Does HLA matching matter in the modern era of renal transplantation?

International validation of a pre-transplant risk assessment tool for graft survival in pediatric kidney transplant recipients

Background

A pre-transplant prediction model using commonly available factors is valuable for optimizing donor selection, communication, and counseling for pediatric kidney transplant (PKT) recipients. This study aims to externally validate a Dutch PKT prediction model and assess its international applicability.

Materials and methods

Data from the Dutch-, CERTAIN-, and CRISTAL registries, covering PKT from 2005 to 2021, were used. The Dutch prediction model was externally validated in a German and French cohort and then adapted to these specific countries. An international prediction model was also developed using all available data. Models were based on 80% derivation cohorts and internally validated using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and calibration plots.

Results

Of 3266 transplantations, 2475 (273 Dutch, 356 German, 1622 French, and 224 other) were used for analysis. Cohorts differed significantly in baseline characteristics and outcomes. Internal validation of the Dutch model showed ROC-AUC of 0.77 and 0.75 at 10 and 15 years. External validation in German and French cohorts yielded 10-year ROC-AUC of 0.63 and 0.60, respectively.Internal validation of the international prediction model showed AUC of 0.61 and 0.60 at 10 and 15 years with poor calibration, indicating inferior performance. The adapted national models showed better internal validation performance, with 10-year ROC-AUC of 0.77, 0.76, and 0.73 in Dutch, French, and German cohorts, respectively.

Conclusions

The Dutch PKT prediction tool requires country-specific adaptations for use in other countries, given the diversity of clinical practice across Europe. A country-specific model is preferable to an international model in the current landscape.

Grasping time - longevity of vascularized composite allografts

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Despite significant advancements in the field of vascularized composite allotransplantation, challenges, particularly regarding the long-term viability and functionality of vascularized composite allotransplantation (VCA) grafts, persist. This paper provides a review of the current literature on the longevity of VCA grafts, focusing on factors influencing graft survival, immunological considerations and clinical outcomes.

RECENT FINDINGS

Longevity of VCA grafts is influenced by a variety of peri- and postoperative factors including cold ischemia time, human leukocyte antigen matching, environmental exposure, psychosocial factors, adherence, immunosuppression, and complications. Due to the limited number of VCA transplants performed and heterogenous reporting, direct correlation of single factors with VCA outcomes remains inconclusive. Indirect evidence, however, supports their importance. High immunosuppressive burden, frequent occurrence of acute and accumulating cases of chronic rejection remain a significant challenge of the field.

SUMMARY

Insights gained from this review aim to inform clinical practice and guide future research endeavors with the goal of ameliorating outcomes after VCA transplantation and facilitate wider use of VCA grafts for restoration of tissue defects.

HLA (emphasis on DQ) compatibility for longer allograft survival in pediatric transplantation: Modern evidence and challenges

Kidney transplantation is the treatment of choice for children with end-stage kidney failure, yet suboptimal outcomes, the need for long-term immunosuppression, and the dependency on consecutive transplants pose significant barriers to success. Providing better HLA-matched organs to pediatric patients seems to be the most logical approach to improve graft and patient outcomes and to reduce risk of anti-HLA sensitization after graft failure. We here review recent literature on HLA matching in pediatric kidney transplantation. We further review newer approaches attempting to improve matching by using molecular mismatch load analysis. Our main focus is on the role of HLA-DQ compatibility between recipient and donor. We further emphasize the need to develop creative approaches that will support HLA (and DQ) matching utilization in organ allocation schemes, at least in those geared specifically for pediatric patients.

Role of Complement-dependent Cytotoxicity Crossmatch and HLA Typing in Solid Organ Transplant

BACKGROUND

Solid organ transplantation is a life-saving medical operation that has progressed greatly because of developments in diagnostic tools and histocompatibility tests. Crossmatching for complement-dependent cytotoxicity (CDC) and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) typing are two important methods for checking graft compatibility and reducing the risk of graft rejection. HLA typing and CDC crossmatching are critical in kidney, heart, lung, liver, pancreas, intestine, and multi-organ transplantation.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted on the internet, using PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar databases, to identify peer-reviewed publications about solid organ transplants, HLA typing, and CDC crossmatching.

CONCLUSION

Recent advances in HLA typing have allowed for high-resolution evaluation, epitope matching, and personalized therapy methods. Genomic profiling, next-generation sequencing, and artificial intelligence have improved HLA typing precision, resulting in better patient outcomes. Artificial intelligence (AI) driven virtual crossmatching and predictive algorithms have eliminated the requirement for physical crossmatching in the context of CDC crossmatching, boosting organ allocation and transplant efficiency. This review elaborates on the importance of HLA typing and CDC crossmatching in solid organ transplantation.

Immunosuppression of HLA identical living-donor kidney transplant recipients: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Kidney transplant (KT) recipients of HLA identical siblings (HLAid) have lower immunological risk, but there are no specific recommendations for immunosuppression. Our aim was to analyze evidence about results from HLAid living-donor recipients under different immunosuppression in the current era of immunological risk assessment.

METHODS

Systematic review of studies describing associations between outcomes of HLAid living-donor KT recipients according to their immunological risk and applied immunosuppression.

RESULTS

From 1351 studies, 16 (5636 KT recipients) were included in the analysis. All studies were retrospective, ten comparing immunosuppression strategies, and six immunological risk strata. Of those ten, six studies were published in 1990 or earlier and only three included tacrolimus. The evidence is poor, and the inclusion of calcineurin inhibitors does not demonstrate better results. Furthermore, only few studies describe different immunosuppression regimens according to the patient immunological risk and, in general, they do not include the assessment with new solid phase assays.

CONCLUSIONS

There are no studies analyzing the association of outcomes of HLAid KT recipients with current immunological risk tools. In the absence of evidence, no decision or proposal of immunosuppression adapted to modern immunological risk assessment can be made currently by the Descartes Working Group.

A pre-transplantation risk assessment tool for graft survival in Dutch pediatric kidney recipients

Background

A prediction model for graft survival including donor and recipient characteristics could help clinical decision-making and optimize outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop a risk assessment tool for graft survival based on essential pre-transplantation parameters.

Methods

The data originated from the national Dutch registry (NOTR; Nederlandse OrgaanTransplantatie Registratie). A multivariable binary logistic model was used to predict graft survival, corrected for the transplantation era and time after transplantation. Subsequently, a prediction score was calculated from the β-coefficients. For internal validation, derivation (80%) and validation (20%) cohorts were defined. Model performance was assessed with the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration plots.

Results

In total, 1428 transplantations were performed. Ten-year graft survival was 42% for transplantations before 1990, which has improved to the current value of 92%. Over time, significantly more living and pre-emptive transplantations have been performed and overall donor age has increased (P < .05).The prediction model included 71 829 observations of 554 transplantations between 1990 and 2021. Other variables incorporated in the model were recipient age, re-transplantation, number of human leucocyte antigen (HLA) mismatches and cause of kidney failure. The predictive capacity of this model had AUCs of 0.89, 0.79, 0.76 and 0.74 after 1, 5, 10 and 20 years, respectively (P < .01). Calibration plots showed an excellent fit.

Conclusions

This pediatric pre-transplantation risk assessment tool exhibits good performance for predicting graft survival within the Dutch pediatric population. This model might support decision-making regarding donor selection to optimize graft outcomes.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05388955.

Microchimerism as Post-Transplant Marker of a Chronic Rejection Process

The risk of losing a transplanted organ is high, and non-invasive markers to warn of this phenomenon are still being sought. We investigated the impact of post-transplant microchimerism on the function of the transplanted kidney. The study included 100 kidney transplant recipients, mostly women. All transplanted organs were from opposite-sex deceased donors. Microchimerism was assessed using multiplex PCR. Male DNA was detected in all urine samples from female recipients and in 13/56 blood samples from female kidney recipients. Female DNA was found in 31/44 urine samples from male recipients, but in none of the blood samples. Microchimerism in the urine of female recipients correlated positively with blood urea (Rs = 0.45; p = 5.84 × 10^-4) and K⁺ ions (Rs = 0.29; p = 0.03), while microchimerism in the blood of female recipients also correlated positively with blood urea (Rs = 0. 28; p = 0.04), cystatin C (Rs = 0.31; p = 0.02) and the number of incompatible HLA alleles (Rs = 0.42; p = 0.01). A history of DGF was associated with higher urinary donor DNA concentrations in female recipients.: Post-transplant microchimerism may serve as a potential marker of chronic kidney rejection.

The UK kidney donor risk index poorly predicts long-term transplant survival in paediatric kidney transplant recipients

Background

The UK kidney offering scheme introduced a kidney donor risk index (UK-KDRI) to improve the utility of deceased-donor kidney allocations. The UK-KDRI was derived using adult donor and recipient data. We assessed this in a paediatric cohort from the UK transplant registry.

Methods

We performed Cox survival analysis on first kidney-only deceased brain-dead transplants in paediatric (<18 years) recipients from 2000-2014. The primary outcome was death-censored allograft survival >30 days post-transplant. The main study variable was UK-KDRI derived from seven donor risk-factors, categorised into four groups (D1-low risk, D2, D3 and D4-highest risk). Follow-up ended on 31-December-2021.

Results

319/908 patients experienced transplant loss with rejection as the main cause (55%). The majority of paediatric patients received donors from D1 donors (64%). There was an increase in D2-4 donors during the study period, whilst the level of HLA mismatching improved. The KDRI was not associated with allograft failure. In multi-variate analysis, increasing recipient age [adjusted HR and 95%CI: 1.05(1.03-1.08) per-year, p<0.001], recipient minority ethnic group [1.28(1.01-1.63), p<0.05), dialysis before transplant [1.38(1.04-1.81), p<0.005], donor height [0.99 (0.98-1.00) per centimetre, p<0.05] and level of HLA mismatch [Level 3: 1.92(1.19-3.11); Level 4: 2.40(1.26-4.58) versus Level 1, p<0.01] were associated with worse outcomes. Patients with Level 1 and 2 HLA mismatches (0 DR +0/1 B mismatch) had median graft survival >17 years regardless of UK-KDRI groups. Increasing donor age was marginally associated with worse allograft survival [1.01 (1.00-1.01) per year, p=0.05].

Summary

Adult donor risk scores were not associated with long-term allograft survival in paediatric patients. The level of HLA mismatch had the most profound effect on survival. Risk models based on adult data alone may not have the same validity for paediatric patients and therefore all age-groups should be included in future risk prediction models.

Molecular HLA mismatching for prediction of primary humoral alloimmunity and graft function deterioration in paediatric kidney transplantation

Introduction

Rejection remains the main cause of allograft failure in paediatric kidney transplantation and is driven by donor-recipient HLA mismatching. Modern computational algorithms enable assessment of HLA mismatch immunogenicity at the molecular level (molecular-mismatch, molMM). Whilst molMM has been shown to correlate with alloimmune outcomes, evidence demonstrating improved prediction performance against traditional antigen mismatching (antMM) is lacking.

Methods

We analysed 177 patients from the CERTAIN registry (median follow-up 4.5 years). molMM scores included Amino-Acid-Mismatch-Score (AAMS), Electrostatic-Mismatch-Score (EMS3D) and netMHCIIpan (netMHC1k: peptide binding affinity ≤1000 nM; netMHC: binding affinity ≤500 nM plus rank <2%). We stratified patients into high/low-risk groups based on risk models of DSA development.

Results

Donor-specific HLA antibodies (DSA) predominantly targeted the highest scoring molMM donor antigen within each HLA locus. MolMM scores offered superior discrimination versus antMM in predicting de novo DSA for all HLA loci; the EMS3D algorithm had particularly consistent performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) >0.7 for all HLA loci vs. 0.52-0.70 for antMM). ABMR (but not TCMR) was associated with HLA-DQ molMM scores (AAMS, EMS3D and netMHC). Patients with high-risk HLA-DQ molMM had increased risk of graft function deterioration (50% reduction in baseline eGFR (eGFR50), adjusted HR: 3.5, 95% CI 1.6-8.2 high vs. low EMS3D). Multivariable modelling of the eGFR50 outcome using EMS3D HLA-DQ stratification showed better discrimination (AUC EMS3D vs. antMM at 2 years: 0.81 vs. 0.77, at 4.5 years: 0.72 vs. 0.64) and stratified more patients into the low-risk group, compared to traditional antMM.

Conclusion

Molecular mismatching was superior to antigen mismatching in predicting humoral alloimmunity. Molecular HLA-DQ mismatching appears to be a significant prognostic factor for graft function deterioration in paediatric kidney transplantation.

Recommendations for living donor kidney transplantation

This Guide for Living Donor Kidney Transplantation (LDKT) has been prepared with the sponsorship of the Spanish Society of Nephrology (SEN), the Spanish Transplant Society (SET), and the Spanish National Transplant Organization (ONT). It updates evidence to offer the best chronic renal failure treatment when a potential living donor is available. The core aim of this Guide is to supply clinicians who evaluate living donors and transplant recipients with the best decision-making tools, to optimise their outcomes. Moreover, the role of living donors in the current KT context should recover the level of importance it had until recently. To this end the new forms of incompatible HLA and/or ABO donation, as well as the paired donation which is possible in several hospitals with experience in LDKT, offer additional ways to treat renal patients with an incompatible donor. Good results in terms of patient and graft survival have expanded the range of circumstances under which living renal donors are accepted. Older donors are now accepted, as are others with factors that affect the decision, such as a borderline clinical history or alterations, which when evaluated may lead to an additional number of transplantations. This Guide does not forget that LDKT may lead to risk for the donor. Pre-donation evaluation has to centre on the problems which may arise over the short or long-term, and these have to be described to the potential donor so that they are able take them into account. Experience over recent years has led to progress in risk analysis, to protect donors' health. This aspect always has to be taken into account by LDKT programmes when evaluating potential donors. Finally, this Guide has been designed to aid decision-making, with recommendations and suggestions when uncertainties arise in pre-donation studies. Its overarching aim is to ensure that informed consent is based on high quality studies and information supplied to donors and recipients, offering the strongest possible guarantees.

Outcomes of living unrelated donor kidney transplants in children: An Organ Procurement and Transplant Network database analysis

BACKGROUND

There are conflicting data on long-term outcomes of pediatric LURD renal Txs compared to Txs of kidneys from other donor sources.

METHODS

An analysis of the OPTN database was conducted in children (<18 years) who had received their 1st kidney-only Tx between January 1, 2000, and September 30, 2021. The primary outcome measure was time to graft failure or death. Cox event history regression model for time to primary outcome, categorized by donor source and adjusting for confounders was performed.

RESULTS

Of the 12 089 subjects, 327 (2.7%) received kidneys from LURDs, 4349 (36%) from LRDs and 7413 (61%) from DD. One year graft failure rate was 3.56%. On regression analyses, compared to LRD kidney recipients, LURD recipients had comparable graft survival (graft failure AHR 1.15, 95th percentile confidence interval 0.87-1.51; p .31) and DD recipients had lower graft survival (graft failure hazard ratio 1.26, 95th percentile confidence interval 1.10-1.43; p < .001). When using living unrelated kidney recipients as the reference group, DD kidney recipients had comparable graft survival, with a wide confidence interval (hazard ratio for graft failure 1.09; 0.83-1.43, p .53).

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric LURD kidney recipients have comparable graft survival to LRD kidney recipients; DD kidney recipients had the poorest survival. Our study, the largest to date, should encourage centers to embrace non-commercial living-unrelated transplantation as a viable option for children, preferable to DD kidneys.

Predictors of Short-Term Outcomes in Living Donor Renal Allograft Recipients: A Prospective Study From a Tertiary Care Center in North India

Background Renal transplantation is the optimal treatment for patients of all ages with end-stage kidney disease. The long-term outcomes of renal transplantation are assessed by graft and patient survival rates. These outcomes are, in turn, influenced by post-transplant events such as delayed graft function, rejections, post-transplant infections, and post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM). Each of these short-term outcomes is, in turn, determined by the interplay of various factors in the pre-, peri-, and post-transplant period. This prospective study was designed to understand the factors affecting short-term outcomes in living donor transplantation and their effect on graft and patient survival. Methodology A total of 86 patients underwent live donor renal transplantation between January 1, 2015, and March 31, 2016, at a tertiary care hospital in north India. Of these, five were lost to follow-up, and the remaining 81 patients were prospectively followed up to December 31, 2017. Results The majority of the recipients were males (91%) and the donors were females (74%). Spousal and related donors comprised 49% and 51% of donations, respectively. The mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of donors was 98 ± 9.2 mL/minute/1.73m². Induction therapy with basiliximab was given to 21/81 (26%) recipients. The majority of recipients (68/81, 84%) received triple-drug immunosuppression with prednisolone, tacrolimus, and mycophenolate mofetil. Delayed graft function (DGF) occurred in 4/81 (4.9%) cases. Biopsy-proven acute rejections (BPARs) occurred in 15/81 (18.5%) cases, two-thirds of which were acute antibody-mediated rejections (ABMRs). During the follow-up period, 50 episodes of infections occurred in 35/81 (43.2%) recipients, with the most common being urinary tract infection (23/81, 28.5%). PTDM was diagnosed in 22/81 (27.2%) patients beyond six weeks of transplant. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the most significant predictor of DGF was acute rejections and vice versa. Acute rejections also predicted the occurrence of post-transplant infections. Pre-transplant hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and cyclosporine-based therapy were significant predictors of PTDM. At the six-month follow-up, 10/81 (12.3%) patients developed graft dysfunction. The predictors of graft dysfunction at six months were recipients of related donors and rural patients. One-year graft survival, death-censored graft survival, and patient survival rates were 85.2%, 92.6%, and 91.3%, respectively. The most common cause of death was post-transplant infections (5/7, 71.4%) of which the majority (4/5, 80%) were fungal infections. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the most significant predictor of graft loss and patient loss was low pre-transplant donor eGFR and PTDM, respectively. Conclusions Graft and patient survival in living donor kidney transplantation are influenced by a multitude of interdependent factors during the pre-transplant (donor eGFR, type of donor, socioeconomic status, HCV infection in recipient, type of immunosuppression) and the post-transplant (DGF, rejections, infections, and PTDM) period.

Growth hormone treatment in the pre-transplant period is associated with superior outcome after pediatric kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

Recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) is frequently used for treatment of short stature in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD) prior to kidney transplantation (KT). To what extent this influences growth and transplant function after KT is yet unknown.

METHODS

Post-transplant growth (height, sitting height, leg length) and clinical parameters of 146 CKD patients undergoing KT before the age of 8 years, from two German pediatric nephrology centers, were prospectively investigated with a mean follow-up of 5.56 years. Outcome in patients with (rhGH group) and without (non-prior rhGH group) prior rhGH treatment was assessed by the use of linear mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

Patients in the rhGH group spent longer time on dialysis and less frequently underwent living related KT compared to the non-prior rhGH group but showed similar height z-scores at the time of KT. After KT, steroid exposure was lower and increments in anthropometric z-scores were significantly higher in the rhGH group compared to those in the non-prior rhGH group, although 18% of patients in the latter group were started on rhGH after KT. Non-prior rhGH treatment was associated with a faster decline in transplant function, lower hemoglobin, and higher C-reactive protein levels (CRP). After adjustment for these confounders, growth outcome did statistically differ for sitting height z-scores only.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with rhGH prior to KT was associated with superior growth outcome in prepubertal kidney transplant recipients, which was related to better transplant function, lower CRP, less anemia, lower steroid exposure, and earlier maturation after KT. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Setting reasonable objectives for improving preemptive kidney transplantation rates in children

BACKGROUND

This study aims to develop a method to estimate the potential of preemptive kidney transplantation (PKT) by identifying patients who were transplanted after a dialysis period (non-preemptive kidney transplantation (NPKT)) despite being medically suitable for PKT.

METHODS

All children (< 18 years old) starting kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in France, between 2010 and 2016 and transplanted before December 31, 2017, were included. A propensity score (PS) of receiving PKT was estimated by multivariate logistic regression based on recipient medical characteristics. Healthcare use during the 24 months prior to KRT initiation was extracted from the French National Health Insurance database, and a pre-KRT follow-up of more than 18 months was considered sufficient to allow preemptive transplantation.

RESULTS

Among 643 patients who started KRT, 149 (23.2%) were preemptively transplanted. Using PS stratification, among 391 NPKT patients, we identified 145 patients (37%) suitable for PKT, according to clinical characteristics. Mean age was 12.3 years, 67% were males, and 56% had urological abnormalities. Among those 145 patients, we identified 79 NPKT patients who started on dialysis despite early referral to a nephrologist (more than 18 months prior to KRT initiation).

CONCLUSIONS

This method estimates a potential of 228 (149 + 79) PKT (35%) among pediatric patients in France. A similar method could be used in adults or in other countries. Estimation of the rate of patients with CKD stage 5 medically suitable for PKT will be of interest for health policy makers when setting up objectives for improvement in preemptive kidney transplant access.