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Abdul Rahman FK, Binti Wan Puteh SE, Bin Zainuddin MA. E-dengue System Insights: Exploring the Factors Influencing Dengue-related Deaths in an Urbanized State in a Low-Middle Income Country (LMIC). BMC Public Health 2024; 24:3055. [PMID: 39501241 PMCID: PMC11539276 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-20545-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2024] [Accepted: 10/28/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Dengue has emerged as a rapidly escalating health issue in low- and middle-income countries, with its burden and geographic spread increasing over the years. Malaysia, in particular, has witnessed a significant rise in dengue cases, accompanied by a spike in mortality rates. Several studies have identified various factors, primarily focusing on the 27 clinical aspects of severe dengue infection and the development of dengue-related fatalities. Expanding on this focus, this study aims to identify the demographic, clinical, and environmental factors contributing to dengue mortality, providing a more comprehensive understanding of the variables influencing dengue-related fatalities. METHODS This study utilized a 1:2 case-control design, analyzing data from the E-dengue system database and medical records from January 2015 to December 2022, involving 219 participants (73 dengue fatalities as cases and 146 recovered patients as controls). Dengue deaths were confirmed by the Penang State Mortality Review Committee, and controls were randomly selected from laboratory-confirmed dengue cases. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software, including descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of dengue mortality, with variables included in the multivariable model if p < 0.05. RESULTS Several significant predictors of dengue-related mortality, including clinical and environmental factors were identified. Key predictors were a platelet count below 50,000/µL (OR 15.70; 95% CI: 5.65-43.53), presence of one comorbid condition (OR 2.90; 95% CI: 1.22-6.90), more than two comorbid conditions (OR 10.15; 95% CI: 3.53-29.23), bronchial asthma (OR 12.00; 95% CI: 1.08-132.13), and outbreak locality status (OR 2.3; 95% CI: 1.11-4.79). An interaction was also found between locality status and platelet levels. CONCLUSION The study emphasizes the need for developing risk profiles for dengue patients by integrating factors such as platelet levels, comorbidities, and locality status to improve clinical care. Nuanced protocols are needed to address the specific challenges of single-case and outbreak areas. In single-case localities, patients with low platelet counts (below 100,000/µL) should be prioritized for rapid intervention to mitigate severe outcomes. In outbreak areas, healthcare systems should bolster resources and apply comprehensive triage approaches considering platelet levels and other risk factors. Implementing predictive models that account for geographical factors can enhance resource allocation and preparedness for dengue outbreaks. These recommendations aim to empower public health personnel, healthcare providers, and communities to collectively reduce dengue-related mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Farah Khalida Abdul Rahman
- Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
| | - Sharifa Ezat Binti Wan Puteh
- Department of Public Health Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, National University of Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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Paraná VC, Feitosa CA, da Silva GCS, Gois LL, Santos LA. Risk factors associated with severe dengue in Latin America: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Trop Med Int Health 2024; 29:173-191. [PMID: 38263345 DOI: 10.1111/tmi.13968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/25/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Severe dengue is a significant health problem in Latin America, with children being the most affected. Understanding risk factors for severe dengue is crucial for enhancing patient care. Therefore, this study aims to systematically review the literature to identify the risk factors associated with severe dengue in Latin America through systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS PubMed, SciELO, LILACS and EMBASE databases were used to search for eligible scientific articles for the review. The outcomes considered were symptoms of severe dengue, hospitalisation and death. The Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist was used to assess the quality of the studies. Data analysis was performed using STATA v 13.0 software. The degree of heterogeneity between studies was quantified using the I2 measure, and statistically significant results were defined as those with p values <0.05. RESULTS Of the 1876 articles screened, 47 articles were included in the systematic review and 45 articles were analysed through meta-analysis. Identified risk factors associated with severe dengue included secondary dengue infection, female sex, white or Caucasian ethnicity and specific signs and symptoms such as headache, myalgia and/or arthralgia, vomiting/nausea, abdominal pain or tenderness, diarrhoea, prostration, lethargy, fatigue or similar. For the death outcome, respiratory symptoms and age <18 years were identified as risk factors. On the other hand, in women, the diagnosis of positive tourniquet test, platelet count <100,000 per μL and symptoms of capillary fragility were associated with a lower probability of death. These data highlight the importance of early screening of patients, to identify possible haemorrhagic signs and reduce deaths from dengue. This study has limitations, including possible publication bias, heterogeneity of results and study design biases. CONCLUSION These findings are significant for shaping strategies, management approaches and identifying high-risk groups, which will help establish future guidelines.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Cruz Paraná
- Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
- Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
| | | | | | - Luana Leandro Gois
- Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
- Department of Biointeraction Sciences, Institute of Health Sciences, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
| | - Luciane Amorim Santos
- Bahiana School of Medicine and Public Health, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
- Gonçalo Moniz Institute, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
- Graduate Program in Health Sciences, College of Medicine of Bahia, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil
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Hargrave AS, Sippy R, Cueva C, Polhemus M, Beltran E, Abbott MA, Stewart-Ibarra AM. Allergies, body mass, and hospitalization due to arbovirus infection: A prospective surveillance study in Machala, Ecuador. Epidemiol Infect 2023; 151:e181. [PMID: 37823310 PMCID: PMC10644055 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268823001656] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2022] [Revised: 09/04/2023] [Accepted: 10/02/2023] [Indexed: 10/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Dengue, chikungunya, and Zika are arboviruses that cause 390 million infections annually. Risk factors for hospitalization are poorly understood. Communities affected by these diseases have an escalating prevalence of allergies and obesity, which are linked to immune dysfunction. We assessed the association of allergies or body mass with hospitalization for an arbovirus infection. From 2014 to 2017, we recruited participants with a clinical diagnosis of arbovirus infection. Arbovirus infections were laboratory-confirmed and allergies were self-reported. Mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), weight, and height were measured. We used two logistic regression models to assess the relationships between hospitalization and allergies and between hospitalization and body mass (MUAC for participants <20 years old and body mass index (BMI) for adults ≥20 years old). Models were stratified by age group and adjusted for confounders. For allergies, 41 of 265 were hospitalized. There was no association between allergies and hospitalization. For body mass, 34 of 251 were hospitalized. There was a 43% decrease in hospitalization odds for each additional centimetre MUAC among children (aOR 0.566, 95% CI 0.252-1.019) and a 12% decrease in hospitalization odds for each additional BMI unit among adults (aOR 0.877, 95% CI 0.752-0.998). Our work encourages the exploration of the underlying mechanisms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anita S. Hargrave
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
- Department of Internal Medicine, San Francisco VA Health Care System, San Francisco, California, United States
| | - Rachel Sippy
- Institute for Global Health and Translational Science, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, New York, USA
- Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States
- Current affiliation: Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Cinthya Cueva
- Institute for Global Health and Translational Science, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, New York, USA
| | - Mark Polhemus
- Institute for Global Health and Translational Science, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, New York, USA
| | - Efrain Beltran
- Faculdad de Medicina, Universidad Técnica de Machala, El Oro, Ecuador
| | - Mark A. Abbott
- Institute for Global Health and Translational Science, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, New York, USA
| | - Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra
- Department of Medicine, SUNY Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, New York, United States
- Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research, Montevideo, Uruguay
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Huong NTC, Ngan NT, Reda A, Dong V, Tam DTH, The Van T, Manh DH, Quan NH, Makram AM, Dumre SP, Hirayama K, Huy NT. Association of self-reported allergic rhinitis with dengue severity: A case-control study. Acta Trop 2022; 236:106678. [PMID: 36063904 DOI: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2022.106678] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2022] [Revised: 08/31/2022] [Accepted: 09/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The severity of dengue infection has been reportedly associated with patients' allergic reactions. To further elucidate the role of allergy in dengue severity, we conducted a matched case-control study to assess the association between allergic background and dengue shock syndrome. METHODS This is a matched case-control study that was carried out in the Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam from January to December 2017. Dengue infection was determined by non-structure protein 1 (NS1) diagnostic quick test or anti-dengue antibodies (IgM). The total and dengue-specific IgE levels were measured using ELISA. Patients' demographics, clinical, and allergic profiles were collected using a structured questionnaire. RESULTS A total of 572 dengue patients with positive NS1 (92.7%) or IgM antibodies (7.3%) results were included in this study. Of these patients, 143 patients developed dengue shock syndrome (case group) while the other 429 patients did not (control group). None of the baseline characteristics including age, sex, or being overweight was significantly different between the two groups (p>0.05). In multivariable analysis, having a history of dengue infection (OR=3.35, 95% CI: 1.8-6.17, p<0.001) and allergic rhinitis (OR=1.95, 95% CI: 1.11-3.4, p = 0.019) were found to be associated with dengue shock syndrome. Higher levels of dengue-specific IgE were not associated with worse outcomes in patients with allergies (p = 0.204) or allergic rhinitis (p = 0.284). CONCLUSION Dengue patients presenting with a history of a previous dengue infection or allergic rhinitis should be considered high-risk patients for the development of dengue shock syndrome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nguyen Thi Cam Huong
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam; Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
| | - Nguyen Thi Ngan
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; Medicine Department, Xuyen A General Hospital, Vinh Long Province, Vietnam
| | - Abdullah Reda
- Online Research Club (http://www.onlineresearchclub.org), Nagasaki, Japan; Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Vinh Dong
- Online Research Club (http://www.onlineresearchclub.org), Nagasaki, Japan; American University of the Caribbean School of Medicine, Cupecoy, Sint Maarten
| | - Dong Thi Hoai Tam
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam; Oxford University Clinical Research Unit, Wellcome Trust Asia Programme, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
| | - Trung The Van
- Department of Dermatology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam
| | - Dao Huy Manh
- Microbiology and Immunology Department, Pasteur Institute of Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
| | - Nguyen Hoang Quan
- Microbiology and Immunology Department, Pasteur Institute of Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
| | - Abdelrahman M Makram
- Online Research Club (http://www.onlineresearchclub.org), Nagasaki, Japan; School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Faculty of Medicine, October 6 University, Giza, Egypt
| | | | - Kenji Hirayama
- School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, 852-8523, Japan
| | - Nguyen Tien Huy
- Online Research Club (http://www.onlineresearchclub.org), Nagasaki, Japan; School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, 852-8523, Japan.
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Richardson-Boedler C. Dengue Shock Syndrome: Its Similarity with Anaphylaxis and with the Homeopathic Medicine Apis mellifica (European Honeybee). HOMEOPATHY 2021; 111:226-231. [PMID: 34749419 DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1734027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
Dengue, with four viral serotypes, causes epidemics in tropical and sub-tropical regions. Allopathic antiviral therapies and a vaccine of general use are lacking. The homeopathic medicine Apis mellifica, advised in anaphylaxis from honeybee sting, is proposed to address the life-threatening dengue shock syndrome, which develops from dengue hemorrhagic fever and has features of anaphylaxis. In both dengue and anaphylaxis, immunoglobulin E activates, and released vasoactive mediators (importantly histamine, tryptase and platelet-activating factor) cause, a vascular permeability enabling shock. In dengue, another mechanism, namely antibody-dependent enhancement, due to secondary infection with a heterologous dengue serotype, is associated with release of vasoactive mediators. The homeopathic medicine Apis mellifica indicates plasma leak, shock, and the serous effusion that is noted in dengue patients, and is a suggested prophylactic and therapeutic medicine for dengue shock syndrome.
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Thach TQ, Eisa HG, Hmeda AB, Faraj H, Thuan TM, Abdelrahman MM, Awadallah MG, Ha NX, Noeske M, Abdul Aziz JM, Nam NH, Nile ME, Dumre SP, Huy NT, Hirayama K. Predictive markers for the early prognosis of dengue severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009808. [PMID: 34610027 PMCID: PMC8519480 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009808] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2021] [Revised: 10/15/2021] [Accepted: 09/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Predictive markers represent a solution for the proactive management of severe dengue. Despite the low mortality rate resulting from severe cases, dengue requires constant examination and round-the-clock nursing care due to the unpredictable progression of complications, posing a burden on clinical triage and material resources. Accordingly, identifying markers that allow for predicting disease prognosis from the initial diagnosis is needed. Given the improved pathogenesis understanding, myriad candidates have been proposed to be associated with severe dengue progression. Thus, we aim to review the relationship between the available biomarkers and severe dengue. METHODOLOGY We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the differences in host data collected within 72 hours of fever onset amongst the different disease severity levels. We searched nine bibliographic databases without restrictive criteria of language and publication date. We assessed risk of bias and graded robustness of evidence using NHLBI quality assessments and GRADE, respectively. This study protocol is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42018104495). PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Of 4000 records found, 40 studies for qualitative synthesis, 19 for meta-analysis. We identified 108 host and viral markers collected within 72 hours of fever onset from 6160 laboratory-confirmed dengue cases, including hematopoietic parameters, biochemical substances, clinical symptoms, immune mediators, viral particles, and host genes. Overall, inconsistent case classifications explained substantial heterogeneity, and meta-analyses lacked statistical power. Still, moderate-certainty evidence indicated significantly lower platelet counts (SMD -0.65, 95% CI -0.97 to -0.32) and higher AST levels (SMD 0.87, 95% CI 0.36 to 1.38) in severe cases when compared to non-severe dengue during this time window. CONCLUSION The findings suggest that alterations of platelet count and AST level-in the first 72 hours of fever onset-are independent markers predicting the development of severe dengue.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tran Quang Thach
- Department of Immunogenetics, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Heba Gamal Eisa
- Faculty of Medicine, Menoufia University, Shebin El-Koum, Egypt
| | | | - Hazem Faraj
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Tripoli, Tripoli, Libya
| | - Tieu Minh Thuan
- Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | | | | | - Nam Xuan Ha
- Hue University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hue, Vietnam
| | - Michael Noeske
- American University of the Caribbean School of Medicine, Cupecoy, Sint Maarten
| | | | - Nguyen Hai Nam
- Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | | | | | - Nguyen Tien Huy
- School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Kenji Hirayama
- Department of Immunogenetics, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
- School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
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