Medium- to Long-Term Impact of Rotavirus Vaccination on Hospital Care in Belgium: A 7-Year Follow-Up of the Rotavirus Belgium Impact Study (RotaBIS)

The Economic Value of Rotavirus Vaccination When Optimally Implemented in a High-Income Country

Rotavirus vaccination was introduced in high-income countries starting in 2006, with no recommendation for optimal implementation. Economic evaluations were presented before launch projecting potential impacts. Few economic reassessments have been reported following reimbursement. This study compares the short- to long-term economic value of rotavirus vaccination between pre-launch predictions and real-world evidence collected over 15 years, proposing recommendations for optimal vaccine launch. A cost-impact analysis compared rotavirus hospitalisation data after the introduction of vaccination between pre-launch modelled projections and observed data collected in the RotaBIS study in Belgium. A best model fit of the observed data was used to simulate launch scenarios to identify the optimal strategy. Data from other countries in Europe were used to confirm the potential optimal launch assessment. The Belgian analysis in the short term (first 8 years) indicated a more favourable impact for the observed data than predicted pre-launch model results. The long-term assessment (15 years) showed bigger economic disparities in favour of the model-predicted scenario. A simulated optimal vaccine launch, initiating the vaccination at least 6 months prior the next seasonal disease peak with an immediate very high vaccine coverage, indicated important additional potential gains, which would make vaccination very cost impactful. Finland and the UK are on such a route leading to long-term vaccination success, whereas Spain and Belgium have difficulties in achieving optimum vaccine benefits. An optimal launch of rotavirus vaccination may generate substantial economic gains over time. For high-income countries that are considering implementing rotavirus vaccination, achieving an optimal launch is a critical factor for long-term economic success.

Сost-effectiveness of pentavalent rotavirus vaccination in the Russian Federation

   One of the main causes of acute gastroenteritis in children under 5 years of age is rotavirus infection (RVI). Vaccines against RVI significantly reduce the incidence.   Aim. To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent RVI vaccine in the Russian Federation.   Materials and methods. The assessment was carried out using modeling based on published data on the effectiveness of the vaccine and epidemiological indicators in the Russian Federation. The analysis was carried out from the perspective of the health care system and society as a whole with a 5-year horizon. The cost of RVI therapy corresponded to the compulsory health insurance tariffs for St. Petersburg for 2022, the price of 1 dose of the vaccine was the registered price, including VAT. Costs and life expectancy, taking into account quality, were discounted at 3.5 % per year.   Results. Given the assumptions made, routine vaccination will prevent an average of 468,637 cases of RVI over 5 years. Avoided direct medical costs, i. e. RVI treatment costs will amount to 53,4 %, and lost income due to temporary disability – 46,6 % of the total avoided costs. At the same time, the volume of avoided costs is 61,4 % due to a decrease in morbidity in the vaccinated population, and 38.6 % due to the development of a indirect effect. The predicted avoided costs per 1 vaccinated person is 2,975 thousand rubles. From a societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of the Rota-V-Aid vaccine will be 364,813 thousand rubles / QALY (quality-adjusted life year), and from a healthcare perspective – 1726,399 thousand rubles / QALY. Thus, in both cases, the cost-effectiveness of RVI vaccination will not exceed the generally accepted threshold of willingness to pay, equal to three times the gross domestic product per capita in the Russian Federation (according to data for 2021 – ~2,7 million rubles). The predicted cost-effectiveness of selective vaccination is significantly lower than that of mass vaccination.   Conclusions. Mass vaccination of children with a 5-valent vaccine against RVI will not only reduce the incidence in the Russian Federation, but, taking into account the assumptions made, can also be considered as a cost-effective intervention.

Established and new rotavirus vaccines: a comprehensive review for healthcare professionals

Robust scientific evidence related to two rotavirus (RV) vaccines available worldwide demonstrates their significant impact on RV disease burden. Improving RV vaccination coverage may result in better RV disease control. To make RV vaccination accessible to all eligible children worldwide and improve vaccine effectiveness in high-mortality settings, research into new RV vaccines continues. Although current and in-development RV vaccines differ in vaccine design, their common goal is the reduction of RV disease risk in children <5 years old for whom disease burden is the most significant. Given the range of RV vaccines available, informed decision-making is essential regarding the choice of vaccine for immunization. This review aims to describe the landscape of current and new RV vaccines, providing context for the assessment of their similarities and differences. As data for new vaccines are limited, future investigations will be required to evaluate their performance/added value in a real-world setting.

Long-term surveillance of rotavirus vaccination after implementation of a national immunization program in Finland (2008-2018)

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus (RV) vaccination was included in the Finnish National immunization Program (NIP) in 2009. RotaTeq (RV5) has been used exclusively with a national average vaccination coverage rate (VCR) of > 90%. While previous studies have demonstrated that inpatient rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) admissions declined by as much as 96% in Finnish children ≤ 5 years old following RV vaccination introduction, no study has evaluated long-term protection after vaccination in Finland. In this study, we analyze incidence of hospital outpatient visits and inpatient admissions of gastroenteritis in children up to 7 years of age.

METHODS

We first describe the incidence of RVGE, viral gastroenteritis (VGE), and acute gastroenteritis (AGE) for all Finnish children born during 2008-2011. Children were stratified by the year of birth into not-eligible, partially eligible and rotavirus vaccine-eligible (born in 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011, respectively). Hospital inpatient and outpatient data was collected from the National Care Register for all children from birth until December 31st, 2018. We also studied RVGE incidence during 2014-2017 for children<3 years of age in municipalities with VCRs of 90% and above and municipalities with VCRs below 90%.

RESULTS

RVGE incidence decreased significantly soon after implementation of RV vaccination in the NIP. In vaccine-eligible cohorts, no clear peak incidence in the youngest age groups could be observed, and no RVGE cases were observed beyond 6 years after vaccination, in contrast to vaccine ineligible and partially eligible cohorts. Despite an overall high VCR in Finland, regions with high VCR had lower incidence of RVGE than regions with lower VCR.

CONCLUSION

Incidence of RVGE has remained low in all age groups during the 10 years following introduction of RV vaccine in the Finnish NIP. Differences in RVGE incidence were observed in regions with high as compared with lower VCR, highlighting the importance of maintaining high vaccination coverage.

Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the COVID-19 pandemic significantly decreased the spread of enterovirus in children

BACKGROUND

Precise prevention and control measures have been adopted to impede the transmission of COVID-19 in China. This study was performed to investigate the effect of protective measures on gastrointestinal infection in children during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

The data on the rotavirus and adenovirus antigen tests were collected in outpatient children due to gastroenteritis from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2020, at the Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine. According to age and month distribution, the positive number and rate of rotavirus and adenovirus in 2020 were compared with 2019.

RESULTS

A 3.8-fold and 4-fold reduction in the number of rotavirus- and adenovirus-positive patients in 2020 were found, respectively. The overall positive rate of rotavirus and adenovirus infection was drastically decreased in 2020 (rotavirus 2020: 18.18% vs 2019: 9.75%, P < 0.001; adenovirus 2020: 3.13% vs 2019: 1.58%, P < 0.001). The proportions of rotavirus and adenovirus in all age groups in 2020 decreased compared with those in 2019. The highest frequency of rotavirus infection occurred among children aged 1-3 years both in 2019 and 2020 (2019: 27.95% vs 2020: 17.19%, P < 0.001), while adenovirus infection was detected in children aged 3-5 years, which had the highest percent positivity (2019: 8.19% vs 2020: 4.46%; P < 0.001). An obvious peak prevalence of rotavirus incidence was found during December-April, and the percent positivity of rotavirus significantly decreased in 2020 (December 2019: 24.26% vs 2020: 8.44%, P < 0.001; January 2019: 40.67% vs 2020: 38.18%, P < 0.05; February 2019: 40.73% vs 2020: 15.04%, P < 0.001; March 2019: 31.47% vs 2020: 7.88%, P < 0.001; April 2019: 15.52% vs 2020: 4.78%, P < 0.001). The positive rate of adenovirus distributed throughout 2019 was 1.91%-4.86%, while the percent positivity during 2020 in the same period was much lower (0.00%-3.58%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results confirmed that the preventive and control measures adopted during the COVID-19 pandemic and the collateral benefit of these interventions have significantly decreased the transmission of rotavirus or adenovirus. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Defining the Recipe for an Optimal Rotavirus Vaccine Introduction in a High-Income Country in Europe

Observational data over 15 years of rotavirus vaccine introduction in Belgium have indicated that rotavirus hospitalisations in children aged <5 years plateaued at a higher level than expected, and was followed by biennial disease peaks. The research objective was to identify factors influencing these real-world vaccine impact data. We constructed mathematical models simulating rotavirus-related hospitalisations by age group and year for those children. Two periods were defined using different model constructs. First, the vaccine uptake period encompassed the years required to cover the whole at-risk population. Second, the post-uptake period covered the years in which a new infection/disease equilibrium was reached. The models were fitted to the observational data using optimisation programmes with regression and differential equations. Modifying parameter values identified factors affecting the pattern of hospitalisations. Results indicated that starting vaccination well before the peak disease season in the first year and rapidly achieving high coverage was critical in maximising early herd effect and minimising secondary sources of infection. This, in turn, would maximise the reduction in hospitalisations and minimise the size and frequency of subsequent disease peaks. The analysis and results identified key elements to consider for countries initiating an optimal rotavirus vaccine launch programme.

Explaining the formation of a plateau in rotavirus vaccine impact on rotavirus hospitalisations in Belgium

BACKGROUND

Observational data on the reduction in hospitalisations after rotavirus vaccine introduction in Belgium suggest that vaccine impact plateaued at an unexpectedly high residual hospitalisation rate. The objective of this analysis was to identify factors that influence real-world vaccine impact.

METHODS

Data were collected on hospitalisations in children aged ≤ 5 years with rotavirus disease from 11 hospitals since 2005 (the RotaBIS study). The universal rotavirus vaccination campaign started late in 2006. A mathematical model simulated rotavirus hospitalisations in different age groups using vaccine efficacy and herd effect, influenced by vaccine coverage, vaccine waning, and secondary infection sources. The model used optimisation analysis to fit the simulated curve to the observed data, applying Solver add-in software. It also simulated an 'ideal' vaccine introduction maximising hospitalisation reduction (maximum coverage, maximum herd effect, no waning), and compared this with the best-fit simulated curve. Modifying model input values identified factors with the largest impact on hospitalisations.

RESULTS

Compared with the 'ideal' simulation, observed data showed a slower decline in hospitalisations and levelled off after three years at a higher residual hospitalisation rate. The slower initial decline was explained by the herd effect in unvaccinated children. The higher residual hospitalisation rate was explained by starting the vaccine programme in November, near the rotavirus seasonal peak. This resulted in low accumulated vaccine coverage during the first rotavirus disease peak season, with the consequential appearance of secondary infection sources. This in turn reduced the herd effect, resulting in a diminished net impact.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that countries wishing to maximise the impact of rotavirus vaccination should start vaccinating well ahead of the rotavirus seasonal disease peak. This maximises herd effect during the first year leading to rapid and high reduction in hospitalisations. Secondary infection sources explain the observed data in Belgium better than vaccine waning.

Informing decision makers seeking to improve vaccination programs: case-study Serbia

Background:The optimisation of vaccine policies before their implementation is beholden upon public health decision makers, seeking to maximise population health. In this case study in Serbia, the childhood vaccines under consideration included pneumococcal conjugate vaccination (PCV), rotavirus (RV) vaccination and varicella zoster virus (VZV) vaccination. Objective: The objective of this study is to define the optimal order of introduction of vaccines to minimise deaths, quality adjusted life years (QALYs) lost, or hospitalisation days, under budget and vaccine coverage constraints. Methods: A constrained optimisation model was developed including a static multi-cohort decision-tree model for the three infectious diseases. Budget and vaccine coverage were constrained, and to rank the vaccines, the optimal solution to the linear programming problem was based upon the ratio of the outcome (deaths, QALYs or hospitalisation days) per unit of budget. A probabilistic decision analysis Monte Carlo simulation technique was used to test the robustness of the rankings. Results: PCV was the vaccine ranked first to minimise deaths, VZV vaccination for QALY loss minimisation and RV vaccination for hospitalisation day reduction. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the most robust ranking was that for PCV minimizing deaths. Conclusion: Constrained optimisation modelling, whilst considering all potential interventions currently, provided a comprehensive and rational approach to decision making.

Lessons Learned from Long-Term Assessment of Rotavirus Vaccination in a High-Income Country: The Case of the Rotavirus Vaccine Belgium Impact Study (RotaBIS)

INTRODUCTION

The rotavirus (RV) vaccine Belgium Impact Study (RotaBIS) evaluated the vaccine effect on RV-related hospital care in children up to 5 years old over a period of 13 years. Different forces were identified that influence the reduction in hospital care. Our analysis aims to report on the current RotaBIS dataset and explore through model simulation whether, how, and when the results could have been improved.

METHODS

As performed in previous assessments, this analysis evaluated RV-related events per year, per age group, RV nosocomial infections, hospitalization duration, and herd effect. It subsequently identified results that were surprising or unexpected. To know whether those data could have been improved through specific interventions, we developed a model with the forces acting on the disease transmission and the vaccine effect on RV-related hospital care. Scenario analysis of the forces should explain the current findings and identify ways to optimize the results.

RESULTS

The RotaBIS data show that annual RV-related hospital cases (n = 1345 pre-vaccination) dropped by 70% (95% confidence interval [CI] 66-74%) by year 5 (n = 395) after vaccine introduction, and by 84% (95% CI 79-89%) by year 10 (n = 217). The herd effect during the first year was limited to 14% extra gain. During the last 5 years, small disease increases were seen biennially. The simulation model indicates that higher vaccine coverage of the major transmitters during the peak season of the first year of vaccination could have reduced RV-related hospital care by nearly 90% at 5 and 10 years after vaccine introduction owing to a higher herd effect. The smaller peaks observed in recent years would have been dramatically reduced.

CONCLUSION

The current RotaBIS data show a maintained reduction, around 76%, in RV hospitalization cases. Simulations show that these results could have been improved to an important extent with a more optimal initiation of the vaccination program.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01563146 and NCT01563159.

Using Discretely Integrated Condition Event Simulation To Construct Quantitative Benefit-Risk Models: The Example of Rotavirus Vaccination in France

PURPOSE

Although quantitative benefit-risk models (qBRms) are indisputably valuable tools for gaining comprehensive assessments of health care interventions, they are not systematically used, probably because they lack an integrated framework that provides methodologic structure and harmonization. An alternative that allows all stakeholders to design operational models starting from a standardized framework was recently developed: the discretely integrated condition event (DICE) simulation. The aim of the present work was to assess the feasibility of implementing a qBRm in DICE, using the example of rotavirus vaccination.

METHODS

A model of rotavirus vaccination was designed using DICE and implemented in spreadsheet software with 3 worksheets: Conditions, Events, and Outputs. Conditions held the information in the model; this information changed at Events, and Outputs were special Conditions that stored the results collected during the analysis. A hypothetical French birth cohort was simulated for the assessment of rotavirus vaccination over time. The benefits were estimated for up to 5 years, and the risks in the 7 days following rotavirus vaccination versus no vaccination were assessed, with the results expressed as benefit-risk ratios.

FINDINGS

This qBRm model required 8 Events, 38 Conditions, and 9 Outputs. Two Events cyclically updated the rates of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) and intussusception (IS) according to age. Vaccination occurred at 2 additional Events, according to the vaccination scheme applied in France, and affected the occurrence of the other Events. Outputs were the numbers of hospitalizations related to RVGE and to IS, and related deaths. The entire model was specified in a small set of tables contained in a 445-KB electronic workbook. Analyses showed that for each IS-related hospitalization or death caused, 1613 (95% credible interval, 1001-2800) RVGE-related hospitalizations and 787 (95% credible interval, 246-2691) RVGE-related deaths would be prevented by vaccination. These results are consistent with those from a published French study using similar inputs but a very different modeling approach.

IMPLICATIONS

A limitation of the DICE approach was the extended run time needed for completing the sensitivity analyses when implemented in the electronic worksheets. DICE provided a user-friendly integrated framework for developing qBRms and should be considered in the development of structured approaches to facilitate benefit-risk assessment.

Rotavirus vaccination for all children or subgroups only? Comment of the European Academy of Paediatrics (EAP) and the European Society for Paediatric Infectious Diseases (ESPID) recommendation group for rotavirus vaccination

Rotavirus gastroenteritis affects all children. Studies indicate that by the age of 5 years, almost all children have developed rotavirus antibodies. It has been estimated that in Europe, approximately 6550 children each year die as a result of rotavirus infection. Most of this mortality does not affect children from identifiable risk groups, but previously healthy infants. There is no accountable evidence on increased severity of rotavirus infection in specific risk groups, including children previously born preterm or immunocompromised children. Universal immunization in areas that have successfully achieved large coverage has greatly improved the health of children, reducing infection rates, hospitalization, and costs. Vaccination of infants with presumed high risk may be beneficial for the vaccinated individuals, and such a strategy may also be cost-effective in certain settings. Identifying all high-risk infants within the first few weeks of life is rather difficult especially in countries without primary care pediatricians and goes along with additional costs.Conclusion: Rotavirus vaccines should be recommended as a universal approach for all children and not be restricted to subgroups with assumed increased risk. Targeted vaccination could be considered as an option in countries with limited financial resources.

Fifteen years of experience with the oral live-attenuated human rotavirus vaccine: reflections on lessons learned

INTRODUCTION

Rotavirus (RV) disease remains a prominent cause of disease burden in children <5 years of age worldwide. However, implementation of RV vaccination has led to significant reductions in RV mortality, compared to the pre-vaccination era. This review presents 15 years of real-world experience with the oral live-attenuated human RV vaccine (HRV; Rotarix). HRV is currently introduced in ≥80 national immunization programs (NIPs), as 2 doses starting from 6 weeks of age.

AREAS COVERED

The clinical development of HRV and post-marketing experience indicating the impact of HRV vaccination on RV disease was reviewed.

EXPERT OPINION

In clinical trials, HRV displayed an acceptable safety profile and efficacy against RV-gastroenteritis, providing broad protection against heterotypic RV strains by reducing the consequences of severe RV disease in infants. Real-world evidence shows substantial, rapid reduction in the number of RV infections and associated hospitalizations following introduction of HRV in NIPs, regardless of economic setting. Indirect effects against RV disease are also observed, such as herd protection, decrease in nosocomial infections incidence, and a reduction of disease-related societal/healthcare costs. However, not all countries have implemented RV vaccination. Coverage remains suboptimal and should be improved to maximize the benefits of RV vaccination.

Rotavirus disease and genotype diversity in older children and adults in Australia

Background

Rotavirus is a major cause of gastroenteritis in children <5 years of age. The disease burden in older children, adults, and the elderly is underappreciated. This study describes rotavirus disease and genotypic diversity in the Australian population comprising children ≥5 years of age and adults.

Methods

Rotavirus positive fecal samples were collected from laboratories Australia-wide participating in the Australian Rotavirus Surveillance Program between 2010 and 2018. Rotavirus samples were genotyped using a heminested multiplex reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction. Notification data from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System were also analyzed.

Results

Rotavirus disease was highest in children aged 5–9 years and adults ≥85 years. G2P[4] was the dominant genotype in the population ≥5 years of age. Genotype distribution fluctuated annually and genotypic diversity varied among different age groups. Geographical differences in genotype distribution were observed based on the rotavirus vaccine administered to infants <1 year of age.

Conclusions

This study revealed a substantial burden of rotavirus disease in the population ≥5 years of age, particularly in children 5–9 years and the elderly. This study highlights the continued need for rotavirus surveillance across the population, despite the implementation of efficacious vaccines.

Prevalence, risk factors, and clinical characteristics of rotavirus and adenovirus among Lebanese hospitalized children with acute gastroenteritis

BACKGROUND

Acute gastroenteritis is a very common infectious disease facing all age groups worldwide, especially the pediatric population. Viruses, bacteria, and parasites are all possible causes of infectious gastroenteritis; however, viruses have become more frequently identified with the advances in the ability to diagnose viral infections, particularly rotavirus and adenovirus. We aimed in our study to compare between the prevalence, risk factors, and clinical characteristics of rotavirus and adenovirus among children with viral gastroenteritis in Lebanon.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A 12-months retrospective study was performed between January 1st and December 31st, 2018 including 308 children aged 1 month to 12 years, who were admitted to three tertiary healthcare centers in South Lebanon. Medical data were retrieved from patients' files, including clinical and laboratory information.

RESULTS

Rotavirus was found in stool of 204 patients (66.23 %), followed by adenovirus in 78 cases (25.32 %), and mixed group (rotavirus and adenovirus) in 26 cases (8.44%). The highest prevalence of rotavirus in our present study was seen among children between 12 and 23 months old, whereas patients infected with adenovirus were mainly aged between 24-35 months or 4-11 months. Majority of patients in the adenovirus and mixed groups had high-grade fever compared to the rotavirus group. Laboratory findings presented significantly higher average of white blood cells (WBCs), absolute neutrophil count (ANC), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the mixed group compared to the two other groups. Monthly distribution of rotavirus and adenovirus infection revealed a biennial pattern of rotavirus incidence during January and July-August while frequency of adenovirus infection was highest during July-August.

CONCLUSION

Due to the high prevalence of viral diarrhea among the pediatric age group in our region, particularly rotavirus and adenovirus, along with the associated non-specific signs and symptoms, we highly recommend that medical laboratories be equipped for virus detection. Also, vaccination against rotavirus should be considered as a prevention strategy.

Immunogenicity and safety of porcine circovirus-free human rotavirus vaccine in healthy infants: a phase III, randomized trial

BACKGROUND

Porcine circovirus type 1 (PCV-1) material was detected in the human rotavirus vaccine (HRV) in 2010. In this study (NCT02914184) we compared immunogenicity and safety of the PCV-free HRV vaccine (PCV-free HRV) with HRV. PCV-free HRV is an HRV with no detection of PCV-1 and PCV-2 according to the limit of detection of the tests used.

METHODS

Healthy infants 6-12 weeks of age were randomized (1:1:1:1) to receive 2 doses of 1 of the 3 lots of PCV-free HRV or HRV. The study objectives were to demonstrate lot-to-lot consistency of the PCV-free HRV and non-inferiority of PCV-free HRV as compared to HRV in terms of immunogenicity, 1-2 months post-dose 2. Reactogenicity and safety were also assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 1612 infants were enrolled and 1545 completed the study. Study objectives were demonstrated since the pre-defined criteria were met. Among participants receiving PCV-free HRV and HRV, 79.27% and 81.76% seroconverted and geometric mean concentrations were 159.5 and 152.8 U/mL, respectively. The incidences of adverse events and serious adverse events were similar between the pooled PCV-free HRV and HRV groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The 3 PCV-free HRV lots demonstrated consistency and PCV-free HRV was non-inferior compared to HRV in terms of immunogenicity.

Quantitative Benefit-Risk Models Used for Rotavirus Vaccination: A Systematic Review

Background

Although rotavirus vaccines have proven to prevent the risk of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) in children under 5 years old, they are also associated with an increased transient risk of intussusception (IS). Several quantitative benefit-risk models (qBRm) are performed to measure this balance in hospitalizations and deaths prevented versus the ones induced.

Method

In this study, our objective was to provide a complete overview of qBRm used for rotavirus vaccination. We systematically searched 3 medical literature databases to identify relevant articles, in English, that were published between 2006 and 2019.

Results

Of the 276 publications screened, 14 studies using qBRm for rotavirus vaccination were retained, based on preselected criteria. Four were performed in low- and middle-income countries. Almost all (13 of 14) displayed the following characteristics: force of infection assumed to be constant over time (static model), indirect effect of rotavirus vaccination (herd effect) not considered, closed model (individuals not allowed to enter and/or exit the model over time), and aggregated level (no tracking of individual's behavior). Most of the models were probabilistic (9 of 14) and reported sensitivity and/or scenario analyses (12 of 14). Input parameter values varied across studies. Selected studies suggest that, depending on the models used, for every IS hospitalization and death induced, vaccination would prevent, respectively, 190-1624 and 71-743 RVGE-related hospitalizations and deaths.

Conclusions

The benefits of rotavirus vaccination were shown to largely exceed the increased risk of IS, across all studies. Future research aiming to harmonize qBRm for rotavirus vaccination should ensure the comparability of studies and provide additional information for regulatory authorities, physicians, and patients.

How to assess for the full economic value of vaccines? From past to present, drawing lessons for the future

Background:Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is the economic analysis method most commonly applied today in the context of replacing one treatment with a new one in a developed healthcare system to improve efficiency. CEA is often requested by local healthcare decision-makers to grant reimbursement. New preventative interventions, such as new vaccines, may however have much wider benefits inside and outside healthcare, when compared with treatment. These additional benefits include externalities on indirect clinical impact, reallocation of specific healthcare resources, improved quality of care, better productivity, better disease control, better fiscal revenues, and others. But these effects are sometimes difficult to integrate into a meaningful CEA result. They may appear as specific benefits for specific stakeholders, other than the stakeholders in healthcare. Objective: Based on a historical view about the application of economic assessments for vaccines our objective has been to make the inventory of who was/is interested in knowing the economic value of vaccines, in what those different stakeholders are likely to see the benefit from their perspective and how  were/are we able to measure those benefits and to report them well. Results: The historical view disclosed a limited interest in the economic assessment of vaccines at start, more than 50 years ago, that was comparable to the assessment of looking for more efficiency in new industries through optimization exercises. Today, we are exposed to a very rich panoply of different stakeholders (n= 16). They have their specific interest in many different facets of the vaccine benefit of which some are well known in the conventional economic analysis (n=9), but most outcomes are hidden and not enough evaluated and reported (n=26). Meanwhile we discovered that many different methods of evaluation have been explored to facilitate the measurement and reporting of the benefits (n=18). Conclusion: Our recommendation for future economic evaluations of new vaccines is therefore to find the right combination among the three entities of stakeholder type selection, outcome measure of interest for each stakeholder, and the right method to apply. We present at the end examples that illustrate how successful this approach can be.

TIPICO IX: report of the 9th interactive infectious disease workshop on infectious diseases and vaccines

The Ninth Interactive Infectious Disease workshop TIPICO was held on November 22–23, 2018, in Santiago de Compostela, Spain. This 2-day academic experience addressed current and topical issues in the field of infectious diseases and vaccination. Summary findings of the meeting include: cervical cancer elimination will be possible in the future, thanks to the implementation of global vaccination action plans in combination with appropriate screening interventions. The introduction of appropriate immunization programs is key to maintain the success of current effective vaccines such as those against meningococcal disease or rotavirus infection. Additionally, reduced dose schedules might improve the efficiency of some vaccines (i.e., PCV13). New vaccines to improve current preventive alternatives are under development (e.g., against tuberculosis or influenza virus), while others to protect against infectious diseases with no current available vaccines (e.g., enterovirus, parechovirus and flaviviruses) need to be developed. Vaccinomics will be fundamental in this process, while infectomics will allow the application of precision medicine. Further research is also required to understand the impact of heterologous vaccine effects. Finally, vaccination requires education at all levels (individuals, community, healthcare professionals) to ensure its success by helping to overcome major barriers such as vaccine hesitancy and false contraindications.

Benefit Versus Risk Assessment of Rotavirus Vaccination in France: A Simulation and Modeling Analysis

Introduction

Two vaccines against rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) in young children, Rotarix and RotaTeq, have been available in Europe since 2006. Vaccination against rotaviruses significantly reduces the burden of RVGE, but it is also associated with a very small increased risk of intussusception. In a benefit–risk analysis, the prevented RVGE burden is weighed against the possible excess of intussusception.

Purpose

The aim was to compare the estimated benefits and risks of Rotarix vaccination in France.

Methods

We estimated the benefits (vaccine-preventable RVGE hospitalizations and deaths) and risks (vaccine-caused intussusception hospitalizations and deaths) following two doses of Rotarix in a birth cohort of 791,183 followed for 3–5 years in France. We used data from peer-reviewed clinical and epidemiological studies or publications, and government statistics.

Results

Within the total number of French children below 5 years of age, we estimate vaccination could prevent a median 11,132 [95% credible interval (CI) 7842–14,408] RVGE hospitalizations and 7.43 (95% CI 3.27–14.68) RVGE deaths. At the same time, vaccination could cause an average of 6.86 (95% CI 2.25–38.37) intussusception hospitalizations and 0.0099 (95% CI 0.0024–0.060) intussusception deaths in the entire French birth cohort of infants below 1 year of age. Therefore, for every intussusception hospitalization and every intussusception death caused by vaccination, 1624 (95% CI 240–5243) RVGE hospitalizations and 743 (95% CI 93–3723) RVGE deaths are prevented, respectively, by vaccination.

Conclusions

The vaccine-prevented RVGE hospitalizations and deaths (benefit) greatly outweigh the excess potentially vaccination-related cases of intussusception (risk), indicating a favorable benefit–risk balance for Rotarix in France.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s40259-018-0273-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Sustained impact of rotavirus vaccine on rotavirus hospitalisations in Lusaka, Zambia, 2009-2016

BACKGROUND

Monovalent rotavirus vaccine (RV1) was introduced in Lusaka in February 2012 and rolled out countrywide in November 2013 in the routine Expanded Programme on Immunisation and administered at 6 and 10 weeks with no catch up dose. Reported here is the monitoring of rotavirus acute gastroenteritis hospitalisations at the University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia as part of efforts to document the impact of rotavirus vaccine.

METHODS

Children <5 years hospitalised for acute gastroenteritis (AGE) from January 2009 to December 2016 were recruited into the rotavirus disease burden active surveillance and had their stools tested for rotavirus by enzyme immunoassay. We compared rotavirus-associated AGE hospitalisations of the pre-vaccine era (2009-2011) with the post-rotavirus vaccine introduction period (2013-2016).

RESULTS

With the increase in RV1 coverage in Lusaka, rotavirus AGE declined significantly from 40% of diarrhoea hospitalisation in the pre-vaccine era to 29% of diarrhoea hospitalisation in the post-vaccine era (p < 0.001) in children <5 years. After a decreasing trend in rotavirus positivity from 2013 to 2015, positivity increased to 37% in 2016. However, the post-vaccine years (2012-2016) saw substantial decline in the number tested (median decline: 34% (range: 20-43%)) and the number of positive results (median decline: 52% (range: 30-65%).

CONCLUSION

A sustained and significant decline in rotavirus AGE hospitalisations was observed in children <5 years since the introduction of RV1 in Lusaka, Zambia. Despite an increase in rotavirus positivity in 2016, the total number of children enrolled and the number of rotavirus positive children remained below baseline. The reason for the increase in rotavirus positivity in 2016 is unknown but could be due to an accumulation of susceptible children and the shifting of disease to children of older age groups. This finding underscores the need for continued monitoring of rotavirus vaccine impact.

A review of recommendations for rotavirus vaccination in Europe: Arguments for change

BACKGROUND

More than 10 years after the authorisation of two rotavirus vaccines of demonstrated efficacy and with a strongly positive benefit-risk profile, uptake in Europe remains low. Only 13 countries in Europe provide a fully-funded rotavirus universal mass vaccination (UMV) programme, three provide a partially-funded programme, and one provides full funding for a reduced programme targeting at-risk infants. Around 40% of countries in Europe currently have no existing recommendations for rotavirus vaccine use in children from the national government.

METHODS

We provide an overview of the status of rotavirus vaccine recommendations across Europe and the factors impeding uptake. We consider the evidence for the benefits and risks of vaccination, and argue that cost-effectiveness and cost-saving benefits justify greater access to rotavirus vaccines for infants living in Europe.

RESULTS

Lack of awareness of the direct and indirect burden caused by rotavirus disease, potential cost-saving from rotavirus vaccination including considerable benefits to children, families and society, and government/insurer cost constraints all contribute to complacency at different levels of health policy in individual countries.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 10 years after their introduction, available data confirm the benefits and acceptable safety profile of infant rotavirus UMV programmes. Europe serves to gain considerably from rotavirus UMV in terms of reductions in healthcare resource utilization and related costs in both vaccinated subjects and their unvaccinated siblings through herd protection.

Improving the Hospital Quality of Care during Winter Periods by Optimizing Budget Allocation Between Rotavirus Vaccination and Bed Expansion

BACKGROUND

During each winter the hospital quality of care (QoC) in pediatric wards decreases due to a surge in pediatric infectious diseases leading to overcrowded units. Bed occupancy rates often surpass the good hospital bed management threshold of 85%, which can result in poor conditions in the workplace. This study explores how QoC-scores could be improved by investing in additional beds and/or better vaccination programs against vaccine-preventable infectious diseases.

METHODS

The Cobb-Douglas model was selected to define the improvement in QoC (%) as a function of two strategies (rotavirus vaccination coverage [%] and addition of extra hospital beds [% of existing beds]), allowing improvement-isocurves to be produced. Subsequently, budget minimization was applied to determine the combination of the two strategies needed to reach a given QoC improvement at the lowest cost. Data from Jessa Hospital (Hasselt, Belgium) were chosen as an example. The annual population in the catchment area to be vaccinated was 7000 children; the winter period was 90 days with 34 pediatric beds available. Rotavirus vaccination cost per course was €118.26 and the daily cost of a pediatric bed was €436.53. The target QoC increase was fixed at 50%. The model was first built with baseline parameter values.

RESULTS

The model predicted that a combination of 64% vaccine coverage and 39% extra hospital beds (≈ 13 extra beds) in winter would improve QoC-scores by 50% for the minimum budget allocation.

CONCLUSION

The model allows determination of the most efficient allocation of the healthcare budget between rotavirus vaccination and bed expansion for improving QoC-scores during the annual epidemic winter seasons.

3. How comprehensive can we be in the economic assessment of vaccines?

In two previous papers we argued on current vaccines economic assessment not fully comprehensive when using the incremental cost-utility analysis normally applied for treatments. Many differences exist between vaccines and drug treatments making vaccines economic evaluation more cumbersome. Four challenges overwhelmingly present in vaccines assessment are less important for treatments: requirements for population, societal perspectives, budget impact evaluation, and time focused objectives (control or elimination). Based on this, economic analysis of vaccines may need to be presented to many different stakeholders with various evaluation preferences, in addition to the current stakeholders involved for drugs treatment assessment. Then, we may need a tool making the inventory of the different vaccines health economic assessment programmes more comprehensive. The cauliflower value toolbox has been developed with that aim, and its use is illustrated here with rotavirus vaccine. Given the broader perspectives for vaccine assessment, it provides better value and cost evaluations. Cost-benefit analysis may be the preferred economic assessment method when considering substitution from treatment to active medical prevention. Other economic evaluation methods can be selected (i.e. optimisation modelling, return on investment) when project prioritisation is the main focus considered and when stakeholders would like to influence the development of the healthcare programme.

Rotavirus epidemiology 5-6 years after universal rotavirus vaccination: persistent rotavirus activity in older children and elderly

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus (RV) vaccination using RotaTeq^® vaccine exclusively was introduced into Finnish National Immunization Program (NIP) in 2009, and soon reached high (≥90%) coverage. Since mid-2013, all stool samples from laboratory diagnosed cases of RV gastroenteritis in the entire country have been typed.

METHODS

364 RV positive stool samples collected from clinical laboratories over a 2-year period were G- and P-typed using RT-PCR, and the results were confirmed by sequencing. In addition, the genome segment encoding for VP6 was sequenced to distinguish between wild-type and vaccine origin (bovine) RVs.

RESULTS

RV winter epidemic seasons 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 lasted until July each. The age distribution of RV cases showed two unusual clusters: one in children 6-16 years of age, too old to have been vaccinated in NIP, and the other in elderly over 70 years of age. In children, diverse genotypes were observed without any obvious predominance. The most common ones were G1P[8] (30.0%), G2P[4] (22.4%), G9P[8] (15.8%), G3P[8] (12.2%) and G4P[8] (11.2%). The genotype distribution was not different among vaccinated and unvaccinated children. Most cases in the elderly were associated with G2P[4].

CONCLUSIONS

Even at high vaccine coverage and high effectiveness of RV vaccine, RV activity continues to persist, particularly in unvaccinated older children. RV genotypes show greater diversity than before RV vaccinations. We conclude that RV disease can be controlled but not eliminated by vaccinations. Herd-protection in long-term follow-up may be less than at the start of RV vaccinations.

2. How is the economic assessment of vaccines performed today?

This paper describes how the economic assessment of vaccines is performed today. It discusses why it may be incomplete and explores potential approaches to adjust the analysis to be more comprehensive. Besides helping protect against serious disease, vaccines also help avoid mild disease episodes that may not receive medical attention but which have important societal consequences. They also benefit unvaccinated individuals by reducing disease transmission. Wider societal benefits may extend beyond a decrease in disease incidence, as lower transmission rates reduce the risk of epidemics, which in turn reduces the pressure on healthcare providers, and may improve the quality of care for patients with unrelated diseases. Vaccines also lower the use of antibiotics leading to less pressure on anti-microbial resistance. Conventional ICUA focuses on individual health benefits, like increased survival. Therefore, this approach may not adequately capture the wider vaccination benefits. We discuss differences between treatment and vaccine prevention in the economic assessment, and how ICUA has been adapted to cope with the inconsistencies. Although such adaptations may fulfil the demand of one specific stakeholder, they may not meet the needs of other stakeholders who operate at the societal level, such as ministries other than healthcare, employers, caregivers, and insurers.

Decrease of Rotavirus Gastroenteritis to a Low Level Without Resurgence for Five Years After Universal RotaTeq Vaccination in Finland

BACKGROUND

Universal rotavirus (RV) vaccination with RotaTeq was introduced into National Immunization Programme (NIP) of Finland in September 2009. We have previously reported the reduction of RV gastroenteritis (GE) cases in the first 2 years after RV vaccination in NIP in Finland.

METHODS

In Tampere University Hospital, a 2-year survey of acute GE (AGE) in children was conducted before NIP in the years 2006 to 2008. This was followed by a similar prospective survey in years 2009 to 2011 and now extended to years 2012 to 2014. Stool samples from children examined in the hospital for AGE were analyzed by real-time polymerase chain reaction assays for RV and norovirus, and positive samples were typed by sequencing.

RESULTS

The proportion of RVGE of all AGE cases decreased from 52% (421 of 809 cases) in pre-NIP years to 26% (86 of 330 cases) in post-NIP years 2009 to 2011 falling to 12% (40 of 347 cases) in 2012 and 2014. The hospitalizations for RVGE were reduced by 90% and the outpatient clinic visits also by 90% in 2012 to 2014, compared with pre-NIP year; all AGE cases were reduced by 59%. Norovirus was a major causative agent of AGE in the post-NIP period, accounting for 34% of the cases in 2009 to 2011 and 29% in 2012 to 2014.

CONCLUSIONS

RV vaccination in NIP has led to a major reduction of RVGE cases seen in hospital with no resurgence in 5 years after NIP. A high coverage of RV vaccination will maintain RV activity at a low level but not eliminate wild-type RV circulation.

Incidence of rotavirus gastroenteritis hospitalizations and genotypes, before and five years after introducing universal immunization in Israel

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty exists about the sustainability of the reduction in rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) following the introduction of rotavirus vaccines into national immunization programs, and on its potential impact on circulating genotypes. RotaTeq was introduced into the Israeli national immunization program in December 2010, and vaccination coverage is around 80%.

AIMS

To examine the change in incidence of RVGE hospitalization and rotavirus genotypes, during the five years after introduction of RotaTeq into the Israeli national immunization program.

METHODS

Data were obtained prospectively on hospitalization of children aged 0-59months due to acute gastroenteritis (N=7346) from three hospitals in northern Israel. Stool samples were tested for rotavirus by immunochromatography. Rotavirus was genotyped (N=506) by RT-PCR and/or sequencing.

RESULTS

The average incidence of RVGE hospitalization declined by 61.0% (95% CI 49.0-73.4%), from 5.6 per 1000 (95% CI 5.0-6.2) in the pre-universal immunization period (2008-2010) to 2.2 per 1000 (95% CI 1.8-2.5) during the universal immunization period (2012-2015), but yearly fluctuations were still observed. The most common genotypes in the pre-universal immunization period were G1P[8] (35.3%) followed by G2P[4] (15.5%), G3P[8] (8.8%), G4P[8] (4.3%) and G9P[8] (4.3%), and 19.5% were mixed infections. The dominance of G1P[8] continued into the universal immunization period (48.6%), followed by G3P[8] (21.5%), G9P[8] (15.9%) and G12P[8] (4.7%), while mixed rotavirus infections were no longer detected.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal immunization with RotaTeq in Israel was associated a sustained reduction in RVGE hospitalization. It is unclear whether changes in the circulating rotavirus genotypes are due to vaccine-induced selective pressure. Assessment of the long-term impact of rotavirus vaccination on the incidence of rotavirus gastroenteritis and continued strain surveillance is warranted.

The Sustained Rotavirus Vaccination Impact on Nosocomial Infection, Duration of Hospital Stay, and Age: The RotaBIS Study (2005-2012)

Introduction

The benefits of rotavirus (RV) vaccination in developed countries have focused on reductions in mortality, hospitalization and medical visits, and herd protection. We investigated other aspects related to RV-induced nosocomial infection, duration of hospital stay, age shift, and sustained vaccine impact (VI) over time.

Method

RotaBIS (Rotavirus Belgian Impact Study; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01563146) annually collects retrospective data on hospitalization linked to RV testing in children up to 5 years old from 11 pediatric wards located all over Belgium. Data from 2005 to 2012 have been split in pre- (2005–2006) and post-vaccination (2007–2012) period. Information was collected on age, gender, RV test result, nosocomial infection caused by RV and duration of hospital stay.

Results

Over the 6-year period after the introduction of the RV vaccine, an 85% reduction in nosocomial infections was observed (221 in 2005 to 33 in 2012, p < 0.001). A significant reduction of almost 2 days in average duration of hospital stay per event was observed overall (7.62 days in 2005 to 5.77 days in 2012, p < 0.001). The difference is mainly explained by the higher reduction in number of nosocomial infections. A pronounced age shift (+24%, p < 0.01) of RV nosocomial infection to infants ≤2 months old was observed, increasing with length of post-vaccination period. VI was maintained over the follow-up (±79% VI per birth cohort). A decrease was seen depending on age, 85% (95% CI 76–91%) in the youngest to 63% (95% CI 22–92%) in the oldest age group.

Conclusion

The higher reduction in nosocomial infection may affect the overall average duration of hospital stay for RV infection. No change in VI by birth cohort, but a reduction by age group was observed. These findings could be important for decision-makers considering the introduction of universal mass RV vaccination programs.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01563146.

Funding

GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA (Rixensart, Belgium).

Measuring indirect effects of rotavirus vaccine in low income countries

Widespread introduction of rotavirus vaccines has led to major reductions in the burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis worldwide. Vaccine effectiveness is diminished, however, in low income countries, that harbour the greatest burden of rotavirus attributed morbidity and mortality. Indirect effects of rotavirus vaccine (herd immunity and herd protection) could increase population level impact and improve vaccine cost effectiveness in such settings. While rotavirus vaccine indirect effects have been demonstrated in high and middle income countries, there are very little data from low income countries where force of infection, population structures and vaccine schedules differ. Targeted efforts to evaluate indirect effects of rotavirus vaccine in low income countries are required to understand the total impact of rotavirus vaccine on the global burden of rotavirus disease.