A rapid and feasible tool for clinical decision making in community-dwelling patients with COVID-19 and those admitted to emergency departments: the Braden-LDH-HorowITZ Assessment-BLITZ

Patient- vs organ-based prognostic tools for older patients in critical care units : An observational study with a 3-month follow-up

BACKGROUND

Anticipating a doubling of older adults in Europe by 2050, healthcare systems face substantial challenges, particularly in critical care units. However, there is still a lack of evidence-based knowledge for treating and assessing mortality risk in older patients. This study compared the predictive accuracy of two assessment tools for long-term outcomes among older patients: the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA). As the MPI is based on a more holistic assessment, it may provide a more accurate prediction than the organ-based SOFA.

OBJECTIVE

Does the MPI provide a more accurate prediction of mortality risk and quality of life for older patients in critical care units than the organ-based SOFA score?

METHODS

In a 6-month study, 96 patients aged 65 and older admitted to intensive (ICU) or intermediate care units (IMC) were enrolled to assess 90-day mortality using a comprehensive geriatric assessment-based MPI and the SOFA score. The follow-up (FU) involved telephone assessments 30 and 90 days after admission, focusing on posthospitalization health and quality of life.

RESULTS

Both MPI (p = 0.039) and SOFA score (p = 0.014) successfully predicted mortality among older IMC and ICU patients in logistic regressions. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses demonstrated comparable areas under the curve (AUCs) for MPI (0.618) and SOFA score (0.621), as well as a similar sensitivity and specificity (MPI 61.0% and 52.9%; SOFA score: 68.9% and 45.1%, respectively). The MPI at admission moreover correlated significantly with quality of life (p < 0.001, r = -0.631 at discharge; p = 0.005, r = -0.377 at 30-day FU; p = 0.004, r = -0.409 at 90-day FU) and nursing needs (Mann-Whitney U‑test, p = 0.002 at 30-day FU; p = 0.011 at 90-day FU) at FU, while the SOFA score did not show significant associations with respect to these parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

In geriatric critical care, both the MPI and the SOFA score effectively predict mortality risk. While the SOFA score may appear more practical due to its simpler and faster implementation, only the MPI demonstrated significant correlations with quality of life and nursing needs in the FU after 30 and 90 days.

Frailty as a predictor of mortality in COVID-19 patients receiving CPAP for respiratory insufficiency

Objective

Exploring the association between frailty and mortality in a cohort of patients with COVID-19 respiratory insufficiency treated with continuous positive airway pressure.

Methods

Frailty was measured using a Frailty Index (FI) created by using the baseline assessment data on comorbidities and body mass index and baseline blood test results (including pH, lactate dehydrogenase, renal and liver function, inflammatory indexes and anemia). FI > 0.25 identified frail individuals.

Results

Among the 159 included individuals (81% men, median age of 68) frailty was detected in 69% of the patients (median FI score 0.3 ± 0.08). Frailty was associated to an increased mortality (adjusted HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.02–3.88, p = 0.04).

Conclusions

Frailty is highly prevalent among patients with COVID-19, predicts poorer outcomes independently of age. A personalization of care balancing the risk and benefit of treatments (especially the invasive ones) in such complex patients is pivotal.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40520-021-02070-z.

Early Routine Biomarkers of SARS-CoV-2 Morbidity and Mortality: Outcomes from an Emergency Section

Background. COVID-19 is a severe acute respiratory disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a virus belonging to the Coronaviridae family. This disease has spread rapidly around the world and soon became an international public health emergency leading to an unpredicted pressure on the hospital emergency units. Early routine blood biomarkers could be key predicting factors of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality as suggested for C-reactive protein (CRP), IL-6, prothrombin and D-dimer. This study aims to identify other early routine blood biomarkers for COVID-19 severity prediction disclosed directly into the emergency section. Methods. Our research was conducted on 156 COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the Sapienza University Hospital “Policlinico Umberto I” of Rome, Italy, between March 2020 and April 2020 during the paroxysm’s initial phase of the pandemic. In this retrospective study, patients were divided into three groups according to their outcome: (1) emergency group (patients who entered the emergency room and were discharged shortly after because they did not show severe symptoms); (2) intensive care unit (ICU) group (patients who attended the ICU after admission to the emergency unit); (3) the deceased group (patients with a fatal outcome who attended the emergency and, afterward, the ICU units). Routine laboratory tests from medical records were collected when patients were admitted to the emergency unit. We focused on Aspartate transaminase (AST), Alanine transaminase (ALT), Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), Creatine kinase (CK), Myoglobin (MGB), Ferritin, CRP, and D-dimer. Results. As expected, ANOVA data show an age morbidity increase in both ICU and deceased groups compared with the emergency group. A main effect of morbidity was revealed by ANOVA for all the analyzed parameters with an elevation between the emergency group and the deceased group. Furthermore, a significant increase in LDH, Ferritin, CRP, and D-dimer was also observed between the ICU group and the emergency group and between the deceased group and ICU group. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses confirmed and extended these findings. Conclusions. This study suggests that the contemporaneous presence of high levels of LDH, Ferritin, and as expected, CRP, and D-dimer could be considered as potential predictors of COVID-19 severity and death.

Profiling of Lactate Dehydrogenase Isoenzymes in COVID-19 Disease

INTRODUCTION

Serum total lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) activity was elevated and showed a positive correlation with disease severity and outcome in severe COVID-19 disease. However, it is still unknown whether the relative abundance or calculated activity of any LDH isoenzyme is predominately increased in COVID-19 subjects.

METHODS

Twenty-two consecutive patients suffered from moderate or severe COVID-19 pneumonia were recruited into this study who showed enhanced total LDH activity. The ratio of LDH isoenzyme activities was further investigated using gel electrophoresis (Hydragel^®, Sebia) with densitometric evaluation. Calculated activity values of these isoenzymes were correlated with routine laboratory parameters, the degree of lung parenchymal affection based on chest CT and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

Total LDH activity was raised in the range of 272-2141 U/L and significantly correlated with calculated LDH-3 and LDH-4 activities (r=0.765, P=0.0001; and r=0.783, P=0.0001, respectively). In contrast, the relative abundance of neither LDH isoenzyme was exclusively abnormal in COVID-19 patients. Calculated activity of LDH-3 and LDH-4 demonstrated a modest but statistically significant association with serum ferritin (r=0.437, P=0.042; r=0.505, P=0.016, respectively). When the relationship between the severity of pulmonary affection by SARS-CoV-2 infection and relative abundance of LDH isoenzymes was studied, a larger ratio of mid-zone fractions was observed in the presence of ≥ 50% lung parenchymal involvement. Finally, regardless of LDH isoenzyme pattern, abnormal relative ratio of LDH-4 and higher calculated LDH-3 and LDH-4 activity values were detected in subjects with unfavorable outcome.

CONCLUSION

No characteristic profile of LDH isoenzymes can be detected in COVID-19 pneumonia, however, elevated activities of LDH-3 and LDH-4 are associated with worse clinical outcomes.