Editor's Choice – Prognostic Role of Pre-Operative Symptom Status in Carotid Endarterectomy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Outcomes of carotid endarterectomy in octogenarians compared to their younger counterparts: a retrospective observational study

Purpose

This study was performed to analyze the association between age and outcomes of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) by comparing postoperative outcomes between octogenarians and younger patients.

Methods

From November 1994 to December 2022, 1,585 internal carotid arteries of 1,434 patients were enrolled. Patients were stratified into 2 groups: octogenarians (≥80 years old) and non-octogenarians (<80 years old). Primary endpoints were early (≤30 days) outcomes of ipsilateral stroke, any stroke, myocardial infarction, death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We also compared overall any stroke and death between the 2 groups.

Results

One of 132 octogenarians (0.8%) and 17 of 1,453 non-octogenarians (1.1%) experienced ipsilateral stroke within 30 days. Thirty-day MACE occurred in 4 of 132 octogenarians (3%) and 44 of 1,453 non-octogenarians (3%). There were no significant differences in any early (≤30 days) outcomes. Symptomatic status was associated with increased 30-day MACE (odds ratio [OR], 2.610; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.450-4.696; P = 0.003) and 30-day any stroke (OR, 3.999; 95% CI, 1.627-9.828; P = 0.003). Symptomatic status was also associated with overall any stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 2.885; 95% CI, 1.865-4.463; P < 0.001), but age of ≥80 years was not associated with 30-day MACE, 30-day any stroke, or overall stroke. Age of ≥80 years was only associated with overall survival (HR, 2.644; 95% CI, 1.967-3.555; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

CEA would be a safe and effective treatment for octogenarians with low 30-day complications and long-term stroke rates, comparable with that of younger counterparts. Advanced age is not a contraindication for CEA.

Locoregional Anaesthesia and Intra-Operative Angiography in Carotid Endarterectomy: 16 Year Results of a Consecutive Single Centre Series

OBJECTIVE

The benefit of local (LA) over general (GA) anaesthesia and the rationale of intra-operative imaging strategies during carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is debated. This study analysed the associations between patient characteristics, LA, and intra-operative imaging strategies and the in hospital stroke and death rates in elective CEA over a 16 year period.

METHODS

All consecutive patients treated by elective CEA between January 2004 and December 2019 (n = 1 872; median age 71 years, 70% male, 37% symptomatic) were included. All patients were assessed neurologically before and within 48 hours after CEA. The primary outcome event was the combined rate of any in hospital stroke or death. Secondary outcome events were the combined rates of any in hospital major stroke (modified Rankin scale [mRS] 3 - 5) or death, stroke, minor stroke (mRS 0 - 2), major stroke, and death alone. To detect changes over time, four quartiles (2004 - 2007, 2008 - 2011, 2012 - 2015, and 2016 - 2019) of this cohort were analysed. Statistical analysis comprised trend tests, and uni- and multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Median patient age increased from 68 to 73 years (p < .001). Over time, LA (from 28% to 91%) and intra-operative imaging (angiography 2.8 - 98.1%, duplex ultrasound 0 - 78.2%) was applied more frequently. Surgical techniques did not change. The in hospital stroke or death and major stroke or death rates decreased from 3.7% to 1.5% (p = .041) and from 2.8% to 0.9% (p = .014), respectively, corresponding to a relative risk of decline of 7% and 12% annually. Multivariable analysis revealed that LA (odds ratio [OR] 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.1 - 0.62) and intra-operative angiography (OR 0.09, 95% CI 0.10 - 0.81) were associated with lower in hospital major stroke and death rates.

CONCLUSION

These data demonstrate a decline in the combined rates of any in hospital major stroke or death after non-emergency CEA over time. Locoregional anaesthesia and intra-operative quality control were associated with these improvements and might be worthwhile in elective CEA.

Predictors of 30-day mortality using machine learning approach following carotid endarterectomy

BACKGROUND

Preoperative prognostication of 30-day mortality in patients with carotid endarterectomy (CEA) can optimize surgical risk stratification and guide the decision-making process to improve survival. This study aims to develop and validate a set of predictive variables of 30-day mortality following CEA.

METHODS

The patient cohort was identified from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2005-2016). We performed logistic regression (enter, stepwise, and forward) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method for the selection of variables, which resulted in 28-candidate models. The final model was selected based upon clinical knowledge and numerical results.

RESULTS

Statistical analysis included 65,807 patients with 30-day mortality in 0.7% (n = 466) patients. The median age of our cohort was 71.0 years (range, 16-89 years). The model with 9 predictive factors which included age, body mass index, functional health status, American Society of Anesthesiologist grade, chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder, preoperative serum albumin, preoperative hematocrit, preoperative serum creatinine, and preoperative platelet count-performed best on discrimination, calibration, Brier score, and decision analysis to develop a machine learning algorithm. Logistic regression showed higher AUCs than LASSO across these different models. The predictive probability derived from the best model was converted into an open-accessible scoring system.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms show promising results for predicting 30-day mortality following CEA. These algorithms can be useful aids for counseling patients, assessing preoperative medical risks, and predicting survival after surgery.

Prevalence of High-risk Plaques and Risk of Stroke in Patients With Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis: A Meta-analysis

Importance

There is an ongoing debate regarding the management of asymptomatic carotid stenosis. Previous studies have reported imaging features of high-risk plaques that could help to optimize the risk-benefit ratio of revascularization. However, such studies have not provided an accurate estimate of the prevalence of high-risk plaques and the associated annual incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events to inform the design of clinical trials using a risk-oriented selection of patients before randomization.

Objective

To assess the relevance and feasibility of risk-oriented selection of patients for revascularization.

Data Sources

A systematic search of PubMed and Ovid Embase from database inception to July 31, 2019, was performed.

Study Selection

Prospective observational studies that reported prevalence of high-risk plaques and incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events were included.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Aggregated data were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Data were analyzed from December 16, 2019, to January 15, 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Prevalence of high-risk plaques and annual incidence of ipsilateral ischemic events.

Results

Overall, 64 studies enrolling 20 751 participants aged 29 to 95 years (mean age range, 55.0-76.5 years; proportion of men, 45%-87%) were included in the meta-analysis. Among all participants, the pooled prevalence of high-risk plaques was 26.5% (95% CI, 22.9%-30.3%). The most prevalent high-risk plaque features were neovascularization (43.4%; 95% CI, 31.4%-55.8%) in 785 participants, echolucency (42.3%; 95% CI, 32.2%-52.8%) in 12 364 participants, and lipid-rich necrotic core (36.3%; 95% CI, 27.7%-45.2%) in 3728 participants. The overall incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events was 3.2 events per 100 person-years (22 cohorts with 10 381 participants; mean follow-up period, 2.8 years; range, 0.7-6.5 years). The incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events was higher in patients with high-risk plaques (4.3 events per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 2.5-6.5 events per 100 person-years) than in those without high-risk plaques (1.2 events per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 0.6-1.8 events per 100 person-years), with an odds ratio of 3.0 (95% CI, 2.1-4.3; I2 = 48.8%). In studies focusing on severe stenosis (9 cohorts with 2128 participants; mean follow-up period, 2.8 years; range, 1.4-6.5 years), the incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events was 3.7 events per 100 person-years (95% CI, 1.9-6.0 events per 100 person-years). The incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events was also higher in patients with high-risk plaques (7.3 events per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 2.0-15.0 events per 100 person-years) than in those without high-risk plaques (1.7 events per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 0.6-3.3 events per 100 person-years), with an odds ratio of 3.2 (95% CI, 1.7-5.9; I2 = 39.6%).

Conclusions and Relevance

High-risk plaques are common in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis, and the associated risk of an ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular event is higher than the currently accepted estimates. Extension of routine assessment of asymptomatic carotid stenosis beyond the grade of stenosis may help improve risk stratification and optimize therapy.

Outcomes of Carotid Revascularization versus Optimal Medical Treatment Alone for Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis: Inverse-Probability-of-Treatment Weighting Using Propensity Scores

BACKGROUND

The benefits and necessity of revascularization for asymptomatic carotid stenosis remains under debate. This study aimed to determine the more durable and beneficial alternative between carotid revascularization and optimal medical treatment (OMT) alone for asymptomatic carotid stenosis.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis at a tertiary institution between 1994 and 2017. We compared revascularization (carotid endarterectomy [CEA] and carotid artery stenting [CAS]) with OMT alone by using inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting with propensity scores to account for selection bias. The primary end point was a composite of any stroke, myocardial infarction, and death within 30 days, plus ipsilateral stroke thereafter.

RESULTS

A total of 1089 patients were included in the analysis (56% CEA, 25% CAS, 19% OMT alone). Patients who underwent CAS consistently showed greater risk regarding the primary composite end point compared with those who received OMT alone (hazard radio [HR] 3.32, 95% confidence interval 1.014-10.868; P = 0.047), but the CEA group showed no significant difference (HR 1.19, 95% confidence interval 0.385-4.584; P = 0.761). The CAS group had the greatest rates of any stroke within 30 days (4.0%, P = 0.0006) and ipsilateral stroke thereafter (3.68%, P = 0.0009). There was no death within 30 days. In the long-term outcomes, neither CEA nor CAS showed significant differences in HR compared with OMT alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that for stroke prevention in asymptomatic severe carotid stenosis, CAS might be inferior to the other 2 options regarding early outcomes. However, further investigation is required regarding the efficacy and durability of OMT alone.

Safe carotid endarterectomy: "one fits all strategy"

INTRODUCTION

Carotid artery stenosis of 50% or more in the extracranial internal carotid artery is responsible for 10-15% of all strokes. Interventional treatment options include carotid endarterectomy and carotid artery stenting, where endarterectomy is proven to be superior.

AIM

In this study, we report the carotid endarterectomy results of patients we operated on using the strategy we termed the "one fits all strategy".

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Seventy-six patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy between July 2016 and April 2020 were retrospectively studied. Conventional endarterectomy under general anesthesia with primary closure of the arteriotomy was performed in all patients. We used a near infrared spectroscopy oximeter to measure regional cerebral oxygenation continuously throughout the surgery.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 70.96 8.15 years. There were 52 male and 24 female patients. The mean follow-up time was 20.6 ±13.6 months. Coronary artery disease was detected in 52 (73.6%) patients. Coronary artery bypass operation was indicated in 19 patients in whom a staged approach was performed in 13 and a reverse staged approach in 1. There were two perioperative strokes one of which recovered fully spontaneously and the other partially with physiotherapy. Eight cases were revised due to hematoma formation.

CONCLUSIONS

Carotid endarterectomy continues to prove its safety in carotid artery stenosis patients. Continuous cerebral oxygenation monitoring is indispensable for carotid surgery. Despite discrepancies in surgical techniques, we believe that "one fits all strategy: general anesthesia, conventional endarterectomy without patch plasty, never shunter and always NIRS monitorization" may be used safely in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy.