Pattern of atrial fibrillation and risk of outcomes: the Loire Valley Atrial Fibrillation Project

Role of the score for the targeting of atrial fibrillation (STAF) combined with D-dimer in screening ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

We aim to explore the effect of the score for the targeting of atrial fibrillation (STAF) combined with the serum D-dimer (DD) level in screening acute ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

This study is a retrospective case observation study. This study consecutively selected patients with acute ischemic stroke who were hospitalized in the Department of Neurology at Zhuhai Hospital Affiliated with Jinan University from February 2019 to February 2021. Venous blood was drawn from all patients within 24 hours of hospitalization for DD detection. In accordance with the medical records, the patients were classified into an AF group and a non-AF group and were scored according to the STAF standard. A combined test method was used to estimate the diagnostic screening value of the STAF combined with the DD value for acute ischemic stroke patients with AF.

Ischemic stroke risk factors not included in the CHADS-VASC score in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

In patients with atrial fibrillation, the CHA2DS2-VASC score guides stroke prevention using anticoagulants, but it is an imperfect score. Other potential risk factors such as renal failure, the type of atrial fibrillation, active smoking, cancer, sleep apnea or systemic inflammation have less well been investigated.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of these factors on ischemic stroke risk in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

On a population of 248 patients (124 patients with acute ischemic stroke and 124 controls), we performed a logistic regression to assess the impact of multiple non-classic risk factors for the prediction of acute ischemic stroke. Their impact on mortality was assessed by performing a survival analysis.

RESULTS

A high CHA2DS2-VASc score (OR 1.75; 95% CI 1.13-2.70; p = 0.032), treatment with anticoagulants (OR 0.19; 95% CI 0.07-0.51; p < 0.001) and permanent atrial fibrillation (OR 6.31; 95% CI 2.46-16.19; p < 0.001) were independently associated with acute ischemic stroke. Renal failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease predicted a higher mortality. After adjusting for age, sex, the CHA2DS2-VASc score and the use of anticoagulants, the only risk factor predictive for acute ischemic stroke was the permanent type of AF (OR: 8.0 [95% CI 2.5-25.5], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The CHA2DS2-VASc score, the absence of anticoagulants and the permanent type of atrial fibrillation were the main predictive factors for the occurrence of acute ischemic stroke. Larger studies are necessary for conclusive results about other factors.

Association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and supraventricular and ventricular tachyarrhythmias in patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Currently, it remains uncertain whether metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is associated with increased risk of supraventricular and ventricular tachyarrhythmias in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

We retrospectively examined the data of 367 ambulatory patients with T2DM who underwent 24-hour Holter monitoring between 2015 and 2022 for clinical indications, and who did not have pre-existing permanent atrial fibrillation (AF), kidney failure or known liver diseases. Paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia (PSVT), paroxysmal AF and episodes of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (i.e., presence of ventricular tachycardia, >30 premature ventricular complexes per hour, or both) were recorded. The presence and severity of MAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonography and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index.

RESULTS

Patients with T2DM who had MAFLD (n = 238) had a significantly greater prevalence of PSVT (51.7% vs. 38.8%), paroxysmal AF (6.3% vs. 1.3%) and combined ventricular tachyarrhythmias (31.9% vs. 20.2%) compared to their counterparts without MAFLD (n = 129). MAFLD was significantly associated with a greater than two-fold risk of having PSVT (adjusted-odds ratio [OR] 2.04, 95% confidence interval 1.04-4.00) or ventricular tachyarrhythmias (adjusted-OR 2.44, 95%CI 1.16-5.11), after adjusting for age, sex, smoking, alcohol intake, diabetes-related factors, comorbidities, medication use and left ventricular ejection fraction on echocardiography. The risk of supraventricular and ventricular tachyarrhythmias was even greater amongst patients with MAFLD and FIB-4 ≥ 1.3.

CONCLUSIONS

In ambulatory patients with T2DM, the presence and severity of MAFLD was strongly associated with an increased risk of supraventricular and ventricular arrhythmias on 24-hour Holter monitoring.

Atrial fibrillation patterns and their cardiovascular risk profiles in the general population: the Rotterdam study

BACKGROUND

Clinical guidelines categorize atrial fibrillation (AF) based on the temporality of AF events. Due to its dependence on event duration, this classification is not applicable to population-based cohort settings. We aimed to develop a simple and standardized method to classify AF patterns at population level. Additionally, we compared the longitudinal trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors preceding the AF patterns, and between men and women.

METHODS

Between 1990 and 2014, participants from the population-based Rotterdam study were followed for AF status, and categorized into 'single-documented AF episode', 'multiple-documented AF episodes', or 'long-standing persistent AF'. Using repeated measurements we created linear mixed-effects models to assess the longitudinal evolution of risk factors prior to AF diagnosis.

RESULTS

We included 14,061 participants (59.1% women, mean age 65.4 ± 10.2 years). After a median follow-up of 9.4 years (interquartile range 8.27), 1,137 (8.1%) participants were categorized as 'single-documented AF episode', 208 (1.5%) as 'multiple-documented AF episodes', and 57 (0.4%) as 'long-standing persistent AF'. In men, we found poorer trajectories of weight and waist circumference preceding 'long-standing persistent AF' as compared to the other patterns. In women, we found worse trajectories of all risk factors between 'long-standing persistent AF' and the other patterns.

CONCLUSION

We developed a standardized method to classify AF patterns in the general population. Participants categorized as 'long-standing persistent AF' showed poorer trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors prior to AF diagnosis, as compared to the other patterns. Our findings highlight sex differences in AF pathophysiology and provide insight into possible risk factors of AF patterns.

Clinical and health economic evaluation of a post-stroke arrhythmia monitoring service

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of recurrent stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA) in the UK. As many patients can have asymptomatic paroxysmal AF, prolonged arrhythmia monitoring is advised in selected patients following a stroke or TIA. This service evaluation assessed the clinical and potential health economic impact of prolonged arrhythmia monitoring post-stroke using R-TEST monitoring devices. This was a prospective, case-controlled, service evaluation in a single health board in the North of Scotland. Patients were included if they had a recent stroke or TIA, were in sinus rhythm, and did not have another indication for, or contraindication to, oral anticoagulation. A health economic model was developed to estimate the clinical and economic value delivered by the R-TEST monitoring. Approval to use anonymised patient data in this service evaluation was obtained. During the evaluation period, 100 consecutive patients were included. The average age was 70 ± 11 years, 46% were female. Stroke was the presenting complaint in 83% of patients with the other 17% having had a TIA. AF was detected in seven of 83 (8.4%) patients who had had a stroke and one of 17 (5.9%) patients with a TIA. Health economic modelling predicted that adoption of R-TEST monitoring has a high probability of demonstrating both clinical and economic benefits. In conclusion, developing a post-stroke arrhythmia monitoring service using R-TEST devices is feasible, effective at detecting AF, and represents a probable clinical and economic benefit.

Relationship between temporal rhythm-based classification of atrial fibrillation and stroke: real-world vs. clinical trial

Background

The risk of stroke according to clinical classification of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains poorly defined. Here, we assessed the impact of AF type on stroke risk in vitamin K antagonist-treated patients with AF in ‘real-world’ and ‘clinical trial’ cohorts.

Methods

Post-hoc analysis of patient-level data from the Murcia AF Project and AMADEUS trial. Clinical classification of AF was based on contemporary recommendations from international guidelines. Study endpoint was the incidence rate of ischaemic stroke. Stroke risk was determined using CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and CARS. A modified CHA₂DS₂-VAS‘c’ score that applied one additional point for a ‘c’ criterion of continuous AF (i.e. non-paroxysmal AF) was calculated.

Results

We included 5,917 patients: 1,361 (23.0%) real-world and 4,556 (77.0%) clinical trial. Baseline demographics were balanced in the real-world cohort but clinical trial participants with non-pAF (vs. pAF) were older, male-predominant and had more comorbidities. Crude stroke rates were comparable between the groups in real-world patients (IRR 0.72 [95% CI,0.37-1.28], p = 0.259) though clinical trial participants with non-pAF had a significantly higher crude rate of stroke events (IRR 4.66 [95%,CI,2.41-9.48], p < 0.001). Using multivariable analysis, AF type was not independently associated with stroke risk in the real-world (adjusted HR 1.41 [95% CI,0.80-2.50], p = 0.239) and clinical trial (adjusted HR 1.16 [95% CI,0.62-2.20], p = 0.646) cohorts, after accounting for other risk factors. There was no significant improvement in the CHA₂DS₂-VAS‘c’ compared to CHA₂DS₂-VASc score in either cohorts (p > 0.05).

Conclusions

Overall, our results support the need for anticoagulation based on thromboembolic risk profile rather than AF type.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11239-022-02638-0.

Refinement of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores predict left atrial thrombus or spontaneous echo contrast in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients

Objective

To investigate the risk factors of left atrial thrombus (LAT)/spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

This retrospective study analysed the data from consecutive patients with nonvalvular AF that underwent transoesophageal echocardiography. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors of LAT/SEC. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was undertaken compare the new scales with CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Results

A total of 558 patients with AF were included in the study. LAT/SEC was detected in 137 (24.6%) patients. The independent risk factors of LAT/SEC beyond CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scores included non-paroxysmal AF and left atrial diameter >37.5 mm. These two variables were added into the CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc score to build new scales. Areas under the curve for the new scales based on CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significantly higher than the CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc score both in the overall study cohort and in patients at a high risk of thromboembolism.

Conclusions

Non-paroxysmal AF and increased left atrial diameter beyond the CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc score were independent risk factors of LAT/SEC and may help to improve the current risk stratification, especially for patients with nonvalvular AF at a high risk of thromboembolism.

The risk of stroke after acute myocardial infarction in patients with and without atrial fibrillation: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are risk factors for stroke. The risk of stroke after AMI may differ between patients with and without AF. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of AF on stroke in patients after the first AMI.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, nationwide cohort study. Patients with a primary diagnosis of a first AMI between 2000 and 2012 were included. All patients were followed up until ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), or December 31, 2012, whichever occurred first. Kaplan-Meier cumulative survival curves were constructed to compare ischemic stroke or TIA between AMI patients with and without AF.

RESULTS

A total of 170 472 patients were enrolled in this study. Among them, 8530 patients with AF were identified. The propensity score matching technique was used to match 8530 patients without AF of similar ages and sexes. Overall, the 12-year stroke rate was significantly higher in patients with AF than in those without AF (log-rank p < 0.001), including different sexes, ages, and interventional therapy subgroups. Patients with pre-existing AF had higher stroke rates than those with newly diagnosed AF in male sex, age below 65 years, and those receiving interventional therapy subgroups. In Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis, AF was an independent risk factor for stroke after the first AMI (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% CI: 1.5-1.87).

CONCLUSION

AF significantly increases stroke risk after the first AMI. In patients with AF, those with pre-existing AF have higher stroke risks in male sex, age below 65 years, and those with interventional therapy than those with newly diagnosed AF.

Mortality risk and temporal patterns of atrial fibrillation in the nationwide registry

AIMS

Persistent and permanent atrial fibrillation (AF) often occurs in the presence of multiple comorbidities and is linked to adverse outcomes. It is unclear whether the sustained pattern of AF itself is prognostic or if it is confounded by underlying comorbidities. Here, we tested the association between the temporal patterns of AF and the risks of ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a prospective multicenter cohort, 3046 non-valvular AF patients were consecutively enrolled and followed for adverse outcomes of all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke. The risks of both outcomes were adjusted for underlying comorbidities, and compared between the patterns of AF. At baseline, the patients were classified as paroxysmal (N = 963, 31.6%), persistent (N = 604, 19.8%), and permanent AF (N = 1479, 45.6%) according to the standard definition. Anticoagulants were administered in 75% of all patients and 83% of those with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 in males or ≥3 in females. During a mean follow up of 26 (SD 10.5) months, all-cause mortality occurred less in paroxysmal AF (2.5 per 100 patient-years) than in persistent AF (4.4 per 100 patient-years; adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% CI, 0.46-0.96; P = .029) and permanent AF (4.1 per 100 patient-years; adjusted HR 0.71, 95% CI, 0.52-0.98; P = .036). The risk of ischemic stroke was similar across all patterns of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter cohort of AF patients, persistent and permanent AF was associated with higher all-cause mortality than paroxysmal AF, independent of baseline comorbidities.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Thai Clinical Trial Registration; Study ID: TCTR20160113002 (http://www.thaiclinicaltrials.org/show/TCTR20160113002).

Automatic Mobile Health Arrhythmia Monitoring for the Detection of Atrial Fibrillation: Prospective Feasibility, Accuracy, and User Experience Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common tachyarrhythmia and associated with a risk of stroke. The detection and diagnosis of AF represent a major clinical challenge due to AF’s asymptomatic and intermittent nature. Novel consumer-grade mobile health (mHealth) products with automatic arrhythmia detection could be an option for long-term electrocardiogram (ECG)-based rhythm monitoring and AF detection.

Objective

We evaluated the feasibility and accuracy of a wearable automated mHealth arrhythmia monitoring system, including a consumer-grade, single-lead heart rate belt ECG device (heart belt), a mobile phone application, and a cloud service with an artificial intelligence (AI) arrhythmia detection algorithm for AF detection. The specific aim of this proof-of-concept study was to test the feasibility of the entire sequence of operations from ECG recording to AI arrhythmia analysis and ultimately to final AF detection.

Methods

Patients (n=159) with an AF (n=73) or sinus rhythm (n=86) were recruited from the emergency department. A single-lead heart belt ECG was recorded for 24 hours. Simultaneously registered 3-lead ECGs (Holter) served as the gold standard for the final rhythm diagnostics and as a reference device in a user experience survey with patients over 65 years of age (high-risk group).

Results

The heart belt provided a high-quality ECG recording for visual interpretation resulting in 100% accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of AF detection. The accuracy of AF detection with the automatic AI arrhythmia detection from the heart belt ECG recording was also high (97.5%), and the sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 95.4%, respectively. The correlation between the automatic estimated AF burden and the true AF burden from Holter recording was >0.99 with a mean burden error of 0.05 (SD 0.26) hours. The heart belt demonstrated good user experience and did not significantly interfere with the patient’s daily activities. The patients preferred the heart belt over Holter ECG for rhythm monitoring (85/110, 77% heart belt vs 77/109, 71% Holter, P=.049).

Conclusions

A consumer-grade, single-lead ECG heart belt provided good-quality ECG for rhythm diagnosis. The mHealth arrhythmia monitoring system, consisting of heart-belt ECG, a mobile phone application, and an automated AF detection achieved AF detection with high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. In addition, the mHealth arrhythmia monitoring system showed good user experience.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03507335; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03507335

Impact of the Pattern of Atrial Fibrillation on Stroke Risk and Mortality

Thromboembolism is the most serious complication of AF, and oral anticoagulation is the mainstay therapy. Current guidelines place all AF types together in terms of anticoagulation with the major determinants being associated comorbidities translated into risk marker. Among patients in large clinical trials, those with non-paroxysmal AF appear to be at higher risk of stroke than those with paroxysmal AF. Higher complexity of the AF pattern is also associated with higher risk of mortality. Moreover, continuous monitoring of AF through cardiac implantable devices provided us with the concept of ‘AF burden’. Usually, the larger the AF burden, the higher the risk of stroke; however, the relationship is not well characterised with respect to the threshold value above which the risk increases. The picture is more complex than it appears: AF and underlying disorders must act synergically respecting the magnitude of its own characteristics, which are the amount of time a patient stays in AF and the severity of associated comorbidities.

The association between patterns of atrial fibrillation, anticoagulation, and cardiovascular events

AIMS

Guidelines do not recommend to take pattern of atrial fibrillation (AF) into account for the indication of anticoagulation (AC). We assessed AF pattern and the risk of cardiovascular events during 2-years of follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We categorized AF as paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent in 29 181 patients enrolled (2010-15) in the Global Anticoagulant Registry In the FIELD of AF (GARFIELD-AF). We used multivariable Cox regression to assess the risks of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and death across patterns of AF, and whether this changed with AC on outcomes. Atrial fibrillation pattern was paroxysmal in 14 344 (49.2%), persistent in 8064 (27.6%), and permanent 6773 (23.2%) patients. Median CHA2DS2-VASc, GARFIELD-AF, and HAS-BLED scores assessing the risk of stroke/SE and/or bleeding were similar across AF patterns, but the risk of death, as assessed by the GARFIELD-AF risk calculator, was higher in non-paroxysmal than in paroxysmal AF patterns. During 2-year follow-up, after adjustment, non-paroxysmal AF patterns were associated with significantly higher rates of all-cause death, stroke/SE, and new/worsening congestive heart failure (CHF) than paroxysmal AF in non-anticoagulated patients only. In anticoagulated patients, a significantly higher risk of death but not of stroke/SE and new/worsening CHF persisted in non-paroxysmal compared with paroxysmal AF patterns.

CONCLUSION

In non-anticoagulated patients, non-paroxysmal AF patterns were associated with higher risks of stroke/SE, new/worsening HF and death than paroxysmal AF. In anticoagulated patients, the risk of stroke/SE and new/worsening HF was similar across all AF patterns. Thus AF pattern is no longer prognostic for stroke/SE when patients are treated with anticoagulants.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01090362.

World Heart Federation Roadmap on Atrial Fibrillation - A 2020 Update

The World Heart Federation (WHF) commenced a Roadmap initiative in 2015 to reduce the global burden of cardiovascular disease and resultant burgeoning of healthcare costs. Roadmaps provide a blueprint for implementation of priority solutions for the principal cardiovascular diseases leading to death and disability. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of these conditions and is an increasing problem due to ageing of the world’s population and an increase in cardiovascular risk factors that predispose to AF. The goal of the AF roadmap was to provide guidance on priority interventions that are feasible in multiple countries, and to identify roadblocks and potential strategies to overcome them.

Since publication of the AF Roadmap in 2017, there have been many technological advances including devices and artificial intelligence for identification and prediction of unknown AF, better methods to achieve rhythm control, and widespread uptake of smartphones and apps that could facilitate new approaches to healthcare delivery and increasing community AF awareness. In addition, the World Health Organisation added the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) to the Essential Medicines List, making it possible to increase advocacy for their widespread adoption as therapy to prevent stroke. These advances motivated the WHF to commission a 2020 AF Roadmap update. Three years after the original Roadmap publication, the identified barriers and solutions were judged still relevant, and progress has been slow.

This 2020 Roadmap update reviews the significant changes since 2017 and identifies priority areas for achieving the goals of reducing death and disability related to AF, particularly targeted at low-middle income countries. These include advocacy to increase appreciation of the scope of the problem; plugging gaps in guideline management and prevention through physician education, increasing patient health literacy, and novel ways to increase access to integrated healthcare including mHealth and digital transformations; and greater emphasis on achieving practical solutions to national and regional entrenched barriers. Despite the advances reviewed in this update, the task will not be easy, but the health rewards of implementing solutions that are both innovative and practical will be great.

Prediction of Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation From Complexity Analysis of the Sinus Rhythm ECG: A Retrospective Case/Control Pilot Study

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, conveying a stroke risk comparable to persistent AF. It poses a significant diagnostic challenge given its intermittency and potential brevity, and absence of symptoms in most patients. This pilot study introduces a novel biomarker for early PAF detection, based upon analysis of sinus rhythm ECG waveform complexity. Sinus rhythm ECG recordings were made from 52 patients with (n = 28) or without (n = 24) a subsequent diagnosis of PAF. Subjects used a handheld ECG monitor to record 28-second periods, twice-daily for at least 3 weeks. Two independent ECG complexity indices were calculated using a Lempel-Ziv algorithm: R-wave interval variability (beat detection, BD) and complexity of the entire ECG waveform (threshold crossing, TC). TC, but not BD, complexity scores were significantly greater in PAF patients, but TC complexity alone did not identify satisfactorily individual PAF cases. However, a composite complexity score (h-score) based on within-patient BD and TC variability scores was devised. The h-score allowed correct identification of PAF patients with 85% sensitivity and 83% specificity. This powerful but simple approach to identify PAF sufferers from analysis of brief periods of sinus-rhythm ECGs using hand-held monitors should enable easy and low-cost screening for PAF with the potential to reduce stroke occurrence.

The relationship of the serum endocan level with the CHA2DS2-VASc score in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Background

In this study considering the relationship between serum endocan and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, we assumed that endocan level could be a new biomarker for stroke risk in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). It was examined that endocan could be an alternative to determine the risk of stroke and anticoagulation strategy in patients with PAF. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores were calculated for 192 patients with PAF, and their serum endocan levels were measured. The patients were divided into two groups as those with low to moderate (0-1) and those with high (≥ 2) CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores, and the endocan levels were compared between these two groups.

Results

The serum endocan level was significantly higher in the high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score group (p < 0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, endocan, C-reactive protein, and low-density lipoprotein were found to be independent determinants of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. The predictive value of endocan was analyzed using the ROC curve analysis, which revealed that endocan predicted a high stroke risk (CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥ 2) at 82.5% sensitivity and 71.2% specificity at the cutoff value of 1.342.

Conclusion

This study indicates that endocan is significantly associated with CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. We demonstrated that endocan could be a new biomarker for the prediction of a high stroke risk among patients diagnosed with PAF.

The 2020 Canadian Cardiovascular Society/Canadian Heart Rhythm Society Comprehensive Guidelines for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation

The Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) atrial fibrillation (AF) guidelines program was developed to aid clinicians in the management of these complex patients, as well as to provide direction to policy makers and health care systems regarding related issues. The most recent comprehensive CCS AF guidelines update was published in 2010. Since then, periodic updates were published dealing with rapidly changing areas. However, since 2010 a large number of developments had accumulated in a wide range of areas, motivating the committee to complete a thorough guideline review. The 2020 iteration of the CCS AF guidelines represents a comprehensive renewal that integrates, updates, and replaces the past decade of guidelines, recommendations, and practical tips. It is intended to be used by practicing clinicians across all disciplines who care for patients with AF. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) system was used to evaluate recommendation strength and the quality of evidence. Areas of focus include: AF classification and definitions, epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical evaluation, screening and opportunistic AF detection, detection and management of modifiable risk factors, integrated approach to AF management, stroke prevention, arrhythmia management, sex differences, and AF in special populations. Extensive use is made of tables and figures to synthesize important material and present key concepts. This document should be an important aid for knowledge translation and a tool to help improve clinical management of this important and challenging arrhythmia.

Prevalence and risk factors of silent brain infarcts in patients with AF detected by 3T-MRI

BACKGROUND

Silent brain infarcts (SBI), a finding on neuroimaging, are associated with higher risk of future stroke. Atrial Fibrillation (AF) has been previously identified as a cause of SBI.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study is to determine the prevalence of and risk factors for SBI in patients with AF and low-to-moderate embolic risk according to CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂VASc score.

METHODS

Patients with a history of AF based on medical records who scored 0-1 in the CHADS₂ score were selected from the Seville urban area using the Andalusian electronic healthcare database (DIRAYA). Demographic and clinical data were collected and a 3T brain MRI was performed on patients older than 50 years and with absence of neurological symptoms.

RESULTS

66 of the initial 443 patients (14.9%) and 41 of the 349 patients with low risk according to CHA₂DS₂VASc score (11.7%) presented at least 1 SBI. After adjusted multivariable analysis, an older age (OR 3.84, 95% CI 1.07-13.76) and left atrial (LA) enlargement (OR 3.13, 95% CI 1.15-8.55) were associated with SBI in the whole cohort, while only LA enlargement was associated with SBI in the low-risk cohort (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.33-7.63).

CONCLUSIONS

LA enlargement on echocardiogram was associated with SBI in patients with AF and low or moderate embolic risk according to CHADS₂ and in the low-risk population according to CHA₂DS₂VASc. Although further studies are needed, a neuroimaging screening might be justified in these patients to guide medical therapies to improve stroke prevention.

The difference of burden of ectopic beats in different types of atrial fibrillation and the effect of atrial fibrillation type on stroke risk in a prospective cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation (CODE-AF registry)

The relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) type and stroke risk is still controversial. We investigated the difference of burden of atrial ectopic beats in different types of AF and the effect of the AF type on stroke risk in patients with non-valvular AF. In the prospective, multicenter observational registry with more than about 10,000 AF patients, 8883 non-valvular AF patients (mean age, 67.0 years; 36% were women) with eligible follow-up visits participated. We compared the burden of ectopic beats and stroke risk between patients with paroxysmal AF (n = 5,808) and non-paroxysmal AF (n = 3,075). The patients with a non-paroxysmal type of AF were older, male-predominant and had a higher prevalence of comorbidities and had more anticoagulation and rhythm control treatment than those with paroxysmal AF. In terms of the difference in burden of ectopic beats, patients with non-paroxysmal AF had a higher proportion of atrial premature beats (APBs) (paroxysmal vs. non-paroxysmal, median 3% vs. 5%; p = 0.001) in 24 hours Holter monitoring. During a median follow-up period of 16.8 months (Interquartile range [IQR], 11.67–20.52), a total of 82 (0.92%) patients experienced ischemic stroke with incidence rates of 0.50 and 1.09 events per 100 person-year for paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal AF, respectively. The cumulative incidence of stroke events was significantly higher in non-paroxysmal AF than in paroxysmal AF (p < 0.001). The risk of ischemic stroke was higher in non-paroxysmal AF with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33–3.25; p = 0.001) than in paroxysmal AF. The type of AF was associated with an increased risk of stroke, along with the difference of burden of ectopic beats (specially in APBs) in different types of AF. These results suggest that the type of AF should be considered in stroke prevention and decision-making for oral anticoagulation in AF patients.

Knowledge, attitude, and practice regarding atrial fibrillation among neurologists in central China: A cross-sectional study

Background

Physicians' knowledge and practice of atrial fibrillation (AF) are determinants of the efficacy of thromboprophylaxis.

Hypothesis

This study aimed to investigate physicians' knowledge, attitude, and practice toward AF, to analyze the influencing factors, and to provide data to support departments that develop health policies.

Methods

A cross‐sectional study was carried out from October 1, 2016, to March 31, 2018. A standard‐structured anonymous questionnaire was completed by each participant through face‐to‐face interviews.

Results

A total of 611 doctors from 38 hospitals were responded to this survey. The mean of the total score of the questionnaire was 21.59 ± 3.559 (total score of the questionnaire was 36), and the mean scores of knowledge, attitude, and practice were 6.86 ± 1.70, 6.13 ± 1.35, and 8.59 ± 2.21, respectively. The doctor' s knowledge, practice scores, and total scores were positively correlated with the education level and the workplace. The influencing factors that affect doctors' knowledge, attitudes, and practice scores including education level, professional title, working years, hospital grade, and hospital location.

Conclusions

There was still a big gap in neurologists' knowledge and practice about AF. It is necessary to strengthen the continuous improvement of doctor training to improve the management of AF.

Thromboembolic risks associated with paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation in Asian patients: a report from the Chinese atrial fibrillation registry

Background

Several studies have reported on atrial fibrillation (AF) outcomes, including thromboembolism in patients with paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal AF; however the findings still remain controversial on whether risks differ between these clinical subtypes and limited data are available in Asian cohorts.

Methods

We compared the risk of thromboembolism between paroxysmal and persistent AF patients, in a large contemporary Chinese cohort study. A total of 8529 non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry (CAFR) study were enrolled. The study subjects were divided into two groups: paroxysmal AF (PaAF, defined as AF lasting within 7 days, n = 4642) and persistent AF (PeAF, lasting over 7 days, n = 3887) groups.

Results

In non-anticoagulated patients, PeAF group demonstrated a higher risk of stroke, all-cause death, cardiac/ non-cardiac death and composition of stroke/ transient ischemic attack (TIA)/peripheral thromboembolism (PT)/all-cause death, compared to the PaAF group. No significant difference was found in anticoagulated subjects. On multivariate analysis in non-anticoagulated patients, age ≥ 75 years (P = 0.046) and prior stroke/TIA/PT (P = 0.018) but not AF type (P = 0.63) were significantly associated with the risk of stroke/TIA/PT events.

Conclusions

Stroke, all-cause death and cardiac/non-cardiac death in Chinese NVAF population was increased in non-anticoagulated PeAF patients compared with PaAF group, but same between anticoagulated PeAF and PaAF patients. After adjustment, AF type was not an independent predictor of thromboembolism in NVAF patients.

Clinical trial registration

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ChiCTR-OCH-13003729. Registered 22 October 2013.

Early recurrence in paroxysmal versus sustained atrial fibrillation in patients with acute ischaemic stroke

Background

The relationship between different patterns of atrial fibrillation and early recurrence after an acute ischaemic stroke is unclear.

Purpose

In a prospective cohort study, we evaluated the rates of early ischaemic recurrence after an acute ischaemic stroke in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or sustained atrial fibrillation which included persistent and permanent atrial fibrillation.

Methods

In patients with acute ischaemic stroke, atrial fibrillation was categorised as paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or sustained atrial fibrillation. Ischaemic recurrences were the composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack and symptomatic systemic embolism occurring within 90 days from acute index stroke.

Results

A total of 2150 patients (1155 females, 53.7%) were enrolled: 930 (43.3%) had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and 1220 (56.7%) sustained atrial fibrillation. During the 90-day follow-up, 111 ischaemic recurrences were observed in 107 patients: 31 in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (3.3%) and 76 with sustained atrial fibrillation (6.2%) (hazard ratio (HR) 1.86 (95% CI 1.24-2.81)). Patients with sustained atrial fibrillation were on average older, more likely to have diabetes mellitus, hypertension, history of stroke/ transient ischaemic attack, congestive heart failure, atrial enlargement, high baseline NIHSS-score and implanted pacemaker. After adjustment by Cox proportional hazard model, sustained atrial fibrillation was not associated with early ischaemic recurrences (adjusted HR 1.23 (95% CI 0.74-2.04)).

Conclusions

After acute ischaemic stroke, patients with sustained atrial fibrillation had a higher rate of early ischaemic recurrence than patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. After adjustment for relevant risk factors, sustained atrial fibrillation was not associated with a significantly higher risk of recurrence, thus suggesting that the risk profile associated with atrial fibrillation, rather than its pattern, is determinant for recurrence.

Management of asymptomatic arrhythmias: a European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) consensus document, endorsed by the Heart Failure Association (HFA), Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), Cardiac Arrhythmia Society of Southern Africa (CASSA), and Latin America Heart Rhythm Society (LAHRS)

Asymptomatic arrhythmias are frequently encountered in clinical practice. Although studies specifically dedicated to these asymptomatic arrhythmias are lacking, many arrhythmias still require proper diagnostic and prognostic evaluation and treatment to avoid severe consequences, such as stroke or systemic emboli, heart failure, or sudden cardiac death. The present document reviews the evidence, where available, and attempts to reach a consensus, where evidence is insufficient or conflicting.

Meta-analysis of Stroke and Bleeding Risk in Patients with Various Atrial Fibrillation Patterns Receiving Oral Anticoagulants

Oral anticoagulation therapy (OAT) is a mainstay for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. However, whether the risks of stroke/systemic embolic events (SEE) and bleeding events are affected by the type, duration, and frequency of AF in patients receiving OAT has been previously debated. We aimed to determine the risk of stroke/SEE and bleeding events associated with paroxysmal AF compared to persistent or permanent AF among patients who received OAT. Comprehensive literature searches of the Cochrane Library, PubMed/MEDLINE, and EMBASE databases were conducted from inception to July 2018. In total, 495 records were retrieved, of which 6 phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) focusing on the efficacy and safety of OAT in AF patients were ultimately evaluated and included. Among 70,447 AF patients, 15,028 (21.3%) patients had paroxysmal and 55,419 (78.7%) had persistent or permanent AF. Compared to persistent or permanent AF, the incidence of stroke/SEE was lower in paroxysmal AF patients (risk ratio [RR] 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71 to 0.88, P <0.00001, I² = 0%). Overall, all-cause mortality was also lower in paroxysmal AF than in persistent or permanent AF patients (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.79, P <0.00001, I² =0%). Annualized major bleeding rates were similar across AF types (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.17, P = 0.22, I ²= 35%). In conclusion, in patients with moderate-to-high risk of stroke receiving anticoagulation, those with paroxysmal AF have a lower risk of stroke, systemic embolism, and mortality but similar risk of major hemorrhage compared to persistent or permanent AF patients.

Lifetime Pattern of Atrial Fibrillation and the Risks of Stroke and Death in a Population-based Cohort of Men (from The Manitoba Follow-Up Study)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with stroke and mortality. The arrhythmia can be sustained or intermittent. Previous studies that have used fixed covariates and short-time horizons to examine the relation between the pattern of AF and the occurrence of events have produced conflicting results. The Manitoba Follow-Up Study includes 3,983 originally healthy men who have been followed with routine examinations since 1948. AF status during each visit was classified into the following patterns: free of AF, newly diagnosed; intermittent AF-in sinus;intermittent AF-in AF; sustained AF. We created adjusted Cox proportional hazards models with time-dependent covariates to estimate risks for stroke and death according to AF pattern. After 167,982 person-years of follow-up and 66,297 electrocardiograms (ECGs), 548 men had at least 1 ECG documenting AF, 799 had a stroke, and 3173 died. Relative to men free of AF, sustained and newly diagnosed AF were associated with stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 1.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33 to 2.59 and HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.66, respectively) and death (HR 2.48, 95% CI 2.11 to 2.92 and HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.52, respectively). Intermittent AF was associated with death (HR 2.41 95% CI 1.58 to 3.68 in AF and HR 1.71 95% CI 1.44 to 2.03 in sinus), but not with stroke (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.22 to 2.13 in AF and HR 1.02 95% CI 0.72 to 1.45 in sinus). Antithrombotic therapy was associated with a reduced risk of the outcomes. In conclusion, longitudinal analysis of patterns of AF evolving over time provided evidence that the associated risks of stroke and death vary considerably with rhythm classification on serial ECGs.

Mechanisms and Drug Development in Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation is a highly prevalent cardiac arrhythmia and the most important cause of embolic stroke. Although genetic studies have identified an increasing assembly of AF-related genes, the impact of these genetic discoveries is yet to be realized. In addition, despite more than a century of research and speculation, the molecular and cellular mechanisms underlying AF have not been established, and therapy for AF, particularly persistent AF, remains suboptimal. Current antiarrhythmic drugs are associated with a significant rate of adverse events, particularly proarrhythmia, which may explain why many highly symptomatic AF patients are not receiving any rhythm control therapy. This review focuses on recent advances in AF research, including its epidemiology, genetics, and pathophysiological mechanisms. We then discuss the status of antiarrhythmic drug therapy for AF today, reviewing molecular mechanisms, and the possible clinical use of some of the new atrial-selective antifibrillatory agents, as well as drugs that target atrial remodeling, inflammation and fibrosis, which are being tested as upstream therapies to prevent AF perpetuation. Altogether, the objective is to highlight the magnitude and endemic dimension of AF, which requires a significant effort to develop new and effective antiarrhythmic drugs, but also improve AF prevention and treatment of risk factors that are associated with AF complications.

Sustained atrial fibrillation increases the risk of anticoagulation-related bleeding in heart failure

BACKGROUND

Oral anticoagulation therapy in individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF) reduces the risk of thromboembolic events at cost of an increased bleeding risk. Whether anticoagulation-related outcomes differ between patients with paroxysmal and sustained AF receiving anticoagulation is controversially discussed.

METHODS

In the present analysis of the prospective multi-center cohort study thrombEVAL, the incidence of anticoagulation-related adverse events was analyzed according to the AF phenotype. Information on outcome was centrally recorded over 3 years, validated via medical records and adjudicated by an independent review panel. Study monitoring was provided by an independent institution.

RESULTS

Overall, the sample comprised 1089 AF individuals, of whom n = 398 had paroxysmal AF and n = 691 experienced sustained AF. In Cox regression analysis with adjustment for potential confounders, sustained AF indicated an independently elevated risk of clinically relevant bleeding compared to paroxysmal AF [hazard ratio (HR) 1.40 (1.02; 1.93); P = 0.038]. For clinically relevant bleeding, a significant interaction of the pattern of AF type with concomitant heart failure (HF) was detected: HR_HF 2.45 (1.51, 3.98) vs. HR_{no HF} 0.85 (0.55, 1.34); P_interaction = 0.003. In HF patients, sustained AF indicated also an elevated risk of major bleeding [HR 2.25 (1.26, 4.20); P = 0.006]. A simplified HAS-BLED score incorporating only information on age (> 65 years), bleeding history, and HF with sustained AF demonstrated better discriminative performance for clinically relevant bleeding than the original version: AUC_HAS-BLED: 0.583 vs. AUC_{simplifiedHAS-BLED}: 0.642 (P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In HF patients receiving oral anticoagulation, sustained AF indicates a substantially elevated risk of bleeding.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

https://clinicaltrials.gov , identifier: NCT01809015.

Atrial Fibrillation Burden: Moving Beyond Atrial Fibrillation as a Binary Entity: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Our understanding of the risk factors and complications of atrial fibrillation (AF) is based mostly on studies that have evaluated AF in a binary fashion (present or absent) and have not investigated AF burden. This scientific statement discusses the published literature and knowledge gaps related to methods of defining and measuring AF burden, the relationship of AF burden to cardiovascular and neurological outcomes, and the effect of lifestyle and risk factor modification on AF burden. Many studies examine outcomes by AF burden classified by AF type (paroxysmal versus nonparoxysmal); however, quantitatively, AF burden can be defined by longest duration, number of AF episodes during a monitoring period, and the proportion of time an individual is in AF during a monitoring period (expressed as a percentage). Current guidelines make identical recommendations for anticoagulation regardless of AF pattern or burden; however, a review of recent evidence suggests that higher AF burden is associated with higher risk of stroke. It is unclear whether the risk increases continuously or whether a threshold exists; if a threshold exists, it has not been defined. Higher burden of AF is also associated with higher prevalence and incidence of heart failure and higher risk of mortality, but not necessarily lower quality of life. A structured and comprehensive risk factor management program targeting risk factors, weight loss, and maintenance of a healthy weight appears to be effective in reducing AF burden. Despite this growing understanding of AF burden, research is needed into validation of definitions and measures of AF burden, determination of the threshold of AF burden that results in an increased risk of stroke that warrants anticoagulation, and discovery of the mechanisms underlying the weak temporal correlations of AF and stroke. Moreover, developments in monitoring technologies will likely change the landscape of long-term AF monitoring and could allow better definition of the significance of changes in AF burden over time.

Hyperuricemia is associated with an increased prevalence of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in patients with type 2 diabetes referred for clinically indicated 24-h Holter monitoring

PURPOSE

Several studies have reported an association between hyperuricemia and increased risk of permanent atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Currently, no published data are available on the relationship between hyperuricemia and risk of paroxysmal AF.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 245 T2DM outpatients without pre-existing AF, cancer, cirrhosis and end-stage renal disease, who underwent a 24-h ECG-Holter monitoring for various clinical indications. Hyperuricemia was defined as a serum uric acid level >7 mg/dl for men and >6 mg/dl for women or allopurinol use. The diagnosis of paroxysmal AF was confirmed in affected individuals on the basis of 24-h ECG-Holter monitoring by experienced cardiologists.

RESULTS

Hyperuricemia was observed in 59 (24.1%) patients, whereas paroxysmal AF was found in 11 (4.5%) patients. The prevalence of paroxysmal AF was higher in patients with hyperuricemia than in those without hyperuricemia (10.2 vs. 2.7%, p = 0.026). Logistic regression analysis showed that hyperuricemia was associated with an increased risk of prevalent paroxysmal AF. This association remained significant even after adjustment for age, metabolic syndrome and chronic kidney disease (adjusted-odds ratio 4.01, 95% CI 1.08-14.9; p = 0.039). Similar results were found when we used serum uric acid levels as a continuous measure.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows for the first time that hyperuricemia is independently associated with an approximately fourfold increased risk of prevalent paroxysmal AF in patients with T2DM. These findings may partly explain the increased risk of permanent atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular death observed among patients with hyperuricemia.

[The frequency of cerebrovascular disorders in patients with different forms of atrial fibrillation]

AIM

To study the frequency of blood circulation disorders (BCD) in patients with different forms of atrial fibrillation (AF) and its relationship with AF duration and treatment with anticoagulants.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Medical records and medical history of 1626 patients with non-valvural AF were analyzed in Moscow from 2009 to 2015.

RESULTS

Patients with persistent AF were older and had a higher risk of thromboembolic and hemorrhagic complications. In the group of patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF, percentage of patients with BCD (including recurrent ones) was decreased by 13.1 and 28.9% compared to the patients with persistent form. There was no correlation between AF duration and BCD frequency. The frequency of using anticoagulants was 10.8% in outpatients and 42.8% in inpatients. Patients with persistent AF received anticoagulants less frequently than patients with less persistent forms.

CONCLUSION

Persistent AF is associated with the higher risk of BCD. The prevention of BCD in patients with persistent AF was insufficient compared to that in patients with less persistent forms.

ANMCO Position Paper: direct oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation: clinical scenarios and future perspectives

It is now 4 years since the introduction of the new direct oral anticoagulants into clinical practice. Therefore, the Italian Association of Hospital Cardiologists (ANMCO) has deemed necessary to update the previous position paper on the prevention of thrombo-embolic complications in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation, which was published in 2013. All available scientific evidence has been reviewed, focusing on data derived from both clinical trials and observational registries. In addition, all issues relevant to the practical clinical management of oral anticoagulation with the new direct inhibitors have been considered. Specific clinical pathways for optimal use of oral anticoagulation with the new directly acting agents are also developed and proposed for clinical implementation. Special attention is finally paid to the development of clinical algorithms for medium and long-term follow-up of patients treated with new oral direct anticoagulants.

Wide Variation in Reported Rates of Stroke Across Cohorts of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Background:

Oral anticoagulants decrease ischemic stroke rates in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) but increase the risk of bleeding. For the average patient with AF, the threshold of annual ischemic stroke rate where the benefit of anticoagulation outweighs the bleeding risk (net clinical benefit) has been shown to be ≈1% to 2%. Guideline recommendations for oral anticoagulants in AF are based on the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc stroke risk point scores, assuming that those scores translate to fixed stroke rates. However, the relationship between stroke point scores and annual stroke rates may vary substantially across populations. We sought to comprehensively assess the reported rates of stroke in patients with AF and the relationship of stroke rates to stroke risk point scores.

Methods:

A systematic review of cohort studies and randomized controlled trials enrolled patients with nonvalvular AF not treated with oral anticoagulants.

Results:

Of the 3552 studies screened, we identified 34 studies eligible for analysis. Overall stroke rates in cohort studies were highly heterogeneous (Q=5706.54, P <0.001; I 2 = 99.6%) and ranged from 0.45% to 9.28% per year, despite being of similar objective study quality. The mean North American stroke rate was less than one-third that of the mean European stroke rate ( P <0.0001). However, a random effects regression indicated that between-study variability was not significantly accounted for by cohort region, prospective versus retrospective design, calendar year of study, or outcome event cluster. At a CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score of 1, 76% of cohorts reported ischemic stroke rates <1% per year and only 18% of cohorts reported a stroke rate >2% per year. At a CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score of 2, 27% of cohorts reported stroke rates below 1% per year, 40% reported stroke rates between 1 and 2% per year, and 33% reported stroke rates >2% per year.

Conclusions:

Substantial variation exists across cohorts in overall stroke rates and rates corresponding to CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc point scores. These variations can affect the point score threshold for recommending oral anticoagulants in AF. The majority of cohorts did not observe stroke rates that would indicate a clear expected net clinical benefit for anticoagulating AF patients with CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc scores of 1 or 2.

Higher Risk of Ischemic Events in Secondary Prevention for Patients With Persistent Than Those With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Purpose—

The discrimination between paroxysmal and sustained (persistent or permanent) atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been considered in the approach to secondary stroke prevention. We aimed to assess the differences in clinical outcomes between mostly anticoagulated patients with sustained and paroxysmal AF who had previous ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack.

Methods—

Using data from 1192 nonvalvular AF patients with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack who were registered in the SAMURAI-NVAF study (Stroke Management With Urgent Risk-Factor Assessment and Improvement-Nonvalvular AF; a prospective, multicenter, observational study), we divided patients into those with paroxysmal AF and those with sustained AF. We compared clinical outcomes between the 2 groups.

Results—

The median follow-up period was 1.8 (interquartile range, 0.93–2.0) years. Of the 1192 patients, 758 (336 women; 77.9±9.9 years old) and 434 (191 women; 77.3±10.0 years old) were assigned to the sustained AF group and paroxysmal AF groups, respectively. After adjusting for sex, age, previous anticoagulation, and initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, sustained AF was negatively associated with 3-month independence (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.43–0.87; P =0.006). The annual rate of stroke or systemic embolism was 8.3 and 4.6 per 100 person-years, respectively (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.95; 95% confidence interval, 1.26–3.14) and that of major bleeding events was 3.4 and 3.1, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 0.63–2.08).

Conclusions—

Among patients with previous ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, those with sustained AF had a higher risk of stroke or systemic embolism compared with those with paroxysmal AF.

Clinical Trial Registration—

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01581502.

Atrial fibrillation burden and atrial fibrillation type: Clinical significance and impact on the risk of stroke and decision making for long-term anticoagulation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia increasing the risk of morbidity and adverse outcomes (stroke, heart failure, death). AF is found in 1-2% of the general population, with increasing prevalence with aging. Its exact epidemiological profile is incomplete and underestimated, because 10-40% of AF patients (particularly the elderly) can be asymptomatic ("clinically silent or subclinical AF"), with occasional electrocardiographic diagnosis. The research interest on silent AF has increased by the evidence that its outcome is no less severe, in terms of risks of stroke and death, than that for symptomatic patients. Data collected from more than 18,000 patients indicate that cardiac implantable electrical devices (CIEDs) are validated tools for detecting silent AF and measuring the time spent in AF, defined as "AF burden." A maximum daily AF burden of ≥5-6min, but particularly ≥1h, is associated with a significant increase in the risk of stroke, and may be clinically relevant to improve current risk stratification based on risk scores and for "personalizing" prescription of oral anticoagulants. An in-depth study of the temporal relationship between AF and ischemic stroke showed that data from CIEDs reveal a complex scenario, by which AF is certainly a risk factor for cardioembolic stroke, with a cause-effect relationship related to atrial thrombi, but can also be a simple "marker of risk," with a noncausal association with stroke. In such cases, stroke is possibly related to atheroemboli from the aorta, the carotid arteries, or other sources.

Long-term vitamin K antagonists treatment patterns of Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation (NVAF): a population-based cohort study

Background

Recent trends in vitamin K antagonists (VKA) use in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) are useful to evaluate the potential improvement in management of NVAF since the introduction of new oral anticoagulants. Our objective was therefore to describe the contemporary VKA treatment patterns following NVAF diagnosis.

Methods and Results

We used the computerized databases of the Régie de l’assurance maladie du Québec (RAMQ), responsible for administering the universal health care services for all its residents, to identify a population-based cohort of 135,241 patients with an incident diagnosis of NVAF during 2000–2009 and RAMQ medication coverage.

Following NVAF diagnosis, 47.1 % of the patients were prescribed VKA, 35.5 % received an antiplatelet only, and 17.4 % did not initiate antithrombotic therapy. The proportion of patients initiating VKA within 3 months of diagnosis increased from 33 % to 39 % over the 10-year study period, mainly driven by a higher proportion of treated patients aged 80 or more (from 29 % to 41 %). At the end of the study period, women were prescribed VKA as frequently as men, except in the subgroup of patients with a low risk of ischemic stroke. The median time from VKA initiation to the first discontinuation varied greatly according to the definition of discontinuation, ranging from 11 months to 5.7 years.

Conclusion

Although VKA remain underused after NVAF diagnosis, there has been an increase in VKA treatment over the last decade, particularly among older patients. Also the gap in treatment between men and women has been closing within the last decade. Once initiated, most VKA interruptions were temporary rather than definitive.

Atrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in women and men worldwide. During the past century, a range of risk factors has been associated with AF, severe complications from the arrhythmia have been identified, and its prevalence has been increasing steadily. Whereas evidence has accumulated regarding sex-specific differences in coronary heart disease and stroke, the differences between women and men with AF has received less attention. We review the current literature on sex-specific differences in the epidemiology of AF, including incidence, prevalence, risk factors, and genetics, and in the pathophysiology and the clinical presentation and prognosis of patients with this arrhythmia. We highlight current knowledge gaps and areas that warrant future research, which might advance understanding of variation in the risk factors and complications of AF, and ultimately aid more-tailored management of the arrhythmia.

Emerging Tools for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation

Ischaemic strokes resulting from atrial fibrillation (AF) constitute a devastating condition for patients and their carers with huge burden on health care systems. Prophylactic treatment against systemic embolization and ischaemic strokes is the cornerstone for the management of AF. Effective stroke prevention requires the use of the vitamin K antagonists or non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs). This article summarises the latest developments in the field of stroke prevention in AF and aims to assist physicians with the choice of oral anticoagulant for patients with non-valvular AF with different risk factor profile.

'Real-world' management and outcomes of patients with paroxysmal vs. non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in Europe: the EURObservational Research Programme-Atrial Fibrillation (EORP-AF) General Pilot Registry

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has different presentations (first detected, paroxysmal, persistent, permanent), with uncertain impact on outcome. The aim of this study was to investigate clinical presentation, management, and outcome of paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal AFs within the EURObservational Research Programme-Atrial Fibrillation General Pilot Registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Overall 2589 patients with available 1-year follow-up data were evaluated according to AF type. Patients with paroxysmal AF (26.8%) were younger, had lower prevalence of heart disease (particularly valvular), and major co-morbidities, as well as lower CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and HAS-BLED scores. Patients with first-detected AF (29.9%) had characteristics similar to persistent AF patients (25.9%), but lower use of oral anticoagulants. Patients with permanent AF represented 17.4% of the cohort. At 1 year, the rate of stroke/transient ischaemic attack and thromboembolism was low (0.6-1.0%) and did not differ between paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal AFs. All-cause mortality was higher in non-paroxysmal vs. paroxysmal AF (log rank test, P = 0.0018). Using a multivariable Cox model, non-paroxysmal AF was not an independent predictor of death during follow-up. Independent predictors of death were age, chronic heart failure, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, restrictive cardiomyopathy, and physical activity.

CONCLUSION

In this 'real-world' contemporary observational registry, patients with non-paroxysmal AF had a worse outcome, in terms of all-cause mortality, which was related to a more severe clinical profile. The risk of stroke at 1 year was relatively low, perhaps reflecting the high rates of anticoagulation use in this cohort.

Type of Atrial Fibrillation and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

BACKGROUND

There are limited data available regarding the relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) clinical type, oral anticoagulation (OAC) treatment, and clinical outcome after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). The study was designed to evaluate this relationship.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the Rabin Medical Center TAVR registry, including 319 consecutive patients who underwent TAVR from 2008 to 2014. Patients were divided into three groups based on their history of AF: sinus rhythm (SR), paroxysmal AF (PAF), or nonparoxysmal AF (NPAF).

RESULTS

There were 211 (66%), 56 (18%), and 52 (16%) patients in the SR, PAF, and NPAF groups, respectively. The cumulative risk for stroke or death at 2 years was highest among patients with NPAF (38%), but similarly low in PAF (15%) and SR patients (16%, P < 0.001). By multivariate analysis, patients with NPAF demonstrated a significantly higher risk of stroke or death (HR = 2.76, 95% CI 1.63-4.66, P < 0.001), as compared with SR. In contrast, patients with PAF had a similar risk of stroke or death compared with SR (HR = 0.80, P = 0.508). Patients with NPAF not treated with OAC demonstrated an 8.3-fold (P < 0.001) increased risk of stroke or death, whereas patients with PAF not treated with OAC had a similar risk of stroke or death compared with the SR group (HR = 1.25, P = 0.569).

CONCLUSION

History of NPAF, but not PAF, is associated with a significant increased risk of stroke or death compared with sinus rhythm in patients undergoing TAVR.

Stroke Event Rates and the Optimal Antithrombotic Choice of Patients With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

The risks of stroke or systemic embolism and major bleeding are considered similar between paroxysmal and sustained atrial fibrillation (AF), and warfarin has demonstrated superior efficacy to aspirin, irrespective of the AF type. However, with the advent of novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and antiplatelet agents, the optimal antithrombotic prophylaxis for paroxysmal AF remains unclear.We searched Medline, Embase, CENTRAL, and China Biology Medicine up to October week 1, 2015. Randomized controlled trials of AF patients assigned to NOACs, warfarin, or antiplatelets, with reports of outcomes stratified by the AF type, were included. A fixed-effects model was used if no statistically significant heterogeneity was indicated; otherwise, a random-effects model was used.Six studies of 69,990 nonvalvular AF patients with ≥1 risk factor for stroke were included. Postantithrombotic treatment, paroxysmal AF patients showed lower risks of stroke (risk ratio [RR], 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.87), stroke or systemic embolism (RR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.63-0.86), and all-cause mortality (RR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.67-0.83), while the major bleeding risk was comparable (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.85-1.08). We were unable to detect the superiority of anticoagulation over antiplatelets for paroxysmal AF (RR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.43-1.23), while it was more effective than antiplatelets for sustained AF (RR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.33-0.54). NOACs showed superior efficacy over warfarin and trended to show reduced major bleeding irrespective of the AF type.The AF type is a predictor for thromboembolism, and might be helpful in stroke risk stratification model in combination with other risk factors. With the appearance of novel anticoagulant and antiplatelet agents, the best antithrombotic choice for paroxysmal AF needs further exploration.

Incidence of Stroke or Systemic Embolism in Paroxysmal Versus Sustained Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Purpose—

There is controversy on the relationship of the type of atrial fibrillation (AF) to stroke. Although several studies show that patients with paroxysmal AF (PAF) have a stroke risk similar to those with persistent or permanent AF, recent studies suggest that PAF is associated with a lower rate of stroke. Limited data on stroke risk associated with PAF are evident in Asian populations.

Methods—

The Registry Study of Atrial Fibrillation Patients in Fushimi-ku (Fushimi AF Registry) is a community-based survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Patients were categorized into 2 types of AF: PAF or sustained (persistent or permanent) AF. We compared clinical events between PAF (n=1588) and sustained AF (n=1716).

Results—

Patients with PAF were younger, had less comorbidities, and received oral anticoagulants (OAC) less commonly. A lower risk of stroke/systemic embolism during follow-up period in the patients with PAF was consistently observed (non-OAC users: hazard ratio, 0.45; 95% confidence intervals, 0.27–0.75; P <0.01 and OAC users: hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.35–0.93; P =0.03). The composite end point of stroke/systemic embolism/all-cause mortality was also lower in PAF, whether among OAC users (hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.59–0.99; P =0.046) or non-OAC users (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.46–0.75; P <0.01). On multivariate analysis, PAF was an independent predictor of lower stroke/systemic embolism risk.

Conclusions—

In this large cohort of Japanese patients with AF, PAF was independently associated with lower incidence of stroke/systemic embolism than sustained AF. This may aid decision making for anticoagulation, especially in those patients with AF with few stroke risk factors.

Clinical Trial Registration—

URL: http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm . Unique identifier: UMIN000005834.