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Yoshida K, Hata K, Kawakami K, Hiradate S, Osawa T, Kachi N. Predicting ecosystem changes by a new model of ecosystem evolution. Sci Rep 2023; 13:15353. [PMID: 37717039 PMCID: PMC10505200 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42529-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2023] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 09/18/2023] Open
Abstract
In recent years, computer simulation has been increasingly used to predict changes in actual ecosystems. In these studies, snapshots of ecosystems at certain points in time were instantly constructed without considering their evolutionary histories. However, it may not be possible to correctly predict future events unless their evolutionary processes are considered. In this study, we developed a new ecosystem model for reproducing the evolutionary process on an oceanic island, targeting Nakoudojima Island of the Ogasawara Islands. This model successfully reproduced the primitive ecosystem (the entire island covered with forest) prior to the invasion of alien species. Also, by adding multiple alien species to this ecosystem, we were able to reproduce temporal changes in the ecosystem of Nakoudojima Island after invasion of alien species. Then, we performed simulations in which feral goats were eradicated, as had actually been done on the island; these suggested that after the eradication of feral goats, forests were unlikely to be restored. In the ecosystems in which forests were not restored, arboreous plants with a high growth rate colonized during the early stage of evolution. As arboreous plants with a high growth rate consume a large amount of nutrient in soil, creating an oligotrophic state. As a result, plants cannot grow, and animal species that rely on plants cannot maintain their biomass. Consequently, many animals and plants become extinct as they cannot endure disturbances by alien species, and the ecosystem loses its resilience. Therefore, even if feral goats are eradicated, forests are not restored. Thus, the founder effect from the distant past influences future ecosystem changes. Our findings show that it is useful to consider the evolutionary process of an ecosystem in predicting its future events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katsuhiko Yoshida
- Biodiversity Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8506, Japan.
| | - Kenji Hata
- College of Commerce, Nihon University, 5-2-1 Kinuta, Setagaya, Tokyo, 157-8570, Japan
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397, Japan
| | - Kazuto Kawakami
- Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, 1 Matsunosato, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8687, Japan
| | - Syuntaro Hiradate
- Division of Bioproduction Environmental Sciences, Department of Agro-environmental Sciences, Faculty of Agriculture, Kyushu University, 744 Moto-Oka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan
| | - Takeshi Osawa
- Department of Tourism Science, Graduate School of Urban Environmental Sciences, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397, Japan
| | - Naoki Kachi
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397, Japan
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Hata K, Hiradate S, Kachi N. Soil phosphorous is the primary factor determining species-specific plant growth depending on soil acidity in island ecosystems with severe erosion. Sci Rep 2023; 13:12163. [PMID: 37500696 PMCID: PMC10374522 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-38934-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2022] [Accepted: 07/17/2023] [Indexed: 07/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Disturbances caused by invasive ungulates alter soil environments markedly and can prevent ecosystem recovery even after eradication of the ungulates. On oceanic islands, overgrazing and trampling by feral goats has caused vegetation degradation and soil erosion, which can alter soil chemistry. To understand the effects of the changes on plant performance, we conducted a laboratory experiment to assess herbaceous species growth under various soil conditions with phosphorous, nutrients, and acidity. Subsoil was collected from Nakodo-jima in the northwest Pacific. Six herbaceous species dominating the island were grown in soils with three levels of added CaCO3 and P2O5 and two levels of added KNO3. After 4 weeks of growth, the total dry plant weight was significantly lower with no added P2O5, regardless of the addition of KNO3. Three species weighed more under P2O5 and KNO3 addition in high-pH soil, whereas the remaining three weighed less. Our results indicated that herbaceous species growth is limited primarily by phosphorous availability; the limitation is dependent on soil pH, and the trend of dependency differs among species. This implies that ecosystems with extreme disturbances cannot recover without improving the soil chemistry.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenji Hata
- College of Commerce, Nihon University, 5-2-1 Kinuta, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, 157-8570, Japan.
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397, Japan.
| | - Syuntaro Hiradate
- Department of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Agriculture, Kyushu University, 744 Moto-oka, Nishi-Ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan
| | - Naoki Kachi
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397, Japan
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Yoshida K, Hata K, Kawakami K, Hiradate S, Osawa T, Kachi N. Ecosystem changes following the eradication of invasive species: Evaluation of various eradication scenarios by computer simulation. Ecol Modell 2019. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108831] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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Hata K, Osawa T, Hiradate S, Kachi N. Soil erosion alters soil chemical properties and limits grassland plant establishment on an oceanic island even after goat eradication. Restor Ecol 2018. [DOI: 10.1111/rec.12854] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Kenji Hata
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science; Tokyo Metropolitan University; 1-1 Minam-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397 Japan
- Nihon University College of Commerce; 5-2-1, Kinuta, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, 157-8570 Japan
| | - Takeshi Osawa
- Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, NARO; 3-1-3 Kan-nondai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8604 Japan
- Department of Tourism Science, Graduate School of Urban Environmental Sciences; Tokyo Metropolitan University; 1-1 Minam-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397 Japan
| | - Syuntaro Hiradate
- Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, NARO; 3-1-3 Kan-nondai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8604 Japan
- Department of Agro-environmental Sciences, Faculty of Agriculture; Kyushu University; 744 Moto-oka, Nishi-Ku, Fukuoka 819-0395 Japan
| | - Naoki Kachi
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science; Tokyo Metropolitan University; 1-1 Minam-Osawa, Hachioji, Tokyo, 192-0397 Japan
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Gizicki ZS, Tamez V, Galanopoulou AP, Avramidis P, Foufopoulos J. Long-term effects of feral goats (Capra hircus) on Mediterranean island communities: results from whole island manipulations. Biol Invasions 2017. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-017-1645-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Leppard TP. The Biophysical Effects of Neolithic Island Colonization: General Dynamics and Sociocultural Implications. HUMAN ECOLOGY: AN INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL 2017; 45:555-568. [PMID: 29170588 PMCID: PMC5680384 DOI: 10.1007/s10745-017-9939-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Does anthropogenic environmental change constrain long-term sociopolitical outcomes? It is clear that human colonization of islands radically alters their biological and physical systems. Despite considerable contextual variability in local specificities of this alteration, I argue that these processes are to some extent regular, predictable, and have socio-political implications. Reviewing the data for post-colonization ecodynamics, I show that Neolithic colonization of previously insulated habitats drives biotic homogenization. I argue that we should expect such homogenization to promote regular types of change in biophysical systems, types of change that can be described in sum as environmentally convergent. Such convergence should have significant implications for human social organization over the long term, and general dynamics of this sort are relevant in the context of understanding remarkably similar social evolutionary trajectories towards wealth-inequality not only islands, but also more generally.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas P. Leppard
- McDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3ER UK
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Zhang J, Zuo X, Zhou X, Lv P, Lian J, Yue X. Long-term grazing effects on vegetation characteristics and soil properties in a semiarid grassland, northern China. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 2017; 189:216. [PMID: 28411318 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-017-5947-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2017] [Accepted: 04/07/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Understanding the responses of vegetation characteristics and soil properties to grazing disturbance is useful for grassland ecosystem restoration and management in semiarid areas. Here, we examined the effects of long-term grazing on vegetation characteristics, soil properties, and their relationships across four grassland types (meadow, Stipa steppe, scattered tree grassland, and sandy grassland) in the Horqin grassland, northern China. Our results showed that grazing greatly decreased vegetation cover, aboveground plant biomass, and root biomass in all four grassland types. Plant cover and aboveground biomass of perennials were decreased by grazing in all four grasslands, whereas grazing increased the cover and biomass of shrubs in Stipa steppe and of annuals in scattered tree grassland. Grazing decreased soil carbon and nitrogen content in Stipa steppe and scattered tree grassland, whereas soil bulk density showed the opposite trend. Long-term grazing significantly decreased soil pH and electrical conductivity (EC) in annual-dominated sandy grassland. Soil moisture in fenced and grazed grasslands decreased in the following order of meadow, Stipa steppe, scattered tree grassland, and sandy grassland. Correlation analyses showed that aboveground plant biomass was significantly positively associated with the soil carbon and nitrogen content in grazed and fenced grasslands. Species richness was significantly positively correlated with soil bulk density, moisture, EC, and pH in fenced grasslands, but no relationship was detected in grazed grasslands. These results suggest that the soil carbon and nitrogen content significantly maintains ecosystem function in both fenced and grazed grasslands. However, grazing may eliminate the association of species richness with soil properties in semiarid grasslands.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Zhang
- Urat Desert-Grassland Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou, 730000, China
- Naiman Desertification Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS. 320 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaoan Zuo
- Urat Desert-Grassland Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
- Naiman Desertification Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS. 320 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China.
| | - Xin Zhou
- Naiman Desertification Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS. 320 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Peng Lv
- Urat Desert-Grassland Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou, 730000, China
- Naiman Desertification Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS. 320 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
| | - Jie Lian
- Urat Desert-Grassland Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| | - Xiyuan Yue
- Urat Desert-Grassland Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Science, Lanzhou, 730000, China
- Naiman Desertification Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, CAS. 320 Donggang West Road, Lanzhou, 730000, People's Republic of China
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