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Borges MASB, Zara ALDSA, Tomich LGMDM, Guilarde AO, de Oliveira CP, Carvajal DLM, Pedrosa MMR, da Costa PSS, Turchi MD. COVID-19 case fatality ratio and survival among hospitalized adults in Goiás, 2020: a cohort study. EPIDEMIOLOGIA E SERVIÇOS DE SAÚDE 2025; 34:e20240053. [PMID: 40435037 PMCID: PMC12105840 DOI: 10.1590/s2237-96222025v34e20240053.en] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2024] [Accepted: 11/29/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe clinical-epidemiological and therapeutic aspects and to estimate case fatality ratio and risk factors for lower in-hospital survival due to COVID-19. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study conducted in the state of Goiás, Brazil, in 2020, with data obtained from the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System and through a review of clinical records and hospital. Relative risk for in-hospital death was estimated and Poisson multiple regression and Cox regression analyses were performed. Survival functions were compared using the log-rank test and represented by Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS The sample consisted of 651 adults, whose median age was 59 years, 57.0% were admitted to public hospitals, 61.1% had severe acute respiratory syndrome on admission and 72.0% had at least one comorbidity, the most frequent being hypertension , diabetes and obesity. The overall case fatality ratio was 17.5% (95% confidence interval, 95%CI 14.7; 20.6), with no significant difference between public and private hospitals. The case fatality ratio was higher in the ≥60 years age group (prevalence ratio, PR 1.26; 95%CI 1.01; 1.58), in hypertensive patients (PR 1.41; 95%CI 1.14; 1 .74) and in those undergoing intensive care (PR 2.68; 95%CI 1.13; 6.32) and mechanical ventilation (PR 11.15; 95%CI 5.53; 22.46). The median time between hospital admission and death was 10 days (interquartile range, 6-18). Survival was lower in the ≥60 years age group (adjusted hazard ratio, HR 1.93; 95%CI 1.26; 2.95) and in those undergoing mechanical ventilation (HR 10.13; 95%CI 6.03; 17. 02). CONCLUSION Factors related to comorbidities and severity were independent predictors of shorter in-hospital survival among patients with COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moara Alves Santa Bárbara Borges
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Hospital das Clínicas, Serviço de Infectologia, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
| | - Ana Laura de Sene Amâncio Zara
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Faculdade de Farmácia, Programa de Pós-Graduação de Assistência de Avaliação em Saúde, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
| | - Lísia Gomes Martins de Moura Tomich
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
- Sociedade Brasileira Israelita Albert Einstein, Hospital de Urgências de Goiás Dr. Valdemiro Cruz, Serviço de Infectologia, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
| | - Adriana Oliveira Guilarde
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Hospital das Clínicas, Serviço de Infectologia, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
| | | | | | - Marina Mascarenhas Roriz Pedrosa
- Hospital de Campanha para o Enfrentamento ao Coronavírus de Goiânia, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
- Hospital Estadual de Doenças Tropicais Dr. Anuar Auad, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
| | | | - Marília Dalva Turchi
- Universidade Federal de Goiás, Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Goiânia, GO, Brazil
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Habbous S, Lambrinos A, Ming K, Hellsten E. A cohort study of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Ontario: patient characteristics and outcomes by wave. Swiss Med Wkly 2024; 154:3636. [PMID: 38579312 DOI: 10.57187/s.3636] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/07/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Each wave of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibited a unique combination of epidemiological, social and structural characteristics. We explore similarities and differences in wave-over-wave characteristics of patients hospitalised with COVID-19. METHODS This was a population-based study in Ontario province, Canada. Patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 between 26 February 2020 and 31 March 2022 were included. An admission was considered related to SARS-CoV-2 infection if the provincial inpatient or outpatient hospital databases contained the ICD-10 diagnostic codes U071/U072 or the Ontario Laboratories Information System indicated a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result (PCR or rapid antigen testing) during the admission or up to two weeks prior. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality (modified Poisson regression). Secondary outcomes were use of critical care during the admission (logistic regression) and total length-of-stay (linear regression with heteroskedastic-consistent standard-error estimators). All models were adjusted for demographic characteristics, neighbourhood socioeconomic factors and indicators of illness severity. RESULTS There were 73,201 SARS-CoV-2-related admissions: 6127 (8%) during wave 1 (wild-type), 14,371 (20%) during wave 2 (wild-type), 16,653 (23%) during wave 3 (Alpha), 5678 (8%) during wave 4 (Delta) and 30,372 (42%) during wave 5 (Omicron). SARS-CoV-2 was the most responsible diagnosis for 70% of admissions during waves 1-2 and 42% in wave 5. The proportion of admitted patients who were long-term care residents was 18% (n = 1111) during wave 1, decreasing to 10% (n = 1468) in wave 2 and <5% in subsequent waves. During waves 1-3, 46% of all admitted patients resided in a neighbourhood assigned to the highest ethnic diversity quintile, which declined to 27% during waves 4-5. Compared to wave 1, 90-day mortality was similar during wave 2 (adjusted risk ratio [aRR]: 1.00 [95% CI: 0.95-1.04]), but lower during wave 3 (aRR: 0.89 [0.85-0.94]), wave 4 (aRR: 0.85 [0.79-0.91]) and wave 5 (aRR: 0.83 [0.80-0.88]). Improvements in survival over waves were observed among elderly patients (p-interaction <0.0001). Critical care admission was significantly less likely during wave 5 than previous waves (adjusted odds ratio: 0.50 [0.47-0.54]). The length of stay was a median of 8.5 (3.6-23.8) days during wave 1 and 5.3 (2.2-12.6) during wave 5. After adjustment, the mean length of stay was on average -10.4 (-11.1 to -9.8) days, i.e. shorter, in wave 5 vs wave 1. CONCLUSION Throughout the pandemic, sociodemographic characteristics of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 changed over time, particularly in terms of ethnic diversity, but still disproportionately affected patients from more marginalised regions. Improved survival and reduced use of critical care during the Omicron wave are reassuring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven Habbous
- Ontario Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
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Freitas DHM, Costa ELV, Zimmermann NA, Gois LSO, Anjos MVA, Lima FG, Andrade PS, Joelsons D, Ho Y, Sales FCS, Sabino EC, Carvalho CRR, Ferreira JC. Temporal trends of severity and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19 after the emergence of variants of concern: A comparison of two waves. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0299607. [PMID: 38452031 PMCID: PMC10919739 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/09/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants led to subsequent waves of COVID-19 worldwide. In many countries, the second wave of COVID-19 was marked by record deaths, raising the concern that variants associated with that wave might be more deadly. Our aim was to compare outcomes of critically-ill patients of the first two waves of COVID-19. METHODS This retrospective cohort included critically-ill patients admitted between March-June 2020 and April-July 2021 in the largest academic hospital in Brazil, which has free-access universal health care system. We compared admission characteristics and hospital outcomes. The main outcome was 60-day survival and we built multivariable Cox model based on a conceptual causal diagram in the format of directed acyclic graph (DAG). RESULTS We included 1583 patients (1315 in the first and 268 in the second wave). Patients in the second wave were younger, had lower severity scores, used prone and non-invasive ventilatory support more often, and fewer patients required mechanical ventilation (70% vs 80%, p<0.001), vasopressors (60 vs 74%, p<0.001), and dialysis (22% vs 37%, p<0.001). Survival was higher in the second wave (HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.50-0.76). In the multivariable model, admission during the second wave, adjusted for age, SAPS3 and vaccination, was not associated with survival (aHR 0.85, 95%CI 0.65-1.12). CONCLUSIONS In this cohort study, patients with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU in the second wave were younger and had better prognostic scores. Adjusted survival was similar in the two waves, contrasting with record number of hospitalizations, daily deaths and health system collapse seen across the country in the second wave. Our findings suggest that the combination of the burden of severe cases and factors such as resource allocation and health disparities may have had an impact in the excess mortality found in many countries in the second wave.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniela Helena Machado Freitas
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Eduardo Leite Vieira Costa
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Natalia Alcantara Zimmermann
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Larissa Santos Oliveira Gois
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Mirella Vittig Alves Anjos
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Felipe Gallego Lima
- Divisao de Cardiologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto Do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Pâmela Santos Andrade
- Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saude Publica, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Daniel Joelsons
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Yeh‐Li Ho
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Flávia Cristina Silva Sales
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
- Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto de Medicina Tropical, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Ester Cerdeira Sabino
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
- Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto de Medicina Tropical, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Carlos Roberto Ribeiro Carvalho
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Juliana Carvalho Ferreira
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
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Cavallari Strozze Catharin VM, Zutin TLM, Guiguer EL, Cressoni Araújo A, Fornari Laurindo L, Chagas EFB, Gasparotti Zorzetto CF, Bueno PCDS, dos Santos Bueno M, Cervelim Nunes Y, Cavallari Strozze Catharin V, Gonzaga HF, Barbalho SM. Radiological and Functional Pulmonary Evolution in Post-COVID-19 Patients: An Observational Study. Diseases 2023; 11:113. [PMID: 37754309 PMCID: PMC10528437 DOI: 10.3390/diseases11030113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2023] [Revised: 08/20/2023] [Accepted: 08/22/2023] [Indexed: 09/28/2023] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 has generated a scenario for global health with multiple systemic impairments. This retrospective study evaluated the clinical, radiological, and pulmonary functional evolution in 302 post-COVID-19 patients. Regarding post-COVID-19 pulmonary symptoms, dry cough, dyspnea, and chest pain were the most frequent. Of the associated comorbidities, asthma was more frequent (23.5%). Chest tomography (CT) initially showed a mean pulmonary involvement of 69.7%, and evaluation in the subsequent months showed improvement in the evolutionary image. With less than six months post-pathology, there was a commitment of 37.7% from six to twelve months it was 20%, and after 12 months it was 9.9%. As for most of the sample, 50.3% of the patients presented CT normalization less than six months after infection, 23% were normalized between six and twelve months, and 5.2% presented with normalized images after twelve months, with one remaining. A percentage of 17.3% maintained post-COVID-19 pulmonary residual sequelae. Regarding spirometry, less than six months after pathology, 59.3% of the patients presented regular exam results, 12.3% had their function normalized within six to twelve months, and 6.3% had normal exam results twelve months after their post-pathology evaluation. Only 3.6% of the patients still showed some alteration during this period.
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Affiliation(s)
- Virgínia Maria Cavallari Strozze Catharin
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
| | - Tereza Laís Menegucci Zutin
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Elen Landgraf Guiguer
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
- Department of Biochemistry and Nutrition, School of Food and Technology of Marília (FATEC), Avenida Castro Alves, 62, Marília 17500-000, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Adriano Cressoni Araújo
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Lucas Fornari Laurindo
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, Faculdade de Medicina de Marília (FAMEMA), Avenida Monte Carmelo, 800, Marília 17519-030, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Eduardo F. Baisi Chagas
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Cássia Fernanda Gasparotti Zorzetto
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
| | - Patrícia C. dos Santos Bueno
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Department of Animal Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Yandra Cervelim Nunes
- Department of Biochemistry and Nutrition, School of Food and Technology of Marília (FATEC), Avenida Castro Alves, 62, Marília 17500-000, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Vitor Cavallari Strozze Catharin
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
| | - Heron Fernando Gonzaga
- Department of Dermatology, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Federal University of São Paulo (UNIFESP), Rua dos Otonis, 861, São Paulo 04025-002, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Sandra Maria Barbalho
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil; (V.M.C.S.C.); (T.L.M.Z.); (L.F.L.)
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation, University of Marília (UNIMAR), Avenida Hygino Muzzy Filho, 1001, Marília 17525-902, São Paulo, Brazil
- Department of Biochemistry and Nutrition, School of Food and Technology of Marília (FATEC), Avenida Castro Alves, 62, Marília 17500-000, São Paulo, Brazil
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