The clinical value and usage of inflammatory and nutritional markers in survival prediction for gastric cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and D2 lymphadenectomy

Preoperative immune prognostic index predicts the prognosis and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy benefits of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after minimally invasive esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

The utility of the immune prognostic index (IPI) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has yet to be established after minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE). The purpose of this study was to investigate the value of IPI in predicting the prognosis and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) benefits of ESCC patients.

METHODS

Between January 2011 and December 2018, 613 ESCC patients underwent MIE at our center and were divided into two groups: low IPI and high IPI.Log-rank tests were used to compare the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of patients in different groups based on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Differences in clinical characteristics between groups were eliminated by propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. To identify independent risk factors influencing OS and DFS, the Cox proportional risk model was used.

RESULTS

In comparison to the high IPI group, the low IPI group had a better 5-year OS and DFS in both the entire and matched cohorts (P < 0.05). IPI was found to be an independent prognostic factor for OS and DFS in a multivariate analysis of the entire cohort and the matched cohort (P < 0.05). In subgroup analyses of most clinicopathological factors, high IPI was associated with a higher risk of death or recurrence in the matched cohorts. When combined with 8th TNM staging, the 5-year OS and DFS of stage II or III patients with low IPI in the AC group were not different from those in the non-AC group (P > 0.05), and AC of stage III patients with high IPI significantly prolonged 5-year OS and DFS (OS: 37.4% vs 26.2%, P = 0.018; DFS: 33.6% vs 19.8%, P = 0.042).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative IPI is a promising predictor of ESCC after MIE. For stage III ESCC patients with high IPI, AC can significantly reduce the risk of death or recurrence.

Short- and long-term outcomes following perioperative ERAS management in patients undergoing minimally invasive radical gastrectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: A single-center retrospective propensity score matching study

INTRODUCTION

Gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) are more vulnerable to perioperative stress. Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) is widely used in surgical patients aiming at reducing stress responses. However, whether this approach is safe and feasible for gastric cancer patients received minimally invasive radical gastrectomy after NACT remained determined. So, the objective of this study is to investigate the effects of ERAS for this special group of gastric cancer patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The data of gastric cancer patients who underwent minimally invasive radical gastrectomy after NACT were collected. Patients were divided into an ERAS group and a conventional group based on whether they received perioperative ERAS management. Propensity score matching was conducted to eliminate bias. Pre- and postoperative inflammatory and nutritional marker levels, postoperative complications, recovery indices and 3-year OS and RFS were observed.

RESULTS

A total of 252 patients were analyzed after 1:1 PSM, including 126 patients in the ERAS group and 126 in the conventional group. The results showed that the implementation of ERAS significantly reduced the levels of novel inflammatory indicators, improve nutritional status and accelerate postoperative recovery. We found that the 3-year OS (72.2 % vs. 66.7 %) and RFS (67.5 % vs. 61.9 %) in the ERAS group showed an improvement trend compared to those in the traditional group, especially for stage III patients, although these differences were not significant.

CONCLUSION

The perioperative ERAS program is safe and feasible for gastric cancer patients received minimally invasive radical gastrectomy after NACT.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in gastric cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent studies, accumulating evidence has revealed a strong association between the inflammatory response and the prognosis of many tumors. There is a certain correlation of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with the prognosis in gastric cancer (GC) patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). However, the existing research results have remained controversial.

AIM

To explore the relationship between NLR ratio and prognosis of GC patients receiving NAC.

METHODS

A thorough systematic search was performed in databases such as PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library, the search is available until February 29, 2024, and studies exploring the interaction of NLR with clinical outcomes were collected. Relevant studies meeting pre-defined inclusion and exclusion criteria were carefully chosen. The outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS), relapse-free survival, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS). The hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were utilized for estimation.

RESULTS

Our analysis encompassed 852 patients and incorporated data from 12 cohort studies. The comprehensive analysis revealed a significant association of high NLR with reduced OS (HR = 1.76; 95%CI: 1.22-2.54, P = 0.003), relapse-free survival (HR = 3.73; 95%CI: 1.74-7.96, P = 0.0007), and PFS (HR = 2.32; 95%CI: 1.42-3.81, P = 0.0008) in patients. However, this correlation in disease-free survival was not significant. NLR demonstrated its crucial role in effectively predicting the OS of GC patients undergoing NAC at different detection times, ages, regions, and NLR thresholds.

CONCLUSION

In GC patients receiving NAC, an elevated NLR is strongly associated with reduced OS and PFS. NLR has become an effective biomarker for patient prognosis evaluation, providing valuable insights for the treatment strategies of NAC in GC patients.

Layer Analysis Based on RNA-Seq Reveals Molecular Complexity of Gastric Cancer

Gastric adenocarcinoma (GA) is a significant global health issue with poor prognosis, despite advancements in treatment. Although molecular classifications, such as The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), provide valuable insights, their clinical utility remains limited. We performed a multi-layered functional analysis using TCGA RNA sequencing data to better define molecular subtypes and explore therapeutic implications. We reanalyzed TCGA RNA-seq data from 142 GA patients with localized disease who received adjuvant chemotherapy. Our approach included probabilistic graphical models and recurrent sparse k-means/consensus cluster algorithms for layer-based analysis. Our findings revealed survival differences among TCGA groups, with the GS subtype showing the poorest prognosis. We identified twelve functional nodes and seven biological layers, each with distinct functions. The combined molecular layer (CML) classification identified three prognostic groups that align with TCGA subtypes. CML2 (GS-like) displayed gene expression related to lipid metabolism, correlating with worse survival. Transcriptomic heterogeneity within the CIN subtype revealed clusters tied to proteolysis and lipid metabolism. We identified a subset of CIN tumors with profiles similar to MSI, termed CIN-MSI-like. Claudin-18, a key gene in proteolysis, was overexpressed across TCGA subtypes, suggesting it is a potential therapeutic target. Our study advances GA biology, enabling refined stratification and personalized treatment. Further studies are needed to translate these findings into clinical practice.

A Review of the Prognostic Significance of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Nonhematologic Malignancies

Biomarkers are crucial in cancer diagnostics, prognosis, and surveillance. Extensive research has been dedicated to identifying biomarkers that are broadly applicable across multiple cancer types and can be easily obtained from routine investigations such as blood cell counts. One such biomarker, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), has been established as a prognostic marker in cancer. However, due to the dynamic nature of cancer diagnosis and treatment, periodic updates are necessary to keep abreast of the vast amount of published data. In this review, we searched the PubMed database and analyzed and synthesized recent literature (2018-February 2024) on the role of NLR in predicting clinical outcomes in nonhematologic malignancies. The search was conducted using the PubMed database. We included a total of 88 studies, encompassing 28,050 human subjects, and categorized the findings into four major groups: gastrointestinal cancer, cancers of the urinary tract and reproductive system, lung cancer, and breast cancer. Our analysis confirms that NLR is a reliable prognostic indicator in cancer, and we discuss the specific characteristics, limitations, and exceptions associated with its use. The review concludes with a concise Q&A section, presenting the most relevant take-home messages in response to five key practical questions on this topic.

Prognostic value of inflammatory markers NLR, PLR, and LMR in gastric cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) represent a groundbreaking approach to cancer therapy. Inflammatory markers such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) have emerged as potential indicators strongly associated with tumor prognosis, albeit their prognostic significance remains contentious. The predictive value of NLR, PLR, LMR in patients with gastric cancer (GC) treated with ICIs has not been fully explored; therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to examine the potential of inflammatory markers NLR, PLR, and LMR as survival predictors in this population.

Methods

A comprehensive search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases, with the search cut-off date set as March 2024. Hazard ratios (HR) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to assess the prognostic significance of NLR, PLR, and LMR for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

Fifteen cohort studies involving 1336 gastric cancer patients were finally included in this meta-analysis. The results of the meta-analysis showed that high levels of NLR were associated with poorer OS and PFS in GC patients receiving ICIs, with combined HRs of OS [HR=2.01, 95%CI (1.72,2.34), P<0.01], and PFS PFS[HR=1.59, 95%CI (1.37,1.86), P<0.01], respectively; high levels of PLR were associated with poorer OS and PFS, and the combined HR was OS [HR=1.57, 95%CI (1.25,1.96), P<0.01], PFS [HR=1.52,95%CI (1.20, 1.94), P<0.01], respectively; and there was an association between elevated LMR and prolonged OS and PFS, and the combined HR was OS [HR=0.62, 95%CI (0.47,0.81), P<0.01], and PFS [HR=0.69, 95%CI (0.50,0.95), P<0.01].

Conclusion

In gastric cancer (GC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were associated with poorer overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), while high lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) was linked to improved OS and PFS. Subgroup analyses suggested that NLR might be particularly pertinent to the prognosis of GC patients. In conclusion, the inflammatory markers NLR, PLR, and LMR serve as effective biomarkers for prognostic assessment in GC patients, offering valuable insights for therapeutic decision-making in the realm of GC immunotherapy. Prospective studies of high quality are eagerly awaited to validate these findings in the future.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/#myprospero, identifier CRD42024524321.

Development and validation of an individualized nomogram for gastric cancer patients treated with perioperative chemotherapy followed by radical surgery

Background

Prognostic factors are complicated and changeable for locally advanced gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study aimed to perform a novel prognostic model on survival for locally advanced GC patients who have received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical surgery.

Methods

The locally advanced GC patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included in this study from Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. A nomogram was developed based on independent prognostic factors identified through a multivariable Cox regression model. Model performance was evaluated in training and independent external cohorts in terms of calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

Results

A total of 273 patients received radical resections. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for all patients were 43.8 and 61.2 months, respectively. Nomogram showed that Lauren type made the greatest contribution to prognosis, followed by ypN. The prognostic nomogram had excellent discriminative ability, with a C-index of 0.689 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.661-0.716], and an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.778, 0.746, and 0.725 for 3-, 5- and 10-year OS, respectively. Similar results were obtained in the external validation cohort. Based on the nomogram, the whole cohort was divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. And risk group classification was significantly associated with clinical characteristics, and produced an AUC value of 0.781, 0.748, and 0.727 for 3-, 5- and 10-year OS, respectively. Furthermore, compared with the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system (8th edition), Japanese criteria, and German criteria, the decision curve analysis (DCA) graphically demonstrated that the new model had more optimal net benefits in predicting the 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS for GC patients. Both C-index and time-dependent ROC curve demonstrated that the nomogram had a stronger capability for accurately predicting prognosis compared with the other staging system.

Conclusions

The nomogram model is an effective support tool to predict OS in GC patients undergoing perioperative chemotherapy followed by radical surgery.

Development and validation of an inflammatory biomarkers model to predict gastric cancer prognosis: a multi-center cohort study in China

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory factors have increasingly become a more cost-effective prognostic indicator for gastric cancer (GC). The goal of this study was to develop a prognostic score system for gastric cancer patients based on inflammatory indicators.

METHODS

Patients' baseline characteristics and anthropometric measures were used as predictors, and independently screened by multiple machine learning(ML) algorithms. We constructed risk scores to predict overall survival in the training cohort and tested risk scores in the validation. The predictors selected by the model were used in multivariate Cox regression analysis and developed a nomogram to predict the individual survival of GC patients.

RESULTS

A 13-variable adaptive boost machine (ADA) model mainly comprising tumor stage and inflammation indices was selected in a wide variety of machine learning models. The ADA model performed well in predicting survival in the validation set (AUC = 0.751; 95% CI: 0.698, 0.803). Patients in the study were split into two sets - "high-risk" and "low-risk" based on 0.42, the cut-off value of the risk score. We plotted the survival curves using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

CONCLUSION

The proposed model performed well in predicting the prognosis of GC patients and could help clinicians apply management strategies for better prognostic outcomes for patients.

Long-term nutrition in patients candidate to neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatments

To improve outcomes, to decrease the rate of local recurrence and development of distant metastases neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies are employed in cancer patients in forms of radiation, chemo-, endocrine-, targeted-, and immunotherapy or their combination. Nutrition therapy plays important role in all phases of the cancer journey. From neoadjuvant therapy to prehabilitation, early postoperative nutrition, and long-term nutrition care during the adjuvant phase and survivorship determines the survival and quality of life of cancer patients. During the neoadjuvant phase patients may be in poor nutritional condition which can be aggravated by the applied oncological treatment. Beside this apparent threat this period also gives an excellent opportunity to maintain or even improve the nutritional status of the patients by nutrition therapy. After surgery the burdening effects of the operation may jeopardize the execution of adjuvant therapy. After early postoperative feeding a long-term nutrition strategy should be developed for cancer patients in order to avoid nutritional deterioration during the usually lengthy postoperative therapy. In this narrative review we discuss how preoperative nutritional status and medical nutrition therapy influence the results of surgery and after the operation what is the available evidence about nutritional status and outcome and the potentials to influence them by nutrition therapy.

Trajectories of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios during neoadjuvant chemotherapy correlate with short- and long-term outcomes in gastric cancer: a group-based trajectory analysis

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammatory factors can predict the survival prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). However, whether longitudinal changes in systemic inflammatory factors are associated with short - and long-term outcomes has not been reported.

METHODS

This study is a retrospective analysis of 216 patients with advanced gastric cancer who received NACT between January 2011 and June 2019, comparing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for screening suitable inflammatory markers. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) was used to analyze longitudinal changes in inflammatory markers during NACT to identify different potential subgroups and to compare postoperative complications, recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) among subgroups.

RESULTS

Ultimately, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) had the highest area under the curve (AUC) value in predicting prognosis was included in the GBTM analysis. Three trajectories of NLR were obtained: Stable group (SG) (n = 89), Ascent-descend group (ADG) (n = 80) and Continuous descend group (CDG) (n = 47). Compared with SG, ADG and CDG are associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence and death. The median time of RFS and OS of SG was longer than that of ADG and CDG (median RFS 81 vs. 44 and 22 months; median OS 69 vs. 41 and 30 months). In addition, CDG had significantly higher postoperative serious complications than SG and ADG (17 (36.2%) vs. 17 (19.1%) and 12 (15.0%); p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

There were different trajectories of NLR during NACT, and these potential trajectories were significantly associated with severe postoperative complications, recurrence, and mortality in patients with GC.

Analysis of the influencing factors in the long-term survival of esophageal cancer

Background

To analyze the prognosis and diagnostic value of relevant hematological indexes on the survival status of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after radical surgery.

Methods

This study included 206 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent surgical R0 resection. The data, including the basic information, preoperative blood routine, albumin, fibrinogen, surgery-related information, postoperative pathology, and overall survival, of the patients were compared.

Results

The survival and death groups showed a significant difference in overall survival (OS), the degree of differentiation, depth of infiltration, pathological stage, vascular infiltration, nerve infiltration, fibrinogen, white blood cell, neutrophils, platelet, and platelet hematocrit (P<0.05). Tumor located in the middle thorax, larger lesion length, deeper invasion, later pathological stage, vascular infiltration, nerve infiltration, lymph node metastasis, cardiovascular disease, and higher smoking grade were risk factors for poor prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) (P<0.05). Cardiovascular disease, lower differentiation, tumor located in the middle thorax, and nerve infiltration were independent risk factors for the reduction of survival time of patients with ESCC (P<0.05).

Conclusions

History of cardiovascular disease, tumor located in the middle chest, poorly differentiated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, visible nerve cancer invasion, hematocrit (HCT), mean erythrocyte hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and hemoglobin (HB) are independent risk factors for the long-term survival of patients with ESCC.

The Prognostic Value of the Prognostic Nutritional Index in Patients with Advanced or Metastatic Gastric Cancer Treated with Immunotherapy

In recent years, the therapeutic effect of monoclonal antibodies against programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) in patients with locally advanced or metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) cancer has been confirmed in many studies. The exploration and discovery of new biomarker combinations based on tumor characteristics and tumor microenvironment help screen superior patients and realize precise immunotherapy. As an evaluation index of immunonutritional status, the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is low cost, simple and easy to obtain, and effective in determining the prognosis of tumor patients. We selected 268 consecutive AGC patients who were treated with ICI therapy from December 2014 to May 2021. We measured their pretreatment of the PNI levels and performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) after ICI therapy. The low pretreatment PNI level of AGC patients was significantly correlated with shorter PFS (p < 0.001) and OS (p < 0.001) after ICI treatment. In univariate and multivariate analyses of the associations between PNI and OS or PFS, PNI is an independent prognostic factor for PFS (HR = 1.511; 95%CI 1.154-1.977; p = 0.003) and OS (HR = 1.431; 95%CI 1.049-1.951; p = 0.024), respectively. Notably, decreased PNI during treatment with ICIs was associated with early relapse and death. Pretreatment with PNI might help to identify AGC patients who will obtain a survival benefit from ICI therapy.

Using Normalized Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Carbohydrate Antigen 19 to Predict and Monitor the Efficacy of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are established prognostic biomarkers for patients with gastric cancer. However, their potential as predictive markers for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) efficacy has not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis to determine values of CEA and CA19-9 prior to NACT (pre-NACT) and after NACT (post-NACT) in 399 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) who received intended NACT and surgery.

RESULTS

Among the 399 patients who underwent NACT plus surgery, 132 patients (33.1%) had elevated pre-NACT CEA/CA19-9 values. Furthermore, either pre-NACT or post-NACT CEA /CA19-9 levels were significantly associated with prognosis (p = 0.0023) compared to patients with non-elevated levels. Moreover, among the patients, a significant proportion (73/132, 55.3%) achieved normalized CEA/CA19-9 following NACT, which is a strong marker of a favorable treatment response and survival benefits. In addition, the patients with normalized CEA/CA19-9 also had a prolonged survival compared to those who underwent surgery first (p = 0.0140), which may be attributed to the clearance of micro-metastatic foci. Additionally, the magnitude of CEA/CA19-9 changes did not exhibit a statistically significant prognostic value.

CONCLUSIONS

Normalization of CEA/CA19-9 is a strong biomarker for the effectiveness of treatment, and can thus be exploited to prolong the long-term survival of patients with LAGC.

A Novel Hematological Inflammation-Nutrition Score (HINS) and Its Related Nomogram Model to Predict Survival Outcome in Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients Receiving First-Line Palliative Chemotherapy

Purpose

This study aims to construct a novel hematological inflammation-nutrition score (HINS) and investigate its prognostic value in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). We investigated the risk stratification performance of HINS and developed a HINS-based nomogram model to predict overall survival by combining traditional predictors.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on 812 AGC patients who received first-line platinum- or fluoropyrimidine-containing chemotherapy at The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University Hospital between 2014 and 2019. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (N=609) and a validation cohort (N=203). HINS (0-2) was constructed based on a pre-chemotherapy systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and albumin (ALB). Prognostic factors were screened by univariate and multivariate COX proportional regression models. Significant factors were used to construct a nomogram model. Internal validation was performed by calibration curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA), evaluating its prediction consistency, discrimination ability, and clinical net benefit.

Results

HINS was constructed based on SII and ALB. HINS showed a better stratification ability than JCOG prognostic index, with significant differences between groups. Multivariate analysis showed that ECOG ≥1 (HR: 1.379; P=0.005), Stage IV (HR: 1.581; P <0.001), diffuse-type histology (HR: 1.586; P <0.001), number of metastases ≥2 (HR: 1.274; P=0.038), without prior gastrectomy (HR: 1.830; P <0.001), ALP ≥ULN (HR: 1.335; P=0.034), HINS (P <0.001) were independent factors of OS. We successfully established a HINS-based nomogram model that showed a strong discriminative ability, accuracy, and clinical utility in training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

HINS shows a superior risk stratification ability, which might be a potential prognostic biomarker for AGC patients receiving palliative first-line palliative chemotherapy. The HINS-based nomogram model is a convenient and efficient tool for managing prognosis and follow-up treatments.

Prognostic Model of D2 Radical Gastrectomy Combined with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Gastric Cancer

Purpose

The AJCC (the American Joint Committee on Cancer) ypTNM (post-neoadjuvant pathologic stage group) staging was established based on patients with lymphadenectomy scope less than D2 and did not include ypT0N0 patients with pathologically complete response (PCR). The purpose of this study was to construct a survival predictive model for gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and gastrectomy combined with D2 lymphadenectomy.

Patients and Methods

The multicenter data of 838 gastric cancer patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy and gastrectomy combined with D2 lymphadenectomy were analyzed retrospectively. These dual center patients were divided into training (n = 671, the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University) and validation (n = 167, Qingdao West Coast New Area Central Hospital) cohorts. Based on training cohort, univariate and multivariable COX regression analyses were performed to select the clinicopathological characteristics significantly correlating with overall survival and construct a nomogram. Based on training and validation cohorts, the distinguishing and calibrating capabilities of nomogram was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Harrell's concordance index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA) curve and calibration curve.

Results

Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), pathologic stage after neoadjuvant treatment: ypT and ypN stage, tumor regression grade (TRG) became independent variables intimately related to the prognosis and was used to construct nomograms of 3/5-year prognosis. The nomograms showed an accuracy in predicting OS (overall survival) rate, with area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.818 (95% CI = 0.753~0.883) and C-index of 0.801 (95% CI = 0.744~0.858) in validation cohort. Calibration curves showed satisfactory agreement between nomogram prediction and actual result, and DCA curves indicated the large positive net benefit and excellent clinical usefulness of nomogram.

Conclusion

This study successfully developed a nomogram to predict overall survival of gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and gastrectomy combined with D2 lymphadenectomy, which might have excellent predictive performance and clinical application value.

Neoadjuvant Gastric Cancer Treatment and Associated Nutritional Critical Domains for the Optimization of Care Pathways: A Systematic Review

(1) Background: Gastric cancer patients are known to be at a high risk of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and cachexia, and the latter impairs the patient's nutritional status during their clinical course and also treatment response. A clearer identification of nutrition-related critical points during neoadjuvant treatment for gastric cancer is relevant to managing patient care and predicting clinical outcomes. The aim of this systematic review was to identify and describe nutrition-related critical domains associated with clinical outcomes. (2) Methods: We performed a systematic review (PROSPERO ID:CRD42021266760); (3) Results: This review included 14 studies compiled into three critical domains: patient-related, clinical-related (disease and treatment), and healthcare-related. Body composition changes during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) accounted for the early termination of chemotherapy and reduced overall survival. Sarcopenia was confirmed to have an independent prognostic value. The role of nutritional interventions during NAC has not been fully explored. (4) Conclusions: Understanding critical domain exposures affecting nutritional status will enable better clinical approaches to optimize care plans. It may also provide an opportunity for the mitigation of poor nutritional status and sarcopenia and their deleterious clinical consequences.

Prognostic value of modified-Gustave-Roussy Immunity Score in resectable proximal gastric cancer

The prognostic evaluation of GRIm score has been confirmed in many tumor species. The purpose of this study is to clarify the value of GRIm score in the prognostic evaluation of patients with resectable proximal gastric cancer. A single center retrospective study was conducted in 174 patients with proximal gastric cancer who underwent radical total gastrectomy. An in-depth analysis was carried out to explore the prognostic differences between high and low GRIm, and the influencing factors of disease-free survival rates and overall survival rates were analyzed by Cox regression model and Kaplan-Meier method. A total of 174 patients were divided into two groups: 135 patients were marked in L-mGRIm and 39 patients in H-mGRIm groups respectively. The median OS of the H-mGRIm and L-mGRIm groups were 23.2 and 38.6 months, respectively. The median DFS of the H-mGRIm and L-mGRIm groups was 16.9 and 31.7 months, respectively. Both DFS and OS were significantly different between groups (P = .000, P = .000). In multivariate analysis, ZPS (2 vs 0-1: HR 1.99 95% CI 1.05-3.76 P = .035), LDH (≥193 vs <193:HR 0.6; 95% CI 0.38-0.95 P = .028), mGRIm score (2-3 vs 0-1: HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.09-5.23 P = .029) was independent risk factors of OS. The age (>65 vs ≤65 years HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.4-0.95 P = .003), LDH (>193 U/L vs ≤193 U/L: HR 0.55; 95% CI 0.37-0.82 P = .004) and mGRIm score (2-3 vs 0-1: HR 4.74; 95% CI 2.24-9.9 P = .000) as an independent risk factor for DFS. mGRIm score is a novel, simple and effective index for prognosis evaluation of resectable cardiac cancer and can be used as a part of the risk stratification process.

Effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with arterial chemoembolization on short-term clinical outcome of locally advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to explore the short-term efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with arterial chemoembolization for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 203 patients with LAGC who received neoadjuvant therapy from June 2019 to December 2021. The patients were divided into a neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with arterial chemoembolization group (combined group, n = 102) and a neoadjuvant chemotherapy group (conventional group, n = 101). The adverse events of chemotherapy, postoperative complications and pathological complete response (pCR) rate were compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the potential factors affecting pCR.

RESULTS

A total of 78.8% of the patients were in clinical stage III before neoadjuvant therapy. A total of 52.2% of the patients underwent surgery after receiving two cycles of neoadjuvant therapy. There were 21.2% patients with ≥ grade 3 (CTCAE 4.0) adverse events of chemotherapy and 11.3% patients with Clavien-Dindo classification ≥ grade 3 postoperative complications. Compared with the conventional group, the combination group did not experience an increase in the adverse events of chemotherapy or postoperative complications. The pCR rate in the combined group was significantly higher than that in the conventional group (16.7% vs. 4.95%, P = 0.012). The multivariate analysis showed that arterial chemoembolization, pre-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and pre-treatment platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were independent factors affecting pCR.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy combined with arterial chemoembolization contributed to improving the pCR rate of LAGC patients. Arterial chemoembolization, pre-treatment NLR and pre-treatment PLR were also predictors of pCR.

Novel prognostic indicator combining inflammatory indicators and tumor markers for gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors worldwide, and we hope to identify an economical but practical prognostic indicator. It has been reported that inflammatory indicators and tumor markers are associated with GC progression and are widely used to predict prognosis. However, existing prognostic models do not comprehensively analyze these predictors.

METHODS

This study retrospectively reviewed 893 consecutive patients who underwent curative gastrectomy from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2015, in the Second Hospital of Anhui Medical University. Prognostic factors predicting overall survival (OS) were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Nomograms including independent prognostic factors were plotted for predicting survival.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 425 patients were enrolled in this study. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR, total neutrophil count/lymphocyte count × 100%) and CA19-9 were independent prognostic factors for OS (p=0.001, p=0.016). The NLR-CA19-9 score (NCS) is constructed as the combination of the NLR and CA19-9. We defined NLR<2.46 and CA19-9≤37 U/ml as an NCS of 0, NLR≥2.46 or CA19-9>37 U/ml as an NCS 1, and NLR≥2.46 and CA19-9>37 U/ml as an NCS of 2. The results showed that higher NCS was significantly associated with worse clinicopathological characteristics and OS (p<0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed that the NCS was an independent prognostic factor for OS (NCS1: p<0.001, HR=3.172, 95% CI=2.120-4.745; NCS2: p<0.001, HR=3.052, 95% CI=1.928-4.832). Compared with traditional predictive indices, the NCS had the highest AUC for a 12-month survival, a 36-month survival, a 60-month survival, and OS (AUC= 0.654, 0.730, 0.811, 0.803, respectively). The nomogram had a higher Harrell's C-index than the TNM stage alone (0.788 vs. 0.743).

CONCLUSIONS

The NCS provides more accurate predictions of the prognosis of GC patients, and its predictive value is significantly better than that of traditional inflammatory indicators or tumor markers. It is an effective complement to existing GC assessment systems.

Dynamic changes in systemic immune-inflammation index predict pathological tumor response and overall survival in patients with gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy

AIM

Systemic inflammation has been associated with chemoresistance and prognosis in solid tumors. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) is a novel marker derived from complete blood count. We investigated whether differences between SIIs measured before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) are associated with tumor regression grade (TRG) and survival in gastric and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancer patients.

METHODS

Records of gastric and GEJ cancer patients treated with NACT in two centers were evaluated retrospectively. Patients were categorized according to difference between pre- and post-NACT SII values (ΔSII). Association between clinicopathological factors and TRG was analyzed using logistic regression method. Predictors of disease-free and overall survival (DFS and OS) were determined with Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The study included 140 patients. Patients with ΔSII<0 were more likely to achieve TRG 0/1 (45.2% vs. 19.1%, p = 0.003) and ΔSII<0 was an independent predictor of TRG 0/1 (OR = 6.05, p<0.001). DFS and OS of patients with ΔSII<0 were also significantly longer (p = 0.031 and p = 0.006, respectively). After adjustment for other variables, ΔSII≥0 was an independent prognostic factor for OS (Hazard ratio (HR) = 2.13, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in SII, which is a low-cost and easily accessible marker, may be used to estimate prognosis, individualize postoperative treatment and optimize surveillance in gastric and GEJ cancer patients treated with NACT.

Prognostic significance of inflammatory and nutritional markers in perioperative period for patients with advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

It has been reported that inflammatory and nutritional markers are related to prognosis in numerous malignancies. The present study analyzed the significance of these markers' alterations during neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the long-term outcomes in patients with advanced gastric cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective review was performed of 437 advanced gastric cancer patients who underwent a neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) regimen followed by surgical treatment. Inflammatory and nutritional markers measured from the blood samples collected from the patients before the first neoadjuvant chemotherapy and after the last neoadjuvant chemotherapy were used for analysis. Statistical analysis, including Mann-Whitney U or chi-square tests, the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox multivariate analysis, were performed to analyze the predictive value of these markers for overall survival outcomes (OS).

RESULTS

Most biomarkers, including lymphocyte, leucocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, platelet, LMR, PLR, SII, CRP, CAR, hemoglobulin and albumin levels, changed during NACT (P <  0.05). After separately grouping the patients based on the normal range of hematologic indexes and the change rate (α) of systemic inflammatory and nutritional markers by the cutoff value derived from X-tile (P <  0.05), we found that differentiation, TRG, pre-NACT BMI, pre-NACT platelet counts, post-NACT lymphocyte counts, the change in lymphocyte counts, change in platelet counts and LMR(α), PLR(α), SII(α), and CAR(α) were associated with OS. Multivariate analysis revealed that PLR (α) > - 19% was correlated with a 3.193-fold (95% CI: 2.194-4.649) higher risk of death (P <  0.001) than others.

CONCLUSION

NACT could significantly change several inflammatory and nutritional markers in the perioperative period; the platelet counts before NACT, and the change in lymphocytes during NACT truly correlated with long-term outcomes among patients with advanced gastric cancer. The systemic inflammatory marker PLR may be a reliable marker for the prediction of prognosis.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte Ratio and Histological Response Correlate With Prognosis of Gastric Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND/AIM

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for advanced gastric cancer (GC) and esophagogastric junction cancer (EGC) is expected to effectively control the tumor; however, histological tumor response and immune function markers as prognostic factors for NAC remain unknown. This study assessed the prognostic significance of histological response and immune function markers in patients undergoing NAC for GC and EGC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Forty-two patients who underwent NAC followed by surgical resection for operable advanced GC or EGC from January 2007 to December 2019 were divided into two groups based on histological response. Overall survival (OS), tumor response, and immune function markers, such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were the outcomes analyzed.

RESULTS

The 5-year OS for Grade 2b-3 (n=10, responder group) according to the Japanese Gastric Cancer Classification was 72.0% with a favorable prognosis, compared with 33.3% for Grade 0-1a (n=18), and 46.8% for Grade 1b-2a (n=14) in the non-responder group. There was no significant difference in the background between the two groups regarding clinical status or immune function markers. In a multivariate analysis of immune function markers, the NLR value before NAC was significantly associated with prognosis (p=0.048). Patients with an NLR value <3.4 had a favorable OS (p=0.03).

CONCLUSION

Histological response scores for Grade 2b or higher may help predict a favorable prognosis for patients undergoing NAC for advanced GC and EGC. The outcomes may be further improved by considering NLR values.

Nomogram Based on Preoperative Fibrinogen and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index Predicting Recurrence and Prognosis of Patients with Borrmann Type III Advanced Gastric Cancer

Background and Objectives

The prognosis is known to differ significantly among advanced gastric cancer (AGC) with Borrmann type III. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis of these patients more individually.

Methods

We selected 542 AGC patients with Borrmann type III. We used the receiver operating characteristic curve to analyze the cutoff values of inflammation indexes, and used Kaplan-Meier and Log rank tests to analyze recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The independent risk factors for recurrence and prognosis were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression model. The nomogram models were constructed by R studio.

Results

Patients with high preoperative fibrinogen (F) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) levels had worse RFS and OS and higher risk of postoperative locoregional recurrence, hematogenous metastasis and lymph node metastasis. F and SII can combine with different clinicopathological features (all P<0.05) to construct nomograms to predict 5-year recurrence and prognosis, which both were superior to pTNM stage alone.

Conclusion

The nomogram models based on F and SII can evaluate AGC with Borrmann type III postoperative recurrence and prognosis.

Combined Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin, Fibrinogen, and Albumin (MF-A) Is a Novel Prognostic Marker in Patients with Resectable Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The aim was to systematically select blood markers routinely tested in clinical settings, which are independently associated with overall survival (OS) and are able to stratify prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients undergoing esophagectomy.

METHODS

We selected optimal blood markers for prognostic stratification from 60 candidates in a clinical cohort of 1819 consecutive patients with resectable ESCC in China. Selection was carried out using two-step multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for multifaceted confounders. A composite index was developed by multiplying risk factors and dividing them by protective factors.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 48.07 months, 641 deaths occurred in the 1819 patients and the 5-year OS was 56.30%. Two risk factors (mean corpuscular hemoglobin, fibrinogen) and a protective factor (albumin), all dichotomized and assigned values 1 and 2, were used to construct the composite index marker "MF-A". Three risk groups were created based on the MF-A score including low- (0.5), moderate- (1), and high-risk groups (2 and 4). Compared with patients in the low-risk group (1184/1778, 66.59%), those in the moderate- (488, 27.45%), and high-risk (106, 5.96%) groups were at elevated risk of death (adjusted HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.11-1.57; adjusted HR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.56-2.75; P_trend < 10^-7). Within each TNM stage grouping, OS also trended to be significantly worse as the MF-A score increased.

CONCLUSIONS

"MF-A" is a novel independent predictor which may be used to estimate and stratify prognosis for ESCC patients undergoing esophagectomy.

Design and Development of an Intelligent System for Predicting 5-Year Survival in Gastric Cancer

Background

Gastric cancer remains one of the leading causes of worldwide cancer-specific deaths. Accurately predicting the survival likelihood of gastric cancer patients can inform caregivers to boost patient prognostication and choose the best possible treatment path. This study intends to develop an intelligent system based on machine learning (ML) algorithms for predicting the 5-year survival status in gastric cancer patients.

Methods

A data set that includes the records of 974 gastric cancer patients retrospectively was used. First, the most important predictors were recognized using the Boruta feature selection algorithm. Five classifiers, including J48 decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM) with radial basic function (RBF) kernel, bootstrap aggregating (Bagging), hist gradient boosting (HGB), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), were trained for predicting gastric cancer survival. The performance of the used techniques was evaluated with specificity, sensitivity, likelihood ratio, and total accuracy. Finally, the system was developed according to the best model.

Results

The stage, position, and size of tumor were selected as the 3 top predictors for gastric cancer survival. Among the 6 selected ML algorithms, the HGB classifier with the mean accuracy, mean specificity, mean sensitivity, mean area under the curve, and mean F1-score of 88.37%, 86.24%, 89.72%, 88.11%, and 89.91%, respectively, gained the best performance.

Conclusions

The ML models can accurately predict the 5-year survival and potentially act as a customized recommender for decision-making in gastric cancer patients. The developed system in our study can improve the quality of treatment, patient safety, and survival rates; it may guide prescribing more personalized medicine.

Lymph node ratio is a prospective prognostic indicator for locally advanced gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Background

The accuracy of lymph node ratio (LNR) as a prognostic index remains to be proven for gastric cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). This study sought to investigate the prognostic value of LNR in locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) patients after NACT.

Methods

LAGC patients with clinical TNM stages 2–3, Her2(−), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, scores 0–2 are routinely scheduled with NACT. Patients with LAGC after NACT and surgical operation between January 2012 and October 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The correlation between LNR and survival was investigated.

Results

Overall, 148 patients were enrolled: 103 with low-LNR (LNR ≤ 30%) and 45 with high-LNR (LNR > 30%). Approximately, 50.5% and 24.4% patients responded to NACT at the primary site in the low-LNR and high-LNR groups, respectively. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of low-LNR group were considerably better than those of high-LNR group (3-year OS: 81.9% vs 18.5%, P < 0.001; 3-year PFS: 72.6% vs 13.5%, P < 0.001). In the low-LNR group, OS and PFS were superior in patients with tumor regression grade (TRG) 0–2 than in those with TRG 3 (3-year OS: 89.2% vs 73.2%, P = 0.086; 3-year PFS: 80.3% vs 66.5%, P = 0.036). In association with OS and PFS, the degree of tumor differentiation, TRG, and LNR were identified as predictive factors, and LNR was identified as the independent prognostic factor in univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively.

Conclusions

LNR is a prospective index of prognosis in patients with LAGC after NACT.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12957-022-02725-9.

Prognostic factors of perioperative FLOT regimen in operable gastric and gastroesophageal junction tumors: real-life data (Turkish Oncology Group)

BACKGROUND

Perioperative FLOT regimen is a standard of care in locally advanced operable gastric and GEJ adenocarcinoma. We aimed to determine the efficacy, prognostic factors of perioperative FLOT chemotherapy in real-life gastric and GEJ tumors.

METHODS

The data of patients who were treated with perioperative FLOT chemotherapy were retrospectively analyzed from 34 different oncology centers in Turkey. Baseline clinical and demographic characteristics, pretreatment laboratory values, histological and molecular characteristics were recorded.

RESULTS

A total of 441 patients were included in the study. The median of age our study population was 60 years. The majority of patients with radiological staging were cT3-4N(+) (89.9%, n = 338). After median 13.5 months (IQR: 8.5-20.5) follow-up, the median overall survival was NR (95% CI, NR to NR), and median disease free survival was 22.9 (95% CI, 18.6 to 27.3) months. The estimated overall survival at 24 months was 62%. Complete pathological response (pCR) and near pCR was achieved in 23.8% of all patients. Patients with lower NLR or PLR have significantly longer median OS (p = 0.007 and p = 0.033, respectively), and patients with lower NLR have significantly longer median DFS (p = 0.039), but PLR level did not affect DFS (p = 0.062). The OS and DFS of patients with better ECOG performance scores and those who could receive FLOT as adjuvant chemotherapy instead of other regimens were found to be better. NLR was found to be independent prognostic factor for OS in the multivariant analysis. At least one adverse event reported in 57.6% of the patients and grade 3-4 toxicity was seen in 23.6% patients.

DISCUSSION

Real-life perioperative FLOT regimen in operable gastric and GEJ tumors showed similar oncologic outcomes compared to clinical trials. Better performance status, receiving adjuvant chemotherapy as same regimen, low grade and low NLR and PLR improved outcomes in real-life. However, in multivariate analysis, only NLR affected OS.

The Prognostic Value of Gastric Immune Prognostic Index in Gastric Cancer Patients Treated With PD-1/PD-L1 Inhibitors

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the gastric immune prognostic index (GIPI) in gastric cancer patients treated with programmed death 1/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-1/PD-L1) inhibitors.

Methods: This study was conducted to elucidate the role of GIPI using the data from 146 gastric cancer patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors between August 2016 and December 2020 in Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital. The GIPI calculation was based on dNLR and LDH. Patients were categorized into three groups: 1) GIPI good (LDH ≤250 U/L and dNLR ≤3); 2) GIPI intermediate (LDH &gt;250 U/L and NLR &gt;3); 3) GIPI poor (LDH &gt;250 U/L and dNLR &gt;3). The correlations between GIPI and clinicopathologic characteristics were determined by the Chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test. The Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to calculate and compare progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to detect prognostic and predictive factors of PFS and OS.

Results: 146 patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors were included in this study, of which, 72.6% were GIPI good, 23.3% were GIPI intermediate, and 4.1% were GIPI poor. The GIPI was associated with the common blood parameters, including neutrophils and lymphocytes. The multivariate analysis showed that platelet, TNM stage, and treatment were the independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS. Patients with GIPI intermediate/poor were associated with shorter PFS (median: 24.63 vs. 32.50 months; p = 0.078) and OS (median: 28.37 months vs. not reached; p = 0.033) than those with GIPI good. GIPI intermediate/poor was correlated with shorter PFS and OS than GIPI good, especially in subgroups of patients with ICI treatment and patients with PD-1/PD-L1 positive status.

Conclusions: The GIPI correlated with poor outcomes for PD-1/PD-L1 expression status and may be useful for identifying gastric cancer patients who are unlikely to benefit from treatment.

Focal Adhesion-Related Signatures Predict the Treatment Efficacy of Chemotherapy and Prognosis in Patients with Gastric Cancer

Background

The current tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system is insufficient for predicting the efficacy of chemotherapy in patients with gastric cancer (GC). This study aimed to analyze the association between the focal adhesion pathway and therapeutic efficacy of chemotherapy in patients with GC.

Methods

RNA sequencing was performed on 33 clinical samples from patients who responded or did not respond to treatment prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The validation sets containing 696 GC patients with RNA data from three cohorts (PKUCH, TCGA, and GSE14210) were analyzed. A series of machine learning and bioinformatics approaches was combined to build a focal adhesion-related signature model to predict the treatment efficacy and prognosis of patients with GC.

Results

Among the various signaling pathways associated with cancer, focal adhesion was identified as a risk factor related to the treatment efficacy of chemotherapy and prognosis in patients with GC. The focal adhesion-related gene model (FAscore) discriminated patients with a high FAscore who are insensitive to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in our training cohort, and the predicted value was further verified in the GSE14210 cohort. Survival analysis also demonstrated that patients with high FAscores had a relatively shorter survival compared to those with low FAscores. In addition, we found that the levels of tumor mutation burden (TMB) and microsatellite instability (MSI) increased with an increase in FAscore, and the tumor microenvironment (TME) also shifted to a pro-tumor immune microenvironment.

Conclusion

The FAscore model can be used to predict the treatment efficacy of chemotherapy and select appropriate treatment strategies for patients with GC.

Prognostic significance of serum inflammation indices for different tumor infiltrative pattern types of gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory indices are considered to be potential prognostic biomarkers for patients with gastric cancer (GC). However, there is no evidence defining the prognostic significance of inflammatory indices for GC with different tumor infiltrative pattern (INF) types.

AIM

To evaluate the significance of inflammatory indices and INF types in predicting the prognosis of patients with GC.

METHODS

A total of 962 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy were retrospectively selected for this study. Patients were categorized into the expansive growth type (INFa), the intermediate type (INFb), and the infiltrative growth type (INFc) groups. The cutoff values of inflammatory indices were analyzed by receiver operating characteristic curves. The Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test were used to analyze overall survival (OS). The chi-square test was used to analyze the association between inflammatory indices and clinical characteristics. The independent risk factors for prognosis in each group were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses based on logistic regression. Nomogram models were constructed by R studio.

RESULTS

The INFc group had the worst OS (P < 0.001). The systemic immune-inflammation index (P = 0.039) and metastatic lymph node ratio (mLNR) (P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for prognosis in the INFa group. The platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P = 0.018), age (P = 0.026), body mass index (P = 0.003), and postsurgical tumor node metastasis (pTNM) stage (P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for prognosis in the INFb group. The PLR (P = 0.021), pTNM stage (P = 0.028), age (P = 0.021), and mLNR (P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for prognosis in the INFc group. The area under the curve of the nomogram model for predicting 5-year survival in the INFa group, INFb group, and INFc group was 0.787, 0.823, and 0.781, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The outcome of different INF types GC patients could be assessed by nomograms based on different inflammatory indices and clinicopathologic features.

Systemic-Immune-Inflammation Index as a Promising Biomarker for Predicting Perioperative Ischemic Stroke in Older Patients Who Underwent Non-cardiac Surgery

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the clinical prognostic values of the preoperative systemic-immune-inflammation index (SII) in older patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery, using perioperative ischemic stroke as the primary outcome.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included older patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery between January 2008 and August 2019. The patients were divided into SII < 583 and SII ≥ 583 group according to the optimal SII cut-off value. The outcome of interest was ischemic stroke within 30 days after surgery. Primary, sensitivity, and subgroup analyses were performed to confirm that preoperative SII qualifies as a promising, independent prognostic indicator. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was further applied to address the potential residual confounding effect of covariates to examine the robustness of our results.

Results

Among the 40,670 included patients with a median age of 70 years (interquartile range: 67, 74), 237 (0.58%) experienced an ischemic stroke within 30 days after surgery. SII ≥ 583 was associated with an increased risk of perioperative ischemic stroke in multivariate regression analysis [odds ratio (OR), 1.843; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.369-2.480; P < 0.001]. After PSM adjustment, all covariates were well balanced between the two groups. The correlation between the SII and perioperative ischemic stroke remained significantly robust (OR: 2.195; 95% CI: 1.574-3.106; P < 0.001) in the PSM analysis.

Conclusion

Preoperative SII, which includes neutrophil, platelet, and lymphocyte counts obtained from routine blood analysis, was a potential prognostic biomarker for predicting perioperative ischemic stroke after non-cardiac surgery in elderly older patients. An elevated SII, based on an optimal cut-off value of 583, was an independent risk factor for perioperative ischemic stroke.

Systematic Review of Prognostic Role of Blood Cell Ratios in Patients with Gastric Cancer Undergoing Surgery

Various blood cell ratios exist which seem to have an impact on prognosis for resected gastric cancer patients. The aim of this systematic review was to investigate the prognostic role of blood cell ratios in patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery in a curative attempt. A systematic literature search in MEDLINE (via PubMed), CENTRAL, and Web of Science was performed. Information on survival and cut-off values from all studies investigating any blood cell ratio in resected gastric cancer patients were extracted. Prognostic significance and optimal cut-off values were calculated by meta-analyses and a summary of the receiver operating characteristic. From 2831 articles, 65 studies investigated six different blood cell ratios (prognostic nutritional index (PNI), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR)). There was a significant association for the PNI and NLR with overall survival and disease-free survival and for LMR and NLR with 5-year survival. The used cut-off values had high heterogeneity. The available literature is flawed by the use of different cut-off values hampering evidence-based patient treatment and counselling. This article provides optimal cut-off values recommendations for future research.

The Effect of Inflammatory Markers on the Survival of Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients Who Underwent Anti-Programmed Death 1 Therapy

Purpose

This clinical study sought to determine whether the levels of inflammatory markers predicted the survival of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients who underwent anti-programmed death 1 (PD-1) therapy.

Methods

Using AGC patient plasma samples and baseline characteristics, we investigated the specific value of inflammatory markers in AGC from a clinical perspective in immunotherapy.

Results

One hundred and six patients with AGC who underwent anti-PD-1 therapy were enrolled in this study between 20 July 2019 and 16 March 2021. A significant decrease in NLR, dNLR, and SII was noticed among the PR (P=0.023; P=0.036; P=0.001), SD (P=0.048; P=0.022; P=0.023), ORR (P=0.021; P=0.032; P=0.001), and DCR (P=0.003; P=0.001; P<0.001) groups after anti-PD-1 therapy. Additionally, a significant decline of PLR was also observed in PR (P=0.010), ORR (P=0.007), and DCR (P=0.005) after anti-PD-1 therapy. Only MLR levels increased significantly at the time of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy the failure compared to baseline (P=0.039). And statistically significant elevations in NLR (P=0.001), MLR (P=0.020), dNLR (P=0.002), and SII (P=0.019) were found in failure of anti-PD-1 treatment compared to optimal efficacy in AGC patients. In first-line treatment, the number of metastatic sites (P=0.001) was an independent prognostic factor for PFS, and peritoneal metastases (P=0.004) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) level (P=0.014) were independent prognostic predictors of OS according to Cox regression analysis. In second-line or posterior treatment, the number of metastatic sites (P=0.007), ECOG (P=0.011), and PLR level (P=0.033) were independent prognostic factors for PFS in AGC patients, and the number of metastatic sites (P=0.003), differentiation (P=0.030), and NLR level (P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors for OS according to Cox regression analysis.

Conclusions

NLR, PLR, MLR, dNLR, and SII can reflect the short-term efficacy of immunotherapy in patients who underwent anti-PD-1 therapy with AGC. PLR is an independent prognostic factor for OS in AGC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy and PFS in those receiving second-line or posterior immunotherapy. And NLR was an independent prognostic factor for OS in AGC patients receiving second-line or posterior immunotherapy. The number of metastatic sites was significantly associated with the prognosis of AGC patients who received immunotherapy.

Survival Prediction Capabilities of Preoperative Inflammatory and Nutritional Status in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Studies have revealed the impacts of various inflammatory and nutritional markers in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We evaluated the prognostic values of multiple inflammation- or nutrition-based markers, either alone or in combination with pStage, in ESCC patients.

METHODS

In total, 360 patients undergoing upfront surgery for ESCC were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic capabilities of 7 inflammatory and 3 nutritional parameters were investigated. Furthermore, we devised new staging systems by adding these markers to pStage and examined the prognostic abilities of our new approach. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and the areas under the curve (AUCs) were estimated to compare prognostic capabilities among the parameters.

RESULTS

The AUCs for predicting overall survival (OS) of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), CRP to albumin ration (CAR), lymphocyte to CRP ratio (LCR) and the Naples prognostic score (NPS) were similar to that of pStage. Notably, CAR and LCR showed high predictive capabilities for OS (AUCs; 0.627 and 0.634 for 3-year OS, respectively). New staging systems combining inflammatory or nutritional markers with pStage provided higher AUCs for predicting OS than pStage alone. In particular, NPpStage (NPS and pStage) (P = 0.03), PNpStage (PNI and pStage) (P = 0.03) and LCpStage (LCR and pStage) (P = 0.05) showed significantly higher accuracy for predicting OS than pStage alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Various inflammatory or nutritional markers, especially those derived from CRP, are useful for predicting survival outcomes of ESCC patients. The predictive capabilities of these indices were augmented when used in combination with pStage.

Duration of Perioperative Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer: A "Less Is More" Question When ypN0 Is Achieved

Backgrounds

Perioperative chemotherapy (PEC) and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have become a vital part of locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) treatment, but the optimal duration of PEC has not been studied. The aim of this study was to demonstrate the possibility of duration reduction in PEC in the adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) phase for ypN0 patients.

Methods

We included LAGC patients who achieved ypN0 after NAC in our institution from 2005 to 2018. The risk/benefit of AC and other covariates were majorly measured by overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). We developed a survival-tree-based model to determine the optimal PEC duration for ypN0 patients in different classes.

Results

A total of 267 R0 resection patients were included. There were 55 patients who did not receive AC. The 5-year OS was 74.34% in the non-AC group and 83.64% in the AC group with a significant difference (p = 0.012). Multivariate Cox regression revealed that both AC (AC vs. non-AC: HR, 0.49; 95%CI, 0.27–0.88; p = 0.018) and ypT stages (ypT3-4 vs. ypT0-2: HR, 2.00; 95%CI, 1.11–3.59; p = 0.021) were significant protective/risk factors on patients OS and PFS. A decision tree model for OS indicated an optimal four to six cycles of PEC, which was recommended for ypT0-2N0 patients, while a minimum of five PEC cycles was recommended for ypT3-4N0 patients.

Conclusion

AC treatment is still necessary for ypN0. The duration reduction could be applied for the ypT0-2N0 stage patients but may not be suitable for higher ypT stages and beyond. A multicenter-based study is required.

Systemic Inflammation Status Relates to Anti-Inflammatory Drug Benefit and Survival in Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation status has been recognized as a sensitive marker associated with survival in cancers and anti-inflammatory treatment outcomes in inflammation-derived diseases. This study aimed to investigate the role of systemic inflammation status as a predictive marker for survival and anti-inflammatory treatment benefit in rectal cancer patients.

METHODS

A total of 475 patients with stage I-III rectal cancer receiving curative resection were prospectively enrolled. The platelet-neutrophils to lymphocytes ratio (PNLR) that integrates neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios was applied to enable a comprehensive evaluation of systemic inflammation status and investigate its association with survival and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) benefit. Patients were grouped according to baseline PNLR and perioperative use of NSAIDs.

RESULTS

The high-PNLR group had worse 5-y disease-free survival (DFS) compared with the low-PNLR group (61.2% versus 70.9%, P = 0.014). Multivariate analyses confirmed that PNLR was an independent predictor for DFS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, 95% CI: 1.03-1.97, P = 0.031). A nomogram including PNLR and other independent prognostic factors was developed and validated to predict DFS. In the high-PNLR subset, NSAIDs group had a 21.3% lower risk of recurrence than non-NSAIDs group (P = 0.009), and multivariate analysis confirmed the independently significant association of perioperative NSAIDs use with better DFS (hazard ratio 0.36, 95% CI 0.16-0.78, P = 0.010). However, this association was not significant in the low-PLR subset.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline PNLR could be used to predict DFS and NSAIDs benefit in rectal cancer patients. This study highlights the potential survival benefit from the anti-inflammatory treatment in the patients with elevated systemic inflammation status in cancer patients.

Serum zinc deficiency in patients after gastrectomy for gastric cancer

PURPOSE

Zinc is an essential dietary component for humans and the second most prevalent trace element; however, serum zinc levels after gastrectomy have not been fully elucidated. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between clinicopathologic features and serum zinc levels in patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

METHODS

The study enrolled 617 patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer at the Kochi Medical School. Clinical data were obtained to investigate associations between clinicopathological features, including nutritional indicators and serum zinc levels. Serum zinc deficiency was defined as serum zinc level < 80 μg/dL.

RESULTS

The median zinc level of the 617 patients was 73 μg/dL (range, 31-144 μg/dL), and serum zinc deficiency was present in 68.6% of patients. Median age was significantly higher in the zinc low level group than in the normal group (69 vs. 66 years, P < 0.001). Albumin was significantly lower in the zinc low level group than in the normal group (3.9 vs. 4.2 g/dL, P < 0.001). C-reactive protein level was significantly higher in the zinc low level group than in the normal group (0.12 vs. 0.10 mg/dL, P = 0.014). The median serum zinc level was significantly lower in the patients who received chemotherapy after gastrectomy than in those who were not received chemotherapy (72 vs. 76 μg/dL, P < 0.001). Serum zinc levels showed a significant positive correlation with serum albumin (r = 0.505, P = 0.044). Multivariate analysis showed that serum albumin level was significantly associated with serum zinc level (β = 0.489, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum zinc deficiency was found in 68.6% of postoperative patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer, which was highly correlated with serum albumin.

Prognostic nutritional index and systemic immune-inflammation index are prognostic biomarkers for non-small-cell lung cancer brain metastases

Aim: This research aimed to elucidate the prognosis values of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and clinical characteristics in NSCLC patients with brain metastases (BM) underwent radiotherapy. Materials & methods: Cut-off points of hematological indicators were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve. Overall survival was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model. Results: We retrospectively analyzed 214 patients from January 2009 to December 2018. The result demonstrated the independent prognostic values of PNI (hazard ratio: 0.600; p = 0.004) and SII (hazard ratio: 1.486; p = 0.019). The remaining clinicopathologic factors, including brain radiotherapy modality, smoking history, numbers of brain metastases, intracranial symptoms and Radiation Therapy Oncology Group - recursive partitioning analysis, were independently related to survival (p < 0.05). Conclusion: PNI and SII could be critical prognostic indicators for NSCLC patients with BM.

Combination of tumor markers predicts progression and pathological response in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy treatment

BACKGROUND

The prognostic values of preoperative tumor markers (TMs) remain elusive in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy treatment (NACT). This study aimed to assess and establish a novel scoring system incorporating carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 72-4 (CA72-4) to enhance prognostic accuracy for progression-free survival (PFS) and pathological response (pCR).

METHODS

Patients' data were retrospectively analyzed from December 2006 to December 2017 in our center. The cutoff value of TMs was determined using the time-dependent receiver operating test characteristics method. These three TMs were allocated 1 point each for the post neoadjuvant chemotherapy combination of tumor markers (post-NACT CTM) scores. The training group comprised 533 patients, responsible for full analysis, and the validation group comprised 137 patients based on the selection protocol.

RESULTS

Of 533 enrolled patients, 138, 233, 117, and 45 patients scored 0, 1, 2, 3 respectively. The 3-year PFS rate Multivariate analysis revealed that post-NACT CTM score was an independent predictor of PFS (0 vs. 1, HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 0.92-1.96, P = 0.128; 0 vs. 2, HR: 2.03, 95% CI: 1.35-3.05, P = 0.001; 0 vs. 3, HR: 2.98, 95% CI: 1.83-4.86, P < 0.001). The time-dependent area under curve (AUC) revealed a consistent highest level for post-NACT CTM than other three single TMs. Lower post-NACT CTM score significantly correlated with higher pCR rate based on multivariate logistic regression (2/3 vs. 1, OR: 2.77, 95% CI: 0.90-8.53, P = 0.077; 2/3 vs. 0, OR: 4.33, 95% CI: 1.38-13.61, P = 0.012). A nomogram was formed with both internal and external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

The post-NACT CTM score system served as a strong independent predictor for PFS and pCR in LAGC patients who received NACT. Further population-based studies are required to confirm our results.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Circulating Tumor Cells Counts Predict Prognosis in Gastrointestinal Cancer Patients

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to explore the prognostic value of associating pre-treatment neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with circulating tumor cells counts (CTCs) in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

Materials and Methods

We collected the related data of 72 patients with gastric cancer (GC) and colorectal cancer (CRC) who received different therapies from August 2016 to October 2020, including age, gender, primary tumor location, TNM stage, tumor-differentiation, NLR, CTCs, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). We chose the optimal cut-off value of NLR >3.21 or NLR ≤3.21 and CTC >1 or CTC ≤1 by obtaining receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were used to analyze DFS and OS. To clarify the role of the combination of NLR and CTCs counts in predicting the prognosis, we analyzed the DFS and OS when associated NLR and CTCs counts.

Results

A high NLR (>3.21) was associated with shorter DFS (P <0.0001) and OS (P <0.0001). Patients with high CTCs level (>1) had shorter DFS (P = 0.001) and OS (P = 0.0007) than patients with low CTCs level. Furthermore, patients who had both higher NLR and higher CTCs counts had obvious shorter DFS (P <0.0001) and OS (P <0.0001).

Conclusions

Patients with higher NLR and more CTCs respectively tended to have poor prognosis with shorter DFS and OS, which might be regarded as predictors of gastrointestinal cancer. In particular, associating NLR and CTCs counts might be a reliable predictor in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

The prognostic value of inflammation markers in postoperative gliomas with or without adjuvant treatments

Recent studies have shown that some inflammatory markers are associated with the prognosis of solid tumors. This study aims to evaluate the prognosis of glioma patients with or without adjuvant treatment using the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR).All patients who were diagnosed with gliomas at the first and second affiliated hospital of Guangxi Medical University between 2011 and 2020 were included in this study. The optimal cutoff value of SII, NLR, and PLR was determined by X-tile software program. We stratified patients into several groups and evaluated the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of SII, NLR, and PLR during the period of pre-surgical, con-chemoradiotherapy, and post-treatments. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to detect the relationships between OS, PFS, and prognostic variables.A total of 67 gliomas patients were enrolled in the study. The cutoff values of SII, NLR, and PLR were 781.5 × 109/L, 2.9 × 109/L, and 123.2 × 109/L, respectively. Patients who are pre-SII < 781.5 × 109/L had better PFS (P = .027), but no difference in OS. In addition, patients who had low pre-NLR (<2.9 × 109/L) meant better OS and PFS. PLR after adjuvant treatments (post-PLR) was significantly higher than pre-PLR (P = .035). Multivariate analyses revealed that pre-SII, pre-NLR were independent prognostic factors for OS (pre-SII: HR 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = .030 and pre-PLR: HR 0.983, 95% CI: 0.973-0.994, P = .001), while pre-PLR was an independent factor for PFS (HR 0.989, 95% CI: 0.979-1.000, P = .041).High pre-SII or high pre-NLR could be prognostic markers to identify glioma patients who had a poor prognosis.

Development and External Validation a Novel Inflammation-Based Score for Acute Kidney Injury and Prognosis in Intensive Care Unit Patients

Purpose

We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of an integrated score based on several inflammatory indices of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients in the intensive care unit (ICU).

Patients and Methods

In this observational study, 2555 patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database were randomly assigned to the test set (n=1599) and internal validation set (n=656). Moreover, 412 coronary care unit patients from Zhongnan Hospital, Wuhan University were also included in the external validation set. The AKI-specific inflammatory index (ASII) was created using various inflammatory indices significantly associated with AKI. We further developed and validated two nomograms based on the ASII and other informative clinical features of AKI and prognosis.

Results

The ASII was calculated as 2.317×MLR+0.417×GPS+0.007×ALRI. In the training set, patients with a high ASII had a higher risk of incident AKI (odds ratio [OR], 5.33; 95% confidence index [CI], 3.60–7.88; P<0.001) than those with a low ASII with or without pre-existing chronic kidney disease. The nomograms for AKI and prognosis based on the ASII and other significant clinical characteristics had high predictive value in the prediction of AKI and prognosis in patients in the ICU. Moreover, the results in the internal validation set and in the external validation cohort were almost consistent with those in the training set.

Conclusion

The ASII is an AKI-specific tool based on the combination of available inflammatory indices. A high ASII is a strong predictor of a higher risk of AKI and worse survival outcomes in patients in the ICU.

Association of Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio With Survival in Advanced Gastric Cancer Patients Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor

Background

Optimal prognostic biomarkers for patients with gastric cancer who received immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) are lacking. Inflammatory markers including lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic inflammation index (SII) are easily available. However, its correlation with ICI is unknown in gastric cancer. Here, we evaluated the potential association between LMR, PLR, and SII with clinical outcomes in gastric cancer patients undergoing ICI therapy.

Methods

We examined LMR, PLR, SII at baseline, and 6 (± 2) weeks later in 139 patients received ICI therapy between August 2015 and April 2019 at Peking University Cancer Hospital (Beijing, China). Landmark analysis at 6 weeks was conducted to explore the prognostic value of LMR, PLR, and SII on progress-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compute mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for LMR, adjusting for potential confounders including age, sex, ECOG, tumor location, tumor differentiation, tumor stage, line of therapy, and type of anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy.

Results

Among 139 patients, 103 (74.1%) were male, median age was 60 years. Median duration of therapy was 6 cycles. We observed that both LMR at baseline and week 6 were independent prognostic factors. Patients with a higher LMR (≥ 3.5) at baseline or week 6 had superior PFS [baseline: HR 0.58, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.38–0.91; week 6: HR 0.48, 95% CI: 0.29–0.78] and OS (baseline: HR 0.38, 95% CI: 0.24–0.62; week 6: HR 0.52, 95% CI: 0.31–0.88) compared with patients with a lower LMR (< 3.5). Furthermore, for patients with both LMR ≥ 3.5 at baseline and LMR ≥ 3.5 at week 6 were estimated to have much better PFS (HR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.23–0.72) and OS (HR 0.34, 95% CI: 0.18–0.64) than patients with both LMR < 3.5 at baseline and LMR < 3.5 at week 6.

Conclusions

Baseline and early changes in LMR were strongly associated with survival in gastric cancer patients who received ICI therapy, and may serve to identify patients most likely to benefit from ICI.

Predictive value of NLR, TILs (CD4+/CD8+) and PD-L1 expression for prognosis and response to preoperative chemotherapy in gastric cancer

The combination of perioperative chemotherapy plus complete surgical resection is currently accounted as the first-choice strategy in patients with locally advanced Gastric Cancer (LAGC). Nevertheless, the partial response rate makes it necessary to search biological parameters useful to select patients who would benefit most from neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAD-CT). We performed a retrospective analysis on a cohort of 65 LAGC cases, EBV negative and without MMR defect, submitted to perioperative chemotherapy plus surgical resection. We evaluated the neutrophil-lymphocytes ratio (NLR) in peripheral blood, the TILs density (reported as CD4/CD8 tissue ratio) and PD-L1 expression by immunohistochemistry on bioptic tissues before the treatment. Results were correlated with the biological features, histological response (TRG) and clinical outcome (PFS and OS). We found that NLR, TILs and PD-L1 expression showed a significant correlation with TNM stage, lymphovascular invasion and response to NAD-CT (TRG). Correlating the NLR, TILs and PD-L1 expression with PFS and OS, we found that patients with lower NLR levels (< 2.5 ratio), lower TILs (< 0.2 ratio) and higher PD-L1 level (CPS ≥ 1) had a significantly better PFS and OS than those with higher NLR, higher TILs and lower PD-L1 expression (p < 0.0001). Multivariate and multiple regression analyses confirmed the predictive and prognostic role of all three parameters, especially when all three parameters are combined. Our study demonstrated that pre-treatment NLR, TILs and PD-L1 expression are predictive and prognostic parameters in NAD-CT-treated LAGC suggesting a pivotal role of the systemic and tumor microenvironment immunological profile in the response to chemotherapy.

Prognostic value of systemic immune-inflammatory index in survival outcome in gastric cancer: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, many studies have reported that the systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) can be used to predict the prognosis of cancer patients; however, this finding remains controversial in gastric cancer (GC). Therefore, the purpose of this study was to systematically and comprehensively probe the prognostic role of SII in GC.

METHODS

Relevant publications were extracted from PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library databases, and WANFANG DATA (Chinese database). The included studies had patients with pathologically confirmed GC and long-term follow-up data. The patient's outcome was death, recurrence, or status at the end of follow-up. The studies included randomized controlled tests, case-control studies, or cohort studies using a multivariate proportional hazard model adjusted for survival outcomes. Cochran's Q test and Higgins' I-squared statistic were performed to assess heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed by visual inspection of a Begg's funnel plot.

RESULTS

A total of 6,925 patients in 11 studies were included. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) indicated that a higher SII value was significantly associated with worse overall survival (OS) [HR: 1.53, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27-1.83] and worse disease-free survival (DFS) (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.24-1.97) in GC patients. In the subgroup analysis, the HR was 1.72 (95% CI: 1.51-1.95) and 1.27 (95% CI: 0.96-1.67) in the group of patients aged <59 and ≥59 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The pooled HR indicates that a higher SII in younger patients with GC predicts a poor prognosis. In elderly patients with GC, the prognostic role of SII needs further research.

Pre-therapy serum albumin-to-globulin ratio in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma

PURPOSE

The accurate selection of patients who are most likely to benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an important challenge in oncology. Serum AGR has been found to be associated with oncological outcomes in various malignancies. We assessed the association of pre-therapy serum albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) with pathologic response and oncological outcomes in patients treated with neoadjuvant platin-based chemotherapy followed by radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for clinically non-metastatic UTUC.

METHODS

We retrospectively included all clinically non-metastatic patients from a multicentric database who had neoadjuvant platin-based chemotherapy and RNU for UTUC. After assessing the pretreatment AGR cut-off value, we found 1.42 to have the maximum Youden index value. The overall population was therefore divided into two AGR groups using this cut-off (low, < 1.42 vs high, ≥ 1.42). A logistic regression was performed to measure the association with pathologic response after NAC. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses tested the association of AGR with OS and RFS.

RESULTS

Of 172 patients, 58 (34%) patients had an AGR < 1.42. Median follow-up was 26 (IQR 11-56) months. In logistic regression, low AGR was not associated with pathologic response. On univariable analyses, pre-therapy serum AGR was neither associated with OS HR 1.15 (95% CI 0.77-1.74; p = 0.47) nor RFS HR 1.48 (95% CI 0.98-1.22; p = 0.06). These results remained true regardless of the response to NAC.

CONCLUSION

Pre-therapy low serum AGR before NAC followed by RNU for clinically high-risk UTUC was not associated with pathological response or long-term oncological outcomes. Biomarkers that can complement clinical factors in UTUC are needed as clinical staging and risk stratification are still suboptimal leading to both over and under treatment despite the availability of effective therapies.

Creation of a Novel Inflammation-Based Score for Operable Colorectal Cancer Patients

Aim

Systemic inflammation has been implicated in the progression of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). We evaluated the prognostic ability of a comprehensive score based on several inflammatory indexes in operable CRC patients.

Patients and Methods

Between July 2013 and September 2017, this study retrospectively identified 1279 CRC patients receiving radical surgery in Wuhan Union Hospital and randomly assigned them into training (N=921) and validation (N=358) sets. A novel score, the CRC-specific inflammatory index (CSII), was developed from a series of inflammatory indexes significantly associated with survival in patients with CRC. This novel score was then divided into three categories and compared to the well-known systematic inflammatory index (SII) and TNM stage. Finally, a survival nomogram was generated by combining the CSII and other informative clinical features.

Results

The CSII-OS was calculated as 1.110×lg ALRI + 1.082×CAR + 0.792×PI, while CSII-DFS was 1.709×lg ALRI + 1.033×CAR based on multivariable Cox regression analysis. Patients with high CSII experienced a worse OS (HR=23.72, 95% CI, 11.30-49.78, P <0.001) and worse DFS (HR=15.62, 95% CI, 6.95-35.08, P <0.001) compared to those in CRC patients with low CSII. Moreover, ROC analyses showed that the CSII possessed excellent performance (AUC=0.859) in predicting OS and DFS. The AUC of the OS nomogram based on CSII, TNM stage, and chemotherapy was 0.897, while that of the DFS nomogram based on CSII, T stage, and TNM stage was 0.873. High-quality calibration curves in both OS and DFS nomograms were observed. Verification in the validation dataset showed results consistent with those in the training dataset.

Conclusion

The CSII is a CRC-specific prognostic score based on the combination of available inflammatory indexes. High CSII is a strong predictor of worse survival outcomes. The CSII also exhibits better predictive performance compared to SII or TNM stage in operable CRC patients.

Preoperative Monocyte-to-lymphocyte Ratio Predicts for Intravesical Recurrence in Patients With Urothelial Carcinoma of the Upper Urinary Tract After Radical Nephroureterectomy Without a History of Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the preoperative monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) as a biomarker for intravesical recurrence (IVR) in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for the first time.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study involved the clinical data of 255 patients with UTUC without a history of bladder cancer who had undergone RNU from March 2004 to February 2019 at an academic institution. The associations between MLR and IVR were assessed with Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 43.93 months. Of the 255 patients, 37 developed IVR during the follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with high MLR (> 0.22) had poor IVR-free survival (P = .001); this prognostic value was in accordance with patients with high grade and more advanced stage UTUC. Cox regression preoperative models showed that ureteral tumor site (hazard ratio [HR], 2.784; P = .005), surgical approach (HR, 2.745; P = .008), and high MLR (HR, 4.085; P < .001) were an independent risk factor for IVR. These factors were used as a signature to establish a prognostic risk model, which revealed significant differences among the 3 subgroups of patients with low, intermediate, and high risk (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Ureteral tumor site, surgical approach, and preoperative MLR are significant predictors for IVR in patients with UTUC after RNU. MLR may become a useful biomarker to predict IVR in patients with UTUC after RNU.

Indications of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced Gastric Cancer patients based on pre-treatment clinicalpathological and laboratory parameters

Objective: There are controversial indications for neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAT) in the treatment of locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC). Here, we aimed to identify indications for NAT based on pre-treatment clinicopathological and laboratory parameters.

Methods: This study included a retrospective cohort of 1083 LAGC patients who had underwent radical D2 gastrectomy in the Cancer Hospital of China Medical University between 2012 and 2016. After propensity score matching, 756 patients were recruited and were separated into NAT (n=378) or primary surgery (PS) (n=378) groups. Cox regression identified pre-treatment risk factors for overall survival (OS). A nomogram was established to predict OS and calculate scores for risk factors. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) determined cut off values, where the entire patient cohort was divided into low and high risk groups.

Results: Seven risk factors that were significantly related to OS were incorporated in the nomogram. These risk factors included age, tumor size, tumor site, carbohydrate antigen 199 (CA199), carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA), clinical T stage (cT) and clinical N stage (cN). The model contained a C-index of 0.637. The calibration curve revealed anticipated values that were reflective of actual values. The decision curve revealed an achievement of optimal clinical impact when threshold possibility was 0-54%. Next, the cohort was split into low (≤ 252 points) or high (> 252 points) risk groups based on the 5-year OS projected by RPA. The PS group showed a worse OS compared to the NAT group for high-risk patients (P =0.004). There was no significant difference when comparing OS between the PS and NAT groups for low-risk patients (P =0.407).

Conclusions: A feasible, quantifiable and practical prognostic tool was generated to screen for potential survival benefits for patients receiving NAT. Surgeons can use this model to identify optimal treatment regimens for individualized treatment strategies during the diagnosis of LAGC patients. For these patients, NAT is suggested for high-risk patients.