Cancer Recurrence After Esophagectomy: Impact of Postoperative Infection in Propensity-Matched Cohorts

Impact of postoperative morbidity on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after laparoscopic liver resection: a multicenter observational study

The long-term impact of postoperative morbidity following laparoscopic liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma is unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients were affected by postoperative morbidity after laparoscopic liver resection. Hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent curative-intent laparoscopic liver resection were included. Risk factors of 30-day morbidity were identified using logistic regression analysis. Early (≤ 2 years) and late (> 2 years) recurrence rates, overall survival, and time to recurrence were compared among patients with and without postoperative morbidity. Independent prognostic factors of overall survival and time to recurrence of these patients were investigated using Cox regression analysis. This study included 420 patients, 147 (35%) of whom experienced postoperative morbidity. Diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, Child-Pugh grade B, multiple tumors, poor tumor differentiation and intraoperative blood transfusion were risk factors of postoperative morbidity. Patients with postoperative morbidity had higher early and late recurrence rates than those without postoperative morbidity (38.8% vs. 22.4%, P = 0.001; 50% vs. 25.5%, P = 0.001). Postoperative morbidity was associated with decreased overall survival (median: 54.5 months vs. not reached, P < 0.001) and time to recurrence (median: 36.4 vs. 68.2 months; P < 0.001). Postoperative morbidity resulted in a 43% and 92% higher risk of long-term mortality (HR 1.43; 95% CI 1-2.03; P = 0.048) and recurrence (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.41-2.62; P < 0.001). For hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing laparoscopic liver resection, long-term oncologic outcomes are adversely affected by postoperative morbidity. Therefore, it is of great importance for surgeons to prevent and manage postoperative morbidity.

The Effect of Postoperative Sepsis on 1-Year Mortality and Cancer Recurrence Following Transhiatal Esophagectomy for Esophageal-Gastric Junction Adenocarcinomas: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

Transhiatal esophagectomy (THE) is used for specific gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinomas. THE is a high-risk surgical procedure. We aimed to assess the impact of postoperative sepsis (sepsis or septic shock) on the 1-year mortality after THE and to determine the risk factors associated with these outcomes. Secondly, we aimed to assess the impact of postoperative sepsis and other risk factors on 1-year cancer recurrence.

METHOD

A retrospective, observational study was undertaken at the Paoli-Calmettes Institute, Marseille, from January 2012 to March 2022.

RESULTS

Of 118 patients, 24.6% (n = 29) presented with postoperative sepsis. Their 1-year mortality was 11% (n = 13), and their 1-year cancer recurrence was 23.7% (n = 28). In the multivariate analysis, independent factors for 1-year mortality were the following: postoperative sepsis (OR: 7.22 (1.11-47); p = 0.038), number of lymph nodes removed (OR: 0. 78 (0.64-0.95); p = 0.011), recurrence at one year (OR: 9.22 (1.66-51.1); p = 0.011), mediastinitis (OR: 17.7 (1.43-220); p = 0.025) and intraoperative driving pressure (OR: 1.77 (1.17-2.68); p = 0.015). For postoperative sepsis, independent factors were low-dose vasopressors (OR: 0.26; 95% CI: 0.07-0.95; p = 0.049), a cervical abscess (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.5-18.9; p = 0.01), bacterial pneumonia (OR: 11.1; 95% CI: 2.99-41.0; p < 0.001) and a high SOFA score on day 1 (OR: 2.65; 95% CI: 1.36-5.19; p = 0.04). For 1-year cancer recurrence, independent factors were the number of lymph nodes removed (sHR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.79-0.96; p = 0.005), pTNM stages of III or IV (sHR: 8.29; 95% CI: 2.71-25.32; p < 0.001) and postoperative sepsis (sHR: 6.54; 95% CI: 1.70-25.13; p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that after THE, postoperative sepsis influences survival and cancer recurrence. We identified the associated risk factors, suggesting an early diagnosis might decrease mortality and recurrence.

Long-term survival is not affected by severity of complications following esophagectomy

INTRODUCTION

Outcomes following esophagectomy for esophageal cancer have continued to improve over the last 30 years. Post-operative complications impact upon peri-operative and short-term survival but the effect on long-term survival remains debated. This study aims to investigate the effect of post-operative complications on long-term survival following esophagectomy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients who underwent an esophagectomy between January 2010 and January 2019 were included from a single high-volume center. Data was collected contemporaneously. Patients were separated into three groups; those who experienced no, or very minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 0 or 1), minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 2), and major complications (Clavien-Dindo 3-4), at 30 days. To correct for short-term mortality effects, those who died during the index hospital admission were excluded. Overall survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and log rank testing.

RESULTS

The study cohort comprised 721 patients. There were 42.4% (306/721), 29.5% (213/721) and 25.7% (185/721) in the Clavien-Dindo 0-1, Clavien-Dindo 2, and Clavien-Dindo 3-4 group respectively. Seventeen patients (2.4%) died during their index hospital admission and were therefore excluded. There was no significant difference between median survival across the 3 groups (50, 57 and 52 months). Across all 3 groups, overall long-term survival rates were equivalent at 1 (87.5%, 84.9%, 83.2%), 3 (59.7%, 59.6%, 54.2%), and 5 years (43.9%, 48.9%, 45.7%) (p = 0.806). The only factors independently associated with survival in this cohort, were male gender, Charlson comorbidity index, and overall pathological stage of disease.

CONCLUSION

Long-term survival is not affected by peri-operative complications, irrespective of severity, following esophagectomy. Further study into the long-term quality of life is required.

Long-Term Survival Associated with Direct Oral Feeding Following Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial (NUTRIENT II)

Advancements in perioperative care have improved postoperative morbidity and recovery after esophagectomy. The direct start of oral intake can also enhance short-term outcomes following minimally invasive Ivor Lewis esophagectomy (MIE-IL). Subsequently, short-term outcomes may affect long-term survival. This planned sub-study of the NUTRIENT II trial, a multicenter randomized controlled trial, investigated the long-term survival of direct versus delayed oral feeding following MIE-IL. The outcomes included 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and the influence of complications and caloric intake on OS. After excluding cases of 90-day mortality, 145 participants were analyzed. Of these, 63 patients (43.4%) received direct oral feeding. At 3 years, OS was significantly better in the direct oral feeding group (p = 0.027), but not at 5 years (p = 0.115). Moreover, 5-year DFS was significantly better in the direct oral feeding group (p = 0.047) and a trend towards improved DFS was shown at 3 years (p = 0.079). Postoperative complications and caloric intake on day 5 did not impact OS. The results of this study show a tendency of improved 3-year OS and 5-year DFS, suggesting a potential long-term survival benefit in patients receiving direct oral feeding after esophagectomy. However, the findings should be further explored in larger future trials.

The association between postoperative complications and long-term survival after esophagectomy: a multicenter cohort study

Conflicting results are reported on the association between post-esophagectomy complications and long-term survival. This multicenter study assesses the association between complications after an esophagectomy and long-term overall survival. Five Dutch high-volume centers collected data from consecutive patients undergoing esophagectomy between 2010 and 2016 and merged these with long-term survival data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Exclusion criteria were non-curative resections and 90-day mortality, among others. Primary outcome was overall survival related to the presence of a postoperative complication in general. Secondary outcomes analyzed the presence of anastomotic leakage and cardiopulmonary complications. Propensity score matching was performed and the outcomes were analyzed via Log-Rank test and Kaplan Meier analysis. Among the 1225 patients included, a complicated course occurred in 719 patients (59.0%). After matching for baseline characteristics, 455 pairs were successfully balanced. Patients with an uncomplicated postoperative course had a 5-year overall survival of 51.7% versus 44.4% in patients with complications (P = 0.011). Anastomotic leakage occurred in 18.4% (n = 226), and in 208 matched pairs, it was shown that the 5-year overall survival was 57.2% in patients without anastomotic leakage versus 44.0% in patients with anastomotic leakage (P = 0.005). Overall cardiopulmonary complication rate was 37.1% (n = 454), and in 363 matched pairs, the 5-year overall survival was 52.1% in patients without cardiopulmonary complications versus 45.3% in patients with cardiopulmonary complications (P = 0.019). Overall postoperative complication rate, anastomotic leakage, and cardiopulmonary complications were associated with a decreased long-term survival after an esophagectomy. Efforts to reduce complications might further improve the overall survival for patients treated for esophageal carcinoma.

Prognostic Value of Pretreatment Red Blood Cell Distribution Width in Patients With Esophageal Cancer Who Underwent Esophagectomy: A Retrospective Study

Objective

This comprehensive analysis aimed to elucidate the mechanism underlying how high pretreatment red blood cell distribution width (RDW) reflects poor prognosis after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.

Background

Several cohort studies have reported that preoperative RDW might be a predictive marker for poor prognosis after esophagectomy; however, the underlying mechanism of this relationship has not been elucidated.

Methods

This study included 626 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy between April 2005 and November 2020. A retrospective investigation of the association between pretreatment RDW and clinicopathological features, blood data, short-term outcomes, and prognosis was conducted using a prospectively entered institutional clinical database and the latest follow-up data.

Results

Of 626 patients, 87 (13.9%) had a high pretreatment RDW. High RDW was significantly associated with several disadvantageous characteristics regarding performance status, the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, respiratory comorbidity, and nutritional status. Similarly, high RDW correlated with frequent postoperative morbidities (respiratory morbidity and reoperation; P = 0.022 and 0.034, respectively), decreased opportunities for adjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.0062), and increased death from causes other than esophageal cancer (P = 0.046). Finally, RDW could be an independent predictor of survival after esophagectomy (hazard ratio, 1.47; 95% confidence interval, 1.009-2.148; P = 0.045).

Conclusion

High pretreatment RDW reflected various adverse backgrounds and it could be a surrogate marker of poor prognosis in patients who have undergone esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.

High Pretreatment Mean Corpuscular Volume Can Predict Worse Prognosis in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma who Have Undergone Curative Esophagectomy: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To establish the prognostic value of mean corpuscular volume (MCV) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who have undergone esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND

The MCV increases in patients with high alcohol and tobacco consumption. Such a lifestyle can be a risk factor for malnutrition, comorbidities related to those habits, and multiple primary malignancies, which may be associated with frequent postoperative morbidity and poor prognosis.

METHODS

This study included 1673 patients with ESCC who underwent curative esophagectomy at eight institutes between April 2005 and November 2020. Patients were divided into normal and high MCV groups according to the standard value of their pretreatment MCV. Clinical background, short-term outcomes, and prognosis were retrospectively compared between the groups.

RESULTS

Overall, 26.9% of patients had a high MCV, which was significantly associated with male sex, habitual smoking and drinking, multiple primary malignancies, and malnutrition, as estimated by the body mass index, hemoglobin and serum albumin values, and the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index. Postoperative respiratory morbidity (P = 0.0075) frequently occurred in the high MCV group. A high MCV was an independent prognostic factor for worse overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.049-1.533; P = 0.014) and relapse-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.047-1.455; P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

A high MCV correlates with habitual drinking and smoking, malnutrition, and multiple primary malignancies and could be a surrogate marker of worse short-term and long-term outcomes in patients with ESCC who undergo esophagectomy.

Postoperative morbidity adversely impacts oncological prognosis after curative resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Postoperative morbidity after curative resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HCCA) is common; however, whether it has an impact on oncological prognosis is unknown.

AIM

To evaluate the influence of postoperative morbidity on tumor recurrence and mortality after curative resection for HCCA.

METHODS

Patients with recently diagnosed HCCA who had undergone curative resection between January 2010 and December 2017 at The First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University in China were enrolled. The independent risk factors for morbidity in the 30 d after surgery were investigated, and links between postoperative morbidity and patient characteristics and outcomes were assessed. Postoperative morbidities were divided into five grades based on the Clavien-Dindo classification, and major morbidities were defined as Clavien-Dindo ≥ 3. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Postoperative morbidity occurred in 146 out of 239 patients (61.1%). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that cirrhosis, intraoperative blood loss > 500 mL, diabetes mellitus, and obesity were independent risk factors. Postoperative morbidity was associated with decreased OS and RFS (OS: 18.0 mo vs 31.0 mo, respectively, P = 0.003; RFS: 16.0 mo vs 26.0 mo, respectively, P = 0.002). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that postoperative morbidity was independently associated with decreased OS [hazard ratios (HR): 1.557, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.119-2.167, P = 0.009] and RFS (HR: 1.535, 95%CI: 1.117-2.108, P = 0.008). Moreover, major morbidity was independently associated with decreased OS (HR: 2.175; 95%CI: 1.470-3.216, P < 0.001) and RFS (HR: 2.054; 95%CI: 1.400-3.014, P < 0.001) after curative resection for HCCA.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative morbidity (especially major morbidity) may be an independent risk factor for unfavorable prognosis in HCCA patients following curative resection.

The Effect of Postoperative Complications After Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy on Long-term Survival: An International Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Esophagectomy is a technically challenging procedure, associated with significant morbidity. The introduction of minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) has reduced postoperative morbidity.

OBJECTIVE

Although the short-term effect on complications is increasingly being recognized, the impact on long-term survival remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association between postoperative complications following MIE and long-term survival.

METHODS

Data were collected from the EsoBenchmark Collaborative composed by 13 high-volume, expert centers routinely performing MIE. Patients operated between June 1, 2011 and May 31, 2016 were included. Complications were graded using the Clavien-Dindo (CD) classification. To correct for short-term effects of postoperative complications on mortality, patients who died within 90 days postoperative were excluded. Primary endpoint was 5-year overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 915 patients were included with a mean follow-up time of 30.8 months (standard deviation 17.9). Complications occurred in 542 patients (59.2%) of which 50.2% had a CD grade ≥III complication [ie, (re)intervention, organ dysfunction, or death]. The incidence of anastomotic leakage (AL) was 135 of 915 patients (14.8%) of which 84 patients were classified as a CD grade ≥III. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly deteriorated long-term survival in all patients with AL [hazard ratio (HR) 1.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-2.24]. This inverse relation was most distinct when AL was scored as a CD grade ≥III (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.30-2.58). For all other complications, no significant association with long-term survival was found.

CONCLUSION

The occurrence and severity of AL, but not overall complications, after MIE negatively affect long-term survival of esophageal cancer patients.

Postoperative morbidity adversely impacts long-term oncologic prognosis following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter observational study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Postoperative morbidity following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is common and its impact on long-term oncological outcome remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate if postoperative morbidity impacts long-term survival and recurrence following hepatectomy for HCC.

METHODS

The data from a multicenter Chinese database of curative-intent hepatectomy for HCC were analyzed, and independent risks of postoperative 30-day morbidity were identified. After excluding patients with postoperative early deaths (≤90 days), early (≤2 years) and late (>2 years) recurrence rates, overall survival (OS), and time-to-recurrence (TTR) were compared between patients with and without postoperative morbidity.

RESULTS

Among 2,161 patients eligible for the study, 758 (35.1%) had postoperative 30-day morbidity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes mellitus, obesity, Child-Pugh grade B, cirrhosis, and intraoperative blood transfusion were independent risks of postoperative morbidity. The rates of early and late recurrence among patients with postoperative morbidity were higher than those without (50.7% vs. 38.8%, P < 0.001; and 41.7% vs. 34.1%, P = 0.017). Postoperative morbidity was associated with decreased OS (median: 48.1 vs. 91.6 months, P < 0.001) and TTR (median: 19.8 vs. 46.1 months; P < 0.001). After adjustment of confounding factors, multivariable Cox-regression analyses revealed that postoperative morbidity was associated with a 27.8% and 18.7% greater likelihood of mortality (hazard ratio 1.278; 95% confidence interval: 1.126-1.451; P < 0.001) and recurrence (1.187; 1.058-1.331; P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

This large multicenter study provides strong evidence that postoperative morbidity adversely impacts long-term oncologic prognosis after hepatectomy for HCC. The prevention and management of postoperative morbidity may be oncologically important.

Postoperative Complications and Cancer Recurrence: Impact on Poor Prognosis of Lower Lobe Cancer

BACKGROUND

Previous reports suggest that lung cancer in the lower lobe is associated with a poorer prognosis than upper lobe disease. However, the reason remains controversial. We evaluated the relationship among the affected lobe, postoperative infectious complications, and cancer recurrence in patients who underwent lobectomy for clinical stage I lung cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 422 cases of resected lung cancer. We recorded the postoperative complications that developed within 30 days after surgery. The covariates included in the outcome analysis were patient demographic variables, surgical approach, laterality, affected lobe, tumor size, histologic type, tumor grade, pleural lavage cytology, pleural invasion, lymphovascular invasion, and lymph node metastasis.

RESULTS

Lower lobectomy was associated with significantly poorer recurrence-free (excluding nonspecific death) and overall survival than upper lobectomy. According to a stepwise multiple Cox proportional hazards analysis, lower lobectomy, lymph node metastasis, tumor grade, and pleural invasion were independent predictors of recurrence. The following postoperative complications were significantly associated with cancer recurrence and predominantly developed after lower lobectomy: any grade ≥3 complications (n = 61), space/organ surgical site infection of any grade (n = 55), and any infection requiring antibiotics (n = 61).

CONCLUSIONS

The current study revealed a significant relationship among the site of resection (upper or lower lobe), cancer recurrence, and occurrence of infectious complications. We must clarify the role of preventing infectious complications in improving the early- and long-term outcomes of lower lobe cancer.

Impact of postoperative complications on disease recurrence and long-term survival following oesophagogastric cancer resection

Background

Postoperative complications after resection of oesophagogastric carcinoma can result in considerable early morbidity and mortality. However, the long-term effects on survival are less clear.

Methods

All patients undergoing intentionally curative resection for oesophageal or gastric cancer between 2006 and 2016 were selected from an institutional database. Patients were categorized by complication severity according to the Clavien–Dindo classification (grades 0–V). Complications were defined according to an international consensus statement. The effect of leak and severe non-leak-related complications on overall survival, recurrence and disease-free survival was assessed using Kaplan–Meier analyses to evaluate differences between groups. All factors significantly associated with survival in univariable analysis were entered into a Cox multivariable regression model with stepwise elimination.

Results

Some 1100 patients were included, with a median age of 69 (range 28–92) years; 48·1 per cent had stage III disease and cancer recurred in 428 patients (38·9 per cent). Complications of grade III or higher occurred in 244 patients (22·2 per cent). The most common complications were pulmonary (29·9 per cent), with a 13·0 per cent incidence of pneumonia. Rates of atrial dysrhythmia and anastomotic leak were 10·0 and 9·6 per cent respectively. Patients with a grade III–IV leak did not have significantly reduced overall survival compared with those who had grade 0–I complications. However, patients with grade III–IV non-leak-related complications had reduced median overall survival (19·7 versus 42·7 months; P &lt; 0·001) and disease-free survival (18·4 versus 36·4 months; P &lt; 0·001). Cox regression analysis identified age, tumour stage, resection margin and grade III–IV non-leak-related complications as independent predictors of poor overall and disease-free survival.

Conclusion

Beyond the acute postoperative period, anastomotic leak does not adversely affect survival, however, other severe postoperative complications do reduce long-term overall and disease-free survival.

Impact of postoperative infective complications on long-term survival after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Postoperative complications have a great impact on the postoperative course and oncological outcomes following major cancer surgery. Among them, infective complications play an important role. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether postoperative infective complications influence long-term survival after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection with curative intent for HCC between July 2003 and June 2016 were identified from a multicentre database (8 institutions) and analysed retrospectively. Independent risk factors for postoperative infective complications were identified. After excluding patients who died 90 days or less after surgery, overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between patients with and without postoperative infective complications within 30 days after resection.

RESULTS

Among 2442 patients identified, 332 (13·6 per cent) had postoperative infective complications. Age over 60 years, diabetes mellitus, obesity, cirrhosis, intraoperative blood transfusion, duration of surgery exceeding 180 min and major hepatectomy were identified as independent risk factors for postoperative infective complications. Univariable analysis revealed that median OS and RFS were poorer among patients with postoperative infective complications than among patients without (54·3 versus 86·8 months, and 22·6 versus 43·2 months, respectively; both P < 0·001). After adjustment for other prognostic factors, multivariable Cox regression analyses identified postoperative infective complications as independently associated with decreased OS (hazard ratio (HR) 1·20, 95 per cent c.i. 1·02 to 1·41; P = 0·027) and RFS (HR 1·19, 1·03 to 1·37; P = 0·021).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative infective complications decreased long-term OS and RFS in patients treated with liver resection for HCC.

Does high body mass index negatively affect the surgical outcome and long-term survival of gastric cancer patients who underwent gastrectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Whether high body mass index (BMI) was associated with increased postoperative complications and unfavorable prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients remain controversial. In the present study, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the impact of high BMI on surgical outcome, postoperative complications and long-term survival of GC patients.

METHODS

The related studies were identified by searching PubMed and Embase databases. According to the BMI, all GC patients were classified into BMI ≥25 kg/m² group and BMI <25 kg/m² group. The relevant data was extracted and pooled effect size was assessed using a fixed effect model or random effect model.

RESULTS

A total of 36 relevant studies involving 30,642 GC patients were included in this meta-analysis. The results indicated that high BMI patients had longer operation time, fewer number of retrieved lymph nodes and larger amount of intraoperative blood loss than other patients, regardless of open gastrectomy or laparoscopic gastrectomy. In addition, the risk of postoperative complications was significantly higher in the patients with BMI ≥25 kg/m² than in those with BMI <25 kg/m², especially for infectious complications. However, high BMI had no negative impact on postoperative mortality and long-term survival of GC patients.

CONCLUSION

Despite the increased surgical difficulty and postoperative complications, high BMI was not associated with the prognosis of GC patients. To reduce the risk of postoperative complications, more meticulous operation technique and improved perioperative management should be necessary for high BMI patients.

RAM score is an effective predictor for early mortality and recurrence after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Liver resection had been regarded as a standard treatment for primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, early mortality and recurrence after surgery were still of major concern. RAM (Risk Assessment for early Mortality) scoring system is a newly developed tool for assessing early mortality after hepatectomy for HCC. In this study, we compared RAM scoring system with ALBI and MELD scores for their capability of predicting short-term outcome.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who were treated with hepatectomy at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital between 1986 and 2015. Their clinical characteristics and perioperative variables were collected. We applied RAM, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring systems to predict early mortality and early recurrence in HCC patients after surgery. We investigated the discriminative power of each scoring system by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 1935 patients (78% male) who underwent liver resection for HCC were included in this study. The median follow-up period was 41.9 months. One hundred and forty-nine patients (7.7%) died within 6 months after hepatectomy (early mortality). All the three scoring systems were effective predictor for early mortality, with higher score indicating higher risk of early mortality (AUC of RAM = 0.723, p < 0.001; AUC of ALBI = 0.682, p < 0.001; AUC of MELD = 0.590, p = 0.002). Cox regression multivariate analysis demonstrated that the RAM class was the most significant independent predictor of early mortality after surgery, while MELD grade failed to discriminatively predict early mortality. In addition to early mortality, the RAM score was also predictive of early recurrence in HCC after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that RAM score is an effective and user-friendly bedside scoring system to predict early mortality and early recurrence after hepatectomy for HCC. In addition, the predictive capability of RAM score is superior to ALBI and MELD scores. Further study is warranted to validate our findings.