Evaluation of a commercial database to estimate residence histories in the los angeles ultrafines study

Feasibility and limitations of using commercial databases to evaluate residential mobility in registry-based research on childhood cancer

BACKGROUND

Researchers have used commercial databases containing residential addresses to reduce exposure misclassification in case-control studies. Our objective is to evaluate the potential systematic bias regarding case status when reconstructing residential locations from commercial databases.

METHODS

Our study population of 3640 Colorado-born children includes 520 children diagnosed with acute lymphocytic leukemia between 2002 and 2019. We aligned addresses and date ranges obtained from LexisNexis with registry dates to determine three dichotomous outcomes: Found in LexisNexis, conception date found in LexisNexis, and reference date/diagnosis date found in LexisNexis. We applied logistic regression to determine whether outcomes differed by case status.

RESULTS

Mothers of cases were 39% more likely to be found in LexisNexis than mothers of controls (OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 0.97, 2). Of the mothers found in LexisNexis, a conception address was 33% more likely (OR= 1.33, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.66) and a reference/diagnosis address was 60% more likely (OR= 1.60, 95% CI: 1.21, 2.12) to be found for mothers of cases than mothers of controls.

CONCLUSION

This study indicates that use of commercial databases to reconstruct residential locations may systematically bias results in case-control studies of childhood cancers.

Residential proximity to dioxin-emitting facilities and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study

BACKGROUND

Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) are persistent organic pollutants emitted from industrial sources. Residential proximity to these emissions has been associated with risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in a limited number of studies.

METHODS

We evaluated associations between residential proximity to PCDD/F-emitting facilities and NHL in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study (N = 451,410), a prospective cohort enrolled in 1995-1996 in 6 states and 2 U.S. cities. We linked enrollment addresses with a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency database of 4,478 historical PCDD/F sources with estimated toxic equivalency quotient (TEQ) emissions. We evaluated associations between NHL and exposures during a historical period prior to enrollment (1980-1995) using an average emissions index, weighted by toxicity, distance, and wind direction (AEI-W [g TEQ/km2]) within 3-, 5- and 10 km of residences. We also evaluated proximity-only metrics indicating the presence/absence of one or more facilities within each distance, and metrics calculated separately for each facility type. We used Cox regression to estimate associations (hazard ratio, HR; 95 % confidence interval, 95 %CI) with NHL and major subtypes, adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and dietary factors.

RESULTS

A total of 6,467 incident cases of NHL were diagnosed through 2011. Participants with an AEI-W ≥ 95th percentile had elevated risk of NHL compared to those unexposed at 3 km (HR = 1.16; 95 %CI = 0.89-1.52; p-trend = 0.24), 5 km (HR = 1.20;95 %CI = 0.99-1.46;p-trend = 0.05) and 10 km (HR = 1.15; 95 %CI = 0.99-1.34; p-trend = 0.04). We found a positive association at 5 km with follicular lymphoma (HR≥95vs.0 = 1.62; 95 %CI = 0.98-2.67; p-trend = 0.05) and a suggestive association for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (HR≥95vs.0 = 1.40; 95 %CI = 0.91-2.14; p-trend = 0.11). NHL risk was also associated with high emissions from coal-fired power plants within 10 km (HR≥95vs.0 = 1.42; 95 %CI = 1.09-1.84; p-trend = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Residential proximity to relatively high dioxin emissions from industrial sources may increase the risk of NHL and specific subtypes.

Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and risk of liver cancer in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study

BACKGROUND

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure has been associated with liver cancer incidence and mortality in a limited number of studies. We sought to evaluate this relationship for the first time in a U.S. cohort with historical exposure assessment.

METHODS

We used spatiotemporal prediction models to estimate annual average historical PM2.5 concentrations (1980-2015) at residential addresses of 499,729 participants in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study, a cohort in 6 states (California, Florida, Louisiana, New Jersey, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania) and 2 metropolitan areas (Atlanta, Georgia, and Detroit, Michigan) enrolled in 1995-1996 and followed up through 2017. We used a time-varying Cox model to estimate the association for liver cancer and the predominant histologic type, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), per 5 µg/m3 increase in estimated outdoor PM2.5 levels, incorporating a 5-year average, lagged 10 years prior to cancer diagnosis and adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education level and catchment state. We also evaluated PM2.5 interactions with hypothesized effect modifiers.

RESULTS

We observed a non-significantly increased risk of liver cancer associated with estimated PM2.5 exposure (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.05 [0.96-1.14], N = 1,625); associations were slightly stronger for HCC, (84 % of cases; HR = 1.08 [0.98-1.18]). Participants aged 70 or older at enrollment had an increased risk of liver cancer versus other age groups (HR = 1.50 [1.01-2.23]); p-interaction = 0.01) and risk was elevated among participants who did not exercise (HR = 1.81 [1.22-2.70]; p-interaction = 0.01). We found no evidence of effect modification by sex, smoking status, body mass index, diabetes status, or alcohol consumption (p-interaction > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings in this large cohort suggest that residential ambient PM2.5 levels may be associated with liver cancer risk. Further exploration of the variation in associations by age and physical activity are important areas for future research.

Geospatial Science for the Environmental Epidemiology of Cancer in the Exposome Era

Geospatial science is the science of location or place that harnesses geospatial tools, such as geographic information systems (GIS), to understand the features of the environment according to their locations. Geospatial science has been transformative for cancer epidemiologic studies through enabling large-scale environmental exposure assessments. As the research paradigm for the exposome, or the totality of environmental exposures across the life course, continues to evolve, geospatial science will serve a critical role in determining optimal practices for how to measure the environment as part of the external exposome. The objectives of this article are to provide a summary of key concepts, present a conceptual framework that illustrates how geospatial science is applied to environmental epidemiology in practice and through the lens of the exposome, and discuss the following opportunities for advancing geospatial science in cancer epidemiologic research: enhancing spatial and temporal resolutions and extents for geospatial data; geospatial methodologies to measure climate change factors; approaches facilitating the use of patient addresses in epidemiologic studies; combining internal exposome data and geospatial exposure models of the external exposome to provide insights into biological pathways for environment-disease relationships; and incorporation of geospatial data into personalized cancer screening policies and clinical decision making.

Construction of residential histories to estimate long-term environmental exposures in the California Teachers Study cohort

Environmental epidemiologic studies using geospatial data often estimate exposure at a participant's residence upon enrollment, but mobility during the exposure period can lead to misclassification. We aimed to mitigate this issue by constructing residential histories for participants in the California Teachers Study through follow-up (1995-2018). Address records have been collected from the US Postal Service, LexisNexis, Experian, and California Cancer Registry. We identified records of the same address based on geo-coordinate distance (≤250 m) and street name similarity. We consolidated addresses, prioritizing those confirmed by participants during follow-up questionnaires, and estimating the duration lived at each address using dates associated with records (e.g., date-first-seen). During 23 years of follow-up, about half of participants moved (48%, including 14% out-of-state). We observed greater mobility among younger women, Hispanic/Latino women, and those in metropolitan and lower socioeconomic status areas. The cumulative proportion of in-state movers remaining eligible for analysis was 21%, 32%, and 41% at 5, 10, and 20 years post enrollment, respectively. Using self-reported information collected 10 years after enrollment, we correctly identified 94% of movers and 95% of non-movers as having moved or not moved from their enrollment address. This dataset provides a foundation for estimating long-term environmental exposures in diverse epidemiologic studies in this cohort. IMPACT: Our efforts in constructing residential histories for California Teachers Study participants through follow-up (1995-2018) benefit future environmental epidemiologic studies. Address availability during the exposure period can mitigate misclassification due to residential changes, especially when evaluating long-term exposures and chronic health outcomes. This can reduce differential misclassification among more mobile subgroups, including younger women and those from lower socioeconomic and urban areas. Our approach to consolidating addresses from multiple sources showed high accuracy in comparison to self-reported residential information. The residential dataset produced from this analysis provides a valuable tool for future studies, ultimately enhancing our understanding of environmental health impacts.

Outdoor Ultrafine Particulate Matter and Risk of Lung Cancer in Southern California

Rationale: Particulate matter ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) is an established cause of lung cancer, but the association with ultrafine particulate matter (UFP; aerodynamic diameter < 0.1 μm) is unclear. Objectives: To investigate the association between UFP and lung cancer overall and by histologic subtype. Methods: The Los Angeles Ultrafines Study includes 45,012 participants aged ⩾50 years in southern California at enrollment (1995-1996) followed through 2017 for incident lung cancer (n = 1,770). We estimated historical residential ambient UFP number concentrations via land use regression and back extrapolation using PM2.5. In Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for smoking and other confounders, we estimated associations between 10-year lagged UFP (per 10,000 particles/cm3 and quartiles) and lung cancer overall and by major histologic subtype (adenocarcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, and small cell carcinoma). We also evaluated relationships by smoking status, birth cohort, and historical duration at the residence. Measurements and Main Results: UFP was modestly associated with lung cancer risk overall (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.99-1.08]). For adenocarcinoma, we observed a positive trend among men; risk was increased in the highest exposure quartile versus the lowest (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.05-1.85]; P for trend = 0.01) and was also increased in continuous models (HR per 10,000 particles/cm3, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.00-1.18]), but no increased risk was apparent among women (P for interaction = 0.03). Adenocarcinoma risk was elevated among men born between 1925 and 1930 (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.02-1.26] per 10,000) but not for other birth cohorts, and was suggestive for men with ⩾10 years of residential duration (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.98-1.26]). We found no consistent associations for women or other histologic subtypes. Conclusions: UFP exposure was modestly associated with lung cancer overall, with stronger associations observed for adenocarcinoma of the lung.

Ambient fine particulate matter and breast cancer incidence in a large prospective US cohort

BACKGROUND

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has been inconsistently associated with breast cancer incidence, however, few studies have considered historic exposure when levels were higher.

METHODS

Outdoor residential PM2.5 concentrations were estimated using a nationwide spatiotemporal model for women in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study, a prospective cohort located in 6 states (California, Florida, Louisiana, New Jersey, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania) and 2 metropolitan areas (Atlanta, GA, and Detroit, MI) and enrolled in 1995-1996 (n = 196 905). Annual average PM2.5 concentrations were estimated for a 5-year historical period 10 years prior to enrollment (1980-1984). We used Cox regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and breast cancer incidence overall and by estrogen receptor status and catchment area.

RESULTS

With follow-up of participants through 2017, a total of 15 870 breast cancer cases were identified. A 10 ug/m3 increase in PM2.5 was statistically significantly associated with overall breast cancer incidence (HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.13). The association was evident for estrogen receptor-positive (HR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.17) but not estrogen receptor-negative tumors (HR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.84 to 1.13; Pheterogeneity = .3). Overall breast cancer hazard ratios were more than 1 across the catchment areas, ranging from a hazard ratio of 1.26 (95% CI = 0.96 to 1.64) for North Carolina to a hazard ratio of 1.04 (95% CI = 0.68 to 1.57) for Louisiana (Pheterogeneity = .9).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large US cohort with historical air pollutant exposure estimates, PM2.5 was associated with risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. State-specific estimates were imprecise but suggest that future work should consider region-specific associations and the potential contribution of PM2.5 chemical constituency in modifying the observed association.

Outdoor light at night and risk of endometrial cancer in the NIH-AARP diet and health study

PURPOSE

Outdoor light at night (LAN) can result in circadian disruption and hormone dysregulation and is a suspected risk factor for some cancers. Our study is the first to evaluate the association between LAN and risk of endometrial cancer, a malignancy with known relationship to circulating estrogen levels.

METHODS

We linked enrollment addresses (1996) for 97,677 postmenopausal women in the prospective NIH-AARP cohort to satellite imagery of nighttime radiance to estimate LAN exposure. Multivariable Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for LAN quintiles and incident endometrial cancer overall (1,669 cases) and endometrioid adenocarcinomas (991 cases) through follow-up (2011). We tested for interaction with established endometrial cancer risk factors.

RESULTS

We observed no association for endometrial cancer overall (HR_Q1vsQ5 0.92; 95% CI 0.78-1.08; p trend = 0.67) or endometrioid adenocarcinoma (HR_Q1vsQ5 1.01; 95% CI 0.82-1.24; p trend = 0.36). Although body mass index and menopause hormone therapy were both associated with risk, there was no evidence of interaction with LAN (p interactions = 0.52 and 0.50, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our study did not find an association between outdoor LAN and endometrial cancer risk, but was limited by the inability to account for individual-level exposure determinants. Future studies should consider approaches to improve characterization of personal exposures to light.

Matching participant address with public records database in a US national longitudinal cohort study

Background

Epidemiological studies utilize residential histories to assess environmental exposure risk. The validity from using commercially-sourced residential histories within national longitudinal studies remains unclear. Our study assessed predictors of non-agreement between baseline addresses from the commercially-sourced LexisNexis database and participants in the national longitudinal study, REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS). Additionally, we assessed differences in stroke risk by neighborhood socioeconomic score (nSES) based on participant reported address compared to nSES from LexisNexis/REGARDS matched baseline address.

Methods

From January 2003–October 2007, REGARDS enrolled 30,239 black and white adults aged 45 and older within the continental United States and collected their baseline address. ArcGIS Desktop 10.5.1 with ESRI 2016 Business Analyst Data was used to geocode baseline addresses from LexisNexis and REGARDS. Logistic regression was used to estimate the likelihood that LexisNexis address matched REGARDS baseline address for each participant. Survival analysis was used to estimate association between nSES and incident stroke.

Results

Approximately 91% of REGARDS participants had a LexisNexis address. Of these geocoded addresses, 93% of REGARDS baseline addresses matched LexisNexis addresses. Odds of agreement between LexisNexis and REGARDS was higher for older-aged participants (OR = 1.02 per year, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.02), blacks compared to whites (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.29), females compared to males (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.26), participants with an income of $34k-74k compared to an income less than $20k (OR = 1.62, 95% CI: 1.39, 1.89). Odds of agreement were lower for residents in Midwest compared to residents in the south (OR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.73, 0.94). No significant differences in nSES-stroke associations were observed between REGARDS only and LexisNexis/REGARDS matched addresses; however, differences in interactions were observed.

Conclusion

Agreement between LexisNexis and REGARDS addresses varied by sociodemographic groups, potentially introducing bias in studies reliant on LexisNexis alone for residential address data.

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Approximately 9% of REGARDS participants did not have a LexisNexis address history available.

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Of participants with both REGARDS and LexisNexis addresses available, 93% of these addresses matched.

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Agreement between REGARDS and LexisNexis address varied by socio-demographics—potentially biasing environmental exposures.

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Compared to LexisNexis, REGARDS addresses may be valuable in detecting interactions contributing to stroke disparities.