Validation of the JCOG prognostic index in advanced gastric cancer using individual patient data from the SPIRITS and G-SOX trials

Prognostic impact of clinical trial eligibility in patients with advanced gastric cancer

The CheckMate 649 trial demonstrated the clinical benefit of nivolumab plus chemotherapy in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced gastric cancer. However, the background discrepancy between clinical practice and randomized controlled trials may impact the therapeutic strategy and prognosis of patients. This study aimed to assess the clinical significance of eligibility criteria determined by the CheckMate 649 trial and identify prognostic factors in clinical practice. A total of 160 patients with HER2-negative metastatic gastric cancer who underwent chemotherapy were retrospectively enrolled and classified into two groups based on eligibility criteria. Among the 160 patients, 76 (47.5%) and 84 (52.5%) were included in the eligible and ineligible groups, respectively. The ineligible group had a significantly lower induction of second- and third-line chemotherapy than the eligible group (P = 0.02 and P = 0.02, respectively). The median overall survival in the eligible and ineligible groups was 22.9 and 10.5 months, respectively, with the ineligible group having a significantly poorer prognosis than the eligible group (P < 0.01). Responders to first-line chemotherapy had a better prognosis than non-responders in both groups (P = 0.01 and P < 0.01, respectively). Multivariate analyses identified disease control as an independent prognostic factor in both groups (P < 0.01 and P < 0.01, respectively). Patients with a poor general condition who fulfilled the ineligibility criteria as determined using randomized controlled trials are included in clinical practice, and these criteria are related to tumor response and prognosis.

CA125 Kinetics as a Potential Biomarker for Peritoneal Metastasis Progression following Taxane-Plus-Ramucirumab Administration in Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer

Currently, no established marker exists for predicting peritoneal metastasis progression during chemotherapy, although they are major interruptive factors in sequential chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). This multicenter retrospective study was conducted from June 2015 to July 2019, analyzing 73 patients with AGC who underwent taxane-plus-ramucirumab (TAX/RAM) therapy and had their serum carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) concentrations measured. Of 31 patients with elevated CA125 levels above a cutoff of 35 U/mL, 25 (80.6%) had peritoneal metastasis. The CA125 concentrations before TAX/RAM treatment were associated with ascites burden. The overall survival was significantly shorter in the CA125-elevated group. CA125 kinetics, measured at a median of 28 days after chemotherapy, were associated with the ascites response (complete or partial response: -1.86%/day; stable disease: 0.28%/day; progressive disease: 2.33%/day). Progression-free survival in the CA125-increased group, defined by an increase of 0.0067%/day using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, was significantly poorer among patients with peritoneal metastases. In conclusion, this study highlights that CA125 kinetics can serve as an early predictor for the progression of peritoneal metastasis during TAX/RAM treatment.

A Novel Hematological Inflammation-Nutrition Score (HINS) and Its Related Nomogram Model to Predict Survival Outcome in Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients Receiving First-Line Palliative Chemotherapy

Purpose

This study aims to construct a novel hematological inflammation-nutrition score (HINS) and investigate its prognostic value in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). We investigated the risk stratification performance of HINS and developed a HINS-based nomogram model to predict overall survival by combining traditional predictors.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on 812 AGC patients who received first-line platinum- or fluoropyrimidine-containing chemotherapy at The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University Hospital between 2014 and 2019. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (N=609) and a validation cohort (N=203). HINS (0-2) was constructed based on a pre-chemotherapy systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and albumin (ALB). Prognostic factors were screened by univariate and multivariate COX proportional regression models. Significant factors were used to construct a nomogram model. Internal validation was performed by calibration curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA), evaluating its prediction consistency, discrimination ability, and clinical net benefit.

Results

HINS was constructed based on SII and ALB. HINS showed a better stratification ability than JCOG prognostic index, with significant differences between groups. Multivariate analysis showed that ECOG ≥1 (HR: 1.379; P=0.005), Stage IV (HR: 1.581; P <0.001), diffuse-type histology (HR: 1.586; P <0.001), number of metastases ≥2 (HR: 1.274; P=0.038), without prior gastrectomy (HR: 1.830; P <0.001), ALP ≥ULN (HR: 1.335; P=0.034), HINS (P <0.001) were independent factors of OS. We successfully established a HINS-based nomogram model that showed a strong discriminative ability, accuracy, and clinical utility in training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

HINS shows a superior risk stratification ability, which might be a potential prognostic biomarker for AGC patients receiving palliative first-line palliative chemotherapy. The HINS-based nomogram model is a convenient and efficient tool for managing prognosis and follow-up treatments.

Prognostic Factors in Patients with Advanced HER2-Positive Gastric Cancer Treated with Trastuzumab-Based Chemotherapy: a Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Prognostic factors for the survival of patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy remain controversial. The aim of this study was to identify the clinical factors that predict prognosis in patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of HER2-positive gastric cancer patients treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy at our institution. Clinical features and laboratory test results that considered prognostic factors were re-examined. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate analysis was performed with the log-rank test and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

A total of 133 patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer were enrolled. The median OS in this cohort was 18.7 months. Four prognostic factors: visceral metastasis (lung or liver), levels of hemoglobin (Hb) (< 11.6 g/dl), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (> 222 mg/dl), and C-reactive protein (CRP) (> 0.14 mg/dl), were identified as independent prognostic factors. The patients were placed into three groups according to their number of prognostic factors. These included low (0, 1), moderate (2, 3), and high (4) risk factors. The OS was separated into three categories with a median OS of 32.0, 18.7, and 10.1 months, respectively. Compared to the low-risk group, hazard ratios for the moderate- and high-risk groups were 1.75 and 3.49, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Visceral metastasis and abnormal Hb, LDH, and CRP levels were associated with unfavorable OS. These findings may be beneficial for the management of advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy.

KRAS mutation as a predictor of insufficient trastuzumab efficacy and poor prognosis in HER2-positive advanced gastric cancer

PURPOSE

Although RAS and PIK3CA mutations have been associated with resistance to anti-EGFR antibody in colorectal cancer or trastuzumab in breast cancer, their implications for trastuzumab resistance in HER2-positive advanced gastric cancer (AGC) remains unclear. We aimed to assess the relationship between trastuzumab efficacy and mutation status in the HER family signaling pathway.

METHODS

This study retrospectively evaluated patients with HER2-positive AGC who received first-line trastuzumab-containing chemotherapy between March 2011 and November 2015. Multiplex genotyping, including KRAS, NRAS, PIK3CA, and BRAF, was then performed using the Luminex Assay, after which KRAS amplification was measured using quantitative real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Thereafter, the association between genetic alterations and clinical outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

KRAS mutation (MT) was detected in 6 of 77 patients (7.8%), whereas KRAS amplification was found in 15 of 67 patients (22%). No mutations in NRAS, PIK3CA, or BRAF were identified. The KRAS MT group showed significantly worse response rates (16.7% vs. 66.2%, P = 0.016), progression-free survival [median, 4.8 vs. 11.6 months; hazard ratio (HR), 3.95; 95% CI, 1.60-9.76; P = 0.0029], and overall survival (11.5 vs. 23.6 months; HR, 3.80; 95% CI, 1.56-9.28; P = 0.033) compared to the KRAS wild-type group. KRAS amplification had no effect on clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSION

KRAS mutation was an independent prognostic factor for poor survival and might predict insufficient trastuzumab efficacy, whereas KRAS amplification showed no prognostic significance during trastuzumab treatment. Further investigations are warranted to confirm the predictive value of KRAS status in HER2-positive AGC.

The evolving strategies for the management of patients with metastatic gastric cancer: A narrative review and expert opinion

Gastric cancer (GC) is recognized as one of the most common deadly malignancies worldwide and about 40-50% of patients present at diagnosis with an unresectable disease due to a locally advanced or already metastatic condition. Recently, therapeutic options for management of metastatic GC (mGC) have been approved allowing a potential improvement of patient cancer treatment response and also an establishment of a continuum of care for this aggressive disease. This report is the result of a literature review by an expert panel. The aim of this document is to provide evidence, wherever it is lacking, to provide expert opinion directed at strategic management of mGC, and in particular aspect at practical management where appropriate guidelines are not available. Treatment landscape with new therapeutic strategies for third line and beyond, role of imaging, prognostic factors, symptoms, and markers as well as the importance of multidisciplinary approach particularly the nutritional aspects are discussed.

Evaluation of clinical validity of an S-1 dosage formula based on renal function using data of the SPIRITS and the G-SOX trials

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate clinical validity of the S-1 dosage formula based on body surface area (BSA) and creatinine clearance (CLcr) to achieve the target area under the concentration-time curve of 5-FU, which we had developed and refined in each prospective pharmacokinetic study.

METHODS

The recommended dose determined by the refined formula was assessed using data of the SPIRITS (S-1 vs. S-1 plus cisplatin [SP]) and the G-SOX (SP vs. S-1 plus oxaliplatin [SOX]) trials. Nine hundred and thirty-eight patients in these trials were classified into three groups according to their actual S-1 starting doses compared with the recommended doses (under-dosed, <recommended dose; equal-dosed, =recommended dose; over-dosed, >recommended dose).

RESULTS

The patients in the under-dosed group in both trials showed similar tendencies: male, younger, higher BSA, and higher CLcr. The incidence of any grade neutropenia was significantly greater in the over-dosed group compared with the equal-dosed group in the S-1 and the SOX arms. The hazard ratios (HR) of overall survival (OS) (under-dosed vs. equal-dosed) were 1.361 (S-1 arm), 1.259 (SP arm) in the SPIRITS trial, and 1.381 (SOX arm), 0.999 (SP arm) in the G-SOX trial. Multivariate analysis in all the patients demonstrated that OS of the over-dosed group was equivalent (HR 1.002, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.850-1.182, p = 0.980) and that of the under-dosed group was inferior (HR 1.267, 95% CI 1.005-1.597, p = 0.045) to the equal-dosed group.

CONCLUSIONS

It is suggested that the refined S-1 dosage formula can recommend optimal dose in terms of safety and efficacy.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio as prognostic factors for unresectable advanced or recurrent gastric cancer

PURPOSE

This study evaluated the prognostic value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin (CAR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLR) in conjunction with host-related factors in patients with unresectable advanced or recurrent gastric cancer.

METHODS

A total of 411 patients with unresectable advanced gastric cancer were treated at Kochi Medical School between 2007 and 2019. Associations between clinicopathological parameters and systemic inflammatory and nutritional markers, including CAR and NLR, with overall survival were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off values of predicted median survival time were 0.096 (sensitivity, 74.9%; specificity, 42.5%) for CAR and 3.47 (sensitivity, 64.1%; specificity, 57.5%) for NLR, based on the results of receiver operating characteristic analysis. A weak significant positive correlation was identified between CAR and NLR (r = 0.388, P < 0.001). The median survival time was significantly higher in patients with intestinal-type than those with diffuse-type histology (18.3 months vs. 9.5 months; P = 0.001), CAR < 0.096 than those with CAR ≥ 0.096 (14.8 months vs. 9.9 months; P < 0.029), and those with NLR < 3.47 than NLR ≥ 3.47 (14.7 months vs. 8.8 months; P < 0.001). Multivariate survival analysis revealed that diffuse-type histology (hazard ratio (HR) 1.865; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.397-2.490; P < 0.001)), 1 or more performance status (HR 11.510; 95% CI 7.941-16.683; P < 0.001), and NLR ≥ 3.47 (HR 1.341; 95% CI 1.174-1.769; P = 0.023) were significantly associated with independent predictors of worse prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

High CAR and NLR are associated with poor survival in patients with unresectable and recurrent gastric cancer.

Development and validation of a prognostic scoring model for mortality risk stratification in patients with recurrent or metastatic gastric carcinoma

Background

Survival times differ among patients with advanced gastric carcinoma. A precise and universal prognostic evaluation strategy has not yet been established. The current study aimed to construct a prognostic scoring model for mortality risk stratification in patients with advanced gastric carcinoma.

Methods

Patients with advanced gastric carcinoma from two hospitals (development and validation cohort) were included. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for survival. A prognostic nomogram model was developed using R statistics and validated both in bootstrap and external cohort. The concordance index and calibration curves were plotted to determine the discrimination and calibration of the model, respectively. The nomogram score and a simplified scoring system were developed to stratify patients in the two cohorts.

Results

Development and validation cohort was comprised of 401 and 214 gastric cancer patients, respectively. Mucinous or non-mucinous histology, ECOG score, bone metastasis, ascites, hemoglobin concentration, serum albumin level, lactate dehydrogenase level, carcinoembryonic antigen level, and chemotherapy were finally incorporated into prognostic nomogram. The concordance indices were 0.689 (95% CI: 0.664 ~ 0.714) and 0.673 (95% CI: 0.632 ~ 0.714) for bootstrap and external validation. 100 and 200 were set as the cut-off values of nomogram score, patients in development cohort were stratified into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups with median overall survival time 15.8 (95% CI: 12.2 ~ 19.5), 8.4 (95% CI: 6.7 ~ 10.2), and 3.9 (95% CI: 2.7 ~ 5.2) months, respectively; the cut-off values also worked well in validation cohort with different survival time in subgroups. A simplified model was also established and showed good consistency with the nomogram scoring model in both of development and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The prognostic scoring model and its simplified surrogate can be used as tools for mortality risk stratification in patients with advanced gastric carcinoma.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-09079-7.

Performances of Prognostic Models in Stratifying Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer Receiving First-line Chemotherapy: a Validation Study in a Chinese Cohort

Purpose

While several prognostic models for the stratification of death risk have been developed for patients with advanced gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy, they have seldom been tested in the Chinese population. This study investigated the performance of these models and identified the optimal tools for Chinese patients.

Materials and Methods

Patients diagnosed with metastatic or recurrent gastric adenocarcinoma who received first-line chemotherapy were eligible for inclusion in the validation cohort. Their clinical data and survival outcomes were retrieved and documented. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the models. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for patients in different risk groups divided by 7 published stratification tools. Log-rank tests with pairwise comparisons were used to compare survival differences.

Results

The analysis included a total of 346 patients with metastatic or recurrent disease. The median overall survival time was 11.9 months. The patients were different into different risk groups according to the prognostic stratification models, which showed variability in distinguishing mortality risk in these patients. The model proposed by Kim et al. showed relative higher predicting abilities compared to the other models, with the highest χ² (25.8) value in log-rank tests across subgroups, and areas under the curve values at 6, 12, and 24 months of 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59–0.72), 0.60 (0.54–0.65), and 0.63 (0.56–0.69), respectively.

Conclusions

Among existing prognostic tools, the models constructed by Kim et al., which incorporated performance status score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and tumor differentiation, were more effective in stratifying Chinese patients with gastric cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy.

A novel clinical prognostic index for patients with advanced gastric cancer: possible contribution to the continuum of care

Background

The Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG) prognostic index, consisting of performance status, primary tumor resected, number of metastases, and serum alkaline phosphatase, has been one of the robust prognostic indices for patients with advanced gastric cancer on the basis of which clinical trials have stratified prognosis. Only a few studies, however, have utilized the JCOG prognostic index in daily practice.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on patients with advanced gastric cancer who received first-line platinum-containing chemotherapy at a single institute between 2011 and 2017. Prognostic factors were evaluated using a Cox proportional regression model.

Results

A total of 608 patients were enrolled. Multivariate analysis showed that performance status ≥1, presence or absence of primary tumor, serum alkaline phosphatase, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥4, and diffuse-type histology were significantly associated with worse prognosis, whereas the number of metastases was not. Although the original prognostic index could not adequately stratify patients into three risk groups, the modified index (good: 0 and 1, moderate: 2 and 3, poor: 4-6), which was established by incorporating diffuse-type histology and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, demonstrated excellent stratification. The median overall survival of the good (n = 315), moderate (n = 243), and poor (n = 54) risk groups was 20.5, 13.5, and 10.2 months, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.69 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.40-2.04; good versus moderate] and 1.52 (95% CI, 1.11-2.08; moderate versus poor). This novel index also demonstrated a statistically significant stratification of survival after progression following first-line chemotherapy (good versus moderate: HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.16-1.70; moderate versus poor: HR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.45-2.74).

Conclusions

The modified JCOG prognostic index showed excellent stratification of overall survival in real-world patients, which could also help determine the need for treatment changes throughout the continuum of chemotherapy.

•

The applicability of the JCOG prognostic index in daily practice was investigated for advanced gastric cancer (AGC).

•

The JCOG prognostic index could not adequately stratify patients into three risk groups.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index incorporates diffuse-type histology and high NLR (≥4) into the JCOG prognostic index.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index showed excellent stratification in terms of overall survival and progression.

•

The modified JCOG prognostic index may help determine the need for treatment changes during first-line chemotherapy in AGC.

Clinical Impact of Oral Intake in Second-line or Third-line Chemotherapy for 589 Patients With Advanced Gastric Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Insufficient oral intake in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) limits the use of several drugs. We aimed to determine the oral intake status of patients with AGC during later-line chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated data of patients with AGC who experienced disease progression during first-line chemotherapy administered from January 2012 to December 2018 in a single institution. We defined "insufficient oral intake" as requiring daily intravenous fluids or hyperalimentation. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify oral intake-related factors.

RESULTS

Among 589 included patients, at disease progression during first-line, second-line, and third-line chemotherapy, 78.3% (461), 53.3% (314), and 30.4% (179) of patients, respectively, exhibited sufficient oral intake. Fourth-line chemotherapy was initiated for 22.2% (131) of patients, with 20.0% (118) exhibiting sufficient oral intake. During second-line and third-line chemotherapy, 11/67 (16%) and 2/39 (5%) patients, respectively, exhibited improvements in oral intake; 85/428 (19.9%) and 70/259 (27.0%), respectively, exhibited deteriorations in oral intake. Factors correlated to deterioration in oral intake during second-line chemotherapy were poor Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (odds ratio, 4.32; P<0.001), moderate or severe ascites (1.96; P=0.045), peritoneal metastasis (2.12; P=0.029), prior palliative surgery (3.41; P=0.003), and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (3.09; P<0.001); those correlated to deterioration in oral intake during third-line chemotherapy were poorly differentiated pathology (2.52; P=0.025) and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (2.65; P=0.006).

CONCLUSION

As later-line chemotherapy is ineffective in improving oral intake in patients with AGC, careful adaptation of regimens is required for patients at risk for impaired oral intake.

Efficacy and safety of nivolumab for advanced gastric cancer patients with poor performance statuses

BACKGROUND

Nivolumab has changed the treatment of advanced gastric cancer (AGC). Nivolumab shows better outcomes compared to best supportive care among AGC patients who received at least two prior regimens. However, there are no reliable data regarding AGC patients with poor performance status (PS) who received nivolumab. We investigated the efficacy and safety of nivolumab among AGC patients with poor PS.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected clinicopathologic data from patients with AGC who underwent nivolumab monotherapy at our institution from October 2017 to June 2019.

RESULTS

Forty-nine AGC patients who received nivolumab were assessed. Twenty-seven patients had PS 0 or 1 (Good group) and 22 had PS 2 or 3 (Poor group). The median progression-free survival and overall survival durations were 2.0 and 6.0 months in the Good group, respectively, and 1.2 and 2.8 months in the Poor group, respectively. The overall survival was significantly shorter in the Poor group (6.0 vs 2.8 months, p = 0.0255). The disease control rates were 23 and 9% in the Good and Poor groups, respectively. Thirty-three percent of patients experienced immune-related adverse events in the Good group, and 18% in the Poor group.

CONCLUSION

Nivolumab is feasible but insufficient as third- or later-line treatment for AGC patients with poor PS.

Curative-Intent Surgery for Stage IV Advanced Gastric Cancer: Who Can Undergo Surgery and What Are the Prognostic Factors for Long-Term Survival?

BACKGROUND

A retrospective study was performed to evaluate the predictive factors for performing curative-intent surgery and prognostic factors for long-term survival of patients undergoing surgery for stage IV gastric cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 2001 and 2017, 271 patients with stage IV gastric cancer with distant metastasis who underwent systemic chemotherapy were enrolled. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictive factors for curative-intent surgery. Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied for patients who were subsequently treated with curative-intent surgery to identify prognostic factors for long-term survival.

RESULTS

Curative-intent surgery was performed in 48 patients (17.7%). Median survival time was significantly longer in the surgery group than in the nonsurgery group (53 vs. 11 months, p < 0.0001). R0 resection was performed in 35 patients (72.9%). The three-year overall survival (OS) rates of the R0, R1, and R2 surgery groups were 75.4%, 33.3%, and 25.0%, respectively (p = 0.0002). Logistic regression analysis revealed that lymphogenous distant metastasis alone (odds ratio = 3.276, p = 0.004), positive lavage cytology alone (6.394, 0.014), doublet or triplet chemotherapy (4.064, 0.034), and high Glasgow prognostic score (0.276, 0.001) were independent predictive factors for performing curative-intent surgery. Among patients undergoing surgery, the Cox proportional hazards regression model for OS showed that R0 surgery was an independent prognostic factor for favorable OS (hazard ratio 0.188, p = 0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with lymphogenous distant metastasis alone, P0CY1 alone, good immunonutritional status, and doublet/triplet chemotherapy are candidates for performing effective curative-intent surgery. R0 surgery is crucial for improving long-term survival after surgery.

Meta-Enrichment Analyses to Identify Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients Who Achieve a Higher Response to S-1/Cisplatin

The Multicenter phase III comparison of cisplatin/S-1 with cisplatin/infusional fluorouracil in advanced gastric or gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma study (FLAGS) and the Diffuse Gastric and Esophagogastric Junction Cancer S-1 Trial (DIGEST) have shown that patients with advanced gastric cancer treated with S-1/Cisplatin (CS) have similar overall survival (OS) compared to 5-fluorouracil/cisplatin (CF). The purpose of this analysis was to identify patients who may specifically benefit from CS using meta-enrichment analysis of the combined two datasets. Eleven clinico-pathological factors were selected and a high response enrichable population was determined. The efficacy of CS in the combined data set of 1365 patients (n = 1019 from FLAGS and n = 346 from DIGEST) was analyzed. We identified 683 patients (n = 374 from CS, n = 309 from CF) as the high response enrichable population who were classified as those with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) 1, more than two metastatic sites and low neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (log(NL ratio)). In the high response enrichable population, the median OS in the CS group was 241 days compared to 210 days in the CF group (hazard ratio 0.776; 95% confidence interval 0.658 to 0.915; p-value 0.004). Through meta-enrichment analysis, the high response enrichable population to CS was identified. Our findings show the clinical importance of selecting the appropriate treatment based on specific patient characteristics.

Metastatic gastric cancer: Does the site of metastasis make a difference?

BACKGROUND

Metastatic gastric cancer has a poor prognosis. We aim to study how clinical features and prognosis differs between different metastatic sites, and to identify prognostic factors for overall survival.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma managed at a tertiary referral cancer center over a 5-year period. We divided our cohort into three groups based on the site(s) of metastasis at presentation-peritoneal metastasis only (P), distant metastasis only (D), and peritoneal and distant metastases (PD).

RESULTS

We studied 470 patients with 175 (37.2%), 193 (41.1%) and 102 (21.7%) patients in the P, D and PD groups, respectively. Patients with peritoneal disease (both P and PD) had higher proportions of patients experiencing chemotherapy disruption due to unplanned hospitalizations, which were also of a longer average duration. The P group had the longest overall median survival of 8.9 months compared to the PD and D groups with 7.4 and 5.5 months, respectively (P < 0.001). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, the presence of ≥1 metastatic site (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-2.28; P  =  0.001) was significantly associated with increased overall mortality, whereas palliative systemic chemotherapy (HR 0.29; 95% CI, 0.22-0.37; P < 0.001) and palliative gastrectomy (HR 0.24; 95% CI, 0.15-0.39; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with decreased overall mortality.

CONCLUSION

Metastatic gastric cancer represents a heterogeneous disease, with specific disease complications and treatment outcomes unique to different metastatic sites. We can consider novel multimodality therapies for patient subgroups with isolated metastatic disease and good prognostic factors in a bid to improve long-term survival.

First-line chemotherapy with S-1 alone or S-1 plus cisplatin for elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer: a multicenter propensity score matched study

BACKGROUND

Fluoropyrimidine and platinum combination is the standard treatment for advanced or recurrent gastric cancer (AGC). However, fluoropyrimidine monotherapy is commonly used for elderly patients with AGC because of its good tolerability.

METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective study, we collected clinical data of AGC patients aged 70 years or older, treated with S-1 alone or S-1 plus cisplatin (SP) as the first-line treatment between January 2009 and December 2011. Propensity score matched cohorts (PSMC) were used for reducing the confounding effects to compare efficacy and safety between the two treatment groups. Cox regression analysis was performed to clarify the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

PSMC (n = 109 in each group) were selected from among 444 eligible patients (S-1 group, 210; SP group, 234); the S-1 group included more patients deemed unfit for intensive chemotherapy than the SP group (e.g., higher age, poorer PS, poor renal function). In the PSMC, patients' characteristics were comparable between groups, except the male ratio (S-1 group, 64.2%; SP group, 77.1%; p = 0.04). No significant differences were observed in either overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) 0.93, p = 0.63] or progression-free survival (HR 1.09, p = 0.61). Severe adverse events (AEs) and hospitalization due to AEs were more frequent in the SP group than in the S-1 group (p < 0.001 each).

CONCLUSION

Our findings do not support the survival benefit of SP over S-1 in elderly patients with AGC. We are now conducting a prospective comparative study to optimize treatment strategy and explore applicability of the geriatric assessment for these patients.

Systemic-inflammation-based score can predict prognosis in metastatic gastric cancer patients before first-line chemotherapy

AIM

Systemic inflammatory response affects survival of gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study was carried out to create a prognostic inflammatory-based score to predict survival in metastatic GC (mGC) before first-line chemotherapy.

MATERIALS & METHODS

We studied the prognostic value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio in 151 patients with mGC at the diagnosis.

RESULTS

Median overall survival (OS) was significantly lower in patients with high NLR. Performance status 1-2 according to the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scale and NLR were predictors of shorter OS at multivariate analysis. Based on these results, we defined a prognostic OS score, showing a better median OS in favorable risk group.

CONCLUSION

Elevated pretreatment NLR and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group are independent predictors of shorter OS in mGC patients before first-line chemotherapy.

Nomogram-based prediction of survival in patients with advanced oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma receiving first-line chemotherapy: a multicenter prospective study in the era of trastuzumab

Background:

To develop and validate a nomogram and web-based calculator to predict overall survival (OS) in Caucasian-advanced oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma (AOA) patients undergoing first-line combination chemotherapy.

Methods:

Nine hundred twenty-four AOA patients treated at 28 Spanish teaching hospitals from January 2008 to September 2014 were used as derivation cohort. The result of an adjusted-Cox proportional hazards regression was represented as a nomogram and web-based calculator. The model was validated in 502 prospectively recruited patients treated between October 2014 and December 2016. Harrell's c-index was used to evaluate discrimination.

Results:

The nomogram includes seven predictors associated with OS: HER2-positive tumours treated with trastuzumab, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, number of metastatic sites, bone metastases, ascites, histological grade, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Median OS was 5.8 (95% confidence interval (CI), 4.5–6.6), 9.4 (95% CI, 8.5–10.6), and 14 months (95% CI, 11.8–16) for high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups, respectively (P<0.001), in the derivation set and 4.6 (95% CI, 3.3–8.1), 12.7 (95% CI, 11.3–14.3), and 18.3 months (95% CI, 14.6–24.2) for high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups, respectively (P<0.001), in the validation set. The nomogram is well-calibrated and reveals acceptable discriminatory capacity, with optimism-corrected c-indices of 0.618 (95% CI, 0.591–0.631) and 0.673 (95% CI, 0.636–0.709) in derivation and validation groups, respectively. The AGAMENON nomogram outperformed the Royal Marsden Hospital (c-index=0.583; P=0.00046) and Japan Clinical Oncology Group prognostic indices (c-index=0.611; P=0.03351).

Conclusions:

We developed and validated a straightforward model to predict survival in Caucasian AOA patients initiating first-line polychemotherapy. This model can contribute to inform clinical decision-making and optimise clinical trial design.