Meteorological and chronobiological factors and the occurrence of acute aortic dissection

Patterns in acute aortic dissection and a connection to meteorological conditions in Germany

Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a dramatic emergency exhibiting a mortality of 50% within the first 48 hours if not operated. This study found an absolute value of cosine-like seasonal variation pattern for Germany with significantly fewer ATAAD events (Wilcoxon test) for the warm months of June, July, and August from 2005 to 2015. Many studies suspect a connection between ATAAD events and weather conditions. Using ERA5 reanalysis data and an objective weather type classification in a contingency table approach showed that for Germany, significantly more ATAAD events occurred during lower temperatures (by about 4.8 K), lower water vapor pressure (by about 2.6 hPa), and prevailing wind patterns from the northeast. In addition, we used data from a classification scheme for human-biometeorological weather conditions which was not used before in ATAAD studies. For the German region of Berlin and Brandenburg, for 2006 to 2019, the proportion of days with ATAAD events during weather conditions favoring hypertension (cold air advection, in the center of a cyclone, conditions with cold stress or thermal comfort) was significantly increased by 13% (Chi-squared test for difference of proportions). In contrast, the proportion was decreased by 19% for conditions associated with a higher risk for patients with hypotension and therefore a lower risk for patients with hypertension (warm air advection ahead of warm fronts, conditions with no thermal stress or heat stress, in the center of a cyclone with thermal stress). As many studies have shown that hypertension is a risk factor for ATAAD, our findings support the hypothesized relation between ATAAD and hypertension-favoring weather conditions.

Epidemiology of Acute Aortic Dissection in a General Population of 1.4 Million People in Japan - Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry

BACKGROUND

Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular disease, with a reported incidence rate ranging from 2.5 to 7.2 per 100,000 person-years in several population-based registries in Western countries, but epidemiological data are lacking in Japan.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry is an ongoing multicenter population-based registry of cerebro-cardiovascular diseases. We enrolled patients who developed AAD, defined by any imaging examination method from 2014 to 2015 in Shiga Prefecture. Death certificates were used to identify cases that were not registered at acute care hospitals. The incidence rates of AAD were calculated by age categories and adjusted using standard populations for comparison. We evaluated differences in patient characteristics between Stanford type A-AAD and type B-AAD subtypes. A total of 402 incident cases with AAD were analyzed. The age-adjusted incidence rates using the 2015 Japanese population and the 2013 European Standard Population were 15.8 and 12.2 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with cases of type B-AAD, those with type A-AAD were older (75.0 vs. 69.9 years, P=0.001) and more likely to be women (62.3% vs. 28.6%, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Population-based incidence rates of AAD in Japan appear to be higher than in previous reports from Western countries. Incident cases with type A-AAD were older and female predominance.

Risk assessment and disease burden of extreme precipitation on hospitalizations for acute aortic dissection in a subtropical coastal Chinese city

Background

Extreme precipitation events are becoming more frequent due to climate change. The present study aimed to explore the impacts of extreme precipitation on hospitalizations for acute aortic dissection (AAD) and to identify susceptible populations and quantify the corresponding disease burden.

Methods

The present study used a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) with a quasi-Poisson function to investigate the association between extreme precipitation (≥95th percentile) and the risk of hospitalizations for AAD from 2015 to 2020 in Shantou, Guangdong Province, China.

Results

The significant adverse effects of extreme precipitation (relative to no precipitation) on daily AAD hospitalizations lasted from lag 5 [relative risk (RR): 1.0318, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0067-1.0575] to lag 9 (RR: 1.0297, 95% CI: 1.0045-1.0555) and reached its maximum at lag 7 (RR: 1.0382, 95% CI: 1.0105-1.0665). Males and older adult individuals (≥60 years) were more susceptible to extreme precipitation. A total of 3.68% (118 cases) of AAD hospitalizations were due to extreme precipitation.

Conclusion

Extreme precipitation was significantly correlated with AAD hospitalizations. Government departments should actively implement extreme precipitation intervention measures to strengthen the protection of males and the older adult (≥60 years) and effectively reduce AAD hospitalizations.

Risk Factors Associated with Poor Prognosis in Patients with Stanford Type B Aortic Dissection after Thoracic Endovascular Aortic Repair

BACKGROUND

The aim of the study was to analyze the clinical characteristics of patients with Stanford type B aortic dissection (TBAD) and risk factors for poor prognosis after thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR).

METHODS

Clinical records for patients with TBAD presenting to a medical center between March 1, 2012 and July 31, 2020 were reviewed. Clinical data including demographics, comorbidities, and postoperative complications were obtained from electronic medical records. Comparative analysis and subgroup analysis were performed. A logistic regression model was used to analyze prognostic factors in patients with TBAD after TEVAR.

RESULTS

TEVAR was performed on all 170 patients with TBAD, and poor prognosis was identified in 28.2% (48/170) of cases. Patients with a poor prognosis were younger (38.5 [32.0, 53.8] years vs. 55.0 [48.0, 62.0] years, P < 0.001), had higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) (138.5 [127.8, 152.8] mm Hg vs. 132.0 [120.8, 145.3] mm Hg, P = 0.013) and more complicated aortic dissection patients (19 [60.4] vs. 71 [41.8], P = 0.029) than those without a poor prognosis. According to the results of binary logic regression analysis, the possibility of a poor prognosis after TEVAR decreased with each 10 years increase in age (odds ratio: 0.464, 95% confidence interval: 0.327-0.658, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There is an association between younger age and a poor prognosis after TEVAR in patients with TBAD, with the condition that those with poor prognoses have higher SBP and more complicated cases. In younger patients, postoperative follow-up should be more frequent, and complications should be managed in time.

Study on the relationship among typhoon, climate change, and acute Stanford type A aortic dissection in southern of Zhejiang in China

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between typhoon, climate change, and acute Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD) in southern of Zhejiang Province in China.

METHOD

371 patients with TAAD were admitted to three hospitals (the aortic dissection center) in southern of Zhejiang Province, China from January 2015 to December 2020, and data were retrospectively collected, the data included (1) the number of patients admitted in different months and seasons, (2) daily meteorological data in southern of Zhejiang Province, and (3) typhoon information were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The number of TAAD occurred in winter was the highest and in summer was the lowest. The incidence of TAAD was correlated with minimum temperature, maximum wind speed, mean wind speed, and water vapor pressure (P < 0.05). Maximum wind speed (RR 0.37; 95% CI 0.17 to 0.80, P = 0.01) and water vapor pressure (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.92 to 1, P = 0.03) were the protective factor. The occurrence incidence of TAAD under the influence of typhoon climate was less than that during the period not affected by typhoon (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

There was a correlation between typhoon, climate change, and the occurrence of TAAD in southern Zhejiang Province. Wind speed, vapor pressure, and typhoon may be protective factors.

Low temperature and temperature decline increase acute aortic dissection risk and burden: A nationwide case crossover analysis at hourly level among 40,270 patients

Background

Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular emergency with high mortality, so identifying modifiable risk factors of AAD is of great public health significance. The associations of non-optimal temperature and temperature variability with AAD onset and the disease burden have not been fully understood.

Methods

We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study using a nationwide registry dataset from 1,868 hospitals in 313 Chinese cities. Conditional logistic regression and distributed lag models were used to investigate associations of temperature and temperature changes between neighboring days (TCN) with the hourly AAD onset and calculate the attributable fractions. We also evaluated the heterogeneity of the associations.

Findings

A total of 40,270 eligible AAD cases were included. The exposure-response curves for temperature and TCN with AAD onset risk were both inverse and approximately linear. The risks were present on the concurrent hour (for temperature) or day (for TCN) and lasted for almost 1 day. The cumulative relative risks of AAD were 1.027 and 1.026 per 1°C lower temperature and temperature decline between neighboring days, respectively. The associations were significant during the non-heating period, but were not present during the heating period in cities with central heating. 23.13% of AAD cases nationwide were attributable to low temperature and 1.58% were attributable to temperature decline from the previous day.

Interpretation

This is the largest nationwide study demonstrating robust associations of low temperature and temperature decline with AAD onset. We, for the first time, calculated the corresponding disease burden and further showed that central heating may be a modifier for temperature-related AAD risk and burden.

Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (92043301 and 92143301), Shanghai International Science and Technology Partnership Project (No. 21230780200), the Medical Research Council-UK (MR/R013349/1), and the Natural Environment Research Council UK (NE/R009384/1).

Association of Daily Mean Temperature and Temperature Variability With Onset Risks of Acute Aortic Dissection

Background The association between ambient temperature and cardiovascular diseases has been well established, but evidence of temporal changes in the risk of acute aortic dissection (AAD) onset is lacking. Methods and Results We conducted an 8-year time-series study based on data from 2120 patients diagnosed with AAD at Tongji Hospital (Wuhan, China). Daily meteorological parameters were measured in the study area. Spearman's rank correlation analysis was applied to measure the associations between daily meteorological data and air pollution indicators. A distributed lag nonlinear model following quasi-Poisson regression was used to express the nonlinear exposure-response relationships and lag effects of daily mean temperature and temperature variability on the occurrence of AAD. Considering a 25-day lag effect, lower or higher temperatures with reference to 25°C did not alter the onset risk of AAD. The lag effect of daily mean temperature on the incidence of AAD is statistically significant within 2 days, and the impact of daily mean temperature on the risk is most influential on the day. The exposure-response curve between daily mean temperature and onset risks of AAD at lag 0 showed that the extremely cold temperature (2.5th percentile, 0.5°C) significantly increased the AAD risk for the total (relative risk, 1.733; 95% CI, 1.130-2.658) and type A dissection (relative risk, 3.951; 95% CI, 1.657-9.418). Temperature variability within 1 week did not affect the onset risks of AAD for the total. Conclusions We confirmed that extremely cold temperatures significantly increased the AAD risk, which could contribute to early prevention and timely diagnosis of the disease.