Estimating survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancers and brain metastases: An update of the graded prognostic assessment for gastrointestinal cancers (GI-GPA)

Concomitant radiosurgical and targeted oncological treatment improves the outcome of patients with brain metastases from gastrointestinal cancer

BACKGROUND

So far, only limited studies exist that evaluate patients with brain metastases (BM) from GI cancer and associated primary cancers who were treated by Gamma Knife Radiosurgery (GKRS) and concomitant immunotherapy (IT) or targeted therapy (TT).

METHODS

Survival after GKRS was compared to the general and specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) and Score Index for Radiosurgery (SIR). Further, the influence of age, sex, Karnofsky Performance Status Scale (KPS), extracranial metastases (ECM) status at BM diagnosis, number of BM, the Recursive Partitioning Analysis (RPA) classes, GKRS1 treatment mode and concomitant treatment with IT or TT on the survival after GKRS was analyzed. Moreover, complication rates after concomitant GKRS and mainly TT treatment are reported.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed IT or TT at or after the first Gamma Knife Radiosurgery (GKRS1) treatment as the only significant predictor for overall survival after GKRS1, even after adjusting for sex, KPS group, age group, number of BM at GKRS1, RPA class, ECM status at BM diagnosis and GKRS treatment mode. Concomitant treatment with IT or TT did not increase the rate of adverse radiation effects. There was no significant difference in local BM progression after GKRS between patients who received IT or TT and patients without IT or TT.

CONCLUSION

Good local tumor control rates and low rates of side effects demonstrate the safety and efficacy of GKRS in patients with BM from GI cancers. The concomitant radiosurgical and targeted oncological treatment significantly improves the survival after GKRS without increasing the rate of adverse radiation effects. To provide local tumor control, radiosurgery remains of utmost importance in modern GI BM management.

Development and adaptations of the Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) scale: a systematic review

The Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) score has the best accuracy among prognostic scales for patients with brain metastases (BM). A wide range of GPA-derived scales have been established to different types of primary tumor BM. However, there is a high variability between them, and their characteristics have not been described altogether yet. We aim to summarize the features of the existent GPA-derived scales and to compare their predictor factors and their uses in clinical setting. Medline was searched from inception until January 2023 to identify studies related to the development, update, or validation of GPA. The initial search yielded 1,083 results. 16 original studies and 16 validation studies were included, comprising a total of 33,348 patients. 13 different scales were assessed, including: GPA, Diagnosis-Specific GPA, Extracranial Score, Lung-molGPA, Updated Renal GPA, Updated Gastrointestinal GPA, Modified Breast GPA, Integrated Melanoma GPA, Melanoma Mol GPA, Sarcoma GPA, Hepatocellular Carcinoma GPA, Colorectal Cancer GPA, and Uterine Cancer GPA. The most prevalent prognostic predictors were age, Karnofsky Performance Status, number of BM, and presence or absence of extracranial metastases. Treatment modalities consisted of whole brain radiation therapy, stereotactic radiosurgery, surgery, cranial radiotherapy, gamma knife radiosurgery, and BRAF inhibitor therapy. Median survival rates with no treatment and with a specific treatment ranged from 6.1 weeks to 33 months and from 3.1 to 21 months, respectively. Original GPA and GPA-derived scales are valid prognostic tools, but with heterogeneous survival results when compared to each other. More studies are needed to improve scientific evidence of these scales.

Local Control and Survival Outcomes After Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Brain Metastases From Gastrointestinal Primaries: An International Multicenter Analysis

BACKGROUND

There are limited data regarding outcomes for patients with gastrointestinal (GI) primaries and brain metastases treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).

OBJECTIVE

To examine clinical outcomes after SRS for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries and evaluate potential prognostic factors.

METHODS

The International Radiosurgery Research Foundation centers were queried for patients with brain metastases from GI primaries managed with SRS. Primary outcomes were local control (LC) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for univariate analysis (UVA) of prognostic factors. Factors significant on UVA were evaluated with a Cox multivariate analysis proportional hazards model. Logistic regressions were used to examine correlations with RN.

RESULTS

We identified 263 eligible patients with 543 brain metastases. Common primary sites were rectal (31.2%), colon (31.2%), and esophagus (25.5%) with a median age of 61.6 years (range: 37-91.4 years) and a median Karnofsky performance status (KPS) of 90% (range: 40%-100%). One-year and 2-year LC rates were 83.5% (95% CI: 78.9%-87.1%) and 73.0% (95% CI: 66.4%-78.5%), respectively. On UVA, age >65 years ( P = .001), dose <20 Gy ( P = .006) for single-fraction plans, KPS <90% ( P < .001), and planning target volume ≥2cc ( P = .007) were associated with inferior LC. All factors other than dose were significant on multivariate analysis ( P ≤ .002). One-year and 2-year OS rates were 68.0% (95% CI: 61.5%-73.6%) and 31.2% (95% CI: 24.6%-37.9%), respectively. Age > 65 years ( P = .006), KPS <90% ( P = .005), and extracranial metastases ( P = .05) were associated with inferior OS.

CONCLUSION

SRS resulted in comparable LC with common primaries. Age and KPS were associated with both LC and OS with planning target volume and extracranial metastases correlating with LC and OS, respectively. These factors should be considered in GI cancer patient selection for SRS.

Development and validation of a unifying pre-treatment decision tool for intracranial and extracranial metastasis-directed radiotherapy

Background

Though metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) has the potential to improve overall survival (OS), appropriate patient selection remains challenging. We aimed to develop a model predictive of OS to refine patient selection for clinical trials and MDT.

Patients and methods

We assembled a multi-institutional cohort of patients treated with MDT (stereotactic body radiation therapy, radiosurgery, and whole brain radiation therapy). Candidate variables for recursive partitioning analysis were selected per prior studies: ECOG performance status, time from primary diagnosis, number of additional non-target organ systems involved (NOS), and intracranial metastases.

Results

A database of 1,362 patients was assembled with 424 intracranial, 352 lung, and 607 spinal treatments (n=1,383). Treatments were split into training (TC) (70%, n=968) and internal validation (IVC) (30%, n=415) cohorts. The TC had median ECOG of 0 (interquartile range [IQR]: 0-1), NOS of 1 (IQR: 0-1), and OS of 18 months (IQR: 7-35). The resulting model components and weights were: ECOG = 0, 1, and &gt; 1 (0, 1, and 2); 0, 1, and &gt; 1 NOS (0, 1, and 2); and intracranial target (2), with lower scores indicating more favorable OS. The model demonstrated high concordance in the TC (0.72) and IVC (0.72). The score also demonstrated high concordance for each target site (spine, brain, and lung).

Conclusion

This pre-treatment decision tool represents a unifying model for both intracranial and extracranial disease and identifies patients with the longest survival after MDT who may benefit most from aggressive local therapy. Carefully selected patients may benefit from MDT even in the presence of intracranial disease, and this model may help guide patient selection for MDT.

Brain metastases from hepatopancreatobiliary malignancies

While colorectal and gastroesophageal cancer represent the two gastrointestinal (GI) tumor entities with the highest incidence of brain metastatic (BM) disease, data on the clinical course of BM patients from hepatopancreatobiliary malignancies are rare. Patients with cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (GEP NEN). Treated for BM between 1991 and 2017 at an academic care center were included. Brain metastases-free survival (BMFS) was defined as interval from first diagnosis until BM development. Overall survival (OS) was defined as interval from diagnosis of BM until death or last date of follow-up. Outcome was correlated with clinical and treatment factors. 29 patients from overall 6102 patients (0.6%) included in the Vienna Brain Metastasis Registry presented with BM from hepatopancreatobiliary primaries including 9 (31.0%) with CCA, 10 (34.5%) with HCC, 7 (24.1%) with PDAC and 3 (10.3%) with GEP NEN as primary tumor. Median BMFS was 21, 12, 14 and 7 months and median OS 4, 4, 6 and 4 months, respectively. Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) below 80% (p = 0.08), age above 60 years (p = 0.10) and leptomeningeal carcinomatosis (LC) (p = 0.09) diagnosed concomitant to solid BM showed an inverse association with median OS (Cox proportional hazards model). In this cohort of patients with BM from hepatopancreatobiliary tumor entities, prognosis was shown to be very limited. Performance status, age and diagnosis of LC were identified as negative prognostic factors.

Erythroblastic oncogene B-2 status and intracranial metastatic disease in patients with gastrointestinal cancer: a systematic review

PURPOSE

The incidence of intracranial metastatic disease (IMD) in patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancers is rising. Expression of the erythroblastic oncogene B-2 (ERBB2) is associated with an in increased risk of IMD in patients with breast cancer. The implications of ERBB2 expression for IMD risk in patients with GI cancers is less clear. The objective of this systematic review was to determine the incidence of IMD and OS in patients with ERBB2+ gastrointestinal cancers.

METHODS

A literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and grey literature sources was conducted from date of database inception to July 2021. Included studies reported outcomes on patients with IMD secondary to ERBB2 GI cancers.

RESULTS

Fourteen cohort studies met inclusion criteria, of which thirteen were retrospective. Eleven studies reported on gastric, esophageal, or gastroesophageal junction cancers. Three studies directly compared incidence of IMD based on ERBB2 status and among these, ERBB2+ patients had a higher incidence of IMD. One study indicated that ERBB2+ patients had significantly longer OS from the times of primary cancer (P = .015) and IMD diagnosis (P = .01), compared with patients with ERBB2- disease.

CONCLUSIONS

In this systematic review, patients with ERBB2+ GI cancer were more likely to develop IMD. Future study is required on the prognostic and predictive value of ERBB2 status in patients with GI cancers.

Brain metastasis from gastric adenocarcinoma: A large comprehensive population-based cohort study on risk factors and prognosis

Aims

Although brain metastasis from gastric adenocarcinoma (GaC) is rare, it may significantly affect survival and quality of life. The aim of this large, comprehensive, population-based cohort investigation was to investigate factors that were associated with brain metastasis from GaC and to explore the prognostic factors and time-dependent cumulative mortalities among cases with GaC and brain involvement.

Methods

Population-based information on cases with GaC diagnosed from 2010 to 2016 was obtained from a large-scale database. Factors that were associated with brain metastasis were investigated utilizing multivariable logistic regression. Time-dependent tumor-specific mortalities of cases with GaC and brain involvement were then computed utilizing the cumulative incidence functions (CIFs), and mortalities were compared between subgroups utilizing Gray's test. Factors that were associated with death were further evaluated utilizing multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard regression.

Results

Together, 28,736 eligible cases were included, which comprised 231 (1%) cases with brain metastasis and 10,801 (38%) with metastasis to other sites, encompassing a follow-up of 39,168 person-years. Brain metastasis occurred more often among younger patients (within overall cancers), in cases with stomach cardia tumors, within cases with signet-ring cell carcinoma (within overall cancers), and within cases with positive lymph nodes (within overall tumors); it was less often detected among black people. Brain involvement was associated with more lung and bone metastases. The median survival time of cases having brain metastasis was only 3 months; the 6- and 12-month tumor-specific cumulative mortalities were 57% and 71%, respectively. Among cases with GaC and brain metastasis, those with gastric cardia cancers (when receiving radiotherapy), those undergoing resection, and those receiving chemotherapy had lower mortality risks, while younger patients (when receiving chemotherapy or radiotherapy) and people with positive lymph nodes (when receiving radiotherapy) had higher death hazards.

Conclusion

Among patients with GaC, brain metastasis was correlated with several clinical and pathological variables, including ethnicity, age, cancer histology, location, lymph node involvement, and metastases to other sites. Cases having brain metastasis had poor survival that was correlated with age, cancer location, lymph node metastasis, and management. These findings offer vital clues for individualized patient care and future mechanistic explorations.

Single isocenter stereotactic irradiation for multiple brain metastases: current situation and prospects

The prognosis of patients with brain metastases has dramatically improved, and long-term tumor control and reduction of the risk of late toxicities, including neurocognitive dysfunction, are important for patient quality of life. Stereotactic irradiation for multiple brain metastases, rather than whole-brain radiotherapy, can result in high local control rate with low incidence of neurocognitive deterioration and leukoencephalopathy. Recent advances in radiotherapy devices, treatment-planning systems, and image-guided radiotherapy can realize single isocenter stereotactic irradiation for multiple brain metastases (SI-STI-MBM), in which only one isocenter is sufficient to treat multiple brain metastases simultaneously. SI-STI-MBM has expanded the indications for linear accelerator-based stereotactic irradiation and considerably reduced patient burden. This review summarizes the background, methods, clinical outcomes, and specific consideration points of SI-STI-MBM. In addition, the prospects of SI-STI-MBM are addressed.

Recent Update on Neurosurgical Management of Brain Metastasis

Brain metastasis (BM), classified as a secondary brain tumor, is the most common malignant central nervous system tumor whose median overall survival is approximately 6 months. However, the survival rate of patients with BMs has increased with recent advancements in immunotherapy and targeted therapy. This means that clinicians should take a more active position in the treatment paradigm that passively treats BMs. Because patients with BM are treated in a variety of clinical settings, treatment planning requires a more sophisticated decision-making process than that for other primary malignancies. Therefore, an accurate prognostic prediction is essential, for which a graded prognostic assessment that reflects next-generation sequencing can be helpful. It is also essential to understand the indications for various treatment modalities, such as surgical resection, stereotactic radiosurgery, and whole-brain radiotherapy and consider their advantages and disadvantages when choosing a treatment plan. Surgical resection serves a limited auxiliary function in BM, but it can be an essential therapeutic approach for increasing the survival rate of specific patients; therefore, this must be thoroughly recognized during the treatment process. The ultimate goal of surgical resection is maximal safe resection; to this end, neuronavigation, intraoperative neuro-electrophysiologic assessment including evoked potential, and the use of fluorescent materials could be helpful. In this review, we summarize the considerations for neurosurgical treatment in a rapidly changing treatment environment.

Treatment of brain metastases from gastrointestinal primaries: Comparing whole-brain radiotherapy and stereotactic radiosurgery in terms of survival

Objective:

The objective of the study was to analyze the clinical features and prognostic factors for survival in patients with brain metastasis (BM) from gastrointestinal primaries treated with whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) or stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).

Methods:

We retrospectively investigated patients with BMs resulting from gastrointestinal primaries who underwent WBRT or SRS. The effects of treatment modalities on overall survival (OS) were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method.

Results:

WBRT and SRS were applied to 24 and 17 patients, respectively. In the WBRT group, radiotherapy was delivered at 20–30 Gy in 5–10 fractions (fx). In the SRS group, a median dose of 22 Gy (range: 18–27 Gy) was applied in 1–3 fx. At BM diagnosis, all patients had synchronous extracranial metastases which were mostly detected in the lung and liver. Median OS values were 9 months and 4 months in the SRS and WBRT groups, respectively (p=0.005). Karnofsky performance status (KPS) score (≥70 vs. <70), diagnosis-specific graded prognostic index, gastrointestinal (GI) graded prognostic index, cumulative intracranial tumor volume (CITV), controlled systemic disease, and treatment modality (WBRT vs. SBRT) were found to be related with OS.

Conclusion:

In patients with GI cancer-related BMs, SRS should be preferred in those with longer OS expectancy who have controlled extracranial disease, good KPS and CITV values of <10 cm³.

Stereotactic Radiosurgery Results for Patients With Brain Metastases From Gastrointestinal Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study of 802 Patients With GI-GPA Validity Test

Purpose

The role of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) alone for patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancer has yet to be established based on a large patient series. We analyzed post-SRS treatment results and reappraised whether either the GI graded prognostic assessment (GPA) system or modified-recursive partitioning assessment (M-RPA) system was applicable to our 802 SRS-treated patients with GI cancer with brain metastases.

Methods and Materials

This was an institutional review board approved retrospective cohort study 2 database comprising 802 patients with GI cancer treated with gamma-knife SRS by 2 experienced neurosurgeons during the 1998 to 2018 period. The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to determine post-SRS survival times, and competing risk analyses were used to estimate cumulative incidences of the secondary endpoints.

Results

The median survival time (MST; months) after SRS was 5.7. With the GI GPA system, MSTs were 3.5/6.1/7.7/11.0 in the 4 subgroups, that is, 0 to 1.0/1.5 to 2.0/2.5 to 3.0/3.5 to 4.0, respectively (stratified P < .0001). However, there was no significant MST difference between 2 of the subgroups, GI-GPA 1.5 to 2.0 and 2.5 to 3.0 (P = .073). In contrast, using the M-RPA system, 3 plot lines corresponding to the 3 subgroups showed no overlap and the MST differences between the subgroups with M-RPA were 1 + 2a versus 2b (P < .0001) and 2b versus 2c + 3 (P < .0001). Better Karnofsky performance status score, solitary tumor, well-controlled primary cancer, and the absence of extracerebral metastases were shown by multivariable analysis to be significant predictors of longer survival. The crude and cumulative incidences of neurologic death, neurologic deterioration, local recurrence, salvage whole brain radiation therapy, and SRS-related complications did not differ significantly between the 2 patient groups, with upper and lower GI cancers.

Conclusions

This study clearly demonstrated the usefulness of the GI GPA. Patients with GI GPA 1.5 to 2.0 or better or M-RPA 2b or better are considered to be favorable candidates for treatment with SRS alone.

Surgery for brain metastases - real-world prognostic factors' association with survival

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection of brain metastases (BM) improves overall survival (OS) in selected patients. Selecting those patients likely to benefit from surgery is challenging. The Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) and the diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (ds-GPA) were developed to predict survival in patients with BM, but not specifically to guide patient selection for surgery. Our aim was to evaluate the feasibility of preoperative GPA/ds-GPA scores and assess variables associated with OS.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed first-time surgical resection of BM from solid tumors at a Norwegian regional referral center from 2011 to 2018.

RESULTS

Of 590 patients, 51% were female and median age was 63 years. Median OS was 10.3 months and 74 patients (13%) died within three months after surgery. Preoperatively tumor origin was unknown in 20% of patients. A GPA score could be calculated for 92% of the patients preoperatively, but could not correctly predict survival. A ds-GPA score could be calculated for 46% of patients. Multivariable regression analysis revealed shorter OS in patients with higher age, worse functioning status, colorectal primary cancer compared to lung cancer, presence of extracranial metastases, and more than four BM. Patients with preoperative progressive extracranial disease or synchronous BM had shorter OS compared to patients with stable extracranial disease.

CONCLUSION

Ds-GPA could be calculated in less than half of patients preoperatively and GPA poorly identified patients which had minimal benefit of surgery. Including status of extracranial disease improve prognostication and therefore selection to surgery for brain metastases.

Primary tumor side is associated with prognosis of colorectal cancer patients with brain metastases

Background

Brain metastases (BM) are a rare complication in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and associated with an unfavorable survival prognosis. Primary tumor side (PTS) was shown to act as a prognostic and predictive biomarker in several trials including metastatic CRC (mCRC) patients. Here, we aim to investigate whether PTS is also associated with the outcome of CRC patients with BM.

Methods

Patients treated for CRC BM between 1988 and 2017 at an academic care center were included. Right-sided CRC was defined as located in the appendix, cecum and ascending colon and left-sided CRC was defined as located in the descending colon, sigma and rectum.

Results

Two hundred and eighty-one CRC BM patients were available for this analysis with 239/281 patients (85.1%) presenting with a left-sided and 42/281 patients (14.9%) with a right-sided primary CRC. BM-free survival (BMFS) was significantly longer in left-sided compared with right-sided CRC patients (33 versus 20 months, P = 0.009). Overall survival from CRC diagnosis as well as from diagnosis of BM was significantly longer in patients with a left-sided primary (42 versus 25 months, P = 0.002 and 5 versus 4 months, P = 0.005, respectively). In a multivariate analysis including graded prognostic assessment, PTS remained significantly associated with prognosis after BM (hazard ratio 0.65; 95% confidence interval: 0.46-0.92 months, P = 0.0016).

Conclusions

PTS was associated with survival times after the rare event of BM development in CRC patients. Therefore, its prognostic value remains significant even thereafter.

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Primary tumor side is a relevant and independent prognostic factor in mCRC.

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Left-sided CRC was associated with a significantly longer BMFS compared with right-sided CRC.

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OS from initial diagnosis of CRC as well as from BM was significantly longer in patients with left-sided primaries.

Population-based estimates of survival among elderly patients with brain metastases

BACKGROUND

Prognostic estimates for patients with brain metastases (BM) stem from younger, healthier patients enrolled in clinical trials or databases from academic centers. We characterized population-level prognosis in elderly patients with BM.

METHODS

Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data, we identified 9882 patients ≥65 years old with BM secondary to lung, breast, skin, kidney, esophageal, colorectal, and ovarian primaries between 2014 and 2016. Survival was assessed by primary site and evaluated with Cox regression.

RESULTS

In total, 2765 versus 7117 patients were diagnosed with BM at primary cancer diagnosis (synchronous BM, median survival = 2.9 mo) versus thereafter (metachronous BM, median survival = 3.4 mo), respectively. Median survival for all primary sites was ≤4 months, except ovarian cancer (7.5 mo). Patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)- or anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-based therapy for synchronous BM displayed notably better median survival at 12.5 and 20.1 months, respectively, versus 2.8 months exhibited by other patients with NSCLC; survival estimates in melanoma patients based on receipt of BRAF/MEK therapy versus not were 6.7 and 2.8 months, respectively. On multivariable regression, older age, greater comorbidity, and type of managing hospital were associated with poorer survival; female sex, higher median household income, and use of brain-directed stereotactic radiation, neurosurgical resection, or systemic therapy (versus brain-directed non-stereotactic radiation) were associated with improved survival (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly patients with BM have a poorer prognosis than suggested by prior algorithms. If prognosis is driven by systemic and not intracranial disease, brain-directed therapy with potential for significant toxicity should be utilized cautiously.

Prognostic factors of colorectal cancer patients with brain metastases

INTRODUCTION

Brain metastases (BMs) from colorectal cancer (CRC) are rare (≈2%) but are increasing with the improvement of CRC prognosis. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic factors of BM from CRC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included all consecutive patients with BM from CRC diagnosed between 2000 and 2017.

THEORY/CALCULATION

Prognostic factors of OS were evaluated in univariate (log-rank test) and multivariate analyses (Cox regression model). These prognostic factors could help the management of patients with BM from CRC.

RESULTS

A total of 358 patients were included with a median age of 65.5 years. Primary tumors were mostly located in the rectum (42.4%) or left colon (37.2%) and frequently KRAS-mutated (56.9%). The median time from metastatic CRC diagnosis to BM diagnosis was 18.5 ± 2.5 months. BMs were predominantly single (56.9%) and only supratentorial (54.4%). BM resection was performed in 33.0% of the cases and 73.2% of patients had brain radiotherapy alone or after surgery. Median OS was 5.1 ± 0.3 months. In multivariate analysis, age under 65 years, ECOG performance status 0-1, single BM and less than 3 chemotherapy lines before BM diagnosis were associated with better OS. Prognostic scores, i.e. recursive partitioning analysis (RPA), Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA), Disease Specific-Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA), Gastro-Intestinal-Graded Prognostic Assessment (GI-GPA) and the nomogram were statistically significantly associated with OS but the most relevant prognosis criteria seemed the ECOG performance status 0-1.

CONCLUSIONS

ECOG performance status, number of BM and number of chemotherapy lines are the most relevant factors in the management of patients with BM from CRC.

Stereotactic Radiosurgery of Brain Metastasis in Patients with a Poor Prognosis: Effective or Overtreatment?

Purpose

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) of brain metastasis in patients with a poor prognosis remains controversial. Here, we compared results of SRS alone to whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) in poor-prognosis patients and defined the most important unfavorable prognostic factors related to early death after SRS alone.

Patients and Methods

In this retrospective analysis of prospective SRS data, 180 patients with brain metastases not previously treated with WBRT were analyzed. Results of SRS were compared to WBRT by propensity score matching in patients with a poor prognosis defined by graded prognostic assessment (GPA) <2. Further, SRS patients were divided into training (n=82) and validation (n=48) cohorts. Overall survival (OS) and the risk of early death were defined by univariable and multivariable analyses.

Results

Median survival of the WBRT and SRS cohorts was 86 days (IQR: 38-172 days) and 201 days (IQR: 86-not reached), respectively (p<0.0001). OS in patients with GPA<2 was significantly longer in the SRS vs WBRT group (123 vs 58 days; p=0.008). Survival was longer in the SRS group in a propensity score matched analysis. In multivariable analysis, GPA (OR: 0.44, 95%CI: 0.21-0.95; p=0.001), extensive extracranial disease (OR: 0.13, 95%CI: 0.02-0.66; p=0.013), and serious neurological deficits (OR: 0.13, 95%CI: 0.04-0.45; p=0.001) were associated with early death. If one factor was favorable, 73% (training) and 92% (validation) of patients survived three months. Patients with GPA <2 presenting with serious neurological deficits and extensive extracranial disease had a low expected benefit due to the highest risk of death within three months (AUC: 0.822 training; 0.932 validation).

Conclusion

SRS is a viable treatment option for patients with a poor prognosis defined as GPA <2. Good neurological status, extracranial oligometastatic disease, or GPA ≥2 should be present to justify SRS in patients with brain metastases.

A graded prognostic model for patients surviving 3 years or more (GPM ≥ 3Ys) after stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastasis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

As more cancer patients with brain metastases (BMs) are surviving longer due to recent advancements in various treatment modalities, we developed a grading system for stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS)-treated BM patients with long survival. This is a Graded Prognostic Model for Patients Surviving 3 Years or More (GPM ≥ 3Ys).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

First, using clinical factor-survival time analysis of 3237 patients in whom gamma knife (GK) SRS was performed by the second author (test cohort), we developed the GPM ≥ 3Ys based on survival ≥3 years as the objective variable. The validity of this model was then tested using another series of 3317 patients independently undergoing GK SRS performed by the third author (verification cohort). Number of patients surviving 3 years or more were 289 (8.9%) and 348 (10.5%), respectively.

RESULTS

Using the test series, among various pre-SRS clinical factors, noted below, five were shown to be highly correlated with survival of ≥3 years. Therefore, we assigned scores for these five factors, i.e., "tumor numbers 1/2-4/≥5 (score; 6/1/0)", "female/male (5/0)", "KPS ≥80%/<80% (5/0)", "primary cancers of breast/lung/gastrointestinal tract/other (score; 1/0/3/0)", "controlled primary cancer/not (8/0)" and "existing extra-cerebral metastases/not (5/0). Patients were categorized into four grades according to the sum of scores, i.e., 0-9, 10-19, 20-29 and 30-36. Post-SRS mean survival times (MSTs) differed significantly (p < 0.0001) with no overlapping of 95% confidence intervals (CIs) among the four grades. Also, in the verification series, MSTs differed significantly (p < 0.0001) with no overlapping of 95% CI among the four grades of the GPM ≥ 3Ys system.

CONCLUSION

Although this was a retrospective study, the GPM ≥ 3Ys system was shown to be very useful to physicians selecting among more aggressive treatment modalities for patients in whom longer survival can be expected.

Type and timing of systemic therapy use predict overall survival for patients with brain metastases treated with radiation therapy

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate whether systemic therapy (ST) use surrounding radiation therapy (RT) predicts overall survival (OS) after RT for patients with brain metastases (BMs).

METHODS

Provincial RT and pharmacy databases were used to review all adult patients in British Columbia, Canada, who received a first course of RT for BMs between 2012 and 2016 (n = 3095). Multivariate analysis on a randomly selected subset was used to develop an OS nomogram.

RESULTS

In comparison to the 2096 non-recipients of ST after RT, the median OS of the 999 recipients of ST after RT was 5.0 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 4.1-6.0) months longer (p < 0.0001). Some types of ST after RT were independently predictive of OS: targeted therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 0.42, CI 0.37-0.48), hormone therapy (HR 0.45, CI 0.36-0.55), cytotoxic chemotherapy (HR 0.71, CI 0.64-0.79), and immunotherapy (HR 0.64, CI 0.37-1.06). Patients who discontinued ST after RT had 0.9 (CI 0.3-1.4) months shorter median OS than patients who received no ST before or after RT (p < 0.0001). In the multivariate analysis of the 220-patient subset, established prognostic variables (extracranial disease, performance status, age, cancer diagnosis, and number of BMs), and the novel variables "ST before RT" and "Type of ST after RT" independently predicted OS. The nomogram predicted 6- and 12-month OS probability and median OS (bootstrap-corrected Harrell's Concordance Index = 0.70).

CONCLUSIONS

The type and timing of ST use surrounding RT predict OS for patients with BMs.

Survival in Patients With Brain Metastases: Summary Report on the Updated Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment and Definition of the Eligibility Quotient

PURPOSE

Conventional wisdom has rendered patients with brain metastases ineligible for clinical trials for fear that poor survival could mask the benefit of otherwise promising treatments. Our group previously published the diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA). Updates with larger contemporary cohorts using molecular markers and newly identified prognostic factors have been published. The purposes of this work are to present all the updated indices in a single report to guide treatment choice, stratify research, and define an eligibility quotient to expand eligibility.

METHODS

A multi-institutional database of 6,984 patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases underwent multivariable analyses of prognostic factors and treatments associated with survival for each primary site. Significant factors were used to define the updated GPA. GPAs of 4.0 and 0.0 correlate with the best and worst prognoses, respectively.

RESULTS

Significant prognostic factors varied by diagnosis and new prognostic factors were identified. Those factors were incorporated into the updated GPA with robust separation (P < .01) between subgroups. Survival has improved, but varies widely by GPA for patients with non-small-cell lung, breast, melanoma, GI, and renal cancer with brain metastases from 7-47 months, 3-36 months, 5-34 months, 3-17 months, and 4-35 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Median survival varies widely and our ability to estimate survival for patients with brain metastases has improved. The updated GPA (available free at brainmetgpa.com) provides an accurate tool with which to estimate survival, individualize treatment, and stratify clinical trials. Instead of excluding patients with brain metastases, enrollment should be encouraged and those trials should be stratified by the GPA to ensure those trials make appropriate comparisons. Furthermore, we recommend the expansion of eligibility to allow for the enrollment of patients with previously treated brain metastases who have a 50% or greater probability of an additional year of survival (eligibility quotient > 0.50).

Impact of pre-OP independence in patients with limited brain metastases on long-term survival

BACKGROUND

Brain metastasis represents a major complication with a significantly shorter overall survival of many oncological diseases, in particular of lung cancer, breast cancer and malignant melanoma patients. However, despite the poor prognosis, sometimes clinical decision-making, between on the one hand not to harm the patient and on the other hand not withholding a potential therapeutic option, is very challenging. Thus the aim of this retrospective study was to compare various scores, including scores for activities of daily living (ADL) before resection of brain metastases and to analyse their impact on survival.

METHODS

Our single institution retrospective patient cohort (N = 100) with a median age of 63.6 years, which had all undergone resection of one or more brain metastases, was categorized using the original patient files. The cohort includes 52 patients with lung cancer, 27 patients with breast cancer, 8 patients with colorectal carcinoma and 13 patients with kidney cancer. To categorize, we used different score systems which were capable to evaluate the patient in relation to self-sufficiency, activity and self-determination as part of ADL. The retrospective analysis includes the ECOG-Status, Karnofsky-Index, Barthel-Index, ASA-Classification and Katz-Index. Pre-processing and the analysis of the data was implemented using KNIME, where we used the R-plugin nodes to perform the final statistical tests with R.

RESULTS

Our analysis reveals that most of the ADL scores we tested are able to give a reliable prediction on overall survival after brain metastasis surgery. The survival rates decrease significantly with a lower score in all tested score systems, with the exception of the ASA-Risk score. In particular, the Katz Index < 6 was identified to have a significant correlation with a lower cancer specific survival (CSS) (HR 3.33, 95%-CI [2.17-5.00]; p-Value = 9.6*10^- 9), which is easy to use and has reproducible measurements.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-operative independence assessment by indices of ADL represents a predictor for overall survival after resection of brain metastases. Especially the easily, objectively and rapidly applicable Katz-Score is a very helpful tool to assess the pre-operative status, which could be additionally included in clinical decision making in daily practice.

Current approaches to the management of brain metastases

Brain metastases are a very common manifestation of cancer that have historically been approached as a single disease entity given the uniform association with poor clinical outcomes. Fortunately, our understanding of the biology and molecular underpinnings of brain metastases has greatly improved, resulting in more sophisticated prognostic models and multiple patient-related and disease-specific treatment paradigms. In addition, the therapeutic armamentarium has expanded from whole-brain radiotherapy and surgery to include stereotactic radiosurgery, targeted therapies and immunotherapies, which are often used sequentially or in combination. Advances in neuroimaging have provided additional opportunities to accurately screen for intracranial disease at initial cancer diagnosis, target intracranial lesions with precision during treatment and help differentiate the effects of treatment from disease progression by incorporating functional imaging. Given the numerous available treatment options for patients with brain metastases, a multidisciplinary approach is strongly recommended to personalize the treatment of each patient in an effort to improve the therapeutic ratio. Given the ongoing controversies regarding the optimal sequencing of the available and expanding treatment options for patients with brain metastases, enrolment in clinical trials is essential to advance our understanding of this complex and common disease. In this Review, we describe the key features of diagnosis, risk stratification and modern paradigms in the treatment and management of patients with brain metastases and provide speculation on future research directions.

Validation of the graded prognostic assessment for gastrointestinal cancers with brain metastases (GI-GPA)

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to validate a new prognostic model (GI-GPA) originally derived from a multi-center database (USA, Canada, Japan).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 92 German and Norwegian patients treated with individualized approaches, always including brain radiotherapy. Information about age, extracranial spread, number of brain metastases, performance status and other variables was collected. The GI-GPA score was calculated as described by Sperduto et al. RESULTS: Median survival was 4 months. The corresponding figures for the 4 different prognostic strata were 2.3, 4.4, 9.4 and 12.7 months, respectively (p = 0.0001). Patients whose management included surgical resection had longer median survival than those who were treated with other approaches (median 11.9 versus 3.0 months, p = 0.002). Comparable results were seen for additional systemic therapy (median 8.5 versus 3.5 months, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These results confirm the validity of the GI-GPA in an independent dataset from a different geographical region, despite the fact that overall survival was shorter in all prognostic strata, compared to Sperduto et al. Potential explanations include differences in molecular tumor characteristics and treatment selection, both brain metastases-directed and extracranially. Long-term survival beyond 5 years is possible in a small minority of patients.

Multidisciplinary patient-centered management of brain metastases and future directions

The incidence of brain metastasis is increasing as improvements in systemic therapy lead to increased survival. This provides new and challenging clinical decisions for patients who are trying to balance the risk of recurrence or progression with treatment-related side effects, and it requires appropriate management strategies from multidisciplinary teams. Improvements in prognostic assessment and systemic therapy with increasing activity in the brain allow for individualized care to better guide the use of local therapies and/or systemic therapy. Here, we review the current landscape of brain-directed therapy for the treatment of brain metastasis in the context of recent improved systemic treatment options. We also discuss emerging treatment strategies including targeted therapies for patients with actionable mutations, immunotherapy, modern whole-brain radiation therapy, radiosurgery, surgery, and clinical trials.