Impact of heart failure and left ventricular function on long-term survival--report of a community-based cohort study in Taiwan

Opportunistic Screening for Asymptomatic Left Ventricular Dysfunction With the Use of Electrocardiographic Artificial Intelligence: A Cost-Effectiveness Approach

BACKGROUND

The burden of asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) is greater than that of heart failure; however, a cost-effective tool for asymptomatic LVD screening has not been well validated. We aimed to prospectively validate an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiography (ECG) algorithm for asymptomatic LVD detection and evaluate its cost-effectiveness for opportunistic screening.

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, patients undergoing ECG at outpatient clinics or health check-ups were enrolled in 2 hospitals in Taiwan. Patients were stratified into LVD (left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40%) risk groups according to a previously developed ECG algorithm. The performance of AI-ECG was used to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of LVD screening compared with no screening. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and sensitivity analyses were used to examine the cost-effectiveness and robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Among the 29,137 patients, the algorithm demonstrated areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.984 and 0.945 for detecting LVD within 28 days in the 2 hospital cohorts. For patients not initially scheduled for ECG, the algorithm predicted future echocardiograms (high-risk, 46.2%; medium-risk, 31.4%; low-risk, 14.6%) and LVD (high-risk, 26.2%; medium-risk, 3.4%; low-risk, 0.1%) at 12 months. Opportunistic screening with AI-ECG could result in a negative ICER of -$7,439 for patients aged 65 years, with consistent cost-savings across age groups and particularly in men. Approximately 91.5% of the cases were found to be cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $30,000 in the probabilistic analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of AI-ECG for asymptomatic LVD risk stratification is promising, and opportunistic screening in outpatient clinics has the potential to reduce costs.

Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Add-on Empagliflozin in Patients With Heart Failure and a Reduced Ejection Fraction From the Healthcare System's Perspective in the Asia-Pacific Region

Background: EMPEROR-Reduced trial provides promising evidence on the efficacy of empagliflozin adding to the standard treatment in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of add-on empagliflozin vs. standard therapy alone in HFrEF from the perspective of the Asia-Pacific healthcare systems.

Methods: A Markov model was constructed to simulate HFrEF patients and to project the lifetime direct medical costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) of both therapies. Transitional probabilities were derived from the EMPEROR-Reduced trial. Country-specific costs and utilities were extracted from published resources. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) against willingness to pay (WTP) threshold was used to examine the cost-effectiveness. A series of sensitivity analyses was performed to ensure the robustness of the results.

Results: The ICERs of add-on empagliflozin vs. standard therapy alone in HFrEF were US$20,508, US$24,046, US$8,846, US$53,791, US$21,543, and US$20,982 per QALY gained in Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Thailand, and Australia, respectively. Across these countries, the probabilities of being cost-effective for using add-on empagliflozin under the WTP threshold of 3-times country-specific gross domestic product per capita were 93.7% in Taiwan, 95.6% in Japan, 96.3% in South Korea, 94.2% Singapore, 51.9% in Thailand, and 95.9% in Australia. The probabilities were reduced when shortening the time horizon, assuming the same cardiovascular mortality for both treatments, and setting lower WTP thresholds.

Conclusion: Adding empagliflozin to HFrEF treatment is expected to be a cost-effective option among the Asia-Pacific countries. The cost-effectiveness is influenced by the WTP thresholds of different countries.

Predictors of infection-related rehospitalization in heart failure patients and its impact on long-term survival

BACKGROUND

Infection is the most common non-cardiovascular cause of re-hospitalizations for heart failure patients. We therefore investigated the predictors of infection-related re-hospitalization (IRRH) in heart failure patients and its impact on long-term survival.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We prospectively recruited 622 patients after the index hospitalization for decompensated heart fail with primary endpoints of IRRH and all-cause mortality. During follow-up of 3.9 ± 2.7 years, IRRHs occurred in 104 (16.7%) patients. Of the 104 patients who experienced IRRHs, the time from the index hospitalization to IRRH was 1.0 (interquartile range: 0.4-2.6) years. Independent predictors of IRRH were age (hazard ratio: 1.02, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.04), diabetes mellitus (2.12, 1.42-3.17), not taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers (1.67, 1.01-2.78), needing maintenance therapy with a loop diuretic (2.10, 1.36-3.26), hemoglobin levels (0.87, 0.79-0.96), and estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) (0.99, 0.98-0.99). IRRH independently predicted all-cause mortality (1.99, 1.32-2.98) after adjusting for age, body mass index, New York Heart Association functional class, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, brain natriuretic peptide, hemoglobin, and eGFR. The increased risk of death associated with IRRHs was predominantly for lower respiratory tract infections (3.71, 2.28-6.04), urogenital tract infections (2.83, 1.32-6.10), and sepsis (3.26, 1.20-8.85).

CONCLUSION

IRRHs in patients discharged for acute decompensated heart fail independently predicted worse long-term survival. We further identified independent predictors of IRRHs. These findings warrant future studies for tackling IRRH.

Survival of patients with chronic heart failure in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Aim

To provide reliable survival estimates for people with chronic heart failure and explain variation in survival by key factors including age at diagnosis, left ventricular ejection fraction, decade of diagnosis, and study setting.

Methods and results

We searched in relevant databases from inception to August 2018 for non‐interventional studies reporting survival rates for patients with chronic or stable heart failure in any ambulatory setting. Across the 60 included studies, there was survival data for 1.5 million people with heart failure. In our random effects meta‐analyses the pooled survival rates at 1 month, 1, 2, 5 and 10 years were 95.7% (95% confidence interval 94.3–96.9), 86.5% (85.4–87.6), 72.6% (67.0–76.6), 56.7% (54.0–59.4) and 34.9% (24.0–46.8), respectively. The 5‐year survival rates improved between 1970–1979 and 2000–2009 across healthcare settings, from 29.1% (25.5–32.7) to 59.7% (54.7–64.6). Increasing age at diagnosis was significantly associated with a reduced survival time. Mortality was lowest in studies conducted in secondary care, where there were higher reported prescribing rates of key heart failure medications. There was significant heterogeneity among the included studies in terms of heart failure diagnostic criteria, participant co‐morbidities, and treatment rates.

Conclusion

These results can inform health policy and individual patient advanced care planning. Mortality associated with chronic heart failure remains high despite steady improvements in survival. There remains significant scope to improve prognosis through greater implementation of evidence‐based treatments. Further research exploring the barriers and facilitators to treatment is recommended.

The Taiwan Heart Registries: Its Influence on Cardiovascular Patient Care

Taiwanese heart registries for the main cardiovascular diseases have been conducted in the past 10 years, with the goal of examining the quality of cardiovascular patient care, which cannot be guaranteed by the universal Taiwan National Health Insurance. The results show suboptimal adherence to guideline recommendations. Door-to-balloon time and dual antiplatelet therapy use in acute coronary syndrome, standard medications for management of heart failure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in dyslipidemia, anticoagulant agent use in atrial fibrillation, and the understanding of sudden arrhythmia death syndrome were all found to be inadequate. However, all were improved, either by changing National Health Insurance policy or through continuous education for physicians and patients. Thus, specific cardiovascular disease registries could help examine the status of real-world practice, find inadequacies in guideline implementation and understanding of rare diseases, facilitate lobbying to policy makers and education for physicians and patients, and influence and improve cardiovascular patient care.

Palliative care needs of heart failure patients in China: putting people first

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Recognizing the rising prevalence of heart failure in China, patients with heart failure have substantial palliative needs. This review highlights recent evidence on the epidemic of heart failure, identifies needs and potential benefit of palliative care in heart failure, and sets future strategic policy and research directions in China.

RECENT FINDINGS

Epidemiological studies demonstrate the prevalence of heart failure among women is higher than men in China and increases substantially with age. However, few studies have addressed the palliative needs of Chinese heart failure patients. The main themes from this review include: Healthcare providers should be culturally sensitive whenever assessing symptoms and needs. Locally validated, brief outcome measures are called for to identify symptoms and needs of Chinese heart failure patients. Palliative care should be better integrated into the management of heart failure through increased training for healthcare providers, policy development, financial support, and cultural acceptance of palliative care.

SUMMARY

Large-scale epidemiological studies are urgently needed to assess the current situation of heart failure in China, alongside interventional studies to drive the development of innovative palliative care services to address the needs of Chinese heart failure patients.

TSOC-HFrEF Registry: A Registry of Hospitalized Patients with Decompensated Systolic Heart Failure: Description of Population and Management

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure (HF) is a medical condition with a rapidly increasing incidence both in Taiwan and worldwide. The objective of the TSOC-HFrEF registry was to assess epidemiology, etiology, clinical management, and outcomes in a large sample of hospitalized patients presenting with acute decompensated systolic HF.

METHODS

The TSOC-HFrEF registry was a prospective, multicenter, observational survey of patients presenting to 21 medical centers or teaching hospitals in Taiwan. Hospitalized patients with either acute new-onset HF or acute decompensation of chronic HFrEF were enrolled. Data including demographic characteristics, medical history, primary etiology of HF, precipitating factors for HF hospitalization, presenting symptoms and signs, diagnostic and treatment procedures, in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and discharge medications, were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 1509 patients were enrolled into the registry by the end of October 2014, with a mean age of 64 years (72% were male). Ischemic cardiomyopathy and dilated cardiomyopathy were diagnosed in 44% and 33% of patients, respectively. Coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes, and chronic renal insufficiency were the common comorbid conditions. Acute coronary syndrome, non-compliant to treatment, and concurrent infection were the major precipitating factors for acute decompensation. The median length of hospital stay was 8 days, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 2.4%. At discharge, 62% of patients were prescribed either angiotensin-converting enzyme-inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, 60% were prescribed beta-blockers, and 49% were prescribed mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists.

CONCLUSIONS

The TSOC-HFrEF registry provided important insights into the current clinical characteristics and management of hospitalized decompensated systolic HF patients in Taiwan. One important observation was that adherence to guideline-directed medical therapy was suboptimal.

Critical Questions about PARADIGM-HF and the Future

Cardiovascular (CV) diseases in general and heart failure (HF) in particular are major contributors to death and morbidity and are also recognized as important drivers of health care expenditure. The PARADIGM-HF trial was a pivotal trial designed to compare the long-term effects of LCZ696 with enalapril in patients with symptomatic HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). This review article presents an in-depth view of the PARADIGM-HF trial and the implications of the results in the management of patients with HF and is based on peer reviewed manuscripts, editorials, perspectives and opinions written about the PARADIGM-HF trial. The article presents the key safety and efficacy results of the trial with specific emphasis on the clinical implications of these findings. The review highlights the highly statistically significant, 20% reduction in the primary composite endpoint of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization, and a 16% reduction in the risk of death from any cause. It also provides an overview of the design, clinical findings, limitations and special areas of clinical interest. The review discusses the future of LCZ696 and additional trials that seek to answer questions in other sub-populations of patients with HF. The article reiterates what has been concluded by many experts in the field of HF- the introduction of LCZ696 into routine clinical care, while dependent on the regulatory approvals in various countries as well as acceptance by physicians, payers and patients, will change the treatment landscape for patients with HFrEF.

Drug-related problems vary with medication category and treatment duration in Taiwanese heart failure outpatients receiving case management

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) patients are at high risk of having drug-related problems (DRPs). We aim to describe the frequency, types, and temporal occurrence of DRPs in Taiwanese HF outpatients receiving case management.

METHODS

In this study, we included 141 patients from HF clinics in three hospitals in Taiwan from October 2008 to December 2010. Nurse case managers at each of the participating sites registered case report forms (CRFs) for patients during clinic visits. DRPs were classified using the Pharmaceutical Care Network Europe Foundation (PCNE) classification system and documented by pharmacists after reviewing CRFs and participating in multidisciplinary team discussions.

RESULTS

For 141 clinic participants, the average duration of medication use was 17 months, and 796 DRPs were reported. The DRPs most frequently recorded were the need for laboratory tests (32.7% of total DRPs), followed by potential interaction (29.6%), nonallergic side effects (13.3%), and insufficient awareness of health and disease (9.5%). The drugs most frequently causing a DRP were angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers, diuretics, warfarin, spironolactone, and β-blockers. The incidence rates of total DRPs was maximal during the initial 3 months of medication treatment, whereas the incidence rates of each category of DRPs showed multiform changes over time among various drug classes.

CONCLUSION

In Taiwan where the clinical pharmacist system is not well organized, HF outpatients still had a high prevalence of DRPs despite intensive monitoring by nurse case managers. Clinical pharmacists play critical roles in detecting potential DRPs during long-term medication treatment for this population.

Spectrum of epidemiological and clinical findings in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction stratified by study design: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) represents a major global and economic burden, but its epidemiological, clinical, and outcome data have varied according to study design.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a systematic review of published HFpEF clinical trials and observational studies (community-based studies and registries) from August 1998 to July 2013 using PubMed and EMBASE databases. Two independent investigators manually screened and extracted relevant data. We included 62 articles (19 describing clinical trials, 12 describing community-based observational studies, and 31 describing registries). The ejection fraction (EF) cut-off values ranged widely for HFpEF from >40% to >55%. However, differences in EF cut-offs were not clearly associated with incidence and prevalence data across studies. Of all patients with heart failure in community studies, 33-84% had HFpEF, which tended to be higher than reported in registries. The HFpEF patients in included studies were primarily older, white (>70%) patients with hypertension (∼50-90%) and coronary artery disease (up to 60%). All-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalizations ranged from 13% to 23% (26-50 months follow-up) and 55% to 67% (37-50 months follow-up), respectively, in clinical trials; cardiovascular causes accounted for 70% of both outcomes. All-cause mortality tended to be higher in registries than in clinical trials and community-based observational studies up to 5 years into follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Important differences in EF thresholds, epidemiological indices, clinical profiles, treatment patterns, and outcomes exist across contemporary HFpEF clinical trials, observational studies, and registries. Precision in definition and inclusion of more uniform populations may facilitate improved profiling of HFpEF patients.

Heart failure in China: a review of the literature

Heart failure (HF) is a serious disease associated with high morbidity and mortality. In China, as in other countries, it is a common cause for hospital admission; however, as yet there are few data documenting the epidemiology and management of HF in China, or quality of life-related considerations in this population. This review aims to identify relevant Chinese and English language publications that discuss the causes, risks, treatment, and health outcomes (costs, health-related quality of life) of HF in China (excluding Taiwan and Hong Kong). The prevalence of HF in China appears to be lower than that reported in many Western countries, including the US. Hypertension and coronary heart disease are the leading causes of HF in China, as they are in many Western nations, potentially highlighting the improvement in socioeconomic conditions in China. Evidence suggests that use of newer pharmacological agents for the treatment of HF is increasing; however, it is still believed that there is a lack of physician knowledge regarding newer, more effective treatment options, with rural (poor) areas appearing to be the most reliant on older, less expensive, medications. Interest in Chinese quality of life measures for HF has risen recently, with the development of valid and reliable rating scales in the Chinese population. Although the amount of available literature on HF in China is improving, there remain significant gaps in our understanding of the issue, and further research is needed to provide a reliable Chinese evidence base for the improvement of clinical practice.

Thyrotropin-secreting pituitary tumor presenting with congestive heart failure and good response to dopaminergic agonist cabergoline

Hyperthyroidism is an important inducing factor in patients with atrial fibrillation, and may trigger heart failure. Thyrotropin (thyroid stimulating hormone, TSH)-secreting pituitary tumors are rare causes of hyperthyroidism. Here, we report a 66-year-old man with a pituitary TSH-secreting tumor who presented with hyperthyroidism and congestive heart failure. Endonasal trans-sphenoidal pituitary adenomectomy was performed. After the operation, the symptoms of hyperthyroidism and congestive heart failure were relieved, associated with normalization of thyroid function tests. Unfortunately, hand tremor and progressively elevated free T4 and TSH concentrations recurred 5 months after surgery. A dopaminergic agonist, cabergoline was administered and euthyroidism was restored for at least 11 months.

Aortic root dimension as an independent predictor for all-cause death in adults <65 years of age (from the Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort Study)

BACKGROUND

Evidence on aortic root dimension for predicting cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is inconclusive. This cohort study sought to characterize the predictive power of aortic root dimension on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in an ethnic Chinese population.

METHODS

We recruited 1,851 participants in the Chin-Shan Community Cardiovascular Cohort (CCCC) study who had received echocardiography without previous cardiovascular events. Aortic root dimension was measured by M-mode echocardiography and indexed by body surface area to obtain aortic root dimension index (AOI). The end points were all-cause death and incident cardiovascular events including coronary heart disease and stroke over a median follow-up of 11.9 years.

RESULTS

Although tertiles of AOI was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause death in univariate analysis, the significance diminished after adjusting for age variable (P for trend = 0.11 for cardiovascular events; P for trend = 0.23 for all-cause death). In subgroup analysis, we found a significant association between tertiles of AOI and risk of all-cause death in the final multivariate Cox regression model in adults <65 years. The adjusted relative risk was 1.88 (95% CI, 1.04 to 3.40) in participants in the upper tertile of AOI compared with participants in the lower tertile (P for trend = 0.037). In adults > or = 65 years, tertile of AOI was not associated with all-cause death (P for trend = 0.14). Tertiles of AOI was not associated with cardiovascular events throughout this study.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed a significant association between AOI and all-cause death in adults <65 years in an ethnic Chinese population. (Echocardiography 2010;27:487-495).

Cardiac ultrasound helps for differentiating the causes of acute dyspnea with available B-type natriuretic peptide tests

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of cardiac ultrasound in diagnosing acute heart failure (AHF) in patients with acute dyspnea with available plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level.

METHODS

Patients with acute dyspnea presenting to the emergency department (ED) of a tertiary medical center were prospectively enrolled. The enrolled 84 patients received both BNP tests and cardiac ultrasound studies and were classified into AHF and non-heart failure groups.

RESULTS

Plasma BNP levels were higher in the AHF group (1236 ± 1123 vs 354 ± 410 pg/mL; P < .001). The AHF group had larger left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD; 32 ± 7 vs 27 ± 4 mm/m(2); P < .001) and worse left ventricular ejection fraction (52% ± 18% vs 64% ± 15%; P = .003). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that both BNP levels more than 100 pg/mL and LVEDD were independent predictors for AHF. In patients with plasma BNP levels within gray zone of 100 to 500 pg/mL, LVEDD was larger in the AHF group than that in the non-heart failure group (29 ± 4 vs 26 ± 4 mm/m(2); P = .044).

CONCLUSION

Both LVEDD by cardiac ultrasound and BNP levels can help emergency physicians independently diagnose AHF in the ED. In patients with plasma BNP levels within 100 to 500 pg/mL, cardiac ultrasound can help differentiate heart failure or not.

Renin-angiotensin system gene polymorphisms and diastolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Diastolic heart failure (DHF) refers to an abnormality of diastolic distensibility, filling or relaxation of the left ventricle. The genetic study of DHF is scarce in the literature. The association of renin-angiotensin system (RAS) and DHF are well known. We hypothesized that RAS genes might be the susceptible genes for DHF and conducted a case-control study to prove the hypothesis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 1452 consecutive patients were analysed and 148 patients with a diagnosis of DHF confirmed by echocardiography were recruited. We had two control populations. The first controls consisted of 286 normal subjects while the second were 148 matched controls selected on a 1-to-1 basis by age, sex, hypertension, diabetes and medication use. The angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) gene insertion/deletion polymorphism; multilocus polymorphisms of the angiotensinogen gene; and the A1166C polymorphisms of the angiotensin II type I receptor (AT(1)R) gene were genotyped.

RESULTS

In a single-locus analysis, the odds ratios (ORs) for DHF were significant with the ACE DD genotype and the AT(1)R 1166 CC plus AC genotype. In addition, the concomitant presence of ACE DD and AT(1)R 1166 CC/AC genotypes synergistically increased the predisposition to DHF.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic variants in the RAS genes may determine an individual's risk to develop DHF. There is also a synergistic gene-gene interaction between the RAS genes in the development of DHF.

End-stage renal disease patients on renal replacement therapy in the intensive care unit: short- and long-term outcome

OBJECTIVE

The number of patients with end-stage renal disease has increased during the last decades. Data shows that 10% of the renal replacement therapy population in the intensive care unit are patients with end-stage renal disease. We aimed to describe the short- and long-term outcome of these patients after renal replacement therapy in the intensive care unit.

DESIGN

Nationwide cohort study between the years 1995 and 2004. Follow-up up to 5 years.

SETTING

Swedish general intensive care units and Swedish hospitals.

PATIENTS

Eligible subjects were end-stage renal disease patients treated with renal replacement therapy in 32 Swedish general intensive care units. In total, 245 patients were studied.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Short- and long-term mortality was studied. Logistic regression was used to analyze short-term mortality. Long-term mortality was compared with the mortality of end-stage renal disease patients outside the intensive care unit and the mortality in the population. Diabetes and heart failure are significant risk factors for 90-day mortality, with an odds ratio of 1.9 and 2.0, respectively. The intensive care unit end-stage renal disease cohort had increased long-term mortality as compared with non-intensive care unit end-stage renal disease patients, relative risk of death 2.32 (confidence interval 1.84-2.92). A comparison with the mortality rate in the general population yielded a standardized mortality ratio of 25 (95% confidence interval: 19.6-31.4).

CONCLUSIONS

For end-stage renal disease patients in the intensive care unit, age, diabetes mellitus, and heart failure are risk factors for 90-day mortality. Long-term mortality is associated with age and heart failure. The long-term mortality of end-stage renal disease patients surviving the intensive care unit stay is significantly higher compared with end-stage renal disease patients without a known intensive care unit admission.