1
|
Artac I, Ilis D, Karakayali M, Omar T, Arslan A, Topaloğlu I, Karabag Y, Karakayon S, Rencuzogullari I. The prognostic value of the MAGGIC risk score in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Am J Med Sci 2025; 369:77-87. [PMID: 39094978 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjms.2024.07.029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2023] [Revised: 07/17/2024] [Accepted: 07/17/2024] [Indexed: 08/04/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a potentially life-threatening condition characterized by the sudden blockage of the pulmonary arteries. Although the MAGGIC risk score has emerged as a valuable tool in predicting outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure, it has also been demonstrated and identified as a prognostic model in various cardiac diseases other than heart failure. In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between MAGGIC score and adverse outcomes in patients with PE. MATERIALS AND METHODS A total of 302 consecutive patients diagnosed with acute PE were retrospectively included in the present study. For each patient, the MAGGIC score was calculated. The study population was divided into two groups according to the median value of MAGGIC score. RESULTS Patients with high MAGGIC score had a significantly higher proportion of elderly and female individuals, lower BMI, higher presence of CAD, DM, AFib, HF, HT, CKD, COPD, and ACEI/ARB and NOAC usage. Logistic regression analyses was carried out using univariate and multivariate analysis to predict the in-hospital and 30-day mortality predictors in the included PE patients. For in-hospital mortality, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, RV dilatation, and the MAGGIC score (HR: 1.166, 95% CI 1.077-1.263, p < 0.001) and for short-term mortality, sPESI and the MAGGIC score (HR: 1.925, 95% CI 1.243-2.983, p:0.003) were found to be independent predictors for adverse outcomes in patients with acute PE. CONCLUSION Our study demonstrates that the MAGGIC score can be applied as a valuable prognostic tool for acute pulmonary embolism.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Inanc Artac
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey.
| | - Dogan Ilis
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey
| | - Muammer Karakayali
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey
| | - Timor Omar
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey
| | - Ayca Arslan
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey
| | - Ihsan Topaloğlu
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Pulmonary Medicine Kars Turkey
| | - Yavuz Karabag
- Kafkas University Faculty of Medicine Department of Cardiology Kars Turkey
| | - Suleyman Karakayon
- Kocaeli Health and Technology University Department of Health Science Kocaeli Turkey
| | | |
Collapse
|
2
|
Zuin M, Henkin S, Harder EM, Piazza G. Optimal hemodynamic parameters for risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism patients. J Thromb Thrombolysis 2024; 57:918-928. [PMID: 38762710 DOI: 10.1007/s11239-024-02998-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/30/2024] [Indexed: 05/20/2024]
Abstract
Hemodynamic assessment of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) remains a fundamental component of early risk stratification that in turn, influences subsequent monitoring and therapeutic strategies. The current body of literature and international evidence-based clinical practice guidelines focus mainly on the use of systolic blood pressure (SBP). The accuracy of this single hemodynamic parameter, however, and its optimal values for the identification of hemodynamic instability have been recently questioned by clinicians. For example, abnormal SBP or shock index may be a late indicator of adverse outcomes, signaling a patient in whom the cascade of hemodynamic compromise is already well underway. The aim of the present article is to review the current evidence supporting the use of SBP and analyze the potential integration of other parameters to assess the hemodynamic stability, impending clinical deterioration, and guide the reperfusion treatment in patients with PE, as well as to suggest potential strategies to further investigate this issue.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Marco Zuin
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Via Aldo Moro 8, Ferrara, 44124, Italy.
| | | | - Eileen M Harder
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Gregory Piazza
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Zhou C, Yi Q, Luo Y, Wei H, Ge H, Liu H, Li X, Zhang J, Pan P, Yi M, Cheng L, Liu L, Zhang J, Peng L, Aili A, Liu Y, Pu J, Zhou H. Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A multicenter cohort study. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:941-950. [PMID: 37192019 PMCID: PMC10278704 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002666] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2022] [Indexed: 05/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although intensively studied in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), the prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has little been elucidated in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This study aimed to reveal the prognostic value of DBP in AECOPD patients. METHODS Inpatients with AECOPD were prospectively enrolled from 10 medical centers in China between September 2017 and July 2021. DBP was measured on admission. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality; invasive mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were secondary outcomes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regressions were used to identify independent prognostic factors and calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for adverse outcomes. RESULTS Among 13,633 included patients with AECOPD, 197 (1.45%) died during their hospital stay. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that low DBP on admission (<70 mmHg) was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.53-3.05, Z = 4.37, P <0.01), invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.32-2.05, Z = 19.67, P <0.01), and ICU admission (HR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.24-1.69, Z = 22.08, P <0.01) in the overall cohort. Similar findings were observed in subgroups with or without CVDs, except for invasive mechanical ventilation in the subgroup with CVDs. When DBP was further categorized in 5-mmHg increments from <50 mmHg to ≥100 mmHg, and 75 to <80 mmHg was taken as reference, HRs for in-hospital mortality increased almost linearly with decreased DBP in the overall cohort and subgroups of patients with CVDs; higher DBP was not associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION Low on-admission DBP, particularly <70 mmHg, was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes among inpatients with AECOPD, with or without CVDs, which may serve as a convenient predictor of poor prognosis in these patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION Chinese Clinical Trail Registry, No. ChiCTR2100044625.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chen Zhou
- West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Qun Yi
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
- Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institution, Sichuan Cancer Center, Cancer Hospital Affiliated to School of Medicine, UESTC, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Yuanming Luo
- State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510120, China
| | - Hailong Wei
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, People's Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, Sichuan 614000, China
| | - Huiqing Ge
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310016, China
| | - Huiguo Liu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China
| | - Xianhua Li
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Neijiang City, Neijiang, Sichuan 641000, China
| | - Jianchu Zhang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, China
| | - Pinhua Pan
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410008, China
| | - Mengqiu Yi
- Department of Emergency, the First People's Hospital of Jiujiang, Jiujiang, Jiangxi 332000, China
| | - Lina Cheng
- Department of Emergency, the First People's Hospital of Jiujiang, Jiujiang, Jiangxi 332000, China
| | - Liang Liu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Jiarui Zhang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Lige Peng
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Adila Aili
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Yu Liu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Jiaqi Pu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| | - Haixia Zhou
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Zuin M, Rigatelli G, Bongarzoni A, Enea I, Bilato C, Zonzin P, Casazza F, Roncon L. Mean arterial pressure predicts 48 h clinical deterioration in intermediate-high risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism. EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. ACUTE CARDIOVASCULAR CARE 2023; 12:80-86. [PMID: 36580441 DOI: 10.1093/ehjacc/zuac169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2022] [Revised: 12/17/2022] [Accepted: 12/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
AIMS We assess the prognostic role of mean arterial pressure (MAP) for 48 h clinical deterioration in intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism (PE) patients after admission. METHODS AND RESULTS A post hoc analysis of intermediate-high-risk PE and intermediate-low-risk PE patients enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (IPER) (Trial registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT01604538) was performed. Clinical deterioration within 48 h was defined as patient worsening from a stable to an unstable haemodynamic condition, need of catecholamine infusion, endotracheal intubation, or cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Of 450 intermediate-high risk PE patients (mean age 71.4 ± 13.8 years, 298 males), 40 (8.8%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48 h from admission. Receiver operating characteristic analysis established the optimal cut-off value for MAP, as a predictor of 48 h clinical deterioration, ≤81.5 mmHg [area under curve (AUC) of 0.77 ± 0.3] with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 77.5, 95.0, 63.2, and 97.7%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that independent risk factors for 48 h clinical deterioration were age [hazard ratio (HR): 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-1.28, P < 0.0001], history of heart failure (HR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.72-1.81, P < 0.0001), simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.49-1.58, P = 0.001), systemic thrombolysis (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.30-0.65, P < 0.0001), and a MAP of ≤81.5 mmHg at admission (HR: 3.25, 95% CI: 1.89-5.21, P < 0.0001). The deteriorating group had a significantly higher risk of 30-day mortality (HR: 2.61, 95% CI: 2.54-2.66, P < 0.0001) compared with the non-deteriorating group. CONCLUSION The mean arterial pressure appears to be a useful, bedside, and non-invasive prognostic tool potentially capable of promptly identifying intermediate-high risk PE patients at higher risk of 48 h clinical deterioration.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Marco Zuin
- Department of Cardiology, West Vicenza Hospital, Via del Parco 1, 36071 Arzignano, Vicenza, Italy
- Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Via Luigi Borsari, 46, 44124 Ferrara, Italy
| | - Gianluca Rigatelli
- Department of Cardiology, Ospedali Riuniti Padova Sud, Monselice, via Albere 30, 35043 Padova, Italy
| | - Amedeo Bongarzoni
- Department of Cardiology, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, University of Milan, via Rudinì, 20142 Milano, Italy
| | - Iolanda Enea
- Emergency Department, S. Anna and S. Sebastiano Hospital, via Palasciano, 81100 Caserta, Italy
| | - Claudio Bilato
- Department of Cardiology, West Vicenza Hospital, Via del Parco 1, 36071 Arzignano, Vicenza, Italy
| | - Pietro Zonzin
- Department of Cardiology, Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, via Tre Martiri 140, 45100 Rovigo, Italy
| | - Franco Casazza
- Department of Cardiology, San Carlo Borromeo Hospital, via Pio II 3, 20153 Milano, Italy
| | - Loris Roncon
- Department of Cardiology, Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, via Tre Martiri 140, 45100 Rovigo, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Clinical outcomes of very elderly patients treated with ultrasound-assisted catheter-directed thrombolysis for pulmonary embolism: a systematic review. J Thromb Thrombolysis 2021; 52:260-271. [PMID: 33665765 DOI: 10.1007/s11239-021-02409-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/16/2021] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a significant cause of death in the very elderly (≥ 75 years) population. Ultrasound-assisted catheter-directed thrombolysis (USCDT) emerges to improve thrombolysis safety and efficacy. However, outcomes in very elderly patients are unknown, as randomized controlled trials exclude this population. Recently, we demonstrated acute kidney injury (AKI) and ischemic hepatitis in an octogenarian intermediate-risk PE patient treated with USCDT. Considering the lack of evidence, we undertook a systematic review to evaluate the clinical outcomes in very elderly PE patients treated with USCDT. We searched for very elderly PE patients treated with USCDT from 2008 to 2019. Additionally, we conducted another systematic review without age restriction to update previous evidence and compare both populations. We also did an exploratory analysis to determine if thrombolysis was followed based on current guidelines or impending clinical deterioration factors. We identified 18 very elderly patients (age 79.2, 75-86), mostly female and with intermediate-risk PE. We found an intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and a right pulmonary artery rupture. Additionally, two significant bleedings complicated with transient AKI, and one case of AKI and ischemic hepatic injury. The patients who survived all had clinical and echocardiographic in-hospital improvement. Despite low rt-PA doses, ICH and major bleeding remain as feared complications. Thrombolysis decision was driven by impending clinical deterioration factors instead of international guideline recommendations. Our data do not suggest prohibitive risk associated with USCDT in very elderly intermediate and high-risk PE patients. Despite long-term infusions and right ventricular dysfunction, AKI and ischemic hepatic injury were infrequent.
Collapse
|