Early recurrence in patients undergoing curative resection of colorectal liver oligometastases: identification of its clinical characteristics, risk factors, and prognosis

MCT4 is an independent prognostic factor and affects immune cell infiltration in patients with colorectal liver oligometastases

BACKGROUND

Monocarboxylate transporter 4 (MCT4) is a novel biomarker related to the level of immune cell infiltration, but its impact on tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) of colorectal liver oligometastases (CLO) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to assess MCT4 expression in primary tumor and liver oligometastases, investigate its impact on immune cell infiltration and its prognostic value for CLO patients undergoing liver resection.

METHODS

We retrospectively selected 135 CLO patients who underwent curative liver resection between June 1999 and December 2016, and samples included 74 primary tumor tissues and 122 liver metastases. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was performed to detect MCT4 expression in paraffin-embedded specimens and tyramine signal amplification (TSA) was used to detect the density of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, including CD3 + , CD8 + and Foxp3 + . Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, and independent prognostic factors were identified with Cox regression modeling.

RESULTS

Survival analysis indicated that CLO patients with low MCT4 expression had better 3-year RFS and 3-year OS rates than those with high MCT4 expression. Multivariate analysis indicated that high MCT4 expression was independently associated with poor RFS and OS. High MCT4 expression was associated with a lower number of intratumoral CD3 + /CD8 + T cells and was associated with higher Foxp3 + T cells infiltration. Patients with low MCT4 expression and high levels of differential immune infiltration had longer survival.

CONCLUSIONS

MCT4 overexpression was associated with an unfavorable prognosis in patients with CLO and MCT4 expression level had an impact on intratumoral immune infiltration degree. A novel parameter that combined MCT4 expression level and differential immune infiltration level was constructed to stratify patients with CLO into different risk groups.

Early Recurrence of Colorectal Liver Metastasis (Number ≤ 5 and Largest Diameter ≤ 3 cm) after Resection or Thermal Ablation: a Multi-center Study of Patterns, Safety, Survival and Risk Factors

OBJECTIVE

To compare early recurrence patterns, safety, survival and investigate the clinical risk factors of early recurrence (ER) after liver resection or thermal ablation (TA) for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) with number ≤ 5 and largest diameter ≤ 3 cm.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with CRLM who underwent liver resection or TA between January 2016 and December 2021 at two hospitals in China. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to assess recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Risk factors for ER were analysed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

303 patients with 632 liver metastases were enrolled. The most common early recurrence pattern was intrahepatic recurrence (IHR) in resection group and TA group. There was no significant difference in 6-month RFS rate (65.81% vs 66.23%) and median OS (P = 0.10) between two groups. Patients without ER had better OS than those with ER (P < 0.05). The incidence of serious complications (P = 0.013), length of hospitalization (P < 0.01), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score (P = 0.038) in TA group were significantly better than resection group. The diameter of liver metastases (HR: 4.89, 95% CI: 1.16-20.60; P = 0.031) and clinical risk score (CRS) (HR: 1.86, 95% CI: 1.06-3.25; P = 0.029) were independent risk factors for ER.

CONCLUSION

For CRLM with largest diameter ≤ 3 cm and number ≤ 5, the efficacy of receiving resection or TA is comparable, and the safety of TA is better. TA may be considered as the first-line local treatment option for patients with CRLM.

Minimal Residual Disease using a Plasma-Only Circulating Tumor DNA Assay to Predict Recurrence of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Following Curative Intent Treatment

PURPOSE

Minimal residual disease (MRD) detection can identify the recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) following definitive treatment. We evaluated a plasma-only MRD assay to predict recurrence and survival in patients with metastatic CRC who underwent curative intent procedures (surgery and/or radiotherapy), with or without (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy. The primary objective of this study was to assess the correlation of postprocedure tumor cell-free DNA detection status with radiographic disease recurrence.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Preprocedure and postprocedure longitudinal samples were collected from 53 patients and analyzed with a multiomic MRD assay detecting circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from genomic and epigenomic signals. Preprocedure and postprocedure ctDNA detection correlated with recurrence-free and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

From 52 patients, 230/233 samples were successfully analyzed. At the time of data cutoff, 36 (69.2%) patients recurred with median follow-up of 31 months. Detectable ctDNA was observed in 19/42 patients (45.2%) with ctDNA analyzed 3 weeks postprocedure. ctDNA detection 3 weeks postprocedure was associated with shorter median recurrence-free survival (RFS; HR, 5.27; 95% CI, 2.31-12.0; P < 0.0001) and OS (HR, 12.83; 95% CI, 3.6-45.9; P < 0.0001). Preprocedure ctDNA detection status was not associated with RFS but was associated with improved OS (HR, 4.65; 95% CI, 1.4-15.2; P = 0.0111). Undetectable ctDNA preprocedure had notable long-term OS, >90% 3 years postprocedure.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of oligometastatic CRC, detection of ctDNA preprocedure or postprocedure was associated with inferior outcomes even after accounting for known prognostic clinicopathologic variables. This suggests ctDNA may enhance current risk stratification methods helping the evaluation of novel treatments and surveillance strategies toward improving patient outcomes.

Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence following liver resection for colorectal liver metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the 3rd most common malignancy with the liver being the most common site of metastases. The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) after liver resection (LR) is notably high, with an estimated 40% of patients experiencing recurrence within 6 months. In this context, we conducted a meta-analysis to synthesize and evaluate the reliability of evidence pertaining to prognostic factors associated with early recurrence (ER) in CRLM following LR.

METHODS

Systematic searches were conducted from the inception of databases to July 14, 2023, to identify studies reporting prognostic factors associated with ER. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies (QUIPS) tool was employed to assess risk-of-bias for included studies. Meta-analysis was then performed on these prognostic factors, summarized by forest plots. The grading of evidence was based on sample size, heterogeneity, and Egger's P value.

RESULTS

The study included 24 investigations, comprising 12705 individuals, during an accrual period that extended from 2007 to 2023. In the evaluation of risk-of-bias, 22 studies were rated as low/moderate risk, while two studies were excluded because of high risk. Most of the studies used a postoperative interval of 6 months to define ER, with 30.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.1-36.4%) of the patients experiencing ER following LR. 21 studies were pooled for meta-analysis. High-quality evidence showed that poor differentiation of CRC, larger and bilobar-distributed liver metastases, major hepatectomy, positive surgical margins, and postoperative complications were associated with an elevated risk of ER. Additionally, moderate-quality evidence suggested that elevated levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA199), lymph node metastases (LNM) of CRC, and a higher number of liver metastases were risk factors for ER.

CONCLUSION

This review has the potential to enhance the efficacy of surveillance strategies, refine prognostic assessments, and guide judicious treatment decisions for CRLM patients with high risk of ER. Additionally, it is essential to undertake well-designed prospective investigations to examine additional prognostic factors and develop salvage therapeutic approaches for ER of CRLM.

Tumor-Informed Circulating Tumor DNA for Minimal Residual Disease Detection in the Management of Colorectal Cancer

PURPOSE

Recurrence after curative-intent treatment occurs in 20%-50% of patients with stage II-IV colorectal cancer (CRC), underscoring the need for early detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Here, we examined the pattern of use of a tumor-informed ctDNA assay in CRC MRD monitoring in routine clinical practice at Mayo Clinic, Rochester.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of health records of patients with CRC who had at least one tumor-informed ctDNA assay from May 2019 through July 1, 2022. Recurrence was defined as radiographic evidence of disease. Descriptive characteristics of the cohort, ctDNA results, and subsequent interventions were recorded.

RESULTS

Of the 120 patients included, the median age at diagnosis was 67 years, 46% were female, and 94% were White. At diagnosis, 10 patients had stage I, 23 stage II, 60 stage III, and 25 stage IV disease. Of 476 ctDNA assays performed, 70% were performed in patients who had recurrent disease most commonly to monitor the effectiveness of therapeutic interventions and 16% resulted in a change in clinical decision making. There were 110 recurrences identified in 62 patients, as some patients experienced more than one recurrence over time. Compared with serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels, ctDNA results correlated better with radiologic imaging.

CONCLUSION

Routine ctDNA monitoring for MRD detection has been adopted in clinical practice; however, 84% of ctDNA assays performed did not result in a change in clinical management. This suggests the need for further clinical research data to guide routine clinical use of ctDNA MRD testing in CRC.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy weakens the prognostic value of the pathological tumor burden score for colorectal cancer liver metastases

BACKGROUND

The pathological tumor burden score (TBS) has been proven to be a better risk stratification tool for liver metastasis of colorectal cancer than the traditional clinical risk score (CRS). The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the pathological tumor burden score in patients with or without neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC).

METHODS

A total of 348 patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) who underwent curative hepatic resection were retrospectively enrolled from September 1999 to December 2016. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify the independent predictors of prognosis. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to determine whether TBS has enough discriminatory ability under certain grouping.

RESULTS

Patients who received NAC had a higher median TBS than patients who did not receive NAC (4.07 vs. 2.69, P < 0.001). Among patients who did not receive NAC, those with TBS > 3 showed a significantly worse 3-year RFS (41.1% vs. 63.6%, P < 0.001) and 3-year OS rate (73.3% vs. 84.1%, P = 0.003) than those with TBS ≤ 3. Among the patients who received NAC, those with TBS ≤ 3 or TBS > 3 showed comparable 3-year RFS (33.3% vs. 26.4%, P = 0.400) and 3-year OS rates (76.5% vs. 58.2%, P = 0.064) to those who did not. Regardless of the regimen and response to NAC, there was no significant difference about 3-year RFS and 3-year OS rates between the TBS ≤ 3 and TBS > 3 groups.

CONCLUSION

Pathological TBS can be applied to predict the RFS and OS of patients suffering from CRLM who did not receive NAC. However, pathological TBS might not be regard as prognosis in patients who did receive NAC.

Primary Colorectal Tumor Displays Differential Genomic Expression Profiles Associated with Hepatic and Peritoneal Metastases

BACKGROUND

Despite improvements in characterization of CRC heterogeneity, appropriate risk stratification tools are still lacking in clinical practice. This study aimed to elucidate the primary tumor transcriptomic signatures associated with distinct metastatic routes.

METHODS

Primary tumor specimens obtained from CRC patients with either isolated LM (CRC-Liver) or PM (CRC-Peritoneum) were analyzed by transcriptomic mRNA sequencing, gene set enrichment analyses (GSEA) and immunohistochemistry. We further assessed the clinico-pathological associations and prognostic value of our signature in the COAD-TCGA independent cohort.

RESULTS

We identified a significantly different distribution of Consensus Molecular Subtypes between CRC-Liver and CRC-peritoneum groups. A transcriptomic signature based on 61 genes discriminated between liver and peritoneal metastatic routes. GSEA showed a higher expression of immune response and epithelial invasion pathways in CRC-Peritoneum samples and activation of proliferation and metabolic pathways in CRC-Liver samples. The biological relevance of RNA-Seq results was validated by the immunohistochemical expression of three significantly differentially expressed genes (ACE2, CLDN18 and DUSP4) in our signature. In silico analysis of the COAD-TCGA showed that the CRC-Peritoneum signature was associated with negative prognostic factors and poor overall and disease-free survivals.

CONCLUSIONS

CRC primary tumors spreading to the liver and peritoneum display significantly different transcriptomic profiles. The implementation of this signature in clinical practice could contribute to identify new therapeutic targets for stage IV CRC and to define individualized follow-up programs in stage II-III CRC.

An interpretable deep learning framework for predicting liver metastases in postoperative colorectal cancer patients using natural language processing and clinical data integration

BACKGROUND

The significance of liver metastasis (LM) in increasing the risk of death for postoperative colorectal cancer (CRC) patients necessitates innovative approaches to predict LM.

AIM

Our study presents a novel and significant contribution by developing an interpretable fusion model that effectively integrates both free-text medical record data and structured laboratory data to predict LM in postoperative CRC patients.

METHODS

We used a robust dataset of 1463 patients and leveraged state-of-the-art natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning techniques to construct a two-layer fusion framework that demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to single modal models. Our innovative two-tier algorithm fuses the results from different data modalities, achieving balanced prediction results on test data and significantly enhancing the predictive ability of the model. To increase interpretability, we employed Shapley additive explanations to elucidate the contributions of free-text clinical data and structured clinical data to the final model. Furthermore, we translated our findings into practical clinical applications by creating a novel NLP score-based nomogram using the top 13 valid predictors identified in our study.

RESULTS

The proposed fusion models demonstrated superior predictive performance with an accuracy of 80.8%, precision of 80.3%, recall of 80.5%, and an F1 score of 80.8% in predicting LMs.

CONCLUSION

This fusion model represents a notable advancement in predicting LMs for postoperative CRC patients, offering the potential to enhance patient outcomes and support clinical decision-making.

Recurrence and Postoperative Death in Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A New Perspective via Semi-competing Risk Framework

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Cancer studies suffer from an overestimation of prediction of survival when both recurrence and death are of interest. This longitudinal study aimed to mitigate this problem utilizing a semi-competing risk approach evaluating the factors affecting recurrence and postoperative death in patients with colorectal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This longitudinal prospective study was conducted in 284 patients with resected colorectal cancer who were referred to the Imam Khomeini Clinic in Hamadan, Iran, during 2001-2017. Primary outcomes were postoperative outcomes and patient survival, including time to recurrence (of colorectal cancer), time to death, and time to death after recurrence. All patients who were alive at the end of the study were censored for death and who did not experience recurrence of colorectal cancer were also censored for recurrent colorectal cancer. The relationship between underlying demographics and clinical factors and the outcomes was assessed using a semicompeting risk approach.

RESULTS

The results of the multivariable analysis showed that having metastasis to other sites (hazard ratio = 36.03; 95% CI = 19.48- 66.64) and higher pathological node (pN) stage (hazard ratio = 2.46; 95% CI = 1.32-4.56) were associated with a raised hazard of recurrence. The fewer chemotherapies (hazard ratio = 0.39; 95% CI = 0.17-0.88) and higher pN stages (hazard ratio = 4.32; 95% CI = 1.27-14.75) showed significantly higher hazards of death without recurrence. Having metastasis to other sites (hazard ratio = 2.67; 95% CI = 1.24-5.74) and higher pN stages (hazard ratio = 1.91; 95% CI = 1.02-3.61) were linked with the higher hazard of death after recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Considering findings on death /recu rrenc e-spe cific predictors obtained in this study to manage the outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer, tailored strategies for preventive and interventional plans should be deliberated.

Prognostic differences between oligometastatic and polymetastatic disease after resection in patients with colorectal cancer and hepatic or lung metastases: Retrospective analysis of a large cohort at a single institution

BACKGROUND

Long-term survival data are lacking, and prognostic factors are not well-defined for patients with colorectal cancer and hepatic or lung metastases. This study evaluated the outcomes after resection of oligometastatic hepatic or lung metastases from colorectal cancer and sought to identify prognostic factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 1,123 patients with colorectal cancer and hepatic or pulmonary metastases who underwent curative surgery between January 1991 and December 2016.

RESULTS

Of the 1,123 patients, 719 had hepatic metastases, 287 had pulmonary metastases, and 117 had both. The 5-year overall survival rate was 52.3% in the hepatic metastases group, 70.4% in the pulmonary metastases group, and 71.4% in the hepatic and pulmonary metastases group (P < .001). In total, 1,045 patients had oligometastases (1-5 metastatic lesions in 1 or 2 organs) and 78 had polymetastases (≥6 metastases in 1 or 2 organs). Prognosis was significantly better in patients with oligometastases than in those with polymetastases. The 5-year overall survival rate was 59.0% in the oligometastases group and 35.3% in the polymetastases group (P < .001); the respective 5-year relapse-free survival rates were 37.5% and 11.6% (P < .001). Multivariable analysis identified predictors of both poor overall survival and relapse-free survival to be a high carcinoembryonic antigen level before the first metastasectomy, largest metastasis measuring ≥2 cm, polymetastases, and synchronous metastases.

CONCLUSION

Prognosis after curative resection was better in patients with oligometastatic colorectal cancer in the liver or lung than in those with polymetastases. Multidisciplinary decision-making strategies, including about surgery, should be based on number of metastases rather than their site.

Circulating Tumor DNA as a Marker of Minimal Residual Disease After Radical Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases

PURPOSE

Prognostic tools to estimate the risk of relapse for patients with liver-limited metastatic colorectal cancer (LL-mCRC) undergoing resection with curative intent are needed. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a surrogate of postsurgical minimal residual disease is a promising marker in localized CRC. We explored the role of postoperative ctDNA as a marker of minimal residual disease in patients with radically resected LL-mCRC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventy-six patients with LL-mCRC were retrospectively included. DNA from tumor tissue was sequenced, and one somatic mutation was then assessed by digital droplet polymerase chain reaction in plasma samples collected after surgery to identify the persistence of ctDNA. Relapse-free survival and postresection overall survival were compared between patients with positive vs negative postoperative ctDNA.

RESULTS

ctDNA was found in 39 (51%) of 76 patients with LL-mCRC. At a median follow-up of 77 months, 33 of 39 ctDNA-positive patients and 20 of 37 ctDNA-negative patients experienced disease relapse ( P = .008). ctDNA-positive patients reported significantly shorter RFS than ctDNA-negative ones (median RFS 12.7 v 27.4 months hazard ratio, 2.09, P = .008). In the multivariable model including other prognostic covariates, this association was still significant ( P = .046) and a trend toward shorter overall survival among ctDNA-positive patients was reported (hazard ratio, 1.65, P = .183).

CONCLUSION

The detection of postsurgical ctDNA is an independent negative prognostic marker and identifies patients at high risk of relapse after liver metastases resection.

Predictors of early polymetastatic relapse following stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for up to 5 oligometastases: a secondary analysis of the phase II SABR-5 trial

PURPOSE

A subset of patients with oligometastatic cancer experience early widespread cancer dissemination and do not benefit from metastasis-directed therapy such as stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR). This study aimed to identify factors associated with early polymetastatic relapse (PMR).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The XXX trial was a single arm phase II study conducted at all 6 regional cancer centres across XXX. SABR for oligometastases was only offered on trial. Patients with up to 5 oligometastatic lesions (total, progressing or induced) received SABR to all lesions. Patients were 18 years of age or older, ECOG 0-2 and life expectancy ≥ 6 months. This secondary analysis evaluated factors associated with early PMR, defined as disease recurrence within 6 months of SABR which is not amenable to further local treatment. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed using binary logistic regression. The Kaplan Meier method and log-rank tests assessed PMR-free survival and differences between risk groups, respectively.

RESULTS

Between November 2016 and July 2020, 381 patients underwent treatment on XXX. A total of 16% of patients experienced PMR. Worse performance status (ECOG 1-2 vs 0; HR=2.01, p=0.018), non-prostate/breast histology (HR=3.64, p<0.001) and oligoprogression (HR=3.84, p<0.001) were independent predictors for early PMR. Risk groups were identified with median PMR-free survival ranging from 5 months to not yet reached at the time of analysis. Rates of 3-year OS were 0%, 53% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48 - 58), 77% (95% CI 73 - 81) and 93% (95% CI 90 - 96) in groups 1-4, respectively (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Four distinct risk groups for early PMR are identified, which differ significantly in PMR-free survival and overall survival. The group with all three risk factors had a median PMR-free survival of 5 months and may not benefit from local ablative therapy alone. This model should be externally validated with data from other prospective trials.

[Comparison of Clinical Efficacy of Thermal Ablation vs. Surgical Resection of Metachronous Colorectal Liver Metastasis]

Objective

To compare the treatment efficacy of thermal ablation versus surgical resection of metachronous colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and to explore the potential candidates suited for thermal ablation.

Methods

The data of 319 patients with CRLM who underwent radical treatment at the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences between November 2007 and January 2021 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into two groups, the thermal ablation group and the surgical resection group, according to the actual treatments they received. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance the baseline characteristics between the two groups. Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors for recurrence and survival. Survival analysis was performed for intergroup comparison.

Results

Using PSM at 1∶1 ratio, 92 patients were included in the thermal ablation group and 92 patients were included in the surgical resection group.The median overall survival (OS) in the thermal ablation group was 49 (95% confidence interval, 37-76) months, which was shorter than that of the surgical resection group ( P<0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the T staging of primary tumor, number of metastatic tumor, maximum diameter of metastatic tumor, preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, and treatment method were independent risk factors affecting OS. Compared with the surgical resection group, the thermal ablation group demonstrated higher hepatic recurrence rate (59.8% vs. 23.9%, P<0.01), shorter disease-free survival (DFS) (10 months vs. 33 months, P<0.01), and shorter length of hospital stay (7 days vs. 14 days, P<0.01). Subgroup analysis, conducted with the data of the 319 patients before PSM, showed that early recurrence patients who underwent thermal ablation or surgical resection had comparable median OS (29 months vs. 42 months, P=0.35). For the non-early recurrence patients, the median OS of the thermal ablation group was shorter than that of the surgical resection group ( P<0.01).

Conclusion

For the treatment of CRLM, the efficacy of surgical resection was better than that of thermal ablation. However, the efficacy was comparable between the two treatments for early recurrence patients of CRLM.

Preventing Futile Liver Resection: A Risk-Based Approach to Surgical Selection in Major Hepatectomy for Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence following liver resection for metastatic colorectal cancer generally portends poor survival. We sought to identify factors associated with early disease recurrence after major hepatectomy for metastatic colorectal cancer in order to improve patient selection and prevent futile hepatectomy.

METHODS

Sequential major (four or more segments) liver resections performed for metastatic colorectal cancer between 1995 and 2019 were selected from our prospectively maintained database. Univariate analyses, multivariable regression modelling, and survival analyses were used to identify predictors of futile resection (recurrence within 6 months of hepatectomy).

RESULTS

Of 259 patients included, the median age was 61.3 years (interquartile range [IQR] 15.3) and the median number of liver tumors was 3.0 (IQR 2.0); 78.0% of patients received prehepatectomy chemotherapy. Surgeries were right (56.4%), left (19.3%), and extended hepatectomy (24.3%). Futile resection occurred in 26 (12.6%) patients. Margin positivity was similar in the futile resection group compared with the non-futile resection group (11.5% vs. 11.4%). Extrahepatic disease that disappeared with chemotherapy was present in 23.1% of patients with a futile resection and 7.2% of those without (p = 0.019). After multivariable regression, the factors predictive of futile resection were extrahepatic disease (odds ratio [OR] 5.6; p = 0.004), more than three liver lesions (OR 4.9; p = 0.001), and extended hepatectomy (OR 2.6; p = 0.038). Notably, 70.8% of futile recurrences occurred within the liver remnant and 20.8% were pulmonary metastases. Overall survival was 11.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.1-16.2) for the futile resection cohort versus 45.6 (95% CI 39.1-52.1) for non-futile hepatectomies (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Futile hepatic resection can be predicted based on preoperative factors and carries a poor prognosis. Improved risk stratification for futility will aid in patient selection and treatment discussions.

Application of Tumor Burden Score for predicting conversion outcome in patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases after first-line systemic therapy

BACKGROUND

Patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) could achieve survival benefit from successful conversion therapy. Recently, Tumor Burden Score (TBS) was proposed as a valuable index to predict outcome following resection of CRLM. The study is aimed to investigate the association of TBS with conversion outcome.

METHODS

A total of 234 patients who underwent first-line treatment in our center were enrolled as training cohort. The validation cohort was developed from 89 patients in our previous study. Cut-off value of TBS was calculated to stratify patients into two groups. Significance test and logistic regression model were used to examine the prediction value of TBS for conversion outcome after first-line systemic therapy. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model were applied to assess the prognostic value of TBS.

RESULTS

TBS showed good discriminatory power [area under curve (AUC) 0.726, p < 0.001] with cut-off value defined as 14.3 in training cohort, which was validated in the validation cohort. Increasing TBS was related to adverse chemotherapy response and conversion outcome. Low TBS group had three times higher conversion rate than that in high TBS group (57.3% versus 19.0%, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that high TBS [odds ratio (OR) = 3.676, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.671-8.429, p = 0.002], first-line treatment response as stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD) (OR = 9.247; 95% CI 4.736-18.846, p < 0.001), and absence of targeted therapy (OR = 2.453, 95% CI 1.139-5.455, p = 0.024) were three independent risk factors for failure conversion outcome. High TBS was significantly associated with conversion outcome whatever chemotherapy response, addition of targeted therapy, and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) status. High TBS was also associated with worse overall survival.

CONCLUSION

TBS should be applied in clinical practice to predict conversion outcome in patients with initially unresectable CRLM.

RCC1 Expression as a Prognostic Marker in Colorectal Liver Oligometastases

Introduction: Regulator of chromatin condensation 1 (RCC1) is a major guanine-nucleotide exchange factor for Ran GTPase, and it plays key roles in various biological processes. Previous studies have found that RCC1 may play a role in the development of tumors, but little is known about the relationship between RCC1 and colorectal liver oligometastases (CLOs).

Methods: One hundred and twenty-nine pairs of matched human CLO samples, including both primary tumor and its liver metastasis specimens, were subjected to immunohistochemistry to determine the location and expression levels of RCC1. Associations between RCC1 and survival as well as gene expression profiling were explored.

Results: In this study, we first observed that RCC1 was mildly increased in CLO tumor tissues compared with normal tissues, and the localization was primarily nuclear. In addition, our study found that high RCC1 expression in liver oligometastases was an independent prognostic marker for unfavorable recurrence-free survival and overall survival (p = 0.036 and p = 0.016). Gene expression profiles generated from microarray analysis showed that RCC1 was involved in pathways including “Myc targets,” “E2F targets” and “DNA repair” pathways.

Conclusion: Our data indicated that RCC1 was expressed mainly in the nucleus, and strong and significant associations were found between RCC1 expression levels and the survival of CLO patients. These findings indicated that RCC1 may play a role in CLO development.

Programmed death-ligand 1 expression in the tumour stroma of colorectal liver oligometastases and its association with prognosis after liver resection

Background

The clinical value of programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in colorectal liver oligometastases (CLOs) remains undefined. This study aimed to detect PD-L1 in the microenvironment of CLOs and determine its association with patient prognosis.

Methods

We collected 126 liver-resection specimens from CLO patients who underwent curative liver resection between June 1999 and December 2016. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was performed to assess PD-L1 expression in paraffin-embedded specimens. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analysed using the Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test.

Results

PD-L1 was mainly expressed in the stroma of liver oligometastases. Patients with high PD-L1 expression had a higher proportion of clinical-risk scores (CRSs) of 2–4 (67.7% vs 40.4%; P = 0.004). With a median 58-month follow-up, patients with high PD-L1 expression had a significantly lower 3-year OS rate (65.5% vs 92.7%; P = 0.001) and 3-year RFS rate (34.7% vs 83.8%; P < 0.001) than patients with low PD-L1 expression. Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated that high PD-L1 expression (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.581; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.301–9.972; P = 0.015), CRS 2–4 (HR = 6.960; 95% CI 1.135–42.689; P = 0.036) and increased preoperative CA19-9 (HR = 2.843; 95% CI 1.229–6.576; P = 0.015) were independent risk factors for OS. High PD-L1 expression (HR = 4.815; 95% CI 2.139–10.837; P < 0.001) and lymph-node metastasis (HR = 2.115; 95% CI 1.041–4.297; P = 0.038) were independent risk factors for RFS.

Conclusion

This study found that PD-L1 was commonly expressed in the tumour stroma of CLOs and high PD-L1 expression was associated with poor prognosis.

The prognostic value of preoperative serum lactate dehydrogenase levels in patients underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases: A two-center cohort study

Background

The prognostic value of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in colorectal cancer patients has remained inconsistent between nonmetastatic and metastatic settings. So far, very few studies have included LDH in the prognostic analysis of curative‐intent surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

Patients and Methods

Five hundred and eighty consecutive metastatic colorectal cancer patients who underwent curative‐intent CRLM resection from Sun Yat‐sen University Cancer Center (434 patients) and Sun Yat‐sen University Sixth Affiliated Hospital (146 patients) in 2000–2019 were retrospectively collected. Overall survival (OS) was the primary end point. Cox regression model was performed to identify the prognostic values of preoperative serum LDH levels and other clinicopathology variables. A modification of the established Fong CRS scoring system comprising LDH was developed within this Chinese population.

Results

At the median follow‐up time of 60.5 months, median OS was 59.5 months in the pooled cohort. In the multivariate analysis, preoperative LDH >upper limit of normal (250 U/L) was the strongest independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22–2.44; p < 0.001). Patients with elevated LDH levels showed impaired OS than patients with normal LDH levels (27.6 months vs. 68.8 months). Five‐year survival rates were 53.7% and 22.5% in the LDH‐normal group and LDH‐high group, respectively. Similar results were also confirmed in each cohort. In the subgroup analysis, LDH could distinguish the survival regardless of most established prognostic factors (number and size of CRLM, surgical margin, extrahepatic metastases, CEA, and CA19‐9 levels, etc.). Integrating LDH into the Fong score contributed to an improvement in the predictive value.

Conclusion

Our study implicates serum LDH as a reliable and independent laboratory biomarker to predict the clinical outcome of curative‐intent surgery for CRLM. Composite of LDH and Fong score is a potential stratification tool for CRLM resection. Prospective, international studies are needed to validate these results across diverse populations.

Repeat hepatectomy justified in patients with early recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The benefit of repeat hepatectomy in patients with early recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) is questioned, in particular in those suffering from recurrence within three to six months following initial hepatectomy. The aim of this review was therefore to assess whether disease-free interval was associated with overall survival in patients undergoing repeat hepatectomy for recurrent CRLM.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted, according to PRISMA guidelines. PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched from database inception to 6th June 2020. Observational studies describing results of repeat hepatectomy for recurrent CRLM, including (disease-free) interval between hepatic resections and overall survival were included. Patients undergoing repeat hepatectomy within three months or additional resection of extrahepatic disease were excluded from meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The initial search identified 2159 records, of which 28 were included for qualitative synthesis. A meta-analysis of 15 cohort studies was performed, comprising 1039 eligible patients. Median overall survival of 54.0 months [95 %-CI: 38.6-69.4] was observed after repeat hepatectomy in patients suffering from recurrent CRLM between three to six months compared to 53.0 months [95 %-CI: 44.3-61.6] for patients with recurrent CRLM between seven to twelve months (adjusted HR = 0.89, 95 %-CI: 0.66-1.18; p = 0.410), and 60.0 months [95 %-CI: 52.7-67.3] for patients with recurrent CRLM after twelve months (adjusted HR = 0.70, 95 %-CI: 0.53-0.92; p = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

Disease-free interval is considered a prognostic factor for overall survival, but should not be used as selection criterion per se for repeat hepatectomy in patients suffering from recurrent CRLM.

Detection of Molecular Residual Disease Using Personalized Circulating Tumor DNA Assay in Patients With Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Resection of Metastases

PURPOSE

More than 50% of patients with stage IV colorectal cancer (metastatic colorectal cancer [mCRC]) relapse postresection. The efficacy of postoperative systemic treatment is limited in this setting. Thus, these patients would greatly benefit from the use of a reliable prognostic biomarker, such as circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to identify minimal or molecular residual disease (MRD).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of 112 patients with mCRC who had undergone metastatic resection with curative intent as part of the PREDATOR clinical trial. The study evaluated the prognostic value of ctDNA, correlating MRD status postsurgery with clinical outcomes by using a personalized and tumor-informed ctDNA assay (bespoke multiple PCR, next-generation sequencing assay). Postresection, systemic therapy was given to 39.2% of the patients at the discretion of the treating physician.

RESULTS

Postsurgical, MRD positivity was observed in 54.4% (61 of 112) of patients, of which 96.7% (59 of 61) progressed at the time of data cutoff (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.8; 95% CI, 3.5 to 9.7; P < .001). MRD-positive status was also associated with an inferior overall survival: HR: 16.0; 95% CI, 3.9 to 68.0; P < .001. At the time of analyses, 96% (49 of 51) of patients were alive in the MRD-negative arm compared with 52.4% (32 of 61) in the MRD-positive arm. Patients who did not receive systemic therapy and were MRD-negative in the combined ctDNA analysis at two time points had an overall survival of 100%. In the multivariate analysis, ctDNA-based MRD status was the most significant prognostic factor associated with disease-free survival (HR: 5.78; 95% CI, 3.34 to 10.0; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

This study confirms that in mCRC undergoing resection of metastases, postoperative MRD analysis is a strong prognostic biomarker. It holds promises for being implemented in clinical decision making, informing clinical trial design, and further translational research.

Oligometastasis scoring system for predicting survival of patients with colorectal liver metastasis after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Oligometastasis, the presence of a small number of resectable metastatic tumors, usually has favorable outcomes. Here we examined whether the novel oligometastatic score (OLGS), which divides the number of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) by the time from colorectal resection to liver recurrence, better predicts CRLM patient survival than the commonly used clinical risk score.

METHODS

A total of 143 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for CRLMs between 2007 and 2018 were analyzed. We investigated their clinical characteristics and outcomes using OLGS.

RESULTS

Of the 143 CRLM patients, 70 had synchronous CRLMs and 73 had metachronous CRLMs. Patients with metachronous CRLMs were divided into OLGS-low (n = 59) and OLGS-high (n = 14) subgroups. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates after hepatectomy differed significantly between the subgroups (p < .001). In the multivariate Cox model, a high OLGS was an independent predictor of 5-year OS (p < .001), and the hazard ratio (HR) of the OLGS-high group (HR = 7.171) was higher than that of the high clinical risk score group (HR = 4.337).

CONCLUSION

The OLGS, a simple and handy scoring system, better predicts the 5-year OS of patients with CRLMs after hepatectomy and warrants prospective validation.

Specific causes of recurrence after surgery and mortality in patients with colorectal cancer: A competing risks survival analysis

Background

In situation where there are more than one cause of occurring the outcome such as recurrence after surgery and death, the assumption of classical survival analyses are not satisfied. To cover this issue, this study aimed at utilizing competing risks survival analysis to assess the specific risk factors of local-distance recurrence and mortality in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) undergoing surgery.

Materials and Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 254 patients with CRC undergoing resection surgery were studied. Data of the outcome from the available documents in the hospital were gathered. Furthermore, based on pathological report, the diagnosis of CRC was considered. We model the risk factors on the hazard of recurrence and death using competing risk survival in R3.6.1 software.

Results

A total of 114 patients had local or distant recurrence (21 local recurrences, 72 distant recurrences, and 21 local and distant recurrence). Pathological stage (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 4.28 and 5.37 for stage 3 and 4, respectively), tumor site (AHR = 2.45), recurrence (AHR = 3.92) and age (AHR = 3.15 for age >70) was related to hazard of death. Also based on cause-specific hazard model, pathological stage (AHR = 7.62 for stage 4), age (AHR = 1.46 for age >70), T stage (AHR = 1.8 and 2.7 for T3 and T4, respectively), N stage (AHR = 2.59 for N2), and white blood cells (AHR = 1.95) increased the hazard of recurrence in patients with CRC.

Conclusion

This study showed that older age, higher pathological, rectum tumor site and presence of recurrence were independent risk factors for mortality among CRC patients. Also age, higher T/N stage, higher pathological stage and higher values of WBC were significantly related to higher hazard of local/distance recurrence of patients with CRC.

A predictive model for early recurrence of colorectal-cancer liver metastases based on clinical parameters

Background

The prognosis for patients with colorectal-cancer liver metastases (CRLM) after curative surgery remains poor and shows great heterogeneity. Early recurrence, defined as tumor recurrence within 6 months of curative surgery, is associated with poor survival, requiring earlier detection and intervention. This study aimed to develop and validate a bedside model based on clinical parameters to predict early recurrence in CRLM patients and provide insight into post-operative surveillance strategies.

Material and methods

A total of 202 consecutive CRLM patients undergoing curative surgeries between 2012 and 2019 were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to the training (n = 150) and validation (n = 52) sets. Baseline information and radiological, pathological, and laboratory findings were extracted from medical records. Predictive factors for early recurrence were identified via a multivariate logistic-regression model to develop a predictive nomogram, which was validated for discrimination, calibration, and clinical application.

Results

Liver-metastases number, lymph-node suspicion, neurovascular invasion, colon/rectum location, albumin and post-operative carcinoembryonic antigen, and carbohydrate antigen 19–9 levels (CA19–9) were independent predictive factors and were used to construct the nomogram for early recurrence after curative surgery. The area under the curve was 0.866 and 0.792 for internal and external validation, respectively. The model significantly outperformed the clinical risk score and Beppu’s model in our data set. In the lift curve, the nomogram boosted the detection rate in post-operative surveillance by two-fold in the top 30% high-risk patients.

Conclusion

Our model for early recurrence in CRLM patients after curative surgeries showed superior performance and could aid in the decision-making for selective follow-up strategies.

What is the optimal number of neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycles for resectable colorectal liver oligometastases?

BACKGROUND

The optimal number of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) cycles for resectable colorectal liver oligometastases (CLOM) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the optimal number of NAC cycles.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-nine consecutive patients were included in this study. X-tile analysis was implemented to investigate the optimal cut-off point for NAC cycles. Propensity score matching was performed to reduce selection bias. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox risk regression models were used to analyse progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off point for NAC cycles was 5. There were no significant differences in R0 resection, pathological response or postoperative complications between the groups with a low number of NAC cycles group (≤5 cycles, n=80) and high number of NAC cycles (>5 cycles, n=49). Patients with a high number of NAC cycles were more likely to have NAC toxicity than those with a low number of cycles (87.8% vs. 65.0%, P=0.004). Multivariate analysis revealed that >5 NAC cycles was an independent predictor of reduced PFS (HR =1.808, 95% CI: 1.205-2.712, P=0.004) and reduced OS (HR =1.723, 95% CI: 1.041-2.851, P=0.034). In the oxaliplatin-based regimen group, patients with a low number of NAC cycles had a better PFS (P<0.001, mPFS: 14.7 vs. 5.4 months) and better OS (P=0.018, mOS: 57.7 months vs. 41.0 months) than those with a high number of cycles. After 1:1 propensity matching (34 cases vs. 34 cases), multivariate analysis revealed that >5 NAC cycles was an independent predictor of reduced PFS (HR =2.265, 95% CI: 1.281-4.007, P=0.005) and reduced OS (HR =2.813, 95% CI: 1.359-5.822, P=0.005). In the oxaliplatin-based regimen group, patients with a low number of NAC cycles had better PFS (P<0.001, mPFS: 17.5 vs. 5.6 months) and better OS (P=0.008, mOS: 59.0 vs. 31.8 months) than those with a high number of cycles.

CONCLUSIONS

Fewer than 5 NAC cycles was optimal for biologically resectable CLOM patients. Giving more than 5 NAC cycles was unnecessary because a higher number of NAC cycles has more unfavourable survival and higher NAC toxicities, while leading to similar R0 resection rates and pathological responses.

Independent Risk Factors of Early Recurrence After Curative Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: Adjuvant Chemotherapy May Be Beneficial in Early Recurrence Subgroup

PURPOSE

In current clinical practice, early recurrence (ER) is not commonly discussed in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), and its risk factors for this disease have not been well clarified. We carried out this study to analyze the risk factors contributing to ER and explored the prognostic factors after curative resection for pCCA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 335 consecutive pCCA patients were retrospectively analyzed. Risk factors contributing to ER were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Prognostic factors of the ER group were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. The overall survival (OS) rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Log rank test was used for OS comparison.

RESULTS

Of the 335 cases, 258 patients (77.0%) developed tumor recurrence, 136 patients (40.6%) developed ER, and 122 patients (36.4%) developed late recurrence (LR) postoperatively. The median OS of the ER and LR groups was 15 months and 36 months, respectively (P<0.001). The multivariate analysis revealed that poor pathological differentiation (P=0.006; moderate vs well, odds ratio [OR]=2.162, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.753-6.208, P=0.152; poor vs well, OR=4.839, 95% CI 1.544-15.170, P=0.007), perineural invasion (OR=4.797, 95% CI 1.586-14.510, P=0.005), and high levels of preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (OR=2.205, 95% CI 1.208-4.026, P=0.010) were independent risk factors of developing ER after resection. Adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.383, 95% CI 0.154-0.953, P=0.039) remained as the independent protective factor of OS in patients with ER.

CONCLUSION

It is recommended that patients with poorly differentiated tumors, presence of perineural invasion, and high levels of preoperative CA19-9 receive closer follow-up and adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery.

Clinical Implication of Concordant or Discordant Genomic Profiling between Primary and Matched Metastatic Tissues in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to identify the concordant or discordant genomic profiling between primary and matched metastatic tumors in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and to explore the clinical implication.

Materials and Methods

Surgical samples of primary and matched metastatic tissues from 158 patients (335 samples) with CRC at Korea University Anam Hospital were evaluated using the Ion AmpliSeq Cancer Hotspot Panel. We compared genetic variants and classified them as concordant, primary-specific, and metastasis-specific variants. We used a combination of principal components analysis and clustering to find genomic groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to appraise survival between genomic groups. We used machine learning to confirm the correlation between genetic variants and metastatic sites.

Results

A total of 282 types of deleterious non-synonymous variants were selected for analysis. Of a total of 897 variants, an average of 40% was discordant. Three genomic groups were yielded based on the genomic discrepancy patterns. Overall survival differed significantly between the genomic groups. The poorest group had the highest proportion of concordant KRAS G12V and additional metastasis-specific SMAD4. Correlation analysis between genetic variants and metastatic sites suggested that concordant KRAS mutations would have more disseminated metastases.

Conclusion

Driver gene mutations were mostly concordant; however, discordant or metastasis-specific mutations were present. Clinically, the concordant driver genetic changes with additional metastasis-specific variants can predict poor prognosis for patients with CRC.

Resection vs. ablation for lesions characterized as resectable-ablative within the colorectal liver oligometastases criteria: a propensity score matching from retrospective study

Background

There has been no prospective or retrospective studies reporting the comparison outcome between surgery and ablation for resectable-ablative (lesions could be treated by resection or complete ablation) colorectal liver oligometastases (CLOM). The purpose of this study was to compare the efficacy and prognostic difference in patients who underwent R0 resection vs. complete ablation within the resectable-ablative CLOM criteria.

Methods

From January 2008 to May 2018, a total of 2,367 patients diagnosed with colorectal liver metastases were included in this observational study. The metastasis was characterized by only limited to liver with number ≤5, size ≤5 cm, and resectable-ablative (lesions could be treated by resection or complete ablation). The evaluated indications, including liver progression-free survival (LPFS), overall survival (OS), survival rates, pattern and number of recurrences, and complications, were compared by using propensity score matching (PSM). The Kaplan-Meier curves were generated, and a log-rank test was performed. The Cox regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses to identify predictors of outcomes.

Results

A total of 421 consecutive patients were eligible for this study, with 250 and 171 undergoing R0 resection and complete ablation, respectively. PSM identified 145 patients from each group. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 8-year OS rates in the resection group and the ablation group were 95.8% vs. 95.0%, 69.8% vs. 60.1%, 53.6% vs. 42.5%, and 45.1% vs. 32.9% (p = 0.075), respectively. The median LPFS in the resection group was significantly longer than that in the ablation group (35 months vs. 15 months, p = 0.011). No statistical difference was found in LPFS between the two groups when comparing ≤3 cm liver metastases. For liver metastasis >3 cm, the median LPFS in the resection group and ablation group was 11 months and 5 months, respectively (p = 0.001). In terms of high risk of clinical risk score (CRS), the resection group showed longer LPFS than the ablation group (median 18 months vs. 10 months, p = 0.043).

Conclusion

For patients within the CLOM criteria suggesting that liver metastases were resectable as well as ablative, resection could result in longer liver recurrence-free survival than ablation in cases with size >3 cm or high risk of CRS. But for ≤3 cm liver metastases, their treatment efficacies were comparable.

Dickkopf-related protein 1, a new biomarker for local immune status and poor prognosis among patients with colorectal liver Oligometastases: a retrospective study

Background

It was reported that tumor-expressed dickkopf-related (DKK) proteins affect micro-environment. However, the influence of DKK1 on colorectal cancer (CRC) liver oligometastases (CRCLOM) remains unclear.

Methods

CRC cases after resection of liver oligometastases were enrolled in Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center with intact clinical data. Serum DKK1 was detected by ELISA assay. Immunofluorescent staining examination for CD3 and CD8 in slices were also conducted.

Results

Among 65 patients included, the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly better in the low serum DKK1 group (RFS: P = 0.021; OS: P = 0.043). DKK1 was overexpressed in stage IV CRC patients in TCGA data. The number of CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in invasive margin of CRC liver oligometastases was significantly higher in low serum DKK1 group (P = 0.042).

Conclusion

Elevated serum DKK1 level was associated with poorer RFS and OS, and less CD8+ TILs in invasive margin in CRC liver oligometastases. DKK1 might serve as a supplementalprognostic factor for clinical risk score and a potential target for immunotherapy.

Immune Cell Infiltration in the Microenvironment of Liver Oligometastasis from Colorectal Cancer: Intratumoural CD8/CD3 Ratio Is a Valuable Prognostic Index for Patients Undergoing Liver Metastasectomy

Background: A comprehensive investigation into immune cell infiltration provides more accurate and reliable prognostic information for patients with colorectal liver oligometastases (CLO) after liver metastasectomy. Methods: Simultaneous detection of the immune constituents CD3⁺, CD8⁺, Foxp3⁺ T, and α-SMA⁺ cells in the liver oligometastasis of 133 patients was conducted using a four-colour immunohistochemical multiplex technique. Immune cells were quantified, and tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) ratios were subsequently calculated. Correlation analysis was performed using Pearson’s correlation. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) for TIL ratios were analysed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression models. Results: Significantly fewer CD3⁺, CD8⁺, and Foxp3⁺ T cells were observed in the intratumoural region than in the peritumoural region of liver metastases. CD3⁺, CD8⁺, Foxp3⁺ T, and α-SMA⁺ cells showed significantly positive correlations with each other both in the intratumoural and peritumoural regions of liver metastases. Only the CD8/CD3 TIL ratio demonstrated a positive correlation between intratumoural and peritumoural regions of liver metastases (r = 0.541, p < 0.001). Patients with high intratumoural CD8/CD3 ratios had significantly longer 3-year RFS (59.0% vs. 47.4%, p = 0.035) and 3-year OS rates (83.3% vs. 65.8%, p = 0.007) than those with low intratumoural CD8/CD3 ratios. Multivariate analyses revealed that the intratumoural CD8/CD3 ratio was independently associated with RFS (HR = 0.593; 95% CI = 0.357–0.985; p = 0.043) and OS (HR = 0.391; 95% CI = 0.193–0.794; p = 0.009). Conclusion: These findings offer a better understanding of the prognostic value of immune cell infiltration on liver oligometastasis from colorectal cancer.

Expression of NDRG2 in Human Colorectal Cancer and its Association with Prognosis

Objective: As a member of the N-myc downregulated gene family, N-Myc downstream-regulated gene 2 (NDRG2) contributes to tumorigenesis of various types of cancer. The expression status of NDRG2 in colorectal cancer (CRC) and its prognostic value remain to be elucidated. The goal of this study was to determine the expression pattern of NDRG2 in human CRC and its association of NDRG2 expression with prognosis.

Methods: Immunohistochemistry was used to determine the level of NDRG2 expressions in 316 CRC tissues. The medical records of consecutive CRC patients undergoing primary tumor resection from September 2000 to February 2015 were retrospectively selected. Then, we compared to specific clinicopathological features in patients with different level of NDRG2 expressions. The correlation of NDRG2 expression with 3-year survival rate was assessed by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression modeling.

Results: NDRG2 was expressed in 94.6% (299/316) of CRC tissues. The median IHC score of NDRG2 expression was significantly lower in tumor tissues compared with that of tumor-adjacent normal tissues [4.50(range 0.00-12.00) vs. 10.00 (range 0.00-12.00), P < 0.001].Survival analysis indicated that patients with low NDRG2 expression had poorer 3-year OS than those with high NDRG2 expression (59.9% vs. 76.6%, P = 0.017). Low NDRG2 expression also presented a significantly poorer 3-year OS rate in patient with stage IV disease (29.4% vs. 56.5%, P = 0.002), liver metastasis(32.2% vs. 54.7%, P = 0.005) and those receiving liver resection(56.5% vs. 71.9% , P = 0.012). Multivariate analysis indicated that high NDRG2 expression was independently associated with poor OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.499; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.037-2.165; P = 0.031).

Conclusions: Low expression of NDRG2 was associated with unfavorable prognosis in CRC patients with primary tumor resection. Detection of NDRG2 expression might be useful for providing valuable information of individualized therapy for CRC patients.

High WNT6 expression indicates unfavorable survival outcome for patients with colorectal liver metastasis after liver resection

Objective: As a member of the Wnt family, WNT6 contributes to tumorigenesis and the development of various types of cancer. However, the expression status of WNT6 in colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and its prognostic value remain to be elucidated. In this study, we evaluated the association of WNT6 expression with survival outcomes in CRLM patients undergoing liver resection.

Methods: The medical records of 106 consecutive CRLM patients undergoing curative tumor resection between October 1996 and December 2011 were retrospectively selected. WNT6 expression was detected using immunohistochemistry (IHC) analyses on paraffin-embedded specimens. The IHC score was determined according to the percentage and intensity of positively stained cells. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test, and independent prognostic factors were determined by Cox regression modeling.

Results: We found that WNT6 was commonly expressed in 93.4% (99/106) of colorectal cancer tissues. The median IHC score of WNT6 expression was significantly lower in patients receiving preoperative chemotherapy than those without preoperative chemotherapy (1.33 vs. 2.33, P = 0.033). Survival analysis indicated that patients with high WNT6 expression had poorer 5-year OS than those with low WNT6 expression (31.0% vs. 62.2%, P = 0.012). The 5-year OS rate was significantly lower in the high WNT6 group than in the low WNT6 group (36.8% vs. 79.9%, P = 0.013) in low-risk patients but was comparable among the high-risk patients (22.7% vs. 34.7%, P = 0.433). Multivariate analysis indicated that high WNT6 expression was independently associated with poor OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.089; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.231-3.545; P = 0.006).

Conclusions: High expression of WNT6 was associated with unfavorable oncologic prognosis in patients with CRLM undergoing liver resection. Detection of WNT6 expression may be valuable for guiding postoperative treatment.

TROP2 overexpression in colorectal liver oligometastases is associated with poor prognosis after liver resection

Background:

The aim of this study was to assess trophoblast antigen protein 2 (TROP2) expression in liver oligometastases and its prognostic value for colorectal liver oligometastasis (CLO) patients undergoing liver resection.

Methods:

We retrospectively selected 129 consecutive CLO patients who underwent curative liver resection between June 1999 and December 2016. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was performed to detect TROP2 expression in paraffin-embedded specimens. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test, and independent prognostic factors were identified with Cox regression modeling.

Results:

TROP2 was expressed in 72.9% (94/129) of liver oligometastatic tissues. TROP2 expression in primary tumors and liver oligometastases was significantly positively correlated (r = 0.758, p < 0.001). Survival analysis indicated that CLO patients with high TROP2 expression had worse 3-year RFS (44.2% versus 66.4%, p = 0.007) and 3-year OS rates (70.3% versus 85.4%, p = 0.035) than did those with low TROP2 expression. Multivariate analysis indicated that high TROP2 expression was independently associated with poor RFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.017; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.198–3.396; p = 0.023] and OS (HR = 2.090; 95% CI 1.037–4.214; p = 0.039). Gene expression profile analysis indicated that high TROP2 expression was associated with TNFα signaling via NF-κB, the inflammatory response and epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT).

Conclusions:

TROP2 overexpression was associated with an unfavorable oncologic prognosis in patients with CLO undergoing liver resection. Detecting TROP2 expression may be valuable for guiding postoperative treatment among CLO patients.