Evaluating the transmission routes of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong, China

Trend of hand, foot and mouth disease before, during, and after China's COVID control policies in Zhejiang, China

Objective

To describe the trends in the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) before, during, and after China's Coronavirus Disease (COVID) control policies, and to interpret the influence on HFMD incidence at different control stages in Zhejiang Province.

Methods

We collected data on HFMD cases in Zhejiang between 2014 and 2023. We compared the constituent ratios of cases at different COVID control stages by sex, age, child groups, and pathogens and weekly seasonal indices to observe seasonal variations in the incidence of HFMD. An interrupted time-series segmented regression analysis was applied to estimate the influence on HFMD incidence at different control stages. Stratified and sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate the findings.

Results

A considerable proportion of cases occurred among children living separately. The proportions of children in kindergartens or nurseries and children aged 2-4 years were relatively low at the strict control stage compared to the other three stages. Enteroviruses other than enterovirus 71 and coxsackie virus A16 were the dominant HFMD pathogens, and the proportion showed an increasing trend. The usual spring-summer peak in HMFD incidence did not occur in 2020, and the periodicity of the biennial peak was disrupted for a year. The summer peak in 2023 was higher than that in the other years, and was delayed by 3 weeks. The trend changes in weekly HFMD cases during the strict control and regular control stages were - 15% (IRR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81-0.89) and 17% (IRR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.12-1.23), respectively. However, the change was not statistically significant during the reopening stage (IRR: 1.41, 95% CI: 0.34-5.88). The expected number of cases increased by 1.12 times (95% CI: 243.17, 53.45%) during the reopening stage compared to what would have occurred if the zero-COVID policy had continued in 2023.

Conclusion

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for COVID-19 control can mitigate HFMD. However, after the dynamic zero-COVID policy ended, the HFMD incidence returned to historical levels. Strict NPIs such as traffic restrictions and kindergarten closures cannot be sustained long-term. NPIs such as improving personal hygiene for routine prevention are highly recommended.

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 interventions on the hand, foot and mouth disease in Guangdong Province, China: a Bayesian modeling study

Background

The non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) against COVID-19 may have affected the transmission of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD). We aimed to assess the impact of the NPIs on HFMD in the high epidemic area of HFMD, Guangdong Province.

Methods

The data of HFMD cases, etiological information, and meteorological factors in Guangdong from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2021, were collected. Using a Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model integrated counterfactual framework, we assessed the effect of NPIs on HFMD by different intervention periods, populations (gender, age, occupation), and cities. We further explored the correlation between the reduction of HFMD and socioeconomic factors in 21 cities.

Results

A total of 351,217 HFMD cases were reported and 455,327 cases were averted in Guangdong Province during 2020-2021 with a reduction of 84.94% (95%CI: 81.63-87.22%) in 2020 and 29.49% (95%CI: 15.26-39.54%) in 2021. The impact of NPIs on HFMD differed by age and gender. The effects of NPIs were more remarkable for children aged 0-2 years and scattered children. We found that the relative reductions in 21 cities were related to the composition ratio of children and COVID-19 incidence.

Conclusion

The reduction of HFMD incidence was significantly associated with COVID-19 NPIs, and school closure was an effective intervention to prevent HFMD outbreaks. Our findings will contribute to the development of HFMD prevention and control measures.

Association of public health and social measures on the hand-foot-mouth epidemic in South Korea

BACKGROUND

School based-measures such as school closure and school holidays have been considered a viable intervention during the hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) epidemic. The aim of this study was to explore the association of nationwide public health and social measures (PHSMs) including planned school vacation on the transmissibility and attack rate of the HFMD epidemic in South Korea.

METHODS

In this study, we used Korean national surveillance data on HFMD from 2014 to 2019 to estimate the temporal changes in HFMD transmissibility (instantaneous reproductive number, Rt). Furthermore, to assess the changes in the HFMD attack rate, we used a stochastic transmission model to simulate the HFMD epidemic with no school vacation and nationwide PHSMs in 2015 South Korea.

RESULTS

We found that school vacations and 2015 PHSMs were associated with the reduced Rt by 2-7 % and 13 %, respectively. Model projections indicated school vacations and 2015 PHSMs were associated with reduced HFMD attack rate by an average of 1.10 % (range: 0.38-1.51 %).

CONCLUSIONS

PHSMs likely have a larger association with reduced HFMD transmissibility than school-based measures alone (i.e. school vacations). Preventive measures targeting preschoolers could be considered as potential options for reducing the future burden of HFMD.

A hSCARB2-transgenic mouse model for Coxsackievirus A16 pathogenesis

Background

Coxsackievirus A16 (CA16) is one of the neurotropic pathogen that has been associated with severe neurological forms of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), but its pathogenesis is not yet clear. The limited host range of CA16 make the establishment of a suitable animal model that can recapitulate the neurological pathology observed in human HFMD more difficult. Because the human scavenger receptor class B, member 2 (hSCARB2) is a cellular receptor for CA16, we used transgenic mice bearing human SCARB2 and nasally infected them with CA16 to study the pathogenicity of the virus.

Methods

Coxsackievirus A16 was administered by intranasal instillation to groups of hSCARB2 transgenic mice and clinical signs were observed. Sampled at different time-points to document and characterize the mode of viral dissemination, pathological change and immune response of CA16 infection.

Results

Weight loss and virus replication in lung and brain were observed in hSCARB2 mice infected with CA16, indicating that these animals could model the neural infection process. Viral antigens were observed in the alveolar epithelia and brainstem cells. The typical histopathology was interstitial pneumonia with infiltration of significant lymphocytes into the alveolar interstitial in lung and diffuse punctate hemorrhages in the capillaries of the brainstem. In addition, we detected the expression levels of inflammatory cytokines and detected high levels of interleukin IL-1β, IL-6, IL-18, and IFN-γ in nasal mucosa, lungs and brain tissues.

Conclusions

The hSCARB2-transgenic mice can be productively infected with CA16 via respiratory route and exhibited a clear tropism to lung and brain tissues, which can serve as a model to investigate the pathogenesis of CA16 associated respiratory and neurological disease.

The epidemiological risk factors of hand, foot, mouth disease among children in Singapore: A retrospective case-control study

The incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is increasing over the years despite current prevention and control policies in Singapore. A retrospective case-control study was conducted among parents whose children attended childcare centres in Singapore to assess the epidemiological risk factors associated with HFMD among children below 7 years old. Parents of 363 children with HFMD (as cases) and 362 children without HFMD (as controls) were enrolled from 22 childcare centres. Data of potential risk factors were collected through a standardised self-administered questionnaire from parents which include demographics and hygiene practices. Multivariate analysis were adjusted for age group, parent’s education level, mother's age, HFMD-infected siblings, and preschool admission period. Child’s age between 1.5 and 4.9 years, child who had been in childcare for more than 1.9years, having HFMD-infected siblings, two or more children in a family, higher educated parents, parents who had HFMD episode previously, wash toys with soap once every two to three weeks, sanitise toys once every two to three weeks, out-sourced cleaner in childcare centre, no domestic helper at home and more than 22 children in a classroom were independent risk factors of HFMD. These evidence provide crucial implications to guide more effective prevention and control of HFMD in Singapore.

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease in uruguay: Coxsackievirus A6 identified as causative of an outbreak in a rural childcare center

To know the epidemiological context of hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) in a region of Uruguay and to identify the Enterovirus responsible for an outbreak in a rural childcare center in 2018. Swab samples from skin lesions and/or stools samples were collected from children suffering HFMD during an outbreak in a rural childcare center. Samples were subject to viral RNA extraction and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction towards VP1 coding segment, to identify the Enterovirus type by sequencing and phylogenetic analysis. Total of 149 cases of HFMD affecting 98 boys and 51 girls were reported in Salto Province-Uruguay in 2018. Total 60% of the cases were originated from outbreaks, which occurred in ten educative and childcare institutions from both urban and rural areas. Coxsackievirus-6 (CV-A6) was identified as responsible for one of the rural outbreaks. Uruguayan strains were more related to strains reported in Russia, Turkey, and Germany (2014-2017) than to strains reported in Brazil and Argentina from 2015 to 2016. This is the first report of CV-A6-associated HFMD in Uruguay, evidencing a wide geographic range of the virus in the Latin American region. Our report also warns about CV-A6-associated HFMD during winter, contrarily to most reports that register HFMD during summer and fall seasons.

Estimating the transmissibility of hand, foot, and mouth disease by a dynamic model

OBJECTIVE

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a serious public health issue in many countries; however, its transmissibility in county-level outbreaks remains unclear. The aim of this study is to estimate the transmissibility of HFMD epidemics on both city level and county level, for a better understanding of the transmission dynamics of HFMD epidemics.

STUDY DESIGN

Simulation based on data obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention.

METHODS

The weekly number of reported HFMD cases from April 2009 to December 2017 in nine regions of Changsha City was collected. A susceptible-infectious-recovered model was used to estimate the transmissibility of HFMD. The reproduction number of reported cases during the ascending (denoted as R_asc) and descending (denoted as R_des) period was used to describe the transmissibility of HFMD.

RESULTS

The R_asc and R_des for HFMD in Changsha was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.41-1.48) and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.69-0.73), respectively. There was no statistical significance of R_asc values among nine regions (F = 1.056, P = 0.396), nor of R_des values among nine regions (F = 1.676, P = 0.106). The average R_asc (1.53, 95% CI: 1.46-1.61) from 2009 to 2012 was higher than the one (1.37, 95% CI: 1.34-1.40) from 2013 to 2017 (t = 3.974, P < 0.001), but the average R_des (0.67, 95% CI: 0.63-0.70) from 2009 to 2012 was lower than the one (0.74, 95% CI: 0.73-0.76) from 2013 to 2017 (t = -3.751, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The epidemic of HFMD in Changsha City is still grim, and integrated strategies should be taken for controlling and preventing HFMD.

Incidence, aetiology, and serotype spectrum analysis of adult hand, foot, and mouth disease patients: A retrospective observational cohort study in northern Zhejiang, China

BACKGROUND

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in adults has rarely been reported in the literature, although its clinical significance is underestimated. This study was performed to systematically elucidate the epidemiological characteristics of adult HFMD.

METHODS

A total of 266 adult patients with HFMD were recruited. The control group comprised 40 healthy adults. Swabs and serum samples were collected. Enterovirus strains were tested by RT-PCR, and cytokine expression was examined using commercial kits. Socio-demographic data were collected through follow-up telephone calls. Daily meteorological data were obtained from the China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System. Socio-economic data were collected from the statistical bureau.

RESULTS

This study identified several unique spatiotemporal patterns in adult HFMD. Having a child recently diagnosed with HFMD was a risk factor for HFMD, whereas keeping pets was a protective factor against HFMD. The results of this study indicate the existence of subclinical carriers or misdiagnosed patients who might be the latent infectious source of HFMD. Further, this study also indicated that adults may act as the main infectious source of trans-regional spread of HFMD.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed the potential hazards of adult HFMD and is a reminder of the vital clinical significance of further research into adult HFMD.

Short-term effects of meteorological factors and air pollution on childhood hand-foot-mouth disease in Guilin, China

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have always focused on the impact of various meteorological factors on Hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD). However, only few studies have investigated the simultaneous effects of climate and air pollution on HFMD incidence.

METHODS

Daily HFMD counts among children aged 0-14 years in Guilin city were collected from 2014 to 2016. Distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to assess the effects of extreme meteorological factors and air pollution indicators, as well as the effects of different lag days on HFMD incidence. Furthermore, this study explored the variability across gender and age groups.

RESULTS

Extreme temperatures, high precipitation and low-O₃ concentration increased the risk of HFMD. Hot effect was stronger and longer lasting than cold effect. Risks of rainy effect and low-O₃ effect continued to increase as lag days extended, with the maximum RR values: 1.60 (1.38, 1.86) (90th vs median) and 1.48 (1.16, 1.89) (1th vs median) at 0-14 lag days, respectively. By contrast, extremely high wind speed, low precipitation, low PM_2.5 and high O₃ exerted a certain protective effect on HFMD incidence. The corresponding minimum RR values were: 0.85 (0.74, 0.98) (90th vs median) at 0-14 lag days, 0.98 (0.97, 0.99) (10th vs median) at 0-14 lag days, 0.73 (0.61, 0.88) (1th vs median) at 0-14 lag days and 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) (99th vs median) at 0-7 lag days, respectively. Male children and children aged 0-1 years (followed by 1-3 years) were the most susceptible subgroups to extreme climatic effects and air pollution.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated that daily meteorological factors and air pollution exert non-linear and delayed effects on pediatric HFMD, and such effects vary depending on gender and age. These findings may serve as a reference for the development of an early warning system and for the adoption of specific interventions for vulnerable groups.

Parental perspectives on hand, foot, and mouth disease among children in Hong Kong: a longitudinal study

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), usually a self-limiting illness for young children, could cause a significant burden for parents because it can take up to 1-2 weeks for a sick child to recover. We conducted a two-wave longitudinal study over one summer peak season (May-July 2014) of HFMD to examine parents' HFMD-related risk perceptions and protective responses. In total, 618 parents with at least one child aged ⩽12 years, recruited using randomly-dialled household telephone calls completed the baseline survey interview, 452 of whom subsequently completed the follow-up survey. Around two-thirds of participants perceived the chance of their child being infected by HFMD was 'zero/very small/small' but the likelihood of being hospitalized once infected was 'somewhat likely/likely/very likely'. At follow-up, 82% reported washing child's hands frequently (Hygiene), 16% would keep their child away from school if HFMD cases were identified in school (Distancing) and 23% were 'very likely/certainly' to take the child for HFMD vaccination if available (Vaccination). Anticipated regret was consistently the strongest predictor for Hygiene (OR 3.34), and intention of Distancing (OR 2.58) and Vaccination (OR 3.16). Interventions focusing on anticipated regret may be effective to promote protective behaviour against HFMD among parents for their children.

Transmission of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease and Its Potential Driving Factors in Hong Kong

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is a common childhood disease with substantial disease burden in Asia. Mixed results were reported on the associations between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors or school holidays, while limited studies focused on their association on transmissibility. We aimed to measure the transmissibility of HFMD and to examine its potential driving factors in Hong Kong. A likelihood-based procedure was used to estimate time-dependent effective reproduction number (Rt) based on weekly number of HFMD-associated hospitalizations from 2010 to 2014. The associations of between-year effects, depletion of susceptibles, absolute humidity and school holidays with Rt were examined using linear regression. Rt usually started increasing between early spring and summer and peaked in April to May at around 1.1-1.2, followed by a slight rebound in autumn. Depletion of susceptibles and between-years effects explained most of the variances (19 and 13% respectively) in Rt. We found a negative association between depletion of susceptibles and Rt (coefficients ranged from -0.14 to -0.03 for different years), but the estimated effects of absolute humidity and school holidays were insignificant. Overall, HFMD transmission was moderate in Hong Kong and was mainly associated with depletion of susceptibles. Limited impact was suggested from meteorological factors and school holidays.