Häufigkeit des Diabetes mellitus im Kindes- und Jugendalter in Deutschland

Future number of people with diagnosed type 1 diabetes in Germany until 2040: an analysis based on claims data

INTRODUCTION

We aim to project the number of people with diagnosed type 1 diabetes in Germany between 2010 and 2040.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We first estimate the age-specific and sex-specific incidence and prevalence of type 1 diabetes in Germany in 2010 using data from 65 million insurees of the German statutory health insurance. Then, we use the illness-death model to project the prevalence of type 1 diabetes until 2040. We alter the incidence and mortality underlying the illness-death model in several scenarios to explore the impact of possible temporal trends on the number of people with type 1 diabetes.

RESULTS

Applying the prevalence from 2010 to the official population projections of Germany's Federal Statistical Office yields a total number of 252 000 people with type 1 diabetes in Germany in 2040 (+1% compared with 2010). Incorporating different annual trends of the incidence and mortality in the projection model results in a future number of people with type 1 diabetes between 292 000 (+18%) and 327 000 (+32%).

CONCLUSIONS

For the first time in Germany, we provide estimates for the incidence, prevalence, and number of people with diagnosed type 1 diabetes for the whole German population between 2010 and 2040. The relative increase of the people with type 1 diabetes ranges from 1% to 32% in 2040 compared with 2010. The projected results are mainly influenced by temporal trends in the incidence. Ignoring these trends, that is, applying a constant prevalence to population projections, probably underestimates future chronic disease numbers.

HLA-typing, clinical, and immunological characterization of youth with type 2 diabetes mellitus phenotype from the German/Austrian DPV database

AIM

To characterize the clinical and immunological features of HLA-typed youth with pediatric onset of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHOD

One hundred and seven patients with clinically diagnosed T2DM (aged ≤20 yr at diagnosis) were examined. DNA and serum, obtained after a median diabetes duration of 2.2 (Q1-Q3: 0.8-4.6) yr, were used for centralized HLA-typing and autoantibody (GADA, IA-2A, ZnT8A) measurements.

RESULTS

64.6% of patients were female and median age at diagnosis was 13.8 (Q1-Q3: 11.6-15.4) yr. Patients were obese [median body mass index-standard deviation score (BMI-SDS): 2.6 (2.0-3.1)], 88.0% had a family history of diabetes and 40.2% a migration background. Islet autoantibodies were detected in 16 (15.0%), among which 7 (6.5%) had multiple islet autoantibodies. Autoantibody positive patients had poorer metabolic control than autoantibody negative patients [glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c): 8.1 (6.9-10.1) % vs. 6.6 (5.9-8.0) %; p = 0.033], while patients with HLA-DR genetic risk had higher BMI-SDS than those with HLA-DRXX [2.6 (2.4-3.7) vs. 2.4 (1.7-2.9); p = 0.007]. Metabolic syndrome (61.7%), microalbuminuria (13.4%), and retinopathy (3.9%) were diagnosed. Therapies used were lifestyle only (35.5%), oral anti-diabetics (OAD) only (43.3 %), insulin +  OAD (15.9%) and insulin only (5.6%). Patients with β-cell autoimmunity or HLA-DR genetic risk more frequently used insulin than confirmed T2DM patients (50.0 vs. 22.0%; p = 0.037) and less often had diabetic relatives (61.1 vs. 86.0%; p = 0.030).

CONCLUSION

T2DM was confirmed in about 90% of patients while about 10% with β-cell autoimmunity or HLA-DR genetic risk likely had either T1.5DM or 'double diabetes' or an unknown diabetes type.

Direct diabetes-related costs in young patients with early-onset, long-lasting type 1 diabetes

Objective

To estimate diabetes-related direct health care costs in pediatric patients with early-onset type 1 diabetes of long duration in Germany.

Research Design and Methods

Data of a population-based cohort of 1,473 subjects with type 1 diabetes onset at 0–4 years of age within the years 1993–1999 were included (mean age 13.9 (SD 2.2) years, mean diabetes duration 10.9 (SD 1.9) years, as of 31.12.2007). Diabetes-related health care services utilized in 2007 were derived from a nationwide prospective documentation system (DPV). Health care utilization was valued in monetary terms based on inpatient and outpatient medical fees and retail prices (perspective of statutory health insurance). Multiple regression models were applied to assess associations between direct diabetes-related health care costs per patient-year and demographic and clinical predictors.

Results

Mean direct diabetes-related health care costs per patient-year were €3,745 (inter-quartile range: 1,943–4,881). Costs for glucose self-monitoring were the main cost category (28.5%), followed by costs for continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (25.0%), diabetes-related hospitalizations (22.1%) and insulin (18.4%). Female gender, pubertal age and poor glycemic control were associated with higher and migration background with lower total costs.

Conclusions

Main cost categories in patients with on average 11 years of diabetes duration were costs for glucose self-monitoring, insulin pump therapy, hospitalization and insulin. Optimization of glycemic control in particular in pubertal age through intensified care with improved diabetes education and tailored insulin regimen, can contribute to the reduction of direct diabetes-related costs in this patient group.

Costs of paediatric diabetes care in Germany: current situation and comparison with the year 2000

AIMS

To estimate direct costs of paediatric Type 1 diabetes care and associated factors in Germany for the year 2007 and to compare results with the costs for the year 2000.

METHODS

Our study includes clinical data and charges for any diabetes-related health care service of 14,185 continually treated subjects with paediatric diabetes aged < 20 years [52.5% male, mean age (SD) 12.1 (4.2) years], derived from a nationwide prospective patient documentation system (DPV). Health-care utilization was valued in monetary terms by using inpatient and outpatient medical fees and retail prices (perspective of the statutory health insurance). Associations between average total diabetes-related costs or various single cost categories per patient and age, sex, migration background, diabetes duration, and metabolic control were analysed by multiple regression procedures and by a two-part model for hospitalization costs. Total direct costs in the whole paediatric diabetes population in Germany were estimated. Mean costs per patient as well as total costs in the German paediatric diabetes population in 2007 were compared to 2000 costs (inflated to the year 2007).

RESULTS

Mean direct diabetes-associated costs per subject were €3524 (inter-quartile range: 1831-4743). Main cost categories were hospitalization (32%), glucose self-monitoring (29%), insulin pump therapy (18%), and insulin (15%). Based on the present estimation, the total costs of paediatric diabetes care in Germany exceeded €110 million in 2007. Compared with estimates of the year 2000, average costs per patient had increased by 20% and total costs for German paediatric diabetes care by 47%.

CONCLUSIONS

Direct costs for paediatric Type 1 diabetes care increased between 2000 and 2007, probably partly because of new therapeutic strategies and an increase in diabetes prevalence.