A state-wide population-based program for detection of lynch syndrome based upon immunohistochemical and molecular testing of colorectal tumours

The Clinical Outcomes Among Patients Under 60 Years Old with Lynch Syndrome: Variations Based on Different Mutation Patterns

Lynch syndrome (LS)-also known as Hereditary Non-Polyposis Colorectal Cancer (HNPCC)-is caused by pathogenic germline mutations in DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes such as MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2. Although it accounts for only 1-5% of all colorectal cancers (CRCs), LS presents with a particularly high lifetime cancer risk and often occurs at younger ages. Identifying LS in patients under 60 years old is crucial for targeted surveillance and early interventions. Variations in clinical presentation and prognosis may exist based on the specific gene mutated, yet these patterns are not fully elucidated. This review aims to synthesize data on clinical outcomes among LS patients under 60, with an emphasis on how different MMR gene mutation patterns might influence prognosis, survival, and treatment decisions. Five population-based studies examining CRC patients younger than 60 years were included according to predefined eligibility criteria. Two independent reviewers screened and extracted data focusing on MMR deficiency detection methods (microsatellite instability [MSI] and/or immunohistochemistry [IHC]), rates of confirmed germline mutations, frequency of BRAF testing, and clinical endpoints such as stage distribution, survival outcomes, and recurrence. Risk of bias was assessed using standardized tools appropriate to each study design. The synthesis focused on comparing outcomes among individuals with MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2 mutations, as well as delineating the proportion of patients with sporadic MSI under 60 years of age. Across the five studies, MSI positivity in CRC patients under 60 years ranged from 7.5% to 13%. The frequency of confirmed germline MMR mutations varied between 0.8% and 5.2% in specific cohorts, aligning with LS prevalence estimates of 1-5%. Different mutation patterns correlated with some variation in clinical presentation. Cases with MSH2 and MLH1 mutations more frequently exhibited synchronous or metachronous tumors, while MSH6 and PMS2 mutations displayed more heterogeneous IHC patterns. Where survival data were provided, LS patients under 60 years had better overall survival compared to MMR-proficient individuals, though some studies also noted a potential lack of benefit from standard 5-fluorouracil adjuvant therapy in MMR-deficient tumors. Screening by MSI or by IHC-supplemented with BRAF mutation testing to exclude sporadic MSI-facilitates early detection of LS in CRC patients under 60 and highlights notable differences between mutation types. Although overall outcomes for LS patients can be favorable, especially for stage II disease, the precise impact of each specific mutated gene on clinical course remains heterogeneous. Future large-scale prospective studies are needed to clarify optimal screening protocols and individualized treatment strategies for LS patients under 60.

Haplotype analysis detects MLH1 founder variant in Indian Lynch syndrome patient cohort

Lynch syndrome (LS) is an autosomal dominant hereditary cancer predisposition syndrome whereby the lifetime risk of developing gastrointestinal and genitourinary cancers rises by to over 50%. It is caused by heterozygous variants in the DNA mismatch repair genes- MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2, with the majority detected in MLH1 and MSH2. Recurrently observed LS-associated variants in apparently unrelated individuals have either arisen de novo in different families due to mutation hotspots or are inherited from a common ancestor (founder) that lived several generations back. Testing for founder variants can facilitate molecular diagnosis of LS more efficiently and cost effectively than screening for all possible variants in the MMR genes. Here, we report a study of the missense variant c.306G > T in the MLH1 gene, the first potential founder variant identified in LS patients of Indian ethnicity. Haplotype analysis consisting of 25 LS carriers with the MLH1 c.306G > T variant and 100 healthy controls confirmed a shared haplotype in cases spanning a 27.8 kb region encompassing the c.306G > T variant (𝝌2 = 96.418; p = < 0.0001). Age of variant analysis suggests the variant to have arisen in the population approximately 800 years (95% CI: 670-934 years) ago. Furthermore, it is estimated that c.306G > T variant is likely to be observed in 6.4% of all LS patients of Indian ethnicity. These findings have important implications for genetic counselling and molecular diagnosis of Lynch syndrome.

Compliance of a Tertiary Centre With Molecular Testing Strategies for Lynch Syndrome in Colorectal Cancer

Introduction Lynch syndrome is one of the most common hereditary cancers associated with germline alterations of DNA mismatch repair genes. Recent advances have shed light on its molecular pathogenesis, leading to the development of various testing strategies. The aim of this study is to evaluate whether all colorectal adenocarcinomas undergo immunohistochemistry (IHC) and microsatellite instability (MSI) testing to identify potential Lynch syndrome patients. Methods This study evaluated the compliance of MSI and IHC testing for Lynch syndrome in a tertiary cancer research centre. All patients undergoing colorectal cancer resection between April 2022 and December 2022 were identified from a prospectively maintained register. The histology, MSI, and IHC testing reports for these patients were recorded to check if they were done and reported. Only patients with colorectal adenocarcinoma were included in this study. Results A total of 314 patients had colorectal cancer resections. A total of 301 were included in the study, with a median age of 65 years (IQR = 35-95). Thirteen (4.14%) patients did not have MSI and IHC testing reported on the system. Of these, eight (61.53%) did not have an MSI/IHC testing request, four (30.76%) did not have sufficient specimens to be sent for further testing, one (7.69%) had MSI and IHC testing but the final report was yet to be authorized. Out of the eight who did not have the testing done, three had early polyp cancer and one had a goblet cell adenocarcinoma. Conclusion According to the data, our hospital has a 97.45% compliance with current guidelines, not considering the insufficient sample for testing and the authorization of the final report. A more comprehensive proforma may be needed to provide a feedback loop for further MSI and IHC testing when entering data into the system. Further auditing is required to check the effectiveness of the proforma in achieving complete compliance.

Mismatch Repair and Microsatellite Instability Testing for Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy: Guideline From the College of American Pathologists in Collaboration With the Association for Molecular Pathology and Fight Colorectal Cancer

CONTEXT.—

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy for patients with advanced solid tumors that have DNA mismatch repair defects or high levels of microsatellite instability; however, the FDA provided no guidance on which specific clinical assays should be used to determine mismatch repair status.

OBJECTIVE.—

To develop an evidence-based guideline to identify the optimal clinical laboratory test to identify defects in DNA mismatch repair in patients with solid tumor malignancies who are being considered for immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy.

DESIGN.—

The College of American Pathologists convened an expert panel to perform a systematic review of the literature and develop recommendations. Using the National Academy of Medicine-endorsed Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach, the recommendations were derived from available evidence, strength of that evidence, open comment feedback, and expert panel consensus. Mismatch repair immunohistochemistry, microsatellite instability derived from both polymerase chain reaction and next-generation sequencing, and tumor mutation burden derived from large panel next-generation sequencing were within scope.

RESULTS.—

Six recommendations and 3 good practice statements were developed. More evidence and evidence of higher quality were identified for colorectal cancer and other cancers of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract than for cancers arising outside the GI tract.

CONCLUSIONS.—

An optimal assay depends on cancer type. For most cancer types outside of the GI tract and the endometrium, there was insufficient published evidence to recommend a specific clinical assay. Absent published evidence, immunohistochemistry is an acceptable approach readily available in most clinical laboratories.

Cancer Health Assessments Reaching Many (CHARM): A clinical trial assessing a multimodal cancer genetics services delivery program and its impact on diverse populations

Advances in the application of genomic technologies in clinical care have the potential to increase existing healthcare disparities. Studies have consistently shown that only a fraction of eligible patients with a family history of cancer receive recommended cancer genetic counseling and subsequent genetic testing. Care delivery models using pre-test and post-test counseling are not scalable, which contributes to barriers in accessing genetics services. These barriers are even more pronounced for patients in historically underserved populations. We have designed a multimodal intervention to improve subsequent cancer surveillance, by improving the identification of patients at risk for familial cancer syndromes, reducing barriers to genetic counseling/testing, and increasing patient understanding of complex genetic results. We are evaluating this intervention in two large, integrated healthcare systems that serve diverse patient populations (NCT03426878). The primary outcome is the number of diagnostic (hereditary cancer syndrome) findings. We are examining the clinical and personal utility of streamlined pathways to genetic testing using electronic medical record data, surveys, and qualitative interviews. We will assess downstream care utilization of individuals receiving usual clinical care vs. genetic testing through the study. We will evaluate the impacts of a literacy-focused genetic counseling approach versus usual care genetic counseling on care utilization and participant understanding, satisfaction, and family communication. By recruiting participants belonging to historically underserved populations, this study is uniquely positioned to evaluate the potential of a novel genetics care delivery program to reduce care disparities.

Cost-effectiveness of Active Identification and Subsequent Colonoscopy Surveillance of Lynch Syndrome Cases

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The province of Ontario, Canada is considering immunohistochemical followed by cascade analyses of all patients who received a diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) at an age younger than 70 years to identify individuals with Lynch syndrome. We evaluated the costs and benefits of testing for Lynch syndrome and determined the optimal surveillance interval for first-degree relatives (FDRs) found to have Lynch syndrome.

METHODS

We developed a patient flow diagram to determine costs and yield of immunohistochemical testing for Lynch syndrome in CRC cases and, for those found to have Lynch syndrome, their FDRs, accounting for realistic uptake. Subsequently, we used the MISCAN-colon model to compare costs and benefits of annual, biennial, and triennial surveillance in FDRs identified with Lynch syndrome vs colonoscopy screening every 10 years (usual care for individuals without a diagnosis of Lynch syndrome).

RESULTS

Testing 1000 CRC cases was estimated to identify 20 CRC index cases and 29 FDRs with Lynch syndrome at a cost of $310,274. Despite the high cost of Lynch syndrome tests, offering the FDRs with Lynch syndrome biennial colonoscopy surveillance was cost-effective at $8785 per life-year gained compared with usual care because of a substantial increase in life-years gained (+122%) and cost savings in CRC care. Triennial surveillance was more costly and less effective, and annual surveillance showed limited additional benefit compared with biennial surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

Immunohistochemical testing for Lynch syndrome in persons younger than 70 years who received a diagnosis of CRC and then testing FDRs of those found to have Lynch syndrome provide a good balance between costs and long-term benefits. Colonoscopy surveillance every 2 years is the optimal surveillance interval for patients with Lynch syndrome.

Off-label use of common predictive biomarkers in gastrointestinal malignancies: a critical appraisal

The use of immunohistochemistry (IHC) as a companion diagnostic is an increasingly important part of the case workup by pathologists and is often central to clinical decision making. New predictive molecular markers are constantly sought for to improve treatment stratification parallel to drug development. Unfortunately, official biomarker guidelines lag behind, and pathologists are often left hesitating when medical oncologists request off-labelled biomarker testing. We performed a literature review of five commonly requested off-label IHC predictive biomarkers in gastrointestinal tract (GIT) malignancies: HER2, mismatch repair (MMR), PD-L1, BRAF V600E and ROS1. We found that HER2 amplification is rare and poorly associated to IHC overexpression in extracolonic and extragastric GIT cancers; however in KRAS wild type colorectal cancers, which fail conventional treatment, HER2 IHC may be useful and should be considered. For MMR testing, more evidence is needed to recommend reflex testing in GIT cancers for treatment purposes. MMR testing should not be discouraged in patients considered for second line checkpoint inhibitor therapy. With the exception of gastric tumors, PD-L1 IHC is a weak predictor of checkpoint inhibitor response in the GIT and should be replaced by MMR in this context. BRAF inhibitors showed activity in BRAF V600E mutated cholangiocarcinomas and pancreatic carcinomas in non-first line settings. ROS1 translocation is extremely rare and poorly correlated to ROS1 IHC expression in the GIT; currently there is no role for ROS1 IHC testing in GIT cancers. Overall, the predictive biomarker literature has grown exponentially, and official guidelines need to be updated more regularly to support pathologists’ testing decisions.

Haplotype analysis suggest that the MLH1 c.2059C > T mutation is a Swedish founder mutation

Lynch syndrome (LS) predisposes to a spectrum of cancers and increases the lifetime risk of developing colorectal- or endometrial cancer to over 50%. Lynch syndrome is dominantly inherited and is caused by defects in DNA mismatch-repair genes MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 or PMS2, with the vast majority detected in MLH1 and MSH2. Recurrent LS-associated variants observed in apparently unrelated individuals, have either arisen de novo in different families due to mutation hotspots, or are inherited from a founder (a common ancestor) that lived several generations back. There are variants that recur in some populations while also acting as founders in other ethnic groups. Testing for founder mutations can facilitate molecular diagnosis of Lynch Syndrome more efficiently and more cost effective than screening for all possible mutations. Here we report a study of the missense mutation MLH1 c.2059C > T (p.Arg687Trp), a potential founder mutation identified in eight Swedish families and one Finnish family with Swedish ancestors. Haplotype analysis confirmed that the Finnish and Swedish families shared a haplotype of between 0.9 and 2.8 Mb. While MLH1 c.2059C > T exists worldwide, the Swedish haplotype was not found among mutation carriers from Germany or France, which indicates a common founder in the Swedish population. The geographic distribution of MLH1 c.2059C > T in Sweden suggests a single, ancient mutational event in the northern part of Sweden.

Screening for Lynch syndrome in young Saudi colorectal cancer patients using microsatellite instability testing and next generation sequencing

Individuals with Lynch syndrome (LS) have germline variants in DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes that confer a greatly increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), often at a young age. Identification of these individuals has been shown to increase their survival through improved surveillance. We previously identified 33 high risk cases for LS in the Saudi population by screening for microsatellite instability (MSI) in the tumor DNA of 284 young CRC patients. The aim of the present study was to identify MMR gene variants in this cohort of patients. Peripheral blood DNA was obtained from 13 individuals who were at high risk of LS due to positive MSI status and young age (<60 years at diagnosis). Next generation sequencing, Sanger sequencing and Multiplex Ligation-dependent Probe Amplification were used to screen for germline variants in the MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2 MMR genes. These were cross-referenced against several variant databases, including the International Society for Gastrointestinal Hereditary Tumors Incorporated database. Variants with pathogenic or likely pathogenic significance were identified in 8 of the 13 high risk cases (62%), comprising 4 in MLH1 and 4 in MSH2. All carriers had a positive family history for CRC or endometrial cancer. Next generation sequencing is an effective strategy for identifying young CRC patients who are at high risk of LS because of positive MSI status. We estimate that 7% of CRC patients aged <60 years in Saudi Arabia are due to LS, potentially involving around 50 new cases per year.

A Comprehensive Strategy for Accurate Mutation Detection of the Highly Homologous PMS2

Germline mutations in the DNA mismatch repair gene PMS2 underlie the cancer susceptibility syndrome, Lynch syndrome. However, accurate molecular testing of PMS2 is complicated by a large number of highly homologous sequences. To establish a comprehensive approach for mutation detection of PMS2, we have designed a strategy combining targeted capture next-generation sequencing (NGS), multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification, and long-range PCR followed by NGS to simultaneously detect point mutations and copy number changes of PMS2. Exonic deletions (E2 to E9, E5 to E9, E8, E10, E14, and E1 to E15), duplications (E11 to E12), and a nonsense mutation, p.S22*, were identified. Traditional multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification and Sanger sequencing approaches cannot differentiate the origin of the exonic deletions in the 3' region when PMS2 and PMS2CL share identical sequences as a result of gene conversion. Our approach allows unambiguous identification of mutations in the active gene with a straightforward long-range-PCR/NGS method. Breakpoint analysis of multiple samples revealed that recurrent exon 14 deletions are mediated by homologous Alu sequences. Our comprehensive approach provides a reliable tool for accurate molecular analysis of genes containing multiple copies of highly homologous sequences and should improve PMS2 molecular analysis for patients with Lynch syndrome.

Deficient mismatch repair: Read all about it (Review)

Defects in the DNA mismatch repair (MMR) proteins, result in a phenotype called microsatellite instability (MSI), occurring in up to 15% of sporadic colorectal cancers. Approximately one quarter of colon cancers with deficient MMR (dMMR) develop as a result of an inherited predisposition syndrome, Lynch syndrome (formerly known as HNPCC). It is essential to identify patients who potentially have Lynch syndrome, as not only they, but also family members, may require screening and monitoring. Diagnostic criteria have been developed, based primarily on Western populations, and several methodologies are available to identify dMMR tumours, including immunohistochemistry and microsatellite testing. These criteria have provided evidence supporting the introduction of reflex testing. Yet, it is becoming increasingly clear that tests have a limited sensitivity and specificity and may yet be superseded by next generation sequencing. In this review, the limitations of diagnostic criteria are discussed, and current and emerging screening technologies explained. There is now useful evidence supporting the prognostic and predictive value of dMMR status in colorectal tumours, but much less is known about their value in extracolonic tumours, that may also feature in Lynch syndrome. This review assesses current literature relating to dMMR in endometrial, ovarian, gastric and melanoma cancers, which it would seem, may benefit from large-scale clinical trials in order to further close the gap in knowledge between colorectal and extracolonic tumours.

Lower prevalence of Lynch syndrome in colorectal cancer patients in a Japanese hospital-based population

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of Lynch syndrome among Japanese patients with surgically resected colorectal cancer at a single institution.

METHODS

Of 616 colorectal cancer patients who underwent surgical operation in our institution from January 2005 to August 2010, immunohistochemistry analyses for mismatch repair proteins (MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2) and microsatellite instability (MSI) testing for surgically resected, formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded colorectal cancer specimens from 138 colorectal cancer patients under 60 years of age were undertaken. Hypermethylation of the MLH1 promoter and BRAF mutation were analyzed where necessary.

RESULTS

Seven patients were identified as candidates for genetic testing by mismatch repair protein loss (n = 7) or MSI-H (n = 6). Methylation of MLH1 was detected in one case. Three patients were diagnosed with Lynch syndrome, comprising 2.2 % of the total colorectal cancer patients younger than 60 years of age.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of Lynch syndrome among hospital-based diagnosed cancer patients may therefore be lower than expected in Japan compared with Western populations.

Microsatellite instability use in mismatch repair gene sequence variant classification

Inherited mutations in the DNA mismatch repair genes (MMR) can cause MMR deficiency and increased susceptibility to colorectal and endometrial cancer. Microsatellite instability (MSI) is the defining molecular signature of MMR deficiency. The clinical classification of identified MMR gene sequence variants has a direct impact on the management of patients and their families. For a significant proportion of cases sequence variants of uncertain clinical significance (also known as unclassified variants) are identified, constituting a challenge for genetic counselling and clinical management of families. The effect on protein function of these variants is difficult to interpret. The presence or absence of MSI in tumours can aid in determining the pathogenicity of associated unclassified MMR gene variants. However, there are some considerations that need to be taken into account when using MSI for variant interpretation. The use of MSI and other tumour characteristics in MMR gene sequence variant classification will be explored in this review.

Feasibility of low-throughput next generation sequencing for germline DNA screening

BACKGROUND

Next generation sequencing (NGS) promises many benefits for clinical diagnostics. However, current barriers to its adoption include suboptimal amenability for low clinical throughputs and uncertainty over data accuracy and analytical procedures. We assessed the feasibility and performance of low-throughput NGS for detecting germline mutations for Lynch syndrome (LS).

METHODS

Sequencing depth, time, and cost of 6 formats on the MiSeq and Personal Genome Machine platforms at 1-12 samples/run were calculated. Analytical performance was assessed from 3 runs of 3 DNA samples annotated for 7500 nucleotides by BeadChip arrays. The clinical performance of low-throughput NGS and 9 analytical processes were assessed through blinded analysis of DNA samples from 12 LS cases confirmed by Sanger sequencing, and 3 control cases.

RESULTS

The feasibility analysis revealed different formats were optimal at different throughputs. Detection was reproducible for 2619/2635 (99.39%) replicate variants, and sensitivity and specificity to array annotation were 99.42% and 99.99% respectively. Eleven of 16 inconsistently detected variants could be specifically identified by having allele frequencies ≤ 0.15, strand biases >-35, or genotype quality scores ≤ 80. Positive selection for variants in the Human Genome Mutation Database (colorectal cancer, nonpolyposis) and variants with ≤ 5% frequency in the Asian population gave the best clinical performance (92% sensitivity, 67% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-throughput NGS can be a cost-efficient and reliable approach for screening germline variants; however, its clinical utility is subject to the quality of annotation of clinically relevant variants.

Clinical problems of colorectal cancer and endometrial cancer cases with unknown cause of tumor mismatch repair deficiency (suspected Lynch syndrome)

Carriers of a germline mutation in one of the DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes have a high risk of developing numerous different cancers, predominantly colorectal cancer and endometrial cancer (known as Lynch syndrome). MMR gene mutation carriers develop tumors with MMR deficiency identified by tumor microsatellite instability or immunohistochemical loss of MMR protein expression. Tumor MMR deficiency is used to identify individuals most likely to carry an MMR gene mutation. However, MMR deficiency can also result from somatic inactivation, most commonly methylation of the MLH1 gene promoter. As tumor MMR testing of all incident colorectal and endometrial cancers (universal screening) is becoming increasingly adopted, a growing clinical problem is emerging for individuals who have tumors that show MMR deficiency who are subsequently found not to carry an MMR gene mutation after genetic testing using the current diagnostic approaches (Sanger sequencing and multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification) and who also show no evidence of MLH1 methylation. The inability to determine the underlying cause of tumor MMR deficiency in these “Lynch-like” or “suspected Lynch syndrome” cases has significant implications on the clinical management of these individuals and their relatives. When the data from published studies are combined, 59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 55% to 64%) of colorectal cancers and 52% (95% CI: 41% to 62%) of endometrial cancers with MMR deficiency were identified as suspected Lynch syndrome. Recent studies estimated that colorectal cancer risk for relatives of suspected Lynch syndrome cases is lower than for relatives of those with MMR gene mutations, but higher than for relatives of those with tumor MMR deficiency resulting from methylation of the MLH1 gene promoter. The cause of tumor MMR deficiency in suspected Lynch syndrome cases is likely due to either unidentified germline MMR gene mutations, somatic cell mosaicism, or biallelic somatic inactivation. Determining the underlying cause of tumor MMR deficiency in suspected Lynch syndrome cases is likely to reshape the current triaging schemes used to identify germline MMR gene mutations in cancer-affected individuals and their relatives.

Population-based screening for Lynch syndrome in Western Australia

We showed earlier that routine screening for microsatellite instability (MSI) and loss of mismatch repair (MMR) protein expression in colorectal cancer (CRC) led to the identification of previously unrecognized cases of Lynch syndrome (LS). We report here the results of screening for LS in Western Australia (WA) during 1994-2012. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) for loss of MMR protein expression was performed in routine pathology laboratories, while MSI was detected in a reference molecular pathology laboratory. Information on germline mutations in MMR genes was obtained from the state's single familial cancer registry. Prior to the introduction of routine laboratory-based screening, an average of 2-3 cases of LS were diagnosed each year amongst WA CRC patients. Following the implementation of IHC and/or MSI screening for all younger (<60 years) CRC patients, this has increased to an average of 8 LS cases diagnosed annually. Based on our experience in WA, we propose three key elements for successful population-based screening of LS. First, for all younger CRC patients, reflex IHC testing should be carried out in accredited pathology services with ongoing quality control. Second, a state- or region-wide reference laboratory for MSI testing should be established to confirm abnormal or suspicious IHC test results and to exclude sporadic cases by carrying out BRAF mutation or MLH1 methylation testing. Finally, a state or regional LS coordinator is essential to ensure that all appropriate cases identified by laboratory testing are referred to and attend a Familial Cancer Clinic for follow-up and germline testing.

Efficient and reproducible identification of mismatch repair deficient colon cancer: validation of the MMR index and comparison with other predictive models

Background

The identification of mismatch-repair (MMR) defective colon cancer is clinically relevant for diagnostic, prognostic and potentially also for treatment predictive purposes. Preselection of tumors for MMR analysis can be obtained with predictive models, which need to demonstrate ease of application and favorable reproducibility.

Methods

We validated the MMR index for the identification of prognostically favorable MMR deficient colon cancers and compared performance to 5 other prediction models. In total, 474 colon cancers diagnosed ≥ age 50 were evaluated with correlation between clinicopathologic variables and immunohistochemical MMR protein expression.

Results

Female sex, age ≥60 years, proximal tumor location, expanding growth pattern, lack of dirty necrosis, mucinous differentiation and presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes significantly correlated with MMR deficiency. Presence of at least 4 of the MMR index factors identified MMR deficient tumors with 93% sensitivity and 76% specificity and showed favorable reproducibility with a kappa value of 0.88. The MMR index also performed favorably when compared to 5 other predictive models.

Conclusions

The MMR index is easy to apply and efficiently identifies MMR defective colon cancers with high sensitivity and specificity. The model shows stable performance with low inter-observer variability and favorable performance when compared to other MMR predictive models.

Criteria and prediction models for mismatch repair gene mutations: a review

One of the strongest predictors of colorectal cancer risk is carrying a germline mutation in a DNA mismatch repair (MMR) gene. Once identified, mutation carriers can be recommended for intensive screening that will substantially reduce their high colorectal cancer risk. Conversely, the relatives of carriers identified as non-carriers can be relieved of the burden of intensive screening. Criteria and prediction models that identify likely mutation carriers are needed for cost-effective, targeted, germline testing for MMR gene mutation. We reviewed 12 criteria/guidelines and 8 prediction models (Leiden, Amsterdam-plus, Amsterdam-alternative, MMRpro, PREMM1,2,6, MMRpredict, Associazione Italiana per lo studio della Familiarità ed Ereditarietà dei tumori Gastrointestinali (AIFEG) and the Myriad Genetics Prevalence table) for identifying mutation carriers. While criteria are only used to identify individuals with colorectal cancer (yes/no for screening followed by germline testing), all prediction models except MMRpredict and Myriad tables can predict the probability of carrying mutations for individuals with or without colorectal cancer. We conducted a meta-analysis of the discrimination performance of 17 studies that validated the prediction models. The pooled estimate for the area under curve was 0.80 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.88) for MMRpro, 0.81 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.88) for MMRpredict, 0.84 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.88) for PREMM, and 0.85 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.91) for Leiden model. Given the high degree of overlap in the CIs, we cannot state that one model has a higher discrimination than any of the others. Overall, the existing statistical models have been shown to be sensitive and specific (at a 5% cut-off) in predicting MMR gene mutation carriers. Future models may need to: provide prediction of PMS2 mutations, take into account a wider range of Lynch syndrome-associated cancers when assessing family history, and be applicable to all people irrespective of any cancer diagnosis.

Key genetic considerations in the management of suspected hereditary colorectal cancer

SUMMARY Hereditary bowel cancer syndromes account for up to 5% of colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence. Presentation of CRC under the age of 50 years should alert clinicians to a possible underlying genetic predisposition. This article focuses on Lynch syndrome (hereditary nonpolyposis CRC). Regular bowel screening is effective in reducing the risk of CRC and improving overall survival in Lynch syndrome families. The issues surrounding the clinical diagnostic criteria and the shortcomings of the referral process are described, and it is questioned whether a universal strategy for diagnosis should be employed. This article summarizes the evidence for the benefit of bowel screening and suggests practical steps to help ensure compliance with screening recommendations. Finally, it is discussed how collaboration between geneticists, gastroenterologists and surgeons can inform surgical decision-making for the benefit of the patient.

Improving identification of lynch syndrome patients: a comparison of research data with clinical records

Current evidence suggests poor identification and referral of Lynch syndrome patients. This study evaluated the strategies by which patients with endometrial cancer were referred to genetics services. Data from clinic-based patients with endometrial cancer enrolled through the Australian National Endometrial Cancer population-based research study with detailed family history information were analyzed. The Amsterdam II criteria, the revised Bethesda guidelines, and criteria adapted for this study was assessed using personal/family history information. The percentages of patients referred and who could have been referred to genetics services, and the performance of each criterion for identifying possible mismatch-repair (MMR) gene mutation carriers, based on tumor MMR immunohistochemistry (IHC), were determined. Research data indicated that 236/397(59%) of patients with endometrial cancer had family/personal history of cancer, including 14 (4%) who fulfilled Amsterdam II criteria. Family history information was noted in the hospital records for only 61(15%) patients, including 7/14 (50%) of patients meeting Amsterdam criteria, and always less extensively than that recorded in the research setting. Only 13 patients (two meeting Amsterdam criteria) were referred for genetic assessment. Of 58 patients with tumor MMR protein-IHC loss, the Amsterdam criteria and Bethesda guidelines identified only three and 34% of these possible germline mutation carriers, respectively. Greater sensitivity (60%) was obtained using a single criterion proposed by our study, ≥2 first-degree or second-degree relatives reporting Lynch cancers. Hospital records indicate poor recognition of family history. Application of research methods show improved identification and may facilitate appropriate referrals of endometrial cancer patients with possible Lynch syndrome.