Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Indeterminate (LI-RADS 3) Liver Observations

Timing and Method of Patient-Provider Communication for Abnormal Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening Results in Cirrhosis

PURPOSE

Patients with cirrhosis undergo frequent abdominal imaging including semiannual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening, with results released immediately via the patient portal. We characterized time from patient review to patient-provider communication (PPC) for patients with abnormal liver imaging results.

METHODS

We identified patients with cirrhosis enrolled in the patient portal with a new abnormal liver lesion (LI-RADS, LR) on ambulatory liver ultrasound (US) or multiphasic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging. Imaging findings were grouped into low-risk (US-2, LR-2), intermediate-risk (US-3, LR-3), and high-risk (LR-4, LR-5, LR-M, LR-TIV) results. We extracted three date-time events from the electronic health record, including result release to the patient, patient review of the result, and result-related PPC. We compared communication methods and the median time with PPC after patient review of results between groups.

RESULTS

The cohort included 133 patients (median age, 62 years, 56% male) with 34 (25.6%) low-risk, 61 (45.9%) intermediate-risk, and 38 (28.6%) high-risk results. PPC for high-risk results was predominantly via telephone calls (60.5%), whereas portal messages were most commonly used for low- and intermediate-risk results (61.8% and 45.9%, respectively; P < .001). For patients who reviewed their result on the portal, most (79.3%) reviewed the result before PPC, among whom the median time between review and PPC was 55.8 (IQR, 22.0-219.0), 167 (IQR, 42.7-324.0), and 47.3 (IQR, 25.8-78.8) hours for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk results, respectively (P = .02).

CONCLUSION

Portal-based review of abnormal imaging results by patients before provider communication is common, including results concerning a new HCC diagnosis. Further studies are needed to evaluate patient-reported outcomes, such as psychological distress, associated with this method of disclosing cancer-related results.

Multicenter evaluation of abbreviated MRI and ultrasound for detecting early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

Background & aims

Abbreviated MRI (AMRI) has been proposed as an alternative to ultrasound for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance; however, comparative data for AMRI and ultrasound are needed. Thus, we evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE)-AMRI and ultrasound for early-stage HCC detection in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter retrospective case-control study among patients with cirrhosis (cases with early-stage HCC as per Milan Criteria; controls without HCC) who underwent an ultrasound and a DCE-MRI within a 6-month period between 2012 and 2019. HCC diagnosis was confirmed by imaging alone in 85% and by histopathology in 15% of patients. Dynamic AMRI examinations were simulated from the full MRI by selecting relevant sequences. Independent, blinded interpretations of ultrasounds and AMRI results were performed using Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System algorithms. Ultrasounds were considered positive if US-3 observations were detected. AMRI was considered positive if LR-4, LR-5, or LR-M were detected. Per-patient sensitivity and specificity for early-stage HCC detection were estimated, and cross-modality differences were tested.

Results

We included 216 cases and 432 controls. Patient-level sensitivity and specificity of AMRI were significantly higher compared with ultrasound: 80.1% (95% CI 76.1-83.6) vs. 71.1% (95% CI 66.6-75.2), p <0.001, and 91.9% (95% CI 89.9-93.5) vs. 72.3% (95% CI 69.3-75.2), p <0.001, respectively. AMRI sensitivity was significantly higher compared with ultrasound among patients with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis (80.8% vs. 57.4%, p <0.001) but not among those with Child-Pugh A (84.7% vs. 78.6%, p = 0.07) or Child-Pugh C cirrhosis (52.6% vs. 68.4%, p = 0.18).

Conclusions

Dynamic AMRI may be more sensitive and specific for early-stage HCC detection in patients with cirrhosis compared with ultrasound, although its relative benefit might be smaller in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis. Larger direct comparative data sets are needed, particularly among patients with Child-Pugh C cirrhosis who may benefit from alternative surveillance strategies.

Impact and implications

Abbreviated MRI (AMRI) is increasingly recognized as an alternative to ultrasound for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance. However, existing data are limited by single-center samples, spectrum bias, and lack of comparative data for AMRI vs. ultrasound. We found that AMRI had significantly higher per-patient sensitivity and specificity compared with ultrasound for the detection of early-stage HCC, although its relative benefit might be smaller in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis, and both modalities underperformed in patients with Child-Pugh C cirrhosis. If sufficiently validated, AMRI could be adopted into practice guidelines for HCC surveillance and serve as a preferred alternative in select subgroups of patients.

Exam quality of ultrasound and dynamic contrast-enhanced abbreviated MRI and impact on early-stage HCC detection

PURPOSE

MRI is a potential alternative to ultrasound for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection. We evaluated the impact of ultrasound and dynamic abbreviated MRI (AMRI) exam quality on early-stage HCC detection.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter case-control study among patients with cirrhosis (cases with early-stage HCC per Milan Criteria; controls without HCC) who underwent both a liver ultrasound and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) AMRI within 6 months in 2012-2019. Two radiologists performed independent, blinded interpretations of both exams for HCC detection and scored exam quality as no/mild, moderate, or severe limitations. Associations between exam quality, patient characteristics, and HCC detection were assessed by odds ratios (OR).

RESULTS

Of 216 cases and 432 controls, severe limitations were reported in 7% and 8% of ultrasounds and DCE-AMRIs, respectively. Severe limitations at ultrasound were associated with obesity (OR 2.08, 95%CI [1.32-3.32]) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (OR 1.98 [1.12-3.44]) but not for DCE-AMRI. Decompensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh C) was associated with severe limitations for both ultrasound (OR 2.54 [1.37-4.58]) and DCE-AMRI (OR 3.96 [2.36-6.58]). Compared to exams with no/mild limitations, exams with severe limitations had lower sensitivity for ultrasound (79.6% vs. 21.7%, P < 0.001) and AMRI (86.1% vs. 50.0%, P = 0.001). In patients in whom ultrasound was severely limited, DCE-AMRI had significantly higher odds of early-stage HCC detection than ultrasound (OR 8.23 [1.25-54.02]).

CONCLUSIONS

HCC detection by DCE-AMRI may be preferred in patients with severe limitations at ultrasound due to obesity and MASLD. Both modalities remain limited for patients with decompensated cirrhosis, for whom alternative strategies may be needed.

Is concurrent LR-5 associated with a higher rate of hepatocellular carcinoma in LR-3 or LR-4 observations? An individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) does not consider factors extrinsic to the observation of interest, such as concurrent LR-5 observations.

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether the presence of a concurrent LR-5 observation is associated with a difference in the probability that LR-3 or LR-4 observations represent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) through an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis.

METHODS

Multiple databases were searched from 1/2014 to 2/2023 for studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of CT/MRI for HCC using LI-RADS v2014/2017/2018. The search strategy, study selection, and data collection process can be found at https://osf.io/rpg8x . Using a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), IPD were pooled across studies and modeled simultaneously with a one-stage meta-analysis approach to estimate positive predictive value (PPV) of LR-3 and LR-4 observations without and with concurrent LR-5 for the diagnosis of HCC. Risk of bias was assessed using a composite reference standard and Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2).

RESULTS

Twenty-nine studies comprising 2591 observations in 1456 patients (mean age 59 years, 1083 [74%] male) were included. 587/1960 (29.9%) LR-3 observations in 1009 patients had concurrent LR-5. The PPV for LR-3 observations with concurrent LR-5 was not significantly different from the PPV without LR-5 (45.4% vs 37.1%, p = 0.63). 264/631 (41.8%) LR-4 observations in 447 patients had concurrent LR-5. The PPV for LR-4 observations with concurrent LR-5 was not significantly different from LR-4 observations without concurrent LR-5 (88.6% vs 69.5%, p = 0.08). A sensitivity analysis for low-risk of bias studies (n = 9) did not differ from the primary analysis.

CONCLUSION

The presence of concurrent LR-5 was not significantly associated with differences in PPV for HCC in LR-3 or LR-4 observations, supporting the current LI-RADS paradigm, wherein the presence of synchronous LR-5 may not alter the categorization of LR-3 and LR-4 observations.

CT perfusion and MRI: A combined approach for hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis and follow-up after locoregional treatment

OBJECTIVE

CT liver perfusion (CTLP) has been well validated for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection, characterization, and treatment response evaluation. However, its role in HCC management algorithms remains unclear. This study aims to assess the diagnostic performance of CTLP alone or as an adjunct to MRI in patients considered for- or undergoing locoregional treatment for HCC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Thirty-nine patients under HCC surveillance (36 male, 31 cirrhotic, 16 pretreatment, 19 post-transarterial chemoembolization, 2 post-ablation) underwent MRI and CTLP in a single center within a 45-day interval. Two readers identified and characterized all observations on MRI using Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) v2018 criteria. CTLP assessment was based on Mean Slope of Increase (MSI), Time To Peak (TTP), Hepatic arterial Blood Flow (HaBF) and Hepatic Arterial Fraction (HAF) maps and established cut-offs. Diagnostic performance of MRI, CTLP, and their combination was evaluated for treated and untreated lesions using imaging or pathology as reference standard.

RESULTS

Of the total 33 treated and 61 untreated lesions, 13 and 41 were considered viable HCCs. CTLP demonstrated 75.9 % sensitivity and 95 % specificity compared to 72.2 % and 100 % for MRI (p > 0.05). Combining both modalities increased sensitivity to 85.2 % (p < 0.05) and maintained specificity at 97.5 % (p > 0.05). The combined approach led to an LR category change in 5 treated and 19 untreated lesions and affected management in 5 cases.

CONCLUSION

CTLP and MRI have comparable diagnostic performance for HCC. A combined approach improves sensitivity, without sacrificing specificity. This approach might enable more efficient patient selection for early and individualized loco-regional treatment.

Real-World Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Selected Case Presentations Highlighting the Dilemmas of Surveillance

In the setting of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, a range of observations can be identified. Often, imaging findings and biochemical results are consistent with the diagnosis of HCC. However, challenges in HCC surveillance can arise in different clinical contexts, particularly when imaging results and tumor biomarkers are discordant. In this article, the authors describe 5 clinical scenarios based on our experiences in which additional evaluation was necessary to determine whether HCC was present or not.

Combining methylated RNF180 and SFRP2 plasma biomarkers for noninvasive diagnosis of gastric cancer

INTRODUCTION

Gastric cancer (GC) is a common malignant tumor, and early diagnosis significantly improves patient survival rates. This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of ring finger protein 180 (RNF180) and secreted frizzled protein 2 (SFRP2) in GC.

MATERIALS & METHODS

A total of 165 healthy individuals, 34 patients with precancerous gastric lesions, and 104 patients with confirmed GC were divided into training and validation sets; methylated RNF180 and SFRP2 were detected in circulating DNA from blood samples. Six models, including those based on logistic regression, Naive Bayes, K-nearest neighbor algorithm, glmnet, neural network, and random forest (RF) were built and validated. Area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were determined.

RESULTS

In the training set, the RF model with RNF180 and SFRP2 (R + S) had an AUC of 0.839 (95 % CI: 0.727-0.951), sensitivity of 60.3 %, and specificity of 85.5 % for diagnosing GC. The RF model with R + S+ Tumor markers had an AUC of 0.849 (95 % CI: 0.717-0.981), sensitivity of 62.8 %, and specificity of 87.1 %. In the validation set, the RF model with R + S had an AUC of 0.844 (95 % CI: 0.774-0.923), sensitivity of 87.8 %, and specificity of 69.2 %. The RF model with R + S + Tumor markers had an AUC of 0.858 (95 % CI: 0.781-0.939), sensitivity of 85.4 %, and specificity of 76.9 %.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that RNF180 and SFRP2 could serve as diagnostic biomarkers for GC when using the RF model.

Risk of Malignancy in Indeterminate Liver Nodules Among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Several studies have shown a higher risk of liver cancer from indeterminate liver nodules, but the exact occurrence and predictors of liver cancer in this group are still unclear. Our aim is to study the development of liver cancer in this population and identify any potential risk factors.

METHODS

This retrospective study evaluated cirrhotic patients with indeterminate liver nodules from 2013 to 2023.Data from electronic patient records was analyzed to assess the association between HCC and baseline factors. Subgroup exploratory analysis compared characteristics of patients with de novo HCC and those with nodule transformation HCC.

RESULTS

Out of 116 patients with liver nodules, 19 (16%) developed HCC in up to 7.5-year follow-up. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed a significant association between HCC incidence and smoking [hazard ratio (HR) 2.60, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.01-6.74), nodule diameter exceeding 2 cm (HR 5.41, 95% CI 1.45-20.18), and baseline LI-RADS score 3 (HR 3.78, 95% CI 1.36-19.52). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed significant independent associations with nodule diameters 1 cm to < 2 cm (adjusted HR 3.35, 95% CI 1.06-10.60) and greater than 2 cm (adjusted HR 5.85, 95% CI 1.10-31.16), as well as with LI-RADS 3 lesions (adjusted HR 3.75, 95% CI 1.16-12.11) with adjusting other potential predictors and covariates.

CONCLUSION

Our findings show a higher incidence of HCC in patients with indeterminate liver nodules, increasing over time and reaching 30% at seven years. Nodules larger than 1-2 cm or LI-RADS 3 lesions pose increased risk for HCC. Enhanced surveillance is necessary given the lack of clear management guidelines.

Clinical impact of MRI on indeterminate findings on contrast-enhanced CT suspicious of HCC

OBJECTIVES

In patients evaluated for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is often used secondarily when multiphase contrast-enhanced computed tomography (ceCT) is inconclusive. We investigated the clinical impact of adding MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This single-institution retrospective study included 48 MRI scans (44 patients) conducted from May 2016 to July 2023 due to suspicion of HCC on a multiphase ceCT scan. Data included medical history, preceding and subsequent imaging, histology when available, and decisions made at multidisciplinary team meetings.

RESULTS

In case of possible HCC recurrence, 63% of the MRI scans were diagnostic of HCC. For 80% of the negative MRI scans, the patients were diagnosed with HCC within a median of 165 days in the suspicious area of the liver. In case of possible de-novo HCC in patients with cirrhosis, 22% of the scans were diagnostic of HCC and 33% of the negative MRI scans were of patients diagnosed with HCC within a median of 109 days. None of the non-cirrhotic patients with possible de-novo HCC and negative MRI scans (64%) were later diagnosed with HCC, but 3/5 of the indeterminate scans were of patients diagnosed with HCC in a biopsy.

CONCLUSIONS

Secondary MRI to a multiphase ceCT scan suspicious of HCC is highly valuable in ruling out HCC in non-cirrhotic patients and in diagnosing HCC non-invasively in cirrhotic patients and patients with prior HCC. Patients with cirrhosis or prior HCC are still at high risk of having HCC if MRI results are inconclusive or negative.

Financial Burden of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The overall value of hepatocellular carcinoma screening is defined by the balance of benefits and harms. Studies have only reported physical harms with none describing financial harms.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter pragmatic randomized clinical trial of hepatocellular carcinoma screening outreach among 2872 patients with cirrhosis from March 2018 to April 2021. Patients with positive or indeterminate results and matched patients with negative results completed surveys at baseline and at follow-up measuring financial harms via Cancer Self-Administered Questionnaire and financial burden via Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy. Univariable and multivariable longitudinal regression analyses were performed to compare changes in financial harms across groups: true positive, true negative, false positive, and indeterminate. Semistructured interviews were conducted in a subset of patients, sampled by center and test result.

RESULTS

Of 311 patients who completed at least 1 follow-up survey (75% response rate), 37 had true positive, 133 true negative, 64 false positive, and 77 indeterminate results. Financial harms increased in true positive and false positive patients with no significant changes noted among those with true negative or indeterminate results. At follow-up, 21.8% of patients reported moderate-severe financial burden, which was not significantly associated with test results. Semistructured interviews revealed variation in the frequency and severity of financial harms based on test results, with increased harm in those with false positive results.

CONCLUSIONS

Financial harms of hepatocellular carcinoma screening vary by test result and can pose a barrier that must be considered when determining the optimal screening program.

Optimizing LI-RADS: ancillary features screened from LR-3/4 categories can improve the diagnosis of HCC on MRI

OBJECTIVE

To determine the high-efficiency ancillary features (AFs) screened from LR-3/4 lesions and the HCC/non-HCC group and the diagnostic performance of LR3/4 observations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed a total of 460 patients (with 473 nodules) classified into LR-3-LR-5 categories, including 311 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), 6 cases of non-HCC malignant tumors, and 156 cases of benign lesions. Two faculty abdominal radiologists with experience in hepatic imaging reviewed and recorded the major features (MFs) and AFs of the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS). The frequency of the features and diagnostic performance were calculated with a logistic regression model. After applying the above AFs to LR-3/LR-4 observations, the sensitivity and specificity for HCC were compared.

RESULTS

The average age of all patients was 54.24 ± 11.32 years, and the biochemical indicators ALT (P = 0.044), TBIL (P = 0.000), PLT (P = 0.004), AFP (P = 0.000) and Child‒Pugh class were significantly higher in the HCC group. MFs, mild-moderate T2 hyperintensity, restricted diffusion and AFs favoring HCC in addition to nodule-in-nodule appearance were common in the HCC group and LR-5 category. AFs screened from the HCC/non-HCC group (AF-HCC) were mild-moderate T2 hyperintensity, restricted diffusion, TP hypointensity, marked T2 hyperintensity and HBP isointensity (P = 0.005, < 0.001, = 0. 032, p < 0.001, = 0.013), and the AFs screened from LR-3/4 lesions (AF-LR) were restricted diffusion, mosaic architecture, fat in mass, marked T2 hyperintensity and HBP isointensity (P < 0.001, = 0.020, = 0.036, < 0.001, = 0.016), which were not exactly the same. After applying AF-HCC and AF-LR to LR-3 and LR-4 observations in HCC group and Non-HCC group, After the above grades changed, the diagnostic sensitivity for HCC were 84.96% using AF-HCC and 85.71% using AF-LR, the specificity were 89.26% using AF-HCC and 90.60% using AF-LR, which made a significant difference (P = 0.000). And the kappa value for the two methods of AF-HCC and AF-LR were 0.695, reaching a substantial agreement.

CONCLUSION

When adjusting for LR-3/LR-4 lesions, the screened AFs with high diagnostic ability can be used to optimize LI-RADS v2018; among them, AF-LR is recommended for better diagnostic capabilities.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Patterns and Outcomes in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with improved early detection and reduced mortality, although practice patterns and effectiveness vary in clinical practice. We aimed to characterize HCC surveillance patterns in a large, diverse cohort of patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. We recorded imaging receipt in the year before HCC diagnosis: ultrasound plus α-fetoprotein (AFP), ultrasound alone, multiphasic contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and no liver imaging. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis to compare early tumor detection, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival between surveillance strategies.

RESULTS

Among 2028 patients with HCC (46.7% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A), 703 (34.7%) had ultrasound plus AFP, 293 (14.5%) had ultrasound alone, 326 (16.1%) had multiphasic CT/MRI, and 706 (34.8%) had no imaging in the year before HCC diagnosis. Over the study period, proportions without imaging were stable, whereas use of CT/MRI increased. Compared with no imaging, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP, but not ultrasound alone, were associated with early stage HCC detection and curative treatment. Compared with ultrasound alone, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP were associated with increased early stage detection.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC surveillance patterns vary in clinical practice and are associated with differing clinical outcomes. While awaiting data to determine if CT or MRI surveillance can be performed in a cost-effective manner in selected patients, AFP has a complementary role to ultrasound-based surveillance, supporting its adoption in practice guidelines.

Up-to-Date Role of Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This article overviews Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS), a system that standardizes techniques, interpretation and reporting of imaging studies done for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, diagnosis, and locoregional treatment response assessment. LI-RADS includes 4 algorithms, each of which defines ordinal categories reflecting probability of the assessed outcome. The categories, in turn, guide patient management. The LI-RADS diagnostic algorithms provide diagnostic criteria for the entire spectrum of lesions found in at-risk patients. In addition, the use of LI-RADS in clinical care improves clarity of communication between radiologists and clinicians and may improve the performance of inexperienced users to the levels of expert liver imagers.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance may be associated with potential psychological harms in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The value of HCC surveillance is determined by the balance between benefits and harms; however, no studies have enumerated psychological harms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We fielded surveys measuring psychological harms to patients with cirrhosis in a multicenter randomized trial of HCC surveillance outreach. All patients with positive or indeterminate surveillance results and matched patients with negative results were invited to complete surveys measuring (1) depression through the Patient Health Questionnaire-ninth version, (2) anxiety through State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, (3) HCC-specific worry through Psychological Consequences Questionnaire, and (4) decisional regret. Patients were classified into 4 groups: true positive (TP), false positive (FP), indeterminate, and true negative (TN). Multivariable longitudinal regression analysis using the generalized estimating equation method was performed to compare the means of measures across groups. We conducted 89 semistructured interviews in a subset of patients stratified by health system and test results. Of 2872 patients in the trial, 311 completed 1+ follow-up survey (63 FP, 77 indeterminate, 38 TP, and 133 TN). Moderate depression decreased in TN patients, increased in TP, and had intermittent but mild increases in those with FP and indeterminate results. High anxiety temporarily increased in patients with TP results but resolved over time and was stable in those with FP and indeterminate results. Decisional regret was low and did not differ across groups. In semistructured interviews, patients reported apprehension, anxiety, emotional distress, and coping related to HCC surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychological harms of HCC surveillance appear mild but differ by test result. Future research should determine the impact of psychological harms on the value of HCC surveillance programs.

Long-term evolution of LR-2, LR-3 and LR-4 observations in HBV-related cirrhosis based on LI-RADS v2018 using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI

PURPOSE

To investigate the long-term evolution of LR-2, LR-3 and LR-4 observations in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis based on LI-RADS v2018 and identify predictors of progression to a malignant category on serial gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (Gd-EOB-MRI).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 179 cirrhosis patients with untreated indeterminate observations who underwent Gd-EOB-MRI exams at baseline and during the follow-up period between June 2016 and December 2021. Two radiologists independently assessed the major features, ancillary features, and LI-RADS category of each observation at baseline and follow-up. In cases of disagreement, a third radiologist was consulted for consensus. Cumulative incidences for progression to a malignant category (LR-5 or LR-M) and to LR-4 or higher were analyzed for each index category using Kaplan‒Meier methods and compared using log-rank tests. The risk factors for malignant progression were evaluated using a Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

A total of 213 observations, including 74 (34.7%) LR-2, 95 (44.6%) LR-3, and 44 (20.7%) LR-4, were evaluated. The overall cumulative incidence of progression to a malignant category was significantly higher for LR-4 observations than for LR-3 or LR-2 observations (each P < 0.001), and significantly higher for LR-3 observations than for LR-2 observations (P < 0.001); at 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups, the cumulative incidence of progression to a malignant category was 11.4%, 29.5%, and 39.3% for LR-4 observations, 0.0%, 8.5%, and 19.6% for LR-3 observations, and 0.0%, 0.0%, and 0.0% for LR-2 observations, respectively. The cumulative incidence of progression to LR-4 or higher was higher for LR-3 observations than for LR-2 observations (P < 0.001); at 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups, the cumulative incidence of progression to LR-4 or higher was 0.0%, 8.5%, and 24.6% for LR-3 observations, and 0.0%, 0.0%, and 0.0% for LR-2 observations, respectively. In multivariable analysis, nonrim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.13, 95% CI 1.04-4.36; P = 0.038], threshold growth (HR = 6.50, 95% CI 2.88-14.65; P <0.001), and HBP hypointensity (HR = 16.83, 95% CI 3.97-71.34; P <0.001) were significant independent predictors of malignant progression.

CONCLUSION

The higher LI-RADS v2018 categories had an increasing risk of progression to a malignant category during long-term evolution. Nonrim APHE, threshold growth, and HBP hypointensity were the imaging features that were significantly predictive of malignant progression.

Standardizing liver imaging reporting and interpretation: LI-RADS and beyond

Imaging plays a crucial role in diagnosis and post-treatment monitoring of primary liver cancers. Clear, consistent, and actionable communication of imaging results is crucial to avoid miscommunication and potential detrimental impact on patient care. In this review, we discuss the importance, advantages, and potential impact of universal adoption of standardized terminology and interpretive criteria for liver imaging, from the point of view of radiologists and clinicians.

Risk stratification and early detection biomarkers for precision HCC screening

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality remains high primarily due to late diagnosis as a consequence of failed early detection. Professional societies recommend semi-annual HCC screening in at-risk patients with chronic liver disease to increase the likelihood of curative treatment receipt and improve survival. However, recent dynamic shift of HCC etiologies from viral to metabolic liver diseases has significantly increased the potential target population for the screening, whereas annual incidence rate has become substantially lower. Thus, with the contemporary HCC etiologies, the traditional screening approach might not be practical and cost-effective. HCC screening consists of (i) definition of rational at-risk population, and subsequent (ii) repeated application of early detection tests to the population at regular intervals. The suboptimal performance of the currently available HCC screening tests highlights an urgent need for new modalities and strategies to improve early HCC detection. In this review, we overview recent developments of clinical, molecular, and imaging-based tools to address the current challenge, and discuss conceptual framework and approaches of their clinical translation and implementation. These encouraging progresses are expected to transform the current "one-size-fits-all" HCC screening into individualized precision approaches to early HCC detection and ultimately improve the poor HCC prognosis in the foreseeable future.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), one of the most common causes of liver disease, is an increasingly common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Several demographic, clinical, and genetic factors contribute to HCC risk in NAFLD patients, which may inform risk stratification scores. Proven efficacious approaches to primary prevention approach in patients with non-viral liver disease remain an area of need. Semi-annual surveillance is associated with improved early tumor detection and reduced HCC-related mortality; however, patients with NAFLD have several challenges to effective surveillance, including under-recognition of at-risk patients, low surveillance utilization in clinical practice, and lower sensitivity of current tools for early-stage HCC detection. Treatment decisions are best made in a multidisciplinary fashion and are informed by several factors including tumor burden, liver dysfunction, performance status, and patient preferences. Although patients with NAFLD often have larger tumor burden and increased comorbidities compared to counterparts, they can achieve similar post-treatment survival with careful patient selection. Therefore, surgical therapies continue to provide a curative treatment option for patients diagnosed at an early stage. Although there has been debate about the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with NAFLD, current data are insufficient to change treatment selection based on liver disease etiology.

Recall patterns and risk of primary liver cancer for subcentimeter ultrasound liver observations: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Patients with cirrhosis and subcentimeter lesions on liver ultrasound are recommended to undergo short-interval follow-up ultrasound because of the presumed low risk of primary liver cancer (PLC).

AIMS

The aim of this study is to characterize recall patterns and risk of PLC in patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study among patients with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B infection who had subcentimeter ultrasound lesions between January 2017 and December 2019. We excluded patients with a history of PLC or concomitant lesions ≥1 cm in diameter. We used Kaplan Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses to characterize time-to-PLC and factors associated with PLC, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 746 eligible patients, most (66.0%) had a single observation, and the median diameter was 0.7 cm (interquartile range: 0.5-0.8 cm). Recall strategies varied, with only 27.8% of patients undergoing guideline-concordant ultrasound within 3-6 months. Over a median follow-up of 26 months, 42 patients developed PLC (39 HCC and 3 cholangiocarcinoma), yielding an incidence of 25.7 cases (95% CI, 6.2-47.0) per 1000 person-years, with 3.9% and 6.7% developing PLC at 2 and 3 years, respectively. Factors associated with time-to-PLC were baseline alpha-fetoprotein >10 ng/mL (HR: 4.01, 95% CI, 1.85-8.71), platelet count ≤150 (HR: 4.90, 95% CI, 1.95-12.28), and Child-Pugh B cirrhosis (vs. Child-Pugh A: HR: 2.54, 95% CI, 1.27-5.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Recall patterns for patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound varied widely. The low risk of PLC in these patients supports short-interval ultrasound in 3-6 months, although diagnostic CT/MRI may be warranted for high-risk subgroups such as those with elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels.

Imaging features of hepatobiliary MRI and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk and time to HCC development differ according to hepatobiliary magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings among people at risk for developing HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 199 patients aged 40 years or older with liver cirrhosis or chronic liver disease who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatobiliary MRI between 2011 and 2015 were analyzed. An independent radiologist retrospectively reviewed MRI findings, blinded to clinical information, and categorized them into low-risk features, high-risk features and high-risk nodules. High-risk features were defined as liver cirrhosis diagnosed by imaging. High-risk nodules were defined as LR-3 or LR-4 nodules based on LI-RADS version 2018. The primary outcome was development of HCC within 5-year of MRI evaluation.

RESULTS

HCC was diagnosed in 28 patients (14.1%). HCC development was null for those with low-risk features (n = 84). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0%, 2.3%, 13.4% and 22.1% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk features (n= 64), and were 19.1%, 31.8%, 37.3% and 46.7% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk nodules (n= 51). Among 28 patients developed HCC, the median time from baseline MRI to HCC diagnosis was 33.1 months (interquartile range: 25.9-46.7 months) for high-risk feature group, and 17.3 months (interquartile range: 6.2-26.5 months) for high-risk nodule group.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC risk and time to HCC development differ according to baseline hepatobiliary MRI findings, indicating that hepatobiliary MRI findings can be used as biomarkers to differentiate HCC risk.

Clinical outcomes of patients with Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System 3 or Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System 4 observations in patients with cirrhosis: A systematic review

Patients with indeterminate liver nodules, classified as LR-3 and LR-4 observations per the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System, are at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but risk estimates remain imprecise. We conducted a systematic review of Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases from inception to December 2021 to identify cohort studies examining HCC incidence among patients with LR-3 or LR-4 observations on computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Predictors of HCC were abstracted from each study, when available. Of 13 total studies, nine conducted LR-3 observation-level analyses, with the proportions of incident HCC ranging from 1.2% to 12.5% at 12 months and 4.2% to 44.4% during longer study follow-up. Among three studies with patient-level analyses, 8%-22.2% of patients with LR-3 lesions developed LR-4 observations and 11.1%-24.5% developed HCC. Among nine studies conducting LR-4 observation-level analyses, incident HCC ranged from 30.8% to 44.0% at 12 months and 30.9% to 71.0% during study follow-up; conversely, 6%-42% of observations were downgraded to LR-3 or lower. Patient-level factors associated with HCC included older age, male sex, higher alpha-fetoprotein levels, viral etiology, and prior history of HCC; observation-level factors included maximum diameter, threshold growth, T2 hyperintensity, and visibility on ultrasound. Studies were limited by small sample sizes, inclusion of patients with prior HCC, short follow-up duration, and failure to account for clustering of observations in patients or competing risks of transplantation and death. LR-3 and LR-4 observations have elevated but variable risks of HCC. Higher quality studies are necessary to identify high-risk patients who warrant close CT or MRI-based follow-up.

Overdiagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: Prevented by guidelines?

Overdiagnosis refers to detection of disease that would not otherwise become clinically apparent during a patient's lifetime. Overdiagnosis is common and has been reported for several cancer types, although there are few studies describing its prevalence in HCC surveillance programs. Overdiagnosis can have serious negative consequences including overtreatment and associated complications, financial toxicity, and psychological harms related to being labeled with a cancer diagnosis. Overdiagnosis can occur for several different reasons including inaccurate diagnostic criteria, detection of premalignant or very early malignant lesions, detection of indolent tumors, and competing risks of mortality. The risk of overdiagnosis is partly mitigated, albeit not eliminated, by several guideline recommendations, including definitions for the at-risk population in whom surveillance should be performed, surveillance modalities, surveillance interval, recall procedures, and HCC diagnostic criteria. Continued research is needed to further characterize the burden and trends of overdiagnosis as well as identify strategies to reduce overdiagnosis in the future.