taquipnea, radiographic chest alteration, and analytical values (LDH, CRP, lymphocytes, D-dimer); and markers of respiratory, renal, liver, and myocardial damage, which were mayor predictors in several nomograms. Twenty-five models could be externally validated. Areas under receiver operator curve (AUROC) in predicting mortality ranged from 0.71 to 1 in derivation cohorts; C-index values ranged from 0.823 to 0.970. Overall, 37/71 models provided very-good-to-outstanding test performance. Externally validated nomograms provided lower predictive performances for mortality in their respective derivation cohorts, with the AUROC being 0.654 to 0.806 (poor to acceptable performance). We can conclude that available nomograms were limited in predicting mortality when applied to different populations from which they were derived.

Heart failure during the COVID-19 pandemic: clinical, diagnostic, management, and organizational dilemmas

The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) infection pandemic has affected the care of patients with heart failure (HF). Several consensus documents describe the appropriate diagnostic algorithm and treatment approach for patients with HF and associated COVID-19 infection. However, few questions about the mechanisms by which COVID can exacerbate HF in patients with high-risk (Stage B) or symptomatic HF (Stage C) remain unanswered. Therefore, the type of HF occurring during infection is poorly investigated. The diagnostic differentiation and management should be focused on the identification of the HF phenotype, underlying causes, and subsequent tailored therapy. In this framework, the relationship existing between COVID and onset of acute decompensated HF, isolated right HF, and cardiogenic shock is questioned, and the specific management is mainly based on local hospital organization rather than a standardized model. Similarly, some specific populations such as advanced HF, heart transplant, patients with left ventricular assist device (LVAD), or valve disease remain under investigated. In this systematic review, we examine recent advances regarding the relationships between HF and COVID-19 pandemic with respect to epidemiology, pathogenetic mechanisms, and differential diagnosis. Also, according to the recent HF guidelines definition, we highlight different clinical profile identification, pointing out the main concerns in understudied HF populations.

Association of chest CT severity score with mortality of COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

Chest computed tomography (CT) is a high-sensitivity diagnostic tool for depicting interstitial pneumonia and may lay a critical role in the evaluation of the severity and extent of pulmonary involvement. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the association of chest CT severity score (CT-SS) with the mortality of COVID-19 patients using systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods

Web of Science, PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar were used to search for primary articles. The meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model, and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) were calculated as the effect sizes.

Results

This meta-analysis retrieved a total number of 7106 COVID-19 patients. The pooled estimate for the association of CT-SS with mortality of COVID-19 patients was calculated as 1.244 (95% CI 1.157–1.337). The pooled estimate for the association of CT-SS with an optimal cutoff and mortality of COVID-19 patients was calculated as 7.124 (95% CI 5.307–9.563). There was no publication bias in the results of included studies. Radiologist experiences and study locations were not potential sources of between-study heterogeneity (both P > 0.2). The shapes of Begg’s funnel plots seemed symmetrical for studies evaluating the association of CT-SS with/without the optimal cutoffs and mortality of COVID-19 patients (Begg’s test P = 0.945 and 0.356, respectively).

Conclusions

The results of this study point to an association between CT-SS and mortality of COVID-19 patients. The odds of mortality for COVID-19 patients could be accurately predicted using an optimal CT-SS cutoff in visual scoring of lung involvement.

Computed tomography-defined body composition as prognostic markers for unfavourable outcomes and in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019

BACKGROUND

Low skeletal muscle mass (LSMM) and visceral fat areas can be assessed by cross-sectional images. These parameters are associated with several clinically relevant factors in various disorders with predictive and prognostic implications. Our aim was to establish the effect of computed tomography (CT)-defined LSMM and fat areas on unfavourable outcomes and in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients based on a large patient sample.

METHODS

MEDLINE library, Cochrane, and Scopus databases were screened for the associations between CT-defined LSMM as well as fat areas and in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients up to September 2021. In total, six studies were suitable for the analysis and included into the present analysis.

RESULTS

The included studies comprised 1059 patients, 591 men (55.8%) and 468 women (44.2%), with a mean age of 60.1 years ranging from 48 to 66 years. The pooled prevalence of LSMM was 33.6%. The pooled odds ratio for the effect of LSMM on in-hospital mortality in univariate analysis was 5.84 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-31.83]. It was 2.73 (95% CI 0.54-13.70) in multivariate analysis. The pooled odds ratio of high visceral fat area on unfavourable outcome in univariate analysis was 2.65 (95% CI 1.57-4.47).

CONCLUSIONS

Computed tomography-defined LSMM and high visceral fat area have a relevant association with in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients and should be included as relevant prognostic biomarkers into clinical routine.

Mental and neurological disorders and risk of COVID-19 susceptibility, illness severity and mortality: A systematic review, meta-analysis and call for action

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has evolved into a worldwide pandemic, and has been found to be closely associated with mental and neurological disorders. We aimed to comprehensively quantify the association between mental and neurological disorders, both pre-existing and subsequent, and the risk of susceptibility, severity and mortality of COVID-19.

METHODS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, PsycINFO, and Cochrane library databases for studies published from the inception up to January 16, 2021 and updated at July 7, 2021. Observational studies including cohort and case-control, cross-sectional studies and case series that reported risk estimates of the association between mental or neurological disorders and COVID-19 susceptibility, illness severity and mortality were included. Two researchers independently extracted data and conducted the quality assessment. Based on I2 heterogeneity, we used a random effects model to calculate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Subgroup analyses and meta-regression analysis were also performed. This study was registered on PROSPERO (registration number: CRD 42021230832).

FINDING

A total of 149 studies (227,351,954 participants, 89,235,737 COVID-19 patients) were included in this analysis, in which 27 reported morbidity (132,727,798), 56 reported illness severity (83,097,968) and 115 reported mortality (88,878,662). Overall, mental and neurological disorders were associated with a significant high risk of infection (pre-existing mental: OR 1·67, 95% CI 1·12-2·49; and pre-existing neurological: 2·05, 1·58-2·67), illness severity (mental: pre-existing, 1·40, 1·25-1·57; sequelae, 4·85, 2·53-9·32; neurological: pre-existing, 1·43, 1·09-1·88; sequelae, 2·17, 1·45-3·24), and mortality (mental: pre-existing, 1·47, 1·26-1·72; neurological: pre-existing, 2·08, 1·61-2·69; sequelae, 2·03, 1·66-2·49) from COVID-19. Subgroup analysis revealed that association with illness severity was stronger among younger COVID-19 patients, and those with subsequent mental disorders, living in low- and middle-income regions. Younger patients with mental and neurological disorders were associated with higher mortality than elders. For type-specific mental disorders, susceptibility to contracting COVID-19 was associated with pre-existing mood disorders, anxiety, and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD); illness severity was associated with both pre-existing and subsequent mood disorders as well as sleep disturbance; and mortality was associated with pre-existing schizophrenia. For neurological disorders, susceptibility was associated with pre-existing dementia; both severity and mortality were associated with subsequent delirium and altered mental status; besides, mortality was associated with pre-existing and subsequent dementia and multiple specific neurological diseases. Heterogeneities were substantial across studies in most analysis.

INTERPRETATION

The findings show an important role of mental and neurological disorders in the context of COVID-19 and provide clues and directions for identifying and protecting vulnerable populations in the pandemic. Early detection and intervention for neurological and mental disorders are urgently needed to control morbidity and mortality induced by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there was substantial heterogeneity among the included studies, and the results should be interpreted with caution. More studies are needed to explore long-term mental and neurological sequela, as well as the underlying brain mechanisms for the sake of elucidating the causal pathways for these associations.

FUNDING

This study is supported by grants from the National Key Research and Development Program of China, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, Special Research Fund of PKUHSC for Prevention and Control of COVID-19, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Lung Lesion Burden found on Chest CT as a Prognostic Marker in Hospitalized Patients with High Clinical Suspicion of COVID-19 Pneumonia: a Brazilian experience

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between lung lesion burden (LLB) found on chest computed tomography (CT) and 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients with high clinical suspicion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), accounting for tomographic dynamic changes.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized with high clinical suspicion of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a dedicated and reference hospital for COVID-19, having undergone at least one RT-PCR test, regardless of the result, and with one CT compatible with COVID-19, were retrospectively studied. Clinical and laboratory data upon admission were assessed, and LLB found on CT was semi-quantitatively evaluated through visual analysis. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality after admission. Secondary outcomes, including the intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation used, and length of stay (LOS), were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 457 patients with a mean age of 57±15 years were included. Among these, 58% presented with positive RT-PCR result for COVID-19. The median time from symptom onset to RT-PCR was 8 days [interquartile range 6-11 days]. An initial LLB of ≥50% using CT was found in 201 patients (44%), which was associated with an increased crude at 30-day mortality (31% vs. 15% in patients with LLB of <50%, p<0.001). An LLB of ≥50% was also associated with an increase in the ICU admission, the need for mechanical ventilation, and a prolonged LOS after adjusting for baseline covariates and accounting for the CT findings as a time-varying covariate; hence, patients with an LLB of ≥50% remained at a higher risk at 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 2.17, 95% confidence interval 1.47-3.18, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Even after accounting for dynamic CT changes in patients with both clinical and imaging findings consistent with COVID-19, an LLB of ≥50% might be associated with a higher risk of mortality.