Circulatory factors associated with function and prognosis in patients with severe heart failure

Galectin-4 is associated with diabetes and obesity in a heart failure population

An association between high Galectin-4 (Gal-4) and prevalence of diabetes in subjects with heart failure (HF) has previously been reported. The purpose of this study was to confirm these findings, as well as to further investigate this association, in a Swedish HF population. In addition, a second aim was to explore Gal-4's association with obesity and biomarkers of metabolism and heart failure. Gal-4 was measured using a proximity extension array technique in 324 hospitalized HF patients within the Swedish HeArt and bRain failure investigation trial cohort. Obesity was defined as BMI ≥ 30. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to explore associations between Gal-4 and diabetes/obesity, and linear regression models were used to explore the associations between Gal-4 and biomarkers. A total of 309 participants (29.1% female; mean age 74.8 years) provided complete data for the analysis of associations between Gal-4 and diabetes. Additionally, for the analysis of heart failure phenotype, complete data was available for 230 subjects. Gal-4 was positively associated with prevalent diabetes (OR 2.60; CI 95% 1.56-4.32). In multivariable models, Gal-4 levels were significantly associated with obesity, but only for subjects with diabetes (OR 2.48; 1.09-5.62). Additionally, Gal-4 demonstrated a significant association with the incretin Glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP), as well as with biomarkers of HF. In the stratified analyses, the association between Gal-4 and diabetes was prominent in patients with reduced ejection fraction (n = 160, OR 3.26; 95%CI 1.88-5.66), while it was not observed in those without (n = 70, 1.96 (0.75-5.10)). In this cross-sectional, observational study, higher Gal-4 levels in HF patients were associated with higher GIP levels. Further, increased levels of Gal-4 were associated with increased likelihood of diabetes, and obesity. This association was particularly pronounced in individuals with HF characterized by reduced ejection fraction. Additionally, Gal-4 levels were significantly elevated in heart failure patients with diabetes and obesity.

Novel Biomarkers for Atherosclerotic Disease: Advances in Cardiovascular Risk Assessment

Atherosclerosis is a significant health concern with a growing incidence worldwide. It is directly linked to an increased cardiovascular risk and to major adverse cardiovascular events, such as acute coronary syndromes. In this review, we try to assess the potential diagnostic role of biomarkers in the early identification of patients susceptible to the development of atherosclerosis and other adverse cardiovascular events. We have collected publications concerning already established parameters, such as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), as well as newer markers, e.g., apolipoprotein B (apoB) and the ratio between apoB and apoA. Additionally, given the inflammatory nature of the development of atherosclerosis, high-sensitivity c-reactive protein (hs-CRP) or interleukin-6 (IL-6) are also discussed. Additionally, newer publications on other emerging components linked to atherosclerosis were considered in the context of patient evaluation. Apart from the already in-use markers (e.g., LDL-C), emerging research highlights the potential of newer molecules in optimizing the diagnosis of atherosclerotic disease in earlier stages. After further studies, they might be fully implemented in the screening protocols.

Plasma Galectin-4 Levels Are Increased after Stroke in Mice and Humans

Epidemiological studies have associated plasma galectin-4 (Gal-4) levels with prevalent and incident diabetes, and with an increased risk of coronary artery disease. To date, data regarding possible associations between plasma Gal-4 and stroke are lacking. Using linear and logistic regression analyses, we tested Gal-4 association with prevalent stroke in a population-based cohort. Additionally, in mice fed a high-fat diet (HFD), we investigated whether plasma Gal-4 increases in response to ischemic stroke. Plasma Gal-4 was higher in subjects with prevalent ischemic stroke, and was associated with prevalent ischemic stroke (odds ratio 1.52; 95% confidence interval 1.01-2.30; p = 0.048) adjusted for age, sex, and covariates of cardiometabolic health. Plasma Gal-4 increased after experimental stroke in both controls and HFD-fed mice. HFD exposure was devoid of impact on Gal-4 levels. This study demonstrates higher plasma Gal-4 levels in both experimental stroke and in humans that experienced ischemic stroke.

IGFBP-7 and Outcomes in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: Findings From DAPA-HF

BACKGROUND

Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP-7) has been proposed as a potential prognostic biomarker in heart failure (HF), but the association between elevation in IGFBP-7 and HF outcomes in ambulant patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The authors addressed this question in a post hoc analysis of the DAPA-HF (Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure) trial.

METHODS

The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular death or a worsening HF event. The risk of adverse outcome was compared across tertiles of IGFBP-7 concentration by means of Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT). The efficacy of randomized treatment across IGFBP-7 tertiles was assessed. Change in IGFBP-7 at 12 months was compared with the use of geometric means.

RESULTS

A total of 3,158 patients had IGFBP-7 measured at baseline, and 2,493 had a repeated measure at 12 months. Patients in the highest tertile of IGFBP-7 had evidence of more advanced HFrEF. The adjusted HR for the primary endpoint in tertile 3, compared with tertile 1, was 1.48 (95% CI: 1.17-1.88). There was no modification of the benefit of dapagliflozin by baseline IGFBP-7 (P interaction = 0.34). Dapagliflozin did not change IGFBP-7 levels over 1 year (P = 0.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher IGFBP-7 in patients with HFrEF was associated with worse clinical profile and an increased risk of adverse clinical outcomes. IGFBP-7 provided prognostic information incremental to clinical variables, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT. The benefit of dapagliflozin was not modulated by IGFBP-7 level. (Study to Evaluate the Effect of Dapagliflozin on the Incidence of Worsening Heart Failure or Cardiovascular Death in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure [DAPA-HF]; NCT03036124).

Biomarker profiles in heart failure with preserved vs. reduced ejection fraction: results from the DIAST-CHF study

AIMS

Chronic heart failure (HF) is a common disease and one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are different diseases with distinct as well as comparable pathophysiologies and diverse responses to therapeutic agents. We aimed to identify possible pathobiochemical signalling pathways and biomarkers in HFpEF and HFrEF by using a broad proteomic approach.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 180 biomarkers in the plasma of a representative subgroup (71 years old) of HFpEF (70% female) with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50% and HFrEF (18% female) with an LVEF ≤ 40% patients (n = 127) from the Prevalence and Clinical Course of Diastolic Dysfunction and Diastolic Heart Failure (DIAST-CHF) trial were examined and compared with a healthy control group (n = 40; 48% female). We were able to identify 35 proteins that were expressed significantly different in both HF groups compared with the control group. We determine 29 unique proteins expressed in HFpEF and 33 unique proteins in HFrEF. Significantly up-regulated trefoil factor 3 (TFF3) and down-regulated contactin-1 could be identified as previously unknown biomarkers for HF. However, TFF3 is also a predictive factor for the occurrence of a cardiovascular event in HFpEF patients. In HFpEF, serine protease 27 was found at reduced levels for the first time, which could offer a new therapeutic target. Additionally, network analyses showed a special role of platelet-derived growth factor subunit A, Dickkopf-related protein 1, and tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 6 in HFpEF patients, whereas perlecan and junctional adhesion molecule A stood out in the HFrEF group. Overall, signalling pathways of metabolic processes, cellular stress, and iron metabolism seemed to be important for HFrEF, whereas for HFpEF, oxygen stress, haemostasis, cell renewal, cell migration, and cell proliferation are in the foreground.

CONCLUSIONS

The identified proteins and signalling pathways offer new therapeutic and diagnostic approaches for patients with chronic HF.

Sphingomyelinase activity promotes atrophy and attenuates force in human muscle fibres and is elevated in heart failure patients

BACKGROUND

Activation of sphingomyelinase (SMase) as a result of a general inflammatory response has been implicated as a mechanism underlying disease-related loss of skeletal muscle mass and function in several clinical conditions including heart failure. Here, for the first time, we characterize the effects of SMase activity on human muscle fibre contractile function and assess skeletal muscle SMase activity in heart failure patients.

METHODS

The effects of SMase on force production and intracellular Ca²⁺ handling were investigated in single intact human muscle fibres. Additional mechanistic studies were performed in single mouse toe muscle fibres. RNA sequencing was performed in human muscle bundles exposed to SMase. Intramuscular SMase activity was measured from heart failure patients (n = 61, age 69 ± 0.8 years, NYHA III-IV, ejection fraction 25 ± 1.0%, peak VO₂ 14.4 ± 0.6 mL × kg × min) and healthy age-matched control subjects (n = 10, age 71 ± 2.2 years, ejection fraction 60 ± 1.2%, peak VO₂ 25.8 ± 1.1 mL × kg × min). SMase activity was related to circulatory factors known to be associated with progression and disease severity in heart failure.

RESULTS

Sphingomyelinase reduced muscle fibre force production (-30%, P < 0.05) by impairing sarcoplasmic reticulum (SR) Ca²⁺ release (P < 0.05) and reducing myofibrillar Ca²⁺ sensitivity. In human muscle bundles exposed to SMase, RNA sequencing analysis revealed 180 and 291 genes as up-regulated and down-regulated, respectively, at a FDR of 1%. Gene-set enrichment analysis identified 'proteasome degradation' as an up-regulated pathway (average fold-change 1.1, P = 0.008), while the pathway 'cytoplasmic ribosomal proteins' (average fold-change 0.8, P < 0.0001) and factors involving proliferation of muscle cells (average fold-change 0.8, P = 0.0002) where identified as down-regulated. Intramuscular SMase activity was ~20% higher (P < 0.05) in human heart failure patients than in age-matched healthy controls and was positively correlated with markers of disease severity and progression, and with several circulating inflammatory proteins, including TNF-receptor 1 and 2. In a longitudinal cohort of heart failure patients (n = 6, mean follow-up time 2.5 ± 0.2 years), SMase activity was demonstrated to increase by 30% (P < 0.05) with duration of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The present findings implicate activation of skeletal muscle SMase as a mechanism underlying human heart failure-related loss of muscle mass and function. Moreover, our findings strengthen the idea that SMase activation may underpin disease-related loss of muscle mass and function in other clinical conditions, acting as a common patophysiological mechanism for the myopathy often reported in diseases associated with a systemic inflammatory response.

The Neutrophil-to-Albumin Ratio as a New Predictor of All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Heart Failure

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Growth/differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) as a predictor of serious arrhythmic events in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy

INTRODUCTION

Cardiac biomarkers have been proposed as a new tool to improve risk stratification of serious arrhythmic events in patients with heart failure (HF) beyond estimates of left ventricular ejection fraction. Growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15, a stress-induced cytokine, has been found to correlate with markers of myocardial fibrosis and adverse clinical outcomes, but its role as a predictor of arrhythmic events in patients with nonischemic HF is uncertain.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A prospective observational study was conducted in 148 nonischemic patients with HF who underwent comprehensive clinical and laboratory evaluation, including measurement of serum GDF-15. The study endpoints were serious arrhythmic events (which included appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy and sudden cardiac death) and all-cause mortality. Mean age of the cohort was 54.8 ± 12.7 years, and mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 27.4% ± 7.5%. During a mean follow-up time of 42 months, arrhythmic events occurred in 28 patients (19%), and 40 patients (27%) died. An increase in serum GDF-15 (log-transformed) correlated linearly with a higher risk of serious arrhythmic events (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.28, p = 0.03) even after adjustment for other potential clinical predictors (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.02-1.32, p = 0.02). GDF-15 was also strongly and independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.17, 1.05-1.31, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of nonischemic HF patients on optimized medical treatment, serum GDF-15 levels were independently associated with major arrhythmic events and overall mortality. This biomarker may add prognostic information to better stratify the risk of sudden death in this particular population.

Circulating growth differentiation factor-15 as a novel biomarker in heart transplant

Aims

This study aimed to examine (i) whether circulating growth differentiation factor‐15 (GDF‐15) is associated with acute cellular cardiac allograft rejection (ACR); (ii) a longitudinal trend of GDF‐15 after heart transplantation; and (iii) the prognostic value of GDF‐15 in predicting a composite outcome of severe primary graft dysfunction (PGD) and 30 day mortality post‐transplant.

Methods and results

Serum samples were collected before heart transplantation and at every endomyocardial biopsy (EMB) post‐heart transplantation in de novo transplant patients. A total of 60 post‐transplant serum samples were matched to the corresponding EMBs. Seven (12%) were considered International Society for Heart Lung Transplantation Grade 1R ACR, and one (2%) was identified as Grade 2R ACR. GDF‐15 levels in patients with ACR were not different from those in the non‐rejection group (6230 vs. 6125 pg/mL, P = 0.27). GDF‐15 concentration gradually decreased from 8757 pg/mL pre‐transplant to 5203 pg/mL at 4 weeks post‐transplant. The composite adverse outcome of PGD and 30 day mortality was significantly associated with increased post‐operative GDF‐15 (odds ratio: 40; 95% confidence interval: 2.01–794.27; P = 0.005) and high inotrope score post‐transplant (odds ratio: 18; 95% confidence interval: 1.22–250.35; P = 0.01).

Conclusions

Circulating GDF‐15 concentration was markedly elevated in patients with end‐stage heart failure and decreased after heart transplantation. GDF‐15 was significantly associated with post‐transplant PGD and mortality. A lack of association between ACR and GDF‐15 did not support routine use of GDF‐15 as a biomarker to detect ACR. However, GDF‐15 may be potentially useful to determine heart transplant recipients at high risk for adverse post‐transplant outcomes. We suggest that GDF‐15 levels in recipient serum can provide risk stratification for severe PGD including death during post‐operative period. This novel biomarker may serve to inform and guide timely interventions against severe PGD and adverse outcomes during the first 4 weeks after transplantation. Further studies to support the utility of GDF‐15 in heart transplantation are required.

Clinical values of serum NGAL combined with NT-proBNP in the early prognosis of type 1 cardiorenal syndrome

BACKGROUND

Cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is a condition that defines disorders of the heart and kidneys whereby "acute or chronic dysfunction in one organ may induce acute or chronic dysfunction of the other". Early diagnosis of its biomarkers has a significant impact on the treatment and prognosis of the CRS. Elevated serum NGAL and NT-proBNP levels are independent risk factors for predicting heart and kidney disease. Therefore, we proposed early detection of type 1 CRS using serum NGAL in combination with NT-proBNP.

OBJECTIVE

This study intended to investigate the clinical value of serum NGAL in combination with NT-proBNP in the early diagnosis of type 1 CRS.

METHODS

In this paper, 80 patients with type 1 CRS and 80 healthy controls admitted to our hospital from January 2019 to August 2020 were retrospectively included, and the predictive value of single index and combined indices for predicting CRS were judged by calculating the correlation between serum NGAL, NT-proBNP and the creatinine levels and plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

There was no difference in baseline data between the control and patient groups. Serum NGAL and NT-proBNP in the patient group were significantly higher than those in the control group, and were positively correlated with changes in blood creatinine. The ROC curves showed that serum NGAL and NT-proBNP independently had a high predictive value for CRS, and the combination of the two had a better predictive value.

CONCLUSION

Serum NGAL in combination with NT-proBNP is of high clinical value for the early diagnosis of type 1 CRS.

Alleviation of Inflammation and Oxidative Stress in Pressure Overload-Induced Cardiac Remodeling and Heart Failure via IL-6/STAT3 Inhibition by Raloxifene

BACKGROUND

Inflammation and oxidative stress are involved in the initiation and progress of heart failure (HF). However, the role of the IL6/STAT3 pathway in the pressure overload-induced HF remains controversial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Transverse aortic constriction (TAC) was used to induce pressure overload-HF in C57BL/6J mice. 18 mice were randomized into three groups (Sham, TAC, and TAC+raloxifene, n = 6, respectively). Echocardiographic and histological results showed that cardiac hypertrophy, fibrosis, and left ventricular dysfunction were manifested in mice after TAC treatment of eight weeks, with aggravation of macrophage infiltration and interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) expression in the myocardium. TAC (four and eight weeks) elevated the phosphorylation of signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (p-STAT3) and prohibitin2 (PHB2) protein expression. Importantly, IL-6/gp130/STAT3 inhibition by raloxifene alleviated TAC-induced myocardial inflammation, cardiac remodeling, and dysfunction. In vitro, we demonstrated cellular hypertrophy with STAT3 activation and oxidative stress exacerbation could be elicited by IL-6 (25 ng/mL, 48 h) in H9c2 myoblasts. Sustained IL-6 stimulation increased intracellular reactive oxygen species, repressed mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP), decreased intracellular content of ATP, and led to decreased SOD activity, an increase in iNOS protein expression, and increased protein expression of Pink1, Parkin, and Bnip3 involving in mitophagy, all of which were reversed by raloxifene.

CONCLUSION

Inflammation and IL-6/STAT3 signaling were activated in TAC-induced HF in mice, while sustained IL-6 incubation elicited oxidative stress and mitophagy-related protein increase in H9c2 myoblasts, all of which were inhibited by raloxifene. These indicated IL-6/STAT3 signaling might be involved in the pathogenesis of myocardial hypertrophy and HF.

GDF-15 as a Biomarker in Cardiovascular Disease

In the last years, several diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers have been studied in cardiovascular disease. Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), a cytokine belonging to the transforming growth factor- (TGF-) family, is highly up-regulated in stress and inflammatory conditions and has been correlated to myocardial injury and pressure cardiac overload in animal models. This new biomarker has been positively correlated with increased risk of cardiovascular events in population studies and shown an independent predictor of mortality in patients with coronary artery disease and heart failure. This review aimed to summarize the current evidence on the diagnostic and prognostic value of GDF-15 in different settings in cardiology.

Plasma proteome profiling of cardiotoxicity in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Background

Cardiovascular toxicity is a notorious complication of doxorubicin (DXR) therapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Although surveillance of well-known biological markers for cardiovascular disease (CVD) as NTproBNP and Troponins may be helpful, there are no established markers to monitor for evolving CVD during treatment. New possibilities have arisen with the emergence of newer techniques allowing for analysis of plasma proteins that can be associated with cardiovascular disease. Proximity Extension Assay is one of them.

Objectives

We aimed to illustrate the incidence of CVD in DLBCL patients treated with DXR and to establish whether there are plasma proteins associated with pre-existing or emerging CVD.

Methods

In 95 patients, 182 different proteins from OLINK panels, NTproBNP, Troponin I and CRP were assessed prior to, during and after treatment. For comparison, samples from controls were analyzed.

Results

In the DLBCL cohort, 33.3% had pre-treatment CVD compared to 5.0% in the controls and 23.2% developed new CVD. Of the 32.6% who died during follow up, CVD was the cause in 4 patients. Spondin-1 (SPON-1) correlated to pre-treatment CVD (1.22 fold change, 95% CI 1.10–1.35, p = 0.00025, q = 0.045). Interleukin-1 receptor type 1 (IL-1RT1) was associated to emerging CVD (1.24 fold change, 95% CI 1.10–1.39, p = 0.00044, q = 0.082).

Conclusion

We observed a higher prevalence of CVD in DLBCL patients compared to controls prior to DXR therapy. Two proteins, SPON-1 and IL-1RT1, were related to pre-existing and emerging CVD in DXR treated patients. If confirmed in larger cohorts, IL-1RT1 may emerge as a reliable biomarker for unfolding CVD in DLBCL.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40959-021-00092-0.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers for Myocardial Infarction

The incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) increases every year worldwide. Better diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for clinical applications are the consistent pursuit of MI research. In addition to electrocardiogram, echocardiography, coronary angiography, etc., circulating biomarkers are essential for the diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment effect monitoring of MI patients. In this review, we assessed both strength and weakness of MI circulating biomarkers including: (1) originated from damaged myocardial tissues including current golden standard cardiac troponin, (2) released from non-myocardial tissues due to MI-induced systems reactions, and (3) preexisted in blood circulation before the occurrence of MI event. We also summarized newly reported MI biomarkers. We proposed that the biomarkers preexisting in blood circulation before MI incidents should be emphasized in research and development for MI prevention in near future.

Exercise as a Therapeutic Strategy for Sarcopenia in Heart Failure: Insights into Underlying Mechanisms

Sarcopenia, a syndrome commonly seen in elderly populations, is often characterized by a gradual loss of skeletal muscle, leading to the decline of muscle strength and physical performance. Growing evidence suggests that the prevalence of sarcopenia increases in patients with heart failure (HF), which is a dominant pathogenesis in the aging heart. HF causes diverse metabolic complications that may result in sarcopenia. Therefore, sarcopenia may act as a strong predictor of frailty, disability, and mortality associated with HF. Currently, standard treatments for slowing muscle loss in patients with HF are not available. Therefore, here, we review the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying sarcopenia in HF as well as current knowledge regarding the beneficial effects of exercise on sarcopenia in HF and related mechanisms, including hormonal changes, myostatin, oxidative stress, inflammation, apoptosis, autophagy, the ubiquitin-proteasome system, and insulin resistance.

Significance of myeloperoxidase plasma levels as a predictor for cardiac resynchronization therapy response

Objectives

This study aimed to determine if changes in myeloperoxidase (MPO) levels correlate with response to cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) and the potential role of MPO as a predictor of response to CRT.

Background

CRT is a well-established treatment option in chronic heart failure (CHF) with 50–80% of patients benefiting. Inflammation and oxidative stress play a key role in CHF pathophysiology. Previous studies have demonstrated increased levels of MPO in CHF patients, but the correlation with CRT response remains incompletely understood.

Methods

Fifty-three patients underwent CRT implantation. During follow-up, patients were divided into two groups, responders and non-responders to CRT, based on improved physical capacity and NYHA classification. Levels of MPO and NT-pro-brain-natriuretic-peptide (NT-proBNP) were determined prior to implantation, 30 and 90 days after. Physical capacity, including a 6-min walking-test, NYHA class, and LVEF were evaluated at baseline and during follow-up.

Results

Thirty-four patients (64%) responded to CRT, showing improved physical capacity and LVEF. All responders revealed a significant decrease of MPO levels (503.8 ng/ml vs. 188.4 ng/ml; p < 0.001). Non-responding patients did not show any significant changes in clinical parameters or MPO levels (119.6 ng/ml vs. 134.3 ng/ml; p = 0.672) during follow-up. At baseline, physical capacity and NYHA class, as well as MPO levels differed significantly between both groups (p < 0.001). A ROC analysis identified an MPO cut-off value for response to CRT of 242 ng/ml with a sensitivity of 93.5% and specificity of 71.4%. There was a strong correlation between MPO and improvement of LVEF (Spearman’s rho: − 0.453; p = 0.005) and physical capacity (Spearman’s rho: − 0.335; p = 0.042).

Conclusions

Response to CRT and course of MPO levels correlate significantly. MPO levels differ between responders and non-responders prior to CRT, which may indicate an additional value of MPO as a predictor for CRT response. Further randomized studies are required to confirm our data in larger patient cohorts.

Compared with matched controls, patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) have increased long-term AF after CABG, and POAF is further associated with increased ischemic stroke, heart failure and mortality even after adjustment for AF

Objective

To analyze (1) associations between postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after CABG and long-term cardiovascular outcome, (2) whether associations were influenced by AF during follow-up, and (3) if morbidities associated with POAF contribute to mortality.

Methods

An observational cohort study of 7145 in-hospital survivors after isolated CABG (1996–2012), with preoperative sinus rhythm and without AF history. Incidence of AF was compared with matched controls. Time-updated covariates were used to adjust for POAF-related morbidities during follow-up, including AF.

Results

Thirty-one percent of patients developed POAF. Median follow-up was 9.8 years. POAF patients had increased AF compared with matched controls (HR 3.03; 95% CI 2.66–3.49), while AF occurrence in non-POAF patients was similar to controls (1.00; 0.89–1.13). The observed AF increase among POAF patients compared with controls persisted over time (> 10 years 2.73; 2.13–3.51). Conversely, the non-POAF cohort showed no AF increase beyond the first postoperative year. Further, POAF was associated with long-term AF (adjusted HR 3.20; 95% CI 2.73–3.76), ischemic stroke (1.23; 1.06–1.42), heart failure (1.44; 1.27–1.63), overall mortality (1.21; 1.11–1.32), cardiac mortality (1.35; 1.18–1.54), and cerebrovascular mortality (1.54; 1.17–2.02). These associations remained after adjustment for AF during follow-up. Adjustment for other POAF-associated morbidities weakened the association between POAF and overall mortality, which became non-significant.

Conclusions

Patients with POAF after CABG had three times the incidence of long-term AF compared with both non-POAF patients and matched controls. POAF was associated with long-term ischemic stroke, heart failure, and corresponding mortality even after adjustment for AF during follow-up. The increased overall mortality was partly explained by morbidities associated with POAF.

Graphic abstract

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-020-01614-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.