Hospital-associated disability and hospitalization costs for acute heart failure stratified by body mass index- insight from the JROAD/JROAD-DPC database

Machine Learning for Predicting Postoperative Functional Disability and Mortality Among Older Patients With Cancer: Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

The global cancer burden is rapidly increasing, with 20 million new cases estimated in 2022. The world population aged ≥65 years is also increasing, projected to reach 15.9% by 2050, making cancer control for older patients urgent. Surgical resection is important for cancer treatment; however, predicting postoperative disability and mortality in older patients is crucial for surgical decision-making, considering the quality of life and care burden. Currently, no model directly predicts postoperative functional disability in this population.

Objective

We aimed to develop and validate machine-learning models to predict postoperative functional disability (≥5-point decrease in the Barthel Index) or in-hospital death in patients with cancer aged ≥ 65 years.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients aged ≥65 years who underwent surgery for major cancers (lung, stomach, colorectal, liver, pancreatic, breast, or prostate cancer) between April 2016 and March 2023 in 70 Japanese hospitals across 6 regional groups. One group was randomly selected for external validation, while the remaining 5 groups were randomly divided into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) sets. Predictor variables were selected from 37 routinely available preoperative factors through electronic medical records (age, sex, income, comorbidities, laboratory values, and vital signs) using crude odds ratios (P<.1) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. We developed 6 machine-learning models, including category boosting (CatBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), logistic regression, neural networks, random forest, and support vector machine. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with 95% CI. We used the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method to evaluate contribution to the predictive performance for each predictor variable.

Results

This study included 33,355 patients in the training, 14,294 in the internal validation, and 6711 in the external validation sets. In the training set, 1406/33,355 (4.2%) patients experienced worse discharge. A total of 24 predictor variables were selected for the final models. CatBoost and XGBoost achieved the largest AUCs among the 6 models: 0.81 (95% CI 0.80-0.82) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.80-0.82), respectively. In the top 15 influential factors based on the mean absolute SHAP value, both models shared the same 14 factors such as dementia, age ≥85 years, and gastrointestinal cancer. The CatBoost model showed the largest AUCs in both internal (0.77, 95% CI 0.75-0.79) and external validation (0.72, 95% CI 0.68-0.75).

Conclusions

The CatBoost model demonstrated good performance in predicting postoperative outcomes for older patients with cancer using routinely available preoperative factors. The robustness of these findings was supported by the identical top influential factors between the CatBoost and XGBoost models. This model could support surgical decision-making while considering postoperative quality of life and care burden, with potential for implementation through electronic health records.

Impact of in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation on hospital-associated disability after transcatheter aortic valve implantation

BACKGROUND

Hospital-associated disability (HAD), a decline in the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADL) during hospitalization, is a modifiable target in integrated care for older adults. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of inpatient cardiac rehabilitation (CR) on the development of HAD in older patients with aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

METHODS

Older patients undergoing TAVI were extracted from the Japanese nationwide database (JROAD-DPC) from April 2014 to March 2021 and were divided into patients receiving inpatient CR (CR group) and a non-CR group. HAD was defined as a decrease in the Barthel Index (BI) score ≥5 points at discharge compared with the score at admission.

RESULTS

Of 19,789 eligible patients, 17,066 (86%) underwent inpatient CR. The overall prevalence of HAD was 9.6%, with a lower incidence in the CR group than in the non-CR group (8.8% vs. 14.2%, p < 0.001). Random forest analysis revealed key features associated with HAD risk including BI score at admission, inpatient CR participation, age, body mass index (BMI), and chronic kidney disease. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that participation in inpatient CR was associated with a lower odds ratio (OR) of HAD (OR, 0.62; 95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.70), with similar results in inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted logistic regression analyses (OR, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.88). Analyses in subgroups of interest showed heterogeneity in the effects of inpatient CR with possible loss in patients with a BMI of <18.5 kg/m2 or a BI score of less than 60 points at admission.

CONCLUSIONS

The data suggest a beneficial effect of inpatient CR participation on the prevention of HAD in older patients undergoing TAVI, but the effect may be limited in lean patients with disability for ADL before TAVI.

Association of In-Hospital Cardiac Rehabilitation on Hospital-Associated Disability for Octogenarian Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction - An Insight From the JROAD-DPC Database

Background

This study aimed to determine the status of in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation (CR) and hospital-associated disability (HAD) for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) aged >80 years.

Methods and Results

This study involved the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases and the Diagnosis Procedure Combination databases, and included patients who were hospitalized with AMI from April 2014 to March 2021. Patients were categorized by the daily amount of CR: NA, not applicable; Low, 20-30 min; Moderate, 30-40 min; and High, >40 min. Activities of daily living were assessed using the Barthel index (BI) score, and evaluated at both admission and discharge. This study defined HAD as a ≥5-point decrease in BI score at discharge compared with admission. A total of 12,061 eligible patients were selected (age 83.0 years; 36.4% female), of which 2.7% had HAD (NA, 2.0%; Low, 4.7%; Moderate, 2.6%; High, 2.6%). The Low group was more likely to develop HAD. Chronological trends in hospital stay and incidence rate of HAD gradually decreased with the increased in-hospital CR participation rate. The multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the daily amount of CR was selected as an independent associated factor for preventing HAD (odds ratio 0.737; 95% confidence interval 0.567-0.960; P=0.023).

Conclusions

Our results revealed that higher amounts of in-hospital CR for patients with AMI should be performed, especially in octogenarians.

Body mass index is associated with disability at discharge as indicated by the modified Rankin Scale in patients with ischemic stroke: a JROAD-DPC study

BACKGROUND

Body mass index (BMI) of patients with ischemic stroke (IS) has been associated with prognosis and disability in studies in the United States. Although the Asian population is leaner, the optimal BMI for stroke-related disability remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To clarify the association between BMI and disability in patients with IS from a national database in Japan.

METHODS

The present study included 522,421 patients with IS identified in the JROAD-DPC database from April 2016 to March 2020. We used the WHO classification of BMI, which divides Asia-Pacific patients into five groups, to categorize BMI and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) to assess stroke-related disability at admission and discharge. After multiple imputation for missing values, we conducted a multiple mixed-effect logistic regression analysis for poor mRS score (>2) in September 2023. In addition, we created a restricted cubic spline model between the odds ratio (OR) for poor mRS and BMI.

RESULTS

The mRS score worsened during hospitalization in 60.1% of the patients with IS, and 45.7% had a poor mRS score at discharge. Overweight patients had the lowest OR of having a poor mRS score (OR: 0.898, 95% confidence interval: 0.895-0.902). The spline curve for the OR for poor mRS score was U-shaped with a BMI of 24.7 kg/m2as the apex value.

CONCLUSION

The present study revealed a U-shaped relationship between BMI and stroke-related disability, with overweight patients having the lowest OR for disability at discharge.

Comparison of embolic risk in left ventricular thrombus between nonischemic and ischemic cardiomyopathy: A nationwide database analysis

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular (LV) thrombus is not common but poses significant risks of embolic stroke or systemic embolism. However, the distinction in embolic risk between nonischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) and ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In total, 2738 LV thrombus patients from the JROAD-DPC (Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases Diagnosis Procedure Combination) database were included. Among these patients, 1037 patients were analyzed, with 826 (79.7%) having ICM and 211 with NICM (20.3%). Within the NICM group, the distribution was as follows: dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM; 41.2%), takotsubo cardiomyopathy (27.0%), hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (18.0%), and other causes (13.8%). The primary outcome was a composite of embolic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE) during hospitalization. The ICM and NICM groups showed no significant difference in the primary outcome (5.8% vs. 7.6%, p = 0.34). Among NICM, SSE occurred in 12.6% of patients with DCM, 7.0% with takotsubo cardiomyopathy, and 2.6% with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Multivariate logistic regression analysis for SSE revealed an odds ratio of 1.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7-2.7, p = 0.37) for NICM compared to ICM. However, DCM exhibited a higher adjusted odds ratio for SSE compared to ICM (2.6, 95% CI 1.2-6.0, p = 0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide shows comparable rates of embolic events between ICM and NICM in LV thrombus patients, with DCM posing a greater risk of SSE than ICM. The findings emphasize the importance of assessing the specific cause of heart disease in NICM, within LV thrombus management strategies.

Sedentary behaviour may cause differences in physical outcomes and activities of daily living in older cardiovascular disease patients participating in phase I cardiac rehabilitation

This study aimed to investigate the rate of sedentary behaviour and differences in physical outcomes and activities of daily living (ADL) based on sedentary behaviour time of hospitalized older cardiovascular disease patients undergoing phase I cardiac rehabilitation. Older cardiovascular disease patients were enrolled from October 2020 to September 2023 and were divided into the high sedentary behaviour group (≥ 480 min/day) and low sedentary behaviour group (< 480 min/day). Patients' clinical characteristics, usual gait speed, and Five Times Sit to Stand Test time were compared as indices of physical outcomes. Motor, cognitive, and total Functional Independence Measure (FIM) scores were used as indices of ADL and compared between groups using analysis of covariance. Final analysis included 402 patients (mean age: 76.7 years, female: 35.3%). The high sedentary behaviour group included 48.5% of the study patients. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, gait speed (0.80 ± 0.27 vs. 0.96 ± 0.23 m/s, p < 0.001) was lower and FTSST time (11.31 ± 4.19 vs. 9.39 ± 3.11 s, p < 0.001) was higher in the high sedentary behaviour group versus low sedentary behaviour group. Motor (85.82 ± 8.82 vs. 88.09 ± 5.04 points, p < 0.001), cognitive (33.32 ± 2.93 vs. 34.04 ± 2.24 points, p < 0.001), and total FIM scores (119.13 ± 10.66 vs. 122.02 ± 6.30 points, p < 0.001) were significantly lower in the high sedentary behaviour group versus low sedentary behaviour group after adjustment. In older cardiovascular disease patients in phase I cardiac rehabilitation, sedentary behaviour time might influence physical outcomes and ADL at discharge. It is thus important to consider the amount of sedentary behaviour time spent by these patients during daily life while hospitalized.

Incidence of Hospitalization-Associated Disability in Older Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

This study determined the incidence of hospitalization-associated disability (HAD) and its characteristics in older patients with heart failure in Japan.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Ninety-six institutions participated in this nationwide multicenter registry study (J-Proof HF). From December 2020 to March 2022, consecutive heart failure patients aged ≥65 years who were prescribed physical rehabilitation during hospitalization were enrolled. Of the 9,403 patients enrolled (median age 83.0 years, 50.9% male), 3,488 (37.1%) had HAD. Compared with the non-HAD group, the HAD group was older and had higher rates of hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and cerebrovascular disease comorbidity. The HAD group also had a significantly lower Barthel Index score and a significantly higher Kihon checklist score before admission. Of the 9,403 patients, 2,158 (23.0%) had a preadmission Barthel Index score of <85 points. Binomial logistic analysis revealed that age and preadmission Kihon checklist score were associated with HAD in patients with a preadmission Barthel Index score of ≥85, compared with New York Heart Association functional classification and preadmission cognitive decline in those with a Barthel Index score <85.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide registry survey found that 37.1% of older patients with HF had HAD and that these patients are indicated for convalescent rehabilitation. Further widespread implementation of rehabilitation for older patients with heart failure is expected in Japan.

Probable Respiratory Sarcopenia Decreases Activities of Daily Living in Older Patients Hospitalized with Respiratory Diseases: A Cross-sectional Study

Objectives

Respiratory sarcopenia is characterized by low respiratory muscle mass and respiratory muscle strength, but its impact on activities of daily living (ADL) remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the association between respiratory sarcopenia and decreased ADL.

Methods

This retrospective cross-sectional study included older inpatients (≥65 years old) with respiratory diseases who underwent rehabilitation. Because the evaluation of respiratory muscle mass is challenging, probable respiratory sarcopenia was defined according to low appendicular skeletal muscle index (<7 kg/m2 for men, <5.7 kg/m2 for women) and peak expiratory flow rate (<4.4 L/s for men, <3.21 L/s for women). ADL was assessed on the first day of rehabilitation using the baseline Barthel Index (BI).

Results

Of 111 inpatients (median age 75 years; 57 women), 13 (11.7%) had probable respiratory sarcopenia. Forty-five patients (40.5%) had sarcopenia and 12 of these had probable respiratory sarcopenia. Pulmonary functions (Forced Vital Capacity and expiratory volume in 1 s) were significantly lower in patients with probable respiratory sarcopenia than those without. Spearman's rank coefficient analysis showed probable respiratory sarcopenia did not significantly correlate with age, phase angle, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), or hemoglobin (Hb). Multivariate linear regression analysis with baseline BI revealed probable respiratory sarcopenia (β -0.279 and P=0.004) was the significant factor after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, CCI, and Hb.

Conclusions

Probable respiratory sarcopenia was independently associated with decreased ADL in patients aged 65 years and older who were hospitalized with respiratory diseases.

Association between Active Hobby before Hospitalization and Frailty at Discharge in Patients with Acute Cardiovascular Disease

Objectives

It is essential to identify the factors that reduce the risk of frailty at discharge in patients with cardiovascular disease. We sought to verify the association between pre-admission hobbies and frailty at discharge in patients hospitalized for acute cardiovascular diseases.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the cases of the 269 patients admitted to our hospital with cardiovascular diseases, excluding those who required assistance with activities of daily living before admission or had missing data on hobbies or frailty. The patients' pre-admission hobbies (if any) were recorded, and the patients were then classified into the no-hobby group, inactive-hobby group, or active-hobby group. Frailty was assessed using the Cardiovascular Health Study criteria (Japanese version) on the day before discharge. We conducted a multinomial logistic regression analysis to investigate the relationship between hobbies and frailty.

Results

Compared with the no-hobby group, the inactive-hobby group did not show a significantly lower odds ratio (OR) for pre-frailty and frailty. In contrast, the active-hobby group showed a significantly lower OR for pre-frailty and frailty even after adjustment (OR: 0.41, 95% confidence interval: 0.17-0.90). Regarding the components of frailty, the active-hobby group had lower ORs for slow gait speed, exhaustion, and low physical activity relative to the no-hobby group.

Conclusions

Even if patients had hobbies before admission, if those hobbies were non-active, they did not reduce the risk of frailty, suggesting the need for reconsidering rehabilitation approaches during hospitalization.

Predictive Value of the Hemoglobin-Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index in Patients with Heart Failure

Malnutrition prevails among patients with heart failure (HF), increasing the likelihood of functional decline. We assessed the predictive value of the Hemoglobin-Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (H-GNRI)—combining hemoglobin and the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI)—on prognosis in older patients with HF. We used the JMDC multicenter database to examine the potential associations between malnutrition risk and other outcome measures. The patients were categorized as low- (H-GNRI score = 2), intermediate- (H-GNRI score = 1), or high-risk (H-GNRI score = 0) based on their H-GNRI scores. The primary outcome measure was the Barthel Index (BI) gain; the secondary outcomes included the BI at discharge, the BI efficiency, length of hospital stay, in-hospital mortality, discharge to home or a nursing home, and hospitalization-associated disability. We analyzed 3532 patients, with 244 being low-risk, 952 being intermediate-risk, and 2336 being high-risk patients. The high-risk group of patients had significantly lower BI values at discharge, lower BI gains, reduced BI efficiency values, and prolonged hospital stays compared to those in the low-risk group. The high-risk patients also had higher in-hospital mortality rates, lower rates of discharge to home or a nursing home, and greater incidences of a hospitalization-associated disability in comparison to the low-risk group. The H-GNRI may serve as a valuable tool for determining prognoses for patients with HF.

Prevalence and temporal trends of prostate diseases among inpatients with cardiovascular disease: a nationwide real-world database survey in Japan

Introduction

Benign prostate hyperplasia (BPH) and prostate cancer (PCa) are major prostate diseases that potentially share cardiometabolic risk factors and an elevated risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the prevalence of prostate diseases among patients with established CVD remains unclear.

Materials and methods

This nationwide retrospective study assessed the prevalence and temporal trend of prostate diseases (i.e., BPH or PCa) among patients hospitalized for CVDs in Japan. We used a claims database (the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases-Diagnosis Procedure Combination), which included data on 6,078,487 male patients recorded from 1,058 hospitals between April 2012 and March 2020. We conducted the Cochran-Armitage trend test and calculated the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

The prevalence of prostate diseases over the entire study period was 5.7% (BPH, 4.4%; PCa, 1.6%). When dividing the overall cohort into age categories (<65, 65-74, and ≥75 years old), the prevalence was 1.1%, 4.7%, and 9.9%, respectively (P for trend <0.05). In addition, the annual prevalence showed a modest increasing trend over time. Patients admitted for heart failure (HF) were significantly associated with a higher incidence of coexisting prostate diseases than those admitted for non-HF causes [aOR 1.02 (95% CI, 1.01-1.03)] or acute coronary syndrome [aOR 1.19 (95% CI, 1.17-1.22)].

Conclusions

The nationwide real-world database revealed that the prevalence of prostate diseases is increasing among patients hospitalized for CVD, particularly HF. Attention to detailed causality and continued surveillance are needed to further clarify the clinical characteristics of prostate diseases among patients with CVD.

Relation of sedentary behaviour to physical function in phase I cardiac rehabilitation

Increased sedentary behaviour (SB) is reportedly associated with mortality and morbidity in cardiovascular disease. However, its relation with physical function is not well understood in phase I cardiac rehabilitation (CR). This study aimed to investigate the rate of SB and the relation between SB and physical function among patients participating in phase I CR. This prospective multicentre cohort study enrolled patients participating in CR from October 2020 to July 2022. Patients with probable dementia and difficulty walking alone were excluded. We used sitting SB time as the index of SB and the Short Performance Physical Battery (SPPB) as the index of physical function at discharge. Patients were divided into the low SB group (< 480 min/day) or high SB group (≥ 480 min/day). We analysed and compared the two groups. The final analysis included 353 patients (mean age: 69.6 years, male: 75.6%), of whom 47.6% (168 of 353) were high SB patients. Total sitting SB time was higher in the high SB group versus the low SB group (733.6 ± 155.3 vs 246.4 ± 127.4 min/day, p < 0.001), and mean SPPB score was lower in the high SB group versus the low SB group (10.5 ± 2.4 vs 11.2 ± 1.6 points, p = 0.001). Multiple regression analysis identified SB as an explanatory variable for total SPPB score (p = 0.017). Patients with high SB had significantly lower SPPB scores than those with low SB. These findings underscore the importance of considering SB when improving physical function. Effective strategies to improve physical function can be developed that consider SB in phase I CR.